Get started

Niftyoutlook

Nifty is trying to stage recovery but 3 big hurdles are nearby.Nifty has on Friday tried to stage a recovery. It ended up 287 points from day's low which was a remarkable feat. Now it is staring at 3 or 4 major hurdles before Bulls can come back in business. But well begun is half the job done. The three major resistances are at 24886 that is Friday's high, 24960 that is Mother line of 1 hour chart, and 25172 that is father line of 1 hour chart. To know more about Mother, Father and Small child theory read my book The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation available on Amazon in paperback and Kindle version. After 25172 the major hurdle will be at 25211. Closing above 25211 the bulls can try to take Nifty to higher levels. Support zones for Nifty will be at 24611, 24559 and 24466. If we get a closing below 24466 the bears can pull the Nifty further down and create more downside. Disclaimer: There is a chance of biases including confirmation bias, information bias, halo effect and anchoring bias in this write-up. Investment in stocks, derivatives and mutual funds is subject to market risk please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data, chart or any other information provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. They are not recommendations of any kind. We will not be responsible for Profit or loss due to descision taken based on this article. The names of the stocks or index levels mentioned if any in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any sorts.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Vs Moon Phases: How interesting is the chart?(educational)Look at the chart and the effect of moon phases on moves of Nifty. The dark circle resonates with the dates of no moon day and Grey circle indicates the day when we saw a full moon. Invariably in most of the no moon days as can be seen in the chart index is at the peak near no moon day. Then there is a fall seen in Nifty. Recovery starts in few days of Full moon day and then again Nifty makes a peak near no moon day? Is it just a coincidence? Well the chart says everything that I have to say but there is serendipity. If we go by this analysis the recovery in Nifty might be round the corner. Say tomorrow or may be first half of next week. RSI is currently on daily chart is at 37.9 with supports at 36.43 or 26.21 that was the lowest RSI in the last one year on daily charts. Bollinger band shows a support zone near 24430 range. That is the place around which we can expect the turnaround. Father line support is near 23389 which currently looks like a worst case scenario. Resistance for Nifty seems to be at 25033 and 25400. To know more about stop losses, trailing stop losses, Profit booking and investment, financial awareness in general, process of investment in Equity or Mother, Father and small child theory read my book The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation. Many People who have read it consider it as hand book and perfect guide to equity investment. You can read reviews of the book or purchase the same from Amazon. The book is available on Amazon in Kindle and paperback version. I am sure you are going to find it of massive use. Once you have read the book, I assure you that you will become a next level investor. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
5
Nifty Plummets! All Targets Achieved in 15-Minute Short TradeTechnical Analysis: Nifty – 15-Minute Timeframe (Short Trade) Nifty provided a clear short trade setup with an entry at 25006.45 on 16th October at 2:45 PM. The trade has been highly successful, with the price reaching all designated profit targets. Key Levels Entry: 25006.45 – The short position was initiated here following a strong bearish signal. Stop-Loss (SL): 25032.75 – Placed above recent resistance to manage risk against a potential reversal. Take Profit 1 (TP1): 24973.90 – The first target was quickly reached, confirming the initial bearish momentum. Take Profit 2 (TP2): 24921.30 – Further downside pressure pushed the price to this level. Take Profit 3 (TP3): 24868.70 – The bearish trend continued, achieving this target. Take Profit 4 (TP4): 24836.20 – The final target, marking a complete and successful trade. Trend Analysis The price stayed firmly below the Risological Dotted trendline, affirming the strength of the bearish trend. The sustained selling pressure helped achieve all targets, indicating strong market momentum in favor of sellers. The short trade on Nifty has concluded successfully, hitting all targets, with the final target at 24836.20. The precision of the entry and the guidance of the Risological Dotted trendline ensured a profitable trade.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ProfitsNinja
NIFTY50: INSTITUTIONAL LEVELS FOR 16/10/2024QUICK GUIDE - Use 5 minute timeframe - Try to take enters at retest - Use multiple confirmation - Read full description before investing - Try to take ATM options or above Explanation: This is a very useful trading system. This means that you should not take a trade blindly, but rather that there is another confirmation to take the trade you can use this for perfect entry and perfect exit This trading opportunity is based on volume, previous price, and price range , are included Entry/Exit point's: - It has very easy entry and exit points - In this pair of lines with two colors are given (RED AND BLUE) - In this the blue line is used to take long entry and the red line is used to take short entry (But it is all based on a more conformation from your trading plan) Stop Loss/Take Profit: Stop Loss - According to this, if you take a long trade, its stop loss will be the red line just below ( A trade can exit either when the price crosses the red line or the 5 minute candlestick crosses the red line. (This can be done according to your preference) ) - A short entry should use the opposite rules to a long entry Take Profit -When you take a long entry according to the profit to be booked is on the next red line above. ( Or if there are other reasons, it can be a safe exit ) - Opposite rules for booking profit on long entry are to book profit on short trade. ( The blue line above is the stop loss of short entry ) Timeframe: According to this, the time frame you should use while taking trades is 5 minutes time frames . (5 minute time frame works well in this) Risk Disclaimer: Trading carries significant risk and is not suitable for all traders. You may lose some or all of your capital in a matter of minutes or hours. Market conditions can change rapidly, and prices can move against you quickly. You may not always be able to exit at a favorable price, and you may be required to hold a position overnight, exposing yourself to additional risk. Day trading involves high risk, high leverage, and high stakes, and you should only trade with funds you can afford to lose. Please carefully consider your financial situation, risk tolerance, and trading objectives before engaging in day trading. Engagement: Share your insights, ask questions, and learn from others in the community. Whether you're a seasoned pro or just starting out, we're all in this together. What's your take on the current market conditions? Which trading strategies are working for you? Let's discuss and help each other grow as traders! Comment below and let's get the conversation started! Original Content: This trading setup is the result of my own innovation and expertise, and is not based on any publicly available information or third-party systems. It is a reflection of my dedication to developing a competitive edge in the markets.
NSE:NIFTY
by tony_fx_sm
[NIFTY50]: INSTITUTIONAL LEVELS FOR 15/10/2024NSE:NIFTY QUICK GUIDE - Use 5 minute timeframe - Try to take enters at retest - Use multiple confirmation - Read full description before investing - Try to take ATM options or above Explanation: This is a very useful trading system. This means that you should not take a trade blindly, but rather that there is another confirmation to take the trade you can use this for perfect entry and perfect exit This trading opportunity is based on volume, previous price, and price range , are included Entry/Exit point's: - It has very easy entry and exit points - In this pair of lines with two colors are given (RED AND BLUE) - In this the blue line is used to take long entry and the red line is used to take short entry (But it is all based on a more conformation from your trading plan) Stop Loss/Take Profit: Stop Loss - According to this, if you take a long trade, its stop loss will be the red line just below ( A trade can exit either when the price crosses the red line or the 5 minute candlestick crosses the red line. (This can be done according to your preference) ) - A short entry should use the opposite rules to a long entry Take Profit -When you take a long entry according to the profit to be booked is on the next red line above. ( Or if there are other reasons, it can be a safe exit ) - Opposite rules for booking profit on long entry are to book profit on short trade. ( The blue line above is the stop loss of short entry ) Timeframe: According to this, the time frame you should use while taking trades is 5 minutes time frames . (5 minute time frame works well in this) Risk Disclaimer: Trading carries significant risk and is not suitable for all traders. You may lose some or all of your capital in a matter of minutes or hours. Market conditions can change rapidly, and prices can move against you quickly. You may not always be able to exit at a favorable price, and you may be required to hold a position overnight, exposing yourself to additional risk. Day trading involves high risk, high leverage, and high stakes, and you should only trade with funds you can afford to lose. Please carefully consider your financial situation, risk tolerance, and trading objectives before engaging in day trading. Engagement: Share your insights, ask questions, and learn from others in the community. Whether you're a seasoned pro or just starting out, we're all in this together. What's your take on the current market conditions? Which trading strategies are working for you? Let's discuss and help each other grow as traders! Comment below and let's get the conversation started! Original Content: This trading setup is the result of my own innovation and expertise, and is not based on any publicly available information or third-party systems. It is a reflection of my dedication to developing a competitive edge in the markets. NSE:NIFTY
NSE:NIFTY
by tony_fx_sm
#nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 14th-18th Oct 2024The Nifty 50 closed the week at 24,964, a 50-point decline from the previous week. While it touched a high of 25,234, it also dipped to a low of 24,694. As predicted last week, the index remained within the range of 25,600 to 24,400. Looking Ahead: A Cautious Outlook For the upcoming week, I anticipate a trading range of 25,550 to 24,350. However, the low of 24,694 is a crucial support level. If the Nifty breaches this, the next strong support lies at 24,400-24,350. A breakdown below this level could signal a potential decline towards 23,300. A Bullish Monthly Perspective Despite the recent volatility, my monthly outlook for the Nifty remains bullish. Therefore, I will follow a "buy on dips" strategy. S&P 500: A Positive Sign As mentioned previously, the S&P 500 has successfully reached its first Fibonacci target of 5820. To initiate the next leg of its upward movement, it needs to sustain above this level. If it can do so, we could see it touch 5899 or even 6012 (a significant level). This positive momentum in the U.S. market could also provide support to Indian equities.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
Trendline resistance continues to halt Nifty. Closing BellThe trend line resistance continues to halt Nifty. Again today after making a high of 25134 Nifty saw selling pressure mostly again from FIIs. This time Nifty closed the day at 24998 below the psychological level of 25,000. This can enable bears to make Nifty test the support zone between 24932 and 24677. The resistance of Nifty are now at 25057, 25134 and 25204 Mother line resistance of 50 hours EMA and 25294 father line resistance of 200 hours EMA. Nifty continues to squeeze between support and resistance trend line and tomorrow can be the day when we can see either a proper upwing or downward move. Above 25294 Bulls will be very aggressive and drive Nifty upwards. Below 24677 Bears will be very aggressive and thrash Nifty downwards. Strictly do not trade/invest without keeping Stop losses and Trailing stop losses. Stop losses protect your capital and trailing stop losses protect your profits. To know more about stop losses, trailing stop losses, Profit booking and investment in Equity in general or Mother, Father and small child theory read my book The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation. Which is available in Amazon in Kindle and Paperback version. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY Short Mastery on 15m Time Frame: 940 Points SecuredOn the 30th of September, we initiated a short entry at 25996.85 using the Risological Swing Trader, capturing a robust downtrend as the price continued to respect our dotted trendline indicator. To date, this strategy has delivered a significant 940 points in profit, exemplifying the effectiveness of our approach. Target Points: TP 1: 25823.50 TP 2: 25543.00 TP 3: 25262.50 TP 4: 25089.15 Stop Loss (SL): 26137.10 The Risological Swing Trader has once again proven its strength in spotting market reversals, allowing us to secure substantial gains. We will stay vigilant as we approach the reversal.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ProfitsNinja
2
Nifty again finds itself at make or break level. Mother father supports drawn on hourly candle are gone. Mid channel support is just breached. Shadow of the candle is negative. RSI finds itself at critical level in a pennant. Nifty is still oversold territory in the hourly chart. When everything seems lost we wait for the confirmation that Nifty can give about it's temporary bottom. The support for nifty as of now seem at 24667 Bollinger band bottom support, 24470, 24216 and finally 23942 level. Resistances for Nifty are at 24935, 25147, 25574 and finally 25740. The recovery might be around the corner we can expect a turnaround but probably towards mid-week, weekend or next week.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Riding the Correction: Unlocking NIFTY’s Next Chapter!Dear Traders, I hope this message finds you well in your trading endeavors and personal pursuits. I am excited to share a compelling opportunity with you through a new NIFTY analysis that sheds light on the continuation of the market shift. The recent upward movement & the following correction in the market have unfolded as anticipated. Over the past two months, my analysis has consistently pointed to an expected correction due to market overvaluation and distinct completion patterns. Technical Analysis Overview: There are three potential scenarios for the ongoing trend, ranked based on their likelihood of occurring. Scenario I: The move initiated from 20 MAR’23 – 27 SEPT’24 (16,828.35 – 26277.35) has spanned over 80 weeks (18M) and indicates a significant completion of wave patterns, suggesting an imminent correction. See the visual representation of the trend lines and corresponding fib retracement levels here: The correlation between static supports can be observed around 23,893.70 and 21,181.45. This correction is expected to be visible within a 3-month timeframe. Potential support levels include S – I: 24,893 ~ 24,753 ~ 24,430 levels, S – II: 24,050 ~24,000 levels and S – III: 23,683 levels. *These values are not actual but just levels The correction might extend to deeper levels (22,664 & 21,550) as the market progresses. Time resistances are anticipated on 09th OCT, 17th OCT, and 30th OCT for all probable scenarios. --------------- Scenario II: The move from 26 OCT’23 – 27 SEPT’24 (18,837.85 – 26,277.35) has completed mid-way and is expected to continue after this correction, potentially reaching unprecedented levels. Find the visual representation of this move with trend lines & fib retracements here: The range of this move is limited to the monthly timeframe, indicating the completion of 1 year from the start of this sub-trend. Potential support levels include, S – I: 24,525 ~ 24,378 levels, S – II: 23,900 ~ 23,893.70 levels and S – III: 23,450 levels. --------------- Scenario III: The move from 04 JUN’24 – 27 SEPT’24 (21,121.45 – 26,277.35) has almost completed its half journey and is facing a correction before extending its uptrend by a few more waves. While this scenario has the lowest probability compared to the others, it is essential to consider its potential impact on the current trend. The pictorial representation can be seen here: Further details are not added as the market actions till now does not validate this probability. --------------- Other Influential Factors: Geo-political tensions and concerns regarding escalation have historically preceded corrections prior to the US presidential elections, indicating a prevailing bearish sentiment. Tensions in the Middle East have also contributed to the market plunge, albeit not solely responsible for it. Additionally, the FED's likely rate cuts have been influenced by the upcoming US elections, and SEBI's regulatory actions aim to curb over-optimism and maintain market neutrality. Important Dates to Remember: Mark your calendars for OCT 9th (RBI interest rate decision @ 10AM) and OCT 10th (US inflation reports). --------------- Final Verdict: While the scenarios are meticulously laid out, the selection of the valid scenario remains a work in progress. We are eagerly awaiting further cues from the market and will provide updates as they unfold. However, one thing remains certain – the current trend has reversed (at least for the mentioned time frames). Therefore, adopting a bearish stance could prove to be profitable. --------------- Strategy: Considering the current market conditions, adopting a bearish stance seems prudent, especially levels around 24,450 ~ 24,000 are to be tested. Keep a close watch on the market and stay informed for potential opportunities. Disclaimer: Before concluding, I must underscore that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is imperative for you to conduct your research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial goals and risk tolerance. Fellow Traders, Countless hours of dedication and effort have gone into creating this valuable analytical resource. If you find it useful, I humbly ask for your support by boosting the idea and following me (updates will be made via this post, new post & through minds) . Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally. Thank you for investing your time in reading this article, Your readership is greatly appreciated. Wishing you profitable and joyful trading!!!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by WDG_Dinesh_Gengarajan
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 07-Oct-24 to 11-Oct-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 07-Oct-24 to 11-Oct-24 Nifty closed at 25014 ( Last Week 26179 ) and touched low & high of 25839-26285 ( all time high) Market saw a drop of 4.5% last week due to concern on Middle East War Situation. Market touched new high 2 weeks before , and touched all time high of Mid Term Resistance 26260 Nifty Bank 51462 ( 53834), touched the target of 54000 as proposed 2 months before (54400 all time high) and support at 49900. Buy on dips. Fed Rate Cut by 0.5% made the global market up and triggered increase in Indian Market in sep. FPI invested 4 Billion $ in Sep and pulled out 3.5 Billion $ in 3 trading session in Oct. US President Election result scheduled in Nov 24. Until then Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. RBI in India expected to reduce rate from end of this year. RSI ,macd and stochastics levels are down. Caution to be emphasized as Stochastics at overbought level. Q2 results awaited which will pave way for more clearer path in market. Nifty 25014 Short term ( Short Term : Down) Nifty short term resistance 25675 & 26000 trend line resistance as shown in chart. Support at 24814 ( 0.618 Fib Retracement) Medium Term next target is 26266 & if move up decisively above next target is 27000 Medium term Support 24650 (Trend line support and Fib Resistance), 24480 (Fib Support) and 24000. Long Term : Nifty have a target of 28190 ( Fibonacci Resistance). Support at 22800 US started reducting fed rate as expected in Sep 2024, expected it shall continue in reduction of interest rate in next year. Caution was emphasized on Nifty for last 3 months as nifty PE is in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period as the valuation is high. Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800. Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart. Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as CAMS, UTI AMC , HDFC AMC, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Persistent Sys, PI Ind, PNC Infra and Ashoka Buildcon, ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank. Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks. Based on the Q1 results, following stocks can be added to portfolio: There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis. Nifty IT 41912 (42312) indices dipped slightly, NIfty IT is less than SMA 21 level, need clear direction and Q2 results will pave way for the clear direction.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Nifty - The Iran-Israel ImpactIran contributes nearly 3.3% of total crude oil production globally. Nifty has corrected almost 5% due to the fresh conflict escalation between Iran and Israel. Though I am certain that this isn't the end of the conflict, rather, Iran will have to face the wrath of Israeli counter, but unless any third party gets involved except the US, the correction in Nifty (specifically due to this conflict and upcoming war) seems to have completed. Though, I am not bullish on the Indian markets in the short term, mainly due to overstretched valuations of MidCap companies, but I certainly believe that the ongoing correction would seize in the upcoming week. I am hopeful that Nifty will end the current calendar year somewhere in the range of 24750 and 25250 (exactly where the markets stand at the moment). So for me, it is now time to take advantage of this fall and pick fundamentally strong long-term opportunities. This isn't a trading call and is solely my point of view. I have just tried to share my market expectations that I have formed basis my understanding of the economy in general and equity markets in particular. I understand that this is a very bold call specially when the Index has corrected almost 5% in 5 trading sessions, and there is fair possibility of my expectation going wrong. But, I also understand that having a point of view is better than going blank, and failing while trying is better than not trying at all. Consult your financial advisor and do your own research before making any financial commitments.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Gaurav_Singh_5705
Do not panic button till Mother and Father supports not broken.The parallel channel tops will always be difficult to conquer. Children staying abroad and in far away places coming to meet mother and father once is a while is always a sign of a healthy family. Nifty coming to meet the mother and sometimes the father on daily chart is always a healthy sign. The reasons can be any: 1) SEBI change in rules. 2) Conflict between Israel and various other countries 3) Crude oil prices In the recent Past the reasons were incidents like: 1) Ukraine war 2) US Fed rate cuts 3) Covid 19 Outbreak Major Nifty support is near 25067 to 25040 zone as you can see in the daily chart Nifty is near mother line which is also coinciding with mid channel support and a peak support. This can be the probable turnaround zone. If this support is broken further supports will be at 24804, 24384. The zone between 23995 to 23612 is another turnaround zone as it can be the channel bottom support. 23223 is the final support of father line drawn on daily chart. Below this there can be actual panic in the market. Resistances for Nifty are now at 25439, 25665, 25836 and 26037. Above 26037 bulls will be in super power mode again. Bottom fishing time in premium/High quality/A+ category has arrived. Churn your portfolio around. New themes will soon emerge. Hold on / do not panic / sell stocks where you are in loss / use this fall to churn your portfolio. Strictly do not trade/invest without keeping Stop losses and Trailing stop losses. Stop losses protect your capital and trailing stop losses protect your profits. To know more about stop losses, trailing stop losses, Profit booking and investment in Equity in general or Mother, Father and small child theory read my book The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation. Which is available in Amazon in Kindle and Paperback version. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Do not panic button till Mother and Father supports not broken.The parallel channel tops will always be difficult to conquer. Children staying abroad and in far away places coming to meet mother and father once is a while is always a sign of a healthy family. Nifty coming to meet the mother and sometimes the father on daily chart is always a healthy sign. The reasons can be any: 1) SEBI change in rules. 2) Conflict between Israel and various other countries 3) Crude oil prices In the recent Past the reasons were incidents like: 1) Ukraine war 2) US Fed rate cuts 3) Covid 19 Outbreak Major Nifty support is near 26067 to 26040 zone as you can see in the daily chart Nifty is near mother line which is also coinciding with mid channel support and a peak support. This can be the probable turnaround zone. If this support is broken further supports will be at 24804, 24384. The zone between 23995 to 23612 is another turnaround zone as it can be the channel bottom support. 23223 is the final support of father line drawn on daily chart. Below this there can be actual panic in the market. Resistances for Nifty are now at 25439, 25665, 25836 and 26037. Above 26037 bulls will be in super power mode again. Bottom fishing time in premium/High quality/A+ category has arrived. Churn your portfolio around. New themes will soon emerge. Hold on / do not panic / sell stocks where you are in loss / use this fall to churn your portfolio.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
All around correction on the expected lines. After reaching a new pinnacle Nifty took a dip searching for substantial support. The Nifty which was overbought was looking for some consolidation. FIIs were mainly on the selling side. Sharp declines can correct RSI a lot like we witnessed today. The supports for Nifty now remain at 25794 (Important support level) which can allow Nifty to make a come back right from tomorrow. If not the next support levels will be at 25705, 25595. Below 25595 nifty becomes very weak and has only 200 EMA or father line as support which is at 25381. Bears take over the market below these levels. Resistances on the upper side for Nifty are at 25900 (Mother line resistance of 50 Hours EMA). Above that the next resistance will be 25991 and 26077. Above 26077 Bulls can come back to rescue above this level and take Nifty further to 26150 and above.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 30-Sep-24 to 04-Oct-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 30-Sep-24 to 04-Oct-24 Nifty closed at 26179 (last week 25790 ) and touched low & high of 25839-26285 ( all time high) Market touched new high last week , and broke the key resistance of 26000 provided last week decisively and also crossed another Mid Term Resistance 26260 settled down at 26179( As shown in chart, The level is the difference between the Aug High and Aug Low from Aug High)- If it crosses 26260 again decisively, Medium Term is UP. if it moves above decisively next target is 27000 in short term. Nifty Bank 53834, touched the target of 54000 as proposed 2 months before ( 54400 all time high last week) and support at 49900. Fed Rate Cut by 0.5% made the global market up and triggered increase in Indian Market. FPI invested 4 Billion $ in Sep till date. RSI and stochastics levels moved up last week (76% and 93.59% respectively). MACD crossed the Signal and maintain uo. RSI and MACD shows market will go up further. Caution to be emphasized as Stochastics at overbought level. Q2 results awaited which will pave way for more clearer path in market. Nifty 26179 Short term ( Short Term : Up) Nifty short term resistance 26266 as shown in chart. Support at 25800, 25217, 25000 Medium Term next target is 27000 if move up decisively above 26266. Medium term Support 24650 (Trend line support and Fib Resistance), 24480 (Fib Support) and 24000. Long Term : Nifty have a target of 28190 ( Fibonacci Resistance). Support at 22800 US started reducting fed rate as expected in Sep 2024, expected it shall continue in reduction of interest rate in next year. US President Election result scheduled in Nov 24. Until then Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. RBI in India expected to reduce rate from end of this year. Caution to be emphasized on Nifty as nifty PE is in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period as the valuation is high. Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800. Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart. Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as CAMS, UTI AMC , HDFC AMC, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Persistent Sys, PI Ind, PNC Infra and Ashoka Buildcon, ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank. Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks. Based on the Q1 results, following stocks can be added to portfolio: There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis. Nifty IT 42312 (last week 42204) indices dipped to 37848 in Jun month, bounced back and reached all time high last week(43632). Later Dipped to 41660 due to profit booking and again started moving up. Recovery of US stock market & awaiting FED rate cut expectation decision pushed the US stocks up and followed by Nifty IT Index last week. NIfty IT is less than SMA 21 level, need clear direction and Q2 results will pave way for the clear direction.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
#Nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 30-4th Oct 2024#Nifty50 surged to a new all-time high of 26178, closing the week up nearly 400 points. The index oscillated between 26400 and 25200, as predicted. For the upcoming week, I anticipate a trading range of 26750 to 25800 . A breakout beyond these levels could trigger significant price movements. Fibonacci support lies at 25800; if breached, 25600 becomes a critical level to watch. A puzzling question remains: Why are many stocks in investor portfolios underperforming despite the Nifty's record highs? Typically, stocks require catalysts or news to rally, which are currently scarce. If the Nifty reaches 27000, large-cap stocks could outperform mid-cap and small-cap equities. Niftybees or ETFs might also be attractive options to capitalize on the Nifty's upward momentum. The S&P 500 also hit a new weekly high at 5738 and appears poised for further gains. Surpassing the 5767 high could propel the S&P 500 to 5821, 5899, or even the significant level of 6013. This positive momentum in the U.S. market could also benefit the Indian market.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by ssudhirsharma11