NIFTY Next Week Target Prediction (May 16, 2024)Nifty 15m has conquered the EMA 100 at the end of the hour today.
We were able tp capture both the PE and CE side momentum using Risological Indicators.
Hopefully next week, we will see Bullish days.
On a Daily timeframe, chart looks BEARISH. So, we might also see a BIG gapdown on Monday morning.
Trade safe. have a happy weekend!
Niftyoutlook
Nifty falling channel breakout Index bounced aggressively after making a temporary bottom at 21823 . 21823 stays an important level to watch out for, If index sustains below 22000 and starts sliding long traders should exit their position!
Falling channel breakout gives us the following targets -
Target 1 - 21350 zone
Target 2 - 21500/530 zone
Strict Sl once the index starts sliding below 22000 and starts sustaining below it!
Nifty ready to bounce back?Nifty has been moving very well within the channel range in the daily time frame. 22,000 is an important support level in this channel, and it's holding it very well for now. Today's close shows bulls are back in with a fight. I wouldn't enter into any short trade right now, if you are holding shorts, its a good time to exit
Bears... stay a little longer. Will be interesting to see where we open. A gap up will my ideal scenario where we could short with a tight SL from the word "GO...". A neutral opening, again if we plan to go short, the position size will have to be significantly smaller. In case of Gap down opening, I shall wait for a retracement to sell into. That's the plan.
NIFTY 780+ Points and RunningGUY!
Look what I ve been able to catch!
780+ points on NIFTY and still running.
Closed position partially. 25% still open position, Iam gonna let it run till the price crosses above the Risological Astra dotted line.
The Risological astra shows there is a little more room for a dip before a reversal.
Let's wait and watch.
Furthermore, the election results are round the corner, so expecting crazy moves soon.
I will update with fresh opportunities. Watch this space or follow my profile to catch moves.
Can Channel Bottom Support save Nifty?As you can see Nifty is resting very timidly at the bottom of the channel after confirmation of H&S Break down. Most of the indices were thrashed like bowlers are thrashed in IPL matches this season. If Nifty has to recover it has to be done in next couple of sessions that is Friday or Monday. If the current support around 21900 is broken the next supports are only at 21769, 21543 and finally 20991. Below these levels more pain will be there in the system and Bears will become even more powerful. Resistances on the upper side now are at 22096, 22231 (Mother Line Support) (50 EMA), 22311 and 22502. Shadow of the candle is looking negative but bears will try to give a fight for sure if not tomorrow very soon.
Falling down ... Falling down!!Nifty spot and FUT, both settled at crucial levels marked in our previous analysis. This is the level that has to be protected for Nifty to stay "NOT BEARISH" at least. Now with an even in sight, I am not sure how it will behave. My previous narrative was that Nifty would stay at ATH levels and with the election result, would fall. But now it seems like there is a different narrative playing out. In the opposite scenario, Nifty should visit 21750 levels and consolidate there, to rally on "surprisingly" (Sarcasm intended) good results for BJP with a stable Govt.
Possibility of further downside. If we consider the high and low of the last day candle in futures as a range, a break in either direction can give a sharp sting that way before turning and going the opposite way. This is just a story that played in my head. And the probability of this being on the down side seems more likely. 22350 and 22300 may be likely in this case before we see a short covering rally.
NIFTY to shed 3000 pointsAs per neowave analysis wave D is to unfold its mega wave ''C''
wave A and B are Flat to reach the 1.618 of previous wave
today this will happen ,from next week onwards you can see the ABYSS
All important levels are given in the chart, trade accordingly.
This is as per wave theory, real time application into trade is on your risk
Short covering from the word GO22650. Who are these straddle writers who believe in the fables of the fall of Titans? Depending on the Pre market open price, we can see when they will run for cover. Not IF, but WHEN. Let us see if we can gather enough buyers to take out the fabled 22800 short sellers today. Most likely it might happen by the end of the day.
See you on the other side, NIFTY!There is one significant support that has to be protected this week. Any retracement will have to be absorbed around this area and Nifty will gather steam to revisit OR perhaps even break ATH. 22800 in FUT is where bears have big orders. Let's see what happens when we retest that area to eat up all those orders.
22447 to 22481 proving to be a tough resistance to crack.Since yesterday 22447 to 22481 is again and again blocking the Nifty rally. Only after 22481 is crossed and held we will see the rally continue further. Further resistance will be near 22558, 22612, 22692 or even 22780+. In case the resistance proves strong enough the supports will be found at 22376, 22342 and 22290. If 22290 is broken then further supports will be found at 22201, 21972 and finally 22784. Shadow of the candle is still looking positive.
Nifty took a critical support at 21777. (A number to watch)Nifty fell like a hot knife going through butter slab reacting to Iran Israel news. There was some respite today as Nifty has takena support at 21777 and bounced back to close the week at 22147 staging a remarkable recovery. 21777 will remain a critical support to watch for reminder of the month. In case this support is not held further supports will be only between the range of 21157 and 20973. If 20973 is further falls casualty to any escalation between Iran and Israel, we still have a strong support near 20592 which is also a Mid channel support. If by chance mid channel support is broken there can be a free fall towards 20237 or even 18878 levels if situation worsens. On the positive side of it if 21777 is respected we can further see resistances near 22318, 22514 and ATH resistance near 22775 levels. Things are delicately poised but let us hope peace prevails and we see nifty bouncing back drastically in the coming week or weeks. Local sentiments still remain good except for the fact that some FIIs are not happy with tax heavens status withdrawal from Mauritius. Global factors specially related to Israel and Iran are governing the global sentiments currently.
Market Outlook:Market Outlook:
The factors related to Israel and Iran Conflict will e the leading cause for market and moves rather than other local or Techincal factors for the next few days it seems. However the Support and Resistance levels seem to be as under.
Nifty Resistance: In case there is some positive news of tension related to conflict decreasing will be at 22424, 22534 and 22620.
Nifty Supports: In case there is further escalation in conflict which looks more likely will be at 22622, 22112(Major support from where Nifty can bounce), 22008, 21711.3. If 21711.3 is broken we can see the levels of 21149 or even 20753.
Shadow of the candle is negative and anyway Global factors specially Iran and Israel will be decisive force driving the Nifty for next few days it seems.
Nifty broke a major support and is near a crucial support. As depicted in the last message. Nifty was near a crucial resistance zone which is between 22770 and 22808. Nifty fell sharply from these levels triggred by possibility of a major 3rd World War like crisis due to Iran and Israel conflict. Now Nifty is below a major resistance that is 22567 and just above a major support level near 22511. Any further escalation in war has potential to make Nifty plunge into a nose dive towards 22416 or 22309 levels. If 22303 levels are broken Nifty can further fall quickly towards 22K levels or below. However if there is de-escalation we can see a relief rally in Nifty with resistances at 22567, 22622 and 22689 levels. In case of Nifty rising this week again 22770 to 22808 zone will be a very nasty resistance to cross. Shadow of the candle is neutral as of now and anything can happen due to global factors. Local factors are in favour of investors and fall if any can be used to invest and bottom fish.
Again Nifty reaches a difficult resistance Zone. Again Nifty has reached a difficult resistance zone which is between 22773 and 22808. This is a difficult zone to cross as it has a fibonacci resistance as will as the ATH Resistance. If we get a gap up opening and a nice sustenance there after above this resistance it can resolve the problem of the resistance band. In this case further resistances will be in the range of 22898 and 23018. In case the zone acts as a difficult zone to conquer the supports for Nifty will be near 22622, 22561 and 22422. Shadow of the candle is neutral but momentum is positive so it will be an interesting day Bulls and Bears both will try to snatch the initiative. Also weekly closing has potential to keep things more interesting.
Profit Booking seen after Nifty makes new high. Nifty in the early morning trade made a high of 22768.4 thereafter there was profit booking seen as expected post most highs. While receding the Nifty has taken support at 22622 and closed the day at 22642.75. These 2 levels will be important levels going forward. In case of further continuation of bull rally if we get a closing above 22769 the New targets or resistance zone for Nifty will be zone between 22769 to 22808. Closing above 22808 will open the doors for 22898 and 23000+ targets. In case the resistance zone between 22769 and 22808 is too tough to cross the support zone will be 22622, 22509, 22422, 22309 and finally 22250. Below 22250 Nifty becomes weak and Bears will try to snatch the control. Shadow of the candle right now is neutral today.
Closing above 22629 has ensured it is a cup and handle BO. Closing above 22629 has ensured it is a cup and handle Break Out for Nifty. Now the only major hurdle remaining between another leg of bull run and consolidation is the resistance at 22701. Once 22701 is crossed next targets for Nifty will be 22803(Major Resistance), 22910, 23047 and 23220. If the breakout fails and Nifty is not able to cross 22701 swiftly the support levels will be at 22619, 22536, 22454 and finally 22219. Bears will awaken from coma only after we get a closing below this level till that time enjoy the bull run. Perhaps some consolidation might also be seen before some further progress in unlikely circumstances. Right now it is a one horse race for bulls and shadow of the candle is positive.