Decoding NIFTYDear Traders,
I hope this message finds you well in your trading endeavours and personal pursuits. I am excited to share a compelling opportunity with you through a new NIFTY analysis that sheds light on the continuation of the market shift.
Preliminary Analysis Overview:
The downtrend from all-time highs has reached approximately 65% of its progression.
The recent upward surge is somewhat concerning due to concerns about a new trend or a correction within a correction in a larger degree (downtrend).
Let us discuss the key points to distinguish between these two scenarios:
The second leg of the downtrend is experiencing a correction, having completed approximately 89/90 days (which reinforces the interim trend’s completion).
The current correction is progressing rapidly, exhibiting limited sub-waves, which is typically not a characteristic of a motive wave (especially at the beginning of a trend).
The accompanying chart illustrates this point.
Let us elucidate the reasons behind this assertion:
Reason I:
As a staunch believer and ardent follower of Master WDG , the significance of time cannot be disregarded.
The primary downtrend commenced on September 27, 2024, and is poised to encounter a pivotal juncture, namely 180 days from its commencement on March 25, 2025 (Tuesday). This date also coincides with a cross-over with the Fibonacci value of 21 from March 4, 2025, where the interim correction commenced (21,964.60).
The 180D is a component of both the tetragram and the hexagram, and it also represents the midway point of a complete circle (360).
There is also another weird correlation, 4th MAR’25 & 25th MAR’25 both falls on Tuesday marking initiation & termination, the same day.
Reason II:
The geometric patterns of preceding and ongoing movements further support this analysis.
Analyzed both on a daily and weekly basis. The correction responded favorably to both Fibonacci retracements and trendlines. Upcoming resistance levels include:
RI: 23,590~23,600
RII:23,653 (23.6% of the downtrend)
RIII: 23,807
The previous support level is acting as a crucial resistance.
I also observe that there will not be a positive close in 3M charts.
Reference:
Important Dates to Remember:
As suggested, March 25, 2025, marks a significant juncture in the overall trend.
This is pure technical based analysis & does not involve any economic data releases other factors.
** Final Verdict: **
The market is anticipated to conclude its final leg of the downtrend, commencing from this Tuesday. However, the duration of this leg can range from 1 to 2 months.
I have identified several crucial dates for monitoring the upcoming trend. Stay informed!
**Strategy:**
Given the prevailing market conditions, adopting a bearish stance appears prudent.
Any sell positions executed after 23,550 will yield positive returns.
While it may seem counterintuitive to deviate from the prevailing trend, I am merely adhering to the established rules (without expressing any personal sentiment). However, it is inherently risky. Therefore, it is imperative to implement robust risk management strategies during such high-risk trades that are significantly influencing the market.
Additionally, please exercise caution regarding option buying. The low volatility environment is concerning, but it is anticipated to normalize as the downtrend progresses.
Fellow Traders,
The creation of this valuable analytical resource has required countless hours of dedication and effort. If you find it useful, I humbly request your support by boosting the idea and following me (updates will be provided via this post, new posts, and through minds). Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally.
Thank you for investing your time in reading this article.
Wishing you profitable and fulfilling trading endeavors!
Disclaimer:
Before concluding, I must emphasize that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is crucial for you to conduct your own research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial objectives and risk tolerance.
Niftyoutlook
Good Trendline Breakout Candle by Nifty. Nifty has given a good break out above Father line (200 Days EMA) at 23399 and Long term trend line. This shows that Bulls have made a comeback and are out of Coma. However Bears can try to disrupt things later in the week. Important resistance zone of Nifty now is between 23708 and 23830. Crossing and closing above 23830 has potential for the rally to inch upwards towards next resistance levels at 24030 and 24215.
The supports for Nifty now remain at 23399, 23109 and 23036. The sectors that are driving the rally are Banking (Both Private and Public sector), Finance, Public Sector Industries. Midcap, Smallcap, Infra, Pharma, Consumer Goods and some other sectors are also trying to catch up. Overall it has been a V shaped recovery. This week's closing will decide if the rally can turn out into full blown Bull run or not. Signs are ominous.
Predicting exact top and exact bottom remains illusive. When People were calling for Doomsday scenario and 20K, 19K levels we have seen Nifty rising 1694 points from 4th March Low of 21964.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. No one can guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. There is also chance of bias in our opinion. The supports and resistances indicated are based on data which has a cycle time of being 3 months or older so it is not necessary that it will work. The author or Smart Investment will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyNifty opened Gap up +90 points and soon saw profit booking, again found buying and made high of 23870 and saw sell off to 23650 levsl to close flat at 22368.
Price Action : - Bullish
Nifty closed Flat with some profit booking at highs.
Candle Pattern: - Bullish
Formed a Bearish candle, shpuld see tomorro’s candle for further direction.
Daily EMA Positioning: Bullish
10dEMA 23105
20dEMA 22926
50dEMA 23036
200dEMA 23402
EMA Trend:
Closed above 10dEma ,20dEma, 50DEMA and 200DEMA,
Daily MA suggests Buy
Hourly suggests Strong Buy
15mins Suggests Strong Buy
The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index is above 60 now at 71.65 - Just Over Bought
Momentum gaining towards Upside
Support/Resistance Levels:
Major Support 23300-200
Immediate Support 22500
Immediate Resistance 22700
Major Resistance 23800, 24000
Trend:
Short Term Trend is Sideways Consolidation
Daily Options Activity:
Highest CE OI was at 24000 also saw OI addition at 24000. 23800, 23700 - Resistance
Highest PE OI was at 23500, with no major PE addition
PCR is 1 indicating indecisiveness
Daily Futures Activity FII + Pro F&O Data:
FII Long/Short ratio at 33%/67% indicating addition of Longs by FIIs - Bullish
Change in Futures OI:
FII Future positions saw little addition in longs +2K with shorts unchanged -Bullish
Nifty Futures price was flat with 3% OI Addition indicating Long Additions
Observation:
Nifty looks strong above 23500, saw profit booking at 23870. Might consolidate above 23500-600 for further move
Overall Trend:
Sentiment is Positive Sideways
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty looks strong around 23600, might consolidate above 23550 before another upmove to 24000
Approach & Strategy:
Long around 23500-600 in April contract, with 23300 as SL
My Trades & Positions:
Long in 23600CE April contract
NIFTY READY FOR CORRECTION: BOOK PROFITSCRIPT: NIFTY CURRENT CONTINIOUS FUTURS
Timeframe: Daily
Important Support and Resistance Zones:
Resistance Zone: 23,170 - 23,240 = 70 points (supply zone)
Support Zone: 22,910 - 22,825 = 85 points (Demand Zone)
Today's High: 23,232.60
RSI: 59.08
As per past data, we can observe, price has corrected from mentioned supply zone and importantly when RSI has reached 60 mark on daily timeframe.
Here, there are several factors joining hands to correct Nifty in coming days.
1) Nifty reaching its supply zone
2) RSI near to mark 60
3) Past 4 days Nifty is rising continuous
Takeaway:
Yesterday's Close: 22972.95
Today's Close: 23,191.00
Difference: 259.65
Half the Difference: (259.65/2 = 109.025)
Subtracting from Today's Close: 23191.00 - 109.025 = 23081.975
Now, If price crosses this level in coming days, we can expect further fall in Nifty.
Target Condition: Price must cross 23,081 level in coming couple of days. If so,
Target Price: We will see further correction in Nifty till our Support Zone which is at
22,910.00 - 22,825.00
Expected Time: Approximately 7 to 12 Days from today.
Nifty Review & Analysis - Daily
Nifty opened Gap up +150 points again following Global Cues and saw surge throughout the day making a high of 23708 and closing at 23658 (+1.5%).
Price Action : - Bullish
Nifty closed 1.5% in positive. Consequtive 6 days green candle and closing above 10,20,50 nad 200 dEMA
Candle Pattern: - Bullish
Formed a Big Green candle with a small wick on upside.
Daily EMA Positioning: Bullish
10dEMA 22979
20dEMA 22848
50dEMA 23036
200dEMA 23399
EMA Trend:
Closed above 10dEma ,20dEma, 50DEMA and 200DEMA,
Daily MA suggests Strong Buy
Hourly suggests Strong Buy
15mins Suggests Strong Buy
The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index is above 60 now at 71.5 - Just Over Bought
Momentum gaining towards Upside
Support/Resistance Levels:
Major Support 23300-500
Immediate Support 22600
Immediate Resistance 22750
Major Resistance 24000
Trend:
Short Term Trend is Bullish
Daily Options Activity:
Highest CE OI was at 24000 also saw some unwinding with huge Unwinding at 23600-500 highest - Support
Highest PE OI was at 23300, highest Put addition seen at 23500 followed by 23600 - support
PCR is 1.2 indicating Bullishness
Daily Futures Activity FII + Pro F&O Data:
FII Long/Short ratio at 32.5%/67.5% indicating addition of Longs by FIIs - Bullish
Change in Futures OI:
FII Future positions saw littl3 addition in longs +2K with shorts unchanged -Bullish
Nifty Futures price was higher by 01.5% and 12.5 %OI Increase indicating Long Additions
Observation:
Nifty looks strong above 23550 forming daily positive green candles, closing above 10,20,50, 200dEMA and RSI just in overbought zone
Overall Trend:
Sentiment is very Positive
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty looks strong around 23600, might consolidate above 23550 before another upmove to 24000
Approach & Strategy:
Long with 22850 as SL in April contract, continue with SL 23500
My Trades & Positions:
Long in 23200CE April, closed and moved to 23600CE April
Nifty Futures intraday trend for March 25, 2025Nifty Futures broke the key resistance at 23623 and closed higher and the further uptrend is anticipated to take resistance at 23825.
Nifty futures may begin with a gap down opening tomorrow ie March 25th and a down trend in the morning may give us an opportunity to enter long.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 25-Mar-2025📊 Nifty Trading Plan – 24-Mar-2025 (Educational & Strategy-Oriented)
Chart Timeframe: 15-Min | Key reference zones marked on chart
📍
🚀 GAP-UP Opening (Above 23,407)
If Nifty opens with a gap-up above 23,407, it will enter the Wave 3 Resistance Zone (23,508 – 23,582), which is a high-probability reversal zone.
✅ Plan of Action:
• Don’t rush into buying after the gap-up. Wait and observe the price behavior around 23,508 – 23,582.
• This area is likely to witness profit booking or short build-up.
• Look for signs of reversal like bearish engulfing, shooting star, or bearish divergence on RSI.
• If such patterns form, consider buying Put Options (OTM PE) with a stop-loss on a 15-min candle closing above 23,585.
• If Nifty sustains above 23,582 with strong volume, then we might be heading into an extended up-move, but this is lower probability.
• Safer trades are shorting on signs of exhaustion at higher levels.
📌 Key Zone to Watch: 23,508 – 23,582 (Wave 3 Resistance)
📈 FLAT Opening (Between 23,245 – 23,407)
This is the Opening Resistance / Support Band (23,345 – 23,407), acting as a decision-making zone.
✅ Plan of Action:
• Let the market settle in the first 15–30 mins.
• If price holds and builds strength above 23,345, Nifty may climb towards 23,407, and if broken, test 23,508+.
• Weak price action (rejection wicks or low volumes) from 23,345–23,407 signals weakness. In that case, look for short opportunities with SL above 23,407.
• Avoid CE entries unless price sustains above 23,407 with momentum and volume breakout.
• If price starts to slip below 23,245, sellers will get more active and price could drop quickly to next support.
📌 Key Decision Zone: 23,345 – 23,407
📌 Support Trigger: 23,245 (Opening Support)
📉 GAP-DOWN Opening (Below 23,245 or near 23,185 – 22,985)
If Nifty opens below the Opening Support at 23,245, or even near deeper support zones of 23,185 or 22,985, it will bring in volatility and create both breakdown and reversal opportunities.
✅ Plan of Action:
• A gap-down near 23,185 should be watched carefully. This is a minor intraday support. If held with a bullish candle (like a hammer), consider buying CE with SL below 23,160.
• If the gap-down extends to 22,985 (Last Support for Intraday), it's a strong bounce zone. A bullish reversal candle here provides high RR long trades.
• If price fails to hold 22,985, sellers may dominate and drag Nifty further down. Consider PE trades only after a 15-min close below 22,985.
• Avoid panic trading – let the zone react and only act based on confirmation candles.
📌 Bounce Zones: 23,185 and 22,985
📌 Breakdown Trigger: Below 22,985
🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders:
• Avoid trading first 5–15 mins after opening, especially on gap days – let price give structure.
• Use hedged strategies like Bull Call or Bear Put Spreads to reduce premium loss due to theta decay.
• Trade light near reversal zones – don’t go all-in on emotional conviction.
• Always place stop-loss on closing basis (15-min candle), not fixed points, especially during volatile moves.
• If VIX is high, premiums are inflated – focus on quick entry & exit, no holding hoping for magic.
📌 Summary & Conclusion:
• Nifty has entered a critical decision zone.
• Watch 23,407 carefully – above it, bulls may attempt a final push to 23,582, but signs of exhaustion there are likely.
• On the downside, supports at 23,185 & 22,985 will act as bounce zones.
• Directional trades should be initiated only after price confirms intent post opening.
• Use structure + volume for confidence in setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above content is for educational purposes only. Please do your own analysis or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Nifty's Strong Surge: What's Next for the Market?
This week, Nifty surged to 23,350, an impressive 950-point rally from last week’s close. The index hit a high of 23,402 and a low of 22,353. As I highlighted last week, I expected Nifty to trade within a narrow range of 22,850 – 21,950. However, Nifty broke out of this range, shattering the upper limit, and the resulting short covering led to a strong bullish close.
Next Week: A Critical Turning Point
Looking ahead, next week is going to be crucial. Despite the strong move, Nifty is still in a bearish phase on both the weekly and monthly time frames. However, if Nifty manages to retrace slightly to 23,000 and sustain above the 22,900 – 23,000 range, we could see the bulls taking control, pushing the market up toward 23,800/23,850.
On the other hand, if Nifty falls below 22,800, it would signal a breakout failure, which would be bad news for the bulls. In that case, Nifty could potentially drop to 22,000.
March-End Volatility: Be Ready for Both Sides
At the end of March, traders typically start booking their losses to offset gains for the financial year, creating increased volatility. This makes it an exciting time for directional traders, as we could see sharp movements in both directions.
For me, as long as the monthly and weekly charts remain bearish, I am cautious and not ready to turn bullish just yet. However, there are some sectors showing relative strength, and these could offer trading opportunities:
Nifty Energy
Nifty Financial Services
Nifty Metal
Nifty Public Sector Enterprises (PSE)
Keep an eye on stocks from these sectors, as they are currently outperforming others.
S&P 500: Mixed Signals
On the global front, the S&P 500 closed this week at 5,667, barely 30 points above last week’s close. The index has failed to sustain above the DEMA200 level at 5,705, signaling that the bulls are struggling to maintain momentum. A consecutive daily close above this level would help restore confidence among the bulls, potentially targeting 5,850.
However, if S&P 500 drops below 5,600, we could see a faster sell-off, with the recent low of 5,500 likely to come into play. It’s going to be a tense week as we await to see whether the bulls or the bears take control.
In Summary: Prepare for Volatility
Next week promises to be an exciting week for traders, as both domestic and global markets face critical levels. Directional traders should remain flexible, prepared for sharp moves in both directions. Focus on key sectors showing strength and stay vigilant for any breakout or breakdown in the Nifty and S&P 500.
Solid Comeback by Nifty on Weekly Chart. 1 hurdle remaining. Nifty made a solid comeback gaining 4.26% this week. One major hurdle remaining which is 23403. If Nifty can close above this level the next resistances will be at 23809, 24030, 24215, 24443, 24667 and 24873 before Nifty can regain 25K levels. The supports for Nifty on the lower side if it is not able to cross the major hurdle at 23403 will be 23109, 22789, 22334 and 21974. As of now the Bulls have done well turning the shadow of the candle positive for the next week.
However there is also a small possibility of 23403 becoming Achilles heel for the rampant Bulls. Weekly RSI is at 48.89 which means it has entered the bullish territory. MACD or the Moving Average Convergence and Divergence has not fully moved into the Bullish territory but it has certainly taken the turn towards the convergence.
So overall it was a great week for bulls after a long time but one final hurdle of the Bear 'Chakravyuh' remains to be conquered.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NIFTY Trading Levels and Plan for 21-Mar-2025📅 NIFTY Trading Plan – 21-Mar-2025
📍 Reference Price: 23,190 (Close on 20-Mar-2025)
📊 Chart Structure: Price is nearing exhaustion at highs, so we need to observe for either continuation or reversal from resistance zones.
📌 Opening Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (100+ Points)
🟢 Expected Open Zone: 23,270 – 23,330
👉 If Nifty opens with a strong gap-up above 23,270: Watch for price action near 23,345 , marked as the last strong intraday resistance . If you see rejection (like wick rejections or bearish engulfing on 5m/15m), consider initiating short positions with a stop loss above 23,370. On clean breakout and sustained move above 23,345, target the Profit Booking Zone: 23,407–23,445+ . Be cautious chasing longs on a gap-up unless price consolidates and confirms breakout.
🎯 Key Tip: Don't short just because it's a gap-up. Let the candle give confirmation through rejection patterns.
📌 Opening Scenario 2: FLAT Opening
🟠 Expected Open Zone: 23,150 – 23,190
👉 In case of flat to mild gap open: Watch 23,185 as the immediate Opening Resistance / Support .
If price sustains above 23,185 with strength, you can look for a long entry targeting 23,345 and beyond.
However, if price struggles and fails to cross 23,185 with rejection patterns, short toward 23,068 and 22,994.
Breakdown below 23,068 may accelerate profit booking till the lower zone of 22,994–22,882.
🎯 Key Tip: The first 15–30 mins are crucial. Avoid rushing into trades. Use the breakout-retest model for safer entries.
📌 Opening Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (100+ Points)
🔻 Expected Open Zone: 23,050 – 22,950
👉 If Nifty opens with a significant gap-down: Observe price action near Opening Support Zone: 23,068 – 22,994 .
If bulls defend this zone with strong reversal patterns (hammer, bullish engulfing), it could be a dip-buying opportunity. Below 22,994, next major support lies at 22,882 . Breakdown of this zone could trigger sharp fall. Avoid shorting after a gap-down unless 22,882 breaks convincingly.
🎯 Key Tip: Never knife-catch a falling market. Let the base build before entering reversal trades.
🛡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders 🧠 Use defined risk trades: Prefer vertical spreads (bull call/bear put) instead of naked options. Avoid buying OTM options post 11:00 AM unless momentum is strong. Always risk less than 2% of your capital per trade. Trail your stop loss once the trade moves in favor to protect capital. Don't overtrade – quality setups > quantity.
✅ Summary & Conclusion:
📍 Nifty is trading near crucial resistance levels.
📍 23,345 remains the make-or-break zone for bulls.
📍 Support zones: 23,068 → 22,994 → 22,882
📍 React to price action at key zones rather than predicting it.
📍 Let the first 15–30 minutes settle before jumping into trades for optimal RR setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . This trading plan is shared for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trades based on this plan. Risk wisely and trade with discipline. 🙏
NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan for 20-Mar-2025📅 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 20-Mar-2025
🕒 Timeframe: 15 Min | 📌 Reference Close: 22,911.80
📏 Gap Opening Threshold: 100+ points
📈 1. GAP-UP Opening Scenario (Opening Above 23,010)
If NIFTY opens 100+ points higher — around or above 23,010 — it enters the Profit Booking Zone: 22,995 – 23,067 .
✅ Action Plan:
- If Nifty opens in the 22,995–23,067 zone, avoid aggressive long trades at open. This zone has historically triggered selling pressure.
- Observe the behavior near 23,067 . If candles start rejecting higher prices or form reversal patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing), plan short trades with SL just above 23,067 .
- If Nifty crosses 23,067 with momentum and volume, upside extension is possible toward 23,185 — the Last Intraday Resistance .
- Avoid shorting blindly above 23,067 . Let price consolidate or form lower highs before initiating any counter-trend short.
📌 Educational Note: Profit booking zones often create whipsaws. Let the market decide the intent before jumping in.
🚫 Don't chase gaps — instead, wait for re-entry opportunities once price confirms direction.
📊 2. FLAT Opening Scenario (Between 22,850 – 22,950)
If NIFTY opens within a tight 40–50 point range around its closing level (±50 points), it's considered a flat opening.
✅ Action Plan:
- Allow the market to settle for the first 15–30 minutes . Avoid early entries.
- If Nifty sustains above 22,995 , we may see a quick move toward 23,067 . One can consider intraday longs above 22,995 with a stop loss near 22,950 .
- If price faces rejection at 22,995 and drops below 22,912–22,880 (previous close zone), short opportunities may arise toward 22,800 (Opening Support) .
- Keep an eye on 22,800 as it is a key intraday support. Breakdown below it can lead to a deeper fall toward 22,728 and 22,632 .
📌 Educational Note: Flat openings often provide the best setups if you let price action settle. Stay nimble and neutral till breakout/breakdown confirms.
📉 3. GAP-DOWN Opening Scenario (Opening Below 22,812)
If NIFTY opens with a gap-down of 100+ points (around or below 22,812 ) — look for action near support zones like 22,800, 22,728, and 22,632 .
✅ Action Plan:
- If Nifty opens near 22,800 and holds, wait for a reversal pattern. Intraday long trades are possible toward 22,912+ .
- A clean breakdown below 22,728 (Last Intraday Support) may trigger a slide toward 22,632 (Buyer’s Support) .
- Avoid catching falling knives. Only buy near 22,632 if there’s clear bullish reversal with volume confirmation.
- If price opens below 22,728 and tries to retest and fails to reclaim that level, short trades can be considered with a stop above 22,728 .
📌 Educational Note: Big gap-downs often attract panic exits in the first 15 mins. Wait for a base to form before looking for reversal trades.
🧠 OPTIONS TRADING – RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS
💼 Use defined stop losses based on 15-min or 30-min candle close. Avoid emotional exits.
⚖️ Avoid buying deep OTM options during rangebound conditions — prefer ATM or ITM for better delta control.
🛡️ Use hedged strategies like bull call spreads or bear put spreads during high IV scenarios.
📉 On breakdown or breakout days, trade with the trend using limited-risk directional strategies.
💰 Never risk more than 1.5–2% of capital per trade — capital preservation is key for consistency.
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION:
Gap-Up above 22,995: Profit booking zone. Wait for reversal signs or breakout to 23,185.
Flat Opening: Best setups possible — breakout above 22,995 or breakdown below 22,880.
Gap-Down below 22,812: Watch 22,800–22,632 support zones for potential reversal or breakdown.
🎯 Let price lead the way — react, don’t predict. Enter only on confirmation. Stay disciplined and respect the market structure.
📢 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . This trading plan is purely for educational purposes. Please consult with your financial advisor before taking any position.
Make or Break 3 key Resistances Approaching. Nifty saw 3 good days of recovery. Now the real test begins as we are approaching the 3 big daddy resistances.
1) R1 Mother line Resistance (50 days EMA) 22988.
2) R2 Long Term Trend line Resistance 23237.
3) R3 Father Line Resistance 23399.
If these 3 are crossed the Nifty has potential to hit 23809 in the medium to short term.
If Nifty rally does not have steam it can again fall back to the support levels at 22638, 22334 or even 21974.
IT has not contributed to the current rally Infact it has remained laggard. RIL has not contributed. HDFC has remained range bond. If some IT counters or Heavy Weights like RIL or HDFC join the rally we can see Nifty flying otherwise there is a potential for this rally to fizzle out again. Things are in balance right now. Shadow of the candle neutral as I write this. Very important closing weekly closing awaits us on Friday.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 19/03/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening expected resistance near 22950 level. Possible reversal from this level. Downside 22750 level will act as a support for nifty. Strong upside rally expected if nifty starts trading above 23000 level. This upside rally can goes upto 23250+ level in today's session.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan for 19-March-2025🔥 NIFTY – Intraday Trading Plan for 19-Mar-2025
Current Market Price (CMP): 22,848.75
Chart Time Frame: 15-min
📘 Opening Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY opens with a strong gap-up above 22,950, it would directly open into the Profit Booking Zone: 22,995 – 23,067 .
Avoid aggressive long entries near the opening if prices directly hit the profit booking zone, as early buying could trap latecomers. Wait and observe price action in the 22,995 – 23,067 range. If the index forms bullish consolidation with strength, breakout above 23,067 can push it towards the final resistance at 23,185. If rejection occurs near this zone, look for reversal signals like a 15-min bearish candle with follow-up selling to consider short scalps targeting back to 22,850 – 22,775.
🧠 Tip: Avoid call option entries if IVs are inflated and premiums are already factored in after a big gap-up. Time decay can eat your premiums fast.
📗 Opening Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (within 50-80 pts)
In case of a flat or minor gap opening near 22,800 – 22,850, the price will open just above the key consolidation zone: 22,727 – 22,801 .
Look for first 15-30 minutes consolidation. If NIFTY sustains above 22,801, fresh buying can push it to test 22,995. A failure to sustain above 22,801 and breakdown below 22,775 will drag prices back into the range. The downside targets then would be 22,656 and 22,532. No trade zone for flat opening: avoid trades inside 22,727 – 22,775, unless a directional breakout occurs.
🧠 Tip: For flat openings, best setups come after the first 15-30 minutes. Let the market decide the direction first—then align your trade.
📙 Opening Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (100+ points)
A gap-down below 22,700 will place the index back into or below the consolidation zone. Major supports are at 22,656**, 22,532, and Buyers’ Support: 22,270 – 22,320.
Aggressive buying should be avoided unless NIFTY shows strong reversal signals from support zones like 22,532 or 22,270. If prices bounce from the Buyers’ Support Zone, a quick upside retracement towards 22,656 or even 22,727 is possible. However, if NIFTY breaks below 22,270, it could enter a deeper correction territory—so keep strict stop losses.
🧠 Tip: When buying the dip in a gap-down scenario, use options spreads (e.g., bull call spreads) to reduce premium decay risk while maintaining upside exposure.
💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders:
✅ Use defined-risk strategies like spreads (Bull Call / Bear Put)
✅ Avoid chasing momentum in the first 15 minutes of market opening
✅ Stick to 1–2 high probability trades per day
✅ Always place stop loss based on structure or candle close
✅ Never average into losing options trades—respect time decay
✅ Focus on ATM or slightly OTM contracts with 1–2 day expiry for best gamma moves
📊 Summary & Conclusion:
Key Zones to Watch:
🔸 Resistance Zone: 22,995 – 23,067
🔸 Support Zone: 22,656 – 22,532
🔸 Buyers’ Zone: 22,270 – 22,320
🔸 No Trade Zone: 22,727 – 22,775
Be reactive, not predictive. Let price action guide your trades based on these levels. Respect volatility and avoid emotional trades.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. The above levels and insights are for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any positions. Trade responsibly! 💼📉
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 18/03/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty. Expected opening near 22700 level. After opening if nifty starts trading above 22750 level then possible strong upside rally upto 22950+ in today's session. Any downside or reversal expected near a 22700 level. Downside 22550 level will act as a strong support for today's session. Major downside only expected below 22500 level.
$NIFTY : Tested 22000 fib retracement. RSI Oversold. Long $NIFTYIn 2024 the light bearer of the developing markets was India and its index $NIFTY. It closely beat the S&P 500 in 2024. But 2025 has not been good for $NIFTY. The rotation trade sell India and buy Chinna by the large institutional investors has put immense pressure on the Indian indexes. The index almost fell into the bear market by collapsing close to 20%.
If you have been watching my blog space I made a case in point on 22 Feb 2025 that there is still some downside left in the chart. Since then, we have fallen another 2 % and sitting just at the bottom of the Upward sloping Fib Retracement channel drawn by joining the potential tops of the NSE:NIFTY weekly chart. The chart pattern on 22 Feb 2025 clearly indicated that we can touch the lows around 22000. We touched the lows of 22032 on 28 Feb 2025. Since the we have gained some lost ground.
Final verdict: Possible retest the 22000 levels and then go long from there on $NIFTY.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan for 18-Mar-2025📅 NIFTY INTRADAY TRADING PLAN – 18th March 2025 (Tuesday)
🕒 Timeframe: 15 Min | 📍Reference Closing: 22,515
📉 CHART STRUCTURE EXPLAINED:
Nifty closed near the middle of the Opening Resistance / Support Zone (22,508–22,547). There are clearly defined areas of support and resistance on both sides that help frame our intraday plan. Price action around these zones will provide direction for high-probability trades.
🟩 GAP-UP OPENING (100+ points): Above 22,617
If Nifty opens above the Last Intraday Resistance (22,617), it enters a potential breakout zone.
Avoid entering trades immediately after a GAP-UP above 22,617. Let the index retest this level for confirmation. If the price sustains above 22,617 for 15 minutes with higher volume, expect a continuation rally towards the Profit Booking Zone (22,727–22,801). Wait for a dip near 22,617 or even the upper band of 22,547. If the retest holds, go long with SL below 22,547. Profit booking is advised near 22,727–22,801 as this zone is likely to attract selling. Avoid fresh longs near 22,800 unless there’s a consolidation breakout.
🧠 Educational Note: Chasing GAP-UPs leads to poor entries. The best trades happen when price retests a broken resistance and confirms support.
🟨 FLAT OPENING (Within 22,508–22,547 Zone)
This is the Opening Resistance / Support Zone — a tricky area that demands patience.
Avoid trading in the first 15–30 minutes if price opens inside the 22,508–22,547 zone. It’s a chop zone, prone to false breakouts. A breakout above 22,547 with volume gives a long opportunity towards 22,617, and eventually 22,727. A breakdown below 22,508 brings the price into the Opening Support Zone (22,403–22,420). Watch for reversal signs here for possible bounce trades. Only consider directional trades once Nifty decisively exits this range.
🧠 Tip: In tight ranges, option premiums decay faster. Avoid entering trades without confirmation.
🟥 GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ points): Below 22,403
If Nifty opens below the Opening Support Zone, volatility increases and levels become more critical.
Support is visible at the Buyers' Zone (22,210–22,247). If the index opens around this zone, wait for a reversal pattern like bullish engulfing or double bottom on 15-min chart. If 22,210 holds with a strong bounce, a long can be initiated targeting 22,403–22,508 with SL below 22,210. However, if 22,210 breaks with conviction, bears may drag the index to 21,950–22,000 levels. Avoid shorts immediately at open—wait for either breakdown retest or confirmation below 22,210.
🧠 Insight: Panic gap-downs often trigger short-covering rallies. Watch how price behaves in the first hour.
📘 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTION TRADERS:
🛡️ Risk management is your ultimate edge in the market. Follow these key principles:
Never trade options without a stop loss. Monitor levels, not just premium prices. Avoid selling far OTM options when market structure is trending. It’s a trap during sharp moves. If market is inside range, go with spreads instead of naked options to reduce Theta burn. Size your positions wisely—don’t risk more than 1–2% of total capital on a single trade. Always book partial profits at target zones and trail the rest with a stop.
🧠 Options are like ice—they melt fast in choppy markets. Patience and timing are key!
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION:
✅ Resistance Levels: 22,617 / 22,727 / 22,801
✅ Support Levels: 22,403 / 22,210
✅ Critical Zones:
⚠️ 22,508–22,547 (Opening Decision Zone)
✅ 22,403–22,420 (Support)
🛑 22,727–22,801 (Profit Booking Zone)
👉 Wait for confirmation before entering. Let market structure guide your direction, not emotions.
❗ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This plan is shared purely for educational purposes. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyNifty opened Falt in line with global cues and saw buying from opening making a high of 22577 then to find some profit booking to close at 22509, 0.5% above previous day’s close.
Price Action : - Bullish
Nifty closed 0.5% in positive.
Candle Pattern:
Formed a Big Green candle with a small wick on uopside.
Daily EMA Positioning:
10dEMA 22476
20dEMA 22601
50dEMA 22999
200dEMA 23410
EMA Trend:
Closed above 10dEma finding resistance at 20dEma,
Daily MA suggests Selling
Hourly suggests Buy
15mins Suggests Strong Buy
The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index rising above 42
Support/Resistance Levels:
Major Support 22400
Immediate Support 22300
Immediate Resistance 22580
Major Resistance 22750
Trend:
Overall Trend is Slight Bullish above 22600
Daily Options Activity:
Highest CE OI was at 23000 with highest addition at 22800 - Resistance
Highest PE OI was at 22000, highest Put writing seen at 22500, 22300 - support
PCR is 1 indicating slight positive
Daily Futures Activity FII + Pro F&O Data:
FII Long/Short ratio at 21%/79% indicating slowly addition of Longs by FIIs
Change in Futures OI:
FII Future positions saw little addition in longs +2K with -1K change in shorts
Nifty Futures price was slightly higher with no major OI addition
Observation:
Overall looks a positive consolidation day above 22500, with good PE addition at 22500 can see
higher levels if 22580 taken out for targets 22700-800 in currents wkly series
Overall Trend:
Sideways consolidating turning positive
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty looks strong above 22580 for tgt 22750-800
Approch & Strategy:
Long above 22580 for tgt 22750-800
My Trades & Positions:
Holding Longs from 22450 levels
Nifty holding above Hourly Mother line a good signalNifty holding above 50 Hours EMA or Mother line in the hourly chart is a good signal for the market if it holds above 22464 then there is a chance of further recovery. The supports for Nifty remain at 22464 (strong Mother line support), 22368 (Another strong trend line support), 22311 and 22205. If the support at 22205 is broken Nifty can go in a jiffy to 21976 or below. In case we get a closing above 22591 Nifty will become stronger and can jump to 22678 or 22722 levels. 22722 is a strong 200 Hours EMA or Father line resistance. A closing above 22722 can take us to next historical resistance levels of 22813, 22921, 23044, 23147 and 23249 levels. Closing above 23249 has potential to bring Bulls back out of ICU and Take Nifty further up.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 17-Mar-2025📊 NIFTY Trading Plan – 17-Mar-2025
Nifty is currently hovering near the Opening Support Zone: 22,351 – 22,378, with a key resistance at 22,442 and profit booking zone near 22,617. Depending on how the market opens, we will plan our trades accordingly.
💡 Let’s analyze different scenarios:
🔥 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points)
If Nifty opens above 22,442, the index will test the last intraday resistance at 22,551. A decisive breakout above 22,617 may trigger strong bullish momentum.
✅ Plan of Action:
If Nifty sustains above 22,551, look for bullish price action and enter longs with targets of 22,617 and 22,680+.
If a sharp rejection occurs near 22,617, consider booking partial profits and trail SL.
Avoid chasing longs if Nifty starts showing weakness near resistance. Wait for a pullback.
📌 Key Levels to Watch: 22,442 (Support) | 22,551 (Breakout Zone) | 22,617+ (Profit Booking Zone).
📢 Tip: In case of a fake breakout above 22,617, selling pressure may drag Nifty back to 22,442. Watch for reversal patterns before taking aggressive trades.
📉 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within 50 Points)
If Nifty opens near 22,383 – 22,434, we will monitor price action near the Opening Support/Resistance Zone. The first 30 minutes will be crucial for direction confirmation.
✅ Plan of Action:
If Nifty bounces from 22,351 – 22,378, look for long opportunities targeting 22,442 and 22,551.
If Nifty struggles to hold 22,442, expect sideways action. Trade only near major levels.
A breakdown below 22,351 will indicate weakness, leading to a test of 22,296 and 22,208.
📌 Key Levels to Watch: 22,351 – 22,378 (Support Zone) | 22,442 (Resistance) | 22,551 (Breakout Confirmation).
📢 Tip: Use a wait-and-watch approach in the first 30 minutes. Let the market establish direction before making big trades.
🛑 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points)
A gap-down below 22,351 could push Nifty towards the last intraday support of 22,296. If the selling extends, watch the golden retracement zone at 22,114, which is a high-probability demand zone.
✅ Plan of Action:
If Nifty stabilizes at 22,296, expect a recovery towards 22,351 – 22,378. Scalping opportunities exist.
If selling pressure continues below 22,296, expect a further slide to 22,114, which will be a must-watch area for buyers.
Only consider fresh longs at 22,114 if strong reversal signs appear. Else, avoid catching falling knives.
📌 Key Levels to Watch: 22,296 (Support) | 22,208 (Breakdown Confirmation) | 22,114 (Golden Buy Zone).
📢 Tip: Avoid aggressive longs in a gap-down scenario unless a clear reversal is seen at major supports. Watch for confirmation before entering any trade.
⚡ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
🔹 Premium Decay Alert: If Nifty consolidates, avoid buying OTM options. Time decay will erode premiums.
🔹 Hedge Positions: If selling options, hedge using spreads to reduce risk.
🔹 Exit at SL: Do not hold options hoping for reversals. Stick to the predefined SL.
🔹 Avoid Trading the First 5-Minutes: Market volatility is high; let a pattern form.
🔹 Size Appropriately: If uncertain, reduce lot size and wait for confirmation.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ If Nifty Opens Gap-Up: Watch for 22,551 – 22,617 resistance zones. A breakout can trigger further upside.
✅ If Nifty Opens Flat: First 30 minutes are crucial. Support at 22,351 – 22,378 should hold for longs.
✅ If Nifty Opens Gap-Down: Watch 22,296 for a reaction. If broken, 22,114 is a key buy zone.
📢 Final Note: The best trades come when price action confirms levels. Avoid emotional trading and respect stop losses.
📜 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . All views are for educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Nifty near important support holding it is key for progress. Nifty this week tried to consolidate and in the process lot a lost of ground covered last week. Holding the support level of 22314 is the key to move forward. If this major support is broken Nifty may again fall to the strong Bear zone of 21975, 21782 or even 21285 levels. If 22314 support is held the future resistances can be 22531, 22668 and 22842. If these resistances are crossed we will reach Mother and Father line resistances at 23018 and 23419. A monthly closing above Father line resistance that is 23419 can bring Bulls back into action. Shadow of the candle is neutral with slightly positive tinge.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.