Nifty 50: Projected Growth Path to 34,500 by 2027 – Key DriversMy projection of Nifty50 reaching 21,500 and then gradually climbing to 34,500 by September 2027 suggests a long-term bullish scenario for the Indian equity market. This type of projection can be influenced by various factors:
Key Considerations for the Journey:
1) Economic Growth :
India's GDP growth trajectory will play a major role. Sustained economic expansion, driven by infrastructure projects, digital adoption, and manufacturing, could fuel market growth.
Global capital inflow into emerging markets like India due to favorable growth prospects might also support this rise.
2) Corporate Earnings :
A robust increase in corporate profitability will be critical. If sectors like IT, banking, infrastructure, and energy witness strong earnings growth, it will push the index higher.
3) Institutional Participation :
Continued investment by Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) could provide consistent upward momentum.
4) Policy Support :
Pro-business government reforms, favorable monetary policy, and stable inflation could act as catalysts.
Regulatory support from entities like SEBI ensuring market transparency and investor confidence would bolster market growth.
5) Global Markets and Trade :
Stability in global markets, alongside favorable geopolitical conditions, will be important.
Trade relations and global commodity prices (e.g., crude oil) might significantly influence this trajectory.
Risks to Watch :
Geopolitical tensions, global economic slowdown, or sharp interest rate hikes by central banks could derail this optimistic scenario.
Overvaluations might lead to corrections if fundamentals don't keep pace.
Niftylong
Hi-Tech PipesHi-Tech Pipes: potential for swing trade.
1) 6 month base, broken out with good volume, now falling on low volume.
2) High Relative strength Vs #CNX500
3) Wait for bullish price action and volume confirmation around 170
4) Reasonably good earnings on past quarters
5) FII holding increased
6) Good DII holding
Nifty Analysis for Monday 29 july 2024Nifty created sharp upside momentum in last 2 days, it's ultimate goal is 25000.
So I am providing highest probability intraday setup in Nifty50
My overview is bullish in nifty for Monday... it will good if Market opens gapdown or flat & creates a selling swing in first 30-45 mins then after creating a support price will bounce.
If Market opens gapup or flat and moves upside in first 30-45 min. then there is a very less probability of continuation so if Market creates M pattern then selling swing will be expected and intraday low break is min. expected.
NIFTY Pre - Budget Surge : Caution Ahead...!Hello Traders,
I hope you are all thriving both in your trading endeavors and in life. Today, I bring you an exciting opportunity with a new analysis of NIFTY that's poised for a significant move. Our in-depth analysis reveals that...
NSE:NIFTY
As anticipated and previously mentioned, the past week ended on a negative note (pre-Budget). This week holds the potential for new highs. However, caution is advised, as this will likely be the final move in the sequence that began on October 23, 2023. It is prudent to brace for an impending correction.
Here are the technical details:
I. Resistance I: 24,854.80 ~ 24,910 (conj. Extended trend line from March 20, 2023)
II. Resistance II: 25,120 (Extended trend line from June 1, 2022)
III. Resistance III: 25,460 (Extended trend line from January 24,2024).
***Please note that these values are not actual but indicative levels of support and resistance.
A Gann ideology is that , the move from October 26, 2023 is also facing a time resistance of 270 days (90*3) which is an important number not to consider it lightly.
Furthermore, for the move from March 20, 2023 it is 490 days (360+90+45 or 135) which is also an additional reason factored in to be more cautious!
Following this, the market is expected to take a breather, with profit booking potentially dragging the markets to deeper levels before any new uptrend is initiated (The correction in monthly scale can be anticipated). Further details will be discussed as the market evolves.
Strategy:
Being bullish at this juncture seems prudent, only till R II (for conservative / Defensive) & RIII (for Pro-active / Enterprising).
Disclaimer: Before we conclude, I want to remind everyone that the insights shared here are based on my own analysis. It's crucial that you perform your own research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The financial markets are dynamic, and it's important to ensure that your strategies align with your personal financial goals and risk tolerance.
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Dear Traders,
If you appreciate my work, please don’t forget to like and follow me. I would also love to hear your thoughts on this idea in the comments section and will be delighted to respond to each one.
Thank you for reading the article.
HAPPY TRADING
Nifty_Intraday (11-Jul-2024)The image you provided is a TradingView screenshot showing a 15-minute candlestick chart of the Nifty 50 index from July 9 to July 11. This chart features several technical details:
Date and Time: The chart includes timestamps, helping to track price movements throughout the trading days depicted.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): A 20-period EMA is plotted, which helps in determining the trend and potential support or resistance areas.
Trading Signals:
-Buy Signal: There's a green arrow pointing upwards with the annotation "Buy Above 24375 Tgt Open for 24500+". This indicates a potential bullish breakout strategy where buying is recommended above 24,375 with an open target extending towards 24,500 or beyond.
-Sell Signal: A red arrow points downwards with the annotation "Sell Below 24250 Tgt 24000-". This suggests a bearish strategy recommending selling below 24,250 aiming for a target around 24,000.
Understanding the Bullish Momentum in S&P CNX NIFTY: AnalysisUnderstanding the Bullish Momentum in S&P CNX NIFTY: A Detailed Analysis
The S&P CNX NIFTY, a crucial benchmark index in the Indian stock market, is currently exhibiting significant bullish momentum. With its spot price hovering around 22,957.1, close to the pivotal 23,000 strike price, there’s a clear indication of robust market activity and investor confidence. In this blog, we’ll delve into the specifics of this movement, examining the data on traded contracts, open interest, and changes in call options, to provide a comprehensive understanding of what this means for traders and investors.
Key Data Points
- **Spot Price:** 22,957.1
- **Strike Price:** 23,000
- **Max Traded Contracts:** 4,860,989
- **Call Open Interest (OI) (All Strike Prices):** 98,551.95 K
- **Call Turnover % Change (All Strike Prices):** 152.79%
- **Call Contracts % Change (All Strike Prices):** 150.70%
- **% Change in OI (All Strike Prices):** 62.43%
Breaking Down the Numbers
Spot Price vs. Strike Price
The spot price of the S&P CNX NIFTY is at 22,957.1, just shy of the 23,000 strike price. This proximity to a significant psychological and technical level suggests that traders are closely watching this threshold. It often acts as a key battleground for bulls and bears, influencing trading strategies and market sentiment.
Maximum Traded Contracts
A whopping 4,860,989 contracts traded at the 23,000 strike price underscores the high trading activity and interest. This volume signifies that a large number of traders are actively participating at this level, betting on the direction of the NIFTY.
Call Open Interest (OI)
With call open interest standing at 98,551.95 K across all strike prices, there’s a clear indication that traders are predominantly taking long positions in call options. This high open interest reflects expectations of further price increases, as call options provide the right to buy at a predetermined price, benefiting from upward movements.
Surge in Call Turnover
The 152.79% increase in call turnover points to a significant rise in the value of call options traded. This surge is likely driven by increased buying activity, suggesting a strong bullish sentiment. Traders are willing to pay more for call options, anticipating that the NIFTY will continue its upward trajectory.
Increase in Call Contracts
The number of call contracts traded has jumped by 150.70%. This substantial increase reinforces the bullish sentiment, indicating that more traders are entering the market with a positive outlook. The rise in call contracts suggests growing confidence in the market’s upward potential.
Change in Open Interest
The open interest has risen by 62.43%, showing that a large number of new positions are being created. This increase in OI is a strong signal of market engagement, with traders committing capital in anticipation of further price movements. High open interest typically correlates with increased liquidity and market depth.
Conclusion
The data paints a picture of a bullish market sentiment for the S&P CNX NIFTY. The close proximity of the spot price to the 23,000 strike price, coupled with high trading volumes and significant increases in call turnover, contracts, and open interest, all point towards a market poised for upward movement. Traders and investors are clearly optimistic about the NIFTY’s prospects, positioning themselves for potential gains as the index approaches and potentially surpasses the 23,000 mark.
Market Sentiment and Future Outlook
The bullish outlook on the NIFTY could be driven by several factors, including strong economic indicators, positive corporate earnings, or favorable market conditions. However, it’s essential for investors to remain vigilant, considering broader market trends and potential risks. While the data suggests optimism, market dynamics can shift rapidly, influenced by global events and domestic policies.
Disclaimer
This analysis is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Understanding market trends and data is crucial, but so is considering your risk tolerance and investment goals.
By keeping an eye on these indicators and understanding the underlying market sentiment, traders and investors can make more informed decisions, leveraging the bullish momentum of the S&P CNX NIFTY to their advantage.
Nifty What ifs? it is 2004 again / seats are close to 400. Last phases of election are going on the result will be declared on 4th June the talk of the town is what will happen to Nifty if election is won by someone who is expected to win the general elections in India and what will happen if the results are unexpected. We can not predict elections and we can not predict how the Nifty will behave but certainly the charts which are representations of human emotions tell us a story and give us projections which we have seen are very close to being accurate. We have taken the help of Fibonacci retracement and parallel channel to help us understand where human emotions can lead Nifty to.
Scenario 1) 2004 (History repeats itself)(Thunder seldom strikes twice in the same place but what if?)
Let us talk about unexpected scenario like what happened in 2004. In this case market will definitely market will take a hit. The support levels for Nifty in such a case will be 20391. 20391 happens to be our channel bottom additionally it is also a Fibonacci support.
If the Nifty falls below 20391 which it potentially can as investor emotions rather than valuations will take precedence the next support will be at 18688. In case 18688 will not hold (which is unlikely) worst case scenario as of now is Mother line support 50 Months EMA is at 17358. (This is what chart tells me as of now). In case of hung parliament / policy paralysis / War like situation at border and major internal strife Nifty may even fall to 15471.)
In short there will be a lot of wealth erosion initially but nevertheless market will stabilize and upward journey will definitely begin once again if the euphoria of loss settles down. As companies will adjust / adapt and keep performing. The show will go on. When Trump lost US experts were saying that US market will have a free fall but against all odds US markets saw new highs in Biden term. Always remember that markets are unpredictable.
Scenario 2) Seats are close to 350 or 400.
The Euphoria and mad valuations in some stock might continue for a while but surely there will be Profit Booking fall sooner than later. The Major Nifty Resistance is near 23608 which also happens to be a mid channel resistance. That can be a potential point of profit booking. If we get a closing above 23608 which is less likely in near term, but you never say never. Or whenever in future we get a closing above 23608. This will open the doors for long term target of 27K. In 4/5 years time the best case scenario seems to be Nifty between 27 and 30K.
Scenario 3) Seats are between 250 and 300. It will be victory or close to victory nevertheless it has potential to damage emotions of the investors and profit booking cycle can begin right then and there. 21376 or 20391 is possible even in such a scenario. Eventually when dust will settle and valuations are affordable again Nifty will restart it's journey towards 23608 in this case.
I hope that the above Technical analysis will help you in bracing yourself for impact on D-day that is 4th June. Even if the landing is going to be smooth airlines always asks us to wear seat belts. In cars also we wear seat belts for safety. On bike we are supposed to wear helmets. What are all these equipment for? Safety.
Safety mechanism of Stock market is Stop loss and Trailing stop loss. Keep them in a proper place whether it is scenario 1, 2 or 3. It will save you in case of scenario 1 or 3. Incase it is scenario 2 some of your stop losses may be hit and then the stock will run upward but remember it will be loss in profit. Loss in profit is better than loss. No one in the world has become a pauper by keeping stop losses.
Disclaimer: There is a chance of biases including confirmation bias, information bias, halo effect and anchoring bias in this write-up. Investment in stocks, derivatives and mutual funds is subject to market risks, please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data, chart and other information provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. The names of the stocks or index levels of spot Nifty mentioned in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any sorts.
Analysis for Nifty Swing Position
We have a Fresh 3H Demand which is the Source of the Uptrend till the Destination Fresh Weekly Supply.
Further in lower timeframe we will check for a confirmation
We see how the price has been moving making new lows ands new Highs until it reaches the 3H Demand and after reacting to the 3H Demand we see that Price has violated its previous high and now we also have a fresh Demand in 1H chart.
This 1H Demand is the Potential Trade Demand with an Amazing Reward to Risk Ratio.
But the Price where it reaches the Weekly Supply we are looking for a big downward move from this Weekly Supply hence make sure to exit on time.
See you on the other side, NIFTY!There is one significant support that has to be protected this week. Any retracement will have to be absorbed around this area and Nifty will gather steam to revisit OR perhaps even break ATH. 22800 in FUT is where bears have big orders. Let's see what happens when we retest that area to eat up all those orders.
FINPIPE long for swing tradeThis chart for swing position if chart time frame daily then period 01 to 03 month. or 1H to 4H then 01 to 10 days .
All instructions are given upper on chart . as a all level order, entry, exit.
Its not a call tips advisory only for education purpose. Your position your self care.
Detailed Weekly Analysis for Nifty.
This is the Monthly chart to understand the biggest picture for Swing positions.
This is a Potential Weekly Demand which has the power to turn around the game in the buyers side. Now in order to reach this Demand Price needs to reach some Supply and then retrace down into this Weekly Demand.
Further down in Daily chart we see there is a "Violated Daily Demand", this clearly indicates Sellers have just become more powerful and we also have a Fresh Daily Supply which is a Source Supply for a Downtrend till the Weekly Demand shown in the 1st figure.
This is the Demand Supply Equilibrium Curve from potential Daily Supply to Potential Weekly Demand, wait for the Price to reach the Daily Supply and further the Curve tells us where the Price is on the curve and accordingly decide the Trade.
NIFTY--Bull & Bear Trap?? Liquidity & More Liquidity ??Price is closed near the Support zone at 22000 levels...
we are still left with the liquidity below 21850 levels.
Bear Trap::
what happens if the liquidity cannot be done now...
If this time price failed to push downside more chances of fall below 21850 levels from topside.
If price opens up and continue to move upside there will be one more fall from the topside.
then the price won't respect the neckline as well, just gives pull back if possible, and eliminate all shorts, and it will continue its momentum towards top levels.
Those who are carrying the puts this time price manipulation done, by taking the price towards upside.
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Bull Trap::
When bear trap happens,
then price closing is given near the resistance levels,
then this time every one thinks that price is unable to break the bottom side,
so it is still in bullish and everyone then looks for long side.. by keeping the stop loss at 21850 levels, which is failed to break now.
this time price clears the stop losses at 21850 and again showing bullishness, this is pullback for short side continuation and again falls to grab all the liquidity below 21500 levels.
Sell setup::
look for short side when price comes to these area at Right Shoulder. If don't at least take care from this levels before long side.
A strong Bearishness is observed from the 22400 levels...
the right shoulder is strong one, after the liquidity grab on topside above Right shoulder, price again turns to be bearish.
and price comes to the downwards with strong bearishness mostly gap down occurs.
this time price breaks the 21850 levels and grabs all the liquidity.
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Points::
1.If we see the chart not only price forms a head and Shoulders in lower time frame also in Higher time frame as well.
2.price broken the trendline as well.
Nifty50 Daily Chart Analysis as of February 23, 2024 Nifty50 Daily Chart Analysis as of February 23, 2024
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and this is not financial advice. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Overall:
The Nifty 50 closed at 22,213 on February 23, 2024, marginally down by 0.02% from the previous day's close.
Despite the minor dip, the index has been on an upward trajectory since February 19th, gaining around 1.3% in the last five days.
This positive movement suggests a potential bullish trend, supported by a healthy recovery from the 21-day EMA and higher highs formation.
Key Technical Indicators / Technical Analysis:
The Nifty 50 is in an overall uptrend.
Moving Averages: The Nifty 50 is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a possible uptrend in the near future.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently at 53.8, indicating that the index is neither overbought nor oversold. This suggests that there could be further upside potential.
MACD: The MACD is currently above the signal line, indicating a bullish momentum. The MACD indicator is positive, indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend in the medium to long term.
The Nifty 50 is currently trading above its 20-day and 50-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), indicating a bullish trend.
Key observations:
The Nifty has been following a trendline since January 20, 2024, suggesting a potential upside.
The 22,150-22,200 range remains a major resistance zone, while 21,000 is a crucial support level.
A breach above 22,300 could lead to further gains towards 22,500 and 22,600.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: The immediate hurdle for the Nifty 50 is seen at 22,300, followed by 22,500.
Immediate Support: The immediate support is at 22,000, with a crucial level at 21,875, which coincides with the 20-day EMA and Thursday's low.
Expert Opinions:
Several technical analysts believe that the Nifty 50 has formed a bullish reversal pattern on the daily chart, suggesting a potential move above 22,500.
However, some experts caution that the 22,300 level could be a significant short-term obstacle and recommend waiting for a confirmation breakout before taking any aggressive positions.
Overall, the technical analysis of the Nifty 50 Daily Chart as of February 23, 2024, suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook. While the index faces some immediate hurdles, the overall trend appears to be bullish. Investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and investment goals before making any trading decisions.
Important to remember:
This information is based on past data and should not be considered financial advice.
Market conditions can change rapidly, and it is important to do your own research before making any investment decisions.
I hope this information is helpful. Please let me know if you have any other questions.
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and this information should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
NIFTY--Impulse-Correction?? A Strong impulse wave is identified in NIFTY.
Wait for the corrective wave to continue its direction or reversal.
After corrective wave will decide further direction of NIFTY.
Now it is at Resistance zone.
will see tomorrow outside bearish candle or Outside bullish candle forms.
Because liquidity lies on both sides.
Until price breaks the 21800 levels no short side view.