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Niftyresistances

Nifty made a high near our predicted top yesterday.As predicted the current top seems to be around 24408. Nifty reached round about there, made a high of 24401 and closed at 24302 which is 98.85 points down. The resistnace remains the same and supports remain the same. In fact there is a very weak additional support now at 24396 followed by 24236. Other supports for Nifty remain in the range between 24144 and 24088 (Mother Line 50 hours EMA). Below 24088 Nifty will be weak and only major support remaining will be between 23983 and 23807 before Nifty hits 23477 (Which is 200 Hours EMA). Below 23477 Bears will gain more ground and solid momentum.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
One more hurdle crossed, Very little room left at the top. One more major hurdle crossed by Nifty and very little room left at the top. Unless there is a channel top breakout. The final resistance remaining before we have a channel top break out is 24408. Today the hurdle of 24236 was closed by a gap up opening the same level was tested as well so now it will act as a support. Other supports for Nifty remain in the range between 24054 and 24010 (Mother Line 50 hours EMA). Below 24010 Nifty will be weak and only major support remaining will be 23807 before Nifty hits 23416 (Which is 200 Hours EMA). Below 23416 Bears will gain more ground and solid momentum.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty almost flat in but moving in a tight range. Nifty is moving in a tight range. On higher levels there is Profit booking as it falls there is buying. Perfect Bull bear tussel at play. during the tussel Nifty has found a new support of today's low at 24054. Also extended it's resistance to 24236. If we get a closing above 24236 the Channel top currently looks near 24350 to 24408 range. There is a possibility of Channel top resistance as well as channel breakout. If there is a break out we will give new targets then but supports for now are 24054, 24986, 23925 (Mother Line Support) 50 hours EMA and 23807. Resistance being at 24180, 24236 and 24408.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Today's high will be an important resistance. Today's high of 24164 will be an important resistance. Closing above 24164 can open the door for 24322. 24322 is a very important channel top and trend top resistance. As there is very less room left towards the top and Nifty is delicately placed on the trend line. There are 2 things that can happen when and if the Nifty reaches channel top. There can be channel top breakout or there can be channel top resistance can come into effect and there can be consolidation and correction. If there is a correction or consolidation the support levels for Nifty will be 23982, 23859 Important 50 hours EMA (Mother Lines support). If nifty closes below 50 EMA there will be weakness. This weakness can drag Nifty further down to 23679, 23297 or even 23173.(Mid channel Support).
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Next Week: (Short to Medium Term Market Outlook)Nifty is moving swiftly near the channel top. In the short term hourly chart RSI is 58.8 indicating that there might be some strength left in the current rally. However, it is delicately placed between strong resistance and weak supports which indicates correction also might be round the corner. Nifty supports are at 23976 and 23881 both are weak supports. 23777 is a moderate support of 50 hours EMA. (Mother line). Strong support for Nifty is seen around the region of 23238 which has a dual support of Mid channel and 200 hours EMA. Immediate Resistances for Nifty are at 24130 (Moderate resistance) and there will be a strong resistance near 24322 (Channel top and trend top resistance. It is an interesting scenario where shadow of the candle is absolutely neutral. The dice can turn in any direction keep your stop losses in place. Market mood index indicating is another parameter to judge index and it's direction. Extreme Fear (<30), Fear (30-50), Greed (50-70), and Extreme Greed (>70). Right now the MMI index is at 71.28 indicating we have entered Extreme greed zone. So it is advised to Keep your trailing stop losses also in place. The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Short to Medium term outlookNifty is moving swiftly near the channel top. In the short term hourly chart RSI is 58.8 indicating that there might be some strength left in the current rally. However it is delicately placed between strong resistance and weak supports which indicates correction also might be round the corner. Nifty supports are at 23976 and 23881 both are weak supports. 23777 is a moderate support of 50 hours EMA. (Mother line). Strong support for Nifty is seen around the region of 23238 which has a dual support of Mid channel and 200 hours EMA. Immediate Resistances for Nifty are at 24130 (Moderate resistance) and there will be a strong resistance near 24322 (Channel top and trend top resistance. It is an interesting scenario where shadow of the candle is absolutely neutral. The dice can turn in any direction keep your stop losses in place. Market mood index indicating is another parameter to judge index and it's direction. Extreme Fear (<30), Fear (30-50), Greed (50-70), and Extreme Greed (>70). Right now the MMI index is at 71.28 indicating we have entered Extreme greed zone. So it is advised to Keep your trailing stop losses also in place.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Emphatic jump by Nifty on the back of IT and few other sectors.24K is done and dusted now what can we expect? As indicated earlier IT was the index to watch out for this week. There was a cup and handle formation and cup and handle breakout in the sector after lot of consolidation. Few other sectors that were red hot were Energy, Infra and consumption. We had also indicated that Mid and small cap shares will face the brunt of profit booking as there is a sectoral shift towards large caps. Nifty has given a closing above important Fibonacci level of 23931 and it has opened the door for Nifty to grow towards the targets of 24246 and 24707 if we get a closing above today's high of 24087. 24K closing is done and dusted. Weekly closing tomorrow and more importantly monthly closing above 24K will has potential to give further boost to the market in the medium and long run. Important support levels to watch out for Nifty will be at 23931, 23750 followed by 23338. Most important Mother line support of 50 days EMA is at 22912 now. Nifty will come back once may be tomorrow / next week or next month. to test one of these support. A word of caution: Many sectors like Sugar, Electronic manufacturing, Textile, Defense, PSUs,Energy, Infra, Fertilizers (Agro) and Speciality Chemicals, health care and insurance, consumption are expecting good budget which will favour them. Incase the budget is disappointing they will be the first to bear the brunt of the market. So be cautious with your stop losses while you enjoy the upward ride.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty has taken a good support.Nifty has taken a good support at 23340 and given a closing above 50 hours EMA at 23537. Shadow of the candle for now has turned positive. There is a strong resistance in place near 23548. 23455 (50 Hours EMA) and 23340 are good supports for now. Above 23548 the next resistances can be 23568 and 23667. Let us see if Nifty rally has gained some steam after little bit of consolidation to go above the next 3 strong resistance. There can be some Profit bookings and pressure to sell once these 3 levels come near.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty delicately resting near 50 Hours EMA support. Nifty is resting delicately on 50 Hours EMA support. Every rise is seen as an opportunity to book profit at least in selective mid and Small cap companies. Last week we saw a shift of investors retail, FII as well as DII towards large cap banks and Chemicals. This indicates some sectoral shift also. The Fizz of the rally is dying down as Nifty remained range bound making a Doji on weekly chart with high at 23667 and low of 23398. A substantial move on either side is possible only above or below these levels. Mark them as most important levels in the short term. Nifty resistances are at 23568 and 23667. Nifty supports for the next week will be near 23434, 23340, 23155, 22990 and finally 22876. Below 22876 is pure Bear territory.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Facing Strong resistance from a probable temporary top.Nifty Facing is seemingly facing Strong resistance from a probable temporary top. The high of today 23664 will not be easy to cross for now as the shift in the mood seems to be of profit booking. However if you look at FII and DII numbers very both positive and Nifty ended in negative. This can also be an indication of sectoral shift from the big players towards some large caps and other underperforming sectors from some sectors which were popular since last 2 to 3 months. Chemicals, Selective IT and Banking seem to be picking up steam. Resistance at the upper side are at 23579, 23664 and 23751. Supports on the lower side seem to be at 23491, 23364 (Important support) Mother line 50 hours EMA, 23336, 23201, 23050 and finally 22908. Below 22908 bears will take control of the market.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty moving forward on a parabolic curve.Nifty moving forward on a Parabolic curve. With no much negative trigger it is inching slowly towards the channel top shown in the parallel channel. When you lie by a sword you also die by a sword. When you move up on a parabolic curve there is also a possibility of a down side on a parabola it the rounding top is formed. So investors have to be careful about this and trade invest while keeping stop losses and trailing stop losses in proper place. Supports for Nifty currently are at 23491, 23335, 23201, 23050, 22894 and finally 22863 (200 hours EMA, Father line). Resistance on the upper side for Nifty are at 23562, 23579, 23669, 23785 and 23881 levels. Disclaimer: Spot nifty levels for education purpose only.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Hyperbolic formation indicating we are on the sword edge. Hyperbolic formation indicating we are on the edge of the sword. Last time when Nifty saw this kind of Hyperbolic formation markets jumped from 22579 to 23338 and then market fell to 21821 and recovered to make an ATH high of 23490. Similar Hyperbolic formation is seen now indicating similar move on cards for Nifty. We are on edge of sorts where there is a feeling of overpriced market as well as upside potential oth looming large on the minds of retail investors, FII and DII. All the 3 are nullifying each others move and keeping the markets range bound. Anything can give way at any juncture. Supports for Nifty are at 23338, 23233 and 23000 range. Below 23000 levels bears will awaken and will try to pull Nifty to 22814 levels where it can get support of 200 hours EMA. On the upper side 23490. If we get a closing above 23490 it will open the doors for 23931 and further 24247 in the long term. Very interesting and rare formation of chart can be seen. Has Bull rally exhausted its steam or can they pull on for one more week or rest of the month is the question which will get the answer in next few sessions. Outlook is cautious but positive with small or medium correction on cards. Some sectors will still remain upbeat even in case of correction. Large portion of your portfolio should be allocated to Large cap now.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Closing below trendline but above Fibonacci levels more upside?Nifty is trying everyday to inch ahead and is almost making new highs but trend line resistance is still stopping it. The positive sign today is that Nifty has closed above Fibonacci level of 23338 but it receded from the highs of 23481 to close at 23398. 23481 now becomes an important resistance before a major resistance of 23515 which for now looks like the trend top. Closing above 23515 will open the targets for 23897. In case we are not able to cross 23481 the supports at lower level are 23338, 23205 and 23060 for now.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Fibonacci and Trendline resistance stopping Nifty.Last 4 days the fibonacci resistance and the trend line resistance are stopping Nifty from going ahead and growing ahead. This resistance is at 23338. If we get a closing above this level doors for the next Fibonacci resistance and target will open. In that case Nifty can reach 23450, 23542 or even 23897. In case the resistance acts and blocks Nifty from going further the support levels will be at 23205, 23060, 22772 and 22555 (50 Days EMA, Mother Line). Below this zone Bears will get some power and can drag Nifty to 22146, 21825, 21355 (200 Days EMA, Father Line) or even 21282. Let us see how US FED Pause is taken by the market tomorrow. There is also a talk by FED 1 rate cut during 2024. Nasdaq as of Now is positive indicating rally in IT continuing a little bit but let us see how it goes.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Low of today is very critical support for Nifty.Low of today 23206 is very critical support for Nifty. If that is broken tomorrow or later during this week. It will be a typical sign of a top or double top formation. Indicating weakness which can find Nifty searching for supports. Supports for Nifty from current level are at 23206, 23074, 22995 (Mother Line Very Important support 50 hours EMA), Most critical support zone for Nifty In case of double top formation will be between 22712 and 22616(Father Line support 200 hours EMA). Below this zone will be Bear territory which can drag Nifty to 22408, 22094 or even 21268. On the positive side if the levels of 23206 is not broken. The resistances on the upper side or targets for Nifty can be 23339, 23412, 23542 or even 23700+(23500+ looks little optimistic rather than realistic looking at current formation of the chart.) There are some important events like US Fed rate hike decision. If there is no rate cut announced or if the commentary of US FED chairperson there is a possibility of profit booking by all counters. In case of a rate hike (unlikely) the Bull run can end for now. Watch out the Macro and Micro events like US FED Meeting and any development on allies of the ruling coalition in India behaving mischievously with caution. keep proper stop losses in place.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Could not sustain ATH as Fibo level pulls Nifty back. Nifty after making a new all time high 23411 could not sustain the levels, as the Fibonacci resistance at previous high of 23338 pulled it back. Important resistance levels for Nifty now is the zone between 23338 and 23411. If the Nifty is able to give a closing above 23411 the next resistance will be channel and trend top near 23518. 23518 will be another tough resistnace to conquer. If this resistance is taken down the door towards the Nifty fibonacci level target of 23897 will open. On the lower side the support levels for Nifty are near 23229, 23159 and 23081. Below 23081 Nifty will become weak. Final supports for Nifty will be at 22895 and 22629. Below 22629 there is pure bear territory. Closing below 22629 (Unlikely for now) will end the current Bull run.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty nearing Channel top again, Can it break the glass ceiling?Nifty is nearing the Channel top again, Can it break the glass ceiling is the question the current top of the channel remains somewhere between 23303 to 23422. If we get a closing above 23422 the floodgates / glass ceiling towards new Nifty highs will be broken. The door towards new record highs of 23772 or even 24369 will be open. In case Nifty is not able to cross 23303 or 23422 the support levels for Nifty will be at 23091, 22793, strong support of 22762 (50 hours EMA) and 22580 even stronger support of (200 hours EMA). Nifty rally turns negative and bears come out of comma if we get a closing below 22500 (Very unlikely). In that case bears can drag the Nifty towards 21984 or 21577 region.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Doji candle formed in Nifty today. Does it indicate upside?Today we saw a formation of Doji candle in Nifty. Doji candles indicates uncertainty. Colour of the Doji candle shows the bias which is green as of now. So the bias still remains positive with formation of stable government on cards. However on any new or noise from coalition allies the Bears can make a strong comeback. Doji today indicates that Bears are also equally active and are waiting for their chance of action. So be aware / be conservative in your choice of stocks. In terms of Cricket if we consider this a T-20 match this pitch is not a 200+ pitch. It is rather a green top where if a team scores 150-170 runs they can be difficult to chase. So what should investors do? They should keep stop losses. Stop losses are the best friends. Keep stop losses and trailing stop losses. Stop losses protect your capital. Trailing stop losses protect your profits. Nifty Resistance Levels: 22910, 23053, 23192, 23338. Nifty Support Levels: 22630, 22456, 22139, 21781 and 21277. Below 21277 is a bear territory and absolute hunting ground of bears.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Very Powerful Comeback Candle sort of Bullish Harami.Nifty made a massive comeback today after the dust of election result settled. Whether NDA's comeback to power and can the Bull Run sustain is the key question. Both are interlinked as of now it seems. However on the technical grounds the formation on chart between yesterday and today's candle is a sort of Bullish Harami (Positive Candle formation). A positive candle formation in the next trading session will confirm the formation. Now the supports for Nifty are at 21261 (Father Line) and 200 EMA, 22139 (Mid channel support), 22413 (Mother Line) and 50 EMA and 22456. Resistances on the upper side for Nifty will be 22695, 22855, 23053, 23192 and finally 23338 (ATH Resistance).
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
200 Days EMA comes to rescue of the market. 200 Days EMA comes to rescue of the market. Market which was shocked by the unexpected result was rescued by 200 days EMA today. You can see how it is supportive of Mother Father small child story that I propagate. PAPA line came to support of the falling market and there was a 603.05 points recovery. However the fall is 1379.4 points devastating fall. We can hope for a recovery if the levels of 21247 holds. However the most important resistance will be the MOTHER line of 21404. These two are the most important levels to track for this week and rest of the month. We can expect a recovery on announcement of a stable Government. Many stocks including PSU are coming near mouth watering levels with respect to Dividend yield. Other stocks which have nothing to do with result of the election have also taken a beating even though they were / are on a growth trajectory. So be wise and choose diamonds from the ruins.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Fibo gives important levels for the Election rally. Election rallies can be considered as Bull Rallies on Dope they are extremely fragile at the same time they can break all the resistances in their way like a mad bull in rage. Expecting an extremely volatile day tomorrow. But space to grow on upper side is very limited. The RSI indicating market is close to becoming overbought but an election result which market expects can further the boundaries. Important Resistance levels: 23338 and 23537. Important Support levels: 23109, 23058, 22806 and 22559. Tipping point into bear territory will be a closing below 22417.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty closing this week looks like Calm before the storm.FII, DII and Retail investors are all awaiting Exit Polls and Actual results of election to follow thereafter. We have already discussed the best and the worst case scenarios. The candle formed today is Doji exhibiting indecisiveness. The support at which Nifty is standing is Mid channel. The other support which has been taken is 50 days EMA. Right now everything looks in balance. Lot of overpriced stocks corrected. Lot of underpriced stocks which gave good results exceled. Many more underpriced Banking and IT stocks are looking like value buys. Many overvalued Psu stocks look like them might again run further in case of expected results. Everything looks like it is on a tipping point. + or - 5 to 10% move depending on results is a definite possibility. DIIs have been buying all the way. FIIs have been selling all the way. Perfect recipe for a thriller to unfold next week. Everything is on a standstill. This weekend might be a calm before the storm. Nifty Supports: 22392, 22057, 21827, 21712 and 21221. (Worst case scenario 17597 in case the expected results are not seen in election). Nifty Resistances: 22672, 22829, 23140, 23226 and 23398. (Best case scenario between 23500-23600).
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Enters crucial Support Zone. Nifty has entered Important support zone. This zone extends from 22495 to 22386. Today's low of 22417 is also a very important level below which we will have only the support level of 22386 which is the 50 days EMA. Below 22386 bears will try their best to drag the Index to the levels of 21712 or even 21208. (This looks improbable as of now but you never know). DII was buying even today in this drastic fall while FII are selling relentlessly. With only 1 day left before we will have exit polls and then the actual election results on 4th June. Investors should brace for a few more days of volatility. If the result go against popular opinion then we can see further lower levels which are mentioned above. RSI has taken a turn and Mid channel has provided a support as of today. Resistance on the upper side are 22508 and 22829.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment