Nifty Not sustaining above mid channel support not a good omenNifty Not sustaining above mid channel support not a good omen for the Bull run. Somehow Nifty has to make a comeback in next 2 or maximum 3 days and sustain above Mid channel line which is around 18413 mark.
Right now Nifty als faced a trend line resistance which emancipates from previous top. The zone was too hot for Nifty to handle and it leaped back towards the support of 18323.
Supports for Nifty Will be at: 18323, 18275, 18206 and finally 18068 to 18040 zone. (Major buffer Support). Below 18K Bears start to loose control.
Resistances for Nifty: 18413, 18455, 18525 and finally 18601 (Major Resistance).
Niftysupports
NIFTY Facing Mid-Channel Resistance. Nifty is currently facing mid-channel resistance drawn on hourly candles chart. Taking support at the channel bottom Nifty rose today but was stopped by the mid channel line.
Supports for Nifty remain at: 18267, 18240, 18206 and finally 18119. Below 18119 the major support will be 200 hours EMA at 18018.
Resistances for Nifty will be at: 18341, 18389 and finally 18450 which will be a major resistance. Above 18450 the channel towards 18600 opens up.
Soft Landing of Nifty after Karnataka Election Results. Nifty made a soft landing after Karnataka Election results. Despite Global markets performing well Nifty had a subdued week. After starting the week well, the rally simply could not sustain the upper levels and continued to slide.
Bollinger Band and Daily chart technical analysis shows Friday low of 18060 and 18107.5 as strong support for Spot Nifty. Below these levels if 18060 broken Nifty can slide further to 17873 and 17636. The zone between 17636 and 17675 is strong support buffer zone. Resistance on the upper side will be at 18293, 18458 and 18539.
Nifty took support near 18115 and is trying to bounce from thereNifty took support near 18115 and is trying to bounce from there on the way up 18235 to 18270 zone which wich was a great support will prove to be a strong resistance. If that hurdle is crossed Nifty can travel back to 18308, 18346 and 18384 or even 18400+ staging a V-shaped recovery. Before that happens it is important to cross 18235 to 18270 zone.
Supports at the lower side will be near today's low that is 18115, 18040 and finally 17972. Weekly closing below 17972 will bring smile on the face of bears. In case that happens.
Will Reverse Head & Shoulders Breakout be a success? Market Outlook:
Nifty is on a roll and taking all the negative news under it’s wings and rising like a phoenix. The Mother of all bi-monthly economic events FOMC meet and decision on US Federal Reserve rate hike/Pause and US Fed chief Powell’s comments about the future rate decisions awaits to test its resolve. A positive looking Reverse Head & Shoulder like structure is formed on Nifty Chart as you can see below. We will know later this week if the Reverse Head and Shoulder Breakout is successful or not.
One thing is for sure that corrections are temporary but Indian economy, it’s strength remains intact. It may take time but Indian Indices do bounce back. Long Term Investors should trust the story of India and continue to invest for long term irrespective of whether the current Breakout or current rally sustains or not.
Nifty Supports From Current Level: 18124, 17966, 17888 and 17632.
Nifty Resistances from Current Level: 18180, 18252 and 18441.
Strength of the rally to be tested next week.After the much awaited break out of Nifty which was playing in the range between 17900 and 16900 it is the time for the strength of the rally to be tested. Nifty has to battle some important resistance next week to sail further upwards. All eyes will also be on FOMC meet of US Federal Reserves on 2nd May 2023. I don't want to sound pessimistic but everyone should note that this event has potential to become a party spoiler. (Looks less likely though as rally has crossed some important resistances but you can never really decouple your economy from what happens globally).
Important Supports For The next week: 17973, 17878, 17779 and finally the strong buffer zone of 17473 to 17687. (This buffer zone has multiple supports including 50 Weeks EMA, 50 and 200 days EMA in addition to some other supports).
Important Resistances: 18140, 18268, 18397 and 18481.
Proper Clean Breakout For NiftyWe can expect BOOM BOOM BOOM tomorrow or in the coming week. It is a clean Breakout for NIFTY50. Support Levels are at 17779, 17687 and mega support of 17541 to 17584 zone. On the upper side the resistance are near 17986, 18042, 18272 and 18466. Let us see how far the Fizz can take us tomorrow. More importantly can the Fizz last over the next week too?
Precision of the chart. Look at the yellow circle. The blue line is exactly where the Nifty stopped. That is a strong resistance crossing this resistance we may face next resistance at 17863. Supports on the lower side are the same are 17552 and 17532. If 17532 is broken we may see the levels of 17467 and 17198. For Now everything looks good. Above 17863 we will see resistance near 18092 and 18360. (View remains the same). Nifty following this chart.
Very buoyant forces keeping Nifty afloat and going higher. Nifty on the back of momentum in Small and Mid cap stocks combined with some good results is taking Nifty higher after a week of consolidation. If 17863 is taken down we may see the rally continue to upto 18092, 18360 and above. 17532 to 17552 are strong supports as the levels are 50 and 200 days EMA. If 17532 us broken the other supports are near 17467 and 17198 levels.
Channel Breakout of the trend is being tested. Recently Nifty on 10th April gave a channel Breakout. Since the negative channel upper limit was respected in last 4 months or so this breakout was a major first step towards up trend. Since it was a major breakout Nifty is trying to look back and test it's support zone before it can fly ahead. Major supports zones from where Nifty can re start the up trend again are:
Support Zone 1: 17618 (current level) to 17528.
Support Zone 2: 17424 to 17267. (A close below 17267 will make this current Channel Break out that Nifty saw on 10th April 2023 a failure).
Resistance Zone 1: 17690 to 17856.
Resistance Zone 2: 17856 to 18004.
A major support zone got activated today. Market today saw tremendous selling in IT sector, Services and consumer goods. The market however saw a good recovery of about 132 points from bottom on the back of purchase in PSU, FMCG, Auto and some realty counters. Below the zone from where Nifty bounced today, that is 17574 which is near 50 hours EMA we will have supports near 17454 which is 200 hours EMA as well as mid channel support which is at the same level. The zone between 17529 and 17526 is again a major support as this zone has 50 and 200 days EMA. On the upper side we might face resistance near 17738 and 17782. The zone between 17847 and 17923 is a very strong resistance zone. We can have a range bound week or weeks unless there is some strong news or result which can either pull the index above 17923 or drag it below 17454 levels.
Cup and Handle Formation in Nifty in Progress in the long run.Nifty Outlook: Nifty Looks good for a long haul in the long run. In the short term though Nifty seems a little bit of consolidation before it heads further. RSI on hourly chart shown a need of little bit of strength through consolidation. Which means we may see little bit sluggish end of the week tomorrow as Nifty is already in the resistance zone. This zone might not allow Nifty to escape the clutches easily. But if Nifty does escape this medium term resistance, It can fly ahead with even more power.
Medium Term Resistance zone: 17857 to 18100.
Long Term Resistances: Long Term resistances for Nifty lies at 18446 and 18887.
Medium term Supports: 17614 and 17314.
Long Term Supports: 16828 and 16520.
Long Term Targets for Nifty which it can reach within This year or by Second quarter of 2024 seems to be 19447 or on the upper side 20160. .
Nifty Poised Nicely in the critical Week.Very Important week for Nifty and other global indices as Us Federal Reserve meets tomorrow. Global Market are looking for some respite, pause in rate hike or loosing of the hawkish stance and Global Baking systems are feeling the heat of unprecedented 500bps hike by US Fed in las one year. Positive news on this aspect will be greeted by global markets and we could see an all-round relief rally after the banking catastrophe that we saw around Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse issue. Indian banks and Growth process undoubtable is on a robust path but we can’t alienate ourselves from what is happening around the world. Some analysts believe that in the long run India stands to achieve more from multiple emerging scenarios in the long run. Short term support and resistances for Nifty are at:
Nifty Resistances: 17144, 17225 and 17546.
Nifty Supports: 17061, 16828 and 16723.
200 Days EMA proved to be a great support for NIFTY today.200 Days EMA proved to be a great support for NIFTY today. If Nifty can hold it tomorrow It will have to punch above it's weight again and take down major resistance number 2 that tis 50 days EMA that is at 17809. Crossing 17809 will unleash the Nifty towards next resistances which are near 18016, 18141 and 18267. Supports for Nifty are near 17584 and 17253.
Nifty declining in the squeezing triangle, needs strength. Nifty has been declining within the squeezing triangle needs to gather all the strength available and jump above 17591 first and 17776 to be back in neutral zone. Currently it is in the bear zone or negative territory. Above 17921 will be a trend change and above 18116 nifty will be in positive energetic territory. Bulls can take over only after closing above 18266.
Going and closing below 17353 will be opening proper hell gates for the bears who can take the Nifty to 17104 or further sub 17K levels near 16900 or 16751. (Reaching here is very unlikely for now).
RSI of Nifty is slowly starting to enter a zone from where usually buying starts..
50 and 200 Hours EMA proving to be major hurdles for Nifty. We have been seeing from 25th January 2023 that both 50 and 200 Hours EMA are not allowing Nifty to settle above it. Even if Nifty crosses below immediately. Currently the Nifty is below both 50 and 200 EMAs at 17770.9 indicating immense weakness and lack of confidence of retail investors. FIIs are also on the selling side. Only saving grace has been DIIs stepping in on every major fall to save the index.
Nifty Supports : 17720, 17650, 17494 and finally 17352. 17352 is a critical level below which bears will be dominating the market.
Nifty Resistances : Nifty has to overcome lot of resistance before we can see proper Bull Run in the market. Resistances on hourly chart are at 17794, 17893, 17916, 17975, 18113, 18202 and finally 18264. Bulls can take control of the market only after we have a weekly closing above 18264.
Good Closing by Market but can it continue the momentum?Market did well by closing above the 200 days at 17648 which is well above 200 days Moving average at 17551. Now 17551 will be a major support going forward in addition to 17405 which was today's low. The resistances for Spot Nity are going to be 17710, 17880 and finally 17978 before it reaches a very difficult resistance to cross at 18055. If tomorrow we end in Green and if there is no negative news in the budget market can surprise the bears with a sharp rally towards 18400 or even 18800. Keeping my fingers crossed.
Nifty Outlook 21st November to 25th November 2022Market Outlook :
Market gave a good close on Friday after testing the support around 18029 levels. The close above 18300 is an indication of good strength. Mid-Cap and Small-Cap stocks are staring to looks oversold and might start to form bottom in a week or Two. Nifty has formed a perfect ‘Doji’ candle showing indecisiveness and can break out on either side.
Nifty will be very bullish and go towards All time high above the levels of 18446. Nifty can also break down and search for more supports below 18205 levels.
Important Resistances : 18446 and 18604.
Important Supports : 18205 and 17969.
Tuesday Market Outlook / Nifty Outlook For Reminder of the weekNifty is trying to break free from the bear grip on the basis of Global rebound seen around the indices across the globe. Real bullish break out in true sense will be when Nifty is able to break out and sustain above 17435 on weekly closing basis.
Support for spot Nifty will be at 17026, 16888, 16749 and finally 16461.
Resistance for spot Nifty on the upper side will be at 17270, 17435, 17646 and finally 17910.
Make or Break Tuesday Coming Up.Spot Nifty is just under Double Trend line resistance of 17700. Closing above 17700 will open the wide possibilities of Nifty strolling 18K and regaining the level with confidence. As the resistance is very strong and we are currently at 17665.80 a great thing to happen will be getting an gap up opening above the resistance and sustaining it. If it is not gap up opening and we move with confidence defeating the level it will be even better. Also note that 17590 is a strong 50 hours EMA support.
Resistance levels: 17782, 17844, 17989 and finally 18105.
Support levels: 17590, 17425 and 17338. Below 17338 Bears can fight back and drag the index to lowers 17K or even below it to 16.9 or 16.5K levels.
NIFTY NEXT WEEK trapped between resistance and supports.It was important for Nifty to end the week above 17570 which was the 50 hours EMA. Ending above 17700 Which is the trend line would have been even better. Ending below them means now these Two lines are important resistances for the next week. Bull run can start only when we get a daily closing above these Two lines. Crossing 17700 the next resistance would be 17782 and 17989. In case we do not get a closing above 17570 and 17700 the supports for Nifty are at 17425 and 200 Hours EMA at 17315. Below 17315 we can see a free fall in Nifty till 17020 or 16773.
17166 proved to be good support in weathering Powell storm17166 proved to be good support in weathering Powell storm. After taking a support at this range we have seen a bounce in Nifty which is nearing it's critical 50 hours EMA resistance. It can also be seen in the chart that this zone is mid channel resistance for the channel ini which Nifty is travelling from around 10th of june. Immediate Supports and resistances are:
Supports of Nifty : 17495, 17392 and 17259, 17166 and 17026. Final support should be considered at 16950.
Bear Grip of Nifty can strengthen below : 16723.
Resistances of Nifty : 17548, 17589 and 17736.