NIFTY 50 in Rangebound Movement, Poised to Break Resistance..!The NIFTY 50 index is currently navigating a rangebound market, attempting to break through a short-term resistance level at 23360 rs. So far, it has tested a significant support level of 23100 rs on two separate occasions, indicating a critical point for potential market stability or decline. Investors should exercise caution, as disappointing quarterly results could weigh heavily on market sentiment and increase volatility. Keeping a close eye on these developments is essential for making informed decisions.
Niftytrendanalysis
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 20-Jan-2025🔖 Nifty Trading Plan for 20-Jan-2025
📊 Key Levels:
Resistance Zones: 23,318–23,334, Profit Booking Zone: 23,405–23,435
Support Zones: 23,113–23,201, 23,007, 22,962
1️⃣ Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens above 23,334:
Look for consolidation or rejection near Profit Booking Zone (23,405–23,435). If rejected, consider a short entry with a target towards 23,334 or 23,269.
Sustained breakout above 23,435 may lead to a rally. Use trailing stop-loss to ride the momentum.
📌 Educational Insight: Gap-ups often signal bullish momentum, but profit booking zones can act as reversal points. Observe price action carefully.
2️⃣ Flat Opening (Within 23,201–23,203)
Monitor opening price reaction within the Golden Retracement Zone (23,113–23,201).
If Nifty holds 23,201, it’s a signal to go long with a target towards 23,318–23,334.
Break below 23,113 could indicate bearish momentum. Short below this level with a target towards 23,007.
📌 Educational Insight: Flat openings are ideal for price action-based trades. Let the first 30 minutes settle before taking positions for the best risk-reward setup.
3️⃣ Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens near 22,962–23,007:
Look for bullish reversals within the Trending Shift Zone (22,962–23,007). Go long if strong buying is observed, targeting 23,113.
A breakdown below 22,962 could lead to further weakness. Short positions below this level with a target of 22,880.
📌 Educational Insight: Gap-downs often create opportunities for sharp reversals or continuation trends. Wait for confirmation before entering trades.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Use hourly candle close as confirmation before entering trades.
For directional trades, avoid over-leveraging and use defined stop-loss.
Hedge positions using spreads to limit risk in volatile markets.
Monitor IV (Implied Volatility) while trading options; high IV can inflate premiums.
🔍 Summary & Conclusion:
For 20-Jan-2025, focus on the key zones:
Watch Golden Retracement Zone (23,113–23,201) for flat openings.
Look for rejection or breakout near 23,405–23,435 in case of gap-ups.
Keep an eye on 22,962–23,007 for possible reversals in gap-down scenarios.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their own analysis or consult with financial advisors before making any trading decisions.
Nifty Futures intraday on Jan 21, 2025The market is expected to be bearish today, with Nifty Futures likely to find support at 23,110. The 'Dynamic Buy/Sell' indicator confirmed a sell signal yesterday, January 20th, at 15:20 hrs. This non-repainting indicator, equipped with auto stop-loss models, primarily responds to price action, helping traders stay objective and avoid emotional decisions.
The Wave is Shifting: Anticipate NIFTY’s Next Move!Dear Traders,
I hope this message finds you well in your trading endeavors and personal pursuits. I am excited to share a compelling opportunity with you through a new NIFTY analysis that sheds light on the continuation of the market shift.
Preliminary Analysis Overview:
The correction initiated on September 27, 2024, is a correction for the move from June 17, 2022, to September 27, 2024 (15,183.40 to 26,277.35). This move has spanned over 120 weeks (834 days) in time and 11,093.95 points in price. This necessitates a long-term and deeper correction, which is currently underway. This can be visually represented by the trend lines:
The downward trend from the all-time high continues, which is currently experiencing a corrective phase within a larger correction.
There are two potential phases for the ongoing trend:
Phase I:
The initial phase of correction primarily tested the .236 R of the aforementioned motive wave (refer to the figure below):
Following the correction, there is a correction within the correction in a larger degree (although the primary downtrend remains intact).
This internal correction is anticipated to rise further to test 0.146 R and 0.073 R of the long-term bull market (serving as potential resistances).
RI – 24,254.10
RII – 24,600 ~24,657
RIII – 25,100 ~25,120
*These values are not actual but merely levels.
Time resistances are anticipated on January 9th and February 17th (of considerable strength).
Reference:
Phase II:
Following the completion of the internal correction, the market is anticipated to resume its current downward trend in a more significant manner to test the 38.2 R (21,500 levels) + static support junction, which will be further discussed as the market evolves.
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**Important Dates to Remember: **
Please note the following significant economic indicators and their release dates:
**January 8, 9, and 10: ** Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and employment data release (NFP).
**January 13 and 14: ** Inflation data release.
**January 13-16: ** Sales and inflation data release.
---
**Final Verdict: **
The current uptrend is considered interim. The primary trend remains downward and is anticipated to persist further and deeper. This trend is expected to test the 38.2% resistance level coinciding with the 21,360-support level.
---
**Strategy: **
Given the prevailing market conditions, adopting a bullish stance appears prudent. Key levels to monitor include 24,657 and 25,120, which are expected to be tested. It is imperative to remain vigilant and informed about potential opportunities that may arise.
------
Fellow Traders,
The creation of this valuable analytical resource has required countless hours of dedication and effort. If you find it useful, I humbly request your support by boosting the idea and following me (updates will be provided via this post, new posts, and through minds). Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally.
Thank you for investing your time in reading this article.
Wishing you profitable and fulfilling trading endeavors!
Disclaimer:
Before concluding, I must emphasize that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is crucial for you to conduct your own research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial objectives and risk tolerance.
NIFTY : Bearish Trend, but a Bounce Might Be Coming
NSE:NIFTY has been trending lower, with sellers clearly in control. However, it looks like the market is taking a breather, and there’s a chance for a short-term bounce before the downtrend continues.
What’s Happening?
1. Resistance Zones:
- 23,770: This is the first hurdle for the price to cross. Sellers have been strong here.
- 23,833 and 23,935: If 23,770 breaks, these are the next levels where selling pressure might kick in.
2. Support Levels:
- 23,439: The first key level where buyers could step in.
- 23,303: A stronger support zone if the decline deepens.
3. Trendline Resistance:
There’s a clear downward trendline acting as a ceiling, making it hard for the price to move higher.
4. Current Setup:
The price is hovering around 23,629 after a sharp drop. It feels like the market is pausing to decide its next move. A bounce toward 23,770 looks possible, but the bigger picture still leans bearish.
How to Trade This:
- If you’re bullish:
Watch for a breakout above 23,770 with good buying momentum. If it happens, there’s room for the price to climb to 23,833 or even 23,935.
- If you’re bearish:
Look for the price to struggle near 23,770 or start falling again. That could be your signal to go short, with targets at 23,439 and 23,303.
Bottom Line:
The market still looks weak, but there’s a chance for a small bounce before sellers take control again. Keep an eye on how the price behaves around 23,770—it’ll tell us whether buyers are gaining strength or if the downtrend is here to stay.
What do you think? Are you leaning bullish or bearish? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Only for educational purposes.
This content is not a recommendation to buy and sell.
Not SEBI REGISTRAR.
INDIAN MARKET PILLER NIFTY 50 ANALYSIS Here we analyzed Nifty50 in hourly and 15/30 minutes time frame.
23968-23900 IS A LAST SUPPORT ZONE IF NIFTY BREAKS THAT THIS TRADE WILL BE TERMINATED
PRO ABOUT THIS TRADE :-
We analyzed Nifty50 Sector on that base we traded Nifty50
Britannia, Axis Bank, Bpcl and few others on favor
CONS:-
Nifty50 Got rejection from weekly supply zone Today.
NIFTY - Hajaari TradeHajaari Trade in Nifty seems active , provided it remains above 24K Level for next 3-4 Days!
NIFTY Staying above our Hajaari (Thousan Level) Trade since 31 Dec 2024.
Perfect Set up for our Hajaari Trade. Let's Ride the trend for 800 to 1k points from last Monthly Expiry.
Eyeing for 25500 Level with Bearish Expiry view this month End.
Let's see how market responds!
This Chart is for educational purpose & not a buy/sell recommendation.
Nifty may remain Bullish this month till 15 Jan, we may see a reversal basis Budget Movements. This is a Big yearly event which result in throwing Technical out of the window.
Technical Analysis may not work on Event Days like Budget, Election, Monitory Policy Review, RBI/ FED Interest Rat Decisions, etc. It is advised to check out Economic Calendar before planning a Trade!
Thank You
ICT Based Indicator (PAID)ICT(OB with FVG and Liquidity Zones)
The indicator demonstrated here perfectly captures critical order flow zones, liquidity imbalances, and fair value gaps (FVGs) to provide actionable BUY and SELL signals. Here’s how the indicator has worked in the attached chart for the Nifty Bank Index (15-Minute Timeframe):
1. Liquidity Zones as Support/Resistance
• Sell Liquidity (SELL LQ):
• The red liquidity zone (SELL LQ) has acted as a clear resistance multiple times.
• Example:
• Around 51,370, price tested the red zone and showed rejection, aligning with a SELL LQ signal.
• This suggests institutional sellers might have been active, making it a great opportunity for short trades.
• These zones are generated dynamically and adapt as price action evolves, giving real-time insights.
• Buy Liquidity (BUY LQ):
• The green liquidity zone (BUY LQ) perfectly acted as support around 50,485.
• After testing this level, the price bounced upward, confirming a reversal and leading to a BUY LQ signal.
• This zone aligns with potential institutional buying activity.
2. Order Blocks (OB) and Confluence
• Bullish Order Block:
• The green OB line below the price provided additional support confirmation around the same level as the BUY LQ zone.
• This confluence of liquidity support and OB strength makes the signal even more reliable.
• Bearish Order Block:
• The orange OB line above the price acted as a critical resistance zone.
• As price moved closer to this zone, SELL LQ signals were generated, indicating a possible price rejection and reversal.
3. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Insights
• The Fair Value Gap (FVG) zones highlighted in blue pinpoint price imbalances.
• These areas are identified where the market has moved aggressively, leaving untraded levels behind.
• Example:
• Price revisited an FVG zone near the BUY LQ level, confirming it as a solid support area before reversing.
4. Signal Accuracy and Trade Opportunities
• BUY Signal:
• A BUY signal was triggered after price hit the BUY LQ zone and showed bullish intent by breaking upward.
• This aligned with the support provided by the Bullish OB line, offering a high-confidence trade setup.
• SELL Signals:
• Multiple SELL LQ signals were generated near the SELL Liquidity Zone, indicating bearish momentum.
• These were highly reliable as the price rejected the orange OB line and continued its downward movement.
4. Signal Accuracy and Trade Opportunities
• BUY Signal:
• A BUY signal was triggered after price hit the BUY LQ zone and showed bullish intent by breaking upward.
• This aligned with the support provided by the Bullish OB line, offering a high-confidence trade setup.
• SELL Signals:
• Multiple SELL LQ signals were generated near the SELL Liquidity Zone, indicating bearish momentum.
• These were highly reliable as the price rejected the orange OB line and continued its downward movement.
5. Dynamic Nature of the Indicator
• The indicator dynamically adapts to market structure changes and provides real-time signals based on:
• Liquidity zones (BUY/SELL LQ).
• Order blocks (Bullish/Bearish OB).
• Fair Value Gaps (FVGs).
This ensures that traders can identify key market turning points and act with precision, avoiding unnecessary noise and false signals.
Key Takeaways from the Chart
1. Confluence is Key:
• Signals generated in confluence with liquidity zones, OB levels, and FVG zones are highly reliable.
• Example: The BUY signal at 50,485 and the SELL LQ signal at 51,370.
2. Trade the Rejections:
• Liquidity zones and OB levels help traders spot rejection points for reversal or continuation setups.
3. FVG Adds Precision:
• The FVG zones add a layer of precision by highlighting price inefficiencies where retracements are likely.
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyPrice Action :
Nifty opened at previous day's close and tested pivot level finding buying around 23565 levels and rallied almost 200 points till 23775 levels and saw small profit booking. Post noon saw buying around 23700 levels and tested above 23800 and saw small profit booking towards end of the day loosing momentum. If sustained below 23800 can again test 23700-23730 levels and above 23820 if sustained can test 23950 levels.
Trend:
Nifty formed Higher High and Higher Low suggesting Long Trend
Options Data:
23700-800 Puts added Open Interest showing support. 23700 and 23900 CE shedded OI, don't have much resistance till 24050-100 levels.
Futures Data:
Nifty Futures closed positively with Increase in Open Interest suggesting Bullish
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty looks Bullish above 23800 for tgt 24000-24050. (for next wkly expiry)
Positons:
Wait for 30min candle close above 23800 to go long for tgt 24000.
BAJAJ AUTO Shortterm VIEW BEARISHAfter a good run from Rs.4,000 (in APRIL 2023) Stock has doubled and more to Rs.10,000.
Along the journey We have seen small consolidations at Rs.8,500-9,300 and stock reached Rs.10k After that we have seen a small dip towards 8,800.
Now its forming a HNS Pattern in Weekly TF.
I expect a Downside correction to 7,000-7,300 Zone.
I also believe Automobile Sector will go through some consolidation.
#NIFTY50 TRADE SETUP - 30TH DECEMBER !!Nifty 50 Chart Analysis - 1 day Chart VieW
NSE:NIFTY
Nifty 50 Chart Analysis - Detailed Breakdown
Key Observations:
1. Current Price Zone: The Nifty index is trading at 23,832, with the price consolidating near recent lows.
2. Key Resistance Zones:
- 24,197.50: A significant resistance level, aligning with prior price rejections and a potential reversal area.
- 24,069.95: Intermediate resistance that needs to be cleared for bullish continuation.
3. Key Support Zones:
- 23,586.25: A strong support zone where buyers might step in, preventing further downside.
- 23,262.15: A deeper support level, marking the lower boundary of the recent bearish structure.
4. Market Sentiment: The price action indicates uncertainty, with equal probabilities of breakout above the resistance or breakdown below support.
Price Movement Summary:
- Upside Potential: A breakout above 24,197.50 could push the index towards 24,300+ levels. Thiszone has been highlighted in the chart as a bullish target area (marked in red box).
- Downside Risk: If the index breaks below 23,586.25, it could test 23,262.15 or lower, as depictedin the bearish target zone.
Trading Plan:
1. Bullish Plan:
- Entry: Above 24,069.95.
- Target 1: 24,197.50.
- Target 2: 24,300+.
- Stop-Loss: Below 23,961.55 (current pivot zone).
2. Bearish Plan:
- Entry: Below 23,586.25.
- Target 1: 23,536.60.
- Target 2: 23,262.15.
- Stop-Loss: Above 23,832.45.
Summary:
- Nifty is at a critical juncture, with immediate resistance at 24,069.95 and support at 23,586.25.
- Traders should wait for confirmation (breakout or breakdown) before initiating positions.
- Risk management is crucial as the index approaches year-end volatility.
Disclaimer:
This content is for educational purposes only. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.The creator is not a SE-BI-registered advisor. Please consult with a certified professional before making investment decisions.
NIFTY : Trading Plan and level for 26-Dec-2024Trading Plan for 26-Dec-2024 – Nifty
Introduction:
The trading plan for 25-Dec-2024 focused on critical zones identified on the uploaded chart. The Golden Retracement Zone (23,603–23,703) acted as a pivot for potential reversals, while the Last Resistance Zone for Intraday (23,891–23,933) served as a crucial barrier. The day saw the index testing the retracement zone, respecting support at 23,608 , and moving toward the resistance zone. The Yellow, Green, and Red trends indicated sideways, bullish, and bearish phases, respectively, providing actionable setups. Today’s plan builds on these zones with further analysis.
Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (200+ Points)
If Nifty opens above 23,933 :
The index enters the Profit Booking Zone (24,043–24,078) , where strong resistance can lead to rejection ( Red Trend ). A sustained move above 24,078 could trigger bullish momentum ( Green Trend ).
Action Plan:
Look for shorting opportunities near 24,043 with a stop-loss above 24,100 , targeting 23,891 .
If prices sustain above 24,078 , initiate long positions with a target of 24,200+ .
If Nifty retraces back into the Last Resistance Zone (23,891–23,933) , watch for consolidation ( Yellow Trend ).
Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within 50 Points)
If Nifty opens near 23,730–23,760 :
Monitor price action at the Retracement Zone (23,608–23,703) .
Action Plan:
A breakdown below 23,608 can trigger bearish momentum toward 23,495 . Initiate shorts with a stop-loss above 23,640 .
If prices sustain above 23,703 , look for long positions targeting 23,891 .
Wait for the first 15-30 minutes for market sentiment before initiating trades.
Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (200+ Points)
If Nifty opens near 23,495–23,446 :
The Last Intraday Support Zone is critical. Watch for bounce signals ( Green Trend ).
Action Plan:
Go long above 23,495 with a target of 23,608 . Use a stop-loss below 23,430 .
If prices break 23,446 decisively, expect bearish momentum toward lower levels ( Red Trend ). Avoid aggressive trades until a clear direction is established.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Always trade with defined targets and stop-losses .
Avoid over-leveraging, especially near resistance and support zones.
Allow the market to settle for at least 15-30 minutes before initiating trades.
Use trailing stop-losses to protect profits in trending moves.
Trade with appropriate position sizing to limit losses.
Summary and Conclusion:
Nifty is trading near critical levels, and today’s trading plan highlights actionable zones for all opening scenarios. Focus on Golden Retracement and Resistance Zones for probable reversals and momentum plays. Patience and disciplined execution with proper risk management are key to capitalizing on market opportunities.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is shared purely for educational purposes. Traders are advised to conduct their research or consult a financial advisor before taking any positions.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 24-Dec-2024Plan vs. Actual Performance (23-Dec-2024) - Nifty:
In today’s session, Nifty closely followed the levels and zones highlighted in the trading plan:
The index opened within the Opening Resistance/Support Zone (No Trade Zone) , as indicated in the plan. Price action remained muted here, showing indecision, aligning with the expectation of limited opportunities in this area.
The attempted move towards the Last Intraday Resistance Zone (23,953-24,058) failed, with prices reversing near resistance, confirming the bearish projection (red trend).
Later in the session, the index approached the Buyer’s Support Zone (23,194-23,281) . Prices showed signs of stabilization, reflecting the plan's green trend projection for potential reversal or support testing.
Key Takeaway: The plan accurately captured the market's reaction to critical levels, reinforcing the importance of patience in the No Trade Zone and the effectiveness of the support/resistance zones for planning entries.
This reflects the value of adhering to a well-defined trading framework.
This analysis will help us prepare for the trading day on 24-Dec-2024, considering different opening scenarios.
Trading Plan for 24-Dec-2024
Gap Up Opening (100+ points above 23,747.20)
If the market opens above 23,847.20, it indicates a strong bullish sentiment. The first resistance level to watch is 23,863.00 (Opening Resistance). If the price sustains above this level, the next target is 23,976.00 (Last Intraday Resistance for retracement).
In case the price breaks above 23,976.00, the next target is 24,009.00. A sustained move above this level can lead to the Profit Booking zone at 24,128.00.
If the price fails to sustain above 23,863.00, look for a potential retracement to 23,739.30. This could indicate a sideways trend (yellow line) or a bearish reversal (red line).
Flat Opening (around 23,747.20)
A flat opening suggests indecision in the market. The immediate level to watch is 23,739.30. If the price holds above this level, it could indicate a bullish trend (green line) towards 23,863.00.
If the price breaks below 23,739.30, the next support level is 23,611.00 (Opening Support Zone at Buyer’s retracement zone). A break below this level could lead to a bearish trend (red line) towards 23,547.00.
Monitor the price action around 23,863.00 for potential resistance. A break above this level could lead to targets of 23,976.00 and 24,009.00.
Gap Down Opening (100+ points below 23,747.20)
A gap down opening below 23,647.20 indicates bearish sentiment. The first support level to watch is 23,611.00. If the price holds above this level, it could indicate a potential retracement (yellow line) towards 23,739.30.
If the price breaks below 23,611.00, the next target is 23,547.00. A sustained move below this level could lead to further downside towards 23,447.00.
In case of a retracement, monitor the price action around 23,739.30 for potential resistance. A break above this level could lead to targets of 23,863.00 and 23,976.00.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
Always use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
Avoid over-leveraging your positions; trade within your risk tolerance.
Diversify your trades to spread risk across different assets or strategies.
Keep an eye on implied volatility, as it can significantly impact options pricing.
Regularly review and adjust your trading plan based on market conditions.
Summary and Conclusion
In summary, the trading plan for 24-Dec-2024 involves monitoring key support and resistance levels based on the opening scenario. By understanding the potential price movements and trends (yellow for sideways, green for bullish, and red for bearish), traders can make informed decisions. Always practice good risk management to protect your capital.
Disclaimer : I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
#NIFTY50 - 24TH DECEMBER !!NSE:NIFTY
NIFTY CHART ANALYSIS (24TH DEC)
Important Levels:
1. Resistance Levels:
- 24,259.50: Key resistance zone where selling pressure might build.
- 23,926.95: Immediate resistance near the current price.
2. Support Levels:
- 23,398.85: Major support level below the current price where buyers could step in.
3. Trendline:
- A downward trendline acts as dynamic resistance, connecting lower highs and reinforcing the bearish momentum.
Analysis:
- The price is in a bearish trend, consistently making lower highs and lower lows.
- Current Scenario: The price is near the trendline and could face rejection, continuing the downward move toward 23,398.85.
- Alternative Scenario: A breakout above the trendline might invalidate the bearish setup, potentially leading to a test of 23,926.95 or higher.
Only for educational purposes.
This content is not a recommendation to buy and sell.
Not SEBI REGISTRAR.
#Nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 23-27th Dec 2024The Nifty experienced a tumultuous week, plummeting roughly 1200 points to close at 23587 after reaching a high of 24781 and a low of 23537. This sharp decline was largely attributed to a hawkish stance from the US Federal Reserve, triggering a sell-off in the US market and prompting significant Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) selling in India. The 5% correction from its peak has brought the Nifty dangerously close to the crucial WEMA50 support level at 23426. However, there are signs of a potential bullish reversal forming a 'W' pattern. Sustaining above 23426 will be critical for a market turnaround.
Next week, I expect a volatile trading range between 24100 and 23000 . A breach of these levels could lead to significant market moves. The monthly Nifty chart also indicates weakness, suggesting further downside potential towards the 22250 support level, representing a 5.7% decline from current levels.
This presents a valuable opportunity for investors to prepare a watchlist of their preferred stocks and strategically accumulate positions during any further market correction
NIFTY - Trading Levels and Plan for 20-Dec-2024Intro: Review of the Previous Day’s Plan
After a gap down opening, prices saw first phase of recovery but could not find follow on support and traded in a narrow range. Let’s analyze potential scenarios for today.
Plan for Different Opening Scenarios
Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 24,014):
A gap-up above 24,014 places Nifty near the resistance zone or even at 24,103. The focus should be on observing price action for either a breakout or a rejection.
Plan of Action:
If Nifty approaches 24,227, monitor for bearish rejection signals (e.g., shooting stars or bearish engulfing patterns) to initiate short positions targeting 24,103 and 24,014. Stop loss can be placed above 24,250.
For a breakout above 24,227, wait for an hourly close and consider long trades targeting 24,300 or higher. Stop loss below 24,200.
Key Tips: For options, consider OTM calls if a breakout occurs. Hedge positions using vertical spreads to cap potential losses.
Flat Opening (Within 23,900-24,000 range):
A flat opening keeps Nifty in the sideways zone (yellow trend). Early market movement will determine directionality.
Plan of Action:
If Nifty sustains above 24,014, initiate longs targeting 24,103 and 24,227. Use a stop loss below 23,950.
If the index slips below 23,900, initiate shorts targeting 23,877 and 23,748 with a stop loss above 24,000.
Key Tips: A flat opening is ideal for option straddle/strangle setups. Close positions if volatility contracts or movement remains indecisive.
Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below 23,877):
A gap-down below 23,877 places Nifty near support or bearish breakdown zones. Focus on price action around 23,748 or 23,604.
Plan of Action:
If Nifty holds above 23,748, initiate long positions with targets at 23,877 and 23,961, keeping a stop loss below 23,700.
A breakdown below 23,748 opens further downside to 23,604. Initiate shorts below this level with targets at 23,500 or lower. Stop loss above 23,800.
Key Tips: In gap-down scenarios, avoid panic trades. For options, consider OTM puts or debit spreads for bearish strategies.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Never risk more than 2% of your capital on a single trade.
Use a mix of ATM and OTM options for balanced risk/reward setups.
Exit trades promptly if Nifty deviates from the expected plan.
Monitor implied volatility; avoid overpaying for options in low-volatility environments.
Summary and Conclusion:
Today’s plan revolves around key levels: 24,014, 23,877, and 23,748. The yellow trend indicates likely consolidation, the green trend highlights bullish potential, and the red trend shows bearish zones. Patience and disciplined execution are crucial for trading success. Let price action confirm your trades before entering positions.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
The Nifty spot intraday trend forecast for December 17, 2024I am bullish tomorrow. While calculating the Nifty spot levels, gaps on the either side are not taken into account. So levels may vary.
The content provided here are only views and the real-time market may not be in line to my forecast. Use it only for educational purposes.
Ramco Cements: Bullish Flag BreakoutNSE:RAMCOCEM Ramco Cements has recently given a bullish flag breakout at ₹1040, indicating a strong upward momentum in the stock. A bullish flag pattern is a continuation pattern that signifies the resumption of an uptrend after a brief consolidation phase. The breakout from this pattern suggests a renewed buying interest, backed by robust volumes.
Trading Setup:
Entry Price: ₹1040
Stop Loss: ₹987 (below the consolidation zone)
Targets:
First Target: ₹1072.10
Second Target: ₹1104.10
Third Target: ₹1136.10
Fourth Target: ₹1168.05
Final Target: ₹1200.05
Risk-Reward Ratio:
This trade setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3, making it an attractive opportunity for swing traders.
Key Observations:
The stock has been in an uptrend, supported by strong institutional buying.
The breakout is accompanied by above-average volumes, adding conviction to the move.
Key resistance levels are expected at the target prices, while the stop loss is strategically
placed below the recent consolidation range to minimize risk.
Recommendation:
Traders can consider buying Ramco Cements at ₹1040 for the above-mentioned targets. Ensure strict adherence to the stop loss of ₹987 to manage risk effectively.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before taking any trading or investment decisions.
#nifty50 - 16th DECEMBERNSE:NIFTY
Nifty 50 Chart Analysis - Key Insights & Trading Plan
Key Observations:
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support: 24,497 | 24,586.95 | 24,662.40
Resistance: 24,783.85 | 24,837.90 | 24,891.90
Price Movement:
The price witnessed a downtrend followed by a strong recovery.
A sharp upward movement has brought the price near 24,783.85, a significant resistance level.
Current Position:
The price is hesitating near the 24,783.85 resistance level, signaling a critical decision point.
Trading Plan:
Bullish Scenario:
Breakout Above 24,783.85:
Target: 24,837.90 → 24,891.90.
Stop-Loss: Below 24,750.
Bearish Scenario:
Rejection at 24,783.85:
Target: Support levels at 24,662.40 → 24,586.95.
Stop-Loss: Above 24,800.
Consolidation Strategy:
Range-Bound Movement between 24,662.40 (support) and 24,783.85 (resistance):
Buy near support,
Sell near resistance.
Summary:
Breakout → Go long (buy).
Rejection → Look for short opportunities.
Watch for volume confirmation during breakouts or rejections to confirm strength.
im not SEBI register.
Riding the Correction: Unlocking NIFTY’s Next Chapter!Dear Traders,
I hope this message finds you well in your trading endeavors and personal pursuits. I am excited to share a compelling opportunity with you through a new NIFTY analysis that sheds light on the continuation of the market shift. The recent upward movement & the following correction in the market have unfolded as anticipated. Over the past two months, my analysis has consistently pointed to an expected correction due to market overvaluation and distinct completion patterns.
Technical Analysis Overview:
There are three potential scenarios for the ongoing trend, ranked based on their likelihood of occurring.
Scenario I:
The move initiated from 20 MAR’23 – 27 SEPT’24 (16,828.35 – 26277.35) has spanned over 80 weeks (18M) and indicates a significant completion of wave patterns, suggesting an imminent correction. See the visual representation of the trend lines and corresponding fib retracement levels here:
The correlation between static supports can be observed around 23,893.70 and 21,181.45. This correction is expected to be visible within a 3-month timeframe.
Potential support levels include
S – I: 24,893 ~ 24,753 ~ 24,430 levels,
S – II: 24,050 ~24,000 levels and
S – III: 23,683 levels.
*These values are not actual but just levels
The correction might extend to deeper levels (22,664 & 21,550) as the market progresses.
Time resistances are anticipated on 09th OCT, 17th OCT, and 30th OCT for all probable scenarios.
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Scenario II:
The move from 26 OCT’23 – 27 SEPT’24 (18,837.85 – 26,277.35) has completed mid-way and is expected to continue after this correction, potentially reaching unprecedented levels. Find the visual representation of this move with trend lines & fib retracements here:
The range of this move is limited to the monthly timeframe, indicating the completion of 1 year from the start of this sub-trend.
Potential support levels include,
S – I: 24,525 ~ 24,378 levels,
S – II: 23,900 ~ 23,893.70 levels and
S – III: 23,450 levels.
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Scenario III:
The move from 04 JUN’24 – 27 SEPT’24 (21,121.45 – 26,277.35) has almost completed its half journey and is facing a correction before extending its uptrend by a few more waves. While this scenario has the lowest probability compared to the others, it is essential to consider its potential impact on the current trend.
The pictorial representation can be seen here:
Further details are not added as the market actions till now does not validate this probability.
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Other Influential Factors:
Geo-political tensions and concerns regarding escalation have historically preceded corrections prior to the US presidential elections, indicating a prevailing bearish sentiment. Tensions in the Middle East have also contributed to the market plunge, albeit not solely responsible for it. Additionally, the FED's likely rate cuts have been influenced by the upcoming US elections, and SEBI's regulatory actions aim to curb over-optimism and maintain market neutrality.
Important Dates to Remember:
Mark your calendars for OCT 9th (RBI interest rate decision @ 10AM) and OCT 10th (US inflation reports).
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Final Verdict:
While the scenarios are meticulously laid out, the selection of the valid scenario remains a work in progress. We are eagerly awaiting further cues from the market and will provide updates as they unfold. However, one thing remains certain – the current trend has reversed (at least for the mentioned time frames). Therefore, adopting a bearish stance could prove to be profitable.
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Strategy:
Considering the current market conditions, adopting a bearish stance seems prudent, especially levels around 24,450 ~ 24,000 are to be tested. Keep a close watch on the market and stay informed for potential opportunities.
Disclaimer:
Before concluding, I must underscore that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is imperative for you to conduct your research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Fellow Traders,
Countless hours of dedication and effort have gone into creating this valuable analytical resource. If you find it useful, I humbly ask for your support by boosting the idea and following me (updates will be made via this post, new post & through minds) . Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally.
Thank you for investing your time in reading this article,
Your readership is greatly appreciated.
Wishing you profitable and joyful trading!!!