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Medium Term Nifty Outlook. 24869 proving to be strong resistance for Nifty. If this range is crossed the next resistance will be near 24949 and previous high of 25078. The major support zone is between 24657 and 24738. Right now Nifty is sandwiched between this zone and major move can be seen only after we get a closing above or below these two levels. The top of the trend seems to be near the previous high of Nifty that is 25078. If and when we get a closing above 25078 (Weekly closing). The next target which is also a channel top for Nifty will be near 25411. If we get a closing below 24657 the next major supports will be near 24437, 24120 and finally 23893. Below 23893 there will be weakness and bears can take over the market. Shadow of the candle right not is slightly green in colour (positive).
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty at mid channel support trying to cool down RSI. Nifty is currently resting on the mid channel support and is trying to cool down overheated RSI. This consolidation is necessary before it can march further. Earlier in the day RSI had reached over heated zone of 75+. Currently the RSI has cooled down to 67.89. Further consolidation will be good for the market before it's next leap towards 25K+ again. The new channel top seems to be near 25.41K. In the medium to long run the Nifty has potential to reach anywhere between 25.8K to 26.32K within this year or within this financial year. Supports for Nifty currently are near: 24738, 24652, 24601 and 24409. 23893 will be a critical support closing below which the Nifty rally can turn bearish. Resistances For Nifty on the upper side are at: 24869, 24949, 25078 and finally Channel top resistance near 25411. Closing above 25411 will open our gates for new target which can be anywhere between 25.8K to 26.32K.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Combination of Fibonacci and trend lines and Parallel Channel. We will try to look at Nifty with the combination of Fibonacci, Parallel Channel and Trend lines and few other parameters to get the outlook for short to medium term on Nifty. Combination of various parameters mentioned above indicate that Door For Nifty reaching 26K+ within this year might have already opened. Various resistances on the way will be at 24783, 24874 followed by strong resistance of the previous high of 25078. Once we get a weekly or a monthly closing above 25078 the next resistances will be at 25410, 25839 and finally 26321 (Within this year or within this financial year). Supports for Nifty will be at 24643, 24517, 24324 and finally 24115. Below 24115 the final support for Nifty will be at 23893. Below this level the bull rally will be over and bears can take control of the market.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Gap generated on 5th August Finally Filled today. Gap generated due to gap down opening of 5th August is finally filled today. It is not necessary that all gaps either on the way up or on the way down are filled every time. As there are different type of gaps and different timings of gaps / intervals etc there are many factors which create loop holes in the gap theory. We will discuss that some other time. Gap Theory is a subject in itself. The supports for Nifty now are at 24517, 24324 and finally 24088. Resistances for Nifty in the short to medium term are at 24736, 24857, 24950 and 25080.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Mother line yet again supports and zone 24340 to 24382 resists.Mother line yet again comes to rescue of Nifty after the zone between 24340 and 24382 stops the growth of Nifty yet again. Once this zone is crossed only then Bulls can breath easily. Trend line resistance has also come into effect with absolutely no room for Nifty to go. So there should be a breakout in Nifty in either direction tomorrow. Shadows of the candles are green and positive due to the mother line support at 23983. So hopefully the breakout should be on the positive side. Resistance levels 24340, 24382, 24584 and 24714. The supports on the lower side are 24075, 23983 and 23673.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Good bounce back by Nifty after Mother Line confirms support. Good bounce back by Nifty after Mother Line confirms support. But we are still not out of the woods as there is a resistance zone near high of the today that is 24337 and 24382. (This is the resistance created by the gap down opening on 5th August. The starting and ending point of Such massive gaps always acts as a resistance zone while going up. The best way to cross this resistance will be a gap up opening. 24483 is another point which was the starting of this gap which will also act as a resistance on the way up. Once that is crossed we can look forward to reaching the next resistance levels of 24584 and 24714. Supports on the lower side for Nifty are at 24183, 24075 and 23978 (Mother Line 50 day's EMA). Below this level only two supports remaining will be 23912 and 23673. We can again be in this unlikely zone as of now only if there is some major bad news overnight otherwise shadow of the candles is looking positive. The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Mother line again came to rescue Nifty but can it hold?Mother line or 50 days EMA again comes to rescue of Nifty today. There was a huge selling pressure when the Nifty reached day's high that is 24382. Market has closed at 23992 and the 50 days EMA is at 23965. As of now 50 days EMA is respected but the mood seems to be sell on rise so the support is becoming weaker. If 50 days EMA or Mother line is broken on closing during the reminder of the week. There can be increased pressure on Bulls as Bears will try to explore further supports. Supports for Nifty as of now seem to be at 23965 (Important Mother line support 50 day's EMA), 23673 and 23362. The zone between 22788 and 22259 is very important as of now. 22259 is 200 day's EMA or father line support, 22641 is the channel bottom support and 22788 is an important support of bottom of the big candle formed on 7th June. Resistance for Nifty remain at zone between 22214 and today's high of 22384. If you want to know more about Mother father and small child story and how 50 and 200 day's EMA play the role of mother and father you need to read the book The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation written by me and available on Amazon in Kindle and Paperback version. This will be a big resistance to cross as above it is gap formed by gap down opening of 5th August. If this gap is crossed the next resistance will be at 24714. Shadow of the candles is red still. RSI 40 and Mother line saved the day today let us see if these levels can hold. If these levels are held upside is possible. The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Mother Line comes to rescue for the Nifty today but can it hold?Mother Line or the 50 days EMA comes to rescue for the Nifty today but can it hold? It looks little difficult due to the global Bear onslaught. In such situations we know from the Father, Mother and the small Child story that mostly Father line of 200 days EMA can provide proper support. However before we reach there and not necessarily we reach there as there are some important supports for Nifty. The other supports for Nifty from where it can potentially make a turnaround seem to be at: 23963 (Mother Line provides support again / Support confirmation), 23673 is the mid channel support, 22788 to 22641 is also a good support zone. Below 22641 we have Father line support at 22242. Final support for Nifty is 21879. Resistances on the upper side are now at 24214, 24342 and 24714. Shadow of the candles are still dark red. To know more about the father, mother and small child story read my book The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation available on Amazon in Paperback and E-book version. The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Major Global Events unfolding. Be Alert!Major Global Event 1): Conflict in the Middle East is heating up with possibility of direct conflict between Iran and Israel increasing by every hour. Major Global Event 2): Japan has increased the interest rate by 0.25%. This is just the second hike in 17 years. Now US FED increases or decreases rates to control and Monitor inflation this happens and it has global consequences. Similarly Bank of Japan's move is huge. The money that Japanese investors were investing (And Japan has big investors) was almost at 0 to negligible interest rate. Now there is a possibility that they sell big across the globe. Consequences on Indian Market: India is in much better position to tackle these events economically but still we can not be immune to such events of mass scale. There is a very big chance of temporary effect on Indian indices. Over the long run these uncertainties will have less effect. In the medium to long run India is a bull market and will remain so. Panic selling should be avoided but keep your stop losses in place to protect the capital. Keep Trailing stop losses in place to guard your profits. Cash and money in hand is also a good position sometimes in the market. Nifty Supports Remain at: 24407, 23960 is the 50 Days EMA or mother line, 23283 and 22224 is the 200 days EMA or Father line. Below this line Bears can absolutely over power Bulls. Final Support For Nifty will be at 21879. Nifty Resistances remain at: 24904, 25037 and recent high of 25078. This message is not to instill fear or knee jerk reaction but it aims to make you conscious about the Macro events that can affect your portfolio. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
As mentioned yesterday Profit Booking was seen post new High. As we had discussed in yesterday's message after making a new high of 25078 there was strong profit booking in many stocks specially Mid, Small and Micro caps. Market breadth turned negative with 784 advances Vs 1588 declines. This is a natural phenomenon and we cant surely say how long the profit booking can go on. Nifty actually did well to close above 25K at 25010. 25037 was mentioned as a strong resistnace. Nifty momentarily went above it but could not sustain the levels. Nifty made a low of 24956 and bounced back. We had again indicated that 24957 was a good support. (yesterday's Message). Same level is the key as Nifty can again try to confirm it's bottom for consolidation. In case 24957 is it's temporary bottom Nifty can rise further and again take an aim at closing above previous high of 25078. Supports for Nifty remain at 24957, 24887 and the zone between 24833 and 24806(Mother line). If we get a closing below 24806, 24773 or 24661 might come in play. Resistances for Nifty remain at 25037, 25078 and 25116. The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Good Positive move by Nifty today trying to clear deck for 25K.Good Positive move by Nifty today trying to clear deck for 25K. Nifty right now is in no mood to stop but traders and investors should be very clear with the stop losses and Trailing stop losses as we have seen that when a new Peak or significant Psychological target is achieved there can be a bout of profit booking. Nifty may again dive downwards to find and confirm it's significant support. Investors should keep this in mind. Supports For Nifty right now seem to be near: 24942, 24887, 24833, 24773, 24741 (Very important Mother Line Support of 50 hour's EMA), below Mother line we have mid channel support at 24661. Below 24661 bears can awaken from coma and have potential drag the nifty till 24496 or even 24375. The final support zone for Nifty is between Father line (200 Hour's EMA) at 24282 and Channel bottom near 24250. Below 24250 can be pure bear territory. Resistances for Nifty remain at: Zone near previous high between 24985 to 24999 crossing which the next resistance will be near 25037. If we get a closing above 25037 Nifty can reach 25116. Major trend top as well as channel top seems to be between 25174 to 25200 range. Trade and invest with caution. Stoplosses are our friends which protect our capital. Trailing stop losses are our best friends which protect our Profits. To know more about Mother Father line and their significance and to learn Techno Funda analysis we recommend you read the book The Happy Candles Way. Which is available on Amazon on paperback version. Kindle version of the same book is also available on Amazon Kindle. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty again tried to conquer 25K but unsuccessful Nifty again today tried to conquer 25K but fell short and reversed from 24971. Twice unable to conquer 25K has formed a temporary Double top type structure indicating weakness not massive but just a little bit. Weakness can creep in if the 24833 and 24773 are broken. Resistances on the upper side remain at 24887, 24957, 24999 and 25037. If 24773 is broken Nifty becomes meaker and then the supports remain at 24676 (Mother Line or 50 EMA Support). 24599 will be the mid channel support. Below 24599 the major supports will be at 24496, 24375 and 24234 (200 EMA support or Father line support.) Below 24234 Bears will totally try to dominate the proceeding.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
24773 is a critical support to watch going forward. 24773 is a critical support to watch going forward. If that support is not broken tomorrow or later this week we can see upside once again with resistances at 24871, 24957, 24999 (today's high) and finally 25037. Supports at the lower side are at as mentioned 24773, 24661, 24606 (50 hour's EMA (Mother Line) merging with Mid channel support. Making this support as another major critical support after 24773. Below 24606 bears will get back to business and can further drag the Nifty to 24496 or even 24375. The rally can turn around and loose steam completely if we get a closing below the final support zone of 24218 and 24186(200 hour's EMA father line). Channel bottom is also round about that area.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Fibonacci sequence drawn on recent peak/bottom shows upsideThe Fibonacci sequence when drawn on recent peak and valley is showing a decent upside still if a major trend line resistance near 24967 is crossed and we get a closing above it. In such a scenario the peak of the current up trend seems to be near 25593. We have got a decent closing above an important fibonacci level of 24707. This becomes an important support now. Below 24707 the significant support levels are 24091, 23931, 23757 (50 days EMA, Mother line)(Read my book The Happy Candles Way available on Amazon to understand more about the Mother father and the small child concept/story.) If we get a closing below 23757, 23400 and 22814 are major support before we hit 200 day EMA or father line at 22088(Below which Bears will be in full power but we are far away from that zone as of now).
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Positive from today: RSI getting stronger, Trendline crossed.Support and resistances for Nifty almost remain the same after action today but the positives are that RSI is getting stronger, Trendline resistance is crossed and an additional support at 24210 is gained. The obstacle still remains at Mother Line that is 50 hours EMA currently at 24455. For Nity to be bullish we need a closing first above 24455 and then above 24525. Supports For Nifty: 24307, 24210 and zone between 24094 and 24074 is very strong support zone as it includes Father line (200 Hours EMA.) Resistances for Nifty: 24455 (50 hours EMA or Mother Line), 24525, 24584, 24686 and finally 24842. Note:- To know more about Father mother and the small child story and it's connection to 50 and 200 EMA read The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
50 Hours EMA (Mother line) and Trend line resistance in playAs discussed in yesterday's video Mother line at 50 hours EMA and Trend line resistance stopping the march of Nifty again. Nifty again nose dived today to confirm support which it found at 25307. After finding the support Nifty recovered again today smartly to close at 24413. Mother line at 24481 and trend line resistance in the range of 24500/24525 range again acted and forced nifty downwards. These resistances are not easy to cross as described yesterday. (To know more about Mother, Father and the small child story (Represented by 50 EMA, 200 EMA and Candle sticks respectively. You need to read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation. Available on Amazon and trending at number 18 in hot new release category. (Business Economics and Strategy). The supports for Nifty are now at 24307, 24274 and 24074(Major support Father line 200 Hours EMA) and yesterday's low. Resistances for Nifty remain at 24482, the range between 24500 and 24525. Closing above 24525 will open the doors for 24584 and 24686.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Market tried to recover after forming a temporary bottom 24362.Market tried to stage a recovery after forming a temporary bottom near at 24362 to close at 24509. The recovery was good 147 points from lows of the day but ended just below 50 hours EMA Mother line which is at 24527. Closing above 24527 can help further recovery. Supports for the Nifty remain at 24465 and 24362. If 24362 is broken the only substantial support will be 24140 and Father line (200 hours EMA at 24021). Resistances on the upper side are 24527 (high and mighty Mother line of 50 Hours EMA also a trend line resistance) followed by 24587, 24660 and 24734. 24854 is the final number to conquer before we can reach 25K. To know more about Mother and Father line resistance/support and other aspects of investing please buy and read The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation. (Book Available on Amazon). With First budget of NDA 3.0 tomorrow there are chances of volatility as market expectations are high and there is also a fear of additional STT. There is also lingering action pending on F&O trades about which both finance ministry and RBI are apprehensive. It will be interesting to see what action is taken on this front. Additionally sectors like FMCG, Health care, Energy, Railway, Fertilizers, Pharma, Speciality Chemicals, Metal and IT also have lot of expectations from the budget. Policy around EVs can also help or disharten Auto sectors. Infra, Defense and Reality space will also be looking at the budget with beating heart. This is seen as make or break budget in many ways for the market with impeding correction looming large. Overall market is expectant with possibilities of lot of sectoral trends emerging from the upcoming budget tomorrow. The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty closed just below 50 hours EMA.Nifty has closed 1 point below the 50 Hour EMA at 24530. (Mother line) - to know about the Mother, Father and Small Child story read The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon. Supports for Nifty now remain at 24509, 24359, 24211 and 23985. (23985 is a very important 200 hours EMA support). Resistances for Nifty will be at 24351 (50 hours EMA), 24599 and channel top resistance near 24854. Hourly RSI has cooled down from 70 which was on 18th July to 42.5. RSI support is at 38.07 and 22 levels these are the two levels after reaching which there can be a chance of a bounce back. As of now shadow of the candle is weak red.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty crosses strong resistance, Medium term target 25K+ open.Nifty crosses strong resistance of 25720 for the first time. This opens the door for medium term target 25K+. Although there are few more important resistances to cross before this happens. The important resistances now are at 24837, 24887, 24937 and 25024. Top of the channel now seems to be at 25243. The support for nifty if it decides to cool the RSI seems to be at 24720, 24593 and 24508 (50 Hours EMA, Mother Line) (To Know about Mother Father and Small Child story - Read the Book Happy Candles Way to wealth creation). Post 24508 the only major support is 24462. Below this level (24462) bears can awaken.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Today's high 24661 a strong resistance point to watch out for. Today's high 24661 a strong resistance point to watch out for. If Nity is not above to close above this level then we can see the fizz of the current rally going out and Nifty can go searching for supports in the short term. If we get a closing above 24661 the top of the trend seems to be near 24726 for now. Supports for Nifty seem to be near 24593, 24526, 24476 and the zone between 24443 (50 Hours EMA) and 24404. Below 24404 closing the bears will get some breathing space and can pull nifty further down.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty returned from an important trend line resistnace today. Nifty touched and returned from an important trend line resistance today at 24635. During the course of day another point at This will be an important hurdle to cross before we reach another hurdle which 24615 also proved to be a resistance. If these two resistances are crossed next resistance will be at 24692. Supports for Nifty are at 24526 and 24476. the zone between 24404 and 24383 forms an important band of support for Nifty as of now.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Market makes a new high and closes near the same.Driven by unexpectedly positive results by TCS, most IT companies jumped in a positive rage and took the index into further unchartered territory making a high or 24592 and closing at 24502. The trend suggest that the peak can be near 24769 if the resistances of 24592 and 24662 are crossed. The supports for Spot Nifty remain at 24490, 24437, 24317 major support 50 Hours EMA (Mother line) and finally 24206. If the support of 24206 is broken there is a very high probability of bears draggin Nifty down to 200 Hours EMA (Father Line) at 23776 with various stops in between. Outlook is still neutral to positive but investors should stay nimble and keep stop losses in place.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment