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Niftyoutlook

Three Year Parallel Channel of Nifty with Multiple indicators. We have tried to draw a Three Year Parallel Channel of Nifty with Multiple indicators. We will try to understand what is happening as per each indicator and try to get the jist of moves that may occur with a medium to long term perspective. Indicator 1) Parallel Channel: The parallel channel indicates that after hitting the channel top at 26277 the Nifty is receding and is on a search of it's bottom from where it can launch forward again. That is the case when every time Nifty has it a channel top as you can see in the chart. The Future Channel Top once Nifty picks up the next Bull run seems to be around 29497 as per the parallel channel. Mid channel support of the parallel channel is around 23500 zone which can support Nifty. If we get a weekly closing below 23500 this level will become a resistance. In such a scenario of weekly closing below 23500 Channel bottom seems to be near 21296. Indicator 2) Fibonacci Retracement: Fibonacci retracement suggests a bottom near 23263. If this level is broken there is a possibility of Nifty falling to the next fibonacci supports will be at 22506 and 21577. Once the Bull run begins the next resistance levels as per Fibonacci seem to be at 24725, 26777 (Previous high), 27162 and finally 28331. Indicator 3) Bollinger Band: Support with respect to lower width of Bollinger Band seems to be near 23340. Mid Bollinger band resistance seems to be near 24660 and Bollinger band upper width resistances seems to be near 25981. Indicator 4) RSI or the Relative Strength Index: RSI currently is at 44.41 and going downwards showing weakness. The RSI support can be found in the zone of 40, 38 or 36. Usually When RSI is below 30 the stock or index is considered oversold and when the stock or index RSI is above 70 it is considered overbought. RSI Below 20 is extremely oversold zone and RSI above 80 is considered extremely overbought. Indicator 5) MACD or Moving Average Convergence and Divergence: MACD is a combination of Moving averages lines which tend to indicate direction in which stock or index will move and histograms indicate strength or weakness of a rally. As per MACD Nifty right now is in extreme Bear grip and will take a little time to recover. When the Blue line will start moving upwards and when it might cross the red line and continue to move upwards it can be considered as Nifty will come back to Bull Zone. Colour of histograms at that time will also start going Dark Green or light Green. Indicator 6) 50 and 200 weeks EMA or the Mother and Father line: I have designed a theory called Mother, Father and Small Child Theory. As per this theory the movement of index or a stock in the chart is like a movement of a 3 year old child when it goes to a garden. The movement of 50 EMA is like movement of the mother and movement of the 200 EMA is like movement of a Father of that child. To know more about this theory or other indicators mentioned earlier you need to read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. This book is available in Amazon in paperback or Kindle version. It is one of the Highest rated book in the category. Have a look at that book it will help you immensely in your wealth creation journey. Now as per this theory the Nifty right now is at 23587. 50 Weeks EMA is at 23403. 200 Weeks EMA is at 19335. as the Nifty is above these levels both these levels will work as a great support to Nifty and can help Nifty from falling further. Conclusion: Nifty is approaching multiple supports from where it has potential to turnaround. Mid channel support is around 23500, 50 Weeks EMA support or the Mother line is at 23403. 23340 is the Bollinger band lower band width support. Fibonacci support is at 23263. We can see a turnaround mostly from either of these three supports. If these supports are broken by chance (looks less likely but you can never say never) then the next supports will be at 22507, 21296 or worst case scenario as of now looks like 19335. On the upper side resistances seem to be at 24660 Fibonacci mid resistance, 24725 is the Fibonacci resistance, 25981 is Bollinger band upper width resistance and 26277 is the Fibonacci resistnace which also the previous high of Nifty. Once this zone is crossed in a long term we can reach the targets of 27162 Fibonacci resistance, 28331 Fibonacci golden ratio resistnace and 29497 which is the approximate nex channel top. (This is the Medium to Long term outlook of Nifty). This is how you can analyse any index or a stock using the 6 indicators mentioned in the writeup. I give top most priority to these 6 indicators in my analysis. Disclaimer: Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Can The Major Support Zone Save Nifty From Falling Further?There is a triple Support zone that has been reached by Nifty. The Zone between today's low that is 23870 and 23692 has multiple supports of a trend line and Father Line of 200 day's EMA. Let us see if we have a revival from here. If that will be the case the next resistance zones will be 24019, 24175, 24416(Major Mother Line Resistance of 50 day's EMA) and 24529 (Major Trend Line Resistance). If the support of 23870 is broken we will have to rely upon 23962 that is the major 200 day's EMa of Father line. If we get a closing below 23692 or the Father line. Bears will become more powerful and we may see them control the game. In such a scenario the supports will be at 23350, 23088 and 22828. So very critical weekly closing tomorrow. Shadow of the candle for tomorrow is neutral to negative. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY - Trading Levels and Plan for 20-Dec-2024Intro: Review of the Previous Day’s Plan After a gap down opening, prices saw first phase of recovery but could not find follow on support and traded in a narrow range. Let’s analyze potential scenarios for today. Plan for Different Opening Scenarios Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 24,014): A gap-up above 24,014 places Nifty near the resistance zone or even at 24,103. The focus should be on observing price action for either a breakout or a rejection. Plan of Action: If Nifty approaches 24,227, monitor for bearish rejection signals (e.g., shooting stars or bearish engulfing patterns) to initiate short positions targeting 24,103 and 24,014. Stop loss can be placed above 24,250. For a breakout above 24,227, wait for an hourly close and consider long trades targeting 24,300 or higher. Stop loss below 24,200. Key Tips: For options, consider OTM calls if a breakout occurs. Hedge positions using vertical spreads to cap potential losses. Flat Opening (Within 23,900-24,000 range): A flat opening keeps Nifty in the sideways zone (yellow trend). Early market movement will determine directionality. Plan of Action: If Nifty sustains above 24,014, initiate longs targeting 24,103 and 24,227. Use a stop loss below 23,950. If the index slips below 23,900, initiate shorts targeting 23,877 and 23,748 with a stop loss above 24,000. Key Tips: A flat opening is ideal for option straddle/strangle setups. Close positions if volatility contracts or movement remains indecisive. Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below 23,877): A gap-down below 23,877 places Nifty near support or bearish breakdown zones. Focus on price action around 23,748 or 23,604. Plan of Action: If Nifty holds above 23,748, initiate long positions with targets at 23,877 and 23,961, keeping a stop loss below 23,700. A breakdown below 23,748 opens further downside to 23,604. Initiate shorts below this level with targets at 23,500 or lower. Stop loss above 23,800. Key Tips: In gap-down scenarios, avoid panic trades. For options, consider OTM puts or debit spreads for bearish strategies. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Never risk more than 2% of your capital on a single trade. Use a mix of ATM and OTM options for balanced risk/reward setups. Exit trades promptly if Nifty deviates from the expected plan. Monitor implied volatility; avoid overpaying for options in low-volatility environments. Summary and Conclusion: Today’s plan revolves around key levels: 24,014, 23,877, and 23,748. The yellow trend indicates likely consolidation, the green trend highlights bullish potential, and the red trend shows bearish zones. Patience and disciplined execution are crucial for trading success. Let price action confirm your trades before entering positions. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Nifty Bears Take Charge – 630 Points Secured with Risological InNifty 15-Minute timeframe short trade achieved a massive 630-point profit using the Risological Trading Indicator. Trade Details: Short Entry: 17th December, 9:15 AM Exit: 19th December, 3:20 PM Total Points Captured: 630 points Technical Breakdown: This trade showcased the precision and reliability of the Risological Trading Indicator. The indicator identified a clear bearish trend early on, enabling a high-conviction short entry. The trend persisted across multiple sessions, allowing the trade to capture a significant downward movement before closing out with a sizable profit.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ProfitsNinja
NIFTY : Prediction levels and plan for 19-Dec-2024 Intro: Previous Day's Plan vs Actual In yesterday's chart, we observed Nifty approaching a deep retracement zone (113% level at 24,098) and tested the must-try zone for Wave C completion as highlighted. Price remained within the "No Trade Zone" for a considerable period, indicating indecision and sideways movement. The sideways yellow trend was respected, with no significant breakout. Now, for 19-Dec-2024, we will plan the opening scenarios considering a gap opening of 100+ points in either direction, or a flat opening, using key levels for action. Trading Scenarios for 19-Dec-2024 Gap Up Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens above the Opening Resistance for Retracement at 24,359, this signals initial strength. - Monitor the first 30 minutes for price action confirmation. If Nifty sustains above 24,359, we may see a move towards the Last Intraday Resistance at 24,488 (red level). - Aggressive traders can look for long opportunities with a stop loss placed at 24,227 (blue level) on an hourly candle-close basis. - However, failure to sustain above 24,359 can lead to a retracement back towards the No Trade Zone (24,169). - Action Plan: - If the price closes an hourly candle above **24,359**, initiate longs with **targets** at **24,488**. - If it fails to hold above, avoid fresh trades and wait for price to return to the retracement zone. Flat Opening: If Nifty opens near the No Trade Zone (24,169 - 24,227), caution is required. A sideways price action is likely within this range. - Price needs to break out from this "No Trade Zone" to give clear direction. - Upside breakout above 24,227 could lead to a retracement test towards 24,359. - Downside breakdown below 24,169 can trigger a test of the Wave C correction zone at 24,098 - 24,029. - Action Plan: - Avoid trading in the "No Trade Zone" to minimize risk. - For longs, wait for a confirmed breakout above **24,227**. - For shorts, wait for a breakdown below **24,169**, targeting **24,098** first and then **24,029**. Gap Down Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens near or below the Must Try Zone at Wave C completion (24,098 - 24,029), it signals a bearish start. - Watch for signs of support formation in this range. A strong bounce can lead to a reversal back toward 24,169. - However, if Nifty fails to hold this zone and breaks 24,029, further downside towards 23,600 could unfold (red trend). - Action Plan: - Look for buying opportunities if price holds above **24,029** with confirmation on the hourly chart. - If **24,029** breaks decisively, initiate short positions targeting **23,600**, with a stop loss above **24,098**. Risk Management Tips for Options Traders : Always use stop losses based on an hourly candle close to manage risks. Avoid trading in uncertain zones (e.g., "No Trade Zone") where the risk-reward ratio is unfavorable. For options, consider deploying spreads (e.g., Bull Call Spread or Bear Put Spread) to limit risk during gap openings. Avoid chasing trades in case of a sharp gap-up or gap-down; let the price stabilize for 30 minutes. Summary and Conclusion: Nifty remains at a critical juncture near the Wave C correction completion zone. Key Levels to Watch: Upside: 24,227, 24,359, 24,488 Downside: 24,169, 24,098, 24,029, and 23,600 Focus on breakouts or breakdowns for actionable trades, avoiding sideways moves. The yellow trend reflects sideways movement, green indicates a bullish reversal, and red shows bearish continuation. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their analysis or consult a financial advisor before making decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
As Expected Mother Line resistance has come into playAs we had expected in Yesterday's message the closing below Mother line yesterday meant that Mother line resistance was supposed to come into play today and it did. Nifty made a high of 24394 and ominous mother line resistance was near by as can be seen in the chart and Nifty got rejected from there. Now Nifty is tossed into bottom searching mode. Today's low that is 24149.85 was a support zone and we saw a closing above it at 24198 which is the silver lining in the cloud. If 24150 is respected tomorrow we can start seeing some range bound upside. If the support of 24150 is not respected and we get a closing below this level the further supports for Nifty will be at 23904, 23803 or Strong Father line support at 23689. If 23689 is broken we can see a low of 23291 or so as of now. On the positive side if the support of 24150 is respected by Nifty the resistances on the upside will be near 24311, 24435 (Strong Mother line resistance), 24627, 24793 or even 24960. 24960 is a strong resistance to cross but if and when it is crossed we can see more upside as Bulls will start calling shots above this level. Thus the most critical supports are 24150 and 23689. Most critical resistances will be 24435 as of now. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
The Nifty spot intraday trend forecast for December 19, 2024The Nifty intraday trend is likely to be bearish tomorrow ie December 19, 2024. The positional trend also looks bearish till the end of the month. There are strong support zones for Nifty spot on the positional side at 23678 and 23381 by end of December 2024. For the positional Nifty trend forecast chart, please refer to the post dated on 30th November 2024 published for Trading view members only. The content provided here is only for the educational purposes.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Mastersinnifty
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 18-Dec-2024Nifty Trading Plan for 18-Dec-2024 Previous Day Plan vs Actual: In yesterday's uploaded chart, we identified key levels of retracement and reversal zones. The Wave C completion zone (24,097 - 24,009) was highlighted as a potential support for buyers. As observed in today’s session, the price reacted strongly to this zone with a pullback, respecting the reversal area as anticipated. Additionally, the Golden Retracement Zone acted as intraday resistance, with prices consolidating sideways as shown in the Yellow Trend . Moving into 18-Dec-2024, we will adjust our plan based on the identified opening levels and trends. Trading Scenarios for 18-Dec-2024: Scenario 1: Gap Up Opening (100+ Points Above 24,319) If Nifty opens with a strong gap-up above 24,485 or near the Golden Retracement Zone , we should be cautious of immediate selling pressure. The first resistance to monitor is at 24,547 . Price action here will determine further moves: If prices sustain above 24,547 , expect an extension toward 24,686 (Last resistance for Intraday). Failing to sustain above 24,547 could lead to retracement back to 24,319 (Opening Support). Action Plan: Wait for a retest of support levels after the gap-up before initiating fresh longs. Avoid chasing prices. Tip: For option traders, focus on at-the-money call options with tight stop losses if support holds. ⠀⠀ ⠀⠀ Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 24,319 - Opening Support/Resistance Zone) If Nifty opens flat near the Opening Support/Resistance at 24,319 , we must observe whether buyers or sellers take control: If prices break above 24,319 and sustain, look for a move toward the Golden Retracement Zone at 24,454 - 24,485 . Failure to hold 24,319 could trigger selling pressure toward 24,150 and deeper levels like the Wave C completion zone. Action Plan: Observe 15-minute candle confirmation before taking any trade. Maintain a favorable Risk/Reward Ratio of at least 1:2. Tip: For options, consider selling put options if support holds or buying call spreads to minimize premium risks. ⠀⠀ ⠀⠀ Scenario 3: Gap Down Opening (100+ Points Below 24,319) If Nifty opens with a gap-down near the Wave C completion zone (24,097 - 24,009) , this area will act as strong support for buyers: Look for reversal signs (bullish candles) in this support zone for potential long entries with stop losses below 24,009 . If prices fail to reverse and sustain below 24,009 , expect further downside toward 23,950 . Action Plan: Focus on reversal confirmation at Wave C completion for long positions. Avoid shorting unless a clear breakdown occurs. Tip: For options, buying in-the-money call options at reversal zones reduces the impact of time decay. ⠀⠀ ⠀⠀ Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Always keep a defined stop-loss for every trade to protect your capital. Avoid holding options positions overnight, especially during high volatility. Use spreads (e.g., Call/Put Spreads) to minimize the impact of premium fluctuations. Do not risk more than 1-2% of your capital per trade. Monitor the VIX index to gauge overall market sentiment and volatility levels. Summary and Conclusion: Bullish Scenario: Sustaining above 24,454 - 24,485 could trigger a move toward 24,686 . Sideways Scenario: Consolidation in the Golden Retracement Zone may dominate intraday moves. Bearish Scenario: A break below 24,009 could invite further selling pressure. Yellow Trend: Sideways Consolidation Green Trend: Bullish Move Red Trend: Bearish Breakdown Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The analysis provided is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your research or consult with a financial advisor before taking any trade.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
2 Red Candles throw Nifty back to support searching mode. 2 intensive Red Candles with big selling throw Nifty back to support searching mode. The strong support zone is round the corner. The chart shows Nifty is nearing 2 major trend line supports at 24257 and 24175. If these 2 supports are broken further supports for Nifty will be at 23904 and 23803. Final Mega support for Nifty will be 23684 (200 day's EMA or Father Line Support) and recent low of 23291. On the upper side resistances galore at 24445 (50 day's EMA or Mother line) followed by 24627, 24793, 24960 and finally 25209. The selling has come on the back of Rupee hitting all time low and fears over US FED slowdown in the Rate Cuts in the year 2025 as inflation is not abetting and is continuing to grow. US Markets have already priced in 25bps rate cut for the ongoing FEd meeting. But more worry is regarding the commentary about 2025 and 1 or 2 more US FED meetings decisions before Trump administration takes over. With Nifty nearing critical support levels mentioned earlier volatility, bulls Vs bears FII Vs DII intense struggle is on cards. Bears have had an upper hand so far this week but Bulls can stage a fierce fight back any time within this week itself once Nifty confirms support. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY : Trading Plan and Levels for 17-Dec-2024🔹 Previous Day's Plan vs Actual (16-Dec-2024): In yesterday's plan, we identified the No Trade Zone near 24,696-24,750 and the Opening Resistance at 24,830, expecting sideways movement if prices hovered in this range. As seen in the chart, the price respected the No Trade Zone, consolidating before a pullback. The Opening Intraday Support at 24,526 provided a critical holding point, and prices staged a rebound. Today's plan will analyze multiple opening scenarios, key levels, and likely trends, helping traders prepare for action. 🔹 Nifty 50 Trading Plan for 17-Dec-2024: Scenario 1: Gap Up Opening (100+ points) If Nifty opens above 24,750 (No Trade Zone), the next critical resistance is at 24,830 (Opening Resistance). Sustaining above this level on an hourly candle close can trigger sharp short-covering, leading the index toward 25,041 (Profit Booking Resistance for 25,630). 🔹 Plan of Action: Wait for the first 15-30 minutes to observe if the gap up sustains. Enter long positions above 24,830 only if prices hold for an hourly close. Immediate stop loss can be placed just below 24,750 for risk control. 🔹 Bullish Continuation Target: Immediate Target: 25,041. 🔹 Risk Management: For options traders, consider ATM or slightly ITM CE options to manage premium decay. Avoid chasing the opening; let a pullback confirm strength. Scenario 2: Flat Opening (near 24,648-24,696) If Nifty opens flat, the No Trade Zone at 24,696-24,750 will play a critical role. This zone might act as a sideways region (Yellow Trend) if prices struggle to break out. 🔹 Plan of Action: Stay cautious inside the No Trade Zone as there may be choppy moves. A breakout above 24,750 or a breakdown below 24,526 will signal the direction. Go long above 24,750 with a stop loss below 24,696. Go short below 24,526, targeting 24,484 and lower levels. 🔹 Bullish or Bearish Confirmation: Bullish breakout: Above 24,750. Bearish breakdown: Below 24,526. 🔹 Risk Management: Use defined stop losses, and avoid overleveraging positions. For options, consider buying spreads to reduce premium risk. Scenario 3: Gap Down Opening (100+ points) If Nifty opens near or below 24,526 (Opening Intraday Support), the 24,484 and 24,309 levels will act as crucial supports. 🔹 Plan of Action: Observe price action at 24,526. If support holds, expect a bounce back toward 24,696. If 24,526 breaks, initiate short positions targeting 24,484 and 24,309. If prices drop below 24,309 (Last Intraday Support), it could lead to a sharp decline (Red Trend). 🔹 Key Levels for Shorts: Immediate Targets: 24,484 → 24,309. 🔹 Risk Management: Manage trades with strict stop loss above 24,526 for shorts. For options traders, consider buying OTM PE options for risk-limited trades. 🔹 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders: Avoid holding positions overnight in volatile market conditions. Use defined stop losses and trail profits to protect gains. Prefer spreads (CE/PE spreads) instead of naked buying to manage risk and decay. Wait for hourly candle closes at critical levels for better confirmation. 🔹 Summary & Conclusion: Above 24,750, expect bullish continuation towards 25,041. Flat opening inside the No Trade Zone requires caution; wait for breakout/breakdown. Below 24,526, bears can take control, with levels 24,484 and 24,309 acting as key supports. Watch price action near support/resistance and avoid random entries. 🔹 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
Nifty searching for upward momentum. Nifty has again held on to the Motherline support of 50 Hours EMA today and if it is able to cross the resistance of 24698 more upside can be on the cards. In such a scenario the resistances on the upside in addition to 24698 will be at 24775, 24852, 24975 and finally 25147. The supports for Nifty on the lower side seem to be at Mother line of 50 Hours EMA which is at 24852, 24398 Father line support of 200 hours EMA, Mid channel support at 24290 and finally the support is at 24174. Below 24174 Nifty become very weak. Above 25147 there will be a parallel channel breakout and Bulls will become very powerful. The signs are positive and despite a negative day on the browsers shadow of the candle is neutral to positive for tomorrow. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Breakout Confirmation- Ready to hit 25,647 !!Nifty 50: Outlook for next week and feb-25 After analyzing the index’s movement from August to December 2024, Nifty 50 has exhibited two key patterns: 1. Head & Shoulders: • Rally from 24,887 to ATH 26,277 (Sep 9–26). • Breakdown after completing the right shoulder on Oct 21, leading to a 1,500-point fall to 23,291 on Nov 22. 2. Inverse Head & Shoulders: • Formation began on Oct 23, with the head completed on Nov 21 and a neckline formed by Nov 26. • On Dec 4, the right shoulder completed, followed by a breakout above 24,463. The index consolidated for a week between Dec 4–13, strengthening the breakout signal. Outlook With strong confirmation of a bullish reversal above last week close, supported by FIIs inflows and favorable macroeconomic data (CPI/IIP), It is highly likely that Nifty 50 is likely to hit 25,647 by December 23, 2024. If the breakout doesn’t happen then we can see a consolidation and retest on last week levels failing which will lead to a breakdown which can push Nifty to 23,000 levels by Februrary 2025 Disclaimer: I am not SEBI-registered. This analysis is for educational and study purposes only. Any trade taken based on this view is solely at your own risk and is not a recommendation.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by chandakpulkit
Nifty Trading Strategy for 15th December 2024Nifty Trading Strategy Key Levels: Buy Above: The high of the 5-minute candle which closes above 24,940 Sell Below: The low of the 5-minute candle which closes below 24,600 Risk Strategies: Risk Strategy 1: If the market opens with a gap up around 24,820-24,840, wait for the first 5-minute candle to close. Enter a buy position above the high of the first 5-minute candle. Enter a sell position below the low of the first 5-minute candle. Stop-Loss: Use a stop-loss of 30 points for both buy and sell positions. Risk Strategy 2: If the market opens with a gap up around 24,920-24,950, wait for the first 5-minute candle to close. Enter a buy position above the high of the first 5-minute candle. Enter a sell position below the low of the first 5-minute candle. Stop-Loss: Use a stop-loss of 30 points for both buy and sell positions. Additional Tips: Monitoring: Continuously monitor the 5-minute chart for clear buy or sell signals. Risk Management: Always use a stop-loss to manage risk and protect your capital. Market Conditions: Stay updated on market news and events that could impact Nifty. Disclaimer: I am not SEBI registered. This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Please consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by ramkkyy
NIFTY : Trading Plan and levels for 16-Dec-2024Trading Plan for Nifty 16-Dec-2024 Intro: Yesterday's Plan vs Actual The chart uploaded for 15-Dec-2024 accurately depicted the market's movement. As anticipated, Nifty faced sharp recovery from mentioned zone after a sharp decline in prices. Monday’s plan builds on these insights, focusing on opening scenarios and trading strategies. Plan for Different Opening Scenarios Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 24,781) If Nifty opens significantly higher, near or above 25,053 : Expect resistance around 25,053 (marked red on the chart). Observe for rejection signals such as bearish candles or reduced buying momentum. Plan of Action: For aggressive traders: Initiate a short position with a target of 24,767 , placing a stop-loss above 25,100 on an hourly candle close basis. For conservative traders: Wait for a pullback toward the consolidation zone ( 24,653 - 24,767 ) for potential long positions, targeting a retest of 25,053 . Watch out for a decisive breakout above 25,053 , which can trigger further bullish momentum toward 25,335 . Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 24,781) If Nifty opens near the previous close: The consolidation zone ( 24,653 - 24,767 ) will act as a critical area. Plan of Action: Initiate long positions if Nifty sustains above 24,767 with targets of 25,053 . Place stop-loss below 24,653 . If Nifty slips below 24,653 , short positions can be considered with a target of 24,542 . Ensure a tight stop-loss above 24,653 . Pay attention to the price action in the yellow trend zone, as sideways movement could lead to traps. Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below 24,781) If Nifty opens near 24,542 or lower: 24,542 is the opening support level (marked green on the chart). Observe for sharp recovery signs like bullish engulfing candles. Plan of Action: For bulls: Look for a recovery from 24,542 to target 24,653 with a stop-loss below 24,500 . If 24,542 breaks decisively, expect bearish momentum toward 24,217 . In this case, initiate shorts with a target of 24,217 and stop-loss above 24,542 . Risk Management Tips for Options Trading Avoid taking positions during the first 15-30 minutes of market opening to avoid false moves. For intraday options trading, use at-the-money or slightly in-the-money options to minimize time decay impact. Set a fixed risk percentage (e.g., 2-3% of your capital) per trade. Stick to it strictly. Avoid holding positions beyond your planned targets. Use trailing stop-losses to lock in profits during trending moves. Summary and Conclusion The key zones to watch today are: Support: 24,542 , 24,653 . Resistance: 25,053 , 25,335 . Green trend indicates bullish potential, yellow for sideways movement, and red for bearish scenarios. Adapt to price action at critical levels and prioritize proper risk management. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. All views are for educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their own analysis or consult with their financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 13-Dec-2024Introduction In the previous day's plan, we analyzed the Nifty 50 Index and identified key support and resistance levels. The chart highlighted a sideways trend in the yellow zone, a bullish trend in the green zone, and a bearish trend in the red zone. The actual price movement today followed the anticipated path, consolidating within the highlighted zones and providing opportunities for both long and short trades. Trading Plan for 13-Dec-2024 Gap Up Opening (100+ points) If Nifty opens with a gap up above 24,711.00, it is crucial to watch for a retest of the last and important resistance for intraday at 24,735.00. If the price sustains above this level, initiate long positions targeting 24,940.00. Place a stop loss just below 24,711.00 to manage risk. If the price fails to sustain above 24,735.00 and shows signs of reversal, consider short positions targeting the opening support/resistance zone at 24,484.00. Monitor the price action closely and adjust stop losses to protect profits as the price moves in your favor. Flat Opening If Nifty opens flat around 24,539.50, observe the price action within the highlighted yellow zone. A breakout and sustained movement above this range can pave the way for Nifty to target levels of 24,711.00 and 24,735.00. Initiate long positions if the price breaks above the yellow zone with a stop loss just below the breakout level. If the price remains within the yellow zone, avoid taking new positions and wait for a clear breakout or breakdown. In case of a breakdown below the yellow zone, consider short positions targeting the support zone at 24,484.00. Gap Down Opening (100+ points) If Nifty opens with a gap down below 24,450.00, it is essential to watch for a retest of the opening support/resistance zone at 24,484.00. If the price fails to reclaim this level and shows signs of further weakness, initiate short positions targeting the extended zone for Wave C correction at 24,354.00. Place a stop loss just above 24,484.00 to manage risk. If the price sustains above 24,484.00 after a gap down, consider long positions targeting the yellow zone and monitor for a potential reversal. Adjust stop losses to protect profits as the price moves in your favor. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading Always use stop losses to limit potential losses. Avoid over-leveraging and trade within your risk tolerance. Diversify your trades to spread risk across different positions. Keep an eye on implied volatility and time decay when trading options. Regularly review and adjust your trading plan based on market conditions. Summary and Conclusion In summary, the trading plan for 13-Dec-2024 involves monitoring key support and resistance levels based on the opening scenario. For a gap-up opening, focus on sustaining above 24,735.00 for long positions. For a flat opening, watch for a breakout from the yellow zone. For a gap-down opening, monitor the 24,484.00 level for potential short positions. Implementing proper risk management strategies is crucial for successful options trading. Disclaimer I am not a SEBI registered analyst. The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
Nifty50 Important levels and analysis - 12 Dec 2024After a 10-11% correction the Nifty50 found support at 23250 on 21 Nov 2024 which now acts as a stop-loss for Long term investors. It broke the sloping trend-line on 25 Nov 2024 with a gap-up open, finding resistance at 23350 retraced to 23850 and then made a strong up move, this formation is a ideal setup for Swing Traders, who might have taken a trade at 24350 with a stop-loss at 23850. Next smaller resistance was at 24540 which it broke convincingly on 5th Dec 2024. But over this past one week, that strong move from 23250 has fizzled a little, which until yesterday was alright but today's 12 Dec 2024 bearish candle indicator re-tracement back to 24350. Even though the market is in Rally mode, Level 24753 needs to be broken convincingly for this trend to continue. But it may take some effort as this level (24750) was the base level of the head and shoulder pattern that had formed over Sept-Oct. I am expecting sideways moves in the near term, in the range of 24350 to 24750, but will turn bearish if 24350 support is broken. And bullish only if 24750 is broken with good volumes Disclaimer: This is purely educational and part of my learning, I cannot provide any recommendations, just my educated analysis based on my experience, please consult a financial/investment advisor (which i am not) for any investment/trades.
NSE:NIFTY
by Mukadam
Trendline sending Nifty in consolidation mode. Trendline sending Nifty in consolidation mode for last few days. The positive thing is that Nifty is still holding above 50 hours EMA which we call Mother Line. The Mother line is at 24545 and the closing we got today is 24548. So Mother line still remains support. There is an additional support at 24500 too in addition to Father line which is 200 Hours EMA is also a very important support. Father line is at 24364. Below 24364 Nifty will become weak again and we can see it fall to the levels of 24100, 23907 and 23187. Resistances for Nifty remain at 24723, 24904, 25240 and finally 25514. 25514 will be a strong resistance. If we get a closing above 25514 Bulls have potential to grip the market very firmly and take it to previous highs if not new highs. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
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