As mentioned yesterday Profit Booking was seen post new High. As we had discussed in yesterday's message after making a new high of 25078 there was strong profit booking in many stocks specially Mid, Small and Micro caps. Market breadth turned negative with 784 advances Vs 1588 declines. This is a natural phenomenon and we cant surely say how long the profit booking can go on. Nifty actually did well to close above 25K at 25010. 25037 was mentioned as a strong resistnace. Nifty momentarily went above it but could not sustain the levels. Nifty made a low of 24956 and bounced back.
We had again indicated that 24957 was a good support. (yesterday's Message). Same level is the key as Nifty can again try to confirm it's bottom for consolidation. In case 24957 is it's temporary bottom Nifty can rise further and again take an aim at closing above previous high of 25078.
Supports for Nifty remain at 24957, 24887 and the zone between 24833 and 24806(Mother line). If we get a closing below 24806, 24773 or 24661 might come in play. Resistances for Nifty remain at 25037, 25078 and 25116.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Niftysupports
Good Positive move by Nifty today trying to clear deck for 25K.Good Positive move by Nifty today trying to clear deck for 25K. Nifty right now is in no mood to stop but traders and investors should be very clear with the stop losses and Trailing stop losses as we have seen that when a new Peak or significant Psychological target is achieved there can be a bout of profit booking. Nifty may again dive downwards to find and confirm it's significant support. Investors should keep this in mind.
Supports For Nifty right now seem to be near: 24942, 24887, 24833, 24773, 24741 (Very important Mother Line Support of 50 hour's EMA), below Mother line we have mid channel support at 24661. Below 24661 bears can awaken from coma and have potential drag the nifty till 24496 or even 24375. The final support zone for Nifty is between Father line (200 Hour's EMA) at 24282 and Channel bottom near 24250. Below 24250 can be pure bear territory.
Resistances for Nifty remain at: Zone near previous high between 24985 to 24999 crossing which the next resistance will be near 25037. If we get a closing above 25037 Nifty can reach 25116. Major trend top as well as channel top seems to be between 25174 to 25200 range.
Trade and invest with caution. Stoplosses are our friends which protect our capital. Trailing stop losses are our best friends which protect our Profits. To know more about Mother Father line and their significance and to learn Techno Funda analysis we recommend you read the book The Happy Candles Way. Which is available on Amazon on paperback version. Kindle version of the same book is also available on Amazon Kindle.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty again tried to conquer 25K but unsuccessful Nifty again today tried to conquer 25K but fell short and reversed from 24971. Twice unable to conquer 25K has formed a temporary Double top type structure indicating weakness not massive but just a little bit. Weakness can creep in if the 24833 and 24773 are broken. Resistances on the upper side remain at 24887, 24957, 24999 and 25037. If 24773 is broken Nifty becomes meaker and then the supports remain at 24676 (Mother Line or 50 EMA Support). 24599 will be the mid channel support. Below 24599 the major supports will be at 24496, 24375 and 24234 (200 EMA support or Father line support.) Below 24234 Bears will totally try to dominate the proceeding.
24773 is a critical support to watch going forward. 24773 is a critical support to watch going forward. If that support is not broken tomorrow or later this week we can see upside once again with resistances at 24871, 24957, 24999 (today's high) and finally 25037. Supports at the lower side are at as mentioned 24773, 24661, 24606 (50 hour's EMA (Mother Line) merging with Mid channel support. Making this support as another major critical support after 24773. Below 24606 bears will get back to business and can further drag the Nifty to 24496 or even 24375. The rally can turn around and loose steam completely if we get a closing below the final support zone of 24218 and 24186(200 hour's EMA father line). Channel bottom is also round about that area.
Fibonacci sequence drawn on recent peak/bottom shows upsideThe Fibonacci sequence when drawn on recent peak and valley is showing a decent upside still if a major trend line resistance near 24967 is crossed and we get a closing above it. In such a scenario the peak of the current up trend seems to be near 25593. We have got a decent closing above an important fibonacci level of 24707. This becomes an important support now. Below 24707 the significant support levels are 24091, 23931, 23757 (50 days EMA, Mother line)(Read my book The Happy Candles Way available on Amazon to understand more about the Mother father and the small child concept/story.) If we get a closing below 23757, 23400 and 22814 are major support before we hit 200 day EMA or father line at 22088(Below which Bears will be in full power but we are far away from that zone as of now).
Positive from today: RSI getting stronger, Trendline crossed.Support and resistances for Nifty almost remain the same after action today but the positives are that RSI is getting stronger, Trendline resistance is crossed and an additional support at 24210 is gained. The obstacle still remains at Mother Line that is 50 hours EMA currently at 24455. For Nity to be bullish we need a closing first above 24455 and then above 24525.
Supports For Nifty: 24307, 24210 and zone between 24094 and 24074 is very strong support zone as it includes Father line (200 Hours EMA.)
Resistances for Nifty: 24455 (50 hours EMA or Mother Line), 24525, 24584, 24686 and finally 24842.
Note:-
To know more about Father mother and the small child story and it's connection to 50 and 200 EMA read The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
50 Hours EMA (Mother line) and Trend line resistance in playAs discussed in yesterday's video Mother line at 50 hours EMA and Trend line resistance stopping the march of Nifty again. Nifty again nose dived today to confirm support which it found at 25307. After finding the support Nifty recovered again today smartly to close at 24413. Mother line at 24481 and trend line resistance in the range of 24500/24525 range again acted and forced nifty downwards. These resistances are not easy to cross as described yesterday.
(To know more about Mother, Father and the small child story (Represented by 50 EMA, 200 EMA and Candle sticks respectively. You need to read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation. Available on Amazon and trending at number 18 in hot new release category. (Business Economics and Strategy).
The supports for Nifty are now at 24307, 24274 and 24074(Major support Father line 200 Hours EMA) and yesterday's low.
Resistances for Nifty remain at 24482, the range between 24500 and 24525. Closing above 24525 will open the doors for 24584 and 24686.
Market tried to recover after forming a temporary bottom 24362.Market tried to stage a recovery after forming a temporary bottom near at 24362 to close at 24509. The recovery was good 147 points from lows of the day but ended just below 50 hours EMA Mother line which is at 24527. Closing above 24527 can help further recovery. Supports for the Nifty remain at 24465 and 24362. If 24362 is broken the only substantial support will be 24140 and Father line (200 hours EMA at 24021). Resistances on the upper side are 24527 (high and mighty Mother line of 50 Hours EMA also a trend line resistance) followed by 24587, 24660 and 24734. 24854 is the final number to conquer before we can reach 25K. To know more about Mother and Father line resistance/support and other aspects of investing please buy and read The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation. (Book Available on Amazon).
With First budget of NDA 3.0 tomorrow there are chances of volatility as market expectations are high and there is also a fear of additional STT. There is also lingering action pending on F&O trades about which both finance ministry and RBI are apprehensive. It will be interesting to see what action is taken on this front. Additionally sectors like FMCG, Health care, Energy, Railway, Fertilizers, Pharma, Speciality Chemicals, Metal and IT also have lot of expectations from the budget. Policy around EVs can also help or disharten Auto sectors. Infra, Defense and Reality space will also be looking at the budget with beating heart. This is seen as make or break budget in many ways for the market with impeding correction looming large. Overall market is expectant with possibilities of lot of sectoral trends emerging from the upcoming budget tomorrow.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty closed just below 50 hours EMA.Nifty has closed 1 point below the 50 Hour EMA at 24530. (Mother line) - to know about the Mother, Father and Small Child story read The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon. Supports for Nifty now remain at 24509, 24359, 24211 and 23985. (23985 is a very important 200 hours EMA support). Resistances for Nifty will be at 24351 (50 hours EMA), 24599 and channel top resistance near 24854. Hourly RSI has cooled down from 70 which was on 18th July to 42.5. RSI support is at 38.07 and 22 levels these are the two levels after reaching which there can be a chance of a bounce back. As of now shadow of the candle is weak red.
Nifty crosses strong resistance, Medium term target 25K+ open.Nifty crosses strong resistance of 25720 for the first time. This opens the door for medium term target 25K+. Although there are few more important resistances to cross before this happens. The important resistances now are at 24837, 24887, 24937 and 25024. Top of the channel now seems to be at 25243. The support for nifty if it decides to cool the RSI seems to be at 24720, 24593 and 24508 (50 Hours EMA, Mother Line) (To Know about Mother Father and Small Child story - Read the Book Happy Candles Way to wealth creation). Post 24508 the only major support is 24462. Below this level (24462) bears can awaken.
Today's high 24661 a strong resistance point to watch out for. Today's high 24661 a strong resistance point to watch out for. If Nity is not above to close above this level then we can see the fizz of the current rally going out and Nifty can go searching for supports in the short term. If we get a closing above 24661 the top of the trend seems to be near 24726 for now. Supports for Nifty seem to be near 24593, 24526, 24476 and the zone between 24443 (50 Hours EMA) and 24404. Below 24404 closing the bears will get some breathing space and can pull nifty further down.
Nifty returned from an important trend line resistnace today. Nifty touched and returned from an important trend line resistance today at 24635. During the course of day another point at This will be an important hurdle to cross before we reach another hurdle which 24615 also proved to be a resistance. If these two resistances are crossed next resistance will be at 24692. Supports for Nifty are at 24526 and 24476. the zone between 24404 and 24383 forms an important band of support for Nifty as of now.
Market makes a new high and closes near the same.Driven by unexpectedly positive results by TCS, most IT companies jumped in a positive rage and took the index into further unchartered territory making a high or 24592 and closing at 24502. The trend suggest that the peak can be near 24769 if the resistances of 24592 and 24662 are crossed. The supports for Spot Nifty remain at 24490, 24437, 24317 major support 50 Hours EMA (Mother line) and finally 24206. If the support of 24206 is broken there is a very high probability of bears draggin Nifty down to 200 Hours EMA (Father Line) at 23776 with various stops in between. Outlook is still neutral to positive but investors should stay nimble and keep stop losses in place.
Good Support taken by Nifty today but trendline resistance loomsNifty today took a support at 24141 and market a recovery where it closed at 24324. If Nifty is able to close or hold above 24353 there can be recovery which can lead to Nifty going as high as 24403 or 24461. If and when we get a closing above 24461 we can think of crossing 24500 and hitting a high of 24520 for now. If the resistance of 24353 is not corseed and we do not get a closing above it Nifty can again go fetching a support. The support for Nifty are at 24286, 24243 (50 hours EMA)(Strong Support), 24141 and 24054. Below 24054 Bears can stake a claim and pull the Nifty further down.
Nifty in a parallel channel is nearing Fibonacci resistanceNifty 50 in a parallel channel drawn on hourly candles is indicating that it might be nearing an important Fibonacci resistance of 24463. Before reaching there it needs to clear today's high that is 24443. Thus the zone between 24443 and 24463 is a huge resistance. One way to clear it would be a gap up opening tomorrow. If that is not possible tomorrow and for the reminder of the week Nifty can be under selling pressure. If 24463 is cleared the next resistance that it will face will be 24544. In case of correction and consolidation the supports will be provided by the levels of 24400, 24362, 24318 (Important Mother line support of 50 Hours EMA) and 24284. Below 24284 Nifty becomes weak and Bears can drag it to the levels of 24242 or even 24169. Further downfall will bring bears into more action and retail investors and DII can go into a full blown profit booking mode.
Disclaimer: Please do not trade based on this levels of spot nifty. This post is just for education. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.
Nifty Next Week: Clash between Bulls and Bears Could Continue. Clash between Bulls and Bears Could Continue into Next week. while bulls will try to break this week's high of 24401 and Bears will try their best to bring the index down and gain some ground to breathe. It will be a tussle to watch out for with bulls having an upper hand as of now but situation can change in a jiffy. So we should have our stop losses in place and trailing stop losses also in place while we enjoy the upward ride. Very important week ahead which may decide the trend for rest of the month.
Important support levels for Nifty will be as under:
The zone between 24237 and 23967 has multiple supports including the 50 hours EMA at 24133. Below 23967 closing Nifty becomes weak and 23667 or 23531 are also possible. 23531 will be the most critical support as it is the 200 Hours EMA. Below 23531 the only substantial support will be at mid-channel which is around 23293. Below 23293 Bears can snatch the control of the market completely.
Important Resistance levels:
24401 to 24408 are most important resistances to watch out for. Above 24408 the levels of 24606 are possible which is the trend top as of now.
Disclaimer: Please do not trade based on this levels of spot nifty. This post is just for education. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.
Nifty made a high near our predicted top yesterday.As predicted the current top seems to be around 24408. Nifty reached round about there, made a high of 24401 and closed at 24302 which is 98.85 points down. The resistnace remains the same and supports remain the same. In fact there is a very weak additional support now at 24396 followed by 24236. Other supports for Nifty remain in the range between 24144 and 24088 (Mother Line 50 hours EMA). Below 24088 Nifty will be weak and only major support remaining will be between 23983 and 23807 before Nifty hits 23477 (Which is 200 Hours EMA). Below 23477 Bears will gain more ground and solid momentum.
One more hurdle crossed, Very little room left at the top. One more major hurdle crossed by Nifty and very little room left at the top. Unless there is a channel top breakout. The final resistance remaining before we have a channel top break out is 24408. Today the hurdle of 24236 was closed by a gap up opening the same level was tested as well so now it will act as a support. Other supports for Nifty remain in the range between 24054 and 24010 (Mother Line 50 hours EMA). Below 24010 Nifty will be weak and only major support remaining will be 23807 before Nifty hits 23416 (Which is 200 Hours EMA). Below 23416 Bears will gain more ground and solid momentum.
Nifty almost flat in but moving in a tight range. Nifty is moving in a tight range. On higher levels there is Profit booking as it falls there is buying. Perfect Bull bear tussel at play. during the tussel Nifty has found a new support of today's low at 24054. Also extended it's resistance to 24236. If we get a closing above 24236 the Channel top currently looks near 24350 to 24408 range. There is a possibility of Channel top resistance as well as channel breakout. If there is a break out we will give new targets then but supports for now are 24054, 24986, 23925 (Mother Line Support) 50 hours EMA and 23807. Resistance being at 24180, 24236 and 24408.
Today's high will be an important resistance. Today's high of 24164 will be an important resistance. Closing above 24164 can open the door for 24322. 24322 is a very important channel top and trend top resistance. As there is very less room left towards the top and Nifty is delicately placed on the trend line.
There are 2 things that can happen when and if the Nifty reaches channel top. There can be channel top breakout or there can be channel top resistance can come into effect and there can be consolidation and correction.
If there is a correction or consolidation the support levels for Nifty will be 23982, 23859 Important 50 hours EMA (Mother Lines support). If nifty closes below 50 EMA there will be weakness. This weakness can drag Nifty further down to 23679, 23297 or even 23173.(Mid channel Support).
Nifty Next Week: (Short to Medium Term Market Outlook)Nifty is moving swiftly near the channel top. In the short term hourly chart RSI is 58.8 indicating that there might be some strength left in the current rally. However, it is delicately placed between strong resistance and weak supports which indicates correction also might be round the corner. Nifty supports are at 23976 and 23881 both are weak supports. 23777 is a moderate support of 50 hours EMA. (Mother line).
Strong support for Nifty is seen around the region of 23238 which has a dual support of Mid channel and 200 hours EMA. Immediate Resistances for Nifty are at 24130 (Moderate resistance) and there will be a strong resistance near 24322 (Channel top and trend top resistance. It is an interesting scenario where shadow of the candle is absolutely neutral. The dice can turn in any direction keep your stop losses in place. Market mood index indicating is another parameter to judge index and it's direction. Extreme Fear (<30), Fear (30-50), Greed (50-70), and Extreme Greed (>70). Right now the MMI index is at 71.28 indicating we have entered Extreme greed zone. So it is advised to Keep your trailing stop losses also in place.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty Short to Medium term outlookNifty is moving swiftly near the channel top. In the short term hourly chart RSI is 58.8 indicating that there might be some strength left in the current rally. However it is delicately placed between strong resistance and weak supports which indicates correction also might be round the corner. Nifty supports are at 23976 and 23881 both are weak supports. 23777 is a moderate support of 50 hours EMA. (Mother line). Strong support for Nifty is seen around the region of 23238 which has a dual support of Mid channel and 200 hours EMA. Immediate Resistances for Nifty are at 24130 (Moderate resistance) and there will be a strong resistance near 24322 (Channel top and trend top resistance. It is an interesting scenario where shadow of the candle is absolutely neutral. The dice can turn in any direction keep your stop losses in place. Market mood index indicating is another parameter to judge index and it's direction. Extreme Fear (<30), Fear (30-50), Greed (50-70), and Extreme Greed (>70). Right now the MMI index is at 71.28 indicating we have entered Extreme greed zone. So it is advised to Keep your trailing stop losses also in place.