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NIFTY50 || RSI positive divergence As mention in my previous idea, the recent rally was indeed a 'Dead Cat Bounce' as NIFTY50 has experienced another significant drop. However, examining the charts above reveals positive RSI divergence in both the 2-hour timeframe (TF) and the daily timeframe (DTF), with NIFTY reversing from a marked support zone. For the next bull run to be confirmed, NIFTY should hold above today’s low and meet the following two criteria: 1. The index begins trading above the 20 EMA band. 2. The RSI surpasses the 70 mark. This setup could indicate a more sustainable upward trend if both conditions are fulfilled. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and it’s essential to perform your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Essential principles for traders: 1. Be Disciplined, Avoid FOMO: Maintain a disciplined approach to avoid impulsive decisions based on the "fear of missing out" (FOMO), which can lead to risky trades. 2. Risk and Reward Management: Always assess potential rewards relative to risks before entering a trade. Proper risk management ensures long-term success by limiting losses on any single trade. 3. Follow Stop Losses: Calculate and set a stop loss for every trade to protect against significant losses. Make it a habit to adhere to it without exception, even if the market seems to be in your favor. 4. Journal Your Trades: Maintain a trading journal to track decisions, wins, and losses. Analyzing past trades can help improve future strategies and identify patterns in behavior or biases. 5. Master One Strategy Before Expanding: It’s beneficial to focus on mastering a single trading strategy before exploring others. Once consistent, you can broaden your approach to diversify risk and opportunities. 6. Control Emotions: Emotions, especially greed and fear, can cloud judgment. Cultivating a mindset that balances confidence and caution is key to maintaining objectivity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Abdul-Rahim
NIFTY : Trading Plan and Levels for 05-Nov-2024On 04-Nov-2024, Nifty showcased a strong downward trend followed by some consolidation. The session closed near 23,990, with critical support levels between 23,725 and 23,579, indicating a potential for a bounce in the coming session. Resistance is seen at 24,021, with a significant zone near 24,163. The Yellow trend indicates potential sideways movement, while the Green trend shows bullish prospects and the Red trend represents a bearish path. Trading Plan for 05-Nov-2024: Gap Up Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens with a 100+ point gap-up above 24,021, we could see a bullish move towards 24,163 (Intraday resistance). It’s essential to watch if prices sustain above this zone, as crossing this level could target the last intraday resistance of 24,319. If Nifty fails to sustain above 24,163, expect a sideways move back towards 24,021. Traders should exercise caution here as any rejection from higher levels might signal a potential reversal. Actionable Plan: Buy on a sustained move above 24,163, with a target of 24,319. Stop Loss: Below 24,021 on a 15-minute candle close. Flat Opening: If Nifty opens flat around 23,990, the focus will be on the reaction near 24,021 (opening support/resistance). A clear breakout above this level could push Nifty into a bullish zone, aiming for 24,163 and beyond. However, failure to break this level will lead to a sideways consolidation (Yellow trend) or a possible retest of lower supports near 23,725. Actionable Plan: Buy on breakout above 24,021, targeting 24,163. Sell below 23,953, with a target towards 23,725. Stop Loss: Place tight stop losses at 23,990. Gap Down Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens with a gap-down near 23,725 or below, the Best Buy Zone comes into play. Watch for bullish price action around this support level. Any strong bounce from here could lead to a recovery back to 23,953 or higher. In case Nifty fails to hold 23,725, a further decline towards 23,579 could be on the cards, with a potential for a deeper correction. Actionable Plan: Buy near 23,725 with a target of 23,953. Sell below 23,725, aiming for 23,579. Stop Loss: Below 23,725 on a 15-minute candle close. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Always use strict stop losses, especially on volatile days. Avoid holding positions overnight unless there’s a strong directional bias. For options traders, consider entering at-the-money or slightly out-of-the-money options to benefit from quick price moves while managing risk. Summary and Conclusion: The key levels for 05-Nov-2024 are 24,021 for intraday resistance and 23,725 for strong support. A gap-up or flat opening should be monitored closely for breakouts above these resistance levels. A gap-down could provide an excellent buying opportunity near 23,725. Traders should stay cautious and respect the support/resistance zones, waiting for confirmation before taking trades. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is purely based on technical analysis and psychological theories. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 04-Nov-2024Intro for Previous Day's Chart Pattern: In the previous two session, Nifty demonstrated a balanced movement with multiple attempts to break the support and resistance zones, suggesting potential consolidation. The chart highlights key areas where demand and supply forces are likely to react. Yellow trend indicates Sideways movement, Green trend shows a Bullish trend, and Red represents a Bearish trend. --- Trading Plan for 04-Nov-2024: Opening Scenarios: Gap Up Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens with a significant gap up around 24,489 or higher: - Watch for resistance near the ChCoCh Zone (Change of Character) at 24,489-24,533. If Nifty sustains above 24,533, it could indicate strong bullish momentum towards the 24,616 zone, marked as the “Last Intraday Resistance.” - In case of a rejection from 24,489, wait for confirmation before initiating short trades, as prices may retest lower support levels. - For conservative traders, it’s advisable to wait for a retracement back toward 24,286-24,265 levels before considering long entries. Flat Opening: If Nifty opens flat around 24,300: - Focus on the immediate support level at 24,286. A successful defense of this support could trigger a bounce towards the 24,489-24,533 resistance area. - If prices struggle to break through 24,286, look for opportunities to enter long trades near the “No Trading Zone” at 24,163. - For intraday shorts, wait for bearish signals near 24,533 or if Nifty falls below 24,265, targeting the lower support at 24,020. Gap Down Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens with a gap down around 24,163 or lower: - Monitor the support levels at 24,020 and 23,958. These zones represent “Last Buyer’s Support for Intraday.” A break below 23,958 may trigger further downside pressure towards lower levels. - If 24,020 holds, it could offer a buying opportunity with a potential target toward 24,286. - For intraday trades, be cautious of volatility and await clear price action before entering positions, especially in gap-down scenarios. --- Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: - Limit your position sizes and keep a strict stop-loss in volatile conditions, especially post-Diwali. - Monitor implied volatility as it can affect options premium significantly during high volatility sessions. - Avoid chasing options trades if premiums have already inflated substantially post-market opening. - Stay cautious around key levels to avoid whipsaws and consider taking partial exits at defined target levels to lock in profits. --- Summary and Conclusion: The 04-Nov-2024 session may witness reactions at critical support and resistance zones, presenting opportunities for both intraday and swing traders. Wait for a clear break of levels to confirm direction. Sideways consolidation could occur near the mid-range, so be prepared for both trend-following and range-bound strategies. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is shared purely for educational purposes. Please conduct your analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
#Nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 4th-8th Nov 2024Last week, the Nifty 50 index concluded at 24,304 points, marking a 125-point surge from the previous week's close. It reached a high of 24,498 and a low of 24,134. As anticipated, the index successfully tested the 24,500 resistance level before settling at its current position. With the India VIX index indicating an upward trend, the Nifty 50 is expected to trade within a broader range of 24,900 to 23,700 in the coming week. A breach of these levels could trigger significant market volatility. The upcoming US elections on November 5th are likely to intensify the tug-of-war between bulls and bears. I'm closely monitoring the 23,511 level (DEMA200) as a potential entry point for NiftyBees. However, it remains to be seen if this opportunity materializes. S&P 500's Weekly Performance and Outlook The S&P 500 index ended the week at 5,728 points, approximately 80 points lower than the previous week's close. It touched a high of 5,850 and a low of 5,702. This week, the index found support at the DEMA50 level. If it dips below 5,702 next week, it could test support levels at 5,637, 5,585, and 5,400, which would have negative implications for global markets. To resume its upward trajectory, the S&P 500 needs to close above 5,700 on consecutive days. This could propel it towards the 5,821, 5,868, and 5,899 levels.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 31-Oct-2024 Intro: On the previous trading day, Nifty exhibited a mix of consolidation and upward momentum, with notable resistance zones tested near 24,594 . Key levels for 31-Oct-2024 have been identified, with trends marked as follows: yellow for sideways movement, green for bullish momentum, and red for bearish sentiment. This plan provides strategies for different opening scenarios. Trading Plan for 31-Oct-2024 Gap Up Opening (100+ points above) If Nifty opens 100+ points above the previous close, it may test the First Resistance/Consolidation Zone near 24,594 . If the index sustains above this level, we may see a push towards the Profit Booking Zone at 24,694 . However, if it struggles to hold above 24,594 , expect a retracement towards the Opening Support/Resistance level at 24,320 . – A reversal from the resistance levels could prompt a move back to the Support at Retracement at 24,163 . Flat Opening (within 50 points of the previous close) For a flat opening, the key level to watch is 24,349 . Sustaining above this point could lead to a breakout, targeting 24,594 and possibly extending towards the Profit Booking Zone at 24,694 . Conversely, if momentum fails above 24,349 , Nifty might move sideways around 24,320 or even test the lower support at 24,285 . – A downside break below 24,285 could increase bearish pressure, with potential support found at 24,163 . Gap Down Opening (100+ points below) In a gap-down scenario, initial support may be found near 24,285 . A rebound from this level could bring the price back toward 24,349 . If the index sustains above 24,349 , bullish momentum could retest the resistance at 24,594 . However, if 24,285 fails to hold, a decline towards Support at Retracement near 24,163 is likely. – Persistent weakness below 24,163 might drive further downside towards the Last Intraday Support at 24,040 . Risk Management Tips for Options Trading Manage your position sizes wisely, especially when volatility is high. Consider deploying trailing stops near major resistance/support levels to protect gains. Options spreads can limit risk exposure, which is particularly useful in a choppy market. Summary and Conclusion The primary focus for 31-Oct-2024 remains on the resistance at 24,594 and support at 24,163 . Traders should stay flexible with these levels and use disciplined stop-loss strategies to manage risks. Observing the price action after the opening will provide better insight into the day’s trend. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is based on technical levels and reflects my personal view. Please perform your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before trading.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 29-Oct-2024 Intro: On the previous day, Nifty displayed a upward movement from the provided levels in yesterdays trading plan and minor fluctuations within key levels. The chart illustrates potential sideways movement in yellow , an expected bullish trend in green , and a bearish trend in red . For today's trading, we will observe various opening scenarios and outline strategies accordingly. Trading Plan for 29-Oct-2024 Gap Up Opening (100+ points above) If Nifty opens with a 100+ points gap up, it is likely to face resistance near the 24,453 - 24,563 range, which is marked as the Opening Resistance / No Trade Zone . Observe price action here. If Nifty sustains above 24,563 , it may target the Profit Booking Zone around 24,715 - 24,759 . However, if it fails to break above the resistance, expect a potential retracement towards the Opening Support at 24,282 . – In case of strong selling pressure, Nifty could pull back further, aiming toward 24,162 as a potential support. Flat Opening (within 50 points of the previous close) With a flat opening, focus on the initial 30 minutes to gauge market sentiment. If prices sustain above the 24,453 level, we may see a push toward 24,563 . A breakout above 24,563 will likely lead to a bullish trend targeting Profit Booking Zone at 24,715 - 24,759 . However, if it fails to sustain above the No Trade Zone , expect sideways movement or a dip toward 24,282 . – Any move below 24,282 could potentially extend towards 24,162 , testing the Last Intraday Support level. Gap Down Opening (100+ points below) In a gap-down opening, monitor the 24,282 level as the immediate support. If it holds, Nifty may attempt to retest the Opening Resistance Zone around 24,453 . A breakout above this level could bring sideways or bullish momentum up to 24,563 . Failure to reclaim 24,282 may lead to further downside pressure, potentially pulling prices to the Last Intraday Support at 24,162 . – Watch for price stability around 24,162 if it is reached, as this may serve as a potential reversal point. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading Consider setting a defined stop-loss for each options position based on volatility levels; hourly candle closes can be useful for managing intraday risk. Avoid over-leveraging. In options trading, position sizing should reflect the inherent risk and potential for quick price changes. Utilize trailing stops to lock in profits if Nifty moves favorably. This is particularly effective in highly volatile sessions. Summary and Conclusion Today, focus on the key zones: 24,453 - 24,563 as resistance and 24,282 as support. A break above or below these levels could set the day's trend. Use a balanced approach, aligning with the prevailing sentiment indicated by the chart structure. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is based on personal views and technical parameters. Please conduct your research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 28-Oct-24 to 01-Nov-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 28-Oct-24 to 01-Nov-24 Nifty closed at 24192 (Last week 24854) and touched high & low of 25971-24197 RSI ,Macd and stochastics levels are down to the bottom. market Broke the key short term support at 24560 and went down. Last week Market was down as expected by more than 700 points but slightly recovered on last day of trading of the week similar to previous week. FII pulled out money and investing in China, Japan in Oct 2024. Indian Stock Valuation after Q2 results, Middle East tension are the reason for the fall. Caution was emphasized on Nifty for last 4 months as nifty PE ( Currently 22.8) is in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period as the valuation is high and advised those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800. Fundamentally good stocks to be invested at these time. My Stock Pick will be provided in this week. Nifty 24854 Short term ( Short Term : Neutral) Nifty short term resistance 24450 & 25365 Support at 24000, 23885 Medium Term next target is 25750 ( if move up decisively above next target is 25370), 26268 ( all time high), 26968 Medium term Support 22800. Long Term : Nifty have a target of 27740, 28000 & 28190 ( Fibonacci Resistance). Support at 21900
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 28-Oct-2024Nifty Trading Plan for 28-Oct-2024 **Previous Day Recap**: Nifty experienced volatility yesterday, with a downward bias. Major support levels held around the **24080-24100** mark, indicating potential buying interest. However, resistance levels remain active, with **24,276** serving as a pivot zone. For today, trends are illustrated as follows: - **Yellow** trend signifies a sideways market. - **Green** trend indicates a bullish outlook. - **Red** trend reflects a bearish sentiment. Opening Scenarios for 28-Oct-2024 Gap Up Opening (+100 points or more) If Nifty opens with a gap up of 100+ points: - Immediate resistance can be seen at **24,276**. A break above this may push the index towards the **24,392** level, which acts as the Last Resistance for Intraday . - Consider booking profits if Nifty approaches the **24,531 - 24,589** zone (highlighted as Profit Booking Zone ) as sellers might attempt to re-enter. - If resistance at **24,276** holds and shows weakness, expect a potential pullback towards **24,143** for support. Flat Opening In case of a flat opening near **24,210**: - Initial support is at **24,191**, followed by a stronger base around **24,143**. - If Nifty moves up from these levels, the next resistance can be expected at **24,276**. Watch closely for consolidation in this area, as a breakout could trigger a rally toward **24,392**. - A failure to hold support at **24,143** could signal a downtrend, targeting **23,998** and below. Gap Down Opening (-100 points or more) For a gap down opening of -100 points or more: - Initial support will likely emerge around **23,998**. If this holds, a bounce is expected toward **24,143**. - If **23,998** breaks, the next significant support level sits at **23,740**, marked as the Possible Bottom Zone for Current Trend . This is a critical level; a breach could lead to a deeper correction towards **23,590**. - A recovery from this lower level may indicate reversal buying, ideal for intraday long positions up to **24,086**. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: - Always define your stop-loss levels based on the nearest support/resistance zones to manage risk effectively. - Avoid aggressive positions in high-volatility scenarios like gap openings. Start small and scale up if the trend confirms. - Be cautious of time decay when trading options, especially if the price is near critical support or resistance zones. - Consider hedging positions if holding overnight, given the volatility in global markets. Summary and Conclusion For 28th October 2024, key zones to watch are **24,276** on the upside and **23,998** on the downside. A breakout or breakdown from these levels could determine the day’s trend. Remember that the market may consolidate before choosing a direction, and it’s wise to wait for confirmation at these levels before entering trades. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
#Nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 28-1st Nov 2024. Nifty Nosedives! This week, the Nifty took a dramatic plunge, closing a hefty 700 points down from the previous week at 24,180. The bulls fought valiantly, pushing the index to a high of 24,978, but the bears ultimately prevailed, dragging it down to a low of 24,073. Key Levels Breached and Tested: My predicted range for the Nifty this week (25,550 - 24,350) was unfortunately shattered on the downside. Furthermore, the critical support level of WEMA21 was breached for the first time since October 2023, a potentially bearish sign. Is a Short Squeeze Brewing? With many retail investors now anticipating a continued downtrend, a counter-intuitive uptrend might be on the horizon. This could be a strategic move by the bulls to trap those who are shorting the market. Next Week's Crucial Levels: Buckle up, because next week is a pivotal one for the Nifty. If the index can defend the crucial support zone of 23,900-24,000, we might witness a surge testing resistance levels around 24,500-24,600. However, a breach below 23,900 opens the door for a further decline towards 23,600 and even the psychologically important 200-day moving average (23,500). This is where I, for one, will be getting "greedy" by considering adding Niftybees and some fundamentally strong stocks with favorable risk-reward ratios. Remember the age-old wisdom: "Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful." The time to be greedy for value might be just around the corner! S&P 500: Holding the Line (for Now): Across the pond, the S&P 500 failed to surpass its previous week's high of 5,878 and experienced a correction of more than 1.5% from its weekly peak of 5,866. The silver lining? It managed to hold above the crucial support level of 5,762. The upcoming week will be critical as well. If the S&P 500 can maintain a position above 5,863, it could potentially surge towards a significant Fibonacci retracement level of 6,013, which could also provide a positive tailwind for the Indian markets. However, a dip below 5,700 could trigger a correction ranging from 1.6% to 3.3%, potentially dragging the Nifty down with it. Wishing everyone a very happy & prosperous Diwali. Enjoy
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
Bank Nifty Long - Riding the Wave • Technical Analysis: • Trend Analysis: The Bank Nifty has been showing a robust upward trend, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows over the past month. • Support Levels: The index recently bounced off a significant support level, confirming strength in the ongoing trend. • Moving Averages: Bank Nifty is trading above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, a strong indicator of continued bullish momentum. • RSI & MACD: Both the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) show bullish divergences, indicating that the upward movement has room to continue. The decision to go long on Bank Nifty was driven by strong technical signals and positive economic fundamentals. This position is intended to capitalize on the potential upward trajectory forecasted by both market sentiment and statistical indicators. I will be monitoring this position closely and plan to adjust my stop-loss and take profit points as the market evolves. #BankNifty #LongPosition #TradingView #MarketAnalysis
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by parthvparikh