Nifty Outlook for the remainder of the week 5th to 8th July 2022Market is trying to affirm the positivity for the time being and trying to make positive moves but facing resistance in the range of 15800 to 15950 range. It is once again making an attempt to bring about positivity but it can last only if the critical resistances around the specified range is crossed. Otherwise once again it will go downwards searching for supports.
Supports for Nifty remain at: 15776, 15671 and 15506. Below 15506 the Nifty can fall to the levels of 15342 or even 15183 levels.
Resistances on the upper side remain at: 15865, 15923, 16023. Crossing and holding above 16023 the Nifty can jump to 16174 or 16200+ levels.
Niftylevels
Nifty 50 Support and prediction levelsNext support level for nifty. Rebound is going to come from somewhere between 15310 - 15120 - 14900 level. This rebound will take nifty to level of 16000-16400 and next 3 months nifty will spend between the 15300-16400. By Sep - Oct nifty will make bottom at 14400-14300. There are lot of reasons technically
1. 20% correction from the top comes at 14900.
2. 15120 stands at .78 fib series of short term chart
3. Support level at 15300
Trading range after that would be 15300 - 16400. 16400 has been strong support level in the past which will become its resistance. Meanwhile nifty will struggle to cross 15700-15800 which will be very strong resistance on short term charts.
In near term nifty will time-pass between 15200 - 15800 range. This might go on for next 3 months i.e till sep. By sep a fresh and last round of downfall will lead nifty to level between 14380 - 14130 - 14000 and that is where nifty will start it's pullback rally. Rational behind it is:
1. 14380 is at .382 Fib series on long term charts.
2. Never in past nifty has breached .382 on long term charts
Nifty Trade Setup for 14th June. 2022Nifty 50 Index crashed 453 points on Monday amid a global sell-off triggered by fears that a fresh 40-year peak in US inflation will prompt Fed to hike interest rates more aggressively. The India VIX jumped 14.3 percent to settle at 22.4 on Monday, its biggest single-day jump in seven weeks.
Index once again could not hold onto the psychological levels of 16,000 and is on the verge of crucial support at 15,650-15,700 levels (Harmonic PRZ of XABCD). The index has almost retested the March 2022 low i.e. around 15,670 levels and its breakdown would pave the way for further decline towards 15,450 levels. In a matter of 7 trading sessions, the index has fallen nearly 1000 points, from the highs, in an impulsive down-move, and one should look for a pullback from around 16,000 levels for considering fresh short positions.
It is not easy to handle a Bear. Neither in the forests nor in the Markets. The market will be highly volatile, and Traders must look for a pinpoint entry for short positions. Moreover, the US Fed meeting on Wednesday would induce further volatility.
Nifty Trade Setup for 08th June. 2022The Nifty50 index extended losses for the third day to close a percent down yesterday, on caution ahead of the Reserve Bank of India’s monetary policy committee meeting outcome. As per our live trade set-up shared yesterday, Index made a dot reversal from ABCD PRZ level (16,346) but lacked momentum and traded in a range throughout the day thereafter. Even though the index reversed, only an option seller would have made money. That is why it’s important to choose the right segment.
Intraday
On a close-to-close basis, Index once again defended its strong support at 16,400/450 levels. The index has stopped making lower lows and broke the downward trendline resistance, activating the XABCD pattern with a potential target of 16,580 (if 16500 is broken and sustained). We will consider a short position only if the index sustains below 16,350 levels with a target of 16,270 (ABCD pattern on hourly TF). The index can also retest 16,000/50 levels if the negative sentiment continues.
Volatility is likely to persist and a clear direction may only emerge after the RBI policy outcome.
Nice setup for NIFTY.Market momentum is back for the time being as NIFTY has sustained above 16400-16495 zone which was a strong resistance. On Monday the market closed at 16664.1 which is just below another strong resistance zone of 16690 to 16753. Crossing this zone, we can see a rally up to 16900-17300 zone.
Resistance levels: 16690, 16753, 16959, 17100 and finally if the momentum sustains we can arrive up to the mega resistance of 17385.
Support Levels: 16500, 16219, 15913. The range between 15886 to 15700 is a mega support zone.
Nifty update for 30th May 2022In yet another week of consolidation, the Nifty 50 Index stayed in a broader range of 15,700-16,400, ending near the upper edge. The index is on the verge of taking out key resistance at 16,400. The volatility also declined during the week. India VIX fell by 7.01% to 21.48. The index has stayed in the same range for three weeks in a row now, and it is making visible attempts to inch higher.
The index has stopped making lower lows and formed a strong base at 15,700 levels (‘triple bottom’) and is currently trading near an important resistance of 16,400 – which will likely be broken with a gap up opening today and is expected to act as support going forward. Breakout of this level (after pullback) will confirm a trend reversal after a good accumulation phase. This will also activate the XABCD pattern with potential targets of 17,000 and 17500/600. If the index fails to sustain 16,400, it will go back to the range in which it has been trading for the last 3 weeks.
Nifty 50 Intraday Trade Setup for 23'rd May 2022 Index once again faced a strong rejection from 16,350 levels in the morning trade, which continues to be a hurdle. A short-term trend-reversal is possible only if the immediate resistance at 16,400(rounded off) is broken and sustained, which in turn will activate the ’XABCD’ pattern and can fuel a small rally towards 16,700-900 levels (Half Bat resistance also). The index has once again created a strong base for the 2nd time in this down move at 15,700 levels (‘triple bottom’). Base created previously at 17,000 levels could not be held on to, and the down-move continued. 16,400-15,700 is the critical range for the week. The intermediate trend remains negative, and we are currently in the pullback phase of the down-move.
Nifty 50 Trend AnalysisIt is moving inside a descending broadening wedge pattern inside a bigger descending broadening wedge pattern highlighted.
Expecting Nifty to hit 16630 level before the last dump towards 14920 level.
16630 level is at the confluence of 50 MA, trendline resistance and the top of the runaway gap which is going to get filled along with strong bearish divergence on Daily RSI.
I have highlighted some of the areas where NIFTY fell sharply after touching 50 MA.
I don't expect we are going below 14900 level because the lower edges of both the wedges and key support trendline are in confluence.
Other macroeconomic factors supporting my view are Dollar Index and INDIAVIX.
Both are expected to give the last push upside, which will mark the bottom for NIFTY 50 and other indices.
Do your own due diligence before taking any action.
Peace!!
Nifty Updates for Next week - 20th to 27th May 2022Nifty 50 Index crashed sharply on Thursday and lost over 2.6%, on the back of weak global cues. This was a sentiment-based fall led by the meltdown in the US markets, on the fear of aggressive rate hikes. Heavy selling was in the index majors across sectors wherein IT and metal majors were among the top losers. The index has once again completely reversed the recent gains and closed near March lows, forming a strong base around 15,650 levels (‘Triple Bottom’). On can look at the declining market as descending steps with the base of the step acting as a support, and we are currently at once such a strong base.
The index has been in a downtrend since April (making Lower Lows and highs) but has stopped making a new low (getting rejected 3 times). On a 2-week close to close basis Index has made violent moves both ways but is flat, indicating the indecision in the markets and giving an essential range to watch out for 16,350 – 15,650. A breakdown of the current support base will activate the ‘ABCD’ pattern and can take the index to 15,000 levels. Short-term trend-reversal is possible only if the immediate resistance at 16,350 is broken and sustained, which in turn will activate the ’XABCD’ pattern and can fuel a small rally towards 16,650-700 levels.
What to expect from this fall - NIFTY50 (Indian index)After today's gap down nifty back to range of 16000 resistance and 15650 support zone
Day trader will look to trade between this range on 400-500 pts.
15880-15850 to 15760-1730 will be the mid short range
Reversal can be considered only when the 100 Ema on hourly chart will be crossed and closed above (as per my analysis)
Will update further levels of the price goes beyond given levels
Share your opinion views in comment and if you like me to review any of your stock send the names in comment
Nifty Updates for Next week - 16th to 20th May 2022Nifty 50 Index ended lower for the sixth straight session on Friday, reversing from earlier gains. The index logged its fifth straight week of losses, the longest weekly losing streak since the Covid-19 crash, breaking the critical psychological level of 16,000. India’s retail inflation came in at an 8-year high, and RBI indicated its intent to get the repo rate back to pre-Covid levels, adding fuel to the already weak global cues. India VIX also shot up to 23.48, indicating the fear in the markets.
Week ahead
The index has been in the downtrend since April last week, making lower lows/highs, facing the downward trendline resistance. After breaking the 16,000 index made an impulsive down-move and took support near the 15,700 level. A short pullback was sold into, facing resistance at the half-bat pattern (16,070), which will now act as a major hurdle. Short-term trend reversal will be possible only if this level is broken and sustained. A break above this hurdle will see the rise extending up to 16,400. A breakdown and retest of current levels will activate the ‘ABCD’ pattern, which can take the index to 15,400 levels. 16100-15700 is the important range to look out for the week.
As the result season nears its last leg, markets will focus more on global cues to determine its direction. In India, WPI figures are expected to be released, and the most awaited IPO, LIC will be listed on the bourse during the upcoming week. Will the market bottom out? or are we here for more pain? Follow us for real-time updates as the week progresses.
Nifty 50 Updates for next weekAfter consolidating for two weeks between 16,800-17,500 levels, Nifty 50 Index finally broke the range and continued to fall sharply, triggered mainly by surprise interest rate hike by the RBI, hawkish commentary from US Fed and mixed corporate results. The short-term trend has turned bearish and it is likely that markets can further slide lower. The volatility climbed above the 21 mark again, indicating that the trend may be in favour of bears.
Week ahead
The range break during previous week has triggered ABCD (as discussed in previous weeks analysis) and XABCD Patterns. Index has formed a doji candle on the daily charts, after a significant fall and the breakdown and retesting of PDL of 16,350 will fuel fresh down-move with targets (PRZs) of 16,200 and 16,000 (Key support) respectively. One can look for a reversal in shorter timeframe in this strong demand zone. Any pullback rally is possible only if 16,500 levels is sustained with resistances at 16,650 and 16,800 (Strong resistance). Pullbacks may be short-lived as we are currently in a ‘sell-on-rise markets’ and one should keep trailing profits or keep targets small on the long side. 16,000-16,800 is the likely range for the Index in the upcoming week and volatility is expected to remain high. Carrying unhedged positions may be risky because of the gap downs / ups and its advisable to keep the position size low.
On the news front, Markets will react to RIL results in early trade on Monday. US, China and domestic inflation numbers, Data on India's industrial output, and manufacturing output will keep Indian markets on edge. Follow us for real-time updates as the week progresses.
Brilliant Recovery By Nifty. Imp support and resistance levels.Nifty closed 151.75 above days low. although the day ended in negative as Nifty closed at 17069 but the fact that Nifty took support above 200 days EMA is heart warming for investors. Follow up candles and what happens in the coming days is important as US Fed meets later this week and there are important upcoming announcements for global Central banks later this months.
Important Support Levels will be: 16917, 16867, 16788 and 16554.
Important Resistance levels will be: 17099, 17375, 17442 and 17650.
Nifty is in down trendPrimary Trend for a week on a 15 min time frame is uptrend. But last 1 one hour of previous trading day there was a huge selling. Nifty has fallen about 300 points and closed at 17111.06 that is below near weekly pivot of 17102.55.
Nifty is trading between 16800 to 17400 for 2 weeks. Everytime it broken 17000 on lower side it took support around 16800 to 16900 and bounced back to 17000. In previous fall there was a support around these levels that's holding the nifty from falling.
Because of weakness in global markets SGX nifty indicating open gapdown about 200points at 16900. That is Far below daily pivot of 17177.82 and weekly pivot of 1722.97