Good closing today by Nifty but Bull market not yet in sight. Good recovery by Nifty today closing above the mid channel line but there is long way to go before Bulls are back in business. We do not know if today's bounce was a dead cat Technical bounce after the rout yesterday.
The resistances that Nifty now faces are at 23176, 23424, 23657 (Father line resistance), 23850 (Mother line resistance), 24518 and finally channel top resistance near 24799. Above 24800 closing bulls can come back in business and take Nifty North wards to 25299+ levels.
Supports for Nifty remain at 22935, 22465, 21866 and finally 21232. Below 22935 is a pure Bear territory. We are terribly close to the bear territory. Shadow of the candle is neutral.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Niftylevels
Nifty Review & Analysis - Daily
Price Action :
Nift saw a Gap-up opening with positive overnight ques but failed to sustain higher levels and saw huge selling from opening. Today’s session was very volatile which saw a quick bullback from 23150 levels to agin find sellers at 23400 levls. Nifty finally tested below 23000 levels after 6-7 months closing at 6 month low.
Technicals:
Nifty was very volatile, couldn’t trade past even 10DEMA also. The index formed a strong bearish candle trading below the 10, 20, 50, and 200-day EMAs. The momentum indicators, RSI (Relative Strength Index at 35), and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) remains below the zero line, indicating weakness still persists.
Support/Resistance
Major Support 22800
Immediate Support 22950
Immediate Resistance 23150
Major Resistance 23400
Trend:
Nifty is in bearish trend very weak.
Options Data:
Weekly Options data suggests huge Call build up at 23500 23300 and 23200 levels suggesting major Resistance
Put Writing seen at 23000 and 22800 levels suggesting small Support.
PCR improved to 0.74
Futures Data:
FII Long/Short ratio came down to 17%
Nifty Futures was negative with huge increase in Open Interest suggesting Shorts addition
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty might see lower levels below 22950
Approch:
Short at every rise and below 22950
Wait for today’s Low to break for further direction
My Trades & Positions:
holding Shorts
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 22-Jan-2025🔖 Nifty Trading Plan for 22-Jan-2025
📊 Key Levels:
Resistance Zones: 23,097–23,201, Last Intraday Resistance: 23,330
Support Zones: 22,962, 22,689 (Last Intraday Support)
1️⃣ Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens above 23,201:
Watch for price action near the Last Intraday Resistance (23,330). A rejection from this level could offer a short trade opportunity with a target towards 23,201.
A sustained breakout above 23,330 can signal strong bullish momentum, and a long trade with a trailing stop-loss could be beneficial to ride the trend higher towards the next possible profit-taking zone near 23,435.
📌 Educational Insight: Gap-ups above resistance zones can often trigger profit booking or reversal patterns. Always wait for a confirmation candle before entering any trades.
2️⃣ Flat Opening (Within 22,962–23,097)
Focus on the reaction at the Opening Resistance Zone (23,097). If Nifty fails to sustain above this zone, shorting the market with a target towards 22,962 could be favorable.
Conversely, if Nifty holds above 23,097, a long trade targeting 23,201 may be considered, with a tight stop loss below 23,052.
A breakdown below 22,962 may signal bearish momentum, opening short trades towards the Last Intraday Support at 22,689.
📌 Educational Insight: Flat openings provide the best opportunity for observing market sentiment. Let the market settle for the first 15–30 minutes for better clarity before making any trade decisions.
3️⃣ Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens near 22,689 or below:
Look for a reversal near the Last Intraday Support (22,689–22,830). A strong bounce here could provide a long trade targeting 22,962 or higher.
However, if Nifty sustains below 22,689, it might indicate further bearishness, and shorting the market with a target toward 22,600 could be considered.
📌 Educational Insight: Gap-down openings often lead to panic or aggressive buying at support levels. It is essential to wait for confirmation through price action and volume before entering trades.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Use defined stop-loss levels and avoid over-leveraging during volatile market conditions.
Trade spreads (like bull/bear spreads) to limit potential losses during high implied volatility (IV) conditions.
Keep an eye on hourly candle closures for added confirmation of trend direction.
Avoid entering trades within the first 15 minutes of the market opening. Let the market settle to avoid false breakouts or breakdowns.
🔍 Summary & Conclusion:
Gap-Up: Watch for action near 23,201–23,330. Focus on rejection or breakout opportunities.
Flat: Key action zone around 23,097; observe for potential breakouts or breakdowns.
Gap-Down: Look for buying opportunities near 22,689, but be cautious of further bearish trends if support is broken.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor or conduct your own analysis before trading.
Good Closing by Nifty just above Mother Line. Nifty today did well to close just above Mother line of hourly chart. The closing we got was at 23344 and 50 EMA or the Mother line is at 23330. This bring the hope of recover towards 23.5K and further towards 24K+ levels in the medium to short duration.
The resistances for Nifty right now remain at 23390, 23460, 23589 and 23703. Closing above 23703 will be very good for Bulls as they can drag the index in this scenario towards 23821, 24021 and 24231 levels. Supports for Nifty on the lower side remain at 23330 (Mother line support, 50 EMA), 23172 and 23046. Closing below 23046 can lead to Bears coming back to pull nifty further down. As of now shadow of the candle is positive.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NIFTY 50 in Rangebound Movement, Poised to Break Resistance..!The NIFTY 50 index is currently navigating a rangebound market, attempting to break through a short-term resistance level at 23360 rs. So far, it has tested a significant support level of 23100 rs on two separate occasions, indicating a critical point for potential market stability or decline. Investors should exercise caution, as disappointing quarterly results could weigh heavily on market sentiment and increase volatility. Keeping a close eye on these developments is essential for making informed decisions.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 21-Jan-2025🔖 Nifty Trading Plan for 21-Jan-2025
📊 Key Levels:
Resistance Zones: 23,404–23,435 (Important Intraday Resistance), Profit Booking Zone: 23,525+
Support Zones: 23,375 (Opening Support/Resistance Zone), 23,245 (Buyer’s Support Zone), 23,114 (Golden Retracement Support)
1️⃣ Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 23,435)
📍 Analysis: A gap-up above 23,435 signals strong bullish sentiment. However, the profit booking zone above 23,525 can lead to selling pressure.
📌 Action Plan:
If Nifty consolidates below 23,525, look for rejection signs. A reversal from this zone provides a short trade opportunity targeting 23,435.
If Nifty breaks and sustains above 23,525 with strong volume, initiate a long trade, targeting 23,600 or higher. Use a trailing stop-loss to lock in profits.
Avoid trading immediately after the opening; observe the market's behavior for at least 15 minutes to confirm direction.
📚 Educational Insight: Gap-up openings often trigger profit booking near key resistance levels. Always wait for rejection or breakout confirmation to reduce risk.
2️⃣ Flat Opening (Within 23,344–23,375)
📍 Analysis: A flat opening suggests indecision in the market. The range between 23,344–23,375 will act as a critical zone for direction.
📌 Action Plan:
If Nifty struggles to hold above 23,375 and shows signs of rejection, consider a short trade targeting 23,304 or 23,245.
If Nifty sustains above 23,375, initiate a long trade targeting 23,404 and then 23,435. Ensure confirmation through volume and price action.
A decisive breakdown below 23,344 may indicate bearish sentiment, providing a shorting opportunity toward 23,304.
📚 Educational Insight: Flat openings provide the best opportunity to analyze market sentiment. Allow the first 15–30 minutes to settle before entering trades for better clarity.
3️⃣ Gap-Down Opening (100+ points near or below 23,245)
📍 Analysis: A gap-down near the Buyer’s Support Zone (23,245) or Golden Retracement Support (23,114) can trigger either panic selling or strong buying interest.
📌 Action Plan:
Look for reversals near 23,245 or 23,114. A strong bounce from these levels can provide a long trade opportunity targeting 23,304 or 23,375.
If Nifty sustains below 23,114 with high selling volume, initiate short trades targeting 23,050 or lower.
Avoid rushing into trades during a gap-down; wait for clear signs of reversal or breakdown for better risk management.
📚 Educational Insight: Gap-down scenarios often create volatility. Support zones like 23,245 and 23,114 can act as reversal points, but their failure may amplify bearish momentum.
⚠️ Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
✅ Use strict stop-loss levels to minimize losses in volatile markets.
✅ Avoid trading in the first 15 minutes after the opening, as it often exhibits unpredictable price movements.
✅ Consider using strategies like spreads (bull/bear spreads) in high-IV conditions to cap potential losses.
✅ Monitor hourly candle closures for confirmation before entering high-risk trades.
✅ Never over-leverage; trade with an amount you are comfortable risking.
🔍 Summary & Conclusion:
Gap-Up: Watch price action near 23,525; trade rejections or sustained breakouts.
Flat: Observe the reaction within 23,344–23,375; trade breakouts or breakdowns accordingly.
Gap-Down: Look for buying opportunities at 23,245 or 23,114, but respect bearish momentum if these levels fail.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor or conduct your own research before trading.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 20-Jan-2025🔖 Nifty Trading Plan for 20-Jan-2025
📊 Key Levels:
Resistance Zones: 23,318–23,334, Profit Booking Zone: 23,405–23,435
Support Zones: 23,113–23,201, 23,007, 22,962
1️⃣ Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens above 23,334:
Look for consolidation or rejection near Profit Booking Zone (23,405–23,435). If rejected, consider a short entry with a target towards 23,334 or 23,269.
Sustained breakout above 23,435 may lead to a rally. Use trailing stop-loss to ride the momentum.
📌 Educational Insight: Gap-ups often signal bullish momentum, but profit booking zones can act as reversal points. Observe price action carefully.
2️⃣ Flat Opening (Within 23,201–23,203)
Monitor opening price reaction within the Golden Retracement Zone (23,113–23,201).
If Nifty holds 23,201, it’s a signal to go long with a target towards 23,318–23,334.
Break below 23,113 could indicate bearish momentum. Short below this level with a target towards 23,007.
📌 Educational Insight: Flat openings are ideal for price action-based trades. Let the first 30 minutes settle before taking positions for the best risk-reward setup.
3️⃣ Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens near 22,962–23,007:
Look for bullish reversals within the Trending Shift Zone (22,962–23,007). Go long if strong buying is observed, targeting 23,113.
A breakdown below 22,962 could lead to further weakness. Short positions below this level with a target of 22,880.
📌 Educational Insight: Gap-downs often create opportunities for sharp reversals or continuation trends. Wait for confirmation before entering trades.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Use hourly candle close as confirmation before entering trades.
For directional trades, avoid over-leveraging and use defined stop-loss.
Hedge positions using spreads to limit risk in volatile markets.
Monitor IV (Implied Volatility) while trading options; high IV can inflate premiums.
🔍 Summary & Conclusion:
For 20-Jan-2025, focus on the key zones:
Watch Golden Retracement Zone (23,113–23,201) for flat openings.
Look for rejection or breakout near 23,405–23,435 in case of gap-ups.
Keep an eye on 22,962–23,007 for possible reversals in gap-down scenarios.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their own analysis or consult with financial advisors before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY50 @ 200 Day SMAToday we are plotting the US Dollar Index vs NIFTY50 (the top 50 Market Cap stock from India). India was one of the favourite in 2023 and 2024 has fallen out of favour. As the Dollar index is making new highs, NIFTY50 is making 20-Day, 50-Day, 100-Day and 200-Day Simple moving average . But 200-Day SMA has acted as a support and the index has jumped up form those price points. Will this time it will be different ? The Dollar index is going from a risk reversal and heading downwards. So this can be a tailwind for NIFTY50.
Good Leap by Nifty today in anticipation of RIL/INFY results. Good Leap by Nifty today in anticipation of RIL/INFY results and closed 98 points up at 23311. Real test is the level of between 23377 (Mother Line) and 23398 (Important Resistance).
This includes today's high and Mother line resistance and another important resistance. After closing above this zone the next resistances will be at 23469, 23598, 23736 and finally 23770 (Father Line resistance of Hourly chart.)
Supports for Nifty on the lower side now remain at 23267, 23147 and 23053. If we get a poor result for Reliance these levels will be tested once again and there will be pressure on Bulls and Bears will again try to overpower Nifty. The tussle has reached a delicate stage now and thing can give. (Either a Breakout of Breakdown).
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision.
23K has emerged as a good support zone for Nifty. As of now the 2 day's positive closing has given hopes of 23K levels being a good support zone. However there are 4 major hurdles in the path of Nifty before it can move ahead with full force. Reliance result tomorrow can be of some help to Nifty if at all it is positive. On the other hand if Reliance result is negative it can be a major hurdle looking at the weightage of the script in the index. US Inflation data to be announced later tonight can also give a direction to the markets all over. FII selling pressure can diminish if Dollar falls and Rupee starts making a steady gain. After making a high of 86.69 2 days back USD is currently at 86.34 declining a bit which has increased optimism in the mood of market. Market Mood index is at 33.25 and has recovered from Extreme fear zone and has entered the fear zone.
Supports for Nifty remain at: 23053, 22663 and 22376 levels. Below 22376 Bears can drag Nifty further down by another 400 to 1000 points.
Resistances for Nifty remain at: 23283, 23397 (Mother line resistance), 23598, 23803 (Father line resistance), 24198 and finally 24802 levels. Bulls can be back in the game truly after closing above 24802 level only.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision
ShortI am currently reassessing my targets for the Nifty. If the level of 23,080 is breached and the index closes below this support, I will adjust my target to around 20,200, as this would indicate a more significant market correction is underway.
This level aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent rally, which further strengthens the case for this correction. In my view, this level is not only plausible but inevitable, given the current market dynamics.
The broader market is signaling a potential major top, which suggests that the risk of further downside is increasing. In this environment, simply averaging into the market can be highly risky, as it may expose investors to larger losses if the market continues to decline.
Instead, I recommend adopting a more strategic approach to portfolio construction, focusing on calculated risks. This means selectively building positions based on strong, risk-adjusted opportunities rather than committing large capital indiscriminately. It’s essential to have a clear risk management plan in place, especially in volatile conditions like the current market environment.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 15/01/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening nifty will face resistance at 23350 level and expected reversal from this level towards the downside movement upto 23050 level. This downside can be extend for further strong sell side if nifty starts trading below 23000 level. Any major upside rally only expected if nifty gives the breakout and sustain above the 23400 level.
BUY NIFTY 23000 PE 16TH JAN @ 35 - 30 | NIFTY SELL TRADENIFTY 23000 PE 16TH JAN EXP
NIFTY OPTIONS BUYING TRADE
TIME FRAME RECOMMENDED TO TRACK TRADE: 5 MINS
Hi Traders,
Nifty is weak and we are looking for sell on rise opportunity. We recommend considering the purchase of the 23000 Put Option (16th January expiry) in the price range of 35 - 30.
Target levels are set at 55 and 75 with SL @ 10.
Regards,
OptionsDaddy Research Team
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 14-Jan-2025Trading Plan for 14-Jan-2025
This structured plan outlines potential strategies for different opening scenarios. Follow it step by step to make informed decisions and manage risk effectively.
Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 23,091)
🟢 A gap-up opening often indicates strong bullish momentum, but it’s crucial to watch for resistance at key levels.
Key Levels: Focus on 23,239 (Immediate opening resistance) and 23,374 (Last intraday resistance).
Plan of Action:
If Nifty opens near 23,239 and shows signs of rejection, wait for a bearish confirmation candle. Enter a short trade targeting 23,091 .
If it sustains above 23,239 , consider a long trade with a target of 23,374 . Place a stop loss below 23,239 .
Risk Management Tip: For options, use call spreads instead of naked call buying to reduce time decay losses.
Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 23,091)
🟡 Flat openings indicate neutral sentiment, often requiring more patience for market direction.
Key Levels: Monitor the No-Trade Zone (23,048 - 23,091) .
Plan of Action:
Avoid trading within the No-Trade Zone unless a breakout above 23,091 or a breakdown below 23,048 occurs.
Above 23,091 : Initiate a long trade with a target of 23,239 . Place a stop loss below 23,091 .
Below 23,048 : Go short with a target of 22,900 . Stop loss above 23,048 .
Risk Management Tip: Avoid impulsive trades. Let the market establish direction first.
Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below 23,048)
🔴 A gap-down opening suggests bearish sentiment. Look for opportunities near strong support levels.
Key Levels: Focus on 22,825 - 22,689 (Buyer’s Try Zone).
Plan of Action:
If Nifty approaches the Buyer’s Try Zone and shows a bullish reversal, initiate a long trade with a target of 23,048 . Stop loss below 22,689 .
If it sustains below 22,689 , consider a short trade targeting 22,600 .
Risk Management Tip: Use option strategies like put spreads to limit risk in highly volatile markets.
Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading:
✔️ Avoid trading aggressively during the first 15 minutes of market opening. Let volatility settle.
✔️ Focus on spreads (e.g., bull call spread or bear put spread) to control risks better.
✔️ Use proper position sizing: Limit risk to 2-3% of your total capital per trade.
✔️ Adjust positions dynamically as levels are tested or broken.
Summary and Conclusion:
The market is poised for volatile movement on 14-Jan-2025. Stick to the plan and respect the No-Trade Zone for flat openings. Use the Buyer’s Try Zone for potential reversals in case of a gap-down opening. Patience, discipline, and effective risk management will be your key to success.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please do your research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
The Wave is Shifting: Anticipate NIFTY’s Next Move!Dear Traders,
I hope this message finds you well in your trading endeavors and personal pursuits. I am excited to share a compelling opportunity with you through a new NIFTY analysis that sheds light on the continuation of the market shift.
Preliminary Analysis Overview:
The correction initiated on September 27, 2024, is a correction for the move from June 17, 2022, to September 27, 2024 (15,183.40 to 26,277.35). This move has spanned over 120 weeks (834 days) in time and 11,093.95 points in price. This necessitates a long-term and deeper correction, which is currently underway. This can be visually represented by the trend lines:
The downward trend from the all-time high continues, which is currently experiencing a corrective phase within a larger correction.
There are two potential phases for the ongoing trend:
Phase I:
The initial phase of correction primarily tested the .236 R of the aforementioned motive wave (refer to the figure below):
Following the correction, there is a correction within the correction in a larger degree (although the primary downtrend remains intact).
This internal correction is anticipated to rise further to test 0.146 R and 0.073 R of the long-term bull market (serving as potential resistances).
RI – 24,254.10
RII – 24,600 ~24,657
RIII – 25,100 ~25,120
*These values are not actual but merely levels.
Time resistances are anticipated on January 9th and February 17th (of considerable strength).
Reference:
Phase II:
Following the completion of the internal correction, the market is anticipated to resume its current downward trend in a more significant manner to test the 38.2 R (21,500 levels) + static support junction, which will be further discussed as the market evolves.
---
**Important Dates to Remember: **
Please note the following significant economic indicators and their release dates:
**January 8, 9, and 10: ** Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and employment data release (NFP).
**January 13 and 14: ** Inflation data release.
**January 13-16: ** Sales and inflation data release.
---
**Final Verdict: **
The current uptrend is considered interim. The primary trend remains downward and is anticipated to persist further and deeper. This trend is expected to test the 38.2% resistance level coinciding with the 21,360-support level.
---
**Strategy: **
Given the prevailing market conditions, adopting a bullish stance appears prudent. Key levels to monitor include 24,657 and 25,120, which are expected to be tested. It is imperative to remain vigilant and informed about potential opportunities that may arise.
------
Fellow Traders,
The creation of this valuable analytical resource has required countless hours of dedication and effort. If you find it useful, I humbly request your support by boosting the idea and following me (updates will be provided via this post, new posts, and through minds). Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally.
Thank you for investing your time in reading this article.
Wishing you profitable and fulfilling trading endeavors!
Disclaimer:
Before concluding, I must emphasize that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is crucial for you to conduct your own research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial objectives and risk tolerance.
NIFTY : Trading Plan and Important levels for 13-Jan-2025Key Levels to Watch:
Profit Booking Zone: 23,775 – 23,830
Last Intraday Resistance: 23,663
Opening Resistance: 23,588 – 23,613
No Trading Zone: 23,437 – 23,470
Opening Support: 23,339
Initial Support: 23,250
Buyer's Support Zone: 23,057 – 23,094
Gap Up Opening (100+ Points Above)
If Nifty opens above 23,613:
Monitor price action near the 23,663 resistance zone. A breakout with strong volume above this level can lead to a rally towards the Profit Booking Zone at 23,775–23,830. Consider initiating long positions if confirmation occurs.
If the price struggles near 23,663, wait for a rejection pattern and evaluate for potential pullback trades back to the Opening Resistance zone (23,588–23,613).
💡 Risk Management Tip: When trading gap-ups, avoid entering impulsively. Let the price settle for the first 15 minutes. Use tight stop losses for trades near resistance zones.
Flat Opening (±50 Points Around 23,437)
If Nifty opens within the No Trading Zone (23,437–23,470):
Stay cautious and avoid taking trades until the price breaks out of this consolidation range.
A breakout above 23,470 with strength can lead to a move toward the Opening Resistance zone (23,588–23,613). Enter long positions only after a successful retest of this breakout.
A breakdown below 23,437 could push the price toward Opening Support (23,339). Short positions can be initiated after confirmation.
💡 Risk Management Tip: Avoid overtrading in no-trade zones. Patience is key to spotting high-probability setups.
Gap Down Opening (100+ Points Below)
If Nifty opens below 23,339:
Watch for buying opportunities in the Initial Support zone (23,250). If the price forms a bullish reversal pattern, consider entering long trades targeting the Opening Resistance zone (23,588–23,613).
If selling pressure persists and Nifty moves toward the Buyer's Support Zone (23,057–23,094), this zone becomes crucial for long trades with tight stop losses.
A breach of 23,057 with strong volume can lead to further downside. Avoid long trades until support is regained.
💡 Risk Management Tip: In gap-down scenarios, avoid catching falling knives. Use smaller lot sizes and wait for strong reversal signals before entering trades.
Summary & Conclusion
For a gap up, focus on levels above 23,613 and monitor the resistance zones carefully for breakouts or rejections.
For a flat opening, wait for a breakout or breakdown from the No Trading Zone (23,437–23,470) to avoid false moves.
For a gap down, be patient around Initial Support (23,250) or Buyer's Support Zone (23,057–23,094) for reversal trades.
💡 Options Trading Tip: Use OTM strikes near key levels for intraday trades. Always hedge your positions, especially in volatile conditions.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before taking any trades. Trade responsibly!
#Nifty50 What Lies Ahead for Nifty & S&p500,13-17th Jan 2025The Nifty Index experienced a sharp decline this week, closing at 23,431, a significant 570 points below the previous week's close. While the index reached a high of 24,089, it ultimately succumbed to selling pressure, finding support at 23,344. As forecasted, the Nifty traded within the predicted range of 24,500 to 23,300. For the upcoming week, I anticipate the index to remain confined within a range of 23,950 to 22,900 .
Given the prevailing bearish sentiment, a potential short-term bounce could unfold next week to lure in unsuspecting buyers before a renewed downward move. Historically, whenever the Nifty has breached the support of the 50-week Exponential Moving Average (WEMA50), it has typically undergone a 5-6% correction. Based on the current level of 23,431, the Nifty may find crucial support near the 22,200-22,400 zone.
Turning to the US markets, the S&P 500 found support at the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (DEMA100) level of 5,817 and closed at 5,827. The upcoming week will be pivotal. If the S&P 500 successfully defends the 5,807 low, a potential rally towards the 5,926-5,944 range could materialize. However, a weekly close below the 5,800 mark would signal a significant bearish turn for global markets, potentially triggering a deeper correction towards the 5,637 or even 5,504 levels.
Wishing readers a very happy Lohri and Makar Sakranti.
Nifty looking weak after closing below Mid-channel. Nifty looking very weak after closing below Mid-channel support and 50 weeks EMA Mother line support. Mother line support or the 50 Week EMA was at 23442 and the closing we got is at 23431. If Nifty does not recover quickly and claims the Mid-Channel and 50 Weeks EMA, we might be in for more fall with supports at 23273, 22800 (Major Support Zone). If we get a weekly closing below 22800 we will fall totally into bear territory. In such a scenario bears can drag Nifty further down to 22025, 21294 or even near channel bottom of 20813. 20813 will again be a major Parallel chanel bottom support. Resistances on the upper side will be at 23442, 23938, 24525 and 24948 before we can reclaime 25K levels. Later in the year when we get a closing above 25K levels we may again face the 25782, 26277 previous Nifty peak will be major resistances. Nifty channel top post recovery seems to be at 27255. We may reach there in hopefully by mid or end H2 2025. Value Investors can start looking out for bottom fishing and value buying opportunities specially in the Large and selective mid and small caps.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 10/01/2025Today will be flat opening expected in nifty. After opening important level for nifty is 23500 level. In case nifty starts trading below this level then expected strong downside movement in index. Above this level expected nifty will consolidate in between range of 23550-23750 levels. Below 23500 level next support for nifty will be 23200 so 250-300+ points rally expected below this level.
NIFTY : Trading Plan and Levels for 10-Jan-2025
Introduction:
Nifty has been consolidating within a defined range, with 23,622 acting as immediate resistance and 23,490 providing opening support. The "No Trade Zone" marked around 23,557-23,622 highlights areas of indecision where price movement lacks clarity. This trading plan evaluates different opening scenarios, including gap-up, flat, and gap-down openings, considering a gap of 100+ points.
Scenarios for 10-Jan-2025:
Gap Up Opening (100+ Points Above 23,622):
If Nifty opens above 23,622:
Monitor Retest of 23,622: A retest and hold of this level can be a potential opportunity to go long, with the first target at 23,787 and a stretch target at 23,843. Place a stop loss below 23,600 to protect capital.
Failure to Hold 23,622: If the price fails to sustain above 23,622, expect a correction toward 23,557. Wait for a reversal signal before taking any fresh positions.
Options Trading Tip: For a gap-up opening, consider buying call options close to the money if 23,622 holds as support. Avoid buying options with low liquidity.
Flat Opening (Near 23,557):
If Nifty opens near 23,557:
Focus on Breakout or Breakdown: Let the price action settle for the first 30 minutes. A breakout above 23,622 offers a long opportunity, with targets at 23,787-23,843.
Break Below 23,490: A breach of 23,490 could lead to a bearish move toward 23,364. Avoid long positions unless there’s a recovery signal around 23,490.
Risk Management Tip: Use proper position sizing. Avoid risking more than 2% of your capital on any single trade.
Gap Down Opening (100+ Points Below 23,490):
If Nifty opens below 23,490:
Watch for Reversal at 23,364: This support zone may attract buyers. Look for bullish reversal patterns to go long, targeting 23,490.
Break Below 23,364: A breach below 23,364 could lead to a significant downside toward 23,251. Aggressive short positions can be taken only after confirmation with a stop loss above 23,364.
Options Trading Tip: For a bearish gap-down, consider buying put options near resistance levels or selling call spreads for a safer risk-reward ratio.
Summary and Conclusion:
Nifty’s price action around 23,622 and 23,490 will determine the market’s trend for the day. Avoid trading within the "No Trade Zone" (23,557-23,622) unless a clear breakout or breakdown is visible. Risk management is key, especially in volatile conditions. Always use stop losses and stick to your trading plan.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trades. Trade responsibly.
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 9th January 2025Nifty opened with a gap-up, faced resistance exactly at our buy level 23750 and came down. Nifty broke sell level 23640 around 10:15 and hit all our targets on downside.
We have seen recovery from 23500 levels in second half. Tomorrow, Buy Nifty if sustains above 23750 for the targets of 23800 and above marked level. On the other side, Sell Nifty if sustains below 23630 for the targets of 23580 and below marked level on the chart.
Expectations: Range-bound day
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 23750
Sell Below - 23630
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InvestPro India
Bearish or Bounce Ahead?
Here’s my detailed analysis and outlook for Nifty based on daily and weekly charts:
Daily Chart Insights
Trend:
Nifty is in a clear downtrend with lower highs and lows since breaking 24,000.
Currently consolidating near 23,500, which acts as a critical support zone.
Volume Profile:
High selling volume on down days shows persistent institutional pressure.
Buyers are defending 23,500, but no strong confirmation of reversal yet.
Key Levels:
Resistance:
23,800-23,850: Immediate resistance with heavy Call OI.
24,050: Higher timeframe resistance.
Support:
23,500: Immediate support.
23,400-23,350: Breach could lead to more downside.
Indicators:
RSI: Near oversold (~40), but no bullish divergence.
Moving Averages: Below 50-DMA and 200-DMA, confirming bearish momentum.
Weekly Chart Insights
Trend:
Downtrend continues, with Nifty failing to reclaim critical levels like 24,200.
Last week’s bearish candle shows sellers remain dominant.
Volume Profile:
Increased selling volume on red candles confirms institutional sell-off.
Buyers look weak below 23,500.
Key Levels:
Resistance:
24,000-24,200: Strong supply zone.
24,400: Major resistance for any upside rally.
Support:
23,400-23,350: Breakdown could lead to 23,000.
23,000: Psychological and historical support zone.
Indicators:
RSI: Around 35, nearing oversold territory but with downside room.
MACD: Bearish crossover confirms momentum on the downside.
Prediction for the Month
Bearish Case (High Probability):
Failure to reclaim 23,800 could continue the downtrend.
Breach of 23,500 may lead to:
Target 1: 23,350.
Target 2: 23,000.
Bullish Case (Low Probability):
Breakout above 23,800 could trigger a short-term rally:
Target 1: 24,050.
Target 2: 24,400.
Outlook:
The market remains moderately bearish for the next month unless strong buying emerges at 23,500 or a breakout above 23,800 occurs.
What’s your view? Let’s discuss!
Disclaimer: This is my personal analysis and not financial advice. Please trade responsibly.