Nifty getting trapped between two trend lines forming a pennant Nifty is getting trapped between Two trend lines and will look to consolidate further till the trend line is broken on either side. In addition to the trend lines, Nifty is also trapped between Mother and Father line of 50 and 200 Hours EMA. Very interestingly poised Nifty with negative shadow of the candle. Immediate resistances are near 24970, 25027, 25130 and 25192. Above 25192 Bulls can start to breathe easy. Supports for Nifty are at 24885 are 24821. 24821 is the most important support as it is just below the trend line and also 200 Hours EMA that is the Father line. If father line is broken Nifty can further fall to 24751 or even 24527.
Niftyresistance
Nifty now rests delicately near important support zone. Nifty found rejection again from the same resistance zone described in Yesterday's idea linked to this message. Nifty Now rests near important support zone consisting of a trendline support, mid channel support and 200 hours EMA support the father line. All these are in the range between 21669 and 21600. Closing below 21600 has potential to awake the bears and take Nifty towards 21459, 21285 or even 21130 levels. Resistances for Nifty on the upper side will be 21810 to 21849 (Tough Resistance zone consisting of 50 hours EMA and other very strong multiple resistance). In case this zone is crossed the next resistance will be near 21970. The closing on Friday will be very important and may decide trend for the coming week or the next fortnight.
Nifty exactly at Mid-Channel support looking to confirm bottom. Nifty RSI cooled rapidly and the index currently is exactly at Mid-channel support line. This line can act as a support but incase we do not get a green candle to start the day tomorrow the next support for Nifty will be near 21368 strong support followed by 21295 and 21237. If 21237 is broken Nifty can fall further to 21155, 21117 or even 21082. If some negative global news or the fear of New Covid Variant create panic and in case we get a closing below 21082 there is a chance of Bears trying to make a come back. Resistances on the upper side are at 21460, 21498 and finally 21546. The rally can for a top near 21604 if it has not formed a top already.
H & S Breakout in Nifty, Feels like Euphoria Phase of Bull-run.Head and Shoulder like Pattern in formed in Nifty. Currently Nifty looks like overbought. RSI is also above 80 and it feels like Euphoria Phase of Bull-run is activated. For how long the continuous bull run can persist is difficult to say as market can remain irrational more than investors can remain rational. To have a sustainable growth a little bit of correction or consolidation would be good but you never know. Bull-run is called a Bull-Run for a reason. Major fibonacci resistance for Nifty is near 20920. Supports for Nifty are near 20695, 20518, 20222 and 19736.
The Resistance zone of 19826 to 19877 stops the Nifty rallylast week we identified the zone between 19816 and 19877 as the critical résistance zone. This is exactly the zone which has stopped Nifty from growing further and going further the full week. For our march towards 20K+ levels closing above 19877 is very important. Last weeks estimations were based on hourly chart of Nifty. This week in the daily chart you can see that Nifty is squeezing within a triangle and can give a breakout on either side. From the looks of it the breakout might be on the upper side only but some unwanted event on the Global scale (New illness in China or some event that violates the probable ceasefire in Gaza) can taper the upward trajectory so one needs to be watchful. Nifty resistances same as last week are same the zone between 19817 to 19877. Post that the next resistance will be near 19984 and 20049. Supports on the lower side in case something major spoils the part will be 19702, 19581 and 19533.
US FED Pause can give the Market a much needed Booster doseThe market was crumbling under the pressure of crisis in the Middle East since last few days but the news of US FED Pause in the rate hike can give the Market, a much needed Booster dose. The things can turn positive from here because of the news mentioned above as well has market respecting the support zone between 18985 to 18839 zone. Last 2 to 3 days have seen a consolidation of sorts, which can charter the path or market recovery. Important resistance levels for Nifty will be 19094 and 19230. Above 19230 the major resistance level will be near 19472.
Great Come back by Nifty in the background of Middle-East CrisisNifty made an immense come back to post the knee-jerk reaction to the crisis brewing in the Middle East. A follow up candle tomorrow to confirm the grip of bulls will be required however for the bull run to continue. The resistances on the upper side for spot Nifty will be at 19721, 19817 and 19894. Supports for Nifty on the lower side will be at 19474 (Strong Mid-channel support) and 19333.
Market is indecisive but bias seems to be positive to neutral.Market is indecisive but bias seems to be positive to neutral. If the support near 19483 will be broken the Nifty can further fall towards 19227, 18905 or 18531 levels. Resistances on the upper side for Nifty remain at 19795 and 20000. Nifty took a support on Friday at the trendline and bounced handsomely above 19600 which is a good sign. Now sustaining above the same will be the key for regaining 20,000+ levels. The chances for Nifty remaining side-ways are also there for the coming week.
Nifty Outlook:Nifty is taking support at the 50 days EMA and trying to stage recovery from there but 19440 to 19520 is a resistance zone which it is finding difficult to clear. If and when that resistance zone is cleared the next resistance zone is near 19631 and 19786. In case the Nifty breaks 50 EMA and parallel channel bottom support the bears will feel empowered and they can further drag the index down. Supports for Nifty on the lower sides are near 19274, 18900 and finally 18392.
Nifty Not able to break Channel top smells Weakness.Another attempt by Nifty today to break the channel top was unsuccessful. Nifty made a high of 19634 which was channel top and from there we saw pressure build and resistance work. The resistance pushed Nifty downwards and the support of 19533 was activated and it worked well. Nifty staged mini recovery from that level and closed the day at 19570, which is just below 50 hours EMA. Unable to conquer the channel top and ending below critical resistance has activated Bears and they will try again to push nifty down. 19533 to 19520 and then 19459 to 19423 can again be support zones for Nifty as of now. A closing below 19423 will empower the Bears more and they can further drag Nifty towards it's final support of 19296.
Very Important Fibonacci resistance level approaching in Nifty.Very Important Fibonacci resistance level 19448 approaching in Nifty. If Nifty can sustain above it above 19450 the doors will open for next Fibonacci level of 20162. I dare say Nifty needs some consolidation and RSI needs some cooling down before the next big leap. RSI is right now 74.85 and as soon as it touches 80, Nifty will enter Overbought zone if already it is not overbought. Investors should take care of their trailing stop losses. Take care of their profits by putting proper trailing stop losses/ stop losses. If Nifty jumps the resistance and sustains 19450 well and good but if not there should not be loss. Loss in profit is ok if a trailing stop loss is hit but important thing is profit should not become loss in case of correction.
Gap-up above Mid-Channel line & sustaining above it is a big +veGap-up above Mid-Channel line & sustaining above it is a big positive which most probably will take is to the channel top or near the channel top. Right now the resistances in front of NIFTY are at 18728 and 18778. Supports for Nifty are now same Mid-Channel line 18639, 18555 and 18465. Things look Bullish, positive and vibrant as of now...Looks like Nifty will try to give it a shot to reach All Time High...
Good Closing on Friday, positive to start the new week expected.Due to Good Closing on Friday, positive to start the new week can be expected. We might have a positive gap up start on Friday if there is no negative news on the global or local level during the weekend. The resistances to look forward to are 18600, 18662 and finally 18742. Long term targets are 18887 and 19200+ levels. Supports at the same time remain at 18488, 18325 and finally 18048. closing below 18048 has potential to handover the control of the rally to the Bears.
Nifty Not sustaining above mid channel support not a good omenNifty Not sustaining above mid channel support not a good omen for the Bull run. Somehow Nifty has to make a comeback in next 2 or maximum 3 days and sustain above Mid channel line which is around 18413 mark.
Right now Nifty als faced a trend line resistance which emancipates from previous top. The zone was too hot for Nifty to handle and it leaped back towards the support of 18323.
Supports for Nifty Will be at: 18323, 18275, 18206 and finally 18068 to 18040 zone. (Major buffer Support). Below 18K Bears start to loose control.
Resistances for Nifty: 18413, 18455, 18525 and finally 18601 (Major Resistance).
Nifty Short Term Outlook NIFTY is approximately 3% away from the top. Question on minds of most investors is: When will Nifty make a new high by crossing this Crossing this 3% hurdle. Crossing this 3% hurdle will not be easy in my opinion, unless all FII, DII and Retail investors participate in the ongoing rally. Rally has hit the resistance zone now.
It was a good week but going ahead Nifty will have to conquer 4 major resistances. These 4 Resistances are at 18393, 18474, 18609 and 18715. In case these resistances are not crossed there are chances of rally to fizzle out with supports at 18185 and 18053. 18053 is a major support.
Below 18053 bears will start calling shots. If we get a weekly closing below 18053 the next support zone will be between 17793 and 17529 (Final Major support). Below 17529 bears will be in full control again.
Will Reverse Head & Shoulders Breakout be a success? Market Outlook:
Nifty is on a roll and taking all the negative news under it’s wings and rising like a phoenix. The Mother of all bi-monthly economic events FOMC meet and decision on US Federal Reserve rate hike/Pause and US Fed chief Powell’s comments about the future rate decisions awaits to test its resolve. A positive looking Reverse Head & Shoulder like structure is formed on Nifty Chart as you can see below. We will know later this week if the Reverse Head and Shoulder Breakout is successful or not.
One thing is for sure that corrections are temporary but Indian economy, it’s strength remains intact. It may take time but Indian Indices do bounce back. Long Term Investors should trust the story of India and continue to invest for long term irrespective of whether the current Breakout or current rally sustains or not.
Nifty Supports From Current Level: 18124, 17966, 17888 and 17632.
Nifty Resistances from Current Level: 18180, 18252 and 18441.
Precision of the chart. Look at the yellow circle. The blue line is exactly where the Nifty stopped. That is a strong resistance crossing this resistance we may face next resistance at 17863. Supports on the lower side are the same are 17552 and 17532. If 17532 is broken we may see the levels of 17467 and 17198. For Now everything looks good. Above 17863 we will see resistance near 18092 and 18360. (View remains the same). Nifty following this chart.
Nifty Facing Key Resistance Zone of 17700 to 17797 Nifty has reached the zone where the strength of current rally will be tested. The zone between 17700 and 17797 will be strong resistance zones for Nifty. Only if the rally has genuine strength it can cross this zone. If this resistance zone is crossed the next resistances will be at 17923, 18038 and 18137. Supports for Nifty remain at the levels of 17597, 17533, 17460. The strongest supports for the current rally will be and 17414 and 17363 which are 50 and 200 hours EMA. Below 17363 bears will snatch back the control of the market.
Sandwiched between Support and Resistance with positive biasNifty is perfectly sandwiched between strong support and strong resistance but the bias which was negative for most of March is fading. It is a very very critical day tomorrow. Nifty has already closed on Wednesday above a critical resistance of 17060 giving it a positive bias. Now the most critical resistances that remain to be conquered are 17137 and 17261. Above 17261 Nifty can race to 17408 levels where there is another critical resistance and that a big one of 200 Weeks EMA. Nifty closing the month above 17137 will be great for momentum to be carried forward to April 2023. If Nifty can close above 17261 it can be a momentum shift and Bulls can think of making a come back in April in that case. Strong Support on the lower side remain at 16825 levels.
Nifty Poised Nicely in the critical Week.Very Important week for Nifty and other global indices as Us Federal Reserve meets tomorrow. Global Market are looking for some respite, pause in rate hike or loosing of the hawkish stance and Global Baking systems are feeling the heat of unprecedented 500bps hike by US Fed in las one year. Positive news on this aspect will be greeted by global markets and we could see an all-round relief rally after the banking catastrophe that we saw around Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse issue. Indian banks and Growth process undoubtable is on a robust path but we can’t alienate ourselves from what is happening around the world. Some analysts believe that in the long run India stands to achieve more from multiple emerging scenarios in the long run. Short term support and resistances for Nifty are at:
Nifty Resistances: 17144, 17225 and 17546.
Nifty Supports: 17061, 16828 and 16723.
Nifty declining in the squeezing triangle, needs strength. Nifty has been declining within the squeezing triangle needs to gather all the strength available and jump above 17591 first and 17776 to be back in neutral zone. Currently it is in the bear zone or negative territory. Above 17921 will be a trend change and above 18116 nifty will be in positive energetic territory. Bulls can take over only after closing above 18266.
Going and closing below 17353 will be opening proper hell gates for the bears who can take the Nifty to 17104 or further sub 17K levels near 16900 or 16751. (Reaching here is very unlikely for now).
RSI of Nifty is slowly starting to enter a zone from where usually buying starts..
Good Closing by Market but can it continue the momentum?Market did well by closing above the 200 days at 17648 which is well above 200 days Moving average at 17551. Now 17551 will be a major support going forward in addition to 17405 which was today's low. The resistances for Spot Nity are going to be 17710, 17880 and finally 17978 before it reaches a very difficult resistance to cross at 18055. If tomorrow we end in Green and if there is no negative news in the budget market can surprise the bears with a sharp rally towards 18400 or even 18800. Keeping my fingers crossed.
Nifty Outlook 21st November to 25th November 2022Market Outlook :
Market gave a good close on Friday after testing the support around 18029 levels. The close above 18300 is an indication of good strength. Mid-Cap and Small-Cap stocks are staring to looks oversold and might start to form bottom in a week or Two. Nifty has formed a perfect ‘Doji’ candle showing indecisiveness and can break out on either side.
Nifty will be very bullish and go towards All time high above the levels of 18446. Nifty can also break down and search for more supports below 18205 levels.
Important Resistances : 18446 and 18604.
Important Supports : 18205 and 17969.