Nifty trying to break trendline resistance. As depicted yesterday we are near the trendline resistance. These trendline resistance like Mother and Father resistances are not easy to break but once broken they become a massive support zone. Nifty as we saw today is trying to break this trendline resistance which is there near 24359. Once this resistance will be crossed and we get a closing above the same we can see Nifty move swiftly towards 24538 and 24816. After closing above 24816 Nifty can move towards capturing 25K level back. Supports for Nifty remain at 23980 and 23708. Below 23708 we have the Mother and Father line support near 23365 and 23424. To know more about Mother Father and Small Child theory. To learn it to master it. Read my book. The Happy Candles Way To Wealth Creation available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Niftyoutlook
Nifty Analysis EOD - April 29, 2025🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD - April 29, 2025🔴
One more day passed under uncertainty... Indecision takes the driver’s seat.
📈 Market Summary
Nifty opened on a positive note at 24,370, gaining 42 points, and swiftly climbed to an intraday high of 24,457.65. But the enthusiasm didn’t last long — sellers stepped in and pushed it down, filling the opening gap. The index found support near 24,290, and attempted a bounce, but once again failed to clear the critical 24,330–24,360 resistance zone.
📌 Intraday 5 Min Time FrameChart
The rest of the session saw price action trapped within a narrow 70-point range — a frustrating day for breakout traders or option buyers.
🔹 Impatient option buyers may have been trapped, stuck in hopes of a breakout.
🔹 Patient traders probably stayed away.
🔹 Scalpers and option sellers — this was your playground today.
📌 75 Min Time FrameChart
On the 75-minute chart, once again, rejection is clearly visible from the 24,330 ~ 24,360 zone. Until we see a decisive close above 24,365, this zone will continue to command respect in our trade plans.
📌 Daily Time Frame Chart
🕯 Daily Candle Structure
Candle Type: Spinning Top — a classic indecision candle
OHLC:
Open: 24,370.70
High: 24,457.65
Low: 24,290.75
Close: 24,335.95
Change: +7.45 points (+0.03%)
🔍 Candle Breakdown:
Real Body:
Small red body of -34.75 pts (close < open) → Indicates lack of strong directional move.
Upper Wick: 86.95 pts
Lower Wick: 79.95 pts
This candlestick reflects market hesitation, especially significant after a strong uptrend. Bulls and bears fought for control, but neither side won convincingly.
🧠 What the Spinning Top Tells Us:
Appears after a strong move → Suggests loss of momentum or possible pause
Small body + long wicks = Indecision
Needs confirmation in the next session
🔮 What Next?
Today’s spinning top doesn’t give a clear directional cue. However, context matters:
A close above CPR and previous session tilts the bias slightly bullish.
Bullish scenario: A breakout above 24,460 may resume the upward trend.
Bearish scenario: A breakdown below 24,040 could open the door for a pullback.
As always — trade with preparation, not prediction.
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 326.39
IB Range: 166.9 (Medium IB)
Market Structure: Imbalanced
Trade Highlights:
Positional Trade: Long Triggered Yesterday 15:20 – 1:2 Target Achieved
Intraday: No trade triggered during the session
📈 Index Performance Snapshot
Nifty 50: +7 Points (+0.03%)
Bank Nifty: -42 Points (-0.07%)
Nifty 500: +11 Points (+0.05%)
Midcap: +148 Points (+0.27%)
Smallcap: +62 Points (+0.37%)
🔍 Key Levels to Watch
🛑 Resistance Zones:
24,330 ~ 24,360 (Immediate hurdle)
24,457 (Today’s High)
24,480 ~ 24,540 (24,500 psychological level inside this zone)
24,800
🛡 Support Zones:
24,290 (Today’s Low)
24,190 ~ 24,225 (Immediate support)
24,120
24,050
24,000 ~ 23,950
23,820
23,710 ~ 23,660
23,500
23,410 ~ 23,370
23,215
💭 Final Thoughts
Another day where the market teased both bulls and bears alike. But remember — uncertainty is not your enemy; it’s your signal to slow down. When the candle speaks in spinning tops, the trader listens in silence. Discipline and patience are still your best tools, especially when the market isn't shouting direction clearly.
Tomorrow is the Weekly expiry — so prepare for volatility and don’t let noise disrupt your clarity. Your trade setup is your edge — trust it.
✏️ Disclaimer:
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Nifty Elliott wave update for 29april Tuesday onwardsIn this Video I have explained Elliott wave analysis of Nifty on 3hour, 15 min chart and 5min chart in detail to conclude what are the possible scenarios possible in Nifty index from 29april Tuesday onwards.... Kindly watch full video for detail understanding. It will help you to understand how to use Elliott wave theory practically on charts.
Thank you for watching....
Nifty on the verge of Trendline Breakout. There is a major possibility of a Trendline Breakout amidst the rumblings on conflict with enemy nations. The main reason for Market rally today was Superb results posted by Reliance and a rally in PSU, Capital goods and defense related stocks. A lot of stocks that were oversold in the knee-jerk reaction on Friday also tried to catch-up. As the situation on the border remains tense we can have a sudden major decline as a reaction to the Geo-Political proceedings. Thus investors are asked to remains cautious and not to carry heavy derivative positions overnight. Even in the eventuality of a war actually happening one think of remaining invested in companies that can bounce back faster once the situation de-escalates.
Major Supports for Nifty on daily chart now remain at: 23988, 23708, 23415 (Major Father line support), 23325 (Major Mother Line Support) in case of Mother and Father line failing Bears can drag Nifty further down to 22875, 22142 and 21844.
Major Resistances For Nifty remain at: 24359 (Major Trend line resistance), 24538, 24816 (Is another major resistance on Fibonacci scale), If we get a closing above 24816 Nifty can easily flow towards 25183, 25399 and 25603.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty Wkly Market Outlook: Bulls Regain Momentum Amid key brkoutThe Indian benchmark index Nifty 50 ended the week on a strong note, closing at 24,039, marking a robust gain of nearly 200 points from last week's close. During the week, Nifty made a high of 24,365 and a low of 23,847, trading perfectly within the anticipated range of 24,414 – 23,200, as projected in our previous analysis.
Importantly, the index managed to secure a weekly close above the psychological resistance level of 24,000, signaling a possible continuation of bullish momentum. As we head into the next trading week, the bulls are expected to have the upper hand, provided Nifty stays above 23,700. A daily close below 23,700, however, could shift sentiment in favor of the bears, exposing key support zones at 23,400 and 23,200.
Looking ahead, traders and investors should watch for price action within the broader range of 24,650 to 23,400. If the bulls manage to break and sustain above the critical Fibonacci resistance level of 24,414, we could see an upside move toward 24,650 and even 24,770.
On the global front, the S&P 500 index also delivered a strong performance, closing at 5,525, up a significant 250 points from the previous week. As highlighted earlier, the bullish W pattern on the charts has played out well, driving momentum higher.
If the S&P 500 sustains above the key breakout level of 5,551, it could potentially rally further to test resistance at 5,638, 5,670, and 5,715. However, a break below 5,391 may invite selling pressure, dragging the index down to test supports at 5,368, 5,327, or even 5,246, which could trigger a negative ripple effect across global markets.
Key Takeaways:
Nifty bullish above 24,000; watch 24,414 for breakout confirmation.
S&P 500 bullish continuation above 5,551; potential to test 5,715.
Bearish reversal levels to monitor: 23,700 for Nifty and 5,391 for S&P 500.
Nifty Analysis EOD - April 25, 2025🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD - April 25, 2025 🔴
"Inside Bar Alert — Calm Before the Storm"… And Then the Storm Hit!
📊 Market Recap: A Walk? No. A Sprint Downhill!
As we noted in yesterday’s report, the Inside Bar setup was hinting at a possible breakout—today, it delivered that breakout with thunder and lightning. And if you blinked, you probably missed it.
Nifty opened at 24,289, looked like it might test bullish waters by attempting PDH twice within the first 15 minutes, but the sellers were just getting warmed up. What followed was a merciless 400-point drop in just 30 minutes, slicing through level after level like a knife through butter.
Zone after zone fell like dominoes:
CDO
CPR Zone
PDH
S1, S2, S3, S4
24,225, 24,188
200 SMA at 24,052
24,000 ~ 23,951 Zone
Virgin Zone 23,905 ~ 23,872
Absolutely brutal sell-off. No mercy. No pause. Just raw momentum to the downside.
🕯️ Daily Candle Structure: Long-Legged Bearish
Today’s daily candle adds a strong bearish tone to the chart:
Open: Flat to Mild Gap-Up
High: 24,365.45
Low: 23,847.85
Close: Deep in red
Despite a small attempt at recovery near the lows, buyers couldn’t even regain the opening level. What’s left is a long-legged bearish candle, indicating volatility, intraday recovery attempt, and bear dominance.
📌 This type of candle often signals distribution or exhaustion, especially when it appears after a long rally. If the next session continues the bearish move, this might be the start of a short-term correction. If we get a bullish bounce, then today’s low may act as a temporary support.
🔍 Recalling the Setup:
We previously observed a Hanging Man on April 23, signaling a possible reversal. Then, the Inside Bar formed on April 24—a classic setup for a breakout.
✔️ Our expectation: 1x Mother Bar Range as a move
✔️ Bias: Slightly Bearish due to the Hanging Man and overall overextended rally
❌ Expectation: Didn’t expect this much bloodshed this fast!
📌 Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 347.27
IB Range: 405.4 (Extra Large IB)
Market Structure: Balanced
🎯 Trade Highlights:
No System Trade: Setup didn’t align with risk management rules
Additional Trade (Discretionary Contra):
Long Entry Triggered at 12:35 PM
✅ Target Achieved: 1:3.7 Risk-Reward
📉 Index Performance Snapshot:
Nifty 50: -207 Points (-0.86%)
Bank Nifty: -537 Points (-0.97%)
Nifty 500: -332 Points (-1.5%)
Midcap: -1399 Points (-2.5%)
Smallcap: -416 Points (-2.45%)
Midcaps and smallcaps took the biggest hit, showing broad-based weakness across the market.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
📍 Resistance Zones:
24,050
24,120
24,190 ~ 24,225
24,330 ~ 24,360
24,480 ~ 24,540
24,800
📍 Support Zones:
24,000 ~ 23,950 (Immediate)
23,820
23,710 ~ 23,660
23,500
23,410 ~ 23,370
23,215
🧭 Final Thoughts:
"The storm doesn't announce itself with thunder—it begins with silence. Yesterday was silent. Today was the thunder."
The Inside Bar setup has played out, but now eyes are on whether we get follow-through selling or a relief bounce. The next session’s first 30–45 mins might give a clue.
✏️ Disclaimer ✏️
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 25/04/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty. Expected opening near 24500 level. After opening if nifty starts trading above 24550 level then possible strong upside rally towards the 24750+ level in opening session. Downside 24300 level will act as a strong support for today's session. Any major downside only expected below 24200 level.
Nifty Spot Daily Trend Analysis from April 25, 2025Technical Outlook:
Nifty Spot is approaching a potential resistance near the Gann 720° level at 24,539. A minor correction appears likely, and we are currently awaiting short signal confirmation from one of our proprietary indicators. Should a decline occur, the index may find support around the Sine Wave level of 23,398. A break below this level could suggest a continuation of the bearish momentum.
At present, most indicators are still trending upwards. However, the bar formations on the chart hint at a possible reversal. Once the MastersSignal confirms a short setup, we will reassess confluence around the Gann 720° value to strengthen conviction.
Disclaimer: This is my personal technical view. Traders should conduct their own analysis and implement strict risk management before initiating any trades.
Nifty Analysis EOD - April 24, 2025🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD - April 24, 2025 🔴
Inside Bar Alert—Calm Before the Storm?
📊 Market Recap:
Nifty opened at 24,284, marking a Gap Down of 51 points (-0.21%) from the previous close. The day began on a surprisingly calm note, but that didn’t last long. Within just 15 minutes, Nifty spiked over 100 points, rushing toward PDH (Previous Day’s High)—only to reverse sharply in the next 15 minutes and create a new intraday low.
📉 This wild back-and-forth action in the first hour was nothing short of a nightmare for intraday traders—especially those trying to catch a trend early. If anything, scalpers might’ve had the best time, capitalizing on the swift movements in both directions.
For the remainder of the session, Nifty oscillated within the CPR zone, with a few false breakout candles that quickly retraced. The structure remained range-bound, indecisive, and tricky to navigate.
📅 Expiry Day Check: Deja Vu, Minus the Volatility
If we set aside the unusually directional move of April 17th expiry, today looked like a textbook expiry day, much like the past 10 before it:
Movement hugging VWAP
Small false breakouts on either side
No follow-through
Today’s range: 132 points
Avg range of last 10 expiries: 192 points
This time, however, the volatility was muted, despite early session fireworks.
🕯 Daily Candle Structure: Inside Bar + Shooting Star
On the Daily chart, today’s price action has formed a bearish Shooting Star–like candle, but here’s the kicker—it’s also an Inside Bar setup.
📌 What’s an Inside Bar?
An Inside Bar pattern occurs when today’s high and low are completely within yesterday’s range (the “mother bar”). This signals consolidation or indecision, and often precedes a strong breakout.
📖 How to trade it?
Wait for a decisive breakout above the mother bar high or below the mother bar low. Add confirmation with volume surge to gauge the strength of the breakout.
👉 Remember: The Inside Bar doesn’t predict direction—it just tells you a move is brewing.
📌 Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 328.34
IB Range: 108.40 (Small IB)
Market Structure: Balanced
🎯 Trade Highlights:
No Trade Opportunity Presented — The structure didn’t offer any valid setups within strategy rules.
🧠 Index Performance Snapshot:
Nifty 50: -82 Points (-0.34%)
Bank Nifty: -168.65 Points (-0.30%)
Nifty 500: -57 Points (-0.26%)
Midcap: -71 Points (-0.13%)
Smallcap: -6 Points (-0.04%)
📌 Key Levels to Watch
📍 Resistance Zones:
24,330 ~ 24,360
24,480 ~ 24,540
24,800
📍 Support Zones:
24,190 ~ 24,225
23,950 ~ 24,000 (Immediate)
23,820
23,660 ~ 23,710
23,500
23,400 ~ 23,430
23,200 ~ 23,190
🧭 Final Thoughts:
"Inside Bars are like market whispers—subtle, quiet, but worth listening to. The next breakout might just surprise you."
✏️ Disclaimer ✏️
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Nifty--Demand Zone and Liquidity @23400 Nifty index is broken the strong resistance at 23800 levels and taken the liquidity at 24220 levels...
now price action is sideways or trading in a range bound market.
expecting some pullback for further continuation....
wait for buyers exhaustion before short...
we have a clear demand zone at 23400 levels...
when price confirms the bullishness here, after the liquidity grab below the demand will observe a strong up move again...
there are bullish gaps @22800 levels...price has to give pullback for further upside move...
the above one is a clear buying plan for the targets of 24800 and 25200 liquidity.
--->>still we have no sign of bearishness is seen in Nifty.
Nifty Analysis EOD - April 23, 2025🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD - April 23, 2025 🔴
"Hanging Man Candle on Bullish Trend—Pause or Plot Twist?"
📊 Market Recap:
As anticipated from the ongoing bullish structure, Nifty opened with a strong Gap-Up at 24,357, adding +192 Points (+0.79%) to the charts. However, what looked like a continuation day quickly turned cautious. The initial candle marked the day’s high (Open = High scenario, nearly exact) and started a gap-filling move, pushing prices back to CPR.
The market respected CPR as a support, then moved back towards its mean (VWAP) where the PDH + R1 zone resisted price action effectively until 1 PM. Post that, Nifty finally broke out, sustained above the zone, and closed at 24,300—still holding gains despite a red candle, which visually seems bearish but technically closes above VWAP + PDH. Hence, a hidden bullish undertone remains.
🕯 Daily Candle Check: Is It a Hanging Man?
A textbook Hanging Man candle appears to have formed on the Daily Chart—a bearish reversal pattern that shows potential weakness at the top of a rally.
📌 Candle Stats:
Body: 28 points
Lower Shadow: 209 points
Upper Shadow: 2 points
Shadow-to-body ratio: 209 / 28 = 7.4x
✅ Trend Context: Yes, uptrend present
✅ Candle Structure: Meets all parameters
👉 Verdict: Confirmed Hanging Man Candle
This hints that selling pressure is gradually creeping in while buying strength might be exhausting. But a Hanging Man alone isn't a trade trigger—confirmation is key. So we watch tomorrow’s session to decide whether it’s just a pause or a trend shift.
📈 Intraday Insight: Head & Shoulders Pattern
During the session’s consolidation and bounceback phase, a Head & Shoulders pattern played out intraday with its target being 24,300—achieved successfully by EOD.
🔍 Pattern Recap:
This bullish reversal structure shows three dips, with the central one (head) being the deepest and two shallower ones (shoulders). A break above the “neckline” confirmed bullishness—supporting the rebound above VWAP.
📌 Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 350.19
IB Range: 94.75 (Small IB)
Market Structure: Imbalanced
🎯 Trade Highlights:
First Trade: Short – Triggered at 10:05 AM — ✅ 1:1.5 Target Achieved
Second Trade: Long – Triggered at 13:40 PM — ✅ 1:1.5 Target Achieved
Additional Trade (H&S Pattern): Long – Triggered at 11:40 AM — ✅ Pattern Target Achieved
🧠 Index Performance Snapshot:
Nifty 50: +161 Points (+0.67%)
Bank Nifty: -277 Points (-0.5%), but a new ATH at 56,098
Nifty 500: +152 Points (+0.69%)
Midcap: +644 Points (+1.18%)
Smallcap: +74 Points (+0.44%)
📌 Key Levels to Watch
📍 Resistance Zones:
24,330 ~ 24,360
24,480 ~ 24,540
24,800
📍 Support Zones:
24,190 ~ 24,225
23,950 ~ 24,000 (Immediate)
23,820
23,660 ~ 23,710
23,500
23,400 ~ 23,430
23,200 ~ 23,190
🧭 Final Thoughts:
"Reversal or Reset? Structure is key. When levels work, respect them. When they break, adapt."
✏️ Disclaimer ✏️
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Nifty Analysis EOD - 22nd April 2025🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD - 22nd April 2025 🔴
🧠 Market Background:
As highlighted in the previous session analysis, we were expecting a range-bound or narrow-range trading day — and that’s exactly what played out.
Nifty opened at 24,185, right below the resistance zone where yesterday’s session had consolidated heavily. Early in the session, price fell below the Previous Day Close (PDC) and took support exactly at the Central Pivot Range (CPR) before staging a sharp move up — breaking both Current Day High (CDH) and Previous Day High (PDH).
However, the 24,225 resistance zone acted as a speed breaker, pushing prices back down toward VWAP, which then provided a solid support base. Until around 2:45 PM, Nifty kept forming higher lows, giving hopes for continuation — but then broke the previous swing low, forming a new lower low into the close.
📊 Price Action Insight:
Day closed above the CPR zone, which still favors the bullish structure
However, on the daily timeframe, a near-perfect Doji candle has formed, with just a 9-point body, indicating indecision or a pause in the trend
The intraday range was 170 points, noticeably lower than Nifty’s average range, hinting at contraction
In such a case, trading the Doji becomes simple — wait for either high or low to break, but also consider nearby support/resistance confluence for better edge
🎯 Strategic Outlook:
A retracement towards 23,660–23,710 or even 23,200 can’t be ruled out — although it's early to confirm
Broader sentiment stays bullish, but this Doji suggests a pause or potential reversal — so caution near upper zones is advised
Keep tracking key global cues and sector rotation — especially with Midcaps and Smallcaps showing strong resilience
📌 Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 362.5
IB Range: 129.65 (Medium IB)
Market Structure: Balanced
Long Trade Triggered at 10:30 AM — ✅ 1:1.5 Target Achieved
Second Long Entry at 11:40 AM — ❌ SL Hit
📈 Index Performance
Nifty: +42 Points (+0.17%)
Bank Nifty: 🔼 New All-Time High at 55,961, closing at 55,647 (+342 pts / +0.6%)
Nifty 500: +79 Points (+0.36%)
Midcap: +422 Points (+0.78%)
Smallcap: +122 Points (+0.73%)
📌 Key Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance Zones
• 24,190 ~ 24,225
• 24,330 ~ 24,360
• 24,480 ~ 24,540
🔻 Support Zones
• 23,950 ~ 24,000 (Immediate support)
• 23,820
• 23,660 ~ 23,710
• 23,500
• 23,400 ~ 23,430
• 23,200 ~ 23,190
🧘♂️ Final Thoughts
"Structure is key. When levels work, respect them. When they break, adapt."
Stay level-headed, stay prepared. Let the market show you the way.
✏️ Disclaimer ✏️
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Decoding NIFTYDear Traders,
I hope this message finds you well in your trading endeavours and personal pursuits. I am excited to share a compelling opportunity with you through a new NIFTY analysis that sheds light on the continuation of the market shift.
Preliminary Analysis Overview:
The downtrend from all-time highs has reached approximately 65% of its progression.
The recent upward surge is somewhat concerning due to concerns about a new trend or a correction within a correction in a larger degree (downtrend).
Let us discuss the key points to distinguish between these two scenarios:
The second leg of the downtrend is experiencing a correction, having completed approximately 89/90 days (which reinforces the interim trend’s completion).
The current correction is progressing rapidly, exhibiting limited sub-waves, which is typically not a characteristic of a motive wave (especially at the beginning of a trend).
The accompanying chart illustrates this point.
Let us elucidate the reasons behind this assertion:
Reason I:
As a staunch believer and ardent follower of Master WDG , the significance of time cannot be disregarded.
The primary downtrend commenced on September 27, 2024, and is poised to encounter a pivotal juncture, namely 180 days from its commencement on March 25, 2025 (Tuesday). This date also coincides with a cross-over with the Fibonacci value of 21 from March 4, 2025, where the interim correction commenced (21,964.60).
The 180D is a component of both the tetragram and the hexagram, and it also represents the midway point of a complete circle (360).
There is also another weird correlation, 4th MAR’25 & 25th MAR’25 both falls on Tuesday marking initiation & termination, the same day.
Reason II:
The geometric patterns of preceding and ongoing movements further support this analysis.
Analyzed both on a daily and weekly basis. The correction responded favorably to both Fibonacci retracements and trendlines. Upcoming resistance levels include:
RI: 23,590~23,600
RII:23,653 (23.6% of the downtrend)
RIII: 23,807
The previous support level is acting as a crucial resistance.
I also observe that there will not be a positive close in 3M charts.
Reference:
Important Dates to Remember:
As suggested, March 25, 2025, marks a significant juncture in the overall trend.
This is pure technical based analysis & does not involve any economic data releases other factors.
** Final Verdict: **
The market is anticipated to conclude its final leg of the downtrend, commencing from this Tuesday. However, the duration of this leg can range from 1 to 2 months.
I have identified several crucial dates for monitoring the upcoming trend. Stay informed!
**Strategy:**
Given the prevailing market conditions, adopting a bearish stance appears prudent.
Any sell positions executed after 23,550 will yield positive returns.
While it may seem counterintuitive to deviate from the prevailing trend, I am merely adhering to the established rules (without expressing any personal sentiment). However, it is inherently risky. Therefore, it is imperative to implement robust risk management strategies during such high-risk trades that are significantly influencing the market.
Additionally, please exercise caution regarding option buying. The low volatility environment is concerning, but it is anticipated to normalize as the downtrend progresses.
Fellow Traders,
The creation of this valuable analytical resource has required countless hours of dedication and effort. If you find it useful, I humbly request your support by boosting the idea and following me (updates will be provided via this post, new posts, and through minds). Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally.
Thank you for investing your time in reading this article.
Wishing you profitable and fulfilling trading endeavors!
Disclaimer:
Before concluding, I must emphasize that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is crucial for you to conduct your own research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial objectives and risk tolerance.
Nifty Closes 1000 Points Higher – Will It Catch Up with BNFIn a strong move, Nifty 50 surged by 1000 points to close at 23,851, compared to last week’s close. The index made a weekly high of 23,872 and a low of 23,207. As highlighted in last week's analysis, a breakout above 23,400 could push Nifty toward 23,900 — a target it missed by just 23 points.
However, an intriguing divergence has emerged between Nifty and Bank Nifty. While Bank Nifty has scaled a new all-time high, Nifty still trades significantly below its previous all-time high of 26,277. This sets the stage for an interesting dynamic: Will Nifty rally to close the gap, or will Bank Nifty face a correction?
What to Expect Next Week?
For the upcoming week, Nifty is expected to trade in a range between 23,200 and 24,414. Despite the bullish signals on the daily and weekly timeframes, the monthly chart remains weak, indicating that volatility is likely to persist until a broader trend confirmation.
S&P 500 Outlook: Bounce or Breakdown?
The S&P 500 index saw a mild pullback, closing around 80 points lower from the previous week’s close of 5,363. Our “sell on rise” strategy mentioned last week worked well, as the index dipped post-rally.
Now, things get technically interesting. On the weekly chart, the S&P 500 is forming a potential bullish W pattern and an inside bar. A breakout above the previous week's high of 5,481 could trigger upward targets of 5,551, 5,637, and 5,679.
However, on the downside, a break below 5,115 would reintroduce bearish pressure, which could have negative ripple effects across global markets.
Key Market Takeaways:
Nifty 50: Strong rally, but still below ATH. Watch 23,200–24,414 range next week.
Bank Nifty: At ATH, diverging from Nifty – crucial to monitor.
S&P 500: At a technical crossroads – potential for breakout or breakdown
Nifty Analysis EOD – 17th April 2025🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – 17th April 2025 🔴
Weekly Expiry Surprise – A One-Sided Short Covering Rally!
📌 Market Background
Before jumping into today’s rally, let’s briefly revisit yesterday’s analysis:
“Tomorrow’s weekly expiry + a holiday on Friday = high chance of a rangebound expiry day. Even if we get a gap-up due to global cues or news, I’m not expecting a breach above 23,500.”
This view was based on the recent expiry behavior and range contraction, especially with the past two days showing just a 170-point range and the last 10 expiries averaging a 192-point intraday range.
But today, the market did what it does best – surprised everyone!
📌 Today’s Price Action
Nifty gave a one-sided, mind-blowing short-covering rally on the weekly expiry day.
IB High + PDH Breakout triggered a sharp move early in the session.
Sustained price action above 23,550 in the morning session activated aggressive short covering.
This momentum carried Nifty all the way to an intraday high of 23,872.
Closing at 23,852, Nifty registered a new swing breakout, moving above its previous highest swing close.
📊 Intraday Movement Stats
Total movement: 574 points 🔥
Nifty: +414 points (+1.77%)
Bank Nifty: +1172 points (+2.21%)
Nifty 500: +277 points (+1.3%)
Midcap: +312 points (+0.60%)
Smallcap: +61 points (+0.37%)
📌 Key Observations
Bank Nifty is now just 177 points away from its All-Time High closing.
Smallcap and Midcap underperformance suggests today’s rally was index-heavy – many portfolios might not reflect the same gains as Nifty.
📉 So, What’s Next at 23,850?
Honestly… don’t know!
Will it push to 24,050?
Or take a pause and pull back for a retracement?
With Friday being a holiday, we’ll have to wait until Monday for clarity.
📌 Important Levels to Watch
🔼 Resistance Zones
23,950 ~ 24,000
24,050
24,190 ~ 24,225
🔽 Support Zones
23,820
23,660 ~ 23,710
23,500
23,400 ~ 23,430
23,340
23,200 ~ 23,190
🧠 Strategy Insight
Don’t chase. Watch price action around 23,820–23,950.
Be flexible. Don’t marry a bias. Let Monday’s opening structure guide your next move.
Nifty Futures intraday analysis for April 17, 2025As explained yesterday, I foresee a bearish trend and the support1 zone at 23358 and Support 2 is at 23313. A breakout below 23313 will bring the Nifty Futures down to 23237. Our Market Timing indicator is in line to our analysis.
This is just my view for the day. Traders must use their own technical study before entering into trades. Stop-Loss is a must for every trade.
Nifty near the trendline resistance now after another good day.Nifty has cleared the 200 days EMA or the Father line on Daily chart. But in the hourly chart depicted here has hit a resistance zone which happens to be a trend line resistance.
RSI of Nifty is currently above 73 and the scope for upside is there but limited. With a shortened week tomorrow we will have a weekly closing. So a positive closing tomorrow can place us in a good space for a next week. However with everchanging trade war scenario it is difficult to guess if investors will encash their long positions or carry them forward into the next week.
The next resistances for Nifty remain at 23456, 23621, 23713, 23784 and 23915 before Nifty regains 24K levels. The support zones for Nifty remain at 23292, 23156, (Mother and Father lines of hourly chart are close by near) 23017 and 22980. So this zone will be a strong support. A closing below 22980 can drag Nifty down towards 22771 or even 22361 region.
Also one must keep an eye on Reliance result tomorrow. As it is a index power house it can single handedly make or break the weekly closing. Flat or positive closing tomorrow will be very helpful for the bull run to continue.
Disclaimer:The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty Futures Daily Trend analysis for April 17, 2025As mentioned in my post yesterday (April 15, 2025), we have been eyeing the Nifty Futures resistance level at 23,460. Today, the price is approaching this level. Our Masters Cycle has confirmed a buy signal today, with a stop-loss set at 21,859.
Now, how should we approach intraday trading for tomorrow (April 17, 2025)?
As highlighted in yesterday’s update, our Future Candle Reversal Projection indicator has signaled a reversal day for April 17. Additionally, the Dynamic Candle Reversal indicator (note the small blue line plotted today) has confirmed an intraday bearish setup for tomorrow.
Considering these signals, we will focus on intraday shorting opportunities for April 17. However, for positional trades, we continue to maintain a bullish bias.
Disclaimer:
The views shared here reflect my personal analysis and are intended for educational purposes only. Market conditions may differ in real-time. If you are a trader, please conduct your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions. Always ensure that you trade with a proper Stop-Loss in place.
Resistance Zone approaching. Can the bulls defy the odds?Nifty is rallying for the last few days along with global markets due to relief provided by US President Donald Trump due to Tariff pause but we are approaching a zone where the maniac rise might halt or it might take some time to relax and catch a breath or two.
The zone of concern starts from Father line of daily chart which is near 23360. Once we get a closing above this point the zone between 23569 and 23893 will be little difficult to cross as it has the trend line resistance. Once we get a closing above 23893 the Bulls can be in very strong space where they can try to pull the market further 500/800 points upwards.
However we comment about it when we reach there. The support for Nifty in case the Father line or the Resistance zone of 23569/23893 plays a spoil sport will be 23174, 23039 (Strong Mother Line Support of Daily chart).
If the Mother line is broken and we get a weekly closing below the same Bears will come back into action and can try to drag the Nifty towards 22675, 22353 and finally 21737.
Disclaimer:The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty Futures Daily Trend AnalysisNifty Futures has been in an uptrend since closing above the SSL level at 23,018. The MastersCycleSignal indicator is currently acting as resistance at 23,460. A breakout above this level could open the path toward the next resistance at 23,801.
The Future Candle Reversal Projection indicator highlights potential upcoming intraday opportunities that contrast with the intraday trend of the day prior to the reversal. This is my personal view and shared for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own technical analysis and always trade with a stop-loss.
Nifty50 Wkly Anlysis – Strong Reversal, But Volatility AheadThe Indian stock market closed the week on an interesting note. The Nifty 50 index ended at 22,828, just 70 points lower than last week's close, after forming a significant bullish reversal from a low of 21,743 to a high of 22,923.
As we mentioned in last week's market outlook, a base formation was underway—and this week's price action confirmed it. With the next week being truncated due to market holidays on Monday and Friday, traders should expect increased volatility and sideways movement.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 22,200 – This is 50% of this week's candle; a break may bring bearish momentum.
Resistance: 23,400 – A close above this could ignite a rally toward 23,900, 24,100, and possibly 24,414.
On the global front, the S&P 500 respected the 4,800 support level, rebounding sharply to close at 5,363. However, underlying market weakness remains, so it's a sell-on-rise situation in U.S. equities.
Pro Tip:
Indian investors should keep an eye out for quality, fundamentally strong stocks. Any correction in the market may offer excellent long-term buying opportunities.
Nifty in the Short Term can try to stage further recovery. After the drastic Trump Tariff war shock Nifty is trying to recover it's lost territory closing at 22828. Right now the Nifty is trapped between Mother and Father lines of its Hourly chart. The supports for Nifty remain at 22761 (Mother Line Support), 22675, 22353 and 21859. Below 21859 Nifty becomes very week again. The resistance for Nifty on the upper side remain at 22924 (Strong Father line Resistance), 23174 (Strong Trend line Resistance), 23384, 23569 and finally 23783. Above 23783 closing Nifty will become very Bullish.