Nifty facing a trendline resistance near 21800.Nifty is facing a trendline resistance near 21800. 22000 seems to be the top for the current hourly parallel channel with a strong resistance near 21800 and 21891. There are various levels of support for the Nifty from the current level are 21676, 21597, 21526 (Strong Support 50 hours EMA), 21397 and 21239 (Channel bottom). Either 20995 or 20883 can be the turning point or reversal points closing below which current bull rally can end.
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Nifty stopped at Mid-Channel resistance of hourly channelNifty today stopped at mid-channel resistance of hourly channel. holding above 50 hours EMA (Mother Line) was a significant step in recovery towards recent high that Nifty made earlier this month. Supports for Nifty 50 remain at 21302 and 21258 (Major support - 50 hours EMA) mother line. If we get a closing next week below 21258 the Nifty can fall further to 21113 or 20980 levels. Trend can change to negative if we get a closing below 20777. Bear can awaken from coma if and only if we get a closing below 20641 (200 Hours EMA)(Father Line). Resistances on the way up will be at 20397, 21483 and previous high around 21593.
The Resistance zone of 19826 to 19877 stops the Nifty rallylast week we identified the zone between 19816 and 19877 as the critical résistance zone. This is exactly the zone which has stopped Nifty from growing further and going further the full week. For our march towards 20K+ levels closing above 19877 is very important. Last weeks estimations were based on hourly chart of Nifty. This week in the daily chart you can see that Nifty is squeezing within a triangle and can give a breakout on either side. From the looks of it the breakout might be on the upper side only but some unwanted event on the Global scale (New illness in China or some event that violates the probable ceasefire in Gaza) can taper the upward trajectory so one needs to be watchful. Nifty resistances same as last week are same the zone between 19817 to 19877. Post that the next resistance will be near 19984 and 20049. Supports on the lower side in case something major spoils the part will be 19702, 19581 and 19533.
Good Closing to the week. Light may shine in Muhurat trading.A very good candle to close the week by Nifty on Friday. In general, there is good buying on the Muhurat day. In addition to this markets in US and seems to be closing on a strong footing in US. All this can lead to a bumper Muhurat day session and the following week can also shine with positivity in this festivity adding more glitter to the festival of lights. Resistances on the upper side remain at 19444 (Looks like this resistance can be leapfrogged). Further resistances will be near 19582, 19695 and finally 19860. Supports on the lower side will be near 19316 and 19221. (The zone between 19316 and 19221 is a strong support zone now). Below this level 19078 and 18873 will be the final supports.
Nifty Weekly Outlook. As expected Nifty took support from 200 days EMA (Father Line) and jumped 190 points. We are not out of woods yet as the resistance levels in front of us now are 19097, 19366 and 19524 (Major resistance). Supports for Nifty are near 18832 and 18557. Falling below 18557 Nifty can crash further to 18333 levels. It is important for Nifty now to give a confirmation reversal candle on Monday. If we get a Green confirmation candle on Monday we can finally say that Nifty has bottomed out of the Middle East crisis. So Monday and Tuesday closing will be important for further recovery.
Reverse Head and Shoulder pattern forming in Nifty (Positive)On a closer look at the Nifty hourly chart and smart recovery from the lows of the day, it seems that Nifty is forming a 'Reverse Head and Shoulder' pattern. This is very effective and very positive pattern. This pattern will come into effect if we get a daily closing above 19851 or thereabouts. The supports on the lower side for Nifty will be at 19712, 19600 and 19481. Resistances on the upper side are at 19851, 19891, 19942 and 20009.
Nifty Just above Major Support Zone. Nifty is just above a major support zone if this support which is a very strong one is broken then we can see further weakness in Nifty. This week is crucial for Nifty. The supports for Nifty are near 19264 (Major Support). 19000, 18900 and Finally the zone between 18400 to 18372 (which seems to be a worst case scenario but is only if 19264 and 19000 are broken. (It will not be easy for bears to achieve this. On the upper side if Nifty jumps from the current support the resistances can be near 19513, 19631, 19786 and finally 19991.
Critical Final Support Zone For Nifty has arrived. Critical Support Zone For Nifty has arrived. This support zone is between the low of today that is 19412 and 19299.This zone has potential to support Nifty and empower it to cross 200 and 50 hours EMA which are at 19470 and 19538 respectively. Bullish sentiment can return only after closing above 19538. Crossing 19538 the next resistance for Nifty can be near 19597 and 19645. Closing above 19645 will then give psychological edge to the Bulls who will try to pull Nifty above 19800 and eventually 20K+. Closing below 19299 can change the trend in favour of Bears.
Very interestingly placed Nifty respecting a critical support. Very interestingly placed Nifty respecting a critical support of 19296. The zone between 19296 and 19174 is a good strong support zone for Nifty. If this zone will be broken the Nifty can open floodgate for bears and take the index towards 18883, 18440 or 18268 in the worst case scenario. However the strength shown on Friday should be seen as buoyancy of Indian markets which will attempt to take Nifty upwards. In such a case the next resistances will be near 19530, 19677, 19871, recent high of 19991.85 and finally towards new high and channel top near 20234. First 2 days of the week will decide the mood of reminder of the week or perhaps the full month.
Nifty near an important support. Nifty is near an important zone which can potentially give it support and help it to re-launch the rally. If this zone between 19626 and 19599 is broken next important support will be at 19223 which is a major trend-line support. Welow it we will have 50 days EMA at 19085. The Bull stay in control till we dont get a weekly closing below 19085. 19085 to 18201 is a fierce battle zone of bulls and bears. Bears take control below 18201.Right now we are not looking at that conflict till the Nifty stays above 19021. Resistances for Nifty on the upper side are near 19792, 19991 and 20116.
First Signals of Bull Rally cooling down.The 1.17% negative fall in stock market today courtesy weak guidance for 2024 by Infosys set the cat amongst the pigeons and profit booking in major sectoral indices lead by IT started. Capital goods and PSUs index were trying to provide some support and respite to the Nifty. On weekly chart the zone between 18887 and 50 weeks EMA which is at 18000 looks like major support zone. Before Nifty reaches this zone there will also be supports at 19565 and 19117. In the worst case scenario of some major bad news 16856 and 200 Weeks EMA of Nifty which is near 15566 can also provide major support. (Highly unlikely Nifty reaches there but you never know). Resistance on the upper side for Nifty remain at 19747 and 19991. Long term target for Nifty is first 20002 and then 21035.
Channel Top Resistance Approaching For NiftyNifty has yet again reached the region from where channel top is near by. Channel top resistance can be in the range of today's peak that is 19595 to somewhere in the range of 19661. Supports for Nifty in case of fall will remain near 19464, 19422 (50 Hours EMA), 19360 (Mid-channel support), 19233 and final major support is near 19133. Closing below 19037 and channel bottom around 19000 will awaken the bares and will have potential to change the trend.
Nifty Dives below 50 hours EMA After Failing to Conquer ATH. Nifty Nose-Dived below 50 hours EMA After Failing to Conquer All Time High which was within the touching distance. The factors responsible for the fall can be attributed to Hawkish stance of FED before July FOMC. Hawkish stance of global Central banks and Profit booking near all time high. Relative Strength Index of Nifty (RSI) also needed some cooling down.
50 Hours EMA is working as an important resistance now and today low of 18647 will be important support for Monday. If the support at 18647 is broken Nifty can languish upto bottom of current channel and 200 Hours EMA which is near 18554. If Nifty closes below 18554 final support for Bulls is near 18421 closing below which bears will spring back to life.
Nifty retreated after coming within touching distance of ATHNifty retreated after coming within touching distance of All time high. Perhaps it will check the box after one more push or rally within rally. Within every Bull run there are phases where Index or a stock cools down its RSI (relative strength index). Similarly Within every bear run there will be phases when market will be oversold and stock rises to balance RSI.
This particular fall of Nifty can be considered one such pullback within the bear run. The Bull run reverses or bears take over if Nifty gives a daily closing below 18169.(This will be key major support). Other than that support and resistances are as under:
Nifty Supports: 18555, 18512, 18465, 18402 and 18354.
Nifty Resistances: 18601, 18649, 18721 and finally 18778.
Good Closing on Friday, positive to start the new week expected.Due to Good Closing on Friday, positive to start the new week can be expected. We might have a positive gap up start on Friday if there is no negative news on the global or local level during the weekend. The resistances to look forward to are 18600, 18662 and finally 18742. Long term targets are 18887 and 19200+ levels. Supports at the same time remain at 18488, 18325 and finally 18048. closing below 18048 has potential to handover the control of the rally to the Bears.
Strong Close by Nifty on Friday.Nifty has given a strong closing on Friday by closing above the Mid Channel line. The nifty has given a close just below a strong resistance of 18509. 18509 was high of Friday above which the Nifty could not close. One way to avoid this resistance would be to open gap up on Monday. If we open gap up on Monday above 18509 levels, the next resistance will be at 18562, 18601 and 18678. Supports on the lower side will be at 18460, 18389, 18324 (50 Hours EMA) and 18197. Below 18197 Final support will be 200 Hour EMA at 18101. Below 18101 Bears will regain the control. If by chance during the week or later this month or next month we get a closing below 18101 trend can change into negative.
Soft Landing of Nifty after Karnataka Election Results. Nifty made a soft landing after Karnataka Election results. Despite Global markets performing well Nifty had a subdued week. After starting the week well, the rally simply could not sustain the upper levels and continued to slide.
Bollinger Band and Daily chart technical analysis shows Friday low of 18060 and 18107.5 as strong support for Spot Nifty. Below these levels if 18060 broken Nifty can slide further to 17873 and 17636. The zone between 17636 and 17675 is strong support buffer zone. Resistance on the upper side will be at 18293, 18458 and 18539.
Nifty Short Term Outlook NIFTY is approximately 3% away from the top. Question on minds of most investors is: When will Nifty make a new high by crossing this Crossing this 3% hurdle. Crossing this 3% hurdle will not be easy in my opinion, unless all FII, DII and Retail investors participate in the ongoing rally. Rally has hit the resistance zone now.
It was a good week but going ahead Nifty will have to conquer 4 major resistances. These 4 Resistances are at 18393, 18474, 18609 and 18715. In case these resistances are not crossed there are chances of rally to fizzle out with supports at 18185 and 18053. 18053 is a major support.
Below 18053 bears will start calling shots. If we get a weekly closing below 18053 the next support zone will be between 17793 and 17529 (Final Major support). Below 17529 bears will be in full control again.
Panic selling on Friday but Nifty closed above critical support.Market Outlook For The Next Week:
It was a volatile week which saw ups and downs. Downs mainly due to huge sell off in HDFC Twins due to the rebalancing news of MSCI Index. The fall also cooled down RSI which has come down substantially. Closing of Nifty well above critical support level of 18029 shows that strength still might be left in NIFTY to rally again a bit further next week. Support and Resistance levels for Nifty for Next week are under.
Nifty Support Levels: 18055, 18029, 17936 and finally 17843.
Nifty Resistance levels: 18172, 18216, 18268 and finally 18425.
Strength of the rally to be tested next week.After the much awaited break out of Nifty which was playing in the range between 17900 and 16900 it is the time for the strength of the rally to be tested. Nifty has to battle some important resistance next week to sail further upwards. All eyes will also be on FOMC meet of US Federal Reserves on 2nd May 2023. I don't want to sound pessimistic but everyone should note that this event has potential to become a party spoiler. (Looks less likely though as rally has crossed some important resistances but you can never really decouple your economy from what happens globally).
Important Supports For The next week: 17973, 17878, 17779 and finally the strong buffer zone of 17473 to 17687. (This buffer zone has multiple supports including 50 Weeks EMA, 50 and 200 days EMA in addition to some other supports).
Important Resistances: 18140, 18268, 18397 and 18481.
Spot Nifty At A Critical Juncture.Market Outlook
The Nifty is poised at a cross road and a critical resistance. Either it can defy the resistance and continue rising further or it can consolidate a bit in the range of 100/ 200 points on either side and consolidate it’s position. Nifty consolidating first and then rallying further will be more logical but Stock market is not the place which obeys reasoning and logic most of the times. Either it becomes too worried or it becomes too fearless and greedy. We investors try to find equilibrium and rationale in the place which often defies laws of consistency in the short term. In the long term everything works fine and falls in a deserving place.
Spot Nifty Resistance Zones: 17851, 18004, 18126 and 18267.
Spot Nifty Support Zones: 17780, 17713, 17532(Strong Short Term Support), 17311(Final Short Term Support).
How much more Fizz left in the rally? The main question that is springing in every mind is that how much more Fizz is left in the rally? Is it a genuine back to bull market rally or should we consider it a relief rally only? We will know only if the critical resistance are crossed in the coming week/weeks.
Nifty Critical Resistances: 17639, 17720, 17804 (Major Resistance) ,18066, 18136, 18207 and finally 18292 (Major Resistance) .
Nifty Critical Support Zones: 17515, 17482, 17402, 17309 and finally 17210.
Market Outlook for 3rd to 7th April 2023. After consolidating for about 2 weeks Nifty Finally had a shackle breaking close to the week and month in the last couple of days where momentum totally changed and both FIIs and DIIs turned buyers simultaneously. While the closing of Nifty is good, a major resistance zone of 50 and 200 days EMA between 17478 and 17515 is there to be crossed. If this zone is crossed there will be another major resistance near 17618 which will be tough to cross. If we are able to cross 17618 Nifty will face a trend line channel top resistance near 17817. Bulls can be in full control only after these zones are crossed. Supports on the lower side now remain at 17300, 17204 and 17080. Let us hope that bulls can carry the momentum through to the next month and next financial year.