Nifty 4th December Today's market was range bound due to expiry but but tomorrow we can see a trending market. I'm still positive on the market as this market rally is basically fii's buying and they bought 3500 Cr again today, the option chain has has slightly more put writing than call writing but basically the option chain data is inconclusive. All the world index's are hitting all time highs day after day and yes the markets are overbought but that doesn't mean you should start shorting the markets just go with the flow and keep trading intraday considering the daily trend but keep in mind that there's gonna be a bullish reversal everytime the market turns red. It's literally a bull market and shorting is just stupid. USA stimulus and all that, though USD was weak af today yet the fii's bought. Markets might correct after the stimulus runs dry when everyone realises that we can't pay back the Loans and keep supporting a bull run but the last pump got us here guess where another pump could take us
This market would bring back Harshad Mehta from the dead
Niftyoutlook
Nifty 50 Intraday Trade Setup for 23rd November 2020Good Morning everyone,
Hope you all doing good and made good money last week. Nifty 50 is Trading on their Phycological resistance and harmonic PRZ, We had seen the same thing on the 12000 Level. The index is following the same thing at this point. The current Index range is 13030 to 12720. This 300 Points range shows that how many indexes strong since Sep month. We had seen the last major correction in September month after that Index has not given more than 400 points correction in his 2000 Point run. Straight run. In the last Video given you a short from the top in the Intraday. Intraday is very tricky at this point because of this range. Most of up move eaten by the FIIS in Overnight by Trading on sgx Nifty. Let's talk about current affairs.
Trade setup
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Long :
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India 50 is trading on a positive note around 60 Points up from the previous closing .so we can see a gap up opening today but you guys need to consider buying only above 13100. Very Less room in the upside as 13000 is the Phycological resistance followed up with Harmonic PRZ so be alert on Buy-side and buy only above 13100 which is hard to come in the Intraday but I do not want to take risks. Above 13100 we will get a Breakout confirmation and will see another 500-1000 run in the upside. 13100 is valid for the whole week as well.
Short
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An intraday day trade is very tricky in a range-bound market but there is a chance to sell from the top @12960-13000 SL is 13040.
The second confirmation for short is the Intraday Harmonic PRZ in India 50 at level 13013.
www.tradingview.com
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst and all the information provided here is for educational purposes Views are shared based on market research and study and personal in nature. Others can take different views and opinions.
Good Luck and Happy Trading
Virendra Pandey
Bearish but, still in no trade zone
Nifty has been bearish for quite some time now but, it is going sideways it, hasn't really fallen through. So it would it would not be prudent to short it now. Until it falls below 11600, and the way it has been finding supports it has been like holding on its own, shorting it seems risky.
And long red candles give high stop loss and near supports give very short rewards. Risk reward ratio is always important. So, no overnight trades in Nifty. It might be good for intraday options selling...
Bearish but, hold your gunsAs expected, Nifty pulled back today. But, it could not cross the resistance. So, it's dancing between support created by previous breakout and resistance created by previous support. That's a strong support. But the weak resistance held on to its own. And the bearish engulfing candle from yesterday says bearish chart.
Take trade only when the direction is clear and risk reward ratio is favourable.
Nifty 50 Weekly View & Trade Setup for October 4th week Hello everyone,
Last week we had given a short from 12000 with 12030. The index high is 1224.55. The index has fallen like a knife from this level and made 11664.00 Low almost 336 Points in the previous week. Hope you guys have made good money last week. Now the main question is what will be our setup for this week and what position we will be preferred in a shorter time frame and Intraday as well.
There is no doubt that the index is still bullish in a longer time frame but we are intraday and short-term swing trader and buy-sell are both positions is for us. In a shorter time frame, In shorter time frame Index is in a correction fedge and Short Position is much stronger than Long. Remember one thing always that Entry is very Important in Intraday. In the chart, I had marked some trend line so you guys can understand the current market situation. These lines are so Important in Intraday.
Trade setup
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Long :
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SGX nifty is trading on a positive note so we can see a gap up opening today but you guys need to consider buying only above 11900. so wait until this level comes and the Index must be sustained on this level.Stop loss will 11850 Target: Open
Short:
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Short Position is tricky. Today Important level for short is 11860 and 11770 As I said before the current sentiment is bearish so both levels can consider for your short Position. Second If you see an up move at the first trading session and index test 11860-11870 then you guys can build your short position here with 11910 Stop loss.
The second short can considerably lower than 11770 with 11820 stop loss. Target is Open
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst and all the information provided here is for educational purposes Views are shared based on market research and study and personal in nature. Others can take different views and opinions.
Good Luck and Happy Trading
Virendra Pandey
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup for Friday 16th October 2020Good Morning everyone,
Hope you guys did well in yesterday's trading session and made a good buck. Yesterday fall was massive and target killers. Index fall was accepted from 12000 levels but to be honest I never think that it will be so huge and so straight. Bear always does this that's why I love Bear Market :) The main question is what about today's trading session, Well short-term correction is on and we can see a little more correction from here but the main question is what is our entry point for today's trading session...
Marked all stairs which were used in the bull run These stairs aka support can be used in the downside as well. Remember 11550 to 11600 is the major support in midterm so book you positional short at this level. Higher chances for a pullback or trend continue. Index short, Mid, and long term is an Uptrend so don't be nasty with your short and keep booking the profit.
Intraday View
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We can see a small gap up Opening today but does not mean that will change the yesterday sentiment for now Index is short. We need to watch the 1st Trading session and see what will happen. The index is short in today's Intraday and you just need to wait for it.
Levels
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Today is only selling position and it has 2 points to build your short Position.
1st Sell Position: 10,640
Stop loss: 10680
Target and room in downside: 11580
Second Sell Position
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Tricky but worthy. Wait a first Trading hour and see the pullback for the previous swing low and wait for test the stairs no 11 which is an Intraday Resistance. The level is 11740-11760 short from here
Stop loss: 11800
Target and room in downside: 11670
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst and all the information provided here is for educational purposes Views are shared based on market research and study and personal in nature. Others can take different views and opinions.
Good Luck and Happy Trading
Virendra Pandey
Clearly Bearish but, hold your gunsOk, that huge red is candle is clearly a bearish signal. But, I am yet to go short. When it makes such a huge move in 1 candle, some buying may occur. And the immediate support is at 11660, see the horizontal line to depict support. That's a terrible risk reward ratio...
Nifty 50 weekly forecast & Intraday setup for 05th October 2020Hello friends,
Hope you guys have done good in the last week and made some good money from the trading. I had seen that lot of peoples want to trade in Nifty and Banknifty Index just because of the volatility. I do agree that Index always has an opportunity for a knowledgable trader but the worst part is Index momentum is very hard to predict in the Intraday and you must follow the discipline more than any analysis. September is always a nightmare for Nifty 50 as per the last 3 year data. very volatile as we had seen recently. Total 1800 Points movement we had seen in the September month which is shown how many indexes volatile these days. Let's Investigate what was happened in September month.
Before the September Index was so bullish and making higher high and breaking most of the resistance but we had given you 10,750 level for a correction. This level has come from the harmonic and worked very well. The index has given 1000 Point downside move and made a low 10,790. Tou can see our 31st august analysis on the trading view. We predicted most of the major moves. I am gonna update all, check bellow images
Updated chart :
Then we predicted an upside move.
Updated chart :
Our last idea has been shared on Thursday and we pick Inda 50 for this analysis because Nifty 50 has not enough data. Check bellow Image
Updated chart :
These all our Past analysis and we have just updated them for your study purpose so you can believe that swing trading is far better than Intraday ... Now the main question is what gonna happen in October first trading week. Let's talk about key factors first.
Key Factors
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1-The Govt announced the launch of an ambitious information technology project 'Sunidhi' to digitize all provident fund and pension related activities of the Coal Mines Provident Fund Organisation.
2-India posted a trade deficit of $2.91 billion in goods in September. Merchandise imports contracted 19.60% in September to $30.31 billion from a year ago while exports rose 5.27% to $27.40 billion.
3-Automobile manufacturers showed significant signs of recovery as they dispatched 13% more vehicles to dealers in September. Tractor sales also increased, indicating that a good monsoon is driving the rural economy
4-NBFCs pin hopes on festive season for revival in credit disbursals. The collection efficiency of non-banking lenders and housing finance companies picks up.
5-India registered 79,705 new Covid-19 cases, taking the tally to 6,471,734. With a high level of recoveries, India was maintaining its global position as the country with the highest number of recovered Covid-19 patients.
6- An effective vaccine is not likely to be available for the general public before the fall of 2021, according to experts working in the field of vaccine development.
7- India’s economy posted its worst slump in the three months ended June as disruptions caused by the Covid-19 outbreak brought Asia’s third-largest economy to a halt. Economists expect growth to shrink in the year through March 2021, in the first such contraction in more than four decades.
8-Bringing huge relief to individual and MSME borrowers, the Centre told the Supreme Court that it would waive interest on the repayment of loans of up to Rs 2 crore. The move will provide relief to individual borrowers MSMEs during the COVID-19 outbreak. The waiver on interest would apply, irrespective of whether the borrower has availed of the moratorium in the categories of loans specified by the Govt. The waiving off interest on loans to every category would amount to a burden of Rs 6 lakh crore for banks.
9- Indian rupee, Crude oil is stable.
Weekly Trade Setup
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Nifty is trading on a major resistance area (11,500) and a correction is accepted.11,200 is the support area. This 300 Point range will decide Nifty Movement for this and for this month so keep an eye on both levels and set up your trade according to it .
Intraday Trade Setup for 05th October 2020
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As per Sgx nifty, we are going to see a huge gap down again so most of the levels based on previous data is Invalid now. We need to set up a fresh trade today. I suggest Use 30 Minute candle high low set up your trade. Wait first 30 minutes. Go in long if a high break or short if low breaks . Use less exposure on the buying side.
Major Intraday Resistance is 11,456 and major Intraday support is 11,300.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst and all the information provided here is for educational purposes Views are shared based on market research and study and personal in nature. Others can take different views and opinions.
Good Luck and Happy Trading
Virendra Pandey
Nifty 50 weekly forecast & Intraday setup for 31st August 2020 Good Morning friends,
Hope you guys have spent a great time this weekend and made good money in August expiry. Last trading week Index has given an awesome move in the upside. There is no doubt that The Index is trading in an uptrend and making a new high every week but the September month is gonna different from other months. This is a crucial area for the nifty 50 Index because Harmonic prz sits on 10736 to 10800 and it is the supply zone. The important thing is what you guys need to do at this point and what not do. First, stop chasing the trade and do not fight with the Market. Let's talk about key factors for this week and for today's trade setup.
Key Factor
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1-The Home Ministry issued the Unlock 4 guidelines under which metro trains will be allowed to resume services from September 7 in a graded manner, while political, social, and religious congregations of up to 100 people will be permitted from September 21. However, schools, colleges, and other educational and coaching institutions will remain closed for students till Sept 30, with some relaxations for students of classes 9 to 12.
2-The ED said it has unearthed an online betting scam that involved Chinese nationals and used payment wallets such as Paytm, Cashfree, and Razorpay to make remittances worth Rs 1,200 crore in India and abroad.
3-States will have to bear the interest burden if they decide to borrow the entire Rs 2.35 trillion shortfalls estimated in GST revenue: that’s the second option the central Govt has proposed to raise resources to compensate states amid inadequate cess collection.
4-India reported an increase of 76,472 in its total count of confirmed coronavirus cases. With this, the country’s total Covid-19 case tally reached 3,463,972, and 1,021 fatalities pushing its death toll to 62,550. It is now the third most affected country by total cases, second by active cases, and fourth by death toll.
5-The I-tax dept will soon start sending out intimation to assessees undergoing scrutiny that such cases would now be handled under faceless assessment. Domestic transfer pricing cases too will be covered under the faceless assessment mechanism.
6-The RBI is unlikely to extend the moratorium on repayment of bank loans beyond August 31 as an extension could impact the credit behavior of borrowers without resolving the issues being faced by them following the outbreak of the Covid-19.
7-The Supreme Court held that no state or university can promote students in the final year without holding exams as per the guidelines of the University Grants Commission.
8- Dow is still strong and trading on upside note.300+ Point rally after the Friday trading session.
9- Crude oil steady but almost flat since June month.
10-Rupees is looking strong and in a much better position in August Month.
Trade setup for 31st August
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As I said in starting that Index is trading on their supply zone so Intraday Trade is a bit tricky here. I will prefer shorts Positions but only for confirmation. There is no a certain level since a lot of chances to see a major gap up opening. Today use 15-minute candlestick to build your trade. the first 15 minutes and set up your trade on it. Go for long if 15 minutes candle high break or open a short if the low break of 15-minute candles
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst and all the information provided here is for educational purposes Views are shared based on market research and study and personal in nature. Others can take different views and opinions.
Good Luck and Happy Trading
Virendra Pandey