NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 28-Mar-2025📌 NIFTY Trading Plan – 28-Mar-2025
📊 Market Overview:
Nifty closed at 23,601, consolidating within a No Trade Zone after a strong uptrend. The market is at a critical juncture, and the price action at key levels will determine the next directional move.
This plan provides clear trade setups for different opening scenarios and helps you navigate market volatility with a structured approach.
🔼 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 23,700)
A gap-up opening above 23,700 will push Nifty closer to the Last Intraday Resistance Zone (23,772). The key factor will be whether Nifty sustains above resistance or faces rejection.
✅ Plan of Action:
If Nifty sustains above 23,772, it can move towards the next resistance at 23,931. A breakout above 23,931 could trigger a rally towards 24,000+, but watch for profit booking at higher levels.
If price faces rejection at 23,772 and reverses, expect a pullback towards 23,650 → 23,600. A strong rejection here could lead to an intraday sell-off.
Avoid fresh longs inside 23,700 – 23,772, as this area may act as a profit-booking zone. Wait for confirmation before taking trades.
🎯 Pro Tip: If the gap-up is quickly filled within the first 15 minutes, it signals weak buying strength and increases the probability of an intraday correction.
⚖ Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within ±100 points, around 23,600)
A flat opening suggests indecision among traders, and the market will likely take direction after the first few candles. The best strategy is to trade breakouts or breakdowns from key levels.
✅ Plan of Action:
Upside case: If Nifty breaks and sustains above 23,650, it may head towards 23,700 → 23,772. Observe the price action near resistance before taking fresh longs.
Downside case: If Nifty breaks below 23,520, it could test 23,450 → 23,300. A breakdown below 23,300 will turn the trend bearish.
Sideways caution: If Nifty remains inside the No Trade Zone (23,451 – 23,642), avoid taking trades as volatility could trap both buyers and sellers.
🎯 Pro Tip: In a flat opening scenario, wait for a clear 15-minute candle close above or below key levels before entering trades.
🔽 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below 23,500)
A gap-down below 23,500 could indicate profit booking or fresh selling pressure. The critical factor will be whether buyers defend key support zones.
✅ Plan of Action:
If price sustains below 23,500, expect a decline towards 23,300. A breakdown below 23,300 may accelerate selling towards the Buyer’s Support Zone (23,136 – 23,300).
If price finds support at 23,300 and rebounds, it may attempt a recovery towards 23,450 → 23,520. A strong close above 23,520 could shift momentum back to the bulls.
Be cautious of bear traps – If the market gaps down but quickly recovers, it could trigger short covering, leading to an upside reversal.
🎯 Pro Tip: If the gap-down occurs near a strong buyer’s support zone, wait for a bullish price action confirmation before entering long trades.
⚠️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
🔹 Avoid over-leveraging – Use proper position sizing to manage risk.
🔹 Theta Decay Awareness – If the market consolidates, option premiums will erode rapidly.
🔹 Use Spreads for Protection – Instead of naked options, use spreads to limit risk and improve probability.
🔹 Trade at Key Levels – Avoid impulsive trades; focus on defined support and resistance zones.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
🟥 Resistance: 23,772 → 23,931 → 24,000
🟧 No Trade Zone: 23,451 – 23,642
🟩 Support: 23,520 → 23,300 → 23,136
🔸 Bullish Bias: Above 23,772, targeting 23,931 – 24,000
🔸 Bearish Bias: Below 23,500, expecting a fall towards 23,300 – 23,136
🔸 Neutral/Choppy: Inside 23,451 – 23,642, avoid unnecessary trades
🎯 Final Advice:
Stick to the structured trading plan and execute only at key levels.
Avoid emotional trading—wait for confirmation before entering trades.
The first 15-30 minutes after market open will provide better clarity—observe price action before committing to a trade.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trades.
Niftytrendanalysis
NIFTY--@Manipulation??Nifty index is broken the trendline strongly...
Before going to break price a strong consolidation is given with a lot of liquidity lies below it...
@22400 levels
now price is exactly at the zone of resistance.
the resistance zone is lies at 24000-24300, after a strong movement to upside price is still not given any retracement...
Case1::
I am expecting either a strong retracement towards trendline.
the retracement should be in the form of correction with slower one.
Corrective pullback::
Case2::
After the liquidity above the 24000 and 24300, price has to give some retracement..
If we buy here it will completely becomes a manipulation....
Buying above the resistance zone is also a manipulation on topside...
If price breaks the resistance zone, then will wait for a correction towards the trendline areas.
Note::
So in order to buy the breakout of trendline the stoploss placement is very large...so with large stoploss will never go for buying...
the 2 possible buying areas are
1.breakout candle at the trendline
2.after the liquidity grab below the strong consolidation zone( before breakout of trendline.)
we have manipulation on both sides....if we go for long price will make an attempt of retracement as lot of liquidity lies below.
Better to look for short above the resistance zone(topside liquidity).If no retracement now.
Nifty Futures Intraday Trend on March 27, 2025I anticipate a bearish trend for tomorrow. 23719 looks like a strong resistance and the support levels are at 23441 and 23198 (If breaks 23 441).
I foresee a good bearish trading opportunity and I avoid all Buy Signals and Focus on my PUTs.
Ready to trade? Trade with proper stop-loss.
NIFTY : Levels and Plan for 27-Mar-2025📊 Market Context:
NIFTY closed at 23,464.30, experiencing a minor pullback after a previous uptrend. The index is currently at a crucial support zone, where price action will determine the next movement.
Let’s analyze the plan for different opening scenarios and structure our trades accordingly.
🔼 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 23,590)
A gap-up above 23,590 will place NIFTY near its Opening Resistance. This level is important because it has previously acted as a supply zone, and bulls need strong momentum to sustain above it.
✅ Plan of Action:
If price sustains above 23,590, we can expect a bullish move towards the Last Intraday Resistance at 23,660. A breakout above this level may extend gains to 23,780+.
If price gets rejected from 23,590 and starts reversing, look for a shorting opportunity, targeting 23,501 → 23,464.
Avoid aggressive long trades inside the 23,590 – 23,660 zone unless there is a clear breakout with volume.
🎯 Pro Tip: If the gap-up is weak and fills within 15 minutes, it indicates profit booking, leading to a possible retracement.
⚖ Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within ±100 points, around 23,464)
A flat opening suggests market indecision, requiring confirmation before entering a trade.
✅ Plan of Action:
Upside case: If NIFTY breaks above 23,501, it can move towards 23,590. Observe price action at this level before deciding on further longs.
Downside case: If NIFTY breaks below 23,464, expect a decline towards the Opening Support Zone (23,501 – 23,477). A breakdown below 23,477 could trigger a deeper fall to 23,297.
Neutral Zone: If the index trades between 23,464 – 23,501, it indicates a choppy market. Avoid unnecessary trades here.
🎯 Pro Tip: A flat opening often leads to fake breakouts in the first 15 minutes. Wait for a strong candle close before entering a position.
🔽 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below 23,350)
A gap-down below 23,350 will put NIFTY near its Last Intraday Support Zone (23,297 – 23,343). If this level fails, further downside is possible.
✅ Plan of Action:
If price sustains below 23,350, expect a test of 23,297. A breakdown here could lead to heavy selling towards 23,182 – 23,100 levels.
If price rebounds from 23,297, it could trigger a pullback towards 23,464. Watch price action at 23,464 – 23,501 for signs of rejection or continuation.
Be cautious of bear traps—if price quickly reverses after a sharp gap-down, it might indicate a short-covering rally.
🎯 Pro Tip: In a gap-down scenario, avoid panic selling. Watch for reversals from key support levels before initiating fresh shorts.
⚠️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
🔹 Avoid over-leveraging – Keep your position sizing disciplined to minimize potential losses.
🔹 Theta Decay Awareness – If the market consolidates, option premiums will erode quickly.
🔹 Hedge Your Trades – Use spreads instead of naked options to reduce risk.
🔹 Wait for Confirmation – Enter trades only after a breakout/breakdown is retested with volume.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
🟥 Resistance: 23,590 → 23,660 → 23,780
🟧 No Trade Zone: 23,501 – 23,464
🟩 Support: 23,501 → 23,297 → 23,182
🔸 Bullish Bias: Above 23,590, targeting 23,660 – 23,780
🔸 Bearish Bias: Below 23,350, expecting a fall towards 23,297 – 23,182
🔸 Neutral/Sideways: If price remains between 23,501 – 23,464, avoid unnecessary trades.
🎯 Final Advice:
Stick to the plan and trade only at key levels.
Avoid trading inside No Trade Zones.
Let the market settle for 15-30 minutes before making big moves.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your research or consult a financial advisor before trading.
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyNifty opened Gap up +90 points and soon saw profit booking, again found buying and made high of 23870 and saw sell off to 23650 levsl to close flat at 22368.
Price Action : - Bullish
Nifty closed Flat with some profit booking at highs.
Candle Pattern: - Bullish
Formed a Bearish candle, shpuld see tomorro’s candle for further direction.
Daily EMA Positioning: Bullish
10dEMA 23105
20dEMA 22926
50dEMA 23036
200dEMA 23402
EMA Trend:
Closed above 10dEma ,20dEma, 50DEMA and 200DEMA,
Daily MA suggests Buy
Hourly suggests Strong Buy
15mins Suggests Strong Buy
The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index is above 60 now at 71.65 - Just Over Bought
Momentum gaining towards Upside
Support/Resistance Levels:
Major Support 23300-200
Immediate Support 22500
Immediate Resistance 22700
Major Resistance 23800, 24000
Trend:
Short Term Trend is Sideways Consolidation
Daily Options Activity:
Highest CE OI was at 24000 also saw OI addition at 24000. 23800, 23700 - Resistance
Highest PE OI was at 23500, with no major PE addition
PCR is 1 indicating indecisiveness
Daily Futures Activity FII + Pro F&O Data:
FII Long/Short ratio at 33%/67% indicating addition of Longs by FIIs - Bullish
Change in Futures OI:
FII Future positions saw little addition in longs +2K with shorts unchanged -Bullish
Nifty Futures price was flat with 3% OI Addition indicating Long Additions
Observation:
Nifty looks strong above 23500, saw profit booking at 23870. Might consolidate above 23500-600 for further move
Overall Trend:
Sentiment is Positive Sideways
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty looks strong around 23600, might consolidate above 23550 before another upmove to 24000
Approach & Strategy:
Long around 23500-600 in April contract, with 23300 as SL
My Trades & Positions:
Long in 23600CE April contract
NIFTY READY FOR CORRECTION: BOOK PROFITSCRIPT: NIFTY CURRENT CONTINIOUS FUTURS
Timeframe: Daily
Important Support and Resistance Zones:
Resistance Zone: 23,170 - 23,240 = 70 points (supply zone)
Support Zone: 22,910 - 22,825 = 85 points (Demand Zone)
Today's High: 23,232.60
RSI: 59.08
As per past data, we can observe, price has corrected from mentioned supply zone and importantly when RSI has reached 60 mark on daily timeframe.
Here, there are several factors joining hands to correct Nifty in coming days.
1) Nifty reaching its supply zone
2) RSI near to mark 60
3) Past 4 days Nifty is rising continuous
Takeaway:
Yesterday's Close: 22972.95
Today's Close: 23,191.00
Difference: 259.65
Half the Difference: (259.65/2 = 109.025)
Subtracting from Today's Close: 23191.00 - 109.025 = 23081.975
Now, If price crosses this level in coming days, we can expect further fall in Nifty.
Target Condition: Price must cross 23,081 level in coming couple of days. If so,
Target Price: We will see further correction in Nifty till our Support Zone which is at
22,910.00 - 22,825.00
Expected Time: Approximately 7 to 12 Days from today.
Nifty Review & Analysis - Daily
Nifty opened Gap up +150 points again following Global Cues and saw surge throughout the day making a high of 23708 and closing at 23658 (+1.5%).
Price Action : - Bullish
Nifty closed 1.5% in positive. Consequtive 6 days green candle and closing above 10,20,50 nad 200 dEMA
Candle Pattern: - Bullish
Formed a Big Green candle with a small wick on upside.
Daily EMA Positioning: Bullish
10dEMA 22979
20dEMA 22848
50dEMA 23036
200dEMA 23399
EMA Trend:
Closed above 10dEma ,20dEma, 50DEMA and 200DEMA,
Daily MA suggests Strong Buy
Hourly suggests Strong Buy
15mins Suggests Strong Buy
The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index is above 60 now at 71.5 - Just Over Bought
Momentum gaining towards Upside
Support/Resistance Levels:
Major Support 23300-500
Immediate Support 22600
Immediate Resistance 22750
Major Resistance 24000
Trend:
Short Term Trend is Bullish
Daily Options Activity:
Highest CE OI was at 24000 also saw some unwinding with huge Unwinding at 23600-500 highest - Support
Highest PE OI was at 23300, highest Put addition seen at 23500 followed by 23600 - support
PCR is 1.2 indicating Bullishness
Daily Futures Activity FII + Pro F&O Data:
FII Long/Short ratio at 32.5%/67.5% indicating addition of Longs by FIIs - Bullish
Change in Futures OI:
FII Future positions saw littl3 addition in longs +2K with shorts unchanged -Bullish
Nifty Futures price was higher by 01.5% and 12.5 %OI Increase indicating Long Additions
Observation:
Nifty looks strong above 23550 forming daily positive green candles, closing above 10,20,50, 200dEMA and RSI just in overbought zone
Overall Trend:
Sentiment is very Positive
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty looks strong around 23600, might consolidate above 23550 before another upmove to 24000
Approach & Strategy:
Long with 22850 as SL in April contract, continue with SL 23500
My Trades & Positions:
Long in 23200CE April, closed and moved to 23600CE April
Nifty Futures intraday trend for March 25, 2025Nifty Futures broke the key resistance at 23623 and closed higher and the further uptrend is anticipated to take resistance at 23825.
Nifty futures may begin with a gap down opening tomorrow ie March 25th and a down trend in the morning may give us an opportunity to enter long.
Decoding NIFTYDear Traders,
I hope this message finds you well in your trading endeavours and personal pursuits. I am excited to share a compelling opportunity with you through a new NIFTY analysis that sheds light on the continuation of the market shift.
Preliminary Analysis Overview:
The downtrend from all-time highs has reached approximately 65% of its progression.
The recent upward surge is somewhat concerning due to concerns about a new trend or a correction within a correction in a larger degree (downtrend).
Let us discuss the key points to distinguish between these two scenarios:
The second leg of the downtrend is experiencing a correction, having completed approximately 89/90 days (which reinforces the interim trend’s completion).
The current correction is progressing rapidly, exhibiting limited sub-waves, which is typically not a characteristic of a motive wave (especially at the beginning of a trend).
The accompanying chart illustrates this point.
Let us elucidate the reasons behind this assertion:
Reason I:
As a staunch believer and ardent follower of Master WDG , the significance of time cannot be disregarded.
The primary downtrend commenced on September 27, 2024, and is poised to encounter a pivotal juncture, namely 180 days from its commencement on March 25, 2025 (Tuesday). This date also coincides with a cross-over with the Fibonacci value of 21 from March 4, 2025, where the interim correction commenced (21,964.60).
The 180D is a component of both the tetragram and the hexagram, and it also represents the midway point of a complete circle (360).
There is also another weird correlation, 4th MAR’25 & 25th MAR’25 both falls on Tuesday marking initiation & termination, the same day.
Reason II:
The geometric patterns of preceding and ongoing movements further support this analysis.
Analyzed both on a daily and weekly basis. The correction responded favorably to both Fibonacci retracements and trendlines. Upcoming resistance levels include:
RI: 23,590~23,600
RII:23,653 (23.6% of the downtrend)
RIII: 23,807
The previous support level is acting as a crucial resistance.
I also observe that there will not be a positive close in 3M charts.
Reference:
Important Dates to Remember:
As suggested, March 25, 2025, marks a significant juncture in the overall trend.
This is pure technical based analysis & does not involve any economic data releases other factors.
** Final Verdict: **
The market is anticipated to conclude its final leg of the downtrend, commencing from this Tuesday. However, the duration of this leg can range from 1 to 2 months.
I have identified several crucial dates for monitoring the upcoming trend. Stay informed!
**Strategy:**
Given the prevailing market conditions, adopting a bearish stance appears prudent.
Any sell positions executed after 23,550 will yield positive returns.
While it may seem counterintuitive to deviate from the prevailing trend, I am merely adhering to the established rules (without expressing any personal sentiment). However, it is inherently risky. Therefore, it is imperative to implement robust risk management strategies during such high-risk trades that are significantly influencing the market.
Additionally, please exercise caution regarding option buying. The low volatility environment is concerning, but it is anticipated to normalize as the downtrend progresses.
Fellow Traders,
The creation of this valuable analytical resource has required countless hours of dedication and effort. If you find it useful, I humbly request your support by boosting the idea and following me (updates will be provided via this post, new posts, and through minds). Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally.
Thank you for investing your time in reading this article.
Wishing you profitable and fulfilling trading endeavors!
Disclaimer:
Before concluding, I must emphasize that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is crucial for you to conduct your own research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial objectives and risk tolerance.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 25-Mar-2025📊 Nifty Trading Plan – 24-Mar-2025 (Educational & Strategy-Oriented)
Chart Timeframe: 15-Min | Key reference zones marked on chart
📍
🚀 GAP-UP Opening (Above 23,407)
If Nifty opens with a gap-up above 23,407, it will enter the Wave 3 Resistance Zone (23,508 – 23,582), which is a high-probability reversal zone.
✅ Plan of Action:
• Don’t rush into buying after the gap-up. Wait and observe the price behavior around 23,508 – 23,582.
• This area is likely to witness profit booking or short build-up.
• Look for signs of reversal like bearish engulfing, shooting star, or bearish divergence on RSI.
• If such patterns form, consider buying Put Options (OTM PE) with a stop-loss on a 15-min candle closing above 23,585.
• If Nifty sustains above 23,582 with strong volume, then we might be heading into an extended up-move, but this is lower probability.
• Safer trades are shorting on signs of exhaustion at higher levels.
📌 Key Zone to Watch: 23,508 – 23,582 (Wave 3 Resistance)
📈 FLAT Opening (Between 23,245 – 23,407)
This is the Opening Resistance / Support Band (23,345 – 23,407), acting as a decision-making zone.
✅ Plan of Action:
• Let the market settle in the first 15–30 mins.
• If price holds and builds strength above 23,345, Nifty may climb towards 23,407, and if broken, test 23,508+.
• Weak price action (rejection wicks or low volumes) from 23,345–23,407 signals weakness. In that case, look for short opportunities with SL above 23,407.
• Avoid CE entries unless price sustains above 23,407 with momentum and volume breakout.
• If price starts to slip below 23,245, sellers will get more active and price could drop quickly to next support.
📌 Key Decision Zone: 23,345 – 23,407
📌 Support Trigger: 23,245 (Opening Support)
📉 GAP-DOWN Opening (Below 23,245 or near 23,185 – 22,985)
If Nifty opens below the Opening Support at 23,245, or even near deeper support zones of 23,185 or 22,985, it will bring in volatility and create both breakdown and reversal opportunities.
✅ Plan of Action:
• A gap-down near 23,185 should be watched carefully. This is a minor intraday support. If held with a bullish candle (like a hammer), consider buying CE with SL below 23,160.
• If the gap-down extends to 22,985 (Last Support for Intraday), it's a strong bounce zone. A bullish reversal candle here provides high RR long trades.
• If price fails to hold 22,985, sellers may dominate and drag Nifty further down. Consider PE trades only after a 15-min close below 22,985.
• Avoid panic trading – let the zone react and only act based on confirmation candles.
📌 Bounce Zones: 23,185 and 22,985
📌 Breakdown Trigger: Below 22,985
🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders:
• Avoid trading first 5–15 mins after opening, especially on gap days – let price give structure.
• Use hedged strategies like Bull Call or Bear Put Spreads to reduce premium loss due to theta decay.
• Trade light near reversal zones – don’t go all-in on emotional conviction.
• Always place stop-loss on closing basis (15-min candle), not fixed points, especially during volatile moves.
• If VIX is high, premiums are inflated – focus on quick entry & exit, no holding hoping for magic.
📌 Summary & Conclusion:
• Nifty has entered a critical decision zone.
• Watch 23,407 carefully – above it, bulls may attempt a final push to 23,582, but signs of exhaustion there are likely.
• On the downside, supports at 23,185 & 22,985 will act as bounce zones.
• Directional trades should be initiated only after price confirms intent post opening.
• Use structure + volume for confidence in setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above content is for educational purposes only. Please do your own analysis or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan for 20-Mar-2025📅 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 20-Mar-2025
🕒 Timeframe: 15 Min | 📌 Reference Close: 22,911.80
📏 Gap Opening Threshold: 100+ points
📈 1. GAP-UP Opening Scenario (Opening Above 23,010)
If NIFTY opens 100+ points higher — around or above 23,010 — it enters the Profit Booking Zone: 22,995 – 23,067 .
✅ Action Plan:
- If Nifty opens in the 22,995–23,067 zone, avoid aggressive long trades at open. This zone has historically triggered selling pressure.
- Observe the behavior near 23,067 . If candles start rejecting higher prices or form reversal patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing), plan short trades with SL just above 23,067 .
- If Nifty crosses 23,067 with momentum and volume, upside extension is possible toward 23,185 — the Last Intraday Resistance .
- Avoid shorting blindly above 23,067 . Let price consolidate or form lower highs before initiating any counter-trend short.
📌 Educational Note: Profit booking zones often create whipsaws. Let the market decide the intent before jumping in.
🚫 Don't chase gaps — instead, wait for re-entry opportunities once price confirms direction.
📊 2. FLAT Opening Scenario (Between 22,850 – 22,950)
If NIFTY opens within a tight 40–50 point range around its closing level (±50 points), it's considered a flat opening.
✅ Action Plan:
- Allow the market to settle for the first 15–30 minutes . Avoid early entries.
- If Nifty sustains above 22,995 , we may see a quick move toward 23,067 . One can consider intraday longs above 22,995 with a stop loss near 22,950 .
- If price faces rejection at 22,995 and drops below 22,912–22,880 (previous close zone), short opportunities may arise toward 22,800 (Opening Support) .
- Keep an eye on 22,800 as it is a key intraday support. Breakdown below it can lead to a deeper fall toward 22,728 and 22,632 .
📌 Educational Note: Flat openings often provide the best setups if you let price action settle. Stay nimble and neutral till breakout/breakdown confirms.
📉 3. GAP-DOWN Opening Scenario (Opening Below 22,812)
If NIFTY opens with a gap-down of 100+ points (around or below 22,812 ) — look for action near support zones like 22,800, 22,728, and 22,632 .
✅ Action Plan:
- If Nifty opens near 22,800 and holds, wait for a reversal pattern. Intraday long trades are possible toward 22,912+ .
- A clean breakdown below 22,728 (Last Intraday Support) may trigger a slide toward 22,632 (Buyer’s Support) .
- Avoid catching falling knives. Only buy near 22,632 if there’s clear bullish reversal with volume confirmation.
- If price opens below 22,728 and tries to retest and fails to reclaim that level, short trades can be considered with a stop above 22,728 .
📌 Educational Note: Big gap-downs often attract panic exits in the first 15 mins. Wait for a base to form before looking for reversal trades.
🧠 OPTIONS TRADING – RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS
💼 Use defined stop losses based on 15-min or 30-min candle close. Avoid emotional exits.
⚖️ Avoid buying deep OTM options during rangebound conditions — prefer ATM or ITM for better delta control.
🛡️ Use hedged strategies like bull call spreads or bear put spreads during high IV scenarios.
📉 On breakdown or breakout days, trade with the trend using limited-risk directional strategies.
💰 Never risk more than 1.5–2% of capital per trade — capital preservation is key for consistency.
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION:
Gap-Up above 22,995: Profit booking zone. Wait for reversal signs or breakout to 23,185.
Flat Opening: Best setups possible — breakout above 22,995 or breakdown below 22,880.
Gap-Down below 22,812: Watch 22,800–22,632 support zones for potential reversal or breakdown.
🎯 Let price lead the way — react, don’t predict. Enter only on confirmation. Stay disciplined and respect the market structure.
📢 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . This trading plan is purely for educational purposes. Please consult with your financial advisor before taking any position.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan for 19-March-2025🔥 NIFTY – Intraday Trading Plan for 19-Mar-2025
Current Market Price (CMP): 22,848.75
Chart Time Frame: 15-min
📘 Opening Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY opens with a strong gap-up above 22,950, it would directly open into the Profit Booking Zone: 22,995 – 23,067 .
Avoid aggressive long entries near the opening if prices directly hit the profit booking zone, as early buying could trap latecomers. Wait and observe price action in the 22,995 – 23,067 range. If the index forms bullish consolidation with strength, breakout above 23,067 can push it towards the final resistance at 23,185. If rejection occurs near this zone, look for reversal signals like a 15-min bearish candle with follow-up selling to consider short scalps targeting back to 22,850 – 22,775.
🧠 Tip: Avoid call option entries if IVs are inflated and premiums are already factored in after a big gap-up. Time decay can eat your premiums fast.
📗 Opening Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (within 50-80 pts)
In case of a flat or minor gap opening near 22,800 – 22,850, the price will open just above the key consolidation zone: 22,727 – 22,801 .
Look for first 15-30 minutes consolidation. If NIFTY sustains above 22,801, fresh buying can push it to test 22,995. A failure to sustain above 22,801 and breakdown below 22,775 will drag prices back into the range. The downside targets then would be 22,656 and 22,532. No trade zone for flat opening: avoid trades inside 22,727 – 22,775, unless a directional breakout occurs.
🧠 Tip: For flat openings, best setups come after the first 15-30 minutes. Let the market decide the direction first—then align your trade.
📙 Opening Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (100+ points)
A gap-down below 22,700 will place the index back into or below the consolidation zone. Major supports are at 22,656**, 22,532, and Buyers’ Support: 22,270 – 22,320.
Aggressive buying should be avoided unless NIFTY shows strong reversal signals from support zones like 22,532 or 22,270. If prices bounce from the Buyers’ Support Zone, a quick upside retracement towards 22,656 or even 22,727 is possible. However, if NIFTY breaks below 22,270, it could enter a deeper correction territory—so keep strict stop losses.
🧠 Tip: When buying the dip in a gap-down scenario, use options spreads (e.g., bull call spreads) to reduce premium decay risk while maintaining upside exposure.
💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders:
✅ Use defined-risk strategies like spreads (Bull Call / Bear Put)
✅ Avoid chasing momentum in the first 15 minutes of market opening
✅ Stick to 1–2 high probability trades per day
✅ Always place stop loss based on structure or candle close
✅ Never average into losing options trades—respect time decay
✅ Focus on ATM or slightly OTM contracts with 1–2 day expiry for best gamma moves
📊 Summary & Conclusion:
Key Zones to Watch:
🔸 Resistance Zone: 22,995 – 23,067
🔸 Support Zone: 22,656 – 22,532
🔸 Buyers’ Zone: 22,270 – 22,320
🔸 No Trade Zone: 22,727 – 22,775
Be reactive, not predictive. Let price action guide your trades based on these levels. Respect volatility and avoid emotional trades.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. The above levels and insights are for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any positions. Trade responsibly! 💼📉
NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan for 18-Mar-2025📅 NIFTY INTRADAY TRADING PLAN – 18th March 2025 (Tuesday)
🕒 Timeframe: 15 Min | 📍Reference Closing: 22,515
📉 CHART STRUCTURE EXPLAINED:
Nifty closed near the middle of the Opening Resistance / Support Zone (22,508–22,547). There are clearly defined areas of support and resistance on both sides that help frame our intraday plan. Price action around these zones will provide direction for high-probability trades.
🟩 GAP-UP OPENING (100+ points): Above 22,617
If Nifty opens above the Last Intraday Resistance (22,617), it enters a potential breakout zone.
Avoid entering trades immediately after a GAP-UP above 22,617. Let the index retest this level for confirmation. If the price sustains above 22,617 for 15 minutes with higher volume, expect a continuation rally towards the Profit Booking Zone (22,727–22,801). Wait for a dip near 22,617 or even the upper band of 22,547. If the retest holds, go long with SL below 22,547. Profit booking is advised near 22,727–22,801 as this zone is likely to attract selling. Avoid fresh longs near 22,800 unless there’s a consolidation breakout.
🧠 Educational Note: Chasing GAP-UPs leads to poor entries. The best trades happen when price retests a broken resistance and confirms support.
🟨 FLAT OPENING (Within 22,508–22,547 Zone)
This is the Opening Resistance / Support Zone — a tricky area that demands patience.
Avoid trading in the first 15–30 minutes if price opens inside the 22,508–22,547 zone. It’s a chop zone, prone to false breakouts. A breakout above 22,547 with volume gives a long opportunity towards 22,617, and eventually 22,727. A breakdown below 22,508 brings the price into the Opening Support Zone (22,403–22,420). Watch for reversal signs here for possible bounce trades. Only consider directional trades once Nifty decisively exits this range.
🧠 Tip: In tight ranges, option premiums decay faster. Avoid entering trades without confirmation.
🟥 GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ points): Below 22,403
If Nifty opens below the Opening Support Zone, volatility increases and levels become more critical.
Support is visible at the Buyers' Zone (22,210–22,247). If the index opens around this zone, wait for a reversal pattern like bullish engulfing or double bottom on 15-min chart. If 22,210 holds with a strong bounce, a long can be initiated targeting 22,403–22,508 with SL below 22,210. However, if 22,210 breaks with conviction, bears may drag the index to 21,950–22,000 levels. Avoid shorts immediately at open—wait for either breakdown retest or confirmation below 22,210.
🧠 Insight: Panic gap-downs often trigger short-covering rallies. Watch how price behaves in the first hour.
📘 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTION TRADERS:
🛡️ Risk management is your ultimate edge in the market. Follow these key principles:
Never trade options without a stop loss. Monitor levels, not just premium prices. Avoid selling far OTM options when market structure is trending. It’s a trap during sharp moves. If market is inside range, go with spreads instead of naked options to reduce Theta burn. Size your positions wisely—don’t risk more than 1–2% of total capital on a single trade. Always book partial profits at target zones and trail the rest with a stop.
🧠 Options are like ice—they melt fast in choppy markets. Patience and timing are key!
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION:
✅ Resistance Levels: 22,617 / 22,727 / 22,801
✅ Support Levels: 22,403 / 22,210
✅ Critical Zones:
⚠️ 22,508–22,547 (Opening Decision Zone)
✅ 22,403–22,420 (Support)
🛑 22,727–22,801 (Profit Booking Zone)
👉 Wait for confirmation before entering. Let market structure guide your direction, not emotions.
❗ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This plan is shared purely for educational purposes. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 17-Mar-2025📊 NIFTY Trading Plan – 17-Mar-2025
Nifty is currently hovering near the Opening Support Zone: 22,351 – 22,378, with a key resistance at 22,442 and profit booking zone near 22,617. Depending on how the market opens, we will plan our trades accordingly.
💡 Let’s analyze different scenarios:
🔥 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points)
If Nifty opens above 22,442, the index will test the last intraday resistance at 22,551. A decisive breakout above 22,617 may trigger strong bullish momentum.
✅ Plan of Action:
If Nifty sustains above 22,551, look for bullish price action and enter longs with targets of 22,617 and 22,680+.
If a sharp rejection occurs near 22,617, consider booking partial profits and trail SL.
Avoid chasing longs if Nifty starts showing weakness near resistance. Wait for a pullback.
📌 Key Levels to Watch: 22,442 (Support) | 22,551 (Breakout Zone) | 22,617+ (Profit Booking Zone).
📢 Tip: In case of a fake breakout above 22,617, selling pressure may drag Nifty back to 22,442. Watch for reversal patterns before taking aggressive trades.
📉 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within 50 Points)
If Nifty opens near 22,383 – 22,434, we will monitor price action near the Opening Support/Resistance Zone. The first 30 minutes will be crucial for direction confirmation.
✅ Plan of Action:
If Nifty bounces from 22,351 – 22,378, look for long opportunities targeting 22,442 and 22,551.
If Nifty struggles to hold 22,442, expect sideways action. Trade only near major levels.
A breakdown below 22,351 will indicate weakness, leading to a test of 22,296 and 22,208.
📌 Key Levels to Watch: 22,351 – 22,378 (Support Zone) | 22,442 (Resistance) | 22,551 (Breakout Confirmation).
📢 Tip: Use a wait-and-watch approach in the first 30 minutes. Let the market establish direction before making big trades.
🛑 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points)
A gap-down below 22,351 could push Nifty towards the last intraday support of 22,296. If the selling extends, watch the golden retracement zone at 22,114, which is a high-probability demand zone.
✅ Plan of Action:
If Nifty stabilizes at 22,296, expect a recovery towards 22,351 – 22,378. Scalping opportunities exist.
If selling pressure continues below 22,296, expect a further slide to 22,114, which will be a must-watch area for buyers.
Only consider fresh longs at 22,114 if strong reversal signs appear. Else, avoid catching falling knives.
📌 Key Levels to Watch: 22,296 (Support) | 22,208 (Breakdown Confirmation) | 22,114 (Golden Buy Zone).
📢 Tip: Avoid aggressive longs in a gap-down scenario unless a clear reversal is seen at major supports. Watch for confirmation before entering any trade.
⚡ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
🔹 Premium Decay Alert: If Nifty consolidates, avoid buying OTM options. Time decay will erode premiums.
🔹 Hedge Positions: If selling options, hedge using spreads to reduce risk.
🔹 Exit at SL: Do not hold options hoping for reversals. Stick to the predefined SL.
🔹 Avoid Trading the First 5-Minutes: Market volatility is high; let a pattern form.
🔹 Size Appropriately: If uncertain, reduce lot size and wait for confirmation.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ If Nifty Opens Gap-Up: Watch for 22,551 – 22,617 resistance zones. A breakout can trigger further upside.
✅ If Nifty Opens Flat: First 30 minutes are crucial. Support at 22,351 – 22,378 should hold for longs.
✅ If Nifty Opens Gap-Down: Watch 22,296 for a reaction. If broken, 22,114 is a key buy zone.
📢 Final Note: The best trades come when price action confirms levels. Avoid emotional trading and respect stop losses.
📜 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . All views are for educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 13-Mar-2025📘 NIFTY Trading Plan for 13-Mar-2025
Chart Reference: Nifty is currently trading near 22,468, with price showing rejection from near-term resistance. Multiple levels such as 22,435, 22,496, and 22,600 are key zones to watch.
Let’s break down the trading approach into opening scenarios 👇
✅ 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ points above previous close)
If NIFTY opens near or above the Opening Resistance Zone – 22,600 to 22,626 :
📍 This zone has acted as a supply area earlier, and a gap-up into this area could trap late buyers if not sustained.
🟧 Scenario 1 – Rejection at Resistance:
🔻 If NIFTY opens within this resistance zone and shows early weakness (such as a bearish engulfing, evening star, or rejection wick), short trades can be considered.
🎯 Targets:
➤ 22,496 (Initial Support)
➤ 22,435 (Next Support)
🟩 Scenario 2 – Breakout Above 22,626:
✅ A strong 15-min bullish candle above 22,626 with volume confirmation can trigger a long entry.
🎯 Targets:
➤ 22,680
➤ 22,800 (Last Intraday Resistance)
🧠 Tip: In gap-up opens, avoid immediate entries. Wait 15–30 mins for the market to establish direction. If upside sustains with strength, trail using VWAP or 5-min EMA.
⚖️ 2. FLAT OPENING (within ±100 points)
If NIFTY opens between 22,435 – 22,496:
This region is the Opening Support/Resistance Zone , meaning both bulls and bears will be active here. The key is to observe who dominates.
🟩 Long Setup:
If NIFTY holds above 22,496 and gives a breakout above 22,600, it will confirm bullish strength.
🎯 Upside Targets:
➤ 22,680
➤ 22,800
🟥 Short Setup:
If price fails to hold above 22,435 and breaks below it with momentum:
🎯 Downside Targets:
➤ 22,319 (Opening Support)
➤ 22,208 (Last Intraday Support)
🧠 Tip: Use option strategies like straddles or strangles near this flat zone if expecting a breakout or expansion in volatility. Avoid naked directional trades unless there is strong confirmation.
🔻 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ points below previous close)
If NIFTY opens near or below 22,319 (Opening Support):
📍 The area between 22,319 – 22,208 is critical for support. Watch closely for price action.
🟩 Reversal Setup:
If NIFTY opens near 22,208–22,319 and holds this support with signs of strength (bullish pin bar, morning star, or strong bullish volume), a reversal trade can be taken.
🎯 Targets:
➤ 22,435
➤ 22,496
🟥 Breakdown Setup:
If support at 22,208 breaks with a large red candle and follow-through, short trades can be initiated.
🎯 Targets:
➤ 22,140–22,100 Zone (Intraday Expansion Move)
🧠 Tip: Gap-downs can lead to high implied volatility. Be cautious of IV crush if reversal happens. Consider bear put spreads to manage premium risk.
💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
Avoid buying deep OTM options post 12 PM unless there is strong trend confirmation. Always trade with a defined stop-loss. Use 15-min closing basis for better validation. Consider spreads (bull call, bear put) to reduce the impact of theta decay. On volatile days, reduce position size and hedge your trades. Don’t trade immediately after a gap — let the first 15–30 mins settle to avoid traps.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Key Resistance Zones:
➤ 22,600–22,626 (Opening Resistance)
➤ 22,800 (Last Intraday Resistance)
✅ Key Support Zones:
➤ 22,435 (Pivot Zone)
➤ 22,319 (Opening Support)
➤ 22,208 (Last Support Zone)
🎯 Let price action guide your trade around these key levels. Remember — reacting to the market is better than predicting it.
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This trading plan is shared purely for educational purposes. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan for 12-Mar-2025📅 NIFTY Trading Plan – 12-Mar-2025
(Timeframe: 15-min | Chart structure based on demand/supply and price action)
Opening Scenarios 📈📉
Gap-Up Opening (📍+100 Points or more)
If Nifty opens above the 22,598 resistance zone, price may initially test this level as support.
🔹 A successful hold here can trigger a bullish rally toward the last intraday resistance at 22,800, with intraday targets around 22,700+.
🔸 However, if Nifty fails to sustain above 22,598 and slips back inside the orange resistance zone, a corrective dip back to 22,496–22,482 may occur.
📌 Plan of Action:
✅ Buy on retest & strength above 22,598
❌ Avoid fresh longs if candles close back below 22,598
Flat Opening (±100 Points)
If Nifty opens near 22,520–22,482, this range becomes a decision-making zone.
🔹 Holding above 22,520 can provide a quick upside move toward 22,598+.
🔸 On the other hand, weakness below 22,482, especially on hourly close, can open downside toward the Opening Support Zone: 22,358–22,415.
📌 Plan of Action:
✅ Wait for the first 15–30 min range breakout
💡 Above 22,520 = bullish bias
⚠️ Below 22,482 = cautious; only scalp short with confirmation
Gap-Down Opening (📉 -100 Points or more)
A gap-down near or below 22,358–22,415 places price directly into the Opening Support Zone.
🔹 Watch for price rejection wicks or bullish reversal candles near this zone.
🔸 If broken decisively, Nifty may test 22,259 (last intraday support) and then the Best Buy Zone: 22,115–22,155, which aligns with the golden retracement zone.
📌 Plan of Action:
✅ Wait and observe price action at 22,358–22,259
📉 Short only if there's breakdown with volume
📈 Strong bounce near 22,115–22,155 = high RR long trade setup
📘 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders 💡
📏 Avoid buying OTM calls or puts after big gap openings . Wait 15–30 mins for premium decay to stabilize.
🛑 Always place SL based on chart levels or candle close—not fixed points .
🧠 Avoid averaging losing options positions —theta decay can kill.
💸 Position sizing is key: Never risk more than 1–2% of capital per trade.
🎯 Trade with a plan, not emotions. Let levels guide your decisions.
📊 Summary & Key Levels
🔹 Upside Resistance: 22,598 – 22,800
🔸 Key Pivot Levels: 22,520 / 22,482
🟢 Support Zones: 22,358 – 22,259 – 22,115
⚠️ Best Risk-Reward Zone: 22,115 – 22,155 (Watch for reversal signs)
📌 Conclusion
Nifty is trading in a reactive zone. Smart trading lies in reacting to key levels, not predicting. Avoid emotional trades near resistance or support—let price confirmation guide you. Patience will reward the prepared trader.
📛 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. All views shared are for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trades.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 11-Mar-2025📅 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 11-Mar-2025
🕘 Time Frame: 15-Min | 📍 Strategy: Market Structure + Zones of Interest
📉 Previous Close: 22,441.10
📌 Consider 100+ points for Gap-Up / Gap-Down thresholds
🔼 1. GAP-UP OPENING (Above 22,541+)
A gap-up opening above 22,541 would place Nifty around or above the Opening Resistance zone. In such cases, the market may attempt to challenge the Last Intraday Resistance at 22,623, and possibly even push into the Major Resistance Zone between 22,706–22,744.
🧠 Plan of Action:
Wait for the price to show reaction around 22,623. If it struggles to sustain above this level and forms a bearish 15-min candle, it's a good risk-reward shorting opportunity.
Targets on the downside could be 22,512, and if weakness persists, then a slide toward 22,441 is possible.
Only if price breaks and holds above 22,744 (hourly candle close), consider going long for a possible extension toward 22,800+.
🔍 Caution: A gap-up directly into resistance zone can cause profit booking and volatility. Don’t chase a runaway rally unless momentum with volume confirms breakout.
🎯 Short Zone: 22,620–22,740 (Rejection candles preferred)
📈 Breakout Long above: 22,744 (With hourly close + volume)
➖ 2. FLAT OPENING (±100 points near 22,441)
A flat open near the previous close of 22,441 keeps Nifty inside a decision zone. It sits between the Opening Resistance (22,512) and the Consolidation Zone (22,321–22,410). This is where early traps often occur.
🧠 Plan of Action:
Let the first 15–30 mins settle. If Nifty bounces from 22,321–22,350, it can be considered a buy with tight SL below 22,321, targeting 22,512–22,623.
On the flip side, if price fails to hold 22,321, wait for a clean breakdown with volume — in that case, shorting opportunities open up toward 22,115.
Avoid overtrading in the consolidation zone — wait for structure to develop clearly.
🟧 Key Zone to Watch: 22,321–22,410 — Acts as possible trap zone with choppy moves.
🎯 Buy on Bounce: 22,321–22,350 (Confirmation needed)
📉 Short below: 22,321 (Strong candle + volume)
🔽 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (Below 22,341)
If Nifty opens below 22,341, it may test or even open inside the Support Zone / Must Try Area for Buyers around 22,115 — which coincides with a key Golden Retracement and past support area.
🧠 Plan of Action:
If Nifty opens near 22,150–22,120, watch for reversal candles like bullish engulfing, morning star, or hammer patterns. If formed, it’s a good risk-reward zone to go long with SL below 22,100.
If price breaks and sustains below 22,100, avoid longs and prepare for further downside toward 21,950–21,880 in upcoming sessions.
Never jump into longs blindly on gap-downs — price action is king.
🟢 Buy Zone on Reversal: 22,150–22,115
🟥 Breakdown Trigger: Below 22,100 (Hourly candle close)
💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders:
🕒 Wait for the first 15–30 minutes to pass — let the market reveal its intent. 📉 Use spreads (Bull Call or Bear Put) when trading near volatile zones like resistances or supports. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss — either on premium value or index level (preferably both). 🧠 Avoid emotional trading — don’t average into losing positions. 💼 Trade position size wisely — don't go all-in on a single idea. 🧾 Keep a trading journal to improve your strategy over time.
📌 Summary & Conclusion:
🔺 Gap-Up = Watch for weakness near 22,623–22,744 — possible reversal or breakout
🔘 Flat = High chance of whipsaws — trade only after clear setup forms near 22,321 or 22,512
🔻 Gap-Down = Support test likely at 22,115 — potential reversal or breakdown
⚠️ Always respect the market structure and trade with discipline. Avoid predicting — react to what the market shows.
📢 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Nifty Outlook: Bulls vs Bears - Key Levels to Watch Next Week
Nifty closed at 22,552, up by around 330 points from last week's close, hitting a high of 22,633 and a low of 21,964. As anticipated last week, the index found support at the 100-day WEMA around the 22,000 level, triggering a bounce. Looking ahead, next week is crucial, as the market is at a crossroads. While the monthly and weekly timeframes continue to show bearish signals, the bulls are actively trying to take control and push the market higher.
Here’s what to watch for:
Key Resistance: If Nifty manages to stay above 22,800 next week, we could see a short-covering rally, driving the index towards the 23,000 to 23,050 range. However, beyond these levels, the bulls may face significant challenges in taking the market further up.
Critical Support: On the downside, 22,000 remains a major support level. A break below this level could signal a fresh downtrend, possibly leading the market towards 19,500.
Next week is expected to be volatile, given the short trading week due to the holiday on Friday. This could lead to profit-taking from long traders, which might put downward pressure on the market. Keep a close eye on this week's low of 21,964. If it breaks, the market may open up to sharp declines.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has found support at the 50-day WEMA and closed at 5,770. On the weekly timeframe, it looks like the S&P 500 is forming a W pattern, with potential upside towards 5,850-5,890 next week before any pullback. If the S&P rallies as expected, it could provide a boost to Indian markets as well.
Next week is set to be decisive. Will the bulls overcome the bearish pressure, or will the market succumb to further selling? Stay alert, as the battle between bulls and bears continues.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 06-Mar-2025Market Context:
Nifty closed at 22,337, with the following key structural levels:
🔴 Profit Booking Zone: 22,635
🟠 No Trade Zone: 22,356 - 22,462
🟢 Opening Support: 22,200 - 22,230
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 22,165 - 22,057
Considering a 100+ point gap opening, let's analyze the possible trading scenarios for the day.
🟢 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 22,450)
If Nifty opens above 22,450, it moves into or above the No Trade Zone (22,356 - 22,462).
Sustaining above 22,462 – If the market holds this level with strong momentum, Nifty can rally toward the Profit Booking Zone at 22,635.
Rejection from 22,462 – If price struggles to break above 22,462, it may pull back toward the previous resistance at 22,356, which now acts as support.
If price consolidates inside the No Trade Zone, it signals uncertainty, and traders should wait for a clear direction before taking action.
🔹 Trading Plan:
Go long only if Nifty sustains above 22,462 on an hourly close, targeting 22,635.
Sell below 22,356 if rejection is observed, with a target of 22,289.
Options traders can consider 22,500 CE for long trades and 22,400 PE if rejection occurs.
🟡 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within 22,300 - 22,350)
A flat opening near 22,346 places Nifty in a neutral range, requiring confirmation for the next move.
A move above 22,356 will push the index toward the No Trade Zone (22,356 - 22,462). If sustained, a breakout above 22,462 can open room for higher levels.
A drop below 22,300 brings the price closer to the Opening Support Zone (22,200 - 22,230), making this level crucial for short-term buyers.
If price trades between 22,300 - 22,356, wait for a decisive breakout before entering trades.
🔹 Trading Plan:
Avoid taking trades inside the No Trade Zone and wait for a breakout.
Go long above 22,462, targeting 22,635.
Sell below 22,300 for a move toward 22,200, with stop-loss at 22,356.
Options traders can use 22,400 CE for longs and 22,300 PE for shorts.
🔴 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below 22,200)
A gap-down near 22,200 - 22,057 will bring price into the Opening Support & Last Intraday Support Zones.
Holding 22,200 – If price finds support here, a strong bounce can push Nifty back toward 22,356.
Breaking 22,165 – If selling pressure persists, the next downside target is 22,057, which is the last major support.
If price enters the 22,057 - 22,165 range, this zone could act as a major reversal point based on previous demand zones.
🔹 Trading Plan:
Look for buying opportunities at 22,200 if price shows reversal signals.
If breakdown below 22,165 occurs, wait for confirmation before shorting toward 22,057.
Options traders can use 22,200 PE for breakdown trades and 22,100 CE for bounces.
📊 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
✅ Use Stop Loss on an Hourly Close Basis – Avoid holding options without confirmation of direction.
✅ Avoid Trading in the No Trade Zone – Let price break out before taking a position.
✅ Monitor India VIX – If volatility is high, premiums may decay faster. Avoid unnecessary trades.
✅ Partial Profit Booking is Key – Secure profits at resistance & support levels instead of waiting for full targets.
✅ Avoid Holding Trades Overnight – Unless there is a strong directional bias, overnight positions carry additional risk.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
Bullish Scenario: Above 22,462, Nifty can rally toward 22,635.
Neutral Zone: If trading between 22,300 - 22,356, wait for confirmation before entering trades.
Bearish Scenario: Below 22,165, weakness can extend toward 22,057, where a bounce is likely.
🔹 Best Risk-Reward Trades:
Buy near 22,200 if support holds.
Sell below 22,165 for a breakdown.
Buy only on a confirmed breakout above 22,462.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.