Niftytrading
TRADERSAI - A.I.POWERED NIFTY50 TRADING PLANS for MON 08/03 Hey all,
Our debut message below (published on Thursday, 07/30) explains the notation and how to interpret the trading plans we publish, and who we are in this space. This is the Trading Day-3 of our limited test-launch for the Indian stock market NIFTY 50 Index. Appreciate your feedback and comments.
Good luck with your trading today and have a great week ahead!
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Hey everyone!
After two years of unprecedented growth and consistent performance in the US with daily trading plans on the S&P 500 Index , we are now testing our models on the Indian stock markets with the NIFTY 50 Futures . This is our debut for you all who have been waiting for it!
While we know this would enthrall many readers that have been asking for it, we are cautious about jumping on these trades right away - give these models a few days, see how they perform, and then begin to adapt them to your own trading style and risk appetite. And, please do share your feedback, thoughts, ideas, and suggestions about anything glaring or missing - we are new to the Indian markets and are still trying to learn its idiosyncrasies. Thank you!
Legend:
(i) Use these line crosses on your choice of time frame chart.
Most aggressive - on a 1-minute chart
Moderate - 5 to 15 minute chart
Intraday swing - 30 minute chart
Note that the lower your time frame, the more choppiness and whipsawing you might experience in your results.
(ii) Cross Above (Below) - triggered when the previous close was below (above) the line and the current close is above (below). Aggressive traders may use other criteria such as high crossing the line, close crossing the line without regard to the previous close, etc.
Solid Green Line: Models would go long on a cross above this line
Dotted Green Line: Models would close out a short (buy to close an open short but NOT go long). You can use Close-to-Close basis OR Open-to-Close basis OR Low-to-High, depending on your trading style.
Solid Red Line: Models would go short on a cross below this line
Dotted Red Line: Models would close out a long (sell to close an open buy but NOT go short). You can use Close-to-Close basis OR Open-to-Close basis OR High-to-High, depending on your trading style.
This is NOT an investment advice. This is meant for experienced traders to use as another tool to inform and guide their own trading decisions.
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup for 25th February 2020Hello all ,
corona virus Threat is being worst day by day and it's affecting wold economy. Intraday Trades must be alert in the buy side . Our Harmonic PRZ is on 11684 so index has lot of space in down side . There is 2 sell range
1- 11800
2- If Index shows any up move at first half and reach 11900-11925 then sell from top
Nifty Forecast: Teasing a short-term bull breakout Nifty’s recovery from Rs.10,557 has neutralized the immediate bearish outlook put forward by rising wedge breakdown and the short-term outlook would turn bullish should the price find acceptance above Rs.10,786 (today’s high).
The 50-share index closed 0.19 percent on the day at Rs.10,753, keeping the descending broadening channel intact, as seen in the 4-hour chart below.
The Fibonacci EMAs are beginning to curl up in favor of the bulls. More importantly, 8EMA is located above other EMAs, indicating bullish intraday outlook. .
Further, Nifty is sitting well above the Fibonacci MAs, which are beginning to align in favor of the bulls.
The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is biased to the bulls (above 50.00).
So, Nifty will likely cross resistance at Rs.10,786 on Friday, confirming an upside break of the descending broadening channel - short-term bearish-to-bullish trend change.
However, if Nifty remains trapped in a descending broadening channel, then the focus would shift on the rising wedge breakdown.
The longer the break above Rs.10,786 remains elusive, the more emboldened the bears will become and higher will be the risk of a sell-off to Rs. 10,400 (support of the trendline sloping upwards from February 2016 low and December 2016 low.
View
A confirmation of a descending broadening channel breakout is likely and would open up upside towards Rs. 11,000. After all, the long-term remains bullish while Nifty is holding above the rising trendline (drawn from Feb 2016 low and Dec 2016 low).
Persistent failure to scale Rs. 10,786 would shift risk in favor of a drop to long-term rising trendline support of $10,786. Acceptance below the trendline would validate the rising wedge breakdown (bearish continuation pattern) and signal a long-term bearish-to-bullish trend change.
Nifty- Is Bull Run Over?Nifty is In Downtrend Channel which is formed in Dec 2017.Now Nifty Has broke uptrend channel formed in March 2018. Nifty hAs strong Support at 10466 which is 200 EMA and also 50% Retracement at 10450. So buying can be Seen Near 10450.So This Week I will Wait for this level to Buy and to Short I will wait for 10674-10700. If Nifty Dont Sustain and Break 10450 then 10250 Can Be Seen.
Nifty- What is Happening?- weekly reviewWe have seen profit booking is the last two trading session which was expected. I am still bullish on Nifty and my strategy will be buy on dips still it doesn't cross the H4 Trend line and daily support of 10428.Thanks to Mr. Trump and Syrian controversy that nifty will open gap down on Monday. I will recommend buy on dips.
Recommendation- buy Only near 10425 with the stoploss 10380 For Target 10550
Below 10380 Nifty Will be very week.
Nifty Analysis & outlookThe previous high nifty made was @ 10137 on 2nd August 2017.
Now it is about to test the same high again. There will be strong resistance between 10137 to 10150 (being round number).
If it closes above 10137 - 10150 on daily chart it should be a buy with stop-loss at 10128 (...giving cushion to avoid whipsaws).
If it tests 10137 it may retrace to support @ 9983-10000 before it breaks out of the 10150, which I see at intraday buy opportunity.
To conclude, a break out above 10150 with good volumes would make it a high probability trade (HPT), with great Risk to Reward ratio.
Nifty Analysis and TargetTechnically, Nifty is expected to bounce from support of 9685; and if it successfully does so then the next target would be 10128 for the 5th subwave of the 3rd.
My only concern is the bearish global market sentiment due to geopolitical tensions between US - N.Korea and India-China Doklam standoff heating up.
If the Nifty trades below 9685, I would consider it Bearish; but wouldn't short.
NIFTY July FUT - Elliott Wave Analysis
Greetings traders & readers,
This Analysis for the JULY contract is special because this is a part of our exclusive service Premium trade setups.
To learn more about the Premium trade setup (PTS). click the link below,
www.mytradingcourses.com
Now lets deal with the analysis in weekly time frame and just understand what is happening over there.
We have already discussed that the move from the deep lows have been in the corrective form (triple threes) within the impulse wave 1 in one larger degree and above all we have also given a clear area of resistance & the point of turn, which is what happening currently.
The NIFTY has pierced the area that we have mentioned ( the area around 8333 - 8400 ) and this have been reflected precisely and having done what it is said earlier, lets also find what is about to happen in the near term future for JULY month contract and for the best understanding purposes the analysis have been carried out in daily charts with a detailed video ( which will give a clear perspective over the movements through all this time).
Continued in our website and the same is free,
www.mytradingcourses.com
Feel free to ask for any clarifications through chat / comments in our website ( for instant response) and / or through our trading view Profile.
If you feel that the analysis is worthy, please follow us on trading view to keep yourself updated with us & the markets. we need your support.
Thanks for reading the article
Regards,
Dinesh. R
Senior Technical analyst,
LeadBrains - www.mytradingcourses.com - Trading Education & Training firm
Nifty : False Channel Breakout or Early Breakout ??Let's start with Britain's referendum polls. No one is sure what will be poll results, Its Neck to neck between BRemain & Brexit. What Nifty will do inline with poll results ?
If Bremain happens - Nifty Gap Up ; If Brexit - Nifty Gap Down.
Rare case : There is possibility of Nifty ignoring the result as India has some vested interest in both scenarios
Coming back to charts, we have channeling and price ranging for past few days between 8000 to 8300.
Today the upper trendline broke and we have solid close above trendline. This can be false breakout or early breakout for bullish run, cant say with much confirmation as the channel is still in formation.
If Upper Breakout is valid, then Nifty will try to fill previous gap @8350's but if markets are in full bullish momentum & didnt face any resistance around 8350's , it will straight away go for 8500's - small pullback -then 8600's.
On Downside Nifty has very strong support @8000's,but some valid fundamental thing needs to happen to break this level sooner or later to retest 7500-7700's. After that markets will touch 9000 mark. If 9000 happens straightaway that it will be fragile.
Dont miss to note the double top @8295, which means market can move lower if Double top works.Both these scenario's gets complex with Brexit poll news. So wait till results then look at charts to make a decision.
Please Hit Likes which encourages to post more Idea's...
Happy Trading !
NIFTY JUN FUTURES - Elliott Perspective
Greetings Traders & readers,
ONE Happy news for all, from this month we are about to release FREE insights on NIFTY FUTURES for current contract, in the beginning of every month - starting today...!
As you can see from the chart we are about to discuss the analysis on NIFTY in weekly time frames
but before that lets also take as deep look at the monthly charts over here,
From which one can observe four consecutive months of Rally lifting it from the depressions of 2015
But the entire move as we have discussed is purely corrective in its existence.
Don't you think that the market is up for a correction now and lets have a clear insight about what's happening :
The Wave 1 as it is earlier described in previous Posts have been developing into an Leading diagonal and this consists of corrective waves replacing impulse waves in their respective places, here it is triple threes in weekly time frames as you can see from the weekly chart,
However we have something to be discussed in detail without which the analysis is incomplete and that is to dig deeper in daily charts and we have carried the same in our website with a Video explanation - A freebie, do check it out here,
www.mytradingcourses.com
( few Questions of users are also being answered in the video on Previous analysis)
Our humble request to all visiting our website/ trading view profile,
Please support Us - we are not charging for this analysis and we want to keep it that way, so lend us your hand as support...! share this post if you can, spread the word - a word from mouth is really helpful and like us in FB & Follow us in trading view
Thanks in advance...!
Thank you for reading the article
Regards,
Dinesh - senior technical analyst
LeadBrains FSL - www.mytradingcourses.com - Trading Education & training firm
Nifty - Sum of all factors - An Elliott Perspective
Sorry for the discontinuity as we were engaged in some other obsessions
Now to the Analysis,
You never understand a movie by missing a half of it , so don't miss it
THE LONG AWAITED YEARLY ANALYSIS ON NIFTY IS BEING PROPOSED & the same is gaining attention of all fellow trader. why miss your seat. check it out here,
After that do revisit this ANALYSIS,
Each & every trader will definitely find this analysis compelling to read & understand
The NIFTY has reversed from its 2015 LOW's & the important idea here is that the upward move is definitely not an impulsive rally, it is corrective in nature - which opens the gate for varied options as Elliott has described in the Wave Principle. The corrections at initiation of the trend have been classified as a Leading diagonal Triangle.
Trade Accordingly at each levels of individual waves & at this point....
Thanks for your time
Dinesh -Senior Technical analyst
LeadBrains FSL - www.mytradingcourses.com - Trading education & Training firm
Nifty ::: Expected to Sink ::: Risk CallNifty is expected to sink now.
There are many reason why we feel it may sink.
01. It is already trading below quarterly Target 03.
02. Bearish Engulfing in weekly chart
03. To sink and come near 6943 to 6880
04. Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) clearly states it may sink.
05. RSI(14,CLOSE) Is also of the same view.
06. CCI(20,CLOSE) Is also sinking.
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to sink. As we have budget this week it is a risk to trade Nifty our view is 6943 to 6880. We are expecting this to happen on budget day that is 29 Feb 2016. Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing. [/b