Parallel Channel hourly candles suggests Nifty is delicate zone.Parallel Channel of Nifty suggest that we are in delicate zone with shadow of the candle being positive. Nifty has thrice taken support on the channel bottom as you can see in the chart. A strong support zone for Nifty is seeing strong buying emerging near the channel bottom. This strong support zone is between 23509 and 23263.
The Three important resistances however are not allowing Nifty to grow further. These 3 resistance are:
1) Mother line resistance near 23775.
2) Father and trend line combine resistance near 24010.
3) Third important resistance for Nifty to conquer will be near 24288 which is the mid channel resistance.
When we will get a closing above 24288 the Bull can breath a little easy and try and push Nifty upwards towards 24510, 24779 or even above 25K.
The zone between 25033 and 25200 will again be a tough zone to conquer as the Nifty will again hit the top of the parallel channel.
Conclusion: All is good till we do not get a closing below 23K levels. Below 23K levels weekly closing Bears will have position to overpower the market and drag Nifty further down. For long term investors this is good opportunity to invest big go long and hold on.
Today ONGC, Reliance, ITC, Asian Paints, Dr Reddy, Wipro and TCS are the few large cap stocks which saw buying.
The laggards for Nifty today were Apollo Hospitals, Trent, Shriram Finance, Bajaj Auto, ultratech and few other Large cap stocks.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Niftyoutlook
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 08-JAN-2025Nifty Trading Plan for 08-Jan-2025
Intro: Review of 07-Jan-2025 Plan
Yesterday's trading plan accurately highlighted the Opening Resistance Zone (23,849-23,888) , which acted as a cap for bullish momentum, and the Opening Support Zone (23,673-23,604) , which provided a bounce. The market respected these levels with a predominantly sideways movement (Yellow Trend). The Best Buying Zone (23,251-23,362) remained untouched, keeping the downside potential intact.
For 08-Jan-2025, we focus on three opening scenarios: Gap-Up, Flat, or Gap-Down, with actionable strategies and clear risk management guidelines.
Opening Scenarios:
Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above previous close):
If Nifty opens above 23,888 , the Opening Resistance Zone (23,849-23,888) will likely act as a critical area.
A breakout above 23,888 with volume could push Nifty toward the next resistance at 24,081 . Go long on confirmed breakout candles with small retracements.
A rejection near 23,888 could result in a pullback to test 23,673-23,604 . Wait for reversal confirmation before entering short positions.
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Risk Management Tip: Avoid aggressive CE buying after a large gap-up; instead, use intraday dip-buying strategies or spreads for better risk control.
Flat Opening (Near previous close):
A flat opening around 23,694 could lead to a range-bound session (Yellow Trend). This scenario requires patience and precise execution:
A bullish breakout above 23,849 could lead to upside momentum, targeting 23,888 and 24,081 .
On the downside, a breakdown below 23,604 could initiate bearish momentum, with targets at 23,483-23,518 .
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Risk Management Tip: Use option straddle strategies to benefit from potential sideways movements. Avoid overtrading in choppy market conditions.
Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below previous close):
If Nifty opens below 23,604 , focus on the Opening Support Zone (23,483-23,518) for potential reversals.
A bounce from 23,483-23,518 can provide a buying opportunity, targeting 23,604 and above.
A breakdown below 23,483 may trigger a bearish trend (Red Trend) toward the Best Buying Zone (23,251-23,362) . Wait for proper confirmation before initiating short trades.
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Risk Management Tip: For gap-down scenarios, use PE options or bear put spreads with defined risks. Be cautious of sharp reversals after a gap-down.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zones: 23,673-23,604, 23,483-23,518, and 23,251-23,362.
Resistance Zones: 23,849-23,888 and 24,081.
Summary & Conclusion:
Nifty is trading within a structured range, offering clear opportunities for intraday trades based on levels. Stick to disciplined execution, and do not chase trades without confirmation. Use options strategies to manage risk and maximize returns in volatile conditions.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 6th January 2025Nifty opened flat, morning opening price was the day high and Nifty started falling soon after open. Nifty made low around 23975 and closed new day low.
Tomorrow, Buy Nifty if sustains above 24055 for the targets of 24105 and above marked level. On the other side, Sell Nifty if sustains below 23920 for the targets of 23850 and below marked level on the chart.
Expectations: Volatile day
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 24055
Sell Below - 23920
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India
Fibonacci Support & Resistances for Nifty (Medium term outlook).Important Fibonacci support for Nifty drawn on daily line chart of Nifty is at 23349. Below 23349 closing bears can have a field day and can create havoc but that looks less likely as of now. The closing today is 23207 which is just above 200 days EMA or the father line which is a good sign. Father line was at 23700. On the upside the Fibonacci resistance for Nifty seem to be at 23902, 24170 (Important Mother line Resistance) 24236, 24467, 24780 and finally Fibonacci Golden ratio from the current levels is at 25185. It will take some doing from the Bulls to close above this level. This presents the medium time frame outlook for the Nifty.
RSI indicator also seems to have taken an upward swing but mid level is yet to be crossed for that indicator.
MACD indicator suggests that Moving averages are fighting hard to converge and bring back some bullish momentum into the market to infuse some life into the Bull who are trying to come out of comma.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 07/01/2025Expected nifty will open gap up in today's session near 23800 level. After opening any bullish movement expected if it's starts trading and sustain above 23800 level. Below 23750 downside rally expected upto the 23550 and this rally expected for further 200-250+ points movements in case nifty gives breakdown of 23450 level. 23450-23550 in this range possible some consolidation movements in market.
Support, Resistance and Bollinger Band suggest limited downside.I have just drawn Supports, Resistance, Mother, Father lines and added Bollinger band to Nifty chart. The indication is limited downside for now in Nifty unless the Chinese Virus is overplayed in the market by the bears and other forces. My discussion with medical fraternity and other knowledgeable people suggest that the threat of HPMV is overplayed and mortality rates might not be as high as COVID in the recent virus outbreak. This is the information I have however I advise utmost caution would wish you to verify the information with friends in the medical field in your knowhow. Currently Bollinger band is not suggesting a heavy downside. However things will be more clear by end of this week as the market plays out. Not more than 2 to 5% (max) down side is visible to me in the short term unless there is a global catastrophe of massive order. RSI has taken a turn hopefully soon it will embark towards bullishness.
Supports for Nifty Remains at: 23249, 23466, 23555. Below 23249 flood gates for further downside can open.
Resistances for Nifty: 23720, 23795, 23855 (Mother line or 50 Hours EMA), 23942 (Mid-Bollinger band level), 24061 (Father line or 200 Hours EMA), 24146, 24231 and finally 24326 (Bollinger band top).
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Market Analysis and Trade Setup for Nifty (07/01/2025)Market Bias for 07/01/2025:
The market remains bearish as long as the price stays below 23,700. However, potential opportunities for both bullish pullbacks and bearish continuations exist based on key levels and conditions.
Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Resistance (Supply Zone):
23,700 - 23,743: Fair Value Gap (FVG) and liquidity rejection zone.
If this level is breached, watch for a move toward 23,800 or 23,900.
Immediate Support (Demand Zone):
23,500 - 23,540: Strong demand zone from liquidity sweeps.
A breakdown below this level could lead to significant downside.
Critical Levels:
PDH: 23,742.
PDL: 23,459.
POC (High Volume Node): 23,600.
Trade Setups for Tomorrow
Bullish Trade Setup (Reversal Play)
Entry: Above 23,700 (FVG Retest).
Stop Loss: Below 23,650.
Target 1: 23,800.
Target 2: 23,900.
Confirmation Indicators:
RSI crosses above 50.
VWAP breakout with buy-side volume.
Bearish Trade Setup (Breakdown Play)
Entry: Below 23,530 ( liquidity sweep).
Stop Loss: Above 23,600.
Target 1: 23,450.
Target 2: 23,400.
Confirmation Indicators:
RSI remains below 40.
Strong sell-side volume below support levels.
Indicators to Monitor
VWAP: Price action above or below VWAP will dictate intraday bias.
RSI: Look for momentum shifts near key levels (above 50 for bullish, below 40 for bearish).
Volume: Watch for spikes near 23,600 (POC) to confirm institutional activity.
Key Observations
Bearish Bias:
Price remains bearish below 23,700; expect continuation toward 23,500 - 23,400.
Bullish Pullback:
Sustained buying above 23,700 could trigger short covering toward 23,900.
Final Thoughts
Avoid Choppy Zones: Between 23,600 - 23,700, price action may remain indecisive without volume.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and plan for 06-Jan-2025 Nifty Trading Plan for 6-Jan-2025
Introduction
The chart shared yesterday highlighted key zones and potential movements. The Opening Resistance Zone of 24,312 acted as a strong supply area, while the Support Zone between 23,970-24,016 was well respected. Actual price movement closely aligned with the predicted Yellow (Sideways) and Green (Bullish) trends, allowing traders to capitalize on the directional moves.
Today’s chart brings us new levels and strategies for varying opening scenarios. Let's dive into the details for 6-Jan-2025!
Trading Plan for 6-Jan-2025
Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 24,016):
If Nifty opens with a significant gap-up:
Immediate resistance lies at 24,170-24,196. Wait for price action near this level.
Bullish Scenario: If prices sustain above 24,196 for 15 minutes, enter a long position with targets at 24,312 and 24,550. Use a stop-loss below 24,170.
Sideways Possibility: If price struggles near 24,170, expect a sideways trend, as shown in Yellow. Avoid overtrading here.
Flat Opening (Near 23,990):
If Nifty opens flat:
The key Opening Support Zone is at 23,973-23,902. This area serves as a no-trade zone unless there is a clear breakout or breakdown.
Bullish Scenario: Look for sustained buying above 24,016, targeting 24,170 initially and then 24,312.
Bearish Scenario: If prices fall below 23,902, expect a move toward the next support zone at 23,814. Use a tight stop-loss above 23,902.
Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below 23,970):
If Nifty opens with a gap-down:
Immediate focus should be on the First Support Zone at 23,814.
Bearish Scenario: If prices fail to hold 23,814, expect a sharp move toward 23,623 (Last Intraday Support).
Bullish Reversal Opportunity: If prices recover quickly and reclaim 23,970, consider going long for a target of 24,016. Stop-loss below 23,814.
Avoid aggressive shorting unless price action confirms weakness below 23,814.
Risk Management Tips for Options Traders:
Use smaller lot sizes to manage risk during volatile openings.
Focus on ATM (At the Money) options to reduce premium decay in uncertain conditions.
Avoid trading during the first 15 minutes unless clear trend confirmation is seen.
Always maintain a stop-loss and adhere to it.
Summary and Conclusion:
Today’s plan focuses on the key zones of resistance and support. The Opening Resistance Zone at 24,170-24,196 will be crucial for bullish continuation, while the Support Zones at 23,814 and 23,623 must be monitored for bearish breakdowns. Follow the Yellow, Green, and Red trends for guidance, and remember to prioritize risk management over aggressive trades.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their analysis or consult a financial advisor before executing any trades.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 03-Jan-2024
Intro: Previous Day's Plan vs. Actual Chart Movement
In the trading plan for 2-Jan-2025, key levels worked exactly as predicted in plan
Price movement respected these levels, The bullish structure remained intact for the day, with significant opportunities for intraday gains.
Trading Plan for 3-Jan-2025
If Market Opens Gap Up (100+ Points Above Previous Close):
A gap-up opening above the Opening Resistance Zone (24,312) signals strength. Monitor price behavior for consolidation or sustained trading above this level. Sustaining above 24,312 could lead to a move towards the Last Resistance for Intraday (24,559) .
If prices fail to hold above 24,312 and retrace, expect a pullback toward the Opening Support/Resistance Zone (24,159-24,167) .
📈 Action Plan:
Look for long positions above 24,312 after a 15-minute candle close. Use stop loss at 24,167.
Avoid short positions unless there’s clear rejection with bearish confirmation.
📊 Trend Indicators:
Green: Bullish Move Expected.
If Market Opens Flat (Near Previous Close):
Observe price action near the Opening Support/Resistance Zone (24,159-24,167) . Sustained trading above this zone could trigger a move toward 24,312 .
A breakdown below 24,159 would indicate weakness, and prices could test the Opening Support Zone (24,016-24,058) .
📈 Action Plan:
For long trades, wait for price to break above 24,167 and confirm with volume. Use stop loss at 24,016.
For short trades, consider entry below 24,159 with a target of 24,016 and a stop loss at 24,167.
📊 Trend Indicators:
Yellow: Sideways Trend Expected.
If Market Opens Gap Down (100+ Points Below Previous Close):
A gap-down opening near 23,970 or the lower end of the Opening Support Zone (24,016-24,058) might provide a recovery opportunity. Monitor price action for a bounce back to 24,159.
If prices fail to sustain above 23,970, expect further downside toward the Last Intraday Support (23,815) .
📈 Action Plan:
For long positions, wait for recovery above 23,970 with bullish confirmation. Use stop loss at 23,815.
For short trades, consider entry below 23,970 with a target of 23,815 and a stop loss at 24,016.
📊 Trend Indicators:
Red: Bearish Move Expected.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Always calculate position sizing based on risk tolerance.
Use stop-loss orders to minimize losses, especially in high-volatility scenarios.
Avoid overtrading; wait for clear confirmation of price action before entering trades.
For intraday options, consider exiting positions by 3:15 PM to avoid overnight risk.
Summary and Conclusion:
The key levels for Nifty on 3-Jan-2025 are:
Resistance: 24,312 and 24,559.
Support: 24,016-24,058 and 23,815.
Use price action and trend behavior (Green for bullish, Yellow for sideways, and Red for bearish) to guide your trades. Stick to the plan, and prioritize risk management.
Disclaimer:
This trading plan is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Nifty Stages Massive Comeback. But Will The Mother Line Relent? Nifty has staged a massive comeback today on the back of FII buying today. Nifty made a high of 24226 but Mother line Resistance (50 day's EMA at 24221) pushed it back a bit and it ended the day at 24188. If the mother line relents tomorrow and if we can get a weekly closing above 24221 tomorrow Bulls have potential to take the momentum forward into January with a possibility of Budget rally.
The supports for Nifty remain at 23926, 23698 (Father Line Support of 200 day's EMA), 23494 and finally 23238. Below 23238 all hell can break loose and bears will have potential to Pull Nifty further down.
Resistances on the upper side remain at 24221 (Mother Line Resistance of 50 day's EMA) followed by 24389, 24600 and 24876 before Nifty snatches back 25K levels.
Shadow of the candle remains neutral to positive but it can turn neutral or even negative if Mother line resistance comes into play again. The best possibility for Nifty remains if it can get a gap up opening above 24221. This can happen if we get good support from International indices and Gift Nifty tonight. Tomorrow's closing will be very important as it is the first weekly closing for the year.
Disclaimer:
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 02-Jan-2025WISH YOU ALL A VERY HAPPY NEW YEAR 2025
Introduction
In the previous trading session, we analyzed Nifty's key support and resistance levels for 1-Jan-2025. The chart provided a clear view of potential price movements under various scenarios. Yellow trends indicated sideways movement, green trends represented bullish behavior, and red trends highlighted bearish trends. Based on the chart for 1-Jan-2025, the actual price action unfolded as expected, staying within the highlighted zones and offering valuable insights for traders.
Trading Plan for 2-Jan-2025
Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens with a gap-up above 23,837 (No Trade Zone's upper band), observe the first 15-minute candle for confirmation.
If the price sustains above 23,837, expect a bullish trend targeting the Resistance Zone at 23,998 and further towards 24,068 for profit booking.
Place a stop loss just below 23,837 to manage risk and protect capital.
If the price fails to sustain above 23,837, expect a potential pullback towards the No Trade Zone. Monitor closely for any reversals within the zone.
Avoid taking positions inside the No Trade Zone unless a clear breakout or breakdown is visible.
Flat Opening
If Nifty opens flat near 23,758 (current market price), observe the price action for the first 15 minutes.
A breakout above 23,837 indicates bullish momentum towards 23,998 and 24,068, following the same plan as the gap-up scenario.
A breakdown below 23,699 (No Trade Zone's lower band) may signal a bearish move towards the Opening Support Zone at 23,617–23,640 and further towards 23,537.
Place a stop loss just above the breakdown or breakout levels to manage risk.
Wait for a confirmation candle (closing basis) before entering trades to avoid false signals.
Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens with a gap-down below 23,699, observe the first 15-minute candle for confirmation.
If the price sustains below 23,699, expect a bearish continuation targeting the Opening Support Zone at 23,617–23,640 and further towards the critical support at 23,537 (reversal zone).
Place a stop loss above 23,699 to manage risk.
If the price fails to sustain below 23,699, anticipate a pullback towards 23,837 and monitor for potential reversals in this region.
Avoid taking impulsive trades at open; let the levels guide your entries and exits.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
Always use stop losses to minimize potential losses.
Avoid over-leveraging; trade within your capital limits and risk tolerance.
Monitor implied volatility and time decay when trading options.
Diversify your trades to reduce exposure to single-direction risks.
Stick to your plan and avoid emotional decisions.
Summary and Conclusion
The trading plan for 2-Jan-2025 revolves around identifying key levels and understanding price behavior under various opening scenarios (Gap Up, Flat, or Gap Down). The No Trade Zone highlights areas to avoid unless clear trends are visible. Follow the highlighted trends: yellow for sideways, green for bullish, and red for bearish movements. By employing proper risk management and adhering to this plan, traders can make informed decisions and navigate market conditions effectively.
Disclaimer : I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your research and consult a professional financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyPrice Action :
Nifty opened at previous day's close and tested pivot level finding buying around 23565 levels and rallied almost 200 points till 23775 levels and saw small profit booking. Post noon saw buying around 23700 levels and tested above 23800 and saw small profit booking towards end of the day loosing momentum. If sustained below 23800 can again test 23700-23730 levels and above 23820 if sustained can test 23950 levels.
Trend:
Nifty formed Higher High and Higher Low suggesting Long Trend
Options Data:
23700-800 Puts added Open Interest showing support. 23700 and 23900 CE shedded OI, don't have much resistance till 24050-100 levels.
Futures Data:
Nifty Futures closed positively with Increase in Open Interest suggesting Bullish
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty looks Bullish above 23800 for tgt 24000-24050. (for next wkly expiry)
Positons:
Wait for 30min candle close above 23800 to go long for tgt 24000.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 31-Dec-2024[
Intro: Review of Previous Plan (30-Dec-2024)
Check plan V/s Actual performance for 30-Dec-2024 here : .
b]Trading Plan for Nifty - 31-Dec-2024
Key Color Codes in the Plan:
Yellow Trend: Sideways
Green Trend: Bullish
Red Trend: Bearish
Trading Plan for 31-Dec-2024:
Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 23,768)
If Nifty opens above 23,768 , the price is expected to move towards the Last Resistance for Intraday (23,866) .
Observe price action near 23,866 ; a breakout with sustained volume can trigger a long position targeting the Resistance for sideways at 24,010–24,058 .
If rejection occurs at 23,866 , look for bearish patterns (e.g., evening star or bearish engulfing). Initiate a short trade with a target of 23,737 .
Place a stop-loss 20 points beyond the breakout/rejection level to manage risk.
Scenario 2: Flat Opening (23,636–23,768)
A flat opening indicates indecision, and the market is likely to remain within the Yellow sideways zone .
Avoid trading aggressively in the Opening Resistance/Support zone (23,737–23,768) . Wait for a breakout above 23,768 to initiate long positions , targeting 23,866 .
On the downside, a breakdown below 23,636 could lead to bearish momentum towards the Buyer’s Support zone at 23,427 . Initiate short trades if the price sustains below 23,636 , with a stop-loss above 23,700 .
Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below 23,604)
A gap-down below 23,604 could lead to bearish pressure, testing the Buyer’s Support zone at 23,427 .
Observe reversal patterns (e.g., hammer or bullish engulfing) at 23,427 . If confirmed, initiate long trades targeting 23,604 .
If the support fails, further bearish action could drive the price towards 23,320 . Enter short trades on confirmation of the breakdown, with a stop-loss above 23,500 .
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Focus on in-the-money options to reduce the impact of time decay in sideways markets.
Use hedged strategies like iron condors to capitalize on low volatility within the sideways trend.
Always calculate your maximum loss and ensure it does not exceed 2% of your trading capital .
Avoid holding positions overnight without clear directional bias in the market.
Summary and Conclusion:
The key levels for tomorrow’s trading session are 23,768 on the upside and 23,427 on the downside.
Patience is critical within the Yellow sideways zone ; wait for clear breakouts or breakdowns.
Use defined stop-loss levels to minimize risk and maximize reward.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Nifty analysis for intraday 31/12/2024.Nifty has been trading in a range for the last 7 trading sessions.
Index is trading around the 20 EMA and giving sharp recovery on both sides.
Today it has closed below the moving averages. If the market starts trading below the No trading zone, bearish entry can be created for next support levels.
On the upper side the break out 23900 can clear the round number figure and test the Daily 20 EMA.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the trade.
Nifty after multiple efforts not able to close above 23900.Nifty again tried to climb up and made a high of 23915 however there was tremendous selling pressure at that level and not only it could not sustain 23900 but also it failed to sustain 23800 or even 23650 levs. Nifty closed at 23644 levels. This is a closing below the Father line (200 days EMA) which was at 23693. This closing is indicative of weakness. Shadow of the candle has turned negative as of now. There is a strong support at 23567. If this support is broken the door way towards 23273 or even 22800 will open up. Relative strength index is 37.40 and RSI support is at 30 and 27.54 levels. Incase of positive closing tomorrow which looks little difficult as of now the resistances will be at 23650, 23693 (Father Line), 23809, 23961 and finally 24159 and finally Mother line (50 Days EMA) Resistance at 24266.
So as of now it looks like we will have a modest close for the year. It has been an year for Nifty which Amplifies with 'what could have been'. Right now we are around 10% of the peak and at 9% yearly gains as compared to yearly closing. Hoping that law of averages catches up next year and we reach new highs next year and close the year robustly.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 30-Dec-2024Trading Plan for Nifty - 30-Dec-2024
Intro: Review of Previous Plan (27-Dec-2024)
In the previous trading plan, we highlighted key zones, including the No Trade Zone (23,761–23,830) , the Last Intraday Resistance (24,010–24,058) , and the Buyer’s Support at 23,427 . As evident in the uploaded chart, Nifty traded within the highlighted zones, respecting the identified levels. The sideways momentum (Yellow trend) continued for most of the session, and an intraday attempt to breach the resistance zone was met with selling pressure, resulting in a close near the No Trade Zone.
Key Color Codes in the Plan:
Yellow Trend: Sideways
Green Trend: Bullish
Red Trend: Bearish
Trading Plan for 30-Dec-2024:
Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 23,930)
If Nifty opens above 23,930 , the market will be entering a bullish momentum zone. Look for a retest of the 24,010–24,058 resistance zone.
If the resistance is broken and sustained (hourly close above 24,058), initiate a long position targeting the retracement profit-booking resistance at 24,310 .
Place a stop-loss below the breakout level at 23,980 .
If the resistance holds, wait for rejection signals (red bearish candles) to initiate a short trade with a target of 23,761 .
Scenario 2: Flat Opening (23,800–23,850)
A flat opening indicates consolidation within the No Trade Zone (23,761–23,830) .
Avoid aggressive entries until Nifty decisively breaks out of the zone.
A breakout above 23,830 may signal a bullish move toward 24,010 . Look for confirmation with volume before entering a long trade .
On the downside, a breakdown below 23,761 could push Nifty toward 23,636 , the Last Intraday Support. In this case, initiate a short position with a stop-loss above 23,800 .
Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below 23,730)
A gap-down opening below 23,730 signals bearish momentum. Observe if the price approaches the Buyer’s Support at 23,427 .
If the support holds, watch for reversal patterns (e.g., hammer or bullish engulfing) to initiate a long position targeting 23,761 .
A breakdown below 23,427 could extend the bearish trend to 23,300 or lower. Initiate a short trade if the breakdown is confirmed with a stop-loss above 23,500 .
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Use defined risk strategies such as debit spreads to limit potential losses.
Avoid holding positions close to expiry to reduce time decay impact.
Trade with 1–2% of your total capital per trade to manage exposure.
Be cautious of high IV (Implied Volatility) spikes during gap openings.
Summary and Conclusion:
The plan emphasizes trading with confirmation signals and respecting highlighted zones.
Stay disciplined in the No Trade Zone to avoid unnecessary risks.
Follow the breakout and breakdown scenarios with defined stop-loss levels to maintain a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. All views are for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to do their analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
#Nifty50 Outlook for upcoming week 30-3rd Jan 2025The Nifty roared this week, gaining a solid 226 points, closing at a strong 23813! It reached a peak of 23938 before dipping to 23647. As predicted, the Nifty stayed within the 24100-23000 range, forming an interesting inside candle pattern. Excitingly, a bullish "W" pattern has emerged on the weekly chart!
If the Nifty can hold above the crucial 23900 level next week, we could see it trading between 24300 and 23400 . However, while a bounce is expected, the bearish Monthly chart might tempt big players to unload their positions. Stay alert!
Across the pond, the S&P500 took a 2.5% hit, closing at 5970 after reaching a high of 6049. The 5870-5850 support zone is critical. A breach could trigger a faster selloff, potentially testing the 5637/5551 support levels. For an upward move, the S&P500 needs to conquer 6050, paving the way for resistance levels at 6094/6142/6225.
Bottom line: Use any bounce next week as an opportunity to lock in profits. Stay informed and trade wisely!"
Wishing everyone a very happy & prosperous New Year.
The Nifty Intraday trend forecast for December 30, 2024The intraday trend appears bearish for December 30, 2024. Please note that the levels provided may vary due to gaps on either side. Always ensure that a stop-loss is applied to every trade. Keep in mind that derivatives trading carries significant risks.
Nifty on Weekly chart delicately placed. (Medium Term Outlook)Nifty is placed delicately on a weekly chart. Shadow of the candle is slightly positive but as the closing of the year looms large FIIs and the Bears might again try to sell on rise. On the positive side if FII will be on the buying side for the 2025 beginning and create fresh positive positions we might see a positive rally on the upside. The supports for Nifty remain at 23532, 23271 and 22724. 22724 is a very important support below which we might see a free fall which as of now can range till 21302 or even 20587. However there does not seem any trigger as of now which can bring Nifty to this levels but you never say never. On the positive side if there is a fresh buying trigger and a positive rally overall the resistances on the upper side seem to be near 23901, 24300, 24881 and finally 25409. 25409 is a strong resistance and closing above it will not only open the doors for touching the previous highs 26277 but also push Nifty towards making new highs.
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 27-Dec-2024Trading Plan for Nifty – 27-Dec-2024
Intro: Yesterday's Plan vs. Actual
In yesterday’s plan, we highlighted the Golden Retracement Zone (23,603-23,703) and Last Resistance Zone for Intraday (23,891) as key levels to watch. The market opened near the consolidation zone (Yellow Trend), showing initial resistance at 23,760. The breakout towards 23,891 confirmed our bullish outlook (Green Trend), while reversals near the Profit Booking Zone (24,018-24,058) validated the importance of profit-taking zones.
Let’s now craft a detailed plan for 27-Dec-2024, keeping education and execution in focus.
Detailed Trading Plan for 27-Dec-2024
Gap-Up Opening (+100 points or more above 23,850):
A significant gap-up indicates strength, with Nifty likely testing the Last Resistance Zone for Intraday at 23,891. Sustained trading above 23,891 could lead to a rally toward the Profit Booking Zone at 24,018-24,058. This zone should be treated as a target for intraday traders, with potential reversals expected near 24,058.
⚠️ Action Plan: Avoid chasing the gap-up blindly. Instead, wait for a retest of 23,891 for long entries. If the price holds, aim for 24,018 and beyond.
💡 Risk Management Tip: Use trailing stop losses for options trades near resistance zones to lock in profits.
Flat Opening (Near 23,760-23,850):
A flat opening suggests indecision, with Nifty likely oscillating within the Golden Retracement Zone (23,703-23,760) initially. A breakout above 23,760 could push the index towards 23,891, while a breakdown below 23,703 may trigger bearish momentum towards 23,608.
⚠️ Action Plan: Observe the first 30 minutes of price action. For bullish trades, wait for confirmation of a breakout above 23,760. For bearish trades, look for rejection at 23,703, targeting lower levels.
💡 Risk Management Tip: Straddle or strangle strategies in options can be effective in such scenarios to capture directional moves.
Gap-Down Opening (-100 points or more below 23,760):
A gap-down opens the door for bearish moves, with immediate support at 23,608. A breakdown below 23,608 can extend the decline towards the Last Support Zone at Extended Retracement (23,495-23,446). Watch for potential reversals in this demand zone for contrarian trades.
⚠️ Action Plan: Avoid panic selling at the open. Look for a bounce at 23,495 for long entries with tight stop losses. If bearish momentum sustains below 23,495, initiate short trades targeting lower levels.
💡 Risk Management Tip: For bearish trades, consider bear put spreads to manage risk in a trending market.
Summary and Conclusion
For 27-Dec-2024, the key levels to watch are 23,891 on the upside and 23,608 on the downside. Gap-up openings need patience for confirmation, while flat and gap-down scenarios offer better risk-reward opportunities. Manage your trades with proper hedging strategies and always prioritize disciplined exits.