Nifty Wkly Update: Market Cools Off,But Bulls May Regain ControlNifty closed the week at 25,461, down 176 points from last week's close. It touched a high of 25,669 and a low of 25,331—a clear sign of consolidation and short-term correction.
As I highlighted last week, it was a smart move to book partial profits or trail your stops, especially after the strong upmove. And here we are—a healthy pullback, exactly what we anticipated.
But things are about to get interesting...
Reliance, the heavyweight of Nifty, is turning bullish on the monthly chart—a strong signal for potential upside. As long as Reliance remains bullish, it's wise to focus on bullish opportunities only.
Nifty Outlook for Next Week:
Expected Range: 25,000 – 25,900
Strategy: Buy on dips while Reliance stays strong.
Sentiment: Cautiously bullish
Global Cue: S&P 500 Hits All-Time High!
The S&P 500 closed at a record 6,279, up nearly 100 points from last week. If it breaks above 6,284, we could see a rally toward:
6,376
6,454
6,500
6,568 (key level to watch)
However, a break below 6,177 could pull it back to 6,050/6,040.
My take: S&P 500 is in beast mode, and as it climbs, it’s likely to drag Nifty higher too. The broader market is turning bullish—momentum is shifting in favor of the bulls.
Final Thought:
Bulls are loading their guns, and bears might want to take a nap for the next 10–15 days. The trend is your friend—for now, let the bulls enjoy the ride!
Niftytrend
$DXY: New lows begets new lows. $USM2: Why is it increasing? Here we are again with one more TVC:DXY chart analysis. I think the US Dollar does not fail to surprise us week after week. Making new lows every week is giving a boost to the Equity markets. The SP:SPX and NASDAQ:QQQ are at ATH. In my articles on April 18 and June 16
Perfect trade setup: AMEX:GLD to 325; DXY to 95 for AMEX:GLD by RabishankarBiswal
TVC:DXY weakness and EM markets: NSE:NIFTY more upside? for NSE:NIFTY by RabishankarBiswal — TradingView
We have time and again said that in the near term TVC:DXY chart looks weak and could touch 95 by end of July. I think it might be achieved earlier. We have looked at the consequences of 95 handle on TVC:DXY on various asset classes like AMEX:GLD , NSE:NIFTY and EMs. These asset classes are reaching ATH every single week. But we have seldom investigated the reason behind the weakness in $DXY. Looking through my macro charts I found an amazing chart which might explain most of this weakness.
The ECONOMICS:USM2 is almost at 22 T $ surpassing its previous high on March 2022. M2 is basically the total amount of money in circulation in the economy on top of the nominal M1. Higher M2 indicates higher amount of liquidity which is then channelized into riskier assets like CRYPTOCAP:BTC , AMEX:GLD , SP:SPX , NASDAQ:QQQ and EMS like $NIFTY. And with such high ECONOMICS:USM2 in circulation, it is very clear why TVC:DXY is making new lows each week. This can also explain why US Fed is hesitant to reduce rates. With M2 so high US Fed should not hurry.
Verdict: TVC:DXY to 95 by 31 July, Cycle low of 90 by year end. ECONOMICS:USM2 keeps increasing. US Fed stays put.
Nifty in Volatile Range#NIFTY FUT– 25,508.0
S1 – 25,395.0
S2 – 25,348.0
R1 – 25,658.0
R2 – 25,718.0
Doji formation has seen post Red
candle with inline volume,
indicates consolidation on daily
chart. Nifty has closed above 7, 14
and 21 DMA that seen at 25487,
25337 and 25222 levels. Nifty
future has resistance at 25658
levels while support seen at 25395
level..
More support and Resistance Show in chart...
All information Education Purpose only
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 04/07/2025Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up near the 25500 zone. This places it right around the consolidation zone seen in the previous sessions, between 25400 and 25550. If Nifty sustains above 25550, it may trigger a fresh upward move with immediate targets at 25600, 25650, and potentially 25750+. This breakout level should be watched closely for bullish confirmation before entering long positions.
However, if the index fails to hold above the consolidation zone and slips below 25400, it could open the door for a downside move. A short opportunity may arise below 25400, targeting levels at 25350, 25300, and 25250. This would indicate a breakdown from the consolidation and suggest renewed selling pressure.
Traders should remain cautious within the consolidation range and act only on confirmed breakout or breakdown levels.
Nifty facing strong resistance between 25587 and 25500. Nifty today again failed to hold levels above 25500 as it made a high of 25587 and closed at 25405. Closing almost 182 point from its high today and 48 points down from yesterday. This is a worrying sign even if just slightly as for moving towards 26K we need a strong closing of the week at least above the Mother line. Nifty closed just below Motherline today which is showing some weakness in the rally which seems to be losing direction. The fear of Tariffs seems to be taking toll on Bulls whereas bears are currently gaining strength. The closing we get tomorrow will indicate a definitive direction to Nifty.
The Supports for Nifty currently remain at: 25385, 25299, 25177 (strong trend line support) and finally we will have Father line support of Hourly candles which is at 25050. Closing 25050 below will have potential to drag Nifty further down towards 24700 which is again a strong Channel bottom support.
The Resistances for Nifty currently remain at: 25416 (Mother line Resistance), 25470, The zone between 25500 and 25587 is a strong Trend line resistance. A closing above 25587 will have potential to take Nifty towards 25603, 25679 or even 25759 (Which is again a strong Channel top resistance).
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 03/07/2025Nifty is expected to open flat near the 25,450 level, continuing to trade within a consolidation zone. The market has recently shown signs of indecisiveness, with price movement confined between 25,550 resistance and 25,250 support. Until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs, price action may remain range-bound.
If Nifty sustains above the 25,550 level, it can trigger fresh momentum toward 25,600, 25,650, and even 25,750+. On the downside, if it breaks and trades below 25,450, we may see selling pressure accelerating toward 25,350, 25,300, and 25,250.
Nifty took support at the Mother line and trying to recoverNifty has taken support at the Mother line today and tried to post a recovery. Again proving our Mother, Father and small Child theory correct. To know more about the Mother father and small Child theory of stock market. Read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. Nifty during the day made a low of 25378 and closed the day at 25453. It is not a strong recovery nevertheless the recover of 75 points recovery which makes shadow of the candle neutral to positive. Let us see if Nifty can recovery fully tomorrow or Friday to close the week in positive.
Nifty Supports remain at: 25396 (Mother Line Support which is also near the trend line support at 25378), there there is a support at 25245 and finally mid channel support near 25177. Closing below 25177 will make the Bears more powerful and they can drag the index further down towards Father line support near 25108.
Nifty Resistances remain at: 25470, 25528 (Trend line resistance), 25603 and finally 25679. 25759 seems to be the channel top currently in the hourly parallel channel.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 02/07/2025Nifty is expected to open flat near the 25,530 level, right in the middle of the consolidation zone between 25,450 and 25,550. This range has acted as a tight resistance and support band in recent sessions, indicating indecision in the market. A breakout above 25,550 can trigger bullish momentum toward 25,600, 25,650, and even 25,750+ levels, while staying within this zone may continue the sideways trend.
On the downside, if Nifty breaks below the 25,450 level, we may see selling pressure taking it toward 25,350, 25,300, or even 25,250. Traders are advised to wait for a clear breakout from this consolidation band before entering directional trades, and maintain proper risk management given the tight range and potential volatility
NIFTY is Testing its long term Trend Line.I’ve been keeping an eye on the ‘Watch Out’ area and the trend line that’s being tested. I’ve been following this trend line for a while now, and I’m excited to share some potential scenarios that could unfold in July.
Here are a few things to keep in mind:
1. The 25450 - 25550 range could become a key resistance and support area.
2. If NIFTY successfully retests this trend line and shows some upward movement, the next target could be 26000. In this case, I would recommend buying July 26000 Call options.
3. If NIFTY can’t hold this retest (which is less likely given NSE:NIFTY the current bullish market sentiment), our next watchout zone could be 25000 - 24800.
4. We might even be seeing an all-time high NIFTY soon!
Disclaimer: Please do your own research before investing. This is just my personal opinion, and I don’t force anyone to invest based on my ideas.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 01/07/2025Nifty is expected to open with a slight gap up near the 25,550 level, which lies close to a minor resistance zone. If the index manages to sustain above this region, we may see a continuation of bullish momentum with potential upside levels at 25,600, 25,650, and 25,700. Holding above 25,550 would signal strength, supported by recent recovery attempts from lower levels.
However, if the index fails to hold above 25,550 and starts slipping below 25,450, weakness may creep in. A fall below 25,450 could open the door for downside targets of 25,350, 25,300, and possibly 25,250. Traders should stay cautious around the 25,550–25,600 zone for a clear directional move, with strict stop losses on both sides.
NIFTY THIS WEEK? What's the plan
"There’s more hidden in a candle chart than most headlines will ever reveal.”
If you look at this NIFTY chart casually, you’ll see just another uptrend. But if you feel the price — really look into the structure — you’ll notice something deeper:
We’re not just in a rally. We’re in a breakout after base-building. And that’s a very different game.
What I Noticed This Week:
1. Strong Follow-Through
NIFTY didn’t just pop — it’s sustaining gains. Each green candle is following the next without hesitation. That means institutions are buying, not just retailers reacting.
2. Previous Resistance = Gone
Look back at 25,200–25,300. That zone rejected price multiple times. Now? It’s broken clean, with a bullish Marubozu-style candle. That’s a confirmation, not just a fluke.
3. No Panic Selling Yet
Usually, breakouts invite profit booking. This one? Sellers are quiet. When there's no rejection at new highs, it tells you confidence is strong.
But Here’s What You Must Watch:
Are we near psychological exhaustion? Markets can get euphoric and overextend - even in strong trends. Volume Spike or Divergence? If volumes dry or RSI starts diverging, stay alert.
Global cues & Bank Nifty:
If Bank Nifty stalls, NIFTY will slow too. Watch correlation.
What This Means for You:
Trend is strong, but smart traders plan exits in upmoves - not panic in downmoves.
Ask yourself:
Do you have entries based on structure?
Are you overexposed at highs, hoping for more?
Are you following momentum blindly or with plan?
Personal Reflection:
I’ve learned this the hard way:
“Buying strength is good. But riding strength without a stop loss is just greed in disguise.”
So this week:
Observe, don’t chase.
Track - don’t blindly enter.
There’s always another breakout. But there’s only one portfolio.
Nifty goes into consolidation mode to end the month at 25500.Today Nifty went into consolidation mode searching for the supports nearby after a massive upward run in the last week. Even though we saw Nift climbing down 120 points today the closing above 25500 is a good sign. It was a volatile day where Nifty made a high of 25669 and a low of 25473 moving 200 points down. But recovered a bit to close at 25517.
The Supports for Nifty remain at: 25450, 25321 (Mother line Support), 25133 (Mid-channel support). If that is broken the Nifty may fall further towards 24976 or 24956 (Which is the Father line support). Channel bottom seems to be at 24657. If we get a closing below this zone we will comment about further supports on the down side.
The Resistance for Nifty remain at: 24539, 24596, 25665 and finally 25712. (25712 seems to be the channel and trend top. Once Nifty closes above this zone we will be able to comment about further levels on the upside.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 30/06/2025Nifty is expected to open on a flat note near the 25,630 zone. The market has shown strong bullish momentum in recent sessions, and prices are now hovering near the upper resistance band of 25,750. If Nifty manages to break and sustain above the 25,750 level, a fresh upward move can be expected, with targets around 25,850, 25,900, and 25,950+. This could offer good long opportunities, especially above the 25,750–25,770 breakout range.
On the downside, if Nifty faces resistance around 25,750 and starts to reverse from that level, a short opportunity could emerge in the 25,750–25,700 zone. In such a case, reversal targets can be seen at 25,650, 25,600, and 25,550. Support at 25,550 will act as a crucial level to watch.
NIFTY 50 INDEX CHART ANALYSIS FOR INTRADAYNIFTY 50 INDEX CHART ANALYSIS FOR INTRADAY.
here we are seeing of nifty 50 index chart, and one is resistance and one box is support that is yellow color and if price will come to support and then we will try to find of buy opportunity. if support zone breaks then we will plan for sell of nifty and if break of resistance, then we will see big rally.
The Nifty Futures Intraday Trend analysis on June 30, 2025According to my analysis and time cycle study, a Gap Down opening is likely on Monday, June 30, 2025. However, the intraday trend appears bullish. Key support levels are at 25,707 and 25,635, while resistance is seen at 25,788 and 25,808. I consider 25,808 to be a strong resistance level—if breached, it may trigger further bullish momentum.
The magnitude of the gap remains uncertain. These levels reflect my personal analysis and are not guaranteed.
Trading in Futures and Options involves significant risk. Traders are strongly advised to conduct their own technical analysis before making trading decisions.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 27/06/2025Nifty is expected to open with a strong gap up near the 25,750 level, indicating bullish sentiment continuation from the previous sessions. If Nifty sustains above this 25,750 mark, it could trigger a breakout setup. In that case, long positions can be considered above 25,750 with targets placed at 25,850, 25,900, and 25,950+. This zone aligns with a potential resistance-turned-breakout level, and a move beyond it could bring in further momentum on the upside.
On the other hand, if Nifty fails to hold above the 25,750 level and shows signs of rejection, then it may consolidate or experience mild profit booking. Key intraday support lies near the 25,550–25,600 range. A break below this can drag the index down to 25,450 or even 25,250.