NIFTY SHORT for 348 points
Price has formed a Daily Supply which is The Source of the DownTrend and There is a Weekly and Monthly Demand formed for which Price will surely retrace, after reacting to the Daily Supply Price formed a 2H Supply which is coincided with the 4H supply and This is a Trade Zone for Shorting Nifty
ENJOY THE RIDE ! ! !
Niftyoutlook
NIFTY--Supply acts as Demand@18260??Observations::
--------->> Yesterday price tested the level @18260 level where a strong gap down occurs previously, and again falls back to below 18200 levels.
---------->> we have one more resistance @ 18340 level, if price breaks this level will observe again bullish momentum towards 18450 levels, careful at this level.
If facing resistance @18340 levels and 18260 level or 18200 level acts as support more bullishness is observed.
Supply Acts as Demand@18260 level.
keep track this levels.
Key level of support: 18060 and 17960 levels.
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Nifty took support near 18115 and is trying to bounce from thereNifty took support near 18115 and is trying to bounce from there on the way up 18235 to 18270 zone which wich was a great support will prove to be a strong resistance. If that hurdle is crossed Nifty can travel back to 18308, 18346 and 18384 or even 18400+ staging a V-shaped recovery. Before that happens it is important to cross 18235 to 18270 zone.
Supports at the lower side will be near today's low that is 18115, 18040 and finally 17972. Weekly closing below 17972 will bring smile on the face of bears. In case that happens.
NIFTY--Expiry Levels @18160-18340------->>Price is clearly broken the support @18200 level strongly.
-------->> we have a previous resistances @18340 and @18260 levels failed to act as support, witnessed that more selling pressure is observed.
--------->> now price wants to test which level,18260 level where a strong gap down occurs previously.
---------->> This will again act as resistance, but while breaking 18260 level price leaves a supply zone in the range 18340-18360 range, so today price will test these 2 zones.
Key level of support: 18060 and 17960 levels.
Note:: Expiry will close in the range 18160-18340 Range.
Keep track these levels.
NIFTY--Head and Shoulders Pattern ??Observations::
Left shoulder @18340
Head @ 18400
Right Shoulder @18340
and Neckline is observed at 18200,if price breaks neckline we will observe a strong fall towards 18120,18060 levels.
---------->> we have gap left @ 18060 level, price may goes up again from here. this level will push the price upwards again.
---------->> Be careful at 17960 and 18060 levels.
Nifty preceisely stopped at the indicated resistances yesterday.What was depicted yesterday was very similar to what happened. Channel top proved to be a tough resistance to conquer and Nifty today rested just above mid channel line at18286.50 We had very accurately indicated the support at 18284. This is as precise as you can get with Technicals😌😊.
Now What?
We have this support or the next support at 18267. If 18267 is taken down we can further fall to 18190 or 18140. (Next support levels.).
You can also see in the previous and current chart that invariably Mid channel line has proven to be support and NIFTY has bounced from here 4 times previously. So Let us hope we get a support from mid channel line and we can bounce from here. If we bounce from here next resistance will be 18340 and 18384. Interesting day tomorrow to see in which direction the NIFTY goes.
Review and Trading plan for 16th May 2023Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty 15 May 23 to 19 May 23 Short ,Medium and Long TermNifty 15 May 23 to 19 May 23 Short ,Medium and Long Term
Nifty closed at 18314 ( 18069) and touched low of 18100.
Nifty touched high of 18389.
Mainly followed the band resistance provided for last two weeks ( as mentioned below) and 3-4 days the resistance acted as support.
Nifty support at 18111/18204/18274 ( Prev Highs Shown in thick red , blue and green horizontal lines)
RSI ,MACD and Stochastic are at 69%, 210 and 92%
KN Election results will play small setback in the indices, might drop to the the support level provided in the coming week in initial trading sessions.
However after small consolidation it will again try to attempt to surpass 18465/ 18600 /18900 in the Medium term.
Nifty- short term is Neutral to Long.
Need to decisively close above 18274 to reach targets ext target at 18437/18465 ( fibonacci resitances) .
Nifty support at 18111/18204/18274
Buy on Dip
Nifty Medium Term -
Nifty need to break decisively above first target 18274 to reach next target of 18437 ( Fibonacci 0.786 Retracement)/ 18640/ followed by prev high 18890.
Nifty have multiple support for Medium Term - 17865/17741 ( Previous Highs) and 17560 ( April Low)
Below that 17387- 17340/ 17252
Long term-
Need to decisively close above 18890 ( Previous Dec22 High) to reach targets of 19000/19500/20000
17208/17180//17000
long term support at 16746 ( Sep22 Low)
Long term Investors can accumulate following Mutual Funds
NIFTY 50 Equal weight
Bank Nifty
Nifty IT (Buy on dip)
NIFTY-Trendline-Retest-Gap Down ??Observations::
GAP DOWN opens
---------->> Price broken the trendline and observed a strong fall, and retest is observed at trendline @18340 levels.
---------->> Previous supply zone @18200 level resist the price to go down.
If tomorrow price breaks this level, we will observe a strong fall towards 18120,18060 levels.
if price again breaks 18200 levels, 18120 level acts as a pullback to 18200 level, at this level previously strong sell off is observed, here
(18200-18120) if again strong push to the down side happens price falls below 18060,up to 17960 levels.
---------->> we have an untested demand zone @17960 will push the price upwards again.
---------->> Be careful at (18200-18120) and 18060 levels.
NIFTY--Breakdown happens ??Observations::
---------->>Price opened gap up and observed a strong fall + consolidation.
---------->> Previous supply zone (gap down) range @18260 level resist the price to go down .
If tomorrow price breaks this level, we will observe a strong fall towards 18200,18120 levels.
if price again breaks 18180 levels, 18120 level acts as a pullback to 18180 level, at this level previously strong sell off is observed, here
(18200-18120) if again strong push to the down side happens price falls below 18060,up to 17960 levels.
---------->> we have an untested demand zone @17960 will push the price upwards again.
---------->> Be careful at (18200-18120) and 17960 levels.
.
Nifty 50 Index Next MovePair : Nifty 50 Index
Description :
Bearish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame with the Breakout of the Upper Trend Line and Retracement
Divergence - RSI
Break of Structure
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Wave and " ABC " Corrective Wave
SMC - CHOCH
Fibonacci Level - 78.60%
NIFTY--Fall Below 18260 levels (Expiry)??Observations::
---->> After gap up NIFTY clearly showing bearish pressure towards 18200 levels, if again price goes below 18260 levels, we will go for selling up to 18200,18120,18060 levels.
------->> If any one of these levels acts support price will again goes upside.
-------->> Wait for more confirmation at 18200-18180 range to break and pullback to 18260 or 18220 levels.
-------->> Above we have a resistance @ 18380-18400 range.
NIFTY-Today bullish move created to exit the long positions??Observations:
-------->>Nifty trending upwards, today it proves that it's a retracement not a reversal sign.
-------->> Again showing bullish movement in nifty, witnessed buyers are still in control.
today bullish move created to exit the long positions?? why don't we think sooo....
-------->>We suspect that if it is a false breakout in nifty above 18260 level , this time the fall will be below 18060 levels.
-------->> At this point 18250 level, sellers are exists by showing a huge gap down , why don't we think of sellers may again push the price towards downside.
--------->> If we consider these 2 levels, 18200 or 18100 they are not strong enough to push the price higher, so if price started falling it may clear all these levels, and we have an untested demand zone@17960 levels.
NOTE:
Is this false breakout above 18260.
NIFTY- which level Holds 18200 or 18100 ??
NIFTY--Retracement is to Enter Long Again Not for Sell ??Observations:
-------->>Nifty trending upwards (after a huge gap down means not to sell, its a retracement)
---------->>After a strong bullish movement, after breakout from 17800 levels,
----------->>Nifty gives larger retracement towards 18050 levels, this retracement is to enter again long with the momentum upside towards 18300,18500 levels.
--------->> consider this an opportunity to enter long from these zones, not to enter for short.
--------->>Nifty showing pressure on bearish side, but wait and enter for long here, leaving a demand zone @18000-17960 levels. Be on long side with the movement.
NOTE:
NIFTY- Bullish from this zone 18000-17960 ??
Nifty Weekly Analysis for May 1-5Analysis on nifty for upcoming week May 1-5:
The Nifty index seems to exhibit a bullish trend in the long-term & in the short-term as well, according to the market structure.
In the upcoming week, it's important to monitor key levels 17610, 18090, & 18105.
My outlook:
After analyzing the chart, it appears that the Nifty index had a strong upward momentum last week, gaining 475 points.
Based on this, it is my expectation that the market may enter a sideways movement phase with increase volatility in the upcoming week, with the index trading within a range of 500 points, specifically between the levels of 17610 and 18105.
NIFTY--Gap down occurs @18260 level??Observations:
NIFTY Previously showing Strong bearish pressure at this level.
NIFTY-- Price leaving a demand zone 18180 if this level acts as support, price reach again 18260 level.
--------->> If failed to act as demand zone the same zone is acts as Supply again and price falls back to below 18180.
--------->> Go short below for targets of 18060,17950 levels.
NIFTY--Drop-Base-Drop Form??Nifty Observations:
-------->> After opening gap down ,showing bullish pressure but not able to fill the gap on upside.
-------->> Consolidation is observed .
-------->> Go short if price breaks 18070 level, for targets of 18020,17980,17960.
-------->> Expiry may limit the price movement in the range 18100-17960 levels.
NIFTY--Retracement or Reversal ??Observations:
--------->> After a strong breakout in nifty @17800 level, no proper retracement is observed.
--------->> If 18200 acts as resistance we will observe a retracement towards 17800 or 17500 levels.
--------->> If price break 18200,we have an immediate resistance @18250-18300, a false breakout may happen here @18200.
---------->>Price wants to test the previous supply @ 17800 level which may act as demand zone to move the price towards upside for the targets of 18200,18500 levels in the upcoming weeks.
--------->>This week price is ranging between 17950-18200 levels.
Note::
Consider it as a Retracement not a reversal in NIFTY.
NIFTY --Strong Support @17840 -17800 ?? or Reversal @17500Note:
Strong Support @17840 -17800 will acts as support go long again from this levels to reach 18100,18200 levels.
It is recommended to remain on the buy side within the range of 17800-17840, as no significant retracement has been observed after breaking the supply zone at 17840 level.
If this level acts as support, weekly expiry is expected to be bullish to consolidation at (18100-18200).
Observations:
After trending upwards in NIFTY yesterday, today the price continuously moving upwards,
They are now poised to reach untested supply zones at 17920-18100 levels.
However,, and if any of the previous supply zones act as support, the price could move back upwards.