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Niftyoptions

NIFTY - A clear Swing correctionAs mentioned before the logic remains valid for today. the market is expected to inch higher to the levels mentioned below & after which the correction progresses. The levels RI - 23,526 (1.382 FE) R II - 23,580 ~ 23,598 (TL (mid) Intersection - very strong); a SHORT trade here is rewarding!!! RIII - 23,636 (1.414 FE); highly unlikely to be tested in this move SL: Any surge above 23,640 will make the trade void (however, the confidence is so strong that this will not be the case). TP: will be updated in succeeding posts(the presence of ambiguity due to 2 possibilities, progression in correction will help to sort it out!). Trade accordingly
NSE:NIFTYShort
by WDG_Dinesh_Gengarajan
Understanding the Bullish Momentum in S&P CNX NIFTY: AnalysisUnderstanding the Bullish Momentum in S&P CNX NIFTY: A Detailed Analysis The S&P CNX NIFTY, a crucial benchmark index in the Indian stock market, is currently exhibiting significant bullish momentum. With its spot price hovering around 22,957.1, close to the pivotal 23,000 strike price, there’s a clear indication of robust market activity and investor confidence. In this blog, we’ll delve into the specifics of this movement, examining the data on traded contracts, open interest, and changes in call options, to provide a comprehensive understanding of what this means for traders and investors. Key Data Points - **Spot Price:** 22,957.1 - **Strike Price:** 23,000 - **Max Traded Contracts:** 4,860,989 - **Call Open Interest (OI) (All Strike Prices):** 98,551.95 K - **Call Turnover % Change (All Strike Prices):** 152.79% - **Call Contracts % Change (All Strike Prices):** 150.70% - **% Change in OI (All Strike Prices):** 62.43% Breaking Down the Numbers Spot Price vs. Strike Price The spot price of the S&P CNX NIFTY is at 22,957.1, just shy of the 23,000 strike price. This proximity to a significant psychological and technical level suggests that traders are closely watching this threshold. It often acts as a key battleground for bulls and bears, influencing trading strategies and market sentiment. Maximum Traded Contracts A whopping 4,860,989 contracts traded at the 23,000 strike price underscores the high trading activity and interest. This volume signifies that a large number of traders are actively participating at this level, betting on the direction of the NIFTY. Call Open Interest (OI) With call open interest standing at 98,551.95 K across all strike prices, there’s a clear indication that traders are predominantly taking long positions in call options. This high open interest reflects expectations of further price increases, as call options provide the right to buy at a predetermined price, benefiting from upward movements. Surge in Call Turnover The 152.79% increase in call turnover points to a significant rise in the value of call options traded. This surge is likely driven by increased buying activity, suggesting a strong bullish sentiment. Traders are willing to pay more for call options, anticipating that the NIFTY will continue its upward trajectory. Increase in Call Contracts The number of call contracts traded has jumped by 150.70%. This substantial increase reinforces the bullish sentiment, indicating that more traders are entering the market with a positive outlook. The rise in call contracts suggests growing confidence in the market’s upward potential. Change in Open Interest The open interest has risen by 62.43%, showing that a large number of new positions are being created. This increase in OI is a strong signal of market engagement, with traders committing capital in anticipation of further price movements. High open interest typically correlates with increased liquidity and market depth. Conclusion The data paints a picture of a bullish market sentiment for the S&P CNX NIFTY. The close proximity of the spot price to the 23,000 strike price, coupled with high trading volumes and significant increases in call turnover, contracts, and open interest, all point towards a market poised for upward movement. Traders and investors are clearly optimistic about the NIFTY’s prospects, positioning themselves for potential gains as the index approaches and potentially surpasses the 23,000 mark. Market Sentiment and Future Outlook The bullish outlook on the NIFTY could be driven by several factors, including strong economic indicators, positive corporate earnings, or favorable market conditions. However, it’s essential for investors to remain vigilant, considering broader market trends and potential risks. While the data suggests optimism, market dynamics can shift rapidly, influenced by global events and domestic policies. Disclaimer This analysis is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Understanding market trends and data is crucial, but so is considering your risk tolerance and investment goals. By keeping an eye on these indicators and understanding the underlying market sentiment, traders and investors can make more informed decisions, leveraging the bullish momentum of the S&P CNX NIFTY to their advantage.
NLong
by ruelfernandes
NIFTY BOUNCES from the ASTRA LineWe have been holding the LONG position (CE) from our entry on 14th morning. The price saw a downward movement today exactly touching the Risological Astra line and taking a bounce back upwards. Market has overall bullish sentiments especially considering the fact that the election results are nearing and this bullish momentum could be a hidden bullish divergence that we are going to see the next day after the election result. BJP wins = Market Bullish INDI Alliance wins = Market Crash So, big moves are coming soon in the market. Hold your breath, homies!
NSE:NIFTYLong
by ProfitsNinja
NIFTY 780+ Points and RunningGUY! Look what I ve been able to catch! 780+ points on NIFTY and still running. Closed position partially. 25% still open position, Iam gonna let it run till the price crosses above the Risological Astra dotted line. The Risological astra shows there is a little more room for a dip before a reversal. Let's wait and watch. Furthermore, the election results are round the corner, so expecting crazy moves soon. I will update with fresh opportunities. Watch this space or follow my profile to catch moves.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ProfitsNinja
Analysis for Nifty Swing Position We have a Fresh 3H Demand which is the Source of the Uptrend till the Destination Fresh Weekly Supply. Further in lower timeframe we will check for a confirmation We see how the price has been moving making new lows ands new Highs until it reaches the 3H Demand and after reacting to the 3H Demand we see that Price has violated its previous high and now we also have a fresh Demand in 1H chart. This 1H Demand is the Potential Trade Demand with an Amazing Reward to Risk Ratio. But the Price where it reaches the Weekly Supply we are looking for a big downward move from this Weekly Supply hence make sure to exit on time.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by WavesandZones
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NSE:NIFTY1!
by ReviveTraders
Falling down ... Falling down!!Nifty spot and FUT, both settled at crucial levels marked in our previous analysis. This is the level that has to be protected for Nifty to stay "NOT BEARISH" at least. Now with an even in sight, I am not sure how it will behave. My previous narrative was that Nifty would stay at ATH levels and with the election result, would fall. But now it seems like there is a different narrative playing out. In the opposite scenario, Nifty should visit 21750 levels and consolidate there, to rally on "surprisingly" (Sarcasm intended) good results for BJP with a stable Govt.
NSE:NIFTY1!Short
by OldMonk13
Detailed Weekly Analysis for Nifty. This is the Monthly chart to understand the biggest picture for Swing positions. This is a Potential Weekly Demand which has the power to turn around the game in the buyers side. Now in order to reach this Demand Price needs to reach some Supply and then retrace down into this Weekly Demand. Further down in Daily chart we see there is a "Violated Daily Demand", this clearly indicates Sellers have just become more powerful and we also have a Fresh Daily Supply which is a Source Supply for a Downtrend till the Weekly Demand shown in the 1st figure. This is the Demand Supply Equilibrium Curve from potential Daily Supply to Potential Weekly Demand, wait for the Price to reach the Daily Supply and further the Curve tells us where the Price is on the curve and accordingly decide the Trade.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by WavesandZones
NIFTY--Bull & Bear Trap?? Liquidity & More Liquidity ??Price is closed near the Support zone at 22000 levels... we are still left with the liquidity below 21850 levels. Bear Trap:: what happens if the liquidity cannot be done now... If this time price failed to push downside more chances of fall below 21850 levels from topside. If price opens up and continue to move upside there will be one more fall from the topside. then the price won't respect the neckline as well, just gives pull back if possible, and eliminate all shorts, and it will continue its momentum towards top levels. Those who are carrying the puts this time price manipulation done, by taking the price towards upside. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bull Trap:: When bear trap happens, then price closing is given near the resistance levels, then this time every one thinks that price is unable to break the bottom side, so it is still in bullish and everyone then looks for long side.. by keeping the stop loss at 21850 levels, which is failed to break now. this time price clears the stop losses at 21850 and again showing bullishness, this is pullback for short side continuation and again falls to grab all the liquidity below 21500 levels. Sell setup:: look for short side when price comes to these area at Right Shoulder. If don't at least take care from this levels before long side. A strong Bearishness is observed from the 22400 levels... the right shoulder is strong one, after the liquidity grab on topside above Right shoulder, price again turns to be bearish. and price comes to the downwards with strong bearishness mostly gap down occurs. this time price breaks the 21850 levels and grabs all the liquidity. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Points:: 1.If we see the chart not only price forms a head and Shoulders in lower time frame also in Higher time frame as well. 2.price broken the trendline as well.
NSE:NIFTY
by IIT-Trader
9
Dynamics of NIFTY50 21750 March 2024 Call OptionDate: 20-03-2024 As a seasoned derivatives trader, I find myself constantly immersed in the intricate dance of market movements, option data, and technical analysis. Today, I delve into the world of NIFTY50 futures and options, particularly focusing on the March 2024 contract. Join me as I unravel the insights gleaned from my custom-built software, MRISKA DTS5, and share my perspective on the probable expiry level in terms of the strike price for this contract. Let's embark on this journey by stepping back to the 29th of February 2024, the day the Nifty50 February 2024 contract expired. On that date, the Nifty50 spot settled at 21982.80, setting the stage for our analysis. One of the key observations from my data exploration was the significant short buildup in the 21750 call option . The 21750 call option caught my attention with its last traded price of 626.10 and a stop loss level of 922.30, valid until 28th March 2024. Tracking its performance from 29-02-2024 to 20-03-2024, the option saw its highest high at 915.00 on 06-03-2024. Fast forward to today, the Nifty50 spot closed at 21839.10, while the 21750 call option stood at 262.40. At this juncture, two distinct possibilities emerge. The first scenario entails the 21750 call option hitting the stop loss level of 922.30 by 28th March 2024. This outcome would signify a substantial move in the market, reflecting the dynamic nature of derivatives trading. Conversely, the second scenario revolves around the Nifty50 spot settling below 21750 by the contract's expiry. This scenario hinges on various factors such as market sentiment, economic indicators, and global events that can influence market movements. It's crucial to emphasize that my analysis and views are purely educational and should not be construed as trade recommendations. Derivatives trading demands a comprehensive understanding of risk management, market dynamics, and thorough research, which are essential for informed decision-making. In conclusion, navigating the complexities of NIFTY50 futures and options requires a blend of data-driven insights, technical expertise, and a nuanced understanding of market behavior. As we approach the expiry of the March 2024 contract, the unfolding dynamics will offer valuable lessons and opportunities for traders and investors alike. Stay tuned for further updates as we continue to explore the ever-evolving landscape of financial markets.
NShort
by IndexAce
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 11 Mar (Monday)Hello traders, As we discussed in our last analysis, the market took resistance from the Resistance zone, and the result was sideways. If we look at the chart data now: The market is taking resistance at the resistance trendline (Why this resistance looks like my last bank nifty analysis). The market is taking support at 22430. the market has touched this trendline multiple times, which makes it easier to break to the upside. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 1.11 shows a bullish market structure. If we look at the CE and PE activity, there is a huge amount of CE and PE writing on both sides. That indicates the market is going to be sideways. 22500 is Max-Pain. FII and DII data do not show much of the information except that the market might open a small gap-down. I am expecting the market to get consolidated. Case 1: Market is sideways in orange region. Case 2: Market breaks to upside till 22650. (Fib 1.414) Reasons: Price > EMA indicates the bullish nature of the market. but price >> ema(200) shows market need some reversion. Price taking resistance at resistance trendline. (Sideways) RSI is 40-60, showing a sideways market structure. If it breaks 60 to the upside. The market can give targets till 22650, which is also the Fib 1.414 level. PCR = 1.11 (1.34 to 1.11) shows Bears are actively adding positions, which might force the market to be sideways. (Sideways) Verdict: Sideways or Bullish Plan of action: Case 1: Short straddle 22500 (Hedge with 20 premium) Case 2: Sell 22500 PE (Hedge with 20 premium PE)
NSE:NIFTY
by finnova_
4
Ultratech heading down .?Is Ultratech heading down after touching all time high. ? This stock has be consolidating from past 2-3 months and now finally gave the breakdown with good volume , But wait is it sustainable.? 10000 now looks like strong resistance for this stock and looks like it will further go downwards till 9316 and 9040 as per the fibs retracement level . But over all stock is very bullish Disclaimer : This post is meant for education purpose do your own research before risking your account
NSE:ULTRACEMCOShort
by Solomon_King4788