Resistance zone of Trendline Mother Line on stopping BullsOn the Daily candles chart of Nifty we can clearly see that Mother line and the trend line resistances are acting upon the Nifty and restricting it's further flight. Today we saw creation of another Doji like Monday. The Gap theory probably is also adding pressure on the Nifty. (Gap Theory is a very interesting subject about which we will sometimes do a special video.) Most of the gaps when a stock or index takes a leap should be filled in future as per the theory (in short). There was a gap up on Monday due to Maharashtra election results. In my opinion not all gaps are supposed to be filled there are some substantial gaps which never get filled. However we will do a webinar on this subject in future some day.
Right now the major resistance zone is here for Bulls this zone starts from 24354 and ends at 24396. Nifty might need some consolidation or strong FII+DII buying to fly above this zone. If this zone is conquered further resistances will be at 24530, 24673, 24893 and 25253. Above 25253 there is pure Bull territory.
Supports on the lower side are at 24135 major support (Higher Cradle of The Gap on Monday), 23948 (Lower cradle of the Gap), 23563 Major support from the 200 days EMA or the Father line, 23362 and finally 23254. Below 23254 we have a strong Bear territory.
To know more about stop losses, trailing stop losses, Profit booking and investment, financial awareness in general, process of investment in Equity or Mother, Father and small child theory read my book The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation . Many People who have read it consider it as hand book and perfect guide to equity investment. You can read reviews of the book or purchase the same from Amazon. The book is available on Amazon in Kindle and paperback version. I am sure you are going to find it of massive use. Once you have read the book, I assure you that you will become a next level investor.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Niftysupportandresistance
Father Line not allowing Nifty but gap up support holding.Father line of 200 Hours EMA at 24212 has not yet allowed Nifty to fly freely up and above. today again like yesterday we got a closing below at 24194. Overall it was a flat day with positive movements mainly in IT, FMCG, media and Small Cap index.
Once we get a closing above 24212 the next resistance will be at 24360, 24530, 24673 and 24893. After closing above 24893 Nifty has a chance to be in proper Bullish grip. Supports for Nifty on the lower side remain at 24135, 23948 and 23912 (Major Mother line Support of 50 Hours EMA). Below 23912 bears can drag Nifty to 23616, 23362 and finally 23250. Below 23250 Nifty can have a free fall into strong bearish territory.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Massive Gap-up on expected lines, Which way will Nifty go now?After Maharashtra results as expected Nifty gave a gap up opening and sustained above an important level to close the day but can the rally sustain or will it fizzle out. If Nifty can consolidate in the range and cross the important resistance of 24360 while holding the ground above 200 hours EMA of Father line at 24213 we can see a really very bullish rally in Nifty.
The supports for Nifty remain at 24213, 24135, 23948 and finally 23821. Below 23821 which is the 50 Hours EMA or the Mother line the rally may Fizzle out and bears will again dominate the scene. Resistnace for Nifty remain at 24369 important trend line resistance, 24530, 24673 and 24893 before we gain 25K levels and we can move ahead. Above 25K we will be in a predominantly Bullish territory again.
To know more about Mother and Father lines, trend lines and supports and resistances mentioned in the message and to find them on your own in addition to knowing more about Techno-Funda investing in a nutshell you can read my book The Happy Candles way to Wealth creation available on Kindle and Google Playbook in E-version and on Paperback edition on Amazon. It is one of the highest rated books in that category.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty might be turning corners if there is no further bad news.The medium term outlook of Nifty is that it might be turning corners if there is no further bad news on Global or Local front. RSI is also turning in the positive or bullish zone. 23251 which was the 50 Weeks EMA or the mother line was almost taken and Nifty took a support at exactly mid channel support. This level be the key going forward. In the monthly closing or thereafter if this support is broken then we might see a bear attack once again. In such a scenario next supports will be at 22825. If this support is broken the next supports will be at 21324, 20313 or even 19133 in case of a global catastrophe of some unexpected even from Ukraine / Russia / Iran / Israel front. As of now 23251 seems to be the bottom. The medium term resistances on the upper side remain at 24432, 25073, 25732 and 26152 before Nifty gains previous highs. Nifty channel top currently seems at 27100 levels. There will be a lot of consolidation and it will take a long time before we reach there (2 to 6 or more months). Difficult to predict exact time frame due to lot of uncertainties on the local and global front.
Nifty chart explains Mother-Father & Small Child theory and RSICurrent Nifty daily chart explains Mother-Father & Small Child theory and RSI very well have a look. As we can see and explained in my previous articles in Smart Investment as well as my book, The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation available on Amazon in Paperback and kindle version. The book in E-version is also available on Google Play books. Every time and again Nifty for cooling down from the overbought zone, consolidation, finding support and finding bottom in case of a bear market looks towards taking blessing or ashirwad from mother regularly and father some times. Wherein we call 50 EMA the Mother, 200 EMA of the father and movement of the candle sticks as movement of a 3 year old kid who is moving in a garden. The theory has been explained in depth in my previous articles and books but what you read above is in a nutshell.
This time as there were serious issues related to FIIs selling continuously, issues regarding inflation, consumption and domestic demand being weak we saw a steep correction in Nifty from its high. The global issues like escalating Iran Vs Israel tensions, US elections, Ukraine Vs Russia war again gaining momentum also played a spoilsport for bulls along with new episode of Adani saga. The correction might not be over we do not know for sure where the exact top and exact bottoms are but we can predict zones that can provide resistance and supports accurately.
Mother and Father lines we consider major supports and well as major resistances. They are major and most important supports if price of the particular stock or index is above the lines and they will be major resistance if the price of the stock is below them. On Friday we got a strong closing above the 200 days EMA which means if we get a follow up bullish candle on Monday and index continues to sustain above 200 days EMA things can go North in favour of Bulls. If Bulls can manage to get a closing above 50 days EMA or mother line the rally can enter a very strong zone. Another noteworthy point is that Nifty also hit a near channel bottom support as well as RSI also hit an oversold zone.
Thus getting a positive closing to next week and further extending the closing above Mother line will be very important going forward. Supports for Nifty remain at 23542(Strong Father line Support), 23259, 22801 and 22139. Resistances on the upper side are 23965, 24259, 24417 (Strong Mother line resistance) and 24909 before we again reach 25K+ levels.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Learn Mother, Father and small child theory and Parallel channelThis is an educational video explaining medium to long term analysis of Nifty for educational purpose through my Mother, Father and Small Child theory. I am also trying to explain what happens in the long run, also you will find insights of how to use and draw a parallel channel. I have also done an analysis of Nifty supports and resistances in the medium to long term. We are also trying to understand what can be the channel top in the long run. We are also trying to see how RSI works in brief. The attempt is to explain a lot of stuff in simple jargon free language in roughly 16 minute video so that you get lot of education. It is going to be a power packed 16 minutes once you watch it. Do not forget to like/ boost our video and subscribe our channel.
To learn Mother, Father and small child theory to the deeper extent and to learn about RSI do read my book: The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. The book is also available on Google playbook in E-version.
Disclaimer: Purpose of the video is for education. Do not treat this as a buy or sell call on Nifty. I am just trying to teach / throw light on Mother, Father and small child theory in brief along with the use of parallel channel. Hindi and English both languages are used in the video for wider audience to understand the same.
Nifty near Mid channel & 50 Weeks EMA (Mother Line) support. Nifty after closing below the 200 days EMA Father line on daily charts, may find support near 50 weeks EMA (Mother line of Weekly chart). The 50 weeks EMA is at 23233.
Before reaching there today's low of 23350 will also be a support. If by chance both these levels are broken the mid channel support for Nifty seems to be at at 22800 zone. Below which the bears have potential to drag Nifty further down to 22500 or even below 22K levels. To know more about Parallel channels and how they work or my Mother Father small child theory you can read my book The Happy candles way to wealth creation. Available in Paperback or E-version on Amazon and Google Play book.
Resistances for Nifty on the upper side are at 23658, 24122, 25012 and 25898. Above 25989 Nifty will aim to make a new all time high again as channel top currently seems to be near 27K. RSI is also suggesting that Nifty can make a substantial come back any time now.
Bollinger band lower band width has been pierced today both in daily chart as well as weekly chart indicating that market is heavily oversold and short covering can lead to a moderate recovery or substantial recovery sooner than later. The signs of bottom formation are clear unless FIIs begin another round of aggressive selling. The selling by FII has been continuous but seems to have decreased in the last few sessions rising further hopes for recovery.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
#nifty50 analysis for upcoming week 18-22nd Nov 2024Nifty Takes a Beating: A Deep Dive
Last week, the Nifty 50 index experienced a significant downturn, closing at 23,532, a 600-point drop from the previous week's high of 24,336. The index breached the crucial support level of 23,550, dipping as low as 23,484. Currently hovering near its 50-week exponential moving average (50WEMA) at 23,230, the Nifty is expected to consolidate within a range of 23,100 to 24,000 in the coming week. Wednesday our markets will be closed due to Maharashtra elections so volatility will be high.
As previously highlighted, the monthly chart has weakened, and its impact is already evident. A further correction seems likely before a sustainable bottom is formed. A breach of the 23,250 support level could trigger a deeper correction of 7-7.5%, potentially taking the index down to 21,555. To resume its upward trajectory, the Nifty needs to convincingly close above 24,500 on consecutive days.
The S&P 500 also faced rejection from a critical Fibonacci level of 6,013, resulting in a 2.7% correction to 5,870. A breach of this week's low of 5,853 could lead to an additional 1.2% decline to 5,783. Such a move could intensify selling pressure in global markets, including India.
Nifty at cross road of critical support. Nifty this week gave a closing at 23532 a fraction below 200 days EMA or Father line which was at 23542. It will be imperative for Nifty to close above it within next week for bulls to get out of jail. Closing above 23542 will not be enough as there are many more hurdles to cross for Nifty once it scrambles above 200 days EMA.
If the Nifty is not able to cross above the 200 day's EMA by any chance next week the down side supports for Nifty will be at 23360, 23054 and 22819. Out of these 3 levels, 22819 is the most important support as it is the channel bottom support. This current channel in which Nifty is travelling initiates from May 22. Which means it is a pretty solid final support below which there can be a free fall into intense bear territory. In this case bears can drag Nifty further down to 21840 or 21264 levels.
On the positive side the resistances for Nifty remain at 23864, 24265, 24565 (Major resistance 50 days EMA) followed by 24796 and 25436 levels. Above 25436 we can see a pure Bull Market again.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
30 Months Channel of Nifty suggesting Father line supportThe 30 month channel in which Nifty is travelling seems to suggest that we are near 3 critical support zones. We might see a bottom formation within this week or the next week beginning. Perhaps the pain of retail investors might end soon with chances of sectoral rotation. Let us have a look at medium to long term outlook.
As we have indicated time and again Nifty comes to meet the father line and take ashirwaad of father once in a while this is that phase. Last time Nifty came to take father line support was in October 2023. It has been more than one year now and it was imperative for Nifty to meet the Father line. FIIs helped in the process by selling enmass.
Three Major Supports for Nifty are:
1) 200 day EMA or Father line at 23542.
2) High before Lok Sabha Election Results 23352.
3) Parallel Channel Bottom near 22845.
Either of these 3 levels can be the come back zones.
Three Major Resistances for Nifty going forward will be:
1) 24040 Critical short term trend line resistance.
2) Major Mother line (50 days EMA) Resistance at 24608.
3) Shoulder of the Head and Shoulder Breakdown from where the free fall started 25436.
4) Other important resistances will be at 26277 (Previous All Time High)
5) Channel Top resistance will be in the zone of 27037 to 27705.
To Know more about Parallel Channel and Mother, Father and Small Child theory mentioned in the above message. Do read my book (The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation) available in E-version on Google Play books and Kindle. Paperback Edition is available on Amazon.
Downward parallel channel still governing NiftyThe downward channel still governing Nifty and crushing it at every giving opportunity through continuous selling pressure from mainly FIIs. However Bollinger Bands is starting to suggest that Nifty might be oversold. Supports for Nifty now remain near 23822, 23611, 23380 and 23197. Resistance for Nifty remains at 23968, 24088, 24167, 24388 and 24548. Every bounce so far has been utilised by FIIs to sell. DIIs however are on a continuous buying trail. This fall for long term investors with a horizon of 12 to 24 months can be utilized for wealth creation as Some of the large caps and Selective Mid and small caps are now started to reach mouth watering levels.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty is trapped between Mother line and trend line resistance. Nifty is trapped between Mother line and trend line resistance. The comeback that Nifty made from lows of the day was good. Today's low was 24004 from there the Nifty closed at 24141. The resistance on the way up for Nifty currently seem to be at 24221 (Mother line 50 Hours EMA), 24339, 24541, 24587 (Major Father line resistance 200 hours EMA) and 24700. Supports for Nifty remain at 24086, 24004 and finally 23816. 23816 is a major major support right now holding it from a major few hundred or even a thousand point fall. All is good till we do not get a closing below this point. Shadow of the candle right now looks neutral to positive.
To know more about stop losses, trailing stop losses, Profit booking and investment, financial awareness in general, process of investment in Equity or Mother, Father and small child theory read my book The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation. Many People who have read it consider it as hand book and perfect guide to equity investment. You can read reviews of the book or purchase the same from Amazon. The book is available on Amazon in Kindle and paperback version. I am sure you are going to find it of massive use. Once you have read the book, I assure you that you will become a next level investor.
Disclaimer:
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty Medium to Long Term Outlook. Nifty on a weekly chart seems to be in the consolidation mode. With important geopolitical events that happened around the globe and India Nifty is trying to find a firm footing from where it can launch ahead. The events like Ukraine and Russia conflict, Israel and Iran++ conflict, Indian election results, Haryana assembly elections, US elections proved very volatile for the market. Upcoming events like China stimulus package and Maharashtra Elections will also be key for the direction of Nifty while moving ahead.
Best case Scenario for Nifty right now following the Parallel channel seems to be 27796 towards the mid and end of First quarter of 2025. (We would have to be a pure optimist to think it can reach close to 28K in the next 5/6 months but you never say never).
Median Scenario can keep Nifty range bound and we might find it exactly in the zone that it is right now that is between 24K and 25K.
Worst case scenario for Nifty seems to be between 20 and 21K as of now.(This is a less likely scenario but you never say never).
Major Support Levels for Nifty are at: 23816, 23211(Major Support 50 Weeks EMA-Mother Line), 22711, 21813, 21343 and 20858 (Channel Bottom Support).
Major Resistance levels for Nifty are : 24589, 25241, 25796, 26277, 27120 and 27796 (Channel Top Resistance).
To learn more about Parallel Channels and Mother, Father and Small Child theory read my book. The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation Available on Amazon in paper back and Kindle version. The book is now available on Google Play books in E-version too.
Disclaimer: The views are personal and request you not to take positions based on the above data. The chart and the levels given in the message are purely for the purpose of education.
Nifty unable to break Hourly Channel top corrects. Nifty had reached channel top of the downward channel on hourly chart and was clearly not able to defeat it as evident in the chart and corrected wiping all the gains from yesterday's trump rally. Can it make one more effort to claim the channel top and defeat it is the question. Supports for Nifty remain at 24179, 24073 and 23816. Below 23816 the bears will feel empowered and can drag Nifty down to 23500 or 23200 levels. Resistances on the upper side remain at 24262 (Mother line resistance of 50 hours EMA), 24504, 24559 and finally father line of 200 Hour EMA at 24650.
This will remain a volatile week with major shift in global policies and realignments, FED Rate decision and other Geopolitical events. Keep an eye on situation in the Middle East and Ukraine, Russia front. Positive news will have again empower bears and give another rally like Trump rally seen yesterday. Shadow of the candles is Neutral to negative again. Bond yield, Gold, Silver, Dollar index, Crude can remain volatile while NASDAQ and Dow are in the Optimistic curve. November month will in general will remain volatile and next one week will decide the fate of Indian markets. With FIIs still on selling side and DII on buying side looks like things will remain topsy turvy for Indian markets.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only and views are personal. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Most Global Markets Welcome Donald TrumpMarkets breathed a sigh of relief it seems on the victory of Donald Trump and rallied crossing important trend line hurdle. Now 2 important resistance remain to be conquered before Bulls can claim victory over bears. The next likely resistance levels that bulls will face will be at 24537 and Mother line resistance at 24748. (50 days EMA). Once that is crossed the next likely resistance will be at 25000 and 25217. Supports for Nifty on the lower side seem to be at 24333, 24170, 23816 and finally Father line at 23519 (200 days EMA). Below 23519 in unlikely circumstances the Nifty will fall again in Bear clutch and bear can potentially drag it down to 23201 or 22820. (currently this looks unlikely). Shadow of the candle right now is neutral to positive.
Nifty Analysis: How much more pain left? Where is the bottom?Nifty Analysis:
1) Today's low 23816 is very important level to watch.
2) Next support at 23502 (Father Line or 200 days EMA).
3) Final Major support near 23201(Trend line meeting point and 50 weeks EMA (Major Mother Line).
4) Closing below 23201 has potential to break the hell loose.
5) Resistance on the upside at 24145, 24320, 24506 and 24781 (50 days EMA-Mother Line).
6) Bulls can take control only after we get a closing above 24781.
To know more about stop losses, trailing stop losses, Profit booking and investment, financial awareness in general, process of investment in Equity or Mother, Father and small child theory read my book The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation. Many People who have read it consider it as hand book and perfect guide to equity investment. You can read reviews of the book or purchase the same from Amazon. The book is available on Amazon in Kindle and paperback version. I am sure you are going to find it of massive use. Once you have read the book, I assure you that you will become a next level investor.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Mother Line, Trend line and other resistnace up ahead to watch.Before Nifty can fly further there are some important resistances to be crossed in the near by zone are 24368 that is the high of Muhurat day, Mother line resistance at 24391, Trend line resistance near 24400. After closing above 24400, Nifty can quickly reach 24505 or even 24601 in a short time. Supports for Nifty are at 24280, 24239, 24172 and 24142. Final support for Nifty is in the range of 24069 below which bears can create further havoc. Shadow of the candle is slightly positive but FII's deep selling is making the investors vary and fearful this does not include DIIs as of now but below certain level even they can start to give in if things do not improve. Shadow of the candle is slightly positive.
FIIs continue to weigh in on Nifty Index. Unblemished sell off from FIIs has dampened the festive mood of investors in the Indian markets. Looks like there was not much support for DIIs today as Retails investors might be busy with Diwali festival so FIIs today had a clear upper hand. There are signs of bottom formation and Higher high higher low pattern is formed on Nifty. Unless we have a closing below 24172 or 24069 levels, I think the things will hold. If we get a closing below 24K bears and FIIs can push Nifty further down to 23.8K or 23.2K levels. Thus supports for Nifty are at 24172, 24142 and 24069 levels. Resistances for Nifty remains at 24242, 24370, 24395, 24505, 24601, 24702 and finally 24811 levels.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
50 Hours EMA and Trendline resistance again stop Nifty progressAgain The Mother line (50 Hours Resistance) and trendline resistance threw spanner in the growth effort of Nifty. Till Mother line and trendline thereafter is not crossed we can't reach Father line resistance which is at 24853. Supports for nifty remain at 24307, 24173 and finally 24073. Below 24073 Nifty will become very weak and bears will spell further doom. Resistances on the upper side remain at the zone between 24448 and 24513 (tough to conquer Mother line and Trend line resistance respectively), 24613, 24730 and 24853. Above 24853 the critical resistance will be the zone between 24860 and 24971. Bulls can come back into the game after the close above 24971. Above 24971 Bulls can create an upward rampage. Tomorrow is a very critical day where Nifty going into November needs to close above 24513 or atleast above 24448. Signs are looking little difficult for Nifty with a negative shadow of the candle but festive buying can bring back the bulls in action hopefully. .
To know more about Techno-Funda investment, Mother-Father and Small Child theory, Happy Candles Number read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation. Gift it to yourself or your special ones this festive season.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
U shape recovery on cards for Nifty. There is a chance of U shape recovery on Nifty if it is able to beat Mother and father line resistance. Today we saw a swift recovery by Nifty after making a low of 24140. Nifty closed at 24466. That was a recovery of 326 points which is quite remarkable. The only negative point was the close which is 2 points below the Mother line resistance of 50 Hours EMA at 24468. With this close if we can get an opening above Mother line tomorrow and if Nifty sustains above it we can see further swift recovery till Father line of 200 Hours EMA which is at 24887 with a trend line resistance at 24613.
Nifty Resistances remain at: 24468 (Strong Mother Line Resistance) , 24613(Strong Trend Line Resistance), 24887 (strong Father Line resistance), 24917 and 25204. Above 25204 Bulls can come back aggressively.
Nifty Supports Remain at: 24349, 24173 and 24073. Below 24073 Bears can get very aggressive in dragging the market downwards.
To know more about Mother, Father and Small child theory and it's correlation to stock price and 50 and 200 days EMA read my book. The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Technical bounce in Nifty today, recovery can be a long processToday what we saw can be called as technical recovery by Nifty in the process of bottom formation. Actual recovery can still be a long process. Bulls can be back inn business only if we get a closing above mother line of 50 days EMA that is at 24898. 24898 is a critical level because mid channel resistance for the current parallel channel as well as Mother line. Whether Nifty can weather the storm and move ahead is only a question which time will answer in the short term. Long term investors can see current situation as partial entry zone for large and mid-caps which have given a good result this quarter or are giving a good result.
Supports for Nifty remain at: 23865, 23684, 23464 (Father line Strong support 200 days EMA) and 23626 (Strong Parallel Channel Bottom Support).
Resistances for Nifty Remain at: 24492 (Today's high and strong Trend line resistance), 24679, 24898 (Strong Mid-channel and Mother line resistance of 50 days EMA), 25221 and 25623.
Strong momentum and positive action has potential to take Nifty back to 26K+ levels. As on date even after strong resilience shown by Nifty FIIs are still on the selling side as they were net sellers of Equity worth Rs.3228 Crores. DIIs and Retail investors have been on the buying side at every dip. This is what is not allowing the Nifty to fall currently beyond 200 days EMA. Let us see who given in first. Very interesting tussle going on between FIIs and DIIs + Retail investors combination. Shadow of the candle for tomorrow is neutral to slightly positive but it is hanging by a thin thread. (Approach for long term should be cautious but positive. Approach for short term is still very cautious as we are not out of deep waters).
Today we received first signals of bottom formation. Today Nifty gave first indication of bottom formation after a long time. Will the bottom hold is a question which only time can answer. Nifty staged good recovery of 107 points from the day's low that was a positive sign. MMI (Market mood index) for Nifty on Ticker tape shows that Nifty is currently in the Extreme Fear zone of 26.5. Usually good money is made when you buy in extreme fear zone and sell in extreme greed zone. The supports for Nifty for the next week remain at 24102, 24703, 23366 and 22821. Resistances for Nifty for the next week remain at 24408, 24547, 24714, 24996 and 25338. Above 25338 Bulls can come back into full action mode and can take Nifty towards 25656 in the best case scenario.
The Critical Mother and Father resistance for the hourly chart are at 24547 and 24966. Critical Mid channel resistance is near 25338. Channel Bottom support is in the zone of 24102 to 24072.
To know more about Parallel channel and my Mother, Father and Small child theory read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in Kindle and Paper back version. You will learn a lot about Fundamental analysis, Candle Sticks analytics, Profit booking and behavioural finance from the book. The book is currently one of the highest rated books on Amazon in the financial analysis and strategy category. I assure you it will be worth every money spent.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Another day another weak show by Nifty. Nifty again could not sustain the highs of the day and ended up in the negative. Nifty on an hourly chart is spiralling downwards in a downward parallel channel. Every bounce even if it is a small one is seen as an opportunity to sell specially by the FIIs. Even today the signs or signals for bottom formation are not visible.
To know more about a parallel channel do read my book the Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation available on Amazon in paperback and Kindle version.
One thing is for sure upward curve also starts out of nowhere just like the downward slide started out of nowhere so there is no need to sweat about it as the Macros for India remain healthy. Dollar index gaining more and more strength is a sign of concern however. Once the Dollar starts to relent we will see a better performance from many sectors. RSI of Dollar index is just starting to touch the overbought zone.
Nifty supports remain at 24370, 24149, 23806 and finally 23111.
Resistance levels for Nifty remain at 24592, 24757 and 25069 levels.
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