Nifty's unsuccessfully attempts to break free for down trendNifty's unsuccessfully attempts to break free for down trend was successful in breaking one down trend but the next trend line and resistance near 19584 was too tough for it to conquer. As Nifty was unsuccessful in breaking the trend bears capitalized and brought the nifty below both 50 and 200 hours EMA. Now Nifty rests on delicate support of 19365. This is a weak support and if bears attack again this support may not hold. Next support for Nifty in such a case can be near 19310 and 19252. If 19252 is broken Nifty can yield control to the bears who may try to push it further down to 19164, 19050 or even below 19K by the end of this month. Resistances on the upper side 19437 (Strong Resistance now) followed by 19479 and 19538. But things look a little dull for weekly closing.
In the Background Speech by Powell in US Fed Jackson Hole Symposium tomorrow will be key to future of global markets. Right now things do not look good as the signals are that US FED may continue with the Hawkish stand.
Niftyoutlook
NIFTY--Retracement or Reversal??After a strong fall from the 19500 range price is again retraced back.
If we want to go for short wait until price breaks the trendline and retest....
until don't go for short side...
A fake breakout may also happens at 19500 levels...keep safe.
keep observe this line...
Nifty Outlook:Nifty is taking support at the 50 days EMA and trying to stage recovery from there but 19440 to 19520 is a resistance zone which it is finding difficult to clear. If and when that resistance zone is cleared the next resistance zone is near 19631 and 19786. In case the Nifty breaks 50 EMA and parallel channel bottom support the bears will feel empowered and they can further drag the index down. Supports for Nifty on the lower sides are near 19274, 18900 and finally 18392.
Nifty Just above Major Support Zone. Nifty is just above a major support zone if this support which is a very strong one is broken then we can see further weakness in Nifty. This week is crucial for Nifty. The supports for Nifty are near 19264 (Major Support). 19000, 18900 and Finally the zone between 18400 to 18372 (which seems to be a worst case scenario but is only if 19264 and 19000 are broken. (It will not be easy for bears to achieve this. On the upper side if Nifty jumps from the current support the resistances can be near 19513, 19631, 19786 and finally 19991.
50 days EMA gave proper support. 50 days EMA gave proper support to Nifty supporting our MFSC Theory (Mother, Father Small Child Theory). Till Nifty remains above 50 days EMA all is good. Once / If the support is broken there can be panic and DII who are in the buying mode and supporting the index in every fall also might turn into sellers. That is not the case for now and 19299 and 19250 remain as major supports. Closing below 19250 can take us to the levels like 19079, 18894 and 18637. On the upper side if the recovery continues post major comeback on Monday, the resistances on the upper side are 19524 and 19657. Nifty very interestingly poised after a great fightback from Bulls who helped Nifty close in positive on Monday staging about 177 points recovery.
NIFTY--Liquidity @19650 and @19300 ??Nifty index price is turned to be bearish from a ranging...
now the price is near to its bullish gap...
If this acts as support and trendline breaks price is said to be bullish again...
clears the liquidity @19600-19650 levels...
be on bearish side until price breaks trendline...
If trendline breaks keep on buy side up to 19550 and 19600 levels.
Keep safe before short side...as it is on important level of support @19300 levels.
If price is continue to be bearish then we have a another bullish gap + Demand is located @19150 levels...
before going down it may clears the liquidity on top side...keep safe...
Totally Ranging from 19650-19150 levels.
Critical Final Support Zone For Nifty has arrived. Critical Support Zone For Nifty has arrived. This support zone is between the low of today that is 19412 and 19299.This zone has potential to support Nifty and empower it to cross 200 and 50 hours EMA which are at 19470 and 19538 respectively. Bullish sentiment can return only after closing above 19538. Crossing 19538 the next resistance for Nifty can be near 19597 and 19645. Closing above 19645 will then give psychological edge to the Bulls who will try to pull Nifty above 19800 and eventually 20K+. Closing below 19299 can change the trend in favour of Bears.
NIFTY--@Trendline Break??The Nifty index is now near its trendline...
After taking the support from Right shoulder...it is ready to break the trendline...
if price breaks the trendline, we will observe a good upside move...
If price breaks the trendline tomorrow might be a trending day for nifty.
today price is consolidated in a range...
if it breaks upside this time it will finishes bearishgap...
If it is unable to break the trendline...will look for short side...until keep on buy side...
Nifty Respected our Mother Father Small Child Theory. Nifty on a third attempt today broke the Parallel chanel top and closed comfortably above 50 hours EMA (19568)(Mamma Line). If Nifty sustains above 19568 tomorrow it will turn positive again. In such a scenario the next resistances will be at 19645 and 19684. Crossing and closing above 19684 will open the possibility of Nifty 19798 and 19850+. Supports for Nifty on the lower side are at 19528, 19465 (Pappa Line) and 19423.
Look at the chart and think about our Mother, Father and Small Child theory which says. The small child (Candle sticks) run around like a small child set free in a garden or a play ground. Keeps coming back to Mother line (50 EMA again and again). In case of making new highs or difficult circumstances it comes to meet Pappa line (200 EMA). In case they give 'ashirvaad' or permission to fly it runs away from them with freedom. In case they dont give permission the helpless child will remain below their shadow. Mummy and Papa are strongest supports and strongest resistance for the small child. (small child being the candle sticks, 50 EMA being soft Mamma Line and 200 EMA being Strong Pappa line.
Now again look at the chart. There was a gap down on 2nd August...Mother brought the child under her shadow and told her husband..."The child is becoming very naughty please take care of him for a while...". Pappa has to oblige.
Only 4th August the child was set free by Pappa line after the child pleaded for Freedom but Mamma line this time very disturbed did not allow freedom to the child till 7th August. Again on 8th August Mamma caught hold of the child and gave possession back to Pappa. Today morning Papa again told the child (supported him but also scolded "don't be too mischievous go and play" so the child from then on was set free..). Papa also instructed the mother..."Let the child play". This time in late after noon Mamma has obliged and the child is set free to play again. If the child behaves properly this time and stays above Mamma line...It will fly/run further...
NIFTY--@Neckline Support ??price broken the neckline and retested the neckline and closing is given above the neckline.
if price opens below neckline look for short side...until bullish gap,if acts as resistance.
Look at the bottom side gap is still left,
if price wants to fill the gap it opens gap down and fill the gap and moves up again.
If neckline pushes the price again up,
will be long on break of the zone above neckline. keeping the stop loss below neckline.
If opens gap up above, the zone after filling the gap will initiate a long entry.
keep track the neckline and bullish gap.
NIFTY-- 20500 or 18500 ??Price created a strong bottom at 19300 level...
multiple times the price is taken the support from 19300 level.
This level is crucial for Nifty to sustain above 20K.
if price again creates a strong bullishness from this zone this will break the 20k zone and Reaches 20500 level easily.
the zone @19300 level is the price gives us discount, to enter long for 20500 level.
After a strong break from previous strong resistance @18900 levels,
this fall is a discounted price, those who wants to ride the trend will go for long side..
so, when to enter in long side....
from which place we have to be on the buy side....
look at these analysis... you will get a clear picture
An inverse head and shoulders pattern may form to take the price to reach 20500 levels.
so keep watch this levels by keeping an alerts.
If this fall continue It may reach 18900 and 18600, before reaching this it has to give some retracement.
will see what happens.
Thank you guys for your support and Encouragement.
NIFTY--Bullish Gap or Bearish Gap ??Bullish gap left @19200-19250
Bearish Gap left @19670-19700
when this gap be finished....??
if price continuously falls tomorrow it finishes the bullish gap.
If price showing us bullishness tomorrow,19500 will again acts as resistance..
so in order to go upside, price must be consolidates
and has to create a bullish view and retraces back then only, bearish gap be finished.
Note ::
If we observe a strong bullishness again price will break the bearish gap..
Nifty has closed near very critical resistance zone. Nifty on hourly chart has closed near very critical and strong resistance zone formed due to a parallel chanell in which it is falling since it made a new high of 19991.85. The resistance zone starts from today's high of 19620 and ends at 19685. Closing above 19685 is imperative for Nifty to go towards 19798, 19871 and finally then it can aim for the target of 20000+. Supports for the Nifty on the lower side will be at 19258 and 19423. closing below 19423 will bring back bears in action. Final support for Nifty is near 19296. Below 19296 closing Bears will start dominating. Below 19191 closing will be a trend change and Bears can take full control.
Very interestingly placed Nifty respecting a critical support. Very interestingly placed Nifty respecting a critical support of 19296. The zone between 19296 and 19174 is a good strong support zone for Nifty. If this zone will be broken the Nifty can open floodgate for bears and take the index towards 18883, 18440 or 18268 in the worst case scenario. However the strength shown on Friday should be seen as buoyancy of Indian markets which will attempt to take Nifty upwards. In such a case the next resistances will be near 19530, 19677, 19871, recent high of 19991.85 and finally towards new high and channel top near 20234. First 2 days of the week will decide the mood of reminder of the week or perhaps the full month.
Absolutely critical support levels for Nifty in range. Nifty will have three supports in range which will be like last refuge for bears. One is the low of today which already gave support in the closing hours to Nifty. i.e. 19292. Belos 19292 we have the support zone between 19202 and 19239 hopefully Nifty will bounce from this zone. If not...bears will start coming into action with a lot of energy. Lot of resistances for Nifty on the upper side. Prime Resistance being 19408 to 19438 zone. above 19438 the zone til 19604 will see a tough fight between bulls and bears. Above 19608 bull will again take control of the market.
NIFTY--Liquidity lies @19300 ??The nifty Index, after a strong fall price is given us 50%-60% retracement in Fibonacci.
if tomorrow price wants to fall this is the area that can push the price lower.
the previous resistance acts as support and price moved up again..
Don't go for short side if price breaks the low.... there is an another zone, that can immediately push the price up to trendline.
don't fall in trap here. It gives retracement again then look for sell.. until keep watch the show.
mean while price creates a trendline this area....
look for sell at that for proper targets on down side.
Look for buy on bottom side...after the break of trendline and retest up to 20K.
all the liquidity lies on these lows...that will break and reverses immediately.
Tomorrow again price enters into the consolidation zone....it will not gives us any movement.. slowly moves up and down. No proper direction. option sellers have a chance to grab this.
so keep safe.
Thank you guys for your support.
Major Correction in Nifty due to Global factors. Nifty today closed 1.05% in the negative due to major global news of US downgrade. Lot of Euphoria was also there and many stocks were seething in the overbought zone so the correction was due. Major supports now for Nifty can be near 19440 and 19315. If 19315 will be broken bears will get more empowered and next support zone will be in the range of 19239 and 19202. Resistance on the upper side will be near 19557 and 19666. Mostly it looks like Nifty will test further supports only rather than resistances this week but you never know.
Another Grand day for NiftyNifty Seems to be defying gravity and seems determined to create yet another high given it is able to clear the resistances ahead. The resistances being 19767, 19837, 19912 and 19991. If these levels are crossed the New Nifty high can be near 20100 or 20242. Supports that Nifty has as of now are 19701, 19577 and 19411. Below 19411 the only major support now remains at 19315. Below 19315 bears will wake up from coma.
Nifty Breakout or Breakdown Risk Reward 1:3 TradesRules:
In this approach, Once Breakout or Breakdown levels are breached, we initiate Long or Short positions accordingly with Proper stop loss as mentioned in the chart. Since the Risk Reward is 1:3, we can take a maximum of 3 trades.
If we follow this approach, over the long run, money is gained.
A trader is advised not to treat these setups as lottery tickets. Since only I know why these work (while others may not), only I have the conviction to trade them in real market. So kindly treat them as educational trades only.
Happy Trading!