Niftytrend
Mid-Channel Resistance on Hourly charts Stops Nifty. The parallel channel is a channel in which the stock or index travels for a particular period of time. The upper frame of the channel acts as a strong resistance and the lower frame of the index acts as a support. Mid channel works in a dual way. If the price or the index level is above the Mid-Channel it acts as support if the price or the index level is below the Mid-Channel the line acts as resistance. Also on the daily chart of Nifty the level of 24212 was a Mother line Resistance of 50 day's EMA. Nifty today made a high of 24196 and retreated from there so it can be safely said that these 2 levels 24212(Mother line) and 24226 (Mid Channel resistance see in the chart will be most important resistances moving forward into the next week and probably full month. There is also a news of HPMV Virus outbreak in China as Trump resumes Presidency. Quarterly Results have already started flowing in and good results are expected this time around unlike traditionally weak October quarter. Additionally we are near the budget and there are news trickling in about relief to the Middle Class. Which can spark a pre-budget rally. So the signals from international market, technical analysis and on the local front. Next week is very important with perspective of full month of January.
Nifty Supports Remain at: 23989, 23902 (50 Hours Mother Line), 23797, 23540 (channel bottom Support) and finally 23279. Below 23279 closing Nifty has potential to fall totally into the bear grip. This does not look likely unless there is a catastrophic global event.
Nifty Resistances Remain at: 24086 (200 Hours EMA or the Father line Resistance), 24226 (Mid Channel Resistance), 24348, 24556, 24779, 24919 and finally 25025 (Channel top resistance).
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 03/01/2025Nifty will open slightly gap up in today's session. After opening if nifty gives breakout of 24250 level then expected strong bullish rally upto 24450+ level in today's session. 24050-24200 zone are consolidation zone for nifty. If nifty gives reversal from the 24200 then possible downside upto 24050 level. This level will act as a strong support for today's session.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 03-Jan-2024
Intro: Previous Day's Plan vs. Actual Chart Movement
In the trading plan for 2-Jan-2025, key levels worked exactly as predicted in plan
Price movement respected these levels, The bullish structure remained intact for the day, with significant opportunities for intraday gains.
Trading Plan for 3-Jan-2025
If Market Opens Gap Up (100+ Points Above Previous Close):
A gap-up opening above the Opening Resistance Zone (24,312) signals strength. Monitor price behavior for consolidation or sustained trading above this level. Sustaining above 24,312 could lead to a move towards the Last Resistance for Intraday (24,559) .
If prices fail to hold above 24,312 and retrace, expect a pullback toward the Opening Support/Resistance Zone (24,159-24,167) .
📈 Action Plan:
Look for long positions above 24,312 after a 15-minute candle close. Use stop loss at 24,167.
Avoid short positions unless there’s clear rejection with bearish confirmation.
📊 Trend Indicators:
Green: Bullish Move Expected.
If Market Opens Flat (Near Previous Close):
Observe price action near the Opening Support/Resistance Zone (24,159-24,167) . Sustained trading above this zone could trigger a move toward 24,312 .
A breakdown below 24,159 would indicate weakness, and prices could test the Opening Support Zone (24,016-24,058) .
📈 Action Plan:
For long trades, wait for price to break above 24,167 and confirm with volume. Use stop loss at 24,016.
For short trades, consider entry below 24,159 with a target of 24,016 and a stop loss at 24,167.
📊 Trend Indicators:
Yellow: Sideways Trend Expected.
If Market Opens Gap Down (100+ Points Below Previous Close):
A gap-down opening near 23,970 or the lower end of the Opening Support Zone (24,016-24,058) might provide a recovery opportunity. Monitor price action for a bounce back to 24,159.
If prices fail to sustain above 23,970, expect further downside toward the Last Intraday Support (23,815) .
📈 Action Plan:
For long positions, wait for recovery above 23,970 with bullish confirmation. Use stop loss at 23,815.
For short trades, consider entry below 23,970 with a target of 23,815 and a stop loss at 24,016.
📊 Trend Indicators:
Red: Bearish Move Expected.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Always calculate position sizing based on risk tolerance.
Use stop-loss orders to minimize losses, especially in high-volatility scenarios.
Avoid overtrading; wait for clear confirmation of price action before entering trades.
For intraday options, consider exiting positions by 3:15 PM to avoid overnight risk.
Summary and Conclusion:
The key levels for Nifty on 3-Jan-2025 are:
Resistance: 24,312 and 24,559.
Support: 24,016-24,058 and 23,815.
Use price action and trend behavior (Green for bullish, Yellow for sideways, and Red for bearish) to guide your trades. Stick to the plan, and prioritize risk management.
Disclaimer:
This trading plan is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Nifty Stages Massive Comeback. But Will The Mother Line Relent? Nifty has staged a massive comeback today on the back of FII buying today. Nifty made a high of 24226 but Mother line Resistance (50 day's EMA at 24221) pushed it back a bit and it ended the day at 24188. If the mother line relents tomorrow and if we can get a weekly closing above 24221 tomorrow Bulls have potential to take the momentum forward into January with a possibility of Budget rally.
The supports for Nifty remain at 23926, 23698 (Father Line Support of 200 day's EMA), 23494 and finally 23238. Below 23238 all hell can break loose and bears will have potential to Pull Nifty further down.
Resistances on the upper side remain at 24221 (Mother Line Resistance of 50 day's EMA) followed by 24389, 24600 and 24876 before Nifty snatches back 25K levels.
Shadow of the candle remains neutral to positive but it can turn neutral or even negative if Mother line resistance comes into play again. The best possibility for Nifty remains if it can get a gap up opening above 24221. This can happen if we get good support from International indices and Gift Nifty tonight. Tomorrow's closing will be very important as it is the first weekly closing for the year.
Disclaimer:
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NIFTY - Hajaari TradeHajaari Trade in Nifty seems active , provided it remains above 24K Level for next 3-4 Days!
NIFTY Staying above our Hajaari (Thousan Level) Trade since 31 Dec 2024.
Perfect Set up for our Hajaari Trade. Let's Ride the trend for 800 to 1k points from last Monthly Expiry.
Eyeing for 25500 Level with Bearish Expiry view this month End.
Let's see how market responds!
This Chart is for educational purpose & not a buy/sell recommendation.
Nifty may remain Bullish this month till 15 Jan, we may see a reversal basis Budget Movements. This is a Big yearly event which result in throwing Technical out of the window.
Technical Analysis may not work on Event Days like Budget, Election, Monitory Policy Review, RBI/ FED Interest Rat Decisions, etc. It is advised to check out Economic Calendar before planning a Trade!
Thank You
NIFTY - Parallel Channel PatternAll details are given on chart. If you like the analyses please do share it with your friends, like and follow me for more such interesting charts.
Disc - Am not a SEBI registered analyst. Please do your own analyses before taking position. Details provided on chart is only for educational purposes and not a trading recommendation
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 02/01/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty. Expected opening above 23800 level. After opening if it's sustain above this level then expected strong upside rally upto 24050 in today's session. Downside will be occurs in case nifty starts trading below the 23750 level. Downside rally expected upto 23550 support level.
BANKNIFTY : Trading plan and levels for 02-Jan-2025WISH YOU ALL A VERY HAPPY NEW YEAR 2025
Introduction
In the previous trading session (1-Jan-2025), we identified critical levels, including the Golden Retracement Zones for buyers and sellers, along with significant support and resistance areas. The actual price action aligned closely with the outlined plan, particularly near the Opening Support/Resistance Zone at 51,096, where price consolidated (yellow trend) before making a move. Trends in the chart followed the predicted behavior: green trends indicated bullish moves, red trends reflected bearish momentum, and yellow zones suggested a sideways market.
Trading Plan for 2-Jan-2025
Gap-Up Opening (200+ points)
If Bank Nifty opens above 51,232 (Opening Resistance), monitor the first 15-minute candle for confirmation.
Sustaining above 51,232 may lead to a bullish move targeting the Golden Retracement Zone for Sellers at 51,659.
Profit booking is advised in the zone between 51,500–51,659, as this area could act as a strong resistance.
If price struggles to hold above 51,232, expect a pullback towards 51,096 (Opening Support/Resistance Zone).
Place a stop loss below 51,096 to manage risk and protect gains.
Flat Opening
If Bank Nifty opens flat near 51,096, observe whether it breaks out above 51,232 or breaks down below 50,902 (Golden Retracement Zone for Buyers).
A breakout above 51,232 indicates bullish momentum towards 51,659. Follow the gap-up scenario for targets and stop loss placement.
A breakdown below 50,902 may result in bearish momentum, targeting 50,665 and eventually 50,235 (Buyer's Support).
Avoid trading within the Opening Support/Resistance Zone unless a clear breakout or breakdown occurs.
Wait for a confirmation candle to reduce the risk of false breakouts.
Gap-Down Opening (200+ points)
If Bank Nifty opens below 50,902, observe the first 15-minute candle to determine whether the price sustains.
Sustaining below 50,902 may lead to a bearish move, targeting 50,665 and further towards 50,235 (Buyer's Support).
If the price bounces back above 50,902, anticipate a recovery towards 51,096. Monitor this zone for possible reversals or continuation.
Place a stop loss above 50,902 for short trades to manage risk effectively.
Avoid entering trades impulsively; let the levels guide your decisions.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
Utilize stop losses to cap potential losses, especially in volatile markets.
Trade with a defined risk-reward ratio; aim for at least 1:2.
Avoid overtrading; focus on quality setups that align with the plan.
Consider theta decay when holding options overnight or during consolidation phases.
Diversify positions to mitigate single-direction risks and preserve capital.
Summary and Conclusion
The trading plan for 2-Jan-2025 emphasizes a systematic approach based on observed levels and trends. Key areas to watch include 51,232, 51,096, 50,902, and 50,665. Use the outlined scenarios to adapt to the market's opening behavior. Green, yellow, and red trends provide clarity on expected bullish, sideways, and bearish movements, respectively. Adhering to proper risk management principles and executing trades with discipline will increase the likelihood of success.
Disclaimer : I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making trading decisions.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 02-Jan-2025WISH YOU ALL A VERY HAPPY NEW YEAR 2025
Introduction
In the previous trading session, we analyzed Nifty's key support and resistance levels for 1-Jan-2025. The chart provided a clear view of potential price movements under various scenarios. Yellow trends indicated sideways movement, green trends represented bullish behavior, and red trends highlighted bearish trends. Based on the chart for 1-Jan-2025, the actual price action unfolded as expected, staying within the highlighted zones and offering valuable insights for traders.
Trading Plan for 2-Jan-2025
Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens with a gap-up above 23,837 (No Trade Zone's upper band), observe the first 15-minute candle for confirmation.
If the price sustains above 23,837, expect a bullish trend targeting the Resistance Zone at 23,998 and further towards 24,068 for profit booking.
Place a stop loss just below 23,837 to manage risk and protect capital.
If the price fails to sustain above 23,837, expect a potential pullback towards the No Trade Zone. Monitor closely for any reversals within the zone.
Avoid taking positions inside the No Trade Zone unless a clear breakout or breakdown is visible.
Flat Opening
If Nifty opens flat near 23,758 (current market price), observe the price action for the first 15 minutes.
A breakout above 23,837 indicates bullish momentum towards 23,998 and 24,068, following the same plan as the gap-up scenario.
A breakdown below 23,699 (No Trade Zone's lower band) may signal a bearish move towards the Opening Support Zone at 23,617–23,640 and further towards 23,537.
Place a stop loss just above the breakdown or breakout levels to manage risk.
Wait for a confirmation candle (closing basis) before entering trades to avoid false signals.
Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens with a gap-down below 23,699, observe the first 15-minute candle for confirmation.
If the price sustains below 23,699, expect a bearish continuation targeting the Opening Support Zone at 23,617–23,640 and further towards the critical support at 23,537 (reversal zone).
Place a stop loss above 23,699 to manage risk.
If the price fails to sustain below 23,699, anticipate a pullback towards 23,837 and monitor for potential reversals in this region.
Avoid taking impulsive trades at open; let the levels guide your entries and exits.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
Always use stop losses to minimize potential losses.
Avoid over-leveraging; trade within your capital limits and risk tolerance.
Monitor implied volatility and time decay when trading options.
Diversify your trades to reduce exposure to single-direction risks.
Stick to your plan and avoid emotional decisions.
Summary and Conclusion
The trading plan for 2-Jan-2025 revolves around identifying key levels and understanding price behavior under various opening scenarios (Gap Up, Flat, or Gap Down). The No Trade Zone highlights areas to avoid unless clear trends are visible. Follow the highlighted trends: yellow for sideways, green for bullish, and red for bearish movements. By employing proper risk management and adhering to this plan, traders can make informed decisions and navigate market conditions effectively.
Disclaimer : I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your research and consult a professional financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyPrice Action :
Nifty opened at previous day's close and tested pivot level finding buying around 23565 levels and rallied almost 200 points till 23775 levels and saw small profit booking. Post noon saw buying around 23700 levels and tested above 23800 and saw small profit booking towards end of the day loosing momentum. If sustained below 23800 can again test 23700-23730 levels and above 23820 if sustained can test 23950 levels.
Trend:
Nifty formed Higher High and Higher Low suggesting Long Trend
Options Data:
23700-800 Puts added Open Interest showing support. 23700 and 23900 CE shedded OI, don't have much resistance till 24050-100 levels.
Futures Data:
Nifty Futures closed positively with Increase in Open Interest suggesting Bullish
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty looks Bullish above 23800 for tgt 24000-24050. (for next wkly expiry)
Positons:
Wait for 30min candle close above 23800 to go long for tgt 24000.
F&O Trading Idea - Nifty & Bank Nifty, INDEX & StocksWe get rejection Trades at these levels. These are highly dependable levels for rejection when approached first (Virgin).
Look out for reversal candlestick patterns like Morning or Evening Star, etc.
Simple things work BEST in market! Rest of the Gyan can be built around it ;)
It works for Index, Stocks & even with wild animals like NIFTY now! It was BNF earlier, Hope you have realized by now :)
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 01/01/2025Flat or slightly gap up opening expected in nifty. For today's session 23800 level will be the upside resistance for the nifty. Any major bullish rally only expected above this level. Downside 23550-23600 zone works as a support for today's session. Any major downside expected below this support zone. Between the 23550-23800 level consolidation movements possible in index.
The Year that was and the year that can be. 2024/2025 story.Highlights of 2024:
a) Single digit return for Nifty in 2024. Nifty and Sensex rise 9% each.
b) Mid and Small Cap both rise 24% each.
c) Pharma and Real Estate both rise 40% each.
d) Trent, M&M and Bharti Airtel are the best performing Nifty stocks.
e) Asian Paints, Indusind Bank and Nestle are the worst performing Nifty stocks.
f) Dixon, BSE, OFSS and RVNL are the best performing Midcap stocks.
g) Vodafone Idea, AU SFB & Bandhan Bank are top Mid cap loosers.
Zones Where Nifty can form base and give closing in 2025.
Pessimistic Zone: In case of very negative year and some global catastrophe we can find Nifty forming a bottom between 19922 to 18476. *(Looks very unlikely as of now)*
Negative Zone: In case we have a negative closing for the year we may find Nifty closing the year between 21137 to 19922. *(Possible but we might get a bottom here and then the index might move upwards)*
Neutral Zone: The combination of Neutral to negative and neutral to Positive zone ranges from 26277 to 21137. Nifty can consolidate in this range. *(These are the lows and high of 2024).*
Positive Zone: We can see Nifty making a new high above 26277 and 27880. After which we can see a dip and further consolidation. *(A probable scenario)*
Optimistic Zone: In case we have a fantastic year we might see Nifty making a major peak between 27880 and 30060. *(This is a very optimistic scenario and less likely but you can never say never)*
Above assumptions of Nifty in 2025 are made based on Fibonacci Retracement applied from top to bottom and Bottom to top on the 2024 candle.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NIFTY ForecastThis is a long term forecast and path I see for NIFTY 50.
Of course it would not be in straight line. But I see a 50% decline in Nifty between now and June 2026.
It would be a pretty painful 2025 and 2026 for India.
All the best.
Marketpanda
Disclaimer: The information provided is for general informational and educational purposes only, and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. None of the content shared should be relied upon as the sole basis for making investment decisions. Prior to making any financial or investment decisions, it is strongly recommended that you consult with a qualified financial advisor, accountant, or other professional who is familiar with your individual circumstances and risk tolerance. Any reliance you place on the information presented is strictly at your own risk, and we are not responsible for any losses, damages, or liabilities resulting from your investment or trading activities.
BAJAJ AUTO Shortterm VIEW BEARISHAfter a good run from Rs.4,000 (in APRIL 2023) Stock has doubled and more to Rs.10,000.
Along the journey We have seen small consolidations at Rs.8,500-9,300 and stock reached Rs.10k After that we have seen a small dip towards 8,800.
Now its forming a HNS Pattern in Weekly TF.
I expect a Downside correction to 7,000-7,300 Zone.
I also believe Automobile Sector will go through some consolidation.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 31/12/2024Flat opening expected in nifty. After opening if it's sustain above 23600 level then possible upside movement in starting session. Upside 23800 level will act a strong resistance for today's session. Major downside in nifty expected if it's gives breakdown of 23500 level. This downside rally can goes upto 23250 level in today's session.