NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 21-Nov-2024Nifty Trading Plan for 21-Nov-2024
Intro:
On 20-Nov-2024, Nifty displayed a volatile session, with the index struggling to sustain above 23,712 , the last intraday resistance. A yellow-shaded "No Trade Zone" highlighted indecisive price action between 23,561 and 23,622 . The index tested support near 23,296 , which aligns with an SMC entry zone and buyer’s support after a liquidity sweep. The green trend depicted potential bullish moves, while the red trend reflected bearish reversals, helping traders prepare for possible outcomes in the upcoming session.
Trading Plan for 21-Nov-2024:
Gap Up Opening (100+ points above 23,561):
If Nifty opens above 23,622 , monitor for a breakout above 23,712 . Sustained movement here could target the Profit Booking Zone (23,815–23,860) .
Wait for the first 15–30 minutes to gauge market direction.
Failure to hold above 23,622 might indicate a reversal, pushing the index back into the "No Trade Zone."
Flat Opening (Near 23,561):
A flat opening within the "No Trade Zone" requires patience. Look for a breakout above 23,622 to go long, targeting 23,712 .
A breakdown below 23,468 may trigger bearish momentum toward 23,296 or lower.
Avoid entering trades in the yellow-shaded zone to reduce risk from whipsaws.
Gap Down Opening (100+ points below 23,468):
A gap down below 23,441 may result in bearish momentum towards 23,296 , where buyers could provide support.
If 23,296 holds, watch for a pullback toward 23,468 or higher.
A breakdown below 23,296 could open doors to deeper bearish moves, targeting 22,964 . Use tight stop-losses for short positions.
Risk Management Tips for Options Traders:
Use stop-losses based on the hourly candle close to avoid getting trapped by intraday volatility.
Avoid trading large positions in the "No Trade Zone"; focus on directional confirmation.
For gap openings, consider strategies like spreads to manage premiums and volatility.
Limit risk to 1–2% of your capital per trade to safeguard against sudden market moves.
Summary and Conclusion:
Key levels to watch are 23,712 on the upside and 23,296 on the downside.
Trade cautiously within the "No Trade Zone" ( 23,561 – 23,622 ).
Let the price action guide your trades, with trends expected to be influenced by intraday volatility.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Niftyoutlook
Nifty 50: Projected Growth Path to 34,500 by 2027 – Key DriversMy projection of Nifty50 reaching 21,500 and then gradually climbing to 34,500 by September 2027 suggests a long-term bullish scenario for the Indian equity market. This type of projection can be influenced by various factors:
Key Considerations for the Journey:
1) Economic Growth :
India's GDP growth trajectory will play a major role. Sustained economic expansion, driven by infrastructure projects, digital adoption, and manufacturing, could fuel market growth.
Global capital inflow into emerging markets like India due to favorable growth prospects might also support this rise.
2) Corporate Earnings :
A robust increase in corporate profitability will be critical. If sectors like IT, banking, infrastructure, and energy witness strong earnings growth, it will push the index higher.
3) Institutional Participation :
Continued investment by Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) could provide consistent upward momentum.
4) Policy Support :
Pro-business government reforms, favorable monetary policy, and stable inflation could act as catalysts.
Regulatory support from entities like SEBI ensuring market transparency and investor confidence would bolster market growth.
5) Global Markets and Trade :
Stability in global markets, alongside favorable geopolitical conditions, will be important.
Trade relations and global commodity prices (e.g., crude oil) might significantly influence this trajectory.
Risks to Watch :
Geopolitical tensions, global economic slowdown, or sharp interest rate hikes by central banks could derail this optimistic scenario.
Overvaluations might lead to corrections if fundamentals don't keep pace.
Learn Mother, Father and small child theory and Parallel channelThis is an educational video explaining medium to long term analysis of Nifty for educational purpose through my Mother, Father and Small Child theory. I am also trying to explain what happens in the long run, also you will find insights of how to use and draw a parallel channel. I have also done an analysis of Nifty supports and resistances in the medium to long term. We are also trying to understand what can be the channel top in the long run. We are also trying to see how RSI works in brief. The attempt is to explain a lot of stuff in simple jargon free language in roughly 16 minute video so that you get lot of education. It is going to be a power packed 16 minutes once you watch it. Do not forget to like/ boost our video and subscribe our channel.
To learn Mother, Father and small child theory to the deeper extent and to learn about RSI do read my book: The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. The book is also available on Google playbook in E-version.
Disclaimer: Purpose of the video is for education. Do not treat this as a buy or sell call on Nifty. I am just trying to teach / throw light on Mother, Father and small child theory in brief along with the use of parallel channel. Hindi and English both languages are used in the video for wider audience to understand the same.
NIFTY : Trading Levels for 22-11-2024Nifty Trading Plan for 22-Nov-2024
Introduction:
In the previous session, With a Opening Drop in Nifty displayed a consolidation pattern near the support zone with a lack of strong follow-through on either side. The index closed near 23,346.75, hinting at indecision among traders. Key levels have been identified for today's trading, with distinct zones marked: Yellow for sideways movements, Green for bullish trends, and Red for bearish trends.
Trading Scenarios for 22-Nov-2024:
Gap-Up Opening (100+ points):
If Nifty opens above 23,414 , it will likely face resistance near 23,522 . Look for price action in this zone:
If rejection occurs at 23,522 , a retracement towards the 23,414 level is possible, offering a shorting opportunity.
If an hourly candle sustains above 23,522 , it can target the next resistance at 23,669 .
Wait for clear breakouts or rejections before entering trades. Avoid chasing prices in a strong gap-up scenario to minimize risk.
Flat Opening:
In case of a flat opening near 23,346 , monitor the immediate support at 23,295 :
A breakdown below 23,295 can lead to a bearish move towards 23,231 .
If Nifty holds the 23,346 level and moves above 23,414 , a bullish momentum toward 23,522 is likely.
Trade cautiously in the flat opening zone, as the initial price action might remain range-bound.
Gap-Down Opening (100+ points):
If Nifty opens below 23,231 , the 23,120 support zone will be crucial:
A breach of 23,120 could trigger a sharp sell-off towards 22,986 .
If prices reverse from the 23,120 level, expect a recovery rally back to 23,231 or 23,295 .
Watch for rejection or reversal candlestick patterns at these levels before entering trades.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Avoid trading during the first 15 minutes of market opening to let volatility settle.
Use defined stop losses based on hourly candle closings.
Focus on at-the-money options for higher liquidity and better premiums.
Limit your risk to 1-2% of your total trading capital per trade.
Summary and Conclusion:
The market's direction today hinges on how it reacts to key levels around 23,414 (resistance) and 23,295 (support). Keep an eye on broader trends and ensure to wait for confirmation signals before initiating trades. Practice strict risk management to safeguard against market volatility.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
Escalation in Russia, Ukraine war spoils the Nifty recovery Nifty was doing quiet well and had a strong momentum going forward. On the daily chart it had gone substantially above 200 days EMA (23541) and reached 23780. Three of things happened after that.
1) There was a massive escalation in Russia Ukraine war where Putin approved use of Nuclear weapons if required. At the same time news of Ukraine hitting Russia with ATACMS US made Long Range missile. (Bloomberg reports). This is a massive event with long global consequences. Which might be parting 'gift' from Biden to Trump. (Probably to create a difficult situation for incoming Trump).
2) Nifty hit 50 hours EMA or Mother line at 23770. As all who read my posts regularly, those who have watched my videos, taken training from me and Those who have read my Mother, Father and Small Child theory know the consequences of the same. The mother line acted on and pushed the Nifty down towards the doldrums again where it closed the day below (200 days EMA or Father line at 23541) at 23518. This is a massive jolt and only time can tell if Nifty can stage a recovery again on 21st November 2024, Thursday. As we have a holiday due to Maharashtra elections tomorrow. To know more about one of the most accurate Mother, Father and small child theory which makes your equity investment easy read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in paperback edition. The same is available on Kidnle and Google Play book in E-Version.
3) Third possible thing was Bulls would not want to carry long positions with impending Maharashtra election results. The election is tough to predict with political mess in Maharashtra. Elections in India are anyway difficult to predict now a days.
These reasons led to massive fall of 262 points. This fall can disharten the bulls as well making the upward recovery difficult again. Positive closing in Green is the only good thing that we can take forward from today's action.
Supports for Nifty remain at 23350, 23110, 22796, 22499, 21890 and finally 21313. Below 22796 is a pure bear territory.
Resistances for Nifty remain at 23629, 23770 (Major Mother line Resistance which blocked the up move today), Post that there will be Father line resistance of 200 Hours EMA at 24311. After 24311 closing or weekly closing bear can take a back seat and Bulls will have capacity to pull Nifty above 25012 or even 25351 and above.
Disclaimer:
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 19-Nov-2024Trading Plan for 19-Nov-2024
Intro: Previous Day’s Chart Analysis
On 18-Nov-2024, the market exhibited a mix of bullish recovery and consolidation. Yellow regions indicated sideways movement, suggesting indecision in the market. Green zones demonstrated bullish recovery attempts, while Red zones highlighted bearish breakdown scenarios. Intraday resistance at 23,725 played a key role in limiting gains, while support at 23,324 helped prevent a deeper sell-off.
Gap-Up Opening Scenario (+100 Points or More):
If Nifty opens around 23,600–23,700 , look for rejection near the resistance zone at 23,657 . Wait for a confirmation candle before entering short positions, targeting the 23,456 support.
If momentum sustains above 23,657 , expect bullish continuation towards 23,725 . Initiate longs after a retest of 23,657 , with a stop loss at 23,600 .
Avoid initiating trades if Nifty stays within 23,657–23,725 without a clear breakout or breakdown.
Flat Opening Scenario (+/- 50 Points):
A flat open near 23,462–23,475 would place the market in the No Trading Zone . Observe price action in this zone to gauge direction.
If the index breaks below 23,456 , short with targets at 23,396 and 23,324 , maintaining a stop loss at 23,475 .
For bullish setups, a breakout above 23,475 could lead to a move toward 23,657 , with stop losses placed at 23,450 .
Gap-Down Opening Scenario (-100 Points or More):
If Nifty opens near 23,324–23,350 , monitor for a pullback to 23,396 . Short positions can be initiated on rejection at 23,396 , targeting 23,291 and 23,123 .
A strong recovery above 23,396 could indicate bullish reversal potential. Longs can be considered after confirmation, with targets at 23,475 .
For aggressive selling, watch for a breach below 23,291 , which may trigger further downside to 23,123 . Use tight stop losses to manage risk.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Avoid chasing trades immediately after the opening bell; let the first 15–30 minutes establish a clear trend.
Use stop losses based on hourly candle closes to reduce the impact of market noise.
Limit position sizes in volatile zones and avoid holding positions into key economic events.
Keep track of implied volatility (IV) levels to assess premium pricing; avoid overpaying for options.
Summary and Conclusion:
The market's reaction near critical levels such as 23,657 (resistance) and 23,324 (support) will determine the trend for the day. Bullish momentum above 23,657 could target 23,725 , while failure to hold 23,324 may lead to a retest of 23,123 . Follow disciplined trading, and remember that patience and risk management are key to navigating uncertain conditions.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. All information provided is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Nifty near Mid channel & 50 Weeks EMA (Mother Line) support. Nifty after closing below the 200 days EMA Father line on daily charts, may find support near 50 weeks EMA (Mother line of Weekly chart). The 50 weeks EMA is at 23233.
Before reaching there today's low of 23350 will also be a support. If by chance both these levels are broken the mid channel support for Nifty seems to be at at 22800 zone. Below which the bears have potential to drag Nifty further down to 22500 or even below 22K levels. To know more about Parallel channels and how they work or my Mother Father small child theory you can read my book The Happy candles way to wealth creation. Available in Paperback or E-version on Amazon and Google Play book.
Resistances for Nifty on the upper side are at 23658, 24122, 25012 and 25898. Above 25989 Nifty will aim to make a new all time high again as channel top currently seems to be near 27K. RSI is also suggesting that Nifty can make a substantial come back any time now.
Bollinger band lower band width has been pierced today both in daily chart as well as weekly chart indicating that market is heavily oversold and short covering can lead to a moderate recovery or substantial recovery sooner than later. The signs of bottom formation are clear unless FIIs begin another round of aggressive selling. The selling by FII has been continuous but seems to have decreased in the last few sessions rising further hopes for recovery.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
In Depth Analysis for Nifty 50 Index (1-Hour Chart)Symbol: Nifty 50
Timeframe: 1-Hour
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Technical Analysis:
The Nifty 50 index is currently trading at 23,559.60, moving within a well-defined downward-sloping channel. The price is nearing a crucial support zone (23,480-23,570), which could act as a potential area for a short-term bounce. However, the overall trend remains bearish unless a breakout occurs above the resistance levels.
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Key Observations:
1. Trend: The index is clearly in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows within the channel. The bearish sentiment remains dominant.
2. Support & Resistance:
Immediate Support: 23,480-23,570. A breakdown below this level could lead to further downside toward 23,200.
Immediate Resistance: 24,070-24,540. These levels correspond to the midline and upper boundary of the channel.
3. Volume Analysis: Declining volumes on the recent down move indicate a potential loss of selling momentum, suggesting the possibility of a short-term pullback.
4. Potential Reversal Zone:
A break above 24,070 could trigger a short-covering rally, pushing prices toward 24,540.
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Trade Setup:
1. For Bulls:
Entry: Consider going long near 23,480-23,570, provided there are bullish reversal signals like a hammer or bullish engulfing candle.
Target: 24,070, and an extended target of 24,540.
Stop Loss: Below 23,450, to minimize downside risk.
2. For Bears:
Entry: Look for shorting opportunities on rejection near 24,070 or at the channel’s upper boundary (24,540).
Target: 23,480 and further downside to 23,200.
Stop Loss: Above 24,600.
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Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Breakout: A decisive close above 24,070 will confirm a breakout from the channel, opening doors for a move toward higher levels.
2. Continuation of Downtrend: If the index fails to hold the 23,480 support, it could continue its bearish trajectory to 23,200.
NIFTY - Trading Levels and Plan for 18-Nov-2024** Nifty Trading Plan for 18-Nov-2024 **
Previous Day Overview:
On 17-Nov-2024, Nifty displayed a consolidative pattern near the Important Zone for Long-Term Trend at 23,711 , signaling indecision among traders. The chart highlights three key trends: Yellow showing a sideways movement, Green representing bullish attempts facing resistance near 23,808 , and Red depicting bearish pullbacks testing support at 23,504 . The session emphasizes the significance of these levels in determining market direction.
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** Opening Scenarios: **
Gap Up Opening (100+ points above)
If Nifty opens above 23,808 , it could test the Last Resistance for Intraday at 24,009 . Monitor the price action in the first 15-30 minutes for consolidation near 23,900 . A sustained breakout above 24,009 could indicate strong bullish momentum. Avoid chasing trades in case of high volatility; instead, wait for a retest of 23,808 as support for a safer entry point.
Flat Opening (within ±50 points)
A flat opening near 23,559 may provide a clearer picture of market sentiment. If Nifty holds above the Opening Resistance at 23,711 , a bullish move toward 23,808 is likely. Conversely, a breakdown below 23,568 could lead to a retest of the Opening Support at 23,504 . Prioritize risk management, as a flat opening could result in sideways movement initially.
Gap Down Opening (100+ points below)
A gap-down opening near 23,504 will shift focus to the Support Level at 23,123 . Allow the first 30 minutes for price stabilization; if Nifty sustains below 23,504 , expect a bearish move toward 23,123 . However, a quick recovery above 23,504 may present a reversal trade opportunity targeting 23,711 .
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** Risk Management Tips for Options Trading :**
- Use well-defined stop-loss levels, preferably based on hourly candle closes, to avoid unnecessary losses.
- Reduce position sizes when trading gap openings to manage volatility risks effectively.
- Opt for at-the-money (ATM) or slightly out-of-the-money (OTM) options for better liquidity and quicker premium adjustments.
- Avoid over-leveraging, especially in highly volatile market conditions.
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** Summary & Conclusion :**
For 18-Nov-2024, the key levels to monitor are 23,711 on the upside and 23,504 on the downside. A breakout above 23,808 could signal bullish momentum, while a breach below 23,504 may indicate bearish pressure. The market remains poised for both sideways and directional moves, depending on the opening scenario.
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**Disclaimer:**
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their own analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
#nifty50 analysis for upcoming week 18-22nd Nov 2024Nifty Takes a Beating: A Deep Dive
Last week, the Nifty 50 index experienced a significant downturn, closing at 23,532, a 600-point drop from the previous week's high of 24,336. The index breached the crucial support level of 23,550, dipping as low as 23,484. Currently hovering near its 50-week exponential moving average (50WEMA) at 23,230, the Nifty is expected to consolidate within a range of 23,100 to 24,000 in the coming week. Wednesday our markets will be closed due to Maharashtra elections so volatility will be high.
As previously highlighted, the monthly chart has weakened, and its impact is already evident. A further correction seems likely before a sustainable bottom is formed. A breach of the 23,250 support level could trigger a deeper correction of 7-7.5%, potentially taking the index down to 21,555. To resume its upward trajectory, the Nifty needs to convincingly close above 24,500 on consecutive days.
The S&P 500 also faced rejection from a critical Fibonacci level of 6,013, resulting in a 2.7% correction to 5,870. A breach of this week's low of 5,853 could lead to an additional 1.2% decline to 5,783. Such a move could intensify selling pressure in global markets, including India.
Nifty at cross road of critical support. Nifty this week gave a closing at 23532 a fraction below 200 days EMA or Father line which was at 23542. It will be imperative for Nifty to close above it within next week for bulls to get out of jail. Closing above 23542 will not be enough as there are many more hurdles to cross for Nifty once it scrambles above 200 days EMA.
If the Nifty is not able to cross above the 200 day's EMA by any chance next week the down side supports for Nifty will be at 23360, 23054 and 22819. Out of these 3 levels, 22819 is the most important support as it is the channel bottom support. This current channel in which Nifty is travelling initiates from May 22. Which means it is a pretty solid final support below which there can be a free fall into intense bear territory. In this case bears can drag Nifty further down to 21840 or 21264 levels.
On the positive side the resistances for Nifty remain at 23864, 24265, 24565 (Major resistance 50 days EMA) followed by 24796 and 25436 levels. Above 25436 we can see a pure Bull Market again.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Key Technical Analysis of Nifty50: Upcoming TrendIntroduction:
Understanding key support and resistance levels is essential for traders and investors looking to capitalize on market movements. This article provides an in-depth analysis of the Nifty50 index's weekly chart, highlighting essential price levels and trends that indicate potential bullish or bearish movements in the coming months. With Nifty's recent performance, it is crucial to evaluate these technical levels to identify future price action possibilities.
1. Previous Resistance Turned Strong Support
Nifty previously broke out of a strong resistance level around the 19000 mark, which now acts as robust support. This previous resistance level, marked with a red zone, signifies a major price zone that could halt potential downward movements, providing a solid foundation for buyers if Nifty pulls back to this level.
2. Support Trend Line and Bullish Continuation
A support trend line, indicating an ongoing bullish trend, extends from early 2023 to the current date. This trend line has been a crucial indicator of the index's positive momentum, providing support on multiple pullbacks. As long as Nifty respects this trend line, it could continue its bullish trajectory, making this level ideal for those looking to enter long positions.
3. The Key Support Zone at Last Swing Low
A major support zone sits around the 21000 level, marked by Nifty’s last swing low. This green zone is a significant area of buying interest. If the index begins a downward correction, this support zone will be closely watched by traders looking for signs of reversal or continued decline.
4. Trend Reversal Zone and Bearish Potential
If Nifty breaks down below the support trend line, it would signal the potential start of a bearish trend. Sellers could see this as an opportunity to enter short positions, especially if the breakdown is accompanied by strong volume. This area is essential for risk management, as a trend line breakdown could lead to a decline toward lower support levels, such as the 21000 zone or even further to 19000.
5. Reversal Confirmation and New Highs
On the upside, a reversal confirmation near the current support trend line could signal a renewed bullish push, with the possibility of Nifty making new highs. If this reversal takes place, it would present an attractive opportunity for long-term investors and buyers aiming for a rally continuation.
NIFTY Future going to 21426Market analysts generally predict a bullish outlook for the Nifty 50, with expectations of reaching up to 25,000 by the end of 2024 if current trends hold. This projection reflects the influence of strong corporate earnings, robust domestic economic growth, and significant inflows from foreign portfolio investors (FPIs), partly driven by India's inclusion in global bond indexes. These factors have improved investor confidence and are expected to provide sustained market support.
Historically, the Nifty 50 has displayed resilience, backed by factors like steady mutual fund inflows through SIPs (Systematic Investment Plans) and high levels of government spending on infrastructure. Analysts highlight that these trends, alongside anticipated global interest rate cuts, could continue to drive market gains in the coming months.
For My 21,500 target, the overall sentiment appears supportive, though any abrupt shifts in global markets, geopolitical developments, or fluctuations in FPI behavior could still influence market movements.
anticipate the Nifty 50 index moving toward 21,500 by the end of 2024, that aligns with some analysts’ outlooks, albeit more conservatively, compared to the upper targets of around 25,000. Such a level could be feasible if current growth drivers remain steady and if the market’s broader accountability or earnings stability continues.
Nifty 50 analysis- "In recent days, Nifty has formed a bearish head and shoulder pattern, indicating potential downside. It has currently reached 26,277.34, which is approximately 10.50% below its previous high. The 23,500 level is a crucial support zone, coinciding with the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Historically, Nifty has tended to bounce off this 200-EMA.
However, it's important to note that market sentiment has turned bearish. Therefore, a prudent strategy would be to adopt a cautious approach, considering selling into rallies until we receive clear signs of upward momentum."
NIFTY50 // Breakdown or Reversal?www.tradingview.com
Everyone has seen a severe breakdown in Nifty in recent days and approx. 11% correction. But hey, wait a minute.
Did you checked the level where it is holding right now?
It is the same level from where it has taken a pause and breakout in past. Meaning, we can consider it as a strong buying zone.
Along with the above, it is also a level where 38% retracement is there from Fibonacci retracement perspective.
Consider the level of support at 23500, if Nifty doesn't goes below from here next week, be ready for a resume of bull run again.
So, the next resistance will be : 24500, 26300, 28200, 30000
and, the support will be : 22500, 21600, 21000.
Please note, there is an open gap between 20300-20500. That is the only concerning area. If it goes there to fill the gap, the last support will be 19900.
So, wait for the end of the current weekly candle. If you could see there are approx 6 divergence too on weekly candle which suggest change in situation.
Good luck.
Thanks
StoxWare team
NIFTY 450+ Points Profit Short Trade: A Perfect Execution The NIFTY (15-minute timeframe) chart highlights a well-executed short trade setup, delivering exceptional precision and profitability. Using the Risological Trading Indicator , traders were able to navigate this trade seamlessly.
Trade Highlights:
Entry Point : Positioned at 24,207.85, following a strong bearish signal confirmed by the downward Risological Lines and swing trendline alignment.
Targets Achieved : All targets were successfully hit:
TP1: 24,128.20
TP2: 23,999.25
TP3: 23,870.30
TP4: 23,790.60
Stop-Loss: A tight SL at 24,272.35 ensured disciplined risk management.
Key Observations:
Risological Lines : The collapsing Risological Red lines indicated strong bearish momentum, guiding traders to confidently hold the short position.
Momentum Continuation : Steady selling pressure confirmed the trade's directional strength, allowing all targets to be met efficiently.
Conclusion:
This trade on NIFTY showcases the power of technical analysis and precise execution. The well-structured risk-to-reward ratio made this short trade an outstanding success. Traders leveraging the Risological Indicator reaped impressive intraday profits—yet another win for technical discipline!
NIFTY Bears Dominate! 200+ Points Intraday Profit BaggedNIFTY Intraday Short Trade Analysis:
The NIFTY 15m timeframe revealed a strong short trade setup, capitalizing on bearish momentum. As of 12 Nov, 1:17 PM, the trade has already hit TP1 (24128.20) and TP2 (23999.25), delivering over 170+ points profit intraday – a remarkable gain for a single session!
Trade Snapshot:
Entry: 24207.85
Stop Loss (SL): 24272.35
NIFTY Targets:
TP1: 24128.20 ✅
TP2: 23999.25 ✅
TP3: 23870.30
TP4: 23790.60
Key Highlights:
Massive Intraday Momentum : The trade leveraged a steep bearish trend, with prices moving sharply downward.
Confluence of Signals : The short setup aligned perfectly with a downward sloping RISOLOGICAL Lines and bearish candlestick patterns, validating the move.
Quick Scalping Opportunity : The quick descent to TP2 within a short timeframe exemplifies the strategy’s efficiency for intraday traders.
Profit Perspective:
This setup's 200+ points profit intraday is a massive score for NIFTY, offering traders an exceptional risk-to-reward ratio. The move towards TP3 and TP4 looks probable, with continued bearish sentiment driving prices further down.
Conclusion:
A picture-perfect short trade setup on NIFTY has already delivered stellar returns. Traders riding this wave are poised for even greater profits as the index inches toward its lower targets. Keep an eye on the next support levels!
NIFTY : Levels and plan for 13-Nov-2024Intro:
On **12-Nov-2024**, the Nifty 50 index saw consolidation in the lower zone, with strong support around the "Must Try Zone" and signs of buyer activity. Moving forward, we have identified key levels for potential bullish, bearish, and sideways movements. Yellow trends indicate potential sideways movement, Green trends represent a bullish outlook, and Red trends show bearish sentiment.
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Trading Plan for 13-Nov-2024
**Gap Up Opening (100+ points):**
If the market opens with a significant gap up beyond 24,100 , watch for immediate resistance at 24,395 . If Nifty sustains above this level, we may see a bullish rally toward the next resistance level at 24,464 . However, if selling pressure emerges, expect the index to pull back to the "Opening Resistance" zone around 23,986 , where buyers might attempt to regain control.
**Flat Opening:**
In case of a flat opening near 24,025 , monitor the initial price action closely. If Nifty sustains above this level, a test of the "First Resistance Zone" around 24,361 is likely. Breaking this resistance could lead to a rally up to 24,423 or even the "Last Resistance Zone" at 24,464 . Failure to break through 24,361 could result in a retracement to the "Important Buyer’s Support" at 23,825 .
**Gap Down Opening (100+ points):**
A gap down opening below 23,767 would place the market within the "Important Buyer’s Support" zone. Here, a strong buyer presence could lead to a rebound toward 23,986 . If this level holds, an upward move back to the "Opening Resistance" is possible. However, if the index falls below 23,582 , it could signal further bearishness, targeting the "Possible Bottom Zone" around 23,504 .
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Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
- Limit your position size, especially near key resistance or support levels where reversals are more probable.
- In volatile market scenarios, consider using stop-loss orders based on hourly closes to avoid unnecessary stop-outs due to intraday volatility.
- Avoid entering trades in the "No Trade Zone" as highlighted on the chart, as these areas lack clear trend direction and increase the risk of whipsaw movements.
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Summary & Conclusion:
For 13-Nov-2024 , key levels to watch are 24,395 for resistance on the upside and 23,582 for critical support on the downside. Price action within the "Important Buyer’s Support" zone could dictate market direction. Green trends indicate potential bullish moves, Red trends signal bearish opportunities, and Yellow trends suggest caution with possible sideways action.
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Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is based on my personal trading strategy and psychological theory. Please perform your analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
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Happy trading!
Downward parallel channel still governing NiftyThe downward channel still governing Nifty and crushing it at every giving opportunity through continuous selling pressure from mainly FIIs. However Bollinger Bands is starting to suggest that Nifty might be oversold. Supports for Nifty now remain near 23822, 23611, 23380 and 23197. Resistance for Nifty remains at 23968, 24088, 24167, 24388 and 24548. Every bounce so far has been utilised by FIIs to sell. DIIs however are on a continuous buying trail. This fall for long term investors with a horizon of 12 to 24 months can be utilized for wealth creation as Some of the large caps and Selective Mid and small caps are now started to reach mouth watering levels.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty is trapped between Mother line and trend line resistance. Nifty is trapped between Mother line and trend line resistance. The comeback that Nifty made from lows of the day was good. Today's low was 24004 from there the Nifty closed at 24141. The resistance on the way up for Nifty currently seem to be at 24221 (Mother line 50 Hours EMA), 24339, 24541, 24587 (Major Father line resistance 200 hours EMA) and 24700. Supports for Nifty remain at 24086, 24004 and finally 23816. 23816 is a major major support right now holding it from a major few hundred or even a thousand point fall. All is good till we do not get a closing below this point. Shadow of the candle right now looks neutral to positive.
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Disclaimer:
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NIFTY : Levels and Strategies for 12-Nov-2024Intro:
In the previous session, Nifty traded within a defined range, testing key levels without strong directional movement. We observed a sideways trend (yellow) near 24,122 - 24,171 , while the bullish trend (green) highlighted potential resistance points, and the bearish trend (red) indicated key support zones. Today's session will focus on reactions near these levels to identify any possible breakouts or breakdowns.
Opening Scenarios:
Gap Up Opening (100+ Points Above)
If Nifty opens above the 24,171 level, it may initially face resistance in the First Resistance Zone at 24,327 - 24,361 . A breakout above this weak resistance level could open the path to the Last Resistance for Intraday at 24,423 . Further strength above 24,423 could lead to a move toward the Profit Booking Zone at 24,530 - 24,601 .
Traders may consider long positions if the price sustains above 24,327 , aiming for targets at the higher resistance zones, but they should exercise caution if Nifty struggles to hold above 24,361 .
Conservative traders might look for pullbacks near support levels before entering long positions.
Flat Opening
In the event of a flat opening around 24,122 , the No Trade Zone 24,100 - 24,171 should be monitored closely. Price movement within this zone could indicate consolidation.
A breakout above 24,171 could signal bullish intent, leading to targets at 24,327 - 24,361 . Conversely, a breakdown below 24,100 might drive the index toward the Buyer’s Support at 23,988 .
Flat openings generally suggest patience, so traders may wait for a breakout from the No Trade Zone before initiating positions.
Gap Down Opening (100+ Points Below)
If Nifty opens below 24,100 , it may find support in the Buyer’s Support Zone around 23,988 . If this support holds, a recovery move back towards 24,100 is likely. A failure to hold above 23,988 could bring Nifty down to the Buyer’s Must Try Zone (Do or Die) at 23,828 - 23,777 .
Traders might look for shorting opportunities if Nifty breaks below 23,988 , with a target near the Buyer’s Must Try Zone. Alternatively, a bounce from the Buyer’s Support level could provide a chance for long trades towards 24,100 .
In gap-down scenarios, trading with a cautious mindset is crucial, and it’s often wise to wait for clear price action signals before entering trades.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Use appropriate stop-loss levels ( 24,100 , 24,327 , 24,423 ) to safeguard against unexpected moves.
Limit position sizes to manage potential risks, particularly during volatile conditions.
Consider using options spreads, like debit or credit spreads, to cap potential losses while still allowing for profit.
Avoid chasing trades in the No Trade Zone; wait for confirmed breakouts or breakdowns to enter options positions.
Summary and Conclusion:
The key levels to watch for 12-Nov-2024 are 24,171 (No Trade Zone upper boundary), 24,361 (First Resistance Zone), and 23,988 (Buyer’s Support). Observing price action near these levels can provide trading opportunities. Manage risks carefully, especially in options, to navigate through volatile market conditions effectively.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is based on technical analysis and personal insights. Traders should conduct their own analysis or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.