19750 and 50 Hours EMA at 19723 major supports for Nifty. 19750 and 50 Hours EMA at 19723 major supports for Nifty. Below these 2 levels the support for Nifty will be near 19621 and 19516. Nifty becomes vulnerable and bears can tighten their grip below 19516. Below 19516 only 19347 is the major support (200 Hours EMA). Trend can change to bearish below this level.
Resistance on the upper side for Nifty will be near 19827 and 19890. If these resistance are crossed Nifty will once again look at aiming towards 20K mark if it able to conquer final 2 resistances at 19939 and previous high of 19991.85.
Niftyresistances
Mid-Channel Support and 50 EMA on Hourly Parallel channel BrokenMid-Channel support and 50 hours EMA on Hourly Parallel channel is Broken and now the next support for Nifty is only near 19633. Other supports for Nifty are near 19572 and 19516. 200 EMA which will be like major support for the existing rally is near 19289. Below 19289 the Rally may fizzle out and bears will strive to take control. Resistances on the upper side will be the zone between 19708 to 19761 (Major resistance zone now as it will have several resistances including 50 hours EMA and Mid channel Resistance). Crossing this zone is difficult but if Nifty does cross it next resistances will be near 19827, 19890 and finally 19939.
First Signals of Bull Rally cooling down.The 1.17% negative fall in stock market today courtesy weak guidance for 2024 by Infosys set the cat amongst the pigeons and profit booking in major sectoral indices lead by IT started. Capital goods and PSUs index were trying to provide some support and respite to the Nifty. On weekly chart the zone between 18887 and 50 weeks EMA which is at 18000 looks like major support zone. Before Nifty reaches this zone there will also be supports at 19565 and 19117. In the worst case scenario of some major bad news 16856 and 200 Weeks EMA of Nifty which is near 15566 can also provide major support. (Highly unlikely Nifty reaches there but you never know). Resistance on the upper side for Nifty remain at 19747 and 19991. Long term target for Nifty is first 20002 and then 21035.
Nifty missed our Target of 20002 by about 10 points. Nifty just missed our Target of 20002 by just about 10 points. RSI is indicating that the Nifty has entered the overbought zone and a small or medium sized correction is due. however the fibonacci levels applied to Nifty Indicate a medium term target of Nifty near 20126. To reach there Nifty has to cross the major hurdle at 20002. Incase Nifty respects the Overbought Zone RSI correction theory a little bit of Correction might be due with a support at 19800, 19724, 19418 being a major Fibonacci support and below that 19321 is the main support. 50 days EMA of Nifty is too deep at 18861 below which the trend will change into a negative one.
20K can be breached if 2 more resistances taken down.20K can be breached if 2 more resistances zones can be taken down.
Resistance zone 1: Today's peak of 19851 and 19871.
Resistance Zone 2: 19925 to 19950.
Supports on the lower side remain at 19724, 19525 and finally 19321.
Trend becomes totally negative below: 18887 closing.
Sustaining 19700 levels crucial for Nifty to lunge forward. Sustaining 19700 levels crucial for Nifty to lunge forward towards 19800, 19900 and finally 20K. Resistances on the upper side now seem to be only at today's peak that is 19819, 19871 and 19950. Supports on the lower side remain at today's low that is 19690, 19525 and 19321 Nifty can fall to 18887 levels. Trend change is possible only after weekly closing below this level.
Nifty Trying to break channel it was flowing in since 3 monthsNifty since Mid April 23 has been smoothly flowing in the drawn hourly channel. Now it has taken steps today to break this channel. Breaking an hourly channel of Three months is a very tough challenge. Relative strength index is also approaching near it's sell zone. Perhaps little bit of more effort can take Nifty towards 19800, 19900 or perhaps magic figure of 20K. For reaching 19800 or even 20000 levels Nifty has to sustain above 19700 levels in this coming week. Supports on the lower side for Nifty are near 19575, 19481 and 19316.
Channel Top Resistance Approaching For NiftyNifty has yet again reached the region from where channel top is near by. Channel top resistance can be in the range of today's peak that is 19595 to somewhere in the range of 19661. Supports for Nifty in case of fall will remain near 19464, 19422 (50 Hours EMA), 19360 (Mid-channel support), 19233 and final major support is near 19133. Closing below 19037 and channel bottom around 19000 will awaken the bares and will have potential to change the trend.
Higher High, Higher Low Pattern in Nifty. 50 Hours EMA is supporHigher High, Higher Low Pattern in Nifty. As soon as a new high is made lot of Profit booking is taking place due to which Spot-Nifty tends to come down but 50 Hours EMA is supporting the higher high, higher low pattern. If 50 Hours EMA is broken we may see some un-widing. If we see unwinding in Nifty the supports that will be activated will be 19393 (50 hours EMA), 19296 with mid channel support near by, 19233, 19133 and finally 19003. Below 19003 bears will be activated. Resistances on the upper side are 19477, 19514 and finally 19567.
Nifty has taken support at 50 Hours EMANifty has plunged as expected but during the last hour of the day took fantastic support at 50 Hours EMA. This support will again help Nifty to have another go at the resistance range of 19450 to 19525 zone. Before reaching this zone Nifty has to cross important resistance of 19419. Supports at 19359 and 19296 are strong ones.
Resistance of ATH Zone works again today and stops Nifty.Resistance of ATH Zone works again today and stops Nifty. As expected the resistance zone between 19437 and 19523 again got activated. Nifty made a high of 19515.1 and returned closing the day at 19439.4. End was just above 19437 which should act as a support no.1 for tomorrow. Further supports will be at 19419, 19399, 19337, 19296 and 19232. Again 19500 to 19523 will act as resistance zone. Crossing and closing above 19525 will open the doors for 19600 or even 19700. All eyes on the Speech of FOMC member Bullard tonight.
Nifty Delicately placed between support and resistance zones. There are three major supports for Nifty on hourly channel near the current level. The supports being at 19354, 19295 and 19232. Falling below 19232 will take spot Nifty to the levels of 19065 or 18894. Below 18894 Nifty becomes very week and final major support for Bulls will be at 18651. Resistance for Nifty will be near the levels of 19437 and 19523. Crossing and closing above this zone is difficult but if Nifty closes above 19523 channel top resistance will be in the zone of 19590 to 19610.
Supports and Resistances for Nifty from current levels.Hourly chart of Nifty suggests support for Nifty in the zone of 19268 and 19232. If 19232 is broken the next support will be near 19065. Below 19065 Nifty is vulnerable and can fall to the levels of 18859 or 18651. Below 18651 bears will awaken from Coma they are in currently. Trend changes to negative below 18651 closing. Resistance on the upper side for Nifty are near 19411. 19506 to 19551 will be a major resistance for Nifty as that is the top of current channel.
The hourly Channel broken on the upper side. What Next?The hourly channel that we were following since last 2 months or more has been broken on the upper side due to the ongoing mad bull run. The question that comes to various minds is what next for Nifty or where next for Nifty. To answer that we go back to the daily chart and apply simple fibonacci levels. Fibonacci levels on daily charts suggest the following supports and resistances:
Next Fibonacci Resistance at: 19448 followed by 20162 (Both have potential to be Major resistances with many minor resistances in between).
Fibonacci Supports: 18887.6 (previous Peak), 18446 (Major Fibonacci support and 50 days EMA very close to it), 17856 (Another Mega Fibonacci support with 200 days EMA very close by).
Momentum with Nifty, but it is approaching over-bought zone.Momentum is with Nifty, but it has reached or will soon reach the Zone which might be very close to the overbought zone. Relative Strength Index cooldown / consolidation might also be required for Nifty to scale further highs. If not tomorrow then later next week. RSI will do some catching up and Profit booking at higher levels like we saw towards the end of Wednesday can also surprise. Beware of the Bull trap in some shares with weak fundamentals which might also rise as if they are genuine dark horses. 19000-19020 is the resistance zone now. Top of the channel for current let of the rally can be 19080 to 19200 range. Support for Nifty is near 18945, 18887.6, 18839 and 18796. Bear right now are on Oxygen. Some signs of life can return only if Nifty closes below 18602. Till that time Bulls will be in firm control.
Our Chart continues to work perfectlyAs you can see and we had depicted yesterday Nifty had taken a firm support at 18646 and the only now was upwards. Despite negative to Neutral US markets Nifty opened gap up above what was 50 Hours EMA, confirmed support of the EMA at 18742 for few hours and then marched ahead. The march of Nifty was halted by the Mid-Channel Line resistance at 18829 and that is where Nifty cooled down a bit to close the day at 18817.4.
How is that for Precision? I hope you all are appreciating the efforts that we are putting in the analysis.
What Nifty holds for tomorrow? If Mid channel line (18829) is conquered tomorrow and Nifty hold above it, we will be sooner than later looking towards re-approaching the All Time high of Nifty and probably this time around Nifty might even break it and make a new high.
Resistances: 18829, 18840 and 18887.6. Post making a new high 18956 and 19018 can be very very tough resistances.
Supports: If the Nifty is not able to conquer 18829 to 18840 range and sustain above it the supports will be at 18795, 18742, 18646, 18576 and 18421.
18646 giving a great support can the rally re-launch from here?18646 giving a great support can the rally re-launch from here is the question now. Usually when index or the stock finds a proper support and investors feels confident about the support, there is a possibility of restart or re-launch of the rally from that region. Whether rally will be successful like the previous phase will remain the question. However if the rally re-starts the next resistance will be near 50 Hours EMa that is 18733. Crossing 18733 the most important ATH resistance zone of 18795 to 18887.6 awaits Nifty. Supports at the lower side remain at 18646, 18562 and finally the bears wake up if 18421 is broken.
Nifty Dives below 50 hours EMA After Failing to Conquer ATH. Nifty Nose-Dived below 50 hours EMA After Failing to Conquer All Time High which was within the touching distance. The factors responsible for the fall can be attributed to Hawkish stance of FED before July FOMC. Hawkish stance of global Central banks and Profit booking near all time high. Relative Strength Index of Nifty (RSI) also needed some cooling down.
50 Hours EMA is working as an important resistance now and today low of 18647 will be important support for Monday. If the support at 18647 is broken Nifty can languish upto bottom of current channel and 200 Hours EMA which is near 18554. If Nifty closes below 18554 final support for Bulls is near 18421 closing below which bears will spring back to life.
The Zone around ATH is proving to be a tough resistance. The Zone around 18862 and ATH of 18887.6 is proving to be a tough resistance to conquer. Nifty has so far made multiple attempts but has not been successful so far this week after coming in the touching distance couple of times. Once ATH resistance is crossed the next resistance will be near 18953 and 19018. But before we get there Nifty might again take a dip in search of a proper launchpad for that leap of faith. Global markets are expecting a hike by FED again in July FOMC as the action was PAUSE but commentary was hawkish. If that remains the case little bit of correction can also happen in Nifty. In such a scenario the supports this week will be 18827, 18790, 18756 and 18660. Below 18524 bear will try to snatch back control. Possibility of that happening is difficult this week. But we never really know.
The Question is When will Nifty Hit the All Time High? Nifty staged dramatic recovery in the afternoon today and covered shorts shocking the bears who were thinking of staging a comeback. Nifty hourly candle took support at 18660 and staged a mighty comeback of about 156 points to end the day at 18816 which is just below the resistance zone of 18842 and 18865. Final resistance will be 18887.6 which the the all time high of Nifty. Supports for Nifty are near 18790, 18752 and a strong support of 18726 followed by supports at 18660 and 18500. So the answer to the question The Question is 'When will Nifty Hit the All Time High?' is very soon. It can be later this week it can be tomorrow.
Again invariably Mid-Channel line comes to rescue. Again invariably Mid-Channel line comes to rescue as the NIFTY failed to make new All Time High today after coming very very close to the top. When you are near the top or while bottom is forming volatility will be at it's peak as near the top there will be profit booking and near the bottom there will be loss boking. Spot Nifty Supports and resistances are as under:
Nifty supports: 18717, 18637, 18555 and finally 18482. Below 18482 Bears will come out of coma and will try to regain control.
Nifty Resistances: 18784, 18826, 18865 and finally 18887.6 (Previous Top).
Top of the current channel can be between: 18887.6 and 19020.
Nifty at Mid-Channel Key Support Zone. Can it aim for ATH?Mid-Channel Key Support Zone for Nifty. Can it aim for All time high taking support from here? It is quite possible. Key resistances will be 18717, 18798, 18831 and finally All time high 18887.6. Key supports for Nifty 18672 (Major support which should not be broken). 18639, 18555 and 18512. It is mostly matter of time when Nifty will reach all time high, rather than will it reach all time high.
18768 to 18778 proving to be resistance once again. The Ten point range between 18768 to 18778 proving to be resistance once again. Nifty however closed above the strong support of 18728. Other supports for Nifty are 18656 to 18639 zone (Strong Support). Below this area Nifty has support only near 18555, 18465 and 18417. Resistances for Nifty on the upper side if it crosses the zone of 18768 to 18778 are near 18831 and 18887.6 (Previous All Time High).