Get started

Niftyprediction

Nifty Review & Analysis - Daily Nifty opened Gap up +150 points again following Global Cues and saw surge throughout the day making a high of 23708 and closing at 23658 (+1.5%). Price Action : - Bullish Nifty closed 1.5% in positive. Consequtive 6 days green candle and closing above 10,20,50 nad 200 dEMA Candle Pattern: - Bullish Formed a Big Green candle with a small wick on upside. Daily EMA Positioning: Bullish 10dEMA 22979 20dEMA 22848 50dEMA 23036 200dEMA 23399 EMA Trend: Closed above 10dEma ,20dEma, 50DEMA and 200DEMA, Daily MA suggests Strong Buy Hourly suggests Strong Buy 15mins Suggests Strong Buy The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index is above 60 now at 71.5 - Just Over Bought Momentum gaining towards Upside Support/Resistance Levels: Major Support 23300-500 Immediate Support 22600 Immediate Resistance 22750 Major Resistance 24000 Trend: Short Term Trend is Bullish Daily Options Activity: Highest CE OI was at 24000 also saw some unwinding with huge Unwinding at 23600-500 highest - Support Highest PE OI was at 23300, highest Put addition seen at 23500 followed by 23600 - support PCR is 1.2 indicating Bullishness Daily Futures Activity FII + Pro F&O Data: FII Long/Short ratio at 32.5%/67.5% indicating addition of Longs by FIIs - Bullish Change in Futures OI: FII Future positions saw littl3 addition in longs +2K with shorts unchanged -Bullish Nifty Futures price was higher by 01.5% and 12.5 %OI Increase indicating Long Additions Observation: Nifty looks strong above 23550 forming daily positive green candles, closing above 10,20,50, 200dEMA and RSI just in overbought zone Overall Trend: Sentiment is very Positive Outlook for Next Session: Nifty looks strong around 23600, might consolidate above 23550 before another upmove to 24000 Approach & Strategy: Long with 22850 as SL in April contract, continue with SL 23500 My Trades & Positions: Long in 23200CE April, closed and moved to 23600CE April
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Sandeep_CA
Decoding NIFTYDear Traders, I hope this message finds you well in your trading endeavours and personal pursuits. I am excited to share a compelling opportunity with you through a new NIFTY analysis that sheds light on the continuation of the market shift. Preliminary Analysis Overview: The downtrend from all-time highs has reached approximately 65% of its progression. The recent upward surge is somewhat concerning due to concerns about a new trend or a correction within a correction in a larger degree (downtrend). Let us discuss the key points to distinguish between these two scenarios: The second leg of the downtrend is experiencing a correction, having completed approximately 89/90 days (which reinforces the interim trend’s completion). The current correction is progressing rapidly, exhibiting limited sub-waves, which is typically not a characteristic of a motive wave (especially at the beginning of a trend). The accompanying chart illustrates this point. Let us elucidate the reasons behind this assertion: Reason I: As a staunch believer and ardent follower of Master WDG , the significance of time cannot be disregarded. The primary downtrend commenced on September 27, 2024, and is poised to encounter a pivotal juncture, namely 180 days from its commencement on March 25, 2025 (Tuesday). This date also coincides with a cross-over with the Fibonacci value of 21 from March 4, 2025, where the interim correction commenced (21,964.60). The 180D is a component of both the tetragram and the hexagram, and it also represents the midway point of a complete circle (360). There is also another weird correlation, 4th MAR’25 & 25th MAR’25 both falls on Tuesday marking initiation & termination, the same day. Reason II: The geometric patterns of preceding and ongoing movements further support this analysis. Analyzed both on a daily and weekly basis. The correction responded favorably to both Fibonacci retracements and trendlines. Upcoming resistance levels include: RI: 23,590~23,600 RII:23,653 (23.6% of the downtrend) RIII: 23,807 The previous support level is acting as a crucial resistance. I also observe that there will not be a positive close in 3M charts. Reference: Important Dates to Remember: As suggested, March 25, 2025, marks a significant juncture in the overall trend. This is pure technical based analysis & does not involve any economic data releases other factors. ** Final Verdict: ** The market is anticipated to conclude its final leg of the downtrend, commencing from this Tuesday. However, the duration of this leg can range from 1 to 2 months. I have identified several crucial dates for monitoring the upcoming trend. Stay informed! **Strategy:** Given the prevailing market conditions, adopting a bearish stance appears prudent. Any sell positions executed after 23,550 will yield positive returns. While it may seem counterintuitive to deviate from the prevailing trend, I am merely adhering to the established rules (without expressing any personal sentiment). However, it is inherently risky. Therefore, it is imperative to implement robust risk management strategies during such high-risk trades that are significantly influencing the market. Additionally, please exercise caution regarding option buying. The low volatility environment is concerning, but it is anticipated to normalize as the downtrend progresses. Fellow Traders, The creation of this valuable analytical resource has required countless hours of dedication and effort. If you find it useful, I humbly request your support by boosting the idea and following me (updates will be provided via this post, new posts, and through minds). Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally. Thank you for investing your time in reading this article. Wishing you profitable and fulfilling trading endeavors! Disclaimer: Before concluding, I must emphasize that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is crucial for you to conduct your own research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial objectives and risk tolerance.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by WDG_Dinesh_Gengarajan
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 25-Mar-2025📊 Nifty Trading Plan – 24-Mar-2025 (Educational & Strategy-Oriented) Chart Timeframe: 15-Min | Key reference zones marked on chart 📍 🚀 GAP-UP Opening (Above 23,407) If Nifty opens with a gap-up above 23,407, it will enter the Wave 3 Resistance Zone (23,508 – 23,582), which is a high-probability reversal zone. ✅ Plan of Action: • Don’t rush into buying after the gap-up. Wait and observe the price behavior around 23,508 – 23,582. • This area is likely to witness profit booking or short build-up. • Look for signs of reversal like bearish engulfing, shooting star, or bearish divergence on RSI. • If such patterns form, consider buying Put Options (OTM PE) with a stop-loss on a 15-min candle closing above 23,585. • If Nifty sustains above 23,582 with strong volume, then we might be heading into an extended up-move, but this is lower probability. • Safer trades are shorting on signs of exhaustion at higher levels. 📌 Key Zone to Watch: 23,508 – 23,582 (Wave 3 Resistance) 📈 FLAT Opening (Between 23,245 – 23,407) This is the Opening Resistance / Support Band (23,345 – 23,407), acting as a decision-making zone. ✅ Plan of Action: • Let the market settle in the first 15–30 mins. • If price holds and builds strength above 23,345, Nifty may climb towards 23,407, and if broken, test 23,508+. • Weak price action (rejection wicks or low volumes) from 23,345–23,407 signals weakness. In that case, look for short opportunities with SL above 23,407. • Avoid CE entries unless price sustains above 23,407 with momentum and volume breakout. • If price starts to slip below 23,245, sellers will get more active and price could drop quickly to next support. 📌 Key Decision Zone: 23,345 – 23,407 📌 Support Trigger: 23,245 (Opening Support) 📉 GAP-DOWN Opening (Below 23,245 or near 23,185 – 22,985) If Nifty opens below the Opening Support at 23,245, or even near deeper support zones of 23,185 or 22,985, it will bring in volatility and create both breakdown and reversal opportunities. ✅ Plan of Action: • A gap-down near 23,185 should be watched carefully. This is a minor intraday support. If held with a bullish candle (like a hammer), consider buying CE with SL below 23,160. • If the gap-down extends to 22,985 (Last Support for Intraday), it's a strong bounce zone. A bullish reversal candle here provides high RR long trades. • If price fails to hold 22,985, sellers may dominate and drag Nifty further down. Consider PE trades only after a 15-min close below 22,985. • Avoid panic trading – let the zone react and only act based on confirmation candles. 📌 Bounce Zones: 23,185 and 22,985 📌 Breakdown Trigger: Below 22,985 🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders: • Avoid trading first 5–15 mins after opening, especially on gap days – let price give structure. • Use hedged strategies like Bull Call or Bear Put Spreads to reduce premium loss due to theta decay. • Trade light near reversal zones – don’t go all-in on emotional conviction. • Always place stop-loss on closing basis (15-min candle), not fixed points, especially during volatile moves. • If VIX is high, premiums are inflated – focus on quick entry & exit, no holding hoping for magic. 📌 Summary & Conclusion: • Nifty has entered a critical decision zone. • Watch 23,407 carefully – above it, bulls may attempt a final push to 23,582, but signs of exhaustion there are likely. • On the downside, supports at 23,185 & 22,985 will act as bounce zones. • Directional trades should be initiated only after price confirms intent post opening. • Use structure + volume for confidence in setups. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above content is for educational purposes only. Please do your own analysis or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
3
Nifty's Strong Surge: What's Next for the Market? This week, Nifty surged to 23,350, an impressive 950-point rally from last week’s close. The index hit a high of 23,402 and a low of 22,353. As I highlighted last week, I expected Nifty to trade within a narrow range of 22,850 – 21,950. However, Nifty broke out of this range, shattering the upper limit, and the resulting short covering led to a strong bullish close. Next Week: A Critical Turning Point Looking ahead, next week is going to be crucial. Despite the strong move, Nifty is still in a bearish phase on both the weekly and monthly time frames. However, if Nifty manages to retrace slightly to 23,000 and sustain above the 22,900 – 23,000 range, we could see the bulls taking control, pushing the market up toward 23,800/23,850. On the other hand, if Nifty falls below 22,800, it would signal a breakout failure, which would be bad news for the bulls. In that case, Nifty could potentially drop to 22,000. March-End Volatility: Be Ready for Both Sides At the end of March, traders typically start booking their losses to offset gains for the financial year, creating increased volatility. This makes it an exciting time for directional traders, as we could see sharp movements in both directions. For me, as long as the monthly and weekly charts remain bearish, I am cautious and not ready to turn bullish just yet. However, there are some sectors showing relative strength, and these could offer trading opportunities: Nifty Energy Nifty Financial Services Nifty Metal Nifty Public Sector Enterprises (PSE) Keep an eye on stocks from these sectors, as they are currently outperforming others. S&P 500: Mixed Signals On the global front, the S&P 500 closed this week at 5,667, barely 30 points above last week’s close. The index has failed to sustain above the DEMA200 level at 5,705, signaling that the bulls are struggling to maintain momentum. A consecutive daily close above this level would help restore confidence among the bulls, potentially targeting 5,850. However, if S&P 500 drops below 5,600, we could see a faster sell-off, with the recent low of 5,500 likely to come into play. It’s going to be a tense week as we await to see whether the bulls or the bears take control. In Summary: Prepare for Volatility Next week promises to be an exciting week for traders, as both domestic and global markets face critical levels. Directional traders should remain flexible, prepared for sharp moves in both directions. Focus on key sectors showing strength and stay vigilant for any breakout or breakdown in the Nifty and S&P 500.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
Nifty Review & Analysis - Daily Nifty opened Gap up again following Global Cues and saw surge throughout the day making a high of 23216 and closing at 23190 +1.25%. Price Action : - Bullish Nifty closed 1.25% in positive. Consequtive 4 days green candle and closing above 10,20,50 dEMA and forming big weekly green candle breaking out above Trend line connecting Life thigh and previous highs. Candle Pattern: Formed a Big Green candle with a small wick on upside. Daily EMA Positioning: 10dEMA 22713 20dEMA 22710 50dEMA 22997 200dEMA 23397 EMA Trend: Closed above 10dEma ,20dEma & 50DEMA, Daily MA suggests Buy Hourly suggests Strong Buy 15mins Suggests Strong Buy The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index is above 60 now at 63 Momentum gaining towards Upside Support/Resistance Levels: Major Support 23000 Immediate Support 22150 Immediate Resistance 22250 Major Resistance 23500 Trend: Short Term Trend is Bullish Daily Options Activity: Highest CE OI was at 23500 with highest addition at 23400 and 23500- Resistanc Highest PE OI was at 23000, highest Put addition seen at 23000 followed by 23200 - support PCR is 1.1 indicating Bullishness Daily Futures Activity FII + Pro F&O Data: FII Long/Short ratio at 30%/70% indicating slowly addition of Longs by FIIs - Bullish Change in Futures OI: FII Future positions saw little addition in longs +9K with -10K change in shorts -Bullish Nifty Futures price was higher by 0.9% 3.5 %OI decreasing indicating weakness is current upmove Observation: Nifty looks strong above 23000 forming daily positive green candles and weekly huge green candle closing above 10,20,50dEMA and FII long addition Overall Trend: Sentiment turning Positive Outlook for Next Session: Nifty looks strong around 23200, might consolidate abobe 23000 before another upmove Approach & Strategy: Long with 22850 as SL in April contract My Trades & Positions: Long in 23200CE April
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Sandeep_CA
NIFTY Trading Levels and Plan for 21-Mar-2025📅 NIFTY Trading Plan – 21-Mar-2025 📍 Reference Price: 23,190 (Close on 20-Mar-2025) 📊 Chart Structure: Price is nearing exhaustion at highs, so we need to observe for either continuation or reversal from resistance zones. 📌 Opening Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (100+ Points) 🟢 Expected Open Zone: 23,270 – 23,330 👉 If Nifty opens with a strong gap-up above 23,270: Watch for price action near 23,345 , marked as the last strong intraday resistance . If you see rejection (like wick rejections or bearish engulfing on 5m/15m), consider initiating short positions with a stop loss above 23,370. On clean breakout and sustained move above 23,345, target the Profit Booking Zone: 23,407–23,445+ . Be cautious chasing longs on a gap-up unless price consolidates and confirms breakout. 🎯 Key Tip: Don't short just because it's a gap-up. Let the candle give confirmation through rejection patterns. 📌 Opening Scenario 2: FLAT Opening 🟠 Expected Open Zone: 23,150 – 23,190 👉 In case of flat to mild gap open: Watch 23,185 as the immediate Opening Resistance / Support . If price sustains above 23,185 with strength, you can look for a long entry targeting 23,345 and beyond. However, if price struggles and fails to cross 23,185 with rejection patterns, short toward 23,068 and 22,994. Breakdown below 23,068 may accelerate profit booking till the lower zone of 22,994–22,882. 🎯 Key Tip: The first 15–30 mins are crucial. Avoid rushing into trades. Use the breakout-retest model for safer entries. 📌 Opening Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (100+ Points) 🔻 Expected Open Zone: 23,050 – 22,950 👉 If Nifty opens with a significant gap-down: Observe price action near Opening Support Zone: 23,068 – 22,994 . If bulls defend this zone with strong reversal patterns (hammer, bullish engulfing), it could be a dip-buying opportunity. Below 22,994, next major support lies at 22,882 . Breakdown of this zone could trigger sharp fall. Avoid shorting after a gap-down unless 22,882 breaks convincingly. 🎯 Key Tip: Never knife-catch a falling market. Let the base build before entering reversal trades. 🛡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders 🧠 Use defined risk trades: Prefer vertical spreads (bull call/bear put) instead of naked options. Avoid buying OTM options post 11:00 AM unless momentum is strong. Always risk less than 2% of your capital per trade. Trail your stop loss once the trade moves in favor to protect capital. Don't overtrade – quality setups > quantity. ✅ Summary & Conclusion: 📍 Nifty is trading near crucial resistance levels. 📍 23,345 remains the make-or-break zone for bulls. 📍 Support zones: 23,068 → 22,994 → 22,882 📍 React to price action at key zones rather than predicting it. 📍 Let the first 15–30 minutes settle before jumping into trades for optimal RR setups. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . This trading plan is shared for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trades based on this plan. Risk wisely and trade with discipline. 🙏
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan for 20-Mar-2025📅 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 20-Mar-2025 🕒 Timeframe: 15 Min | 📌 Reference Close: 22,911.80 📏 Gap Opening Threshold: 100+ points 📈 1. GAP-UP Opening Scenario (Opening Above 23,010) If NIFTY opens 100+ points higher — around or above 23,010 — it enters the Profit Booking Zone: 22,995 – 23,067 .  ✅ Action Plan:  - If Nifty opens in the 22,995–23,067 zone, avoid aggressive long trades at open. This zone has historically triggered selling pressure.  - Observe the behavior near 23,067 . If candles start rejecting higher prices or form reversal patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing), plan short trades with SL just above 23,067 .  - If Nifty crosses 23,067 with momentum and volume, upside extension is possible toward 23,185 — the Last Intraday Resistance .  - Avoid shorting blindly above 23,067 . Let price consolidate or form lower highs before initiating any counter-trend short.  📌 Educational Note: Profit booking zones often create whipsaws. Let the market decide the intent before jumping in.  🚫 Don't chase gaps — instead, wait for re-entry opportunities once price confirms direction. 📊 2. FLAT Opening Scenario (Between 22,850 – 22,950) If NIFTY opens within a tight 40–50 point range around its closing level (±50 points), it's considered a flat opening.  ✅ Action Plan:  - Allow the market to settle for the first 15–30 minutes . Avoid early entries.  - If Nifty sustains above 22,995 , we may see a quick move toward 23,067 . One can consider intraday longs above 22,995 with a stop loss near 22,950 .  - If price faces rejection at 22,995 and drops below 22,912–22,880 (previous close zone), short opportunities may arise toward 22,800 (Opening Support) .  - Keep an eye on 22,800 as it is a key intraday support. Breakdown below it can lead to a deeper fall toward 22,728 and 22,632 .  📌 Educational Note: Flat openings often provide the best setups if you let price action settle. Stay nimble and neutral till breakout/breakdown confirms. 📉 3. GAP-DOWN Opening Scenario (Opening Below 22,812) If NIFTY opens with a gap-down of 100+ points (around or below 22,812 ) — look for action near support zones like 22,800, 22,728, and 22,632 .  ✅ Action Plan:  - If Nifty opens near 22,800 and holds, wait for a reversal pattern. Intraday long trades are possible toward 22,912+ .  - A clean breakdown below 22,728 (Last Intraday Support) may trigger a slide toward 22,632 (Buyer’s Support) .  - Avoid catching falling knives. Only buy near 22,632 if there’s clear bullish reversal with volume confirmation.  - If price opens below 22,728 and tries to retest and fails to reclaim that level, short trades can be considered with a stop above 22,728 .  📌 Educational Note: Big gap-downs often attract panic exits in the first 15 mins. Wait for a base to form before looking for reversal trades. 🧠 OPTIONS TRADING – RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS 💼 Use defined stop losses based on 15-min or 30-min candle close. Avoid emotional exits. ⚖️ Avoid buying deep OTM options during rangebound conditions — prefer ATM or ITM for better delta control. 🛡️ Use hedged strategies like bull call spreads or bear put spreads during high IV scenarios. 📉 On breakdown or breakout days, trade with the trend using limited-risk directional strategies. 💰 Never risk more than 1.5–2% of capital per trade — capital preservation is key for consistency. 📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION: Gap-Up above 22,995: Profit booking zone. Wait for reversal signs or breakout to 23,185. Flat Opening: Best setups possible — breakout above 22,995 or breakdown below 22,880. Gap-Down below 22,812: Watch 22,800–22,632 support zones for potential reversal or breakdown. 🎯 Let price lead the way — react, don’t predict. Enter only on confirmation. Stay disciplined and respect the market structure. 📢 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . This trading plan is purely for educational purposes. Please consult with your financial advisor before taking any position.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
2
NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan for 19-March-2025🔥 NIFTY – Intraday Trading Plan for 19-Mar-2025 Current Market Price (CMP): 22,848.75 Chart Time Frame: 15-min 📘 Opening Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY opens with a strong gap-up above 22,950, it would directly open into the Profit Booking Zone: 22,995 – 23,067 . Avoid aggressive long entries near the opening if prices directly hit the profit booking zone, as early buying could trap latecomers. Wait and observe price action in the 22,995 – 23,067 range. If the index forms bullish consolidation with strength, breakout above 23,067 can push it towards the final resistance at 23,185. If rejection occurs near this zone, look for reversal signals like a 15-min bearish candle with follow-up selling to consider short scalps targeting back to 22,850 – 22,775. 🧠 Tip: Avoid call option entries if IVs are inflated and premiums are already factored in after a big gap-up. Time decay can eat your premiums fast.       📗 Opening Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (within 50-80 pts) In case of a flat or minor gap opening near 22,800 – 22,850, the price will open just above the key consolidation zone: 22,727 – 22,801 . Look for first 15-30 minutes consolidation. If NIFTY sustains above 22,801, fresh buying can push it to test 22,995. A failure to sustain above 22,801 and breakdown below 22,775 will drag prices back into the range. The downside targets then would be 22,656 and 22,532. No trade zone for flat opening: avoid trades inside 22,727 – 22,775, unless a directional breakout occurs. 🧠 Tip: For flat openings, best setups come after the first 15-30 minutes. Let the market decide the direction first—then align your trade.       📙 Opening Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (100+ points) A gap-down below 22,700 will place the index back into or below the consolidation zone. Major supports are at 22,656**, 22,532, and Buyers’ Support: 22,270 – 22,320. Aggressive buying should be avoided unless NIFTY shows strong reversal signals from support zones like 22,532 or 22,270. If prices bounce from the Buyers’ Support Zone, a quick upside retracement towards 22,656 or even 22,727 is possible. However, if NIFTY breaks below 22,270, it could enter a deeper correction territory—so keep strict stop losses. 🧠 Tip: When buying the dip in a gap-down scenario, use options spreads (e.g., bull call spreads) to reduce premium decay risk while maintaining upside exposure.       💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders: ✅ Use defined-risk strategies like spreads (Bull Call / Bear Put) ✅ Avoid chasing momentum in the first 15 minutes of market opening ✅ Stick to 1–2 high probability trades per day ✅ Always place stop loss based on structure or candle close ✅ Never average into losing options trades—respect time decay ✅ Focus on ATM or slightly OTM contracts with 1–2 day expiry for best gamma moves 📊 Summary & Conclusion: Key Zones to Watch: 🔸 Resistance Zone: 22,995 – 23,067 🔸 Support Zone: 22,656 – 22,532 🔸 Buyers’ Zone: 22,270 – 22,320 🔸 No Trade Zone: 22,727 – 22,775 Be reactive, not predictive. Let price action guide your trades based on these levels. Respect volatility and avoid emotional trades. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. The above levels and insights are for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any positions. Trade responsibly! 💼📉
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyNifty opened Gap up 150 points following Global Cues and saw surge throughout the day making a high of 22857 and closing at 22834 +1.45% Price Action : - Bullish Nifty closed 1.5% in positive. Candle Pattern: Formed a Big Green candle with a small wick on upside. Daily EMA Positioning: 10dEMA 22540 20dEMA 22623 50dEMA 22992 200dEMA 23404 EMA Trend: Closed above 10dEma and 20dEma, Daily MA suggests Buy Hourly suggests Buy 15mins Suggests Strong Buy The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index at 54 Momentum gaining towards Upside Support/Resistance Levels: Major Support 22750 Immediate Support 22500 Immediate Resistance 22900 Major Resistance 23000 Trend: Short Term Trend is Slight Bullish Daily Options Activity: Highest CE OI was at 23000 with highest addition at 23000 - Resistanc Highest CE unwinding see at 22700 - Support Highest PE OI was at 22500, highest Put addition seen at 22600, 22700 - support PCR is 1.4 indicating Bullishness Daily Futures Activity FII + Pro F&O Data: FII Long/Short ratio at 24%/76% indicating slowly addition of Longs by FIIs - Bullish Change in Futures OI: FII Future positions saw little addition in longs +7K with -2K change in shorts -Bullish Nifty Futures price was higher with 0.7% OI addition - Bullish Observation: Overall looks a positive breakout above 22600, with good PE addition at 22600 & 22700 levels can see higher levels if 22850 taken out for targets 23000 in shortterm Overall Trend: Sideways consolidating turning positive Outlook for Next Session: Nifty looks strong above 22700, untill breakout above 23000 it might consolidate Approach & Strategy: Wait and watch as last 2 day’s strategy worked perfectly and Nifty has given around 500 points in 2 days, i would wait till 22900-23000 taken out for further Longs My Trades & Positions: Closed Long positions at 22800+ held from 22340.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Sandeep_CA
NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan for 18-Mar-2025📅 NIFTY INTRADAY TRADING PLAN – 18th March 2025 (Tuesday) 🕒 Timeframe: 15 Min | 📍Reference Closing: 22,515 📉 CHART STRUCTURE EXPLAINED: Nifty closed near the middle of the Opening Resistance / Support Zone (22,508–22,547). There are clearly defined areas of support and resistance on both sides that help frame our intraday plan. Price action around these zones will provide direction for high-probability trades. 🟩 GAP-UP OPENING (100+ points): Above 22,617 If Nifty opens above the Last Intraday Resistance (22,617), it enters a potential breakout zone. Avoid entering trades immediately after a GAP-UP above 22,617. Let the index retest this level for confirmation. If the price sustains above 22,617 for 15 minutes with higher volume, expect a continuation rally towards the Profit Booking Zone (22,727–22,801). Wait for a dip near 22,617 or even the upper band of 22,547. If the retest holds, go long with SL below 22,547. Profit booking is advised near 22,727–22,801 as this zone is likely to attract selling. Avoid fresh longs near 22,800 unless there’s a consolidation breakout. 🧠 Educational Note: Chasing GAP-UPs leads to poor entries. The best trades happen when price retests a broken resistance and confirms support. 🟨 FLAT OPENING (Within 22,508–22,547 Zone) This is the Opening Resistance / Support Zone — a tricky area that demands patience. Avoid trading in the first 15–30 minutes if price opens inside the 22,508–22,547 zone. It’s a chop zone, prone to false breakouts. A breakout above 22,547 with volume gives a long opportunity towards 22,617, and eventually 22,727. A breakdown below 22,508 brings the price into the Opening Support Zone (22,403–22,420). Watch for reversal signs here for possible bounce trades. Only consider directional trades once Nifty decisively exits this range. 🧠 Tip: In tight ranges, option premiums decay faster. Avoid entering trades without confirmation. 🟥 GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ points): Below 22,403 If Nifty opens below the Opening Support Zone, volatility increases and levels become more critical. Support is visible at the Buyers' Zone (22,210–22,247). If the index opens around this zone, wait for a reversal pattern like bullish engulfing or double bottom on 15-min chart. If 22,210 holds with a strong bounce, a long can be initiated targeting 22,403–22,508 with SL below 22,210. However, if 22,210 breaks with conviction, bears may drag the index to 21,950–22,000 levels. Avoid shorts immediately at open—wait for either breakdown retest or confirmation below 22,210. 🧠 Insight: Panic gap-downs often trigger short-covering rallies. Watch how price behaves in the first hour. 📘 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTION TRADERS: 🛡️ Risk management is your ultimate edge in the market. Follow these key principles: Never trade options without a stop loss. Monitor levels, not just premium prices. Avoid selling far OTM options when market structure is trending. It’s a trap during sharp moves. If market is inside range, go with spreads instead of naked options to reduce Theta burn. Size your positions wisely—don’t risk more than 1–2% of total capital on a single trade. Always book partial profits at target zones and trail the rest with a stop. 🧠 Options are like ice—they melt fast in choppy markets. Patience and timing are key! 📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION: ✅ Resistance Levels: 22,617 / 22,727 / 22,801 ✅ Support Levels: 22,403 / 22,210 ✅ Critical Zones: ⚠️ 22,508–22,547 (Opening Decision Zone) ✅ 22,403–22,420 (Support) 🛑 22,727–22,801 (Profit Booking Zone) 👉 Wait for confirmation before entering. Let market structure guide your direction, not emotions. ❗ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This plan is shared purely for educational purposes. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 17-Mar-2025📊 NIFTY Trading Plan – 17-Mar-2025 Nifty is currently hovering near the Opening Support Zone: 22,351 – 22,378, with a key resistance at 22,442 and profit booking zone near 22,617. Depending on how the market opens, we will plan our trades accordingly. 💡 Let’s analyze different scenarios: 🔥 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points) If Nifty opens above 22,442, the index will test the last intraday resistance at 22,551. A decisive breakout above 22,617 may trigger strong bullish momentum. ✅ Plan of Action: If Nifty sustains above 22,551, look for bullish price action and enter longs with targets of 22,617 and 22,680+. If a sharp rejection occurs near 22,617, consider booking partial profits and trail SL. Avoid chasing longs if Nifty starts showing weakness near resistance. Wait for a pullback. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: 22,442 (Support) | 22,551 (Breakout Zone) | 22,617+ (Profit Booking Zone). 📢 Tip: In case of a fake breakout above 22,617, selling pressure may drag Nifty back to 22,442. Watch for reversal patterns before taking aggressive trades. 📉 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within 50 Points) If Nifty opens near 22,383 – 22,434, we will monitor price action near the Opening Support/Resistance Zone. The first 30 minutes will be crucial for direction confirmation. ✅ Plan of Action: If Nifty bounces from 22,351 – 22,378, look for long opportunities targeting 22,442 and 22,551. If Nifty struggles to hold 22,442, expect sideways action. Trade only near major levels. A breakdown below 22,351 will indicate weakness, leading to a test of 22,296 and 22,208. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: 22,351 – 22,378 (Support Zone) | 22,442 (Resistance) | 22,551 (Breakout Confirmation). 📢 Tip: Use a wait-and-watch approach in the first 30 minutes. Let the market establish direction before making big trades. 🛑 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points) A gap-down below 22,351 could push Nifty towards the last intraday support of 22,296. If the selling extends, watch the golden retracement zone at 22,114, which is a high-probability demand zone. ✅ Plan of Action: If Nifty stabilizes at 22,296, expect a recovery towards 22,351 – 22,378. Scalping opportunities exist. If selling pressure continues below 22,296, expect a further slide to 22,114, which will be a must-watch area for buyers. Only consider fresh longs at 22,114 if strong reversal signs appear. Else, avoid catching falling knives. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: 22,296 (Support) | 22,208 (Breakdown Confirmation) | 22,114 (Golden Buy Zone). 📢 Tip: Avoid aggressive longs in a gap-down scenario unless a clear reversal is seen at major supports. Watch for confirmation before entering any trade. ⚡ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders 🔹 Premium Decay Alert: If Nifty consolidates, avoid buying OTM options. Time decay will erode premiums. 🔹 Hedge Positions: If selling options, hedge using spreads to reduce risk. 🔹 Exit at SL: Do not hold options hoping for reversals. Stick to the predefined SL. 🔹 Avoid Trading the First 5-Minutes: Market volatility is high; let a pattern form. 🔹 Size Appropriately: If uncertain, reduce lot size and wait for confirmation. 📌 Summary & Conclusion ✅ If Nifty Opens Gap-Up: Watch for 22,551 – 22,617 resistance zones. A breakout can trigger further upside. ✅ If Nifty Opens Flat: First 30 minutes are crucial. Support at 22,351 – 22,378 should hold for longs. ✅ If Nifty Opens Gap-Down: Watch 22,296 for a reaction. If broken, 22,114 is a key buy zone. 📢 Final Note: The best trades come when price action confirms levels. Avoid emotional trading and respect stop losses. 📜 Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . All views are for educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 13-Mar-2025📘 NIFTY Trading Plan for 13-Mar-2025 Chart Reference: Nifty is currently trading near 22,468, with price showing rejection from near-term resistance. Multiple levels such as 22,435, 22,496, and 22,600 are key zones to watch. Let’s break down the trading approach into opening scenarios 👇 ✅ 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ points above previous close) If NIFTY opens near or above the Opening Resistance Zone – 22,600 to 22,626 : 📍 This zone has acted as a supply area earlier, and a gap-up into this area could trap late buyers if not sustained. 🟧 Scenario 1 – Rejection at Resistance: 🔻 If NIFTY opens within this resistance zone and shows early weakness (such as a bearish engulfing, evening star, or rejection wick), short trades can be considered. 🎯 Targets: ➤ 22,496 (Initial Support) ➤ 22,435 (Next Support) 🟩 Scenario 2 – Breakout Above 22,626: ✅ A strong 15-min bullish candle above 22,626 with volume confirmation can trigger a long entry. 🎯 Targets: ➤ 22,680 ➤ 22,800 (Last Intraday Resistance) 🧠 Tip: In gap-up opens, avoid immediate entries. Wait 15–30 mins for the market to establish direction. If upside sustains with strength, trail using VWAP or 5-min EMA. ⚖️ 2. FLAT OPENING (within ±100 points) If NIFTY opens between 22,435 – 22,496: This region is the Opening Support/Resistance Zone , meaning both bulls and bears will be active here. The key is to observe who dominates. 🟩 Long Setup: If NIFTY holds above 22,496 and gives a breakout above 22,600, it will confirm bullish strength. 🎯 Upside Targets: ➤ 22,680 ➤ 22,800 🟥 Short Setup: If price fails to hold above 22,435 and breaks below it with momentum: 🎯 Downside Targets: ➤ 22,319 (Opening Support) ➤ 22,208 (Last Intraday Support) 🧠 Tip: Use option strategies like straddles or strangles near this flat zone if expecting a breakout or expansion in volatility. Avoid naked directional trades unless there is strong confirmation. 🔻 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ points below previous close) If NIFTY opens near or below 22,319 (Opening Support): 📍 The area between 22,319 – 22,208 is critical for support. Watch closely for price action. 🟩 Reversal Setup: If NIFTY opens near 22,208–22,319 and holds this support with signs of strength (bullish pin bar, morning star, or strong bullish volume), a reversal trade can be taken. 🎯 Targets: ➤ 22,435 ➤ 22,496 🟥 Breakdown Setup: If support at 22,208 breaks with a large red candle and follow-through, short trades can be initiated. 🎯 Targets: ➤ 22,140–22,100 Zone (Intraday Expansion Move) 🧠 Tip: Gap-downs can lead to high implied volatility. Be cautious of IV crush if reversal happens. Consider bear put spreads to manage premium risk. 💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders Avoid buying deep OTM options post 12 PM unless there is strong trend confirmation. Always trade with a defined stop-loss. Use 15-min closing basis for better validation. Consider spreads (bull call, bear put) to reduce the impact of theta decay. On volatile days, reduce position size and hedge your trades. Don’t trade immediately after a gap — let the first 15–30 mins settle to avoid traps. 📌 Summary & Conclusion ✅ Key Resistance Zones: ➤ 22,600–22,626 (Opening Resistance) ➤ 22,800 (Last Intraday Resistance) ✅ Key Support Zones: ➤ 22,435 (Pivot Zone) ➤ 22,319 (Opening Support) ➤ 22,208 (Last Support Zone) 🎯 Let price action guide your trade around these key levels. Remember — reacting to the market is better than predicting it. ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This trading plan is shared purely for educational purposes. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox