NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 25-Mar-2025Market Context:
Nifty closed at 22,080.30, with key structural zones identified:
🔴 Last Intraday Resistance Zone: 22,188 - 22,230
🟠 No Trade Zone: 22,070 - 21,966
🟢 Opening Support: 21,966
🟢 Last Intraday Support: 21,889
🟩 Key Demand Zone: 21,613 - 21,889 (Potential Wave C Completion Area)
With a 100+ point gap opening considered, let’s analyze different market scenarios.
🟢 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 22,180)
If Nifty opens above 22,180, it enters the Last Intraday Resistance Zone (22,188 - 22,230).
Sustaining above 22,230 – A breakout above this resistance can lead to a potential move toward 22,356.
Failure at 22,230 – A rejection from this level could push Nifty back toward 22,080, the previous closing level.
If price consolidates near 22,230 without strong buying, it signals a possible reversal, making a short trade viable.
🔹 Trading Plan:
Go long only if Nifty sustains above 22,230 on an hourly close, targeting 22,356.
Sell below 22,188 if rejection is observed, with a target of 22,080.
Options traders can consider 22,200 CE for longs and 22,300 PE if rejection occurs.
🟡 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within 22,070 - 22,100)
A flat opening near 22,080 places Nifty in a neutral zone, requiring clear direction.
A move above 22,100 may lead to an attempt toward the resistance at 22,188 - 22,230.
A drop below 22,070 would push price into the No Trade Zone, signaling indecision.
A break below 21,966 will shift momentum bearish, targeting 21,889.
🔹 Trading Plan:
Avoid trades inside the No Trade Zone and wait for a breakout.
A rejection from 22,188 can offer a short trade opportunity toward 22,070.
Long positions should only be considered above 22,230, with proper stop-loss management.
🔴 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below 21,980)
A gap-down near 21,966 - 21,889 will bring price into Opening Support & Last Intraday Support Zones.
Holding 21,889 – A strong bounce can occur from this level, offering a buying opportunity.
Breaking 21,889 – If sustained selling continues, Nifty may move toward the Wave C Completion Zone (21,613 - 21,889).
If price enters the 21,613 - 21,889 range, this zone could act as a major reversal point based on the daily chart.
🔹 Trading Plan:
Look for buying opportunities at 21,889 if price shows signs of reversal.
If breakdown below 21,889 occurs, wait for confirmation before shorting toward 21,613.
Options traders can use 21,900 PE for breakdown trades and 21,800 CE for bounces.
📊 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
✅ Use Stop Loss on an Hourly Close Basis – Avoid holding options without confirmation of direction.
✅ Trade Small in No Trade Zones – Wait for a breakout or rejection before increasing position size.
✅ Monitor India VIX – If volatility spikes, avoid aggressive short selling.
✅ Book Profits at Resistance & Support Levels – Avoid holding options till expiry unless confident in direction.
✅ Stay Disciplined – If market structure changes, be quick to adapt rather than forcing trades.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
Bullish Scenario: Above 22,230, Nifty can rally toward 22,356.
Neutral Zone: If trading between 21,966 - 22,070, wait for confirmation before trading.
Bearish Scenario: Below 21,889, weakness can extend toward 21,613, where a bounce is expected.
🔹 Best Risk-Reward Trades:
Buy near 21,889 if support holds.
Sell below 21,889 for a breakdown.
Buy only on a confirmed breakout above 22,230.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Niftytrendanalysis
NIFTY : Is still Panic Ahead?
In Continuation of my last analysis on 27-Jan-2025
Updated on Daily Charts
Bullish Wave Completion (Wave 1):
The initial upward move saw prices reach a bullish wave completion zone between 21,179 and 22,481. This zone represents the culmination of a strong impulsive wave, with consolidation occurring around the lower band (21,179) after peaking. The support held firm, indicating potential for further upside initially.
Extended Wave C or Wave 3 Profit Booking (Wave 2):
Following the bullish peak, an extended Wave C or Wave 3 profit-booking zone was identified between 22,086 and 22,636. This zone triggered a sharp decline as prices hit the upper band, suggesting overextension and exhaustion of bullish momentum. The drop broke below the support of this zone, setting the stage for a corrective phase.
Correction Wave (Wave 3):
A corrective wave formed, confirmed by a 50% Fibonacci retracement of the prior upward move. This retracement level acted as a natural pullback point, with prices stabilizing briefly before resuming their downward trajectory. This wave indicates a healthy correction within the larger trend.
Support and Further Correction (Wave 4):
Prices found temporary support within the correction wave zone of 22,758 - 23,054. However, this support failed, leading to a further decline after the formation of Wave 4 on a minor wave. The chart marks this as part of an extended correction wave completion zone (21,613 - 21,894), where current price action is converging.
Current Market Position and Outlook:
As of the chart's context (March 2023, with the current date being March 4, 2025), prices are trading toward the extended correction zone (21,613 - 21,894). This zone represents a critical level where buyers might step in, but a break below could signal deeper losses.
Short-term resistance is noted around 23,054, while a sustained move below 21,894 could target the Primary Wave 4 bottom at 19,683. This level aligns with a significant long-term support zone, making it a key area to watch for reversal or continuation.
Trading Implications:
Bullish Case: If prices hold above 21,894 and show signs of reversal (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns or increased volume), traders might anticipate a bounce toward 23,054.
Bearish Case: A break below 21,894 with strong momentum could open the door to 19,683, especially if broader market sentiment turns negative.
Risk management is crucial, with stop-losses recommended below key support levels and targets set near resistance zones.
NIFTY 50 Trade Setup 20 FEB EXPIRY -- Education purpose only--Nifty 50 Faces Key Support At 22,800 Levels
open interest distribution for the Nifty 50 Feb. 20 expiry series indicated most activity at 23,500 call strikes, with the 23,000 put strikes having maximum open interest.
Nifty 50 support is placed at 22,800. "If Nifty 50 falls below 22800, then the selling will trigger. Nifty 50 immediate resistance at 23,000,"
19th Feb Target 1 22687.08
Nifty 50 long term trend analysis, major support and resistance Nifty 50 Index (NSEI: NIFTY) was in a trend for 12 years from June 2008 to Dec 2020. In December 2020 it broke out of this range at ~13357 and almost doubled in just shy of 4 years (September 2024) peaking at ~26277.
Support 1 : 21870 (Fib 23.6%)
Support 2 : 19114 (Fib 38.2%)
Support 3 : 16909 (Fib 50%)
Note: Not an investment / trade recommendation. Just for educational purposes only.
NIFTY Intraday Trading levels and Plan – 28-Feb-2025
This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on February 28, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,763 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,663), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher.
If the price sustains above 22,763, it could target the resistance zone of 22,884–22,900. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs.
If the price faces rejection at 22,884–22,900, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,700–22,663 (opening resistance and previous close).
Should the price break above 22,900 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,000 or higher.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,763 , targeting 22,884–22,900. Use a stop-loss below 22,663 to manage risk.
✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,884–22,900, aiming for 22,700–22,663. Place a stop-loss above 22,900 to limit potential losses.
Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points reflects bullish sentiment, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky due to volatility. Waiting for a retest of 22,763 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,884–22,900 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,663–22,700)
If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,663–22,700, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out.
A breakout above 22,700 could drive prices toward 22,884–22,900, signaling bullish momentum.
A breakdown below 22,663 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,510–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support) or even 22,268–22,070 (buyer’s support levels).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy above 22,700 , targeting 22,884–22,900. Use a stop-loss below 22,663 to protect against a false breakout.
✔️ Sell below 22,663 , targeting 22,510–22,356 or 22,268–22,070. Set a stop-loss above 22,700 to manage downside risk.
Explanation: A Flat opening often results in consolidation, making it challenging to trade without confirmation. The 22,663–22,700 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to avoid fake moves and ensure higher probability trades.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens below 22,563 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,663), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market.
Immediate support lies at 22,510–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,663–22,700 could occur.
If 22,356 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,268–22,070 (buyer’s support for a possible reversal).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy near 22,356 , targeting a pullback to 22,663–22,700. Use a stop-loss below 22,268 to limit risk.
✔️ Short below 22,356 , targeting 22,268–22,070. Place a stop-loss above 22,356 to protect against a quick recovery.
Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can rebound if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,356 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities. The 22,268–22,070 zone offers a potential reversal point if buying interest emerges.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses.
🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,884 or 22,356) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves.
🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions.
💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
✔️ Bullish Above: 22,700 → Target: 22,884–22,900.
✔️ Bearish Below: 22,663 → Target: 22,510–22,356 or 22,268–22,070.
✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,663–22,700 (Wait for a breakout).
Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on February 28, 2025. 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan – 27-Feb-2025📌
This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY index on February 27, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY opens above 22,784 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher.
If the price sustains above 22,784, it could target the resistance zone of 22,871–22,987. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs.
If the price faces rejection at 22,871–22,987, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,710–22,684 (opening resistance and previous close).
Should the price break above 22,987 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,000 or higher.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,784 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to manage risk.
✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,871–22,987, aiming for 22,710–22,684. Place a stop-loss above 22,987 to limit potential losses.
Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points reflects bullish sentiment, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky due to volatility. Waiting for a retest of 22,784 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,871–22,987 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,684–22,710)
If NIFTY opens within the range of 22,684–22,710, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out.
A breakout above 22,710 could drive prices toward 22,871–22,987, signaling bullish momentum.
A breakdown below 22,684 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support) or even 22,400 (key support level).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy above 22,710 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to protect against a false breakout.
✔️ Sell below 22,684 , targeting 22,505–22,356 or 22,400. Set a stop-loss above 22,710 to manage downside risk.
Explanation: A Flat opening often results in consolidation, making it challenging to trade without confirmation. The 22,684–22,710 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to avoid fake moves and ensure higher probability trades.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY opens below 22,584 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market.
Immediate support lies at 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,684–22,710 could occur.
If 22,505 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,070 (buyer’s support for a possible reversal).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy near 22,505 , targeting a pullback to 22,684–22,710. Use a stop-loss below 22,356 to limit risk.
✔️ Short below 22,505 , targeting 22,070. Place a stop-loss above 22,505 to protect against a quick recovery.
Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can rebound if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,505 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities. The 22,070 zone offers a potential reversal point if buying interest emerges.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses.
🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,871 or 22,505) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves.
🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions.
💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
✔️ Bullish Above: 22,710 → Target: 22,871–22,987.
✔️ Bearish Below: 22,684 → Target: 22,505–22,356 or 22,070.
✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,684–22,710 (Wait for a breakout).
Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY market effectively on February 27, 2025. 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NIFTY EASY TO UNDERSTANDNIFTY Easy to understand analysis share with you when market go down to demand zone we will see buy from that level if market go to upside then we will see sell on that level those i shared in this chart.
Remember! The Market is a Device for Transferring Money From The Impatient To The patient.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 25-Feb-2025This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on February 25, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,784 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher.
If the price sustains above 22,784, it could target the resistance zone of 22,871–22,987. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs.
If the price faces rejection at 22,871–22,987, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,710–22,684 (opening resistance and previous close).
Should the price break above 22,987 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,000 or higher.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,784 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to manage risk.
✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,871–22,987, aiming for 22,710–22,684. Place a stop-loss above 22,987 to limit potential losses.
Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points reflects bullish sentiment, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky due to volatility. Waiting for a retest of 22,784 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,871–22,987 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,684–22,710)
If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,684–22,710, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out.
A breakout above 22,710 could drive prices toward 22,871–22,987, signaling bullish momentum.
A breakdown below 22,684 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support) or even 22,400 (key support level).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy above 22,710 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to protect against a false breakout.
✔️ Sell below 22,684 , targeting 22,505–22,356 or 22,400. Set a stop-loss above 22,710 to manage downside risk.
Explanation: A Flat opening often results in consolidation, making it challenging to trade without confirmation. The 22,684–22,710 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to avoid fake moves and ensure higher probability trades.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens below 22,584 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market.
Immediate support lies at 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,684–22,710 could occur.
If 22,505 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,240 (buyer’s support for a possible reversal).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy near 22,505 , targeting a pullback to 22,684–22,710. Use a stop-loss below 22,356 to limit risk.
✔️ Short below 22,505 , targeting 22,240. Place a stop-loss above 22,505 to protect against a quick recovery.
Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can rebound if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,505 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities. The 22,240 zone offers a potential reversal point if buying interest emerges.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses.
🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,871 or 22,505) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves.
🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions.
💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
✔️ Bullish Above: 22,710 → Target: 22,871–22,987.
✔️ Bearish Below: 22,684 → Target: 22,505–22,356 or 22,240.
✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,684–22,710 (Wait for a breakout).
Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on February 25, 2025. 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 24-Feb-2025NIFTY 50 Intraday Trading Plan – 24-Feb-2025
This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on February 24, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline structured action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with clarity and discipline. 📈🔍
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,987 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,887), it indicates strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests buyers are aggressively entering the market, potentially driving prices higher.
If the price sustains above 22,987, it could target the resistance zone of 23,138–23,300. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure might emerge due to historical resistance.
If the price faces rejection at 23,138–23,300, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,764–22,887 (the previous close and support zone).
Should the price break above 23,300 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,400 or higher.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,987 , targeting 23,138–23,300. Use a stop-loss below 22,887 to manage risk.
✔️ Short if the price rejects 23,138–23,300, aiming for 22,764–22,887. Place a stop-loss above 23,300 to limit potential losses.
Explanation: A Gap-Up opening reflects optimism, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky. Waiting for a retest of 22,987 ensures confirmation of bullish intent, while the resistance at 23,138–23,300 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A breakdown from this resistance could signal a false breakout, offering a shorting opportunity.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,764–22,887)
If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,764–22,887, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out.
A breakout above 22,887 could drive prices toward 23,138–23,300, signaling bullish momentum.
A breakdown below 22,764 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,510 (last intraday support) or even 22,235–22,156 (buyer’s support zone).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy above 22,887 , targeting 23,138–23,300. Use a stop-loss below 22,764 to protect against a false breakout.
✔️ Sell below 22,764 , targeting 22,510 or 22,235–22,156. Set a stop-loss above 22,887 to manage downside risk.
Explanation: A Flat opening often leads to consolidation, making it tricky to trade without confirmation. The 22,764–22,887 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) before entering positions to avoid fake moves.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens below 22,664 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,887), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market.
Immediate support lies at 22,510–22,400 (last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,764–22,887 could occur.
If 22,510 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,235–22,156 (buyer’s support zone).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy near 22,510 , targeting a pullback to 22,764–22,887. Use a stop-loss below 22,400 to limit risk.
✔️ Short below 22,510 , targeting 22,235–22,156. Place a stop-loss above 22,510 to protect against a quick recovery.
Explanation: A Gap-Down opening indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can recover if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,510 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses.
🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 23,138 or 22,510) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves.
🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions.
💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
✔️ Bullish Above: 22,887 → Target: 23,138–23,300.
✔️ Bearish Below: 22,764 → Target: 22,510 or 22,235–22,156.
✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,764–22,887 (Wait for a breakout).
Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on February 24, 2025. 🚀
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan 20-Feb-2025We will analyze three possible opening conditions and strategize accordingly. Key levels are marked for better decision-making.
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY opens above 23,008 (last intraday resistance):
Sustaining above 23,008 can lead to an upside move towards 23,158 - 23,191 (Profit Booking Zone). If price sustains above this, we may see further bullish momentum.
Watch for rejection at 23,158-23,191—a reversal here could trigger selling pressure, providing a shorting opportunity with a target back to 23,008.
Aggressive traders can look for quick scalping opportunities on breakouts with strict stop-loss.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy on breakout & retest of 23,008, targeting 23,158 - 23,191.
✔️ Short if price rejects 23,158-23,191, aiming for 23,008.
⚠️ Risk Tip: If price consolidates near 23,008, avoid trading immediately—wait for a strong direction confirmation.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,954 - 22,914)
If NIFTY opens within the 22,914 - 22,954 zone (Opening Resistance/Support), this could act as a No Trade Zone due to potential choppiness.
A decisive breakout above 22,954 can lead to a move towards 23,008 and higher levels.
A breakdown below 22,886 (Opening Support) could trigger selling towards 22,795.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy above 22,954, targeting 23,008 and 23,158.
✔️ Sell below 22,886, targeting 22,795.
⚠️ Risk Tip: Avoid trading inside the No Trade Zone (22,895 - 22,949) unless a clear breakout happens with strong volume.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY opens below 22,795, it signals weakness.
Immediate support exists at 22,740 - 22,758 (Last Intraday Support). If this holds, expect a possible pullback towards 22,886 - 22,914.
If 22,740 breaks, expect further downside towards 22,636 (Buyer’s Support).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy near 22,740, targeting a pullback to 22,886 - 22,914.
✔️ Short below 22,740, targeting 22,636 and lower.
⚠️ Risk Tip: In a gap-down scenario, watch for consolidation before entering. A weak opening doesn’t always mean immediate selling—wait for confirmation.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
🛑 Always use a strict stop-loss to protect capital.
🎯 Take partial profits at key levels to secure gains.
🕰️ Avoid overtrading—wait for clear price action confirmation.
💰 Use proper position sizing to manage risk.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
✔️ Bullish Above: 23,008 → Target: 23,158 - 23,191.
✔️ Bearish Below: 22,886 → Target: 22,795 - 22,740.
✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,895 - 22,949 (Wait for breakout).
Trade with a plan, manage risk wisely, and stay disciplined. ✅🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trades. 📉📈
Nifty Analysis: Potential Final Low and Key Reversal ZonesNifty Analysis: Potential Final Low and Key Reversal Zones
Pattern & Wave Structure
=====================
1. The market appears to be in the late stages of a higher-degree Wave (4) correction in a classical A‑B‑C formation.
2. Based on current wave counts, the 17th February low could mark the completion of Wave C (and thus Wave (4)).
3. If the price undercuts that low again, the 25th Feb–6th March window stands out as another high‑probability reversal zone.
Price & Time Analysis
================
1. Fibonacci Retracements near the 23,400–22,550 region align with typical corrective targets (0.382 and 0.5 retracements).
2. Several cycle durations (High‑High, Low‑Low, etc.) also converge in the late Feb to early March window, suggesting that if the 17th Feb low fails, price is likely to pivot within this narrow time band.
Momentum Across Multiple Time Frames
==============================
1. Daily (8‑ & 13‑period Stoch RSI): Just triggered a bullish reversal signal, indicating a near‑term upside bias.
2. Weekly Stoch RSI: Currently in a bearish phase but could shift higher if price stabilizes or rallies from current levels.
3. Monthly Momentum: Deep in oversold territory, suggesting the market is nearing a major inflection point (downside risk appears more limited).
Overall Outlook
===========
With three time frames hinting that bearish momentum is losing steam—and a clear confluence of Fibonacci targets and time cycles—downside appears limited if not already exhausted.
A decisive push above recent swing highs would strengthen the case that the 17th Feb low was a significant bottom.
Conversely, a brief extension lower into late Feb–early March could still offer a strong rebound if support is confirmed in that zone.
Conclusion
=========
The interplay of price levels, time cycles, and momentum indicators points to a potential final leg of the correction nearing completion. If 17th Feb was not the turning point, then the upcoming 25th Feb–6th March window may serve as an important inflection date for Nifty. Keep an eye on key Fibonacci support zones and the evolving Stoch RSI signals for confirmation of a sustained upside move.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 19-Feb-2025We will analyze potential trade setups for NIFTY based on three different opening scenarios: Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down. The plan is designed to help traders navigate the market effectively while managing risk.
📍 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens with a gap-up above 22930, we need to carefully assess the price action at key resistance zones.
✅ Plan of Action:
If the index sustains above 22950, it may move towards the 23039-23065 resistance zone.
A strong breakout above 23065 can push NIFTY towards 23178. However, watch for rejection signs near resistance.
If price struggles at 23039-23065, it may provide a short opportunity with a downside target of 22895-22949.
🛑 Invalidation: If NIFTY breaks and sustains above 23065, bearish trades should be avoided.
🎯 Bullish Target: 23178
🔻 Bearish Target: 22895
📍 Scenario 2: Flat Opening
A flat opening near 22,923 requires patience as price discovery takes place.
✅ Plan of Action:
If price remains between 22,895 - 22,949, it's a No-Trade Zone 📌 – avoid choppy action.
A breakout above 22,950 can push the index towards the 23039-23065 resistance area.
A breakdown below 22,895 may lead to a test of the 22,755-22,779 support zone.
If NIFTY takes support at 22,755, it may provide a buying opportunity.
🚨 No Trading in Choppy Zone: Avoid entering positions unless there is a clear breakout or breakdown.
🎯 Bullish Target: 23039
🔻 Bearish Target: 22,755
📍 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens below 22,850, it suggests weakness and a test of key support zones.
✅ Plan of Action:
If price holds 22,755-22,779, a bounce-back move can be expected.
A strong breakdown below 22,755 can drag NIFTY towards the 22,648-22,672 weak buyer’s support.
If the market finds demand at 22,648, it could lead to an intraday reversal opportunity.
📢 Watch out for panic selling near support zones – look for reversal signs before going long.
🎯 Bullish Target: 22,923
🔻 Bearish Target: 22,648
🎯 Risk Management & Pro Tips for Options Traders
📌 Avoid buying options immediately after market opens – wait for direction confirmation.
📌 Use stop-loss wisely – protect capital in volatile conditions.
📌 Time decay matters! If trading options, avoid holding losing positions for too long.
📌 Watch for wicks & rejection candles near key levels to time your entries better.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Key Resistance Levels: 23039-23065, 23178
✅ Key Support Levels: 22,755-22,779, 22,648-22,672
✅ No Trade Zone: 22,895 - 22,949
🚀 Bullish above: 22,950
📉 Bearish below: 22,755
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk! 💡
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 18-Feb-2025
The market structure and price action suggest a key decision-making zone around 22,990-23,030. Based on the opening price, we will approach the trade accordingly.
🔹 1. Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above Previous Close)
If NIFTY opens with a gap-up above 23,030, it will directly enter the resistance zone. Here’s how to plan:
A rejection from 23,126 can trigger a short trade targeting 22,990. Confirmation is needed via bearish candles.
If NIFTY sustains above 23,126, a further rally towards 23,299 is possible. Look for a breakout retest before entering long positions.
Avoid fresh longs near resistance unless volume confirms breakout strength.
📌 Pro Tip: If opening above resistance, avoid chasing longs immediately; wait for a pullback.
🔹 2. Flat Opening (Near Previous Close: 22,954-22,990)
If price holds 22,990 and bounces, expect a push towards 23,030 and possibly 23,126.
A breakdown below 22,963 can lead to a drop towards 22,847.
Consider sideways movement between 22,990-23,030 as a no-trade zone unless a clear trend emerges.
📌 Pro Tip: Flat opens demand patience—wait for clear directional movement before entering.
🔹 3. Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below Previous Close)
If NIFTY opens below 22,847, it enters the support zone. Here’s how to approach:
A bullish rejection from 22,779 can offer a good long trade towards 22,847-22,963.
If the support fails, expect a deeper correction towards 22,720.
Sideways action in the 22,779-22,847 zone suggests waiting for trend confirmation.
📌 Pro Tip: Don’t rush into long trades unless price action confirms demand at support.
🔸 Risk Management & Options Trading Tips 🛡️
Keep SL tight, especially if trading near resistance/support zones.
Use option spreads to reduce risk in high-volatility conditions.
Avoid overtrading—stick to planned levels and execution strategies.
Watch open interest data to confirm market direction.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Resistance Levels: 23,030 → 23,126 → 23,299✅ Support Levels: 22,963 → 22,847 → 22,779✅ Trade Carefully in No Trade Zone: 22,990-23,030
🎯 The market is at a crucial level; patience and confirmation-based entries are key! Let the price action guide your trades.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk! 🚀
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 17-Feb-2025
🔍 Market Context: NIFTY has shown a strong downtrend with critical resistance and support levels forming significant zones. The price action near key levels will determine the direction for the day. Let’s break down possible scenarios.
1. Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 22,996) If NIFTY opens above 22,996 , it enters the "Opening Resistance/Support Zone". Sellers may step in around this zone, leading to a possible rejection and downside move toward 22,918 . If the price sustains above 23,135 , bullish momentum could extend toward the 23,359 resistance zone. Profit booking is expected around 23,359 , making it a key level to watch for reversals.
🔹 Action Plan: ✅ If NIFTY faces rejection at 22,996 , consider short trades with a target of 22,918 .✅ If price sustains above 23,135 , go long with a target of 23,359 .✅ If NIFTY reaches 23,359 , consider partial profit booking.
💡 Tip: In a gap-up scenario, option premiums inflate. Consider spreads instead of naked options to control risk.
2. Flat Opening (Between 22,918 - 22,996) A flat open indicates uncertainty, keeping price inside the No Trade Zone (22,912 - 22,996) . A breakout above 22,996 signals bullish momentum toward 23,135 . A breakdown below 22,918 invites selling pressure toward the 22,743 - 22,677 support zone.
🔹 Action Plan: ✅ Avoid taking trades within 22,912 - 22,996 until a clear breakout occurs.✅ If price breaks 22,996 , go long with a stop-loss below 22,900 .✅ If price breaks below 22,918 , go short targeting 22,743 .
💡 Tip: Flat openings often trap traders. Wait for 15-30 minutes before entering trades.
3. Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below 22,743) A gap-down opening below 22,743 signals bearish sentiment. The 22,508 level is a critical intraday support – breaking below it can accelerate selling pressure. If NIFTY bounces back from 22,508 , it could trigger an intraday pullback toward 22,743 .
🔹 Action Plan: ✅ If price sustains below 22,743 , go short with a target of 22,508 .✅ If price holds 22,508 and reverses, consider long trades for an intraday recovery.✅ A move above 22,743 can lead to short covering toward 22,918 .
💡 Tip: In a gap-down scenario, IV (Implied Volatility) spikes, making option premiums expensive. Selling OTM call options can be a profitable strategy.
⚠ Risk Management & Options Trading Tips
🔹 Always use stop-loss – Never trade without a predefined risk level.🔹 Position sizing is key – Avoid over-leveraging.🔹 Trade with confirmation – Enter only after clear price action signals.🔹 Manage time decay – If buying options, choose ATM or ITM strikes to reduce theta decay.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 22,996 / 23,135 / 23,359
Support: 22,918 / 22,743 / 22,508
✅ Trading Plan Overview:
Gap-Up: Watch for rejection at 22,996 , possible breakout toward 23,135 .
Flat Open: No Trade Zone between 22,912 - 22,996 – wait for breakout.
Gap-Down: If below 22,743 , bearish sentiment dominates with 22,508 as the key support.
💡 Final Tip: Trade with discipline and follow your plan. Avoid emotional decisions – the market rewards patience! 🚀
📢 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst . This trading plan is for educational purposes only . Please do your own research before taking any trades. 📊
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 14-FEB-2025🔹 Key Levels:
📌 Resistance Zones:
🔴 Last Intraday Resistance: 23,262 – 23,306
🔴 Opening Resistance: 23,119 – 23,185
📌 Support Zones:
🟢 Opening Support/Resistance: 23,015 – 23,019
🟢 Buyer’s Support at Golden Retracement: 22,922 – 22,880
🟢 Stronger Buyer’s Support for Sideways/Consolidation: 22,677 – 22,742
📌 EMA: Price is reacting to the moving average, which could act as dynamic support/resistance.
📊 1️⃣ Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above previous close)
If NIFTY opens above 23,185:
Watch for rejection at 23,262 – 23,306: If price struggles, consider a short trade with SL above 23,320. Target: 23,185 – 23,100.
Sustained breakout of 23,306? Expect bullish momentum. Enter on a retest for targets 23,350 – 23,400.
Avoid impulsive longs at open: Wait for price to consolidate before entering trades.
💡 Pro Tip: If price rejects 23,262, sellers might step in aggressively. Consider buying Put options cautiously.
📊 2️⃣ Flat Opening (±50 points from previous close)
If NIFTY opens near 23,000 - 23,100:
Opening Support/Resistance Zone (23,015 – 23,019): This level will decide the market direction.
Break above 23,100? Expect bullish movement to 23,185. Go long above 23,105 with SL at 23,050.
Break below 23,015? Expect downside movement toward 22,922. Short below 23,010 with SL at 23,050.
💡 Pro Tip: In a flat opening, let price settle before making a decision. Patience pays!
📊 3️⃣ Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below previous close)
If NIFTY opens near 22,880 or below:
22,880 – 22,922 is a retracement support: If price holds, expect a bounce back. Go long above 22,900 with SL at 22,850.
Break below 22,880? Next major support is 22,677 – 22,742. Short below 22,870 with SL at 22,950.
If price reaches 22,677 and holds, expect a bounce. Look for buying opportunities around this level.
💡 Pro Tip: In a gap-down, avoid panic trades. Wait for proper confirmation before entering.
⚠️ Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
📌 Never chase a trade. Let price confirm the level before entering.
📌 Use stop-losses strictly. Protect your capital at all times.
📌 Avoid trading in the No Trade Zone. This is where stop-losses get hunted easily.
📌 Monitor IV (Implied Volatility). If IV is high, options premiums might be inflated. Consider spreads instead of naked options.
🔥 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Key Resistance: 23,119 – 23,185 / 23,262 – 23,306
✅ Key Support: 23,015 – 23,019 / 22,922 – 22,880 / 22,677 – 22,742
✅ Gap-Up: Watch resistance at 23,262. Breakout = bullish, rejection = short.
✅ Flat Opening: Wait for breakout/breakdown from Opening Support before entering.
✅ Gap-Down: 22,880 is crucial. Holding = bounce, breakdown = more downside.
🎯 Stick to the plan, follow discipline, and manage your risks!
⚠ Disclaimer: I am NOT a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 13-Feb-2025
🔹 Key Levels:
📌 Resistance: 23,205 / 23,298 – 23,332 (Last Intraday Resistance)
📌 Support: 22,970 / 22,873 – 22,893 / 22,660 / 22,508
📌 No Trade Zone: 23,049 - 23,103 (Avoid trading inside this range)
📊 1️⃣ Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above previous close)
If NIFTY opens above 23,205:
Watch for rejection at 23,298 – 23,332: If price struggles, consider a short trade with SL above 23,350. Target: 23,205 – 23,100.
Sustained breakout of 23,332? Expect bullish momentum. Enter on a retest for targets 23,400 – 23,450.
Avoid impulsive longs at open: Wait for price to consolidate before entering trades.
💡 Pro Tip: If price rejects 23,298, sellers might step in aggressively. Consider buying Put options cautiously.
📊 2️⃣ Flat Opening (±50 points from previous close)
If NIFTY opens near 23,000 - 23,100:
No Trade Zone (23,049 - 23,103): Avoid trading here. Wait for price to break out clearly.
Break above 23,103? Expect bullish movement to 23,205. Go long above 23,105 with SL at 23,050.
Break below 23,049? Expect downside movement toward 22,970. Short below 23,045 with SL at 23,100.
💡 Pro Tip: In a flat opening, let price settle before making a decision. Patience pays!
📊 3️⃣ Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below previous close)
If NIFTY opens near 22,873 or below:
22,873 as support? If price holds, expect a bounce back. Go long above 22,900 with SL at 22,850.
Break below 22,873? Next major support is 22,660. Short below 22,870 with SL at 22,950.
If price reaches 22,660 and holds, expect a bounce. Look for buying opportunities around this level.
💡 Pro Tip: In a gap-down, avoid panic trades. Wait for proper confirmation before entering.
⚠️ Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
📌 Never chase a trade. Let price confirm the level before entering.
📌 Use stop-losses strictly. Protect your capital at all times.
📌 Avoid trading in the No Trade Zone. This is where stop-losses get hunted easily.
📌 Monitor IV (Implied Volatility). If IV is high, options premiums might be inflated. Consider spreads instead of naked options.
🔥 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Key Resistance: 23,205 / 23,298 – 23,332
✅ Key Support: 22,970 / 22,873 – 22,893 / 22,660 / 22,508
✅ No Trade Zone: 23,049 - 23,103
✅ Gap-Up: Watch resistance at 23,298. Breakout = bullish, rejection = short.
✅ Flat Opening: Wait for breakout/breakdown from No Trade Zone before entering.
✅ Gap-Down: 22,873 is crucial. Holding = bounce, breakdown = more downside.
🎯 Stick to the plan, follow discipline, and manage your risks!
⚠ Disclaimer: I am NOT a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
NIFTY - Pre - Budgetary AnalysisHello Traders,
I hope this message finds you well. I am pleased to share an insightful analysis with you, which illuminates the continuation of the market shift in accordance with the budget.
Preliminary Analysis Overview:
The correction initiated on September 27, 2024, comprises three phases and bottomed out at 22,786 on January 27, 2025 (~120D) . Given the recent decline, it is considered a correction within a correction, and we anticipate a retracement to higher levels before resuming the trend in a more significant manner.
The analysis is supported by the fact that a crucial time resistance for the down trend lies at 17 February 2025, where the market is anticipated to conclude the ongoing correction phase and initiate a new trend.
Phase I:
Following a brief rally in the pre-open and open periods, the market is expected to decline towards lower levels between 9.15 - 11 AM to the following levels.
SI: 23,300
SII: 23,140 (Stronger)
SIII: 23,041 (Potentially for extension to 23,000)
*Please note that these values are indicative and not actual.
Phase II:
Following the completion of the internal correction, the market is anticipated to resume its current interim upward trend in a more significant manner to test the 38.2 R 24,120 levels) + static support.
R I – 23,950
RII – 24,120 ~ 24,225
*These values are not actual but merely levels.
**Budget commentary that I expect: **
1. There will not be any change in corporate tax rate.
2. Personal IT may see a small slab change, accompanied by an increase in standard deduction.
3. No changes to STT, LTCG / STCG (revision(s) will undermine the integrity of the decisions from FM).
4. Reduced borrowing costs accommodating leveraged capex.
5. Incentivization (PLI, infra, agricultural & make in india).
6. Semi conductor push.
Overall, I am expecting a neutral budget – Neither hawkish nor dovish.
The markets will do what they have to….!!!
**Important Note:**
This entire analysis holds true only until the market breaks 22,786.90, although I believe not today.
** Final Verdict: **
The current uptrend is considered interim. The primary trend remains downward and is anticipated to persist further and deeper. This trend is expected to test the 38.2% support level coinciding with the 22,146 ~ 21,245 -support level.
**Strategy:**
Given the implied volatility increase, it is prudent to adapt to changes as they appear to transpire.
1. Sell until phase I.
2. Buy for phase II (Conservatives may await some confirmation with strict SL @ 22,786).
3. Exit any open position after phase II completion and await cues.
Fellow Traders,
The creation of this valuable analytical resource has necessitated countless hours of dedication and effort. If you find it useful, I humbly request your support by promoting the idea and following me (updates will be provided via this post, new posts, and through minds). Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally.
Thank you for investing your time in reading this article.
Wishing you profitable and fulfilling trading endeavors!
Disclaimer:
Before concluding, I must emphasize that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is imperative that you conduct your own research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial objectives and risk tolerance.
NIFTY : TRADING LEVELS AND PLAN – 07-Feb-2025📌
🔹 Previous Close: 23,628.05
🔹 Important Zones to Watch:
🟥 Profit Booking Zone: 24,024 - 24,155
🟥 Last Intraday Resistance: 23,900
🟧 Opening Resistance: 23,747
🟧 No Trade Zone: 23,566 - 23,656
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 23,442
🟢 Support for Sideways Market: 23,346
📈 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (Above 23,750)
If NIFTY opens with a gap-up of 100+ points above 23,750, it will enter the Opening Resistance Zone (23,747 - 23,900).
🔹 Bullish Strategy:
If NIFTY sustains above 23,900, expect a strong move toward the Profit Booking Zone (24,024 - 24,155).
Ideal entry will be on retracement near 23,900 with SL below 23,850.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If rejection is seen from 23,900 - 24,024, a short trade can be initiated targeting 23,750 - 23,650.
Stop loss for short trade above 24,100.
📝 Pro Tip: A direct gap-up into a resistance zone often leads to profit booking. Avoid aggressive longs unless a breakout is confirmed.
📊 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Between 23,566 - 23,656)
A flat opening within the No Trade Zone (23,566 - 23,656) suggests uncertainty. Traders should wait for a clear breakout or breakdown.
🔹 Bullish Plan:
A breakout above 23,656 can trigger a long trade targeting 23,747 - 23,900.
SL for longs should be below 23,600.
🔻 Bearish Plan:
If NIFTY breaks below 23,566, expect a drop toward 23,442.
Short trade can be taken with SL above 23,600.
📝 Pro Tip: A flat opening often leads to range-bound price action initially. Avoid taking trades in the first 15-20 minutes unless a clear trend emerges.
📉 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (Below 23,450)
If NIFTY opens below 23,450, it enters the Last Intraday Support Zone. Watch for a reversal or further breakdown.
🔹 Buying Opportunity:
A bullish reversal from 23,346 - 23,442 can give a long trade opportunity targeting 23,566 - 23,656.
Stop loss for longs should be below 23,300.
🔻 Breakdown Plan:
If 23,346 breaks, expect further downside toward 23,200-23,150.
Short trade can be taken with SL above 23,400.
📝 Pro Tip: A gap-down below key supports often triggers panic selling. But if a quick pullback is seen, it might be a bear trap—wait for confirmation before shorting.
⚠️ Risk Management & Options Trading Tips
✔ Option Buyers: Trade ATM (At-the-Money) options and avoid OTM options when volatility is low.
✔ Option Sellers: If IV (Implied Volatility) is high, selling OTM strikes can be a good strategy.
✔ Always Use Stop Loss: Risk management is key to capital preservation.
✔ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to planned trades and don’t force setups.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
🚀 Bullish above: 23,656 (Target 23,900 - 24,024)
📉 Bearish below: 23,566 (Target 23,442 - 23,346)
⚠️ Key Zones to Watch: No Trade Zone & Profit Booking Area
📊 Expect Volatility: Let the market establish a clear direction before taking trades.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research before taking any trades. 📢📊
#NIFTY #TradingPlan #StockMarket #OptionsTrading 🚀
Nifty Review & Analysis - Daily
Price Action :
Nifty saw selling from the opening to close just above 23600
Technicals:
Nifty opened flat and saw selling from opening and found support around 23550 levels and managed to close above 23600 levels forming a Bearish Candle . A small profit booking was seen above 23700 levels but over all looked strong and stable Nifty closed below 50 and 200 DEMA but above 10&20 DEMA
The momentum indicators, RSI - Relative Strength Index was down to 53
FII Sold Rs. 3550 Cr in cash market
Support/Resistance
Major Support 23400
Immediate Support 23500
Immediate Resistance 23650
Major Resistance 24000
Trend:
Overall Trend is Bearish but short term Nifty is bit positive till it trades above 22300
Options Data:
Highest CE OI was at 24000 followed by 23600 - Resistance
Highest PE OI was at 23600 followed by 23500 and 23000 - Support
23700CE 23600CE saw major addition signaling Shorts added & 23700 is Resistance
PCR is 0.82 which indicates neutral
Futures Data:
FII Long/Short ratio improved to 16.5%/83.5%
FII exited 4K Longs in Future at 38K and Shorts intact at 1.9L contracts
Nifty Futures price was in negative, a slight decrease in price alongside slight increase in Open Interest (OI) typically indicates slight Bearishness
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty in Strong above 23500
Approch:
Maintain Long positions with 23500 SL
avoid shorts
Wait for today’s High or Low to break and sustaines for further direction
My Trades & Positions:
still holding Long in Feb Series CE waiting for a big Short covering above 24100
NIFTY - Trading Levels and Plan for 06-Feb-2025📌 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 06-Feb-2025
🔹 Previous Close: 23,685.10
🔹 Important Zones Identified:
🟥 Sharp Profit Booking Zone: 24,065 - 24,154🟥 Opening Resistance: 23,848🟧 Opening Support / Resistance: 23,683 - 23,658🟩 Last Intraday Support: 23,567🟢 Buyer's Support: 23,374 - 23,345
📈 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (Above 100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens with a strong gap-up above 23,785, it will move toward the Opening Resistance (23,848) and may attempt to test the Profit Booking Zone (24,065 - 24,154).
🔹 Bullish Strategy:
If NIFTY sustains above 23,848, expect a continuation towards 24,065 - 24,154.
An ideal entry can be on a pullback towards 23,848, with a stop-loss below 23,750.
🔻 Bearish Reversal Plan:
If NIFTY shows rejection around 24,065 - 24,154, a short trade can be initiated.
Target for shorts: 23,848 - 23,685.
Stop-loss for short trades: Above 24,200.
📝 Pro Tip: If NIFTY opens directly in the Profit Booking Zone, avoid aggressive long positions. Wait for a breakout or a reversal setup.
📊 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Between 23,683 - 23,658)
A flat opening means NIFTY is near the Opening Support / Resistance Zone (23,683 - 23,658). Patience is required to confirm the direction.
🔹 Bullish Plan:
If NIFTY breaks above 23,685 with strong volume, a long trade can be considered.
Targets: 23,743 - 23,848.
Stop-loss: Below 23,650.
🔻 Bearish Breakdown:
If NIFTY breaks below 23,658, expect a decline towards 23,567.
Short trades can be initiated with a stop-loss above 23,700.
📝 Pro Tip: Flat openings often result in choppy movement for the first 15-30 minutes. Let the market establish direction before entering trades.
📉 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (Below 23,567)
If NIFTY opens below 23,567, it enters the Last Intraday Support Zone and may attempt to test the Buyer's Support (23,374 - 23,345).
🔹 Buying Opportunity:
A strong bullish reversal from 23,374 - 23,345 can provide a long opportunity.
Target: 23,567 - 23,685.
Stop-loss: Below 23,300.
🔻 Further Breakdown Plan:
If 23,345 is broken, expect further downside towards 23,200.
Short trades can be initiated with SL above 23,400.
📝 Pro Tip: If NIFTY gaps down but quickly recovers above 23,567, it could be a bear trap—watch for bullish confirmations.
⚠️ Risk Management & Options Trading Tips
✔ For Option Buyers: Select ATM (At-the-Money) strikes to avoid time decay. Enter only when price action confirms the trade.
✔ For Option Sellers: If IV (Implied Volatility) is high, consider selling OTM (Out-of-the-Money) options near key resistance/support levels.
✔ Always use SL: Protect capital! A good Risk-to-Reward (R:R) ratio is essential for long-term success.
✔ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to planned setups—don’t force trades.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
🚀 Bullish above: 23,685 (Target 23,848+)📉 Bearish below: 23,658 (Target 23,567 - 23,345)⚠️ Watch Key Zones: No Trade Zone & Profit Booking Area📊 Expect Volatility: Let the first 15-30 minutes settle before aggressive trades.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research before taking any trades. 📢📊
NIFTY - Trading levels and Plan for 05-Feb-2025🔹 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 05-FEB-2025 🔹
📍 Previous Close: 23,707.70
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
🔸 Resistance Zone: 23,743 - 23,845
🔹 Opening Support Zone: 23,591 - 23,644
🟢 Last Intraday Support: 23,491
🟩 Buyers’ Strong Support: 23,345 - 23,388
🎯 Profit Booking Zone: 24,067 - 24,155
🔵 POSSIBLE OPENING SCENARIOS & TRADING STRATEGY 🔵
📈 Gap Up Opening (100+ Points Above 23,807) – Bullish to Cautious Approach
📌 If Nifty opens with a gap-up above 23,807+ , traders should wait for initial price action.
📌 A sustained move above 23,845 can trigger bullish momentum towards 24,067 - 24,155 (Profit Booking Zone).
📌 If Nifty struggles near 23,845 , expect sideways movement or a potential reversal to test 23,743 - 23,707 .
📌 Trade Setup:
✅ Buy on retracement if 23,743 acts as support after a pullback.
🚨 Avoid aggressive buying near resistance without confirmation.
↔️↔️↔️
📊 Flat Opening (Between 23,683 - 23,743) – Key Zone for Decision Making
📌 A flat opening within 23,683 - 23,743 keeps the market in a neutral-to-bullish zone.
📌 If Nifty holds above 23,707 , we can see a push towards 23,845 .
📌 Failure to hold 23,707 might bring weakness towards 23,644 - 23,591 (Opening Support) .
📌 Trade Setup:
✅ If Nifty stays above 23,707 for 15-30 minutes, a breakout trade towards 23,845 is possible.
🚨 If it breaks below 23,644, avoid longs and wait for a deeper support test.
↔️↔️↔️
📉 Gap Down Opening (100+ Points Below 23,607) – Caution Required
📌 A gap-down below 23,607 will bring pressure on support levels.
📌 23,591 - 23,491 is a key demand zone; a strong bounce from here can offer buying opportunities.
📌 If selling continues and Nifty breaks below 23,491 , the next major support is 23,345 - 23,388 .
📌 Trade Setup:
✅ Look for reversal signs near 23,491 - 23,345 before entering long trades.
🚨 If Nifty breaks and sustains below 23,345, expect further downside.
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT & OPTIONS TRADING TIPS ⚠️
🔹 Use strict stop-losses based on an hourly close.
🔹 Avoid chasing trades at extreme levels; wait for pullbacks.
🔹 For options trading, consider ATM/ITM contracts for better liquidity.
🔹 Time decay will impact weekly options—exit early if momentum slows.
🔹 Hedge positions if volatility spikes unexpectedly.
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION 📌
✅ Bullish Bias above 23,743 targeting 23,845 - 24,067.
❌ Bearish Break below 23,591 may push towards 23,491 - 23,345.
📊 Key Zone: 23,707 - 23,743—market reaction here will decide the trend.
📌 Wait for confirmation at crucial levels before entering trades!
⚠️ DISCLAIMER ⚠️
🔹 I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only.
🔹 Please do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.