Trap!Looks like Nifty has walked straight into a spot marked with a big X like in the KGF2 movie. And is waiting to be shot down by bear cartel. This is the narrative that played out in my head.
Nifty could either consolidate OR fall from here.
On the contrary of Nifty Gaps up OR there is fresh buying in some heavy weights, good enough to make 22500 sellers run for cover, then we could see an unprecedented rally.
Niftyoutlook
NIFTY BOUNCES from the ASTRA LineWe have been holding the LONG position (CE) from our entry on 14th morning.
The price saw a downward movement today exactly touching the Risological Astra line and taking a bounce back upwards.
Market has overall bullish sentiments especially considering the fact that the election results are nearing and this bullish momentum could be a hidden bullish divergence that we are going to see the next day after the election result.
BJP wins = Market Bullish
INDI Alliance wins = Market Crash
So, big moves are coming soon in the market. Hold your breath, homies!
Rise to be sold into!The higher the Gap up today, the mor confident I shall be to sell on the first tick. There is one stop NIFTY missed in this pilgrimage downhill: "21800". When she realizes it, she would turn around and rush to make that final downward journey before continuing up to where she belongs.
A gap down opening is when things will become tricky. In this case there might or might not be a retracement to gather longs before falling.
NIFTY Next Week Target Prediction (May 16, 2024)Nifty 15m has conquered the EMA 100 at the end of the hour today.
We were able tp capture both the PE and CE side momentum using Risological Indicators.
Hopefully next week, we will see Bullish days.
On a Daily timeframe, chart looks BEARISH. So, we might also see a BIG gapdown on Monday morning.
Trade safe. have a happy weekend!
Nifty falling channel breakout Index bounced aggressively after making a temporary bottom at 21823 . 21823 stays an important level to watch out for, If index sustains below 22000 and starts sliding long traders should exit their position!
Falling channel breakout gives us the following targets -
Target 1 - 21350 zone
Target 2 - 21500/530 zone
Strict Sl once the index starts sliding below 22000 and starts sustaining below it!
Nifty ready to bounce back?Nifty has been moving very well within the channel range in the daily time frame. 22,000 is an important support level in this channel, and it's holding it very well for now. Today's close shows bulls are back in with a fight. I wouldn't enter into any short trade right now, if you are holding shorts, its a good time to exit
Bears... stay a little longer. Will be interesting to see where we open. A gap up will my ideal scenario where we could short with a tight SL from the word "GO...". A neutral opening, again if we plan to go short, the position size will have to be significantly smaller. In case of Gap down opening, I shall wait for a retracement to sell into. That's the plan.
NIFTY 780+ Points and RunningGUY!
Look what I ve been able to catch!
780+ points on NIFTY and still running.
Closed position partially. 25% still open position, Iam gonna let it run till the price crosses above the Risological Astra dotted line.
The Risological astra shows there is a little more room for a dip before a reversal.
Let's wait and watch.
Furthermore, the election results are round the corner, so expecting crazy moves soon.
I will update with fresh opportunities. Watch this space or follow my profile to catch moves.
Can Channel Bottom Support save Nifty?As you can see Nifty is resting very timidly at the bottom of the channel after confirmation of H&S Break down. Most of the indices were thrashed like bowlers are thrashed in IPL matches this season. If Nifty has to recover it has to be done in next couple of sessions that is Friday or Monday. If the current support around 21900 is broken the next supports are only at 21769, 21543 and finally 20991. Below these levels more pain will be there in the system and Bears will become even more powerful. Resistances on the upper side now are at 22096, 22231 (Mother Line Support) (50 EMA), 22311 and 22502. Shadow of the candle is looking negative but bears will try to give a fight for sure if not tomorrow very soon.
Falling down ... Falling down!!Nifty spot and FUT, both settled at crucial levels marked in our previous analysis. This is the level that has to be protected for Nifty to stay "NOT BEARISH" at least. Now with an even in sight, I am not sure how it will behave. My previous narrative was that Nifty would stay at ATH levels and with the election result, would fall. But now it seems like there is a different narrative playing out. In the opposite scenario, Nifty should visit 21750 levels and consolidate there, to rally on "surprisingly" (Sarcasm intended) good results for BJP with a stable Govt.
Possibility of further downside. If we consider the high and low of the last day candle in futures as a range, a break in either direction can give a sharp sting that way before turning and going the opposite way. This is just a story that played in my head. And the probability of this being on the down side seems more likely. 22350 and 22300 may be likely in this case before we see a short covering rally.
NIFTY to shed 3000 pointsAs per neowave analysis wave D is to unfold its mega wave ''C''
wave A and B are Flat to reach the 1.618 of previous wave
today this will happen ,from next week onwards you can see the ABYSS
All important levels are given in the chart, trade accordingly.
This is as per wave theory, real time application into trade is on your risk
Short covering from the word GO22650. Who are these straddle writers who believe in the fables of the fall of Titans? Depending on the Pre market open price, we can see when they will run for cover. Not IF, but WHEN. Let us see if we can gather enough buyers to take out the fabled 22800 short sellers today. Most likely it might happen by the end of the day.
See you on the other side, NIFTY!There is one significant support that has to be protected this week. Any retracement will have to be absorbed around this area and Nifty will gather steam to revisit OR perhaps even break ATH. 22800 in FUT is where bears have big orders. Let's see what happens when we retest that area to eat up all those orders.
22447 to 22481 proving to be a tough resistance to crack.Since yesterday 22447 to 22481 is again and again blocking the Nifty rally. Only after 22481 is crossed and held we will see the rally continue further. Further resistance will be near 22558, 22612, 22692 or even 22780+. In case the resistance proves strong enough the supports will be found at 22376, 22342 and 22290. If 22290 is broken then further supports will be found at 22201, 21972 and finally 22784. Shadow of the candle is still looking positive.
Nifty took a critical support at 21777. (A number to watch)Nifty fell like a hot knife going through butter slab reacting to Iran Israel news. There was some respite today as Nifty has takena support at 21777 and bounced back to close the week at 22147 staging a remarkable recovery. 21777 will remain a critical support to watch for reminder of the month. In case this support is not held further supports will be only between the range of 21157 and 20973. If 20973 is further falls casualty to any escalation between Iran and Israel, we still have a strong support near 20592 which is also a Mid channel support. If by chance mid channel support is broken there can be a free fall towards 20237 or even 18878 levels if situation worsens. On the positive side of it if 21777 is respected we can further see resistances near 22318, 22514 and ATH resistance near 22775 levels. Things are delicately poised but let us hope peace prevails and we see nifty bouncing back drastically in the coming week or weeks. Local sentiments still remain good except for the fact that some FIIs are not happy with tax heavens status withdrawal from Mauritius. Global factors specially related to Israel and Iran are governing the global sentiments currently.
Market Outlook:Market Outlook:
The factors related to Israel and Iran Conflict will e the leading cause for market and moves rather than other local or Techincal factors for the next few days it seems. However the Support and Resistance levels seem to be as under.
Nifty Resistance: In case there is some positive news of tension related to conflict decreasing will be at 22424, 22534 and 22620.
Nifty Supports: In case there is further escalation in conflict which looks more likely will be at 22622, 22112(Major support from where Nifty can bounce), 22008, 21711.3. If 21711.3 is broken we can see the levels of 21149 or even 20753.
Shadow of the candle is negative and anyway Global factors specially Iran and Israel will be decisive force driving the Nifty for next few days it seems.
Nifty broke a major support and is near a crucial support. As depicted in the last message. Nifty was near a crucial resistance zone which is between 22770 and 22808. Nifty fell sharply from these levels triggred by possibility of a major 3rd World War like crisis due to Iran and Israel conflict. Now Nifty is below a major resistance that is 22567 and just above a major support level near 22511. Any further escalation in war has potential to make Nifty plunge into a nose dive towards 22416 or 22309 levels. If 22303 levels are broken Nifty can further fall quickly towards 22K levels or below. However if there is de-escalation we can see a relief rally in Nifty with resistances at 22567, 22622 and 22689 levels. In case of Nifty rising this week again 22770 to 22808 zone will be a very nasty resistance to cross. Shadow of the candle is neutral as of now and anything can happen due to global factors. Local factors are in favour of investors and fall if any can be used to invest and bottom fish.
Again Nifty reaches a difficult resistance Zone. Again Nifty has reached a difficult resistance zone which is between 22773 and 22808. This is a difficult zone to cross as it has a fibonacci resistance as will as the ATH Resistance. If we get a gap up opening and a nice sustenance there after above this resistance it can resolve the problem of the resistance band. In this case further resistances will be in the range of 22898 and 23018. In case the zone acts as a difficult zone to conquer the supports for Nifty will be near 22622, 22561 and 22422. Shadow of the candle is neutral but momentum is positive so it will be an interesting day Bulls and Bears both will try to snatch the initiative. Also weekly closing has potential to keep things more interesting.