Bulls fightback after bears had engulfed previous day's candle.What we saw today in Nifty was a remarkable fight back by bulls after bears had yesterday made an engulfing of previous Two days candled. Not only that the Nifty ended at 22217 recovering from day's low of 21875 which is a strong 342 point recovery from day's lows. Yesterday there was a bearish engulfing but what we had maintained is that today's candle has to close below the lows of yesterday. This means a follow up candle is required to confirm a break out or a break down. That is why we put a lot of emphasis on CLOSING and FOLLOW UP CANDLE. . Nifty has first time given a closing above 22200 today and it is very important for the bulls to close the week tomorrow above this psychological level.
Future resistances for Nifty are at: 22252, 22350 and 22412.
Support Levels for Nifty are near: 21997, 21876 and 21520.
Niftyoutlook
NIFTY-- RSI Divergence Is Negative??Nifty index is showing strong bullishness.
Price breaks the All time High again and printed a New High.
An Impulse move is identified but no corrective move detected, so those who wants to go long again,
wait for the price to retrace back.
wait for reversal in NIFTY index. Keep in long side as long as price in a channel.
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What RSI Divergence saying is::
If the stock is making new highs,
but the RSI starts making lower highs, this warns the price uptrend may be weakening.
This is negative divergence.
The trader can then determine if they want to exit the position or set a stop loss in case the price starts to decline.
Bearish Engulfing Candle may take Nifty down.Bearish Engulfing Candle engulfed previous two Green Candle in Nifty chart today and may take Nifty down bringing in some consolidation and correction if we get a confirmation red candle tomorrow. If we get a closing below 21997 tomorrow bears may rejoice. The supports for Nifty in case of negative closing tomorrow will be at 21997, 21793, The zone between 21573 and 21410 has many supports including 50 days EMA and Mid-channel support. A closing below 21410 will elevate the mood of bears who will try to pull Nifty further down to next support levels of 21148 and 20770. In case 20770 is broken 200 days support of Nifty will be near 20114. On the upper side 22449 will remain an important resistance. Channel top seems to be near 23K but Nifty will need a lot of consolidation and little bit of correction before we can reach there.
Nifty closed above important Fibonacci level looks good.A good closing today in Nifty above important Fibonacci level of 22126. Now the next important Fibonacci resistances will be 22288 and 22495. Supports for Nifty will be 21999, 21828 and 21671. As of now Nifty seems to be making a higher high higher low kind of pattern and today seems to have given a good breakout but good follow up candle is pending. If we can get that a good follow up green candle tomorrow or later in the week if there is consolidation it will be very good signal for the bull rally and indicate that bull rally has not run out of steam and will continue further. IT/Auto/Mid/Small cap/ PSU/Pharma stocks are showing signs of fatigue but Bank Nifty, Finance, Energy, Media and Realty stocks kept the Nifty in Green today and helped it march ahead.
NIFTY--Impulse-Correction?? A Strong impulse wave is identified in NIFTY.
Wait for the corrective wave to continue its direction or reversal.
After corrective wave will decide further direction of NIFTY.
Now it is at Resistance zone.
will see tomorrow outside bearish candle or Outside bullish candle forms.
Because liquidity lies on both sides.
Until price breaks the 21800 levels no short side view.
NIFTY--Breakout or Breakdown??Nifty is now at important zone of resistance.
this is the place to continue its direction or reversal.
If you want to go for short, wait until the price breaks the trendline.
A strong bullishness is observed from 21500 levels, on bottom side side we have strong demand zones lies in the range of 21400-21300 levels...
if price breaks the trendline these demands push the price upside.
so wait for clear direction in nifty to short from this levels. Now its time to think for complete short side.
Yesterday a strong bullishness is observed if this is an exhaustion of buyers, after a complete range bound is observed. so its time to wait in nifty for Breakout or breakdown.
NIFTY--Bearish View(21300)??NIFTY INDEX is at crucial zone to move further upside or downside...
Price is trading in a channel...
price broken the trendline grab the liquidity at 21600 levels.
on topside price again created a one more trendline, as of now this is the resistance which lies at 21930-21950 zones. If this trendline acts as resistance, more chances of fall below key level.
so if price comes to this levels wait for bearish turn...
If there is no bearishness price will continue towards strong resistance at ATH, by facing intermediate resistances at 22050.
After the liquidity grab On topside above trendline as well we have chance of fall back...so wait until price to break the key level.
check the bullish case-- we have Rally Base Rally.
Major up move in Nifty, a good closing above major resistance.Today we saw a major fightback by bulls and closing above 2 major resistances which were 50 and 200 Hours EMA after a super negative start(Gap down due to unfavorable US Inflation data). The closing however is just below a resistance of 21872. A positive closing again tomorrow will give more power to the bulls. Shadow of the candles today is positive.
Nifty Resistance Levels: 21872, 21922, 21970 and 22013.
Nifty Support levels: 21787, 21739, 21633 and finally 21625(Major 200 hours EMA and Mid-channel Support).
NIFTY--Drop Base Drop??Nifty showing strong bullishness from Golden Zone...
price is now at breakout level,
if price breaks above then liquidity on topside will done at 21880 and 21950 levels.
If price unable to breaks the upside...a Drop base drop is going to observe from this levels.
On bottom side we are left with bullish gap 21400 levels...
if price unable to break above price clears the bullish gap left below...
buy setup and sell setup are given in the previous post, please go through it.
If price tests the demand zones at 21300-21400 levels look for buy side.
NIFTY--@Traingle Breakout??NIFTY Index is now at golden zone of fibonacci
we are still left with some more points on the bottom side at 21500-21520 levels...
previously a strong bullishness is observed as well from this zone...
price is also trading narrow in a trendline most chances of breakout from this levels...
wait for the price to break the trendline and retest for longer side...
otherwise a continuation may happens...
on bottom side we have strong support lies at 21300 levels...
keep mark this zone as well,if it will continue downside will look for buy at 21300 levels...
price clears the liquidity at 21600 levels....
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NIFTY--Bullish View (22.5K) ??Bullish Scenario::
----->> if price breaks the trendline on topside.. price will reach ATH, and facing resistance at ATH.. before going to reach ATH ,on topside we have intermediate resistances at 22050 level..
---->>if price opens upside above 21950...we have consolidation chance between the trendline and 22050.
If price consolidation for the entire day, and price closes at ATH.
Then we have chance of Gap down(If Bearish view)..continue moving downside and will test 21300 level of demand zones.
or
Continuation may happens to upside...Keylevel to watch--21800.
if trendline acts as support...Wait for the trendline retest, Price again tries to test the trendline and moves upside for targets of 22450,22600 levels,
NIFTY--Consolidation or Bearish??look for bearish from 22050 and trendline...
Keep in long side as long as price is above the 21950 levels...
if you want to go short wait for the price to facing the resistance from 21875 key zone
If price takes the support at trendline or 21950 go bullish by keeping the SL at Key zone.
we have a chance of consolidation between the zones 22050 and 21950 and manipulation to ATH, and then Distribution to downside.
Keep safe here...price is now at turning point...
Have a look at the Bullish Continuation and Bearish view for complete analysis.
Nifty Takes support at Mid-Channel support. (Nifty Next Week).In the trade on Friday Nifty took support at the Mid-Channel support which was also a trend line support which was near 21629. The 200 hours EMA support was also nearby at 21610. So Nifty made a turn around from this support zone. The Nifty stopped and closed the week just below the 50 hours EMA resistance which is at 21795. This will be the immediate resistance for Nifty as it opens on Monday. The other important resistances for Nifty to conquer in the next week will be at 21849, 21922, 21970 and 22013. If 22013 is conquered the next resistances will be near 22062 and 22126. Support zone for Nifty will be between 21648 to 21610. If we get a closing below 21610 Nifty will be in trouble as bears will wake up near that level. In such a scenario the next support will be either at 21459 or 21285 only.
NIFTY-Trendline Liquidity @21600As of now NIFTY INDEX is still in Bullish.
now price is trading near its resistance zone...
today's trading session is important to continue moving upwards...
if price consolidation price will break the resistance....
we have a trendline liquidity below 21600 levels....
If price unable to break above liquidity will be finish...keep in long side as long as price is above the trendline.
Again the same resistance zone pushes Nifty back.As described yesterday again the same resistance zone between 21964 and 22063 traps Nifty and pushes it back. Trendline is giving Nifty support and not allowing to fall drastically. The same resistance trapping the candles again and again does not help the rally and makes it weak. Thus the shadow of Nifty is negative. Resistance and Supports for Nifty are as under:
Nifty Supports: 21870, 21819, 21652 and finally 21587. (Below 21587 Nifty becomes very weak and bears come in full force).
Nifty Resistances: 21964, 22063 and finally 22127. (Above 22127 the door for our target of 22357 opens).
NIFTY--Double Top or Inverse H&S ??Need some more trading sessions to analysis, to confirm upside or downside??
I am sharing the important levels of Support and Resistance. These levels plays a crucial role in trading decisions, as they act as reliable markers of price movements.
------>>Support levels are price points where an asset tends to find buying interest, preventing it from falling further.
---->Resistance levels, on the other hand, are points where selling pressure typically prevents the asset from rising higher.
Take a look at these levels and trade accordingly. Recognizing and respecting these support and resistance levels can help traders make informed decisions and manage risk effectively. They serve as key reference points for technical analysis and are vital tools in successful trading strategies.
Trade safe...Thank you guys for your support
Nifty Confirms 50 EMA (Mother Line) Support and rises ahead.Nifty today confirmed the 50 EMA Mother line support and raced ahead only to be stopped by resistance zone near 21950-21964. Crossing and closing above 21964 will unleash further upside and can take Nifty towards 22063 or 22127. Peak of the rally based on the current trend lines can be near 22357. Supports for Nifty are now at 21819, 21779 and finally 21561. Closing below 21561 will give a chance to the bears to wake up from slumber.
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-05-Feb-24 to 09-Feb-24Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-05-Feb-24 to 09-Feb-24
Nifty closed at 21853 ( Prev Close 21353 ) and touched low & high of 21429 & 22126
RSI and stochastics levels ( 58% & 74 % Respectively). Stochastics is near overbought zone.
Market closed all time high and moved higher comparative to last week but is in indecisive state, could not take any direction as it could not surpass the previous all time high 22117 decisively.
Interim budget announced was a status quo budget, no relief for income tax payers, no change in corporate tax, as expected Capex for infra (Railways & Road) increased. Infra Stocks, undervalued bluechip stocks can be considered.
Nifty IT 37323 (Last week 36496) -To continue hold. On the last day (Fri) of last week it was traded upto 1100 points and moved up. major support at 34918 /34000.
Nifty bank 45970( 44866) Moved 1000 points up compared to last week. support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). Purchase on Dips.
Profit booking upto 30% was suggested in the last 1.5 months, Cash is useful to pick the right stocks currently to pick the right stock. Purchased Nifty Bank at Jan 1st & 2nd week when it was low using that cash.
Refer to detailed comments in the bottom.
Nifty- Short Term ( Neutral - Bearish Continued)- 21300 ( trend Line support Provided was major support last week.
Resistances are at 21439 ( Fib Resistance), 21639 ( MA 21 days) , 22000, 22117, 22155
Further below to 21300, 20800-21000 have strong Fib Support and trend line support as shown in the chart.
Nifty Medium Term & long Term ( Neutral)- Can buy at 20800 -21000 level in case of dip.
Target Fibonacci extended resistance is near to 22500 as shown in chart. nifty will move to next target 22308 (Fib Resistance)/22521.
Support at 20225 (prev high), 20000 ( Fib Resistance)
Long Term
Market expected range bound between 22500 to 18800 expected till mid of 2024.
Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance).
Comments (04-Feb-24) :
Earlier last 2-3 months , purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up by 20%. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. But to a surprise Nifty IT moved up 4-5% up as US economy is recovering. Last two weeks IT was little down but comparatively lesser than Nifty Index and nifty Bank.
Simillarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 10% last two weeks. Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy last week. Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term.
As expected, stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
NIFTY--Double Top??Nifty index is created a demand zone at bottom levels...
strong consolidation is observed today on top at Supply zone, liquidity grab is also done above the same supply zone...
if it forms a double top here it is likely to test the demand zones lies below 20800 levels
if it failed to make it, then a long continuation may again happens from 21300 levels....
keep safe from this zones.
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I am sharing the important levels of Support and Resistance. These levels plays a crucial role in trading decisions, as they act as reliable markers of price movements.
------>>Support levels are price points where an asset tends to find buying interest, preventing it from falling further.
---->Resistance levels, on the other hand, are points where selling pressure typically prevents the asset from rising higher.
Nifty is Squeezing in a tight Triangle. Nifty is squeezing in a tight triangle and within this week or the next will give way on either side with a big breakout or a big break down.
Today Nifty respected the trendline resistance near 21832 and also respected the Mother line 50 EMA Support near 21626 where it came in the touching distance near 21658 and reversed to end the day at 21697 just below the psychological level of 21700. Same Set of supports and resistances will come into play tomorrow with very little room left for Nifty to give a break out on either side.
Nifty Supports: 21626 and 21482.
Nifty Resistances: 21806 to 21852 (Strong Resistance zone), and 21966.
NIFTY50_01FEB2024Prediction Next three months:
Level: Alert
Action: Accumulate funds for long term investment
Nifty50 seems at cautious levels. It seems like market was expecting a boost from interim budget with various schemes , specially for infra boost. Budget has a sufficient amount of fund allocation with continuation to growth and GDP figures achievement plans.
But this isnt enough for nifty to cross 22000 levels. Execution from companies need to be fast tracked. New players need to involve in market. Retail, Private and Public partnership could lead to further growth. Next boost is expected with three main expectations:
1) JPM's inclusion of Indian bond market (JUNE 2024)
2) FED and RBI cut in interest rates
3) Main budget after election.
Formation of current government again after election is already absorbed by market. Now if current government is not re-elected or elected with less majority compared to previous election, than it may lead to failure in market prospectus and a bigger correction upto 18800 levels may be seen.
For time being, expect a level of 20050 soon. Period of 1 FEB to 1 May is crucial.
NIFTY--Gapup or Gapdown??
Price is exactly closed at trendline resistance... which is also a strong resistance...
I am sharing the important levels of Support and Resistance. These levels plays a crucial role in trading decisions, as they act as reliable markers of price movements.
------>>Support levels are price points where an asset tends to find buying interest, preventing it from falling further.
---->Resistance levels, on the other hand, are points where selling pressure typically prevents the asset from rising higher.
Take a look at these levels and trade accordingly. Recognizing and respecting these support and resistance levels can help traders make informed decisions and manage risk effectively. They serve as key reference points for technical analysis and are vital tools in successful trading strategies.
Trade safe...Thank you guys for your support
NIFTY--22000 0r 20800 ??I am sharing the important levels of Support and Resistance. These levels plays a crucial role in trading decisions, as they act as reliable markers of price movements.
------>>Support levels are price points where an asset tends to find buying interest, preventing it from falling further.
---->Resistance levels, on the other hand, are points where selling pressure typically prevents the asset from rising higher.
Take a look at these levels and trade accordingly. Recognizing and respecting these support and resistance levels can help traders make informed decisions and manage risk effectively. They serve as key reference points for technical analysis and are vital tools in successful trading strategies.
Trade safe...Thank you guys for your support