On December 12, 2024 the Nifty view is BullishUnlike price-level forecasts, time-based analysis allows us to anticipate market trends well in advance. Based on my analysis, I have a bullish outlook on the Nifty for December 12, 2024. Regardless of where the Nifty's price lands, the intraday trend on that date is expected to be bullish.
Please note that this is purely my perspective and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Use this information for educational purposes only, and always trade with a stop-loss in place.
Niftytrendanalysis
The Nifty spot intraday forecast for December 03, 2024Nifty intraday trend for December 03, 2024 is bullish. Intraday Turning points are approximate. The price is not part of the forecast since calculations relate Time. Intraday levels may vary based on the price gaps on the either side.
Technical confirmation for entries and exits is a must and do not trade with stop-loss.
The information provided is only for the educational purposes.
#Nifty50 Volatile week ahead, outlook for 2-6th Dec 2024The Nifty 50 index concluded the week on a strong note, closing at 24,131, up 225 points from the previous week. The index oscillated between a high of 24,354 and a low of 23,873, staying within the predicted range of 24,500 to 23,300.
For the upcoming week, I anticipate the index to remain confined to a range of 24,750 to 23,600 . A breach of these levels could trigger significant market volatility.
A closer look at the weekly chart reveals a potential W-pattern formation. To complete this pattern, a pullback towards the 23,500-23,600 support zone is necessary. Whether this pullback materializes next week will be crucial to watch.
S&P 500 Breaks Resistance, Sets Stage for Further Gains
The S&P 500 index finally managed to breach the strong Fibonacci resistance level of 6,013. If it can sustain above the 6,000 mark, a move towards the 6,142 level, representing a 1.5% upside, is likely. Such a move could provide a positive impetus to global markets. However, a failed breakout could lead to a 2% correction, potentially testing the 5,914-5,900 support zone. Investors should be prepared for both scenarios.
Nifty moments for option and future trading 02/Dec/2024Nifty moments for option and future trading 02/Dec/2024
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NIFTY is not stopping at the station....???NSE:NIFTY
🚂 is not stopping at the station — hope slows down soon...other wise next station is too far ... 🫥
expecting a bounce
not sure if that would sustain
best option Nifty dance around this range before starting upward journey
Otherwise next station is quite far
Key levels marked
disc: no recommendation
Nifty levels and targets for tomorrow 29/Nov/2024Nifty Prediction for 29th November 2024
Nifty bank levels and targets for tomorrow.
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On the November expiry day, the benchmark index Nifty50 extended its losses, closing at 23,914.15 with a 1.49% decline, weighed down by weakness in IT and auto stocks. The market sentiment was dampened by concerns stemming from U.S. inflation data, which signalled a slower-than-expected trajectory for future rate cuts—a factor that particularly impacted the IT sector.
On the daily chart, the Nifty erased earlier gains, filling the gap from the election results day. However, it managed to hold key support levels around the Middle Bollinger Band and a horizontal trendline. Technical indicators such as RSI and MACD remain on a positive trajectory, suggesting a favorable outlook in the near term.
Traders are advised to closely monitor global events, foreign institutional investor (FII) activity, and rollover data to better understand the market's direction in the upcoming series. On the downside, the index has strong support at 23,800 and 23,650 levels, while resistance is expected at 24,100 and 24,350 levels.03:56 PM
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 27-Nov-2024Trading Plan for Nifty - 27th November 2024
Introduction:
On 26th November 2024, Nifty traded within a defined range, with price movements largely respecting key levels. The chart revealed a consolidation phase highlighted by the "No Trade Zone" (Yellow Trend) around 24,238–24,303, indicating indecision among market participants. Bullish momentum (Green Trend) was observed above 24,459, while bearish pressure (Red Trend) dominated below 24,109. The market continues to exhibit structural clarity, with specific levels marking key support and resistance zones.
Plan for Different Opening Scenarios:
Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above Close):
If Nifty opens above 24,303 but below 24,459, wait for price action confirmation. A breakout above 24,459 with an hourly candle close suggests bullish momentum towards the Last Resistance for Intraday at 24,603, where profit booking is advisable.
If Nifty opens directly near or above 24,459, avoid immediate entry. Wait for retracement near 24,303–24,459 for a better risk-reward setup.
Monitor bearish rejection candles near 24,459, as this could signal a reversal towards the "No Trade Zone."
Risk Management Tip: For options, consider buying 24,600 CE with strict stop loss based on the hourly close below 24,303.
Flat Opening (Near Previous Close at 24,192):
If the market opens flat, avoid trading immediately within the No Trade Zone (24,238–24,303). Allow the price to break out or break down from this range.
A breakout above 24,303 targets 24,459, while a breakdown below 24,238 may lead to bearish momentum toward 24,109.
Monitor price reaction around 24,109 (Best Buy Zone), where retracement buyers might step in for a potential reversal.
Risk Management Tip: Utilize strategies like selling Iron Condors to capitalize on the consolidation phase while staying protected.
Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below Close):
If Nifty opens below 24,109, watch for support around 24,025–24,002. This zone represents the Last Support and is ideal for reversal trades if bullish price action appears.
Avoid chasing shorts immediately after a gap-down. A pullback towards 24,109 could offer safer entry points for bearish trades.
Below 24,002, bearish momentum strengthens, and traders can target 23,900 with appropriate position sizing.
Risk Management Tip: For bearish plays, consider buying 24,000 PE with a stop loss above 24,109.
Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading:
Avoid over-leveraging; use position sizing strategies to manage risk effectively.
Trade liquid contracts to minimize slippage.
Use hedging strategies like spreads to limit maximum losses.
Exit positions early if the market invalidates your levels, rather than holding onto losing trades.
Always base your entries on confirmations such as candlestick patterns, volume, or hourly close signals.
Summary and Conclusion:
For 27th November 2024, the chart suggests a clear game plan with pivotal levels to watch:
Bullish above 24,303, targeting 24,459 and 24,603.
Bearish below 24,109, targeting 24,025 and 24,002.
Avoid trading within the "No Trade Zone" (24,238–24,303) unless a decisive breakout occurs.
By adhering to the plan and practicing disciplined risk management, traders can navigate Nifty's movements effectively.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your research or consult with a financial advisor before taking any trades.
Nifty Prediction for 26th November 2024Nifty Prediction for 26th November 2024
nifty moments for intraday and option trading
The benchmark index showed significant upward momentum, driven by gains across all sectors. This rally was largely influenced by the NDA's victory in the Maharashtra state elections, which boosted investor confidence. On Monday, the
Nifty index surged by 314 points, closing at 24,221.90. The session began with an upside gap, and early buying extended the pullback rally. However, the index lost some of its election-driven momentum, retreating slightly from its intraday high of 24,351 and forming like a Doji candlestick pattern on the daily chart.
Despite the slight retreat, the Nifty confirmed a breakout of the Falling Channel pattern with a gap-up opening and sustained levels above the Middle Bollinger Band, indicating a bullish setup for the near term. Momentum indicators further supported this outlook, with the RSI recovering sharply from the oversold zone and showing a positive crossover. Additionally, the MACD exhibited a positive crossover, reinforcing the potential for a reversal.
Traders are advised to maintain a positive bias as long as the Nifty remains above the 24,000 mark. On the upside, if the index sustains levels above 24,350, it could potentially move higher toward the 24,500 and 24,700 levels.
Nifty 50: Projected Growth Path to 34,500 by 2027 – Key DriversMy projection of Nifty50 reaching 21,500 and then gradually climbing to 34,500 by September 2027 suggests a long-term bullish scenario for the Indian equity market. This type of projection can be influenced by various factors:
Key Considerations for the Journey:
1) Economic Growth :
India's GDP growth trajectory will play a major role. Sustained economic expansion, driven by infrastructure projects, digital adoption, and manufacturing, could fuel market growth.
Global capital inflow into emerging markets like India due to favorable growth prospects might also support this rise.
2) Corporate Earnings :
A robust increase in corporate profitability will be critical. If sectors like IT, banking, infrastructure, and energy witness strong earnings growth, it will push the index higher.
3) Institutional Participation :
Continued investment by Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) could provide consistent upward momentum.
4) Policy Support :
Pro-business government reforms, favorable monetary policy, and stable inflation could act as catalysts.
Regulatory support from entities like SEBI ensuring market transparency and investor confidence would bolster market growth.
5) Global Markets and Trade :
Stability in global markets, alongside favorable geopolitical conditions, will be important.
Trade relations and global commodity prices (e.g., crude oil) might significantly influence this trajectory.
Risks to Watch :
Geopolitical tensions, global economic slowdown, or sharp interest rate hikes by central banks could derail this optimistic scenario.
Overvaluations might lead to corrections if fundamentals don't keep pace.
In Depth Analysis for Nifty 50 Index (1-Hour Chart)Symbol: Nifty 50
Timeframe: 1-Hour
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Technical Analysis:
The Nifty 50 index is currently trading at 23,559.60, moving within a well-defined downward-sloping channel. The price is nearing a crucial support zone (23,480-23,570), which could act as a potential area for a short-term bounce. However, the overall trend remains bearish unless a breakout occurs above the resistance levels.
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Key Observations:
1. Trend: The index is clearly in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows within the channel. The bearish sentiment remains dominant.
2. Support & Resistance:
Immediate Support: 23,480-23,570. A breakdown below this level could lead to further downside toward 23,200.
Immediate Resistance: 24,070-24,540. These levels correspond to the midline and upper boundary of the channel.
3. Volume Analysis: Declining volumes on the recent down move indicate a potential loss of selling momentum, suggesting the possibility of a short-term pullback.
4. Potential Reversal Zone:
A break above 24,070 could trigger a short-covering rally, pushing prices toward 24,540.
---
Trade Setup:
1. For Bulls:
Entry: Consider going long near 23,480-23,570, provided there are bullish reversal signals like a hammer or bullish engulfing candle.
Target: 24,070, and an extended target of 24,540.
Stop Loss: Below 23,450, to minimize downside risk.
2. For Bears:
Entry: Look for shorting opportunities on rejection near 24,070 or at the channel’s upper boundary (24,540).
Target: 23,480 and further downside to 23,200.
Stop Loss: Above 24,600.
---
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Breakout: A decisive close above 24,070 will confirm a breakout from the channel, opening doors for a move toward higher levels.
2. Continuation of Downtrend: If the index fails to hold the 23,480 support, it could continue its bearish trajectory to 23,200.
Nifty Set for an Uptrend Soon..?The NIFTY index has been experiencing a consistent downtrend over the past month. Throughout this period, it has encountered rejection from the established trendline approximately five to six times, indicating strong resistance at that level. For NIFTY to initiate a reversal and shift to an upward trend, it is essential for the index to not only break through the trendline but also to maintain a position above it for a sustained period.
Moreover, the level identified as 24150 is not only a crucial support level but also serves as a significant support range that has been tested during July and August. Therefore, if the price can hold steady at the 24150 level for a few more days, combined with a decrease in selling pressure from Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs), we may witness the formation of a new upward trend. This convergence of factors could provide the necessary momentum for a trend reversal in NIFTY.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 28-Oct-2024Nifty Trading Plan for 28-Oct-2024
**Previous Day Recap**: Nifty experienced volatility yesterday, with a downward bias. Major support levels held around the **24080-24100** mark, indicating potential buying interest. However, resistance levels remain active, with **24,276** serving as a pivot zone. For today, trends are illustrated as follows:
- **Yellow** trend signifies a sideways market.
- **Green** trend indicates a bullish outlook.
- **Red** trend reflects a bearish sentiment.
Opening Scenarios for 28-Oct-2024
Gap Up Opening (+100 points or more)
If Nifty opens with a gap up of 100+ points:
- Immediate resistance can be seen at **24,276**. A break above this may push the index towards the **24,392** level, which acts as the Last Resistance for Intraday .
- Consider booking profits if Nifty approaches the **24,531 - 24,589** zone (highlighted as Profit Booking Zone ) as sellers might attempt to re-enter.
- If resistance at **24,276** holds and shows weakness, expect a potential pullback towards **24,143** for support.
Flat Opening
In case of a flat opening near **24,210**:
- Initial support is at **24,191**, followed by a stronger base around **24,143**.
- If Nifty moves up from these levels, the next resistance can be expected at **24,276**. Watch closely for consolidation in this area, as a breakout could trigger a rally toward **24,392**.
- A failure to hold support at **24,143** could signal a downtrend, targeting **23,998** and below.
Gap Down Opening (-100 points or more)
For a gap down opening of -100 points or more:
- Initial support will likely emerge around **23,998**. If this holds, a bounce is expected toward **24,143**.
- If **23,998** breaks, the next significant support level sits at **23,740**, marked as the Possible Bottom Zone for Current Trend . This is a critical level; a breach could lead to a deeper correction towards **23,590**.
- A recovery from this lower level may indicate reversal buying, ideal for intraday long positions up to **24,086**.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
- Always define your stop-loss levels based on the nearest support/resistance zones to manage risk effectively.
- Avoid aggressive positions in high-volatility scenarios like gap openings. Start small and scale up if the trend confirms.
- Be cautious of time decay when trading options, especially if the price is near critical support or resistance zones.
- Consider hedging positions if holding overnight, given the volatility in global markets.
Summary and Conclusion
For 28th October 2024, key zones to watch are **24,276** on the upside and **23,998** on the downside. A breakout or breakdown from these levels could determine the day’s trend. Remember that the market may consolidate before choosing a direction, and it’s wise to wait for confirmation at these levels before entering trades.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
#Nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 21-25th Oct 2024The Nifty 50 index concluded the week at 24,854, a 110-point decline from the previous week's close. Despite hitting a high of 25,212 and a low of 24,567, the index remained within its expected trading range of 25,550 to 24,350. Looking ahead, I anticipate the Nifty to continue trading between 25,400 and 24,300.
A breakdown below 24,486 , the WEMA21 support level, would signal a bearish trend, potentially leading to a decline towards 23,400 or 23,300 . Conversely, a sustained move above 25,144 could pave the way for a rally to 25,500-25,600.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 index achieved a new all-time high weekly close of 5,864, up approximately 40 points from the previous week. This suggests a potential upward move of 2-2.5% from its current level, targeting the significant Fibonacci level of 6,013. It remains to be seen if this positive momentum in the U.S. market will translate into a recovery for the Indian stock market."
Nifty Next MoveNifty have formed harmonic pattern
we can expect a small down trend and after Rally
also the area is above 70% of the trend line formation so we can expect buyers in Discount area
📌 Please support me with your likes 🤞🏻 and comments 💬 to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your any opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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Hit the like 🤞🏻 button to !! Motive some energy !!🥇
📌 Note :
⨻ Check the live market updates and analysis yourself before buy 📈🔺 or sell 📉🔻
⨺ Am not giving any advisory or signals its just my idea for upgrade my knowledge 📚 in trading
⨹ This is my pre and post market analysis to improve my trading journey 🚀
⨂ Am Not suggesting anyone to buy or sell ❌ am just giving my views 👀
⫸ You are responsible for your trading ✅ not me ❌ ⫷
HAPPY TRADING 🥰
Nifty Next MoveNifty almost gave a massive down trend its likely a retracement and we can see its already brake a trend line liquidity we can expect 60 %retracement or full retracement as Extreme ob area we can expect buy area from these ob areas
happy trading 🥰
📌 Please support me with your likes 🤞🏻 and comments 💬 to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your any opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Davis 🥰
Hit the like 🤞🏻 button to !! Motive some energy !!🥇
📌 Note :
⨻ Check the live market updates and analysis yourself before buy 📈🔺 or sell 📉🔻
⨺ Am not giving any advisory or signals its just my idea for upgrade my knowledge 📚 in trading
⨹ This is my pre and post market analysis to improve my trading journey 🚀
⨂ Am Not suggesting anyone to buy or sell ❌ am just giving my views 👀
⫸ You are responsible for your trading ✅ not me ❌ ⫷
HAPPY TRADING 🥰
NIFTY Market Insights: Anticipating significant shiftsDear Traders,
I trust this message finds you well in both your trading endeavors and personal pursuits. I am pleased to present a compelling opportunity through a new NIFTY analysis that indicates an imminent significant market shift. The recent upward surge in the market has prompted concerns, as my analysis over the past two months has consistently pointed to an anticipated correction owing to market overvaluation and distinct completion patterns.
Technical details:
I. Resistance I: 25,388 ~ 25,430 (Extended trend line from 17th JUN'22)
II. Resistance II: 25,490 ~ 25,510 ~ 25,526 (Conj. Extended trend line from 24 JAN'24 & 24 JUN'24)
III. Resistance III: 25,590 (Extended trend line from 29 FEB'16 – Long & strong Resistance)
Please note that these values serve as indicative levels of support and resistance.
The wave patterns depicted in the diagram, signal completion of the trend.
Additional observations:
Time series Forecasting:
Top - Top
- Today (04/09/2024) = 1690 D from 20jan'20 (1710 = 360*4 + 270)
= 1053 D from 19oct'21 (1080 = 360*3)
= 644 D from 01dec'22 (630 = 360+270)
= 356 D from 15sept'23 (~360)
Bottom – Top
- Today (04/09/24) = 1626 D from 24mar'20 (1620 = 4*360+180)
= 811 D from 17jun'22 (810 = 720 + 90)
= 315 D from 26oct'23 (exactly an important angle)
= 535 D from 20mar'23 (540 = 360 + 180)
Given these short and long-term observations, the time resistance(s) are notably robust.
Historical Repetition:
The ongoing 14-day winning streak, continuously setting new records, typically precedes short-term corrections ranging from 3% to 24%, as historically observed. For instance, in May 2006, Nifty’s non-stop 9-day rally culminated in a 24% index decline in the subsequent month, while a similar trend in February 2000 resulted in an 11% decline in the subsequent month.
Consequently, a market breather is anticipated, with profit booking potentially driving the market to deeper levels before embarking on a new uptrend (anticipated correction in the monthly scale, evident in the 3M time frame). Further details will be provided as the market unfolds.
A correction of this magnitude is expected to materialize, with the following scenarios:
The initial focus is to prioritize the trend line-based correction scenario. The primary support levels are identified at 23,100. Any subsequent breakout will result in distinct scenarios.
Scenario 1: From 15,183.40, retracement towards 21,500 = 4,000 pts (38.2%R) (-12 to 15%), highly probable given the aforementioned reasons.
Scenario 2: From 16,828, retracement towards 21,100 levels = 4,400 pts (50%R) (-13% to 17%), also plausible within the realm of reality.
One of these scenarios is poised to unfold as the market progresses into correction.
Fed and Markets:
Considering the correlation between interest rates and market fluctuations, it is wise to take them into account. Typically, their relationship is inversely proportional. However, the Fed has been delaying the easing process due to economic conditions such as employment and inflation data. This month may bring many surprises.
If everything goes according to plan, interest rates will be reduced, theoretically boosting investment in gold and stock markets. On the other hand, if the dovishness in the rate decision continues, it will likely unsettle the markets, at least in the short term.
Further data releases this month will help in forming a consensus.
IMPORTANT DATES TO REMEMBER!!!
Sept - 5, 6, 11, 12, 18 (FOMC)
Strategy:
1. Being bullish beyond this point is not recommended.
2. Bearish bets are prudent from 25, 300 – 350, 400 for FOMO traders.
Risky traders may consider waiting for the 25,500 levels to be tested.
Disclaimer:
Before concluding, I must underscore that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is imperative for you to conduct your research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Your feedback is genuinely appreciated, and I would encourage you to share your thoughts in the comments section. I am committed to engaging with each response.
Fellow Traders,
Countless hours of dedication and effort have gone into creating this valuable analytical resource. If you find it useful, I humbly ask for your support by liking and following me. Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally.
Thank you for investing your time in reading this article,
Your readership is greatly appreciated.
Wishing you profitable and joyful trading!!!