NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 17-Mar-2025📊 NIFTY Trading Plan – 17-Mar-2025
Nifty is currently hovering near the Opening Support Zone: 22,351 – 22,378, with a key resistance at 22,442 and profit booking zone near 22,617. Depending on how the market opens, we will plan our trades accordingly.
💡 Let’s analyze different scenarios:
🔥 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points)
If Nifty opens above 22,442, the index will test the last intraday resistance at 22,551. A decisive breakout above 22,617 may trigger strong bullish momentum.
✅ Plan of Action:
If Nifty sustains above 22,551, look for bullish price action and enter longs with targets of 22,617 and 22,680+.
If a sharp rejection occurs near 22,617, consider booking partial profits and trail SL.
Avoid chasing longs if Nifty starts showing weakness near resistance. Wait for a pullback.
📌 Key Levels to Watch: 22,442 (Support) | 22,551 (Breakout Zone) | 22,617+ (Profit Booking Zone).
📢 Tip: In case of a fake breakout above 22,617, selling pressure may drag Nifty back to 22,442. Watch for reversal patterns before taking aggressive trades.
📉 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within 50 Points)
If Nifty opens near 22,383 – 22,434, we will monitor price action near the Opening Support/Resistance Zone. The first 30 minutes will be crucial for direction confirmation.
✅ Plan of Action:
If Nifty bounces from 22,351 – 22,378, look for long opportunities targeting 22,442 and 22,551.
If Nifty struggles to hold 22,442, expect sideways action. Trade only near major levels.
A breakdown below 22,351 will indicate weakness, leading to a test of 22,296 and 22,208.
📌 Key Levels to Watch: 22,351 – 22,378 (Support Zone) | 22,442 (Resistance) | 22,551 (Breakout Confirmation).
📢 Tip: Use a wait-and-watch approach in the first 30 minutes. Let the market establish direction before making big trades.
🛑 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points)
A gap-down below 22,351 could push Nifty towards the last intraday support of 22,296. If the selling extends, watch the golden retracement zone at 22,114, which is a high-probability demand zone.
✅ Plan of Action:
If Nifty stabilizes at 22,296, expect a recovery towards 22,351 – 22,378. Scalping opportunities exist.
If selling pressure continues below 22,296, expect a further slide to 22,114, which will be a must-watch area for buyers.
Only consider fresh longs at 22,114 if strong reversal signs appear. Else, avoid catching falling knives.
📌 Key Levels to Watch: 22,296 (Support) | 22,208 (Breakdown Confirmation) | 22,114 (Golden Buy Zone).
📢 Tip: Avoid aggressive longs in a gap-down scenario unless a clear reversal is seen at major supports. Watch for confirmation before entering any trade.
⚡ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
🔹 Premium Decay Alert: If Nifty consolidates, avoid buying OTM options. Time decay will erode premiums.
🔹 Hedge Positions: If selling options, hedge using spreads to reduce risk.
🔹 Exit at SL: Do not hold options hoping for reversals. Stick to the predefined SL.
🔹 Avoid Trading the First 5-Minutes: Market volatility is high; let a pattern form.
🔹 Size Appropriately: If uncertain, reduce lot size and wait for confirmation.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ If Nifty Opens Gap-Up: Watch for 22,551 – 22,617 resistance zones. A breakout can trigger further upside.
✅ If Nifty Opens Flat: First 30 minutes are crucial. Support at 22,351 – 22,378 should hold for longs.
✅ If Nifty Opens Gap-Down: Watch 22,296 for a reaction. If broken, 22,114 is a key buy zone.
📢 Final Note: The best trades come when price action confirms levels. Avoid emotional trading and respect stop losses.
📜 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . All views are for educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Niftytrendanalysis
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 13-Mar-2025📘 NIFTY Trading Plan for 13-Mar-2025
Chart Reference: Nifty is currently trading near 22,468, with price showing rejection from near-term resistance. Multiple levels such as 22,435, 22,496, and 22,600 are key zones to watch.
Let’s break down the trading approach into opening scenarios 👇
✅ 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ points above previous close)
If NIFTY opens near or above the Opening Resistance Zone – 22,600 to 22,626 :
📍 This zone has acted as a supply area earlier, and a gap-up into this area could trap late buyers if not sustained.
🟧 Scenario 1 – Rejection at Resistance:
🔻 If NIFTY opens within this resistance zone and shows early weakness (such as a bearish engulfing, evening star, or rejection wick), short trades can be considered.
🎯 Targets:
➤ 22,496 (Initial Support)
➤ 22,435 (Next Support)
🟩 Scenario 2 – Breakout Above 22,626:
✅ A strong 15-min bullish candle above 22,626 with volume confirmation can trigger a long entry.
🎯 Targets:
➤ 22,680
➤ 22,800 (Last Intraday Resistance)
🧠 Tip: In gap-up opens, avoid immediate entries. Wait 15–30 mins for the market to establish direction. If upside sustains with strength, trail using VWAP or 5-min EMA.
⚖️ 2. FLAT OPENING (within ±100 points)
If NIFTY opens between 22,435 – 22,496:
This region is the Opening Support/Resistance Zone , meaning both bulls and bears will be active here. The key is to observe who dominates.
🟩 Long Setup:
If NIFTY holds above 22,496 and gives a breakout above 22,600, it will confirm bullish strength.
🎯 Upside Targets:
➤ 22,680
➤ 22,800
🟥 Short Setup:
If price fails to hold above 22,435 and breaks below it with momentum:
🎯 Downside Targets:
➤ 22,319 (Opening Support)
➤ 22,208 (Last Intraday Support)
🧠 Tip: Use option strategies like straddles or strangles near this flat zone if expecting a breakout or expansion in volatility. Avoid naked directional trades unless there is strong confirmation.
🔻 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ points below previous close)
If NIFTY opens near or below 22,319 (Opening Support):
📍 The area between 22,319 – 22,208 is critical for support. Watch closely for price action.
🟩 Reversal Setup:
If NIFTY opens near 22,208–22,319 and holds this support with signs of strength (bullish pin bar, morning star, or strong bullish volume), a reversal trade can be taken.
🎯 Targets:
➤ 22,435
➤ 22,496
🟥 Breakdown Setup:
If support at 22,208 breaks with a large red candle and follow-through, short trades can be initiated.
🎯 Targets:
➤ 22,140–22,100 Zone (Intraday Expansion Move)
🧠 Tip: Gap-downs can lead to high implied volatility. Be cautious of IV crush if reversal happens. Consider bear put spreads to manage premium risk.
💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
Avoid buying deep OTM options post 12 PM unless there is strong trend confirmation. Always trade with a defined stop-loss. Use 15-min closing basis for better validation. Consider spreads (bull call, bear put) to reduce the impact of theta decay. On volatile days, reduce position size and hedge your trades. Don’t trade immediately after a gap — let the first 15–30 mins settle to avoid traps.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Key Resistance Zones:
➤ 22,600–22,626 (Opening Resistance)
➤ 22,800 (Last Intraday Resistance)
✅ Key Support Zones:
➤ 22,435 (Pivot Zone)
➤ 22,319 (Opening Support)
➤ 22,208 (Last Support Zone)
🎯 Let price action guide your trade around these key levels. Remember — reacting to the market is better than predicting it.
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This trading plan is shared purely for educational purposes. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan for 12-Mar-2025📅 NIFTY Trading Plan – 12-Mar-2025
(Timeframe: 15-min | Chart structure based on demand/supply and price action)
Opening Scenarios 📈📉
Gap-Up Opening (📍+100 Points or more)
If Nifty opens above the 22,598 resistance zone, price may initially test this level as support.
🔹 A successful hold here can trigger a bullish rally toward the last intraday resistance at 22,800, with intraday targets around 22,700+.
🔸 However, if Nifty fails to sustain above 22,598 and slips back inside the orange resistance zone, a corrective dip back to 22,496–22,482 may occur.
📌 Plan of Action:
✅ Buy on retest & strength above 22,598
❌ Avoid fresh longs if candles close back below 22,598
Flat Opening (±100 Points)
If Nifty opens near 22,520–22,482, this range becomes a decision-making zone.
🔹 Holding above 22,520 can provide a quick upside move toward 22,598+.
🔸 On the other hand, weakness below 22,482, especially on hourly close, can open downside toward the Opening Support Zone: 22,358–22,415.
📌 Plan of Action:
✅ Wait for the first 15–30 min range breakout
💡 Above 22,520 = bullish bias
⚠️ Below 22,482 = cautious; only scalp short with confirmation
Gap-Down Opening (📉 -100 Points or more)
A gap-down near or below 22,358–22,415 places price directly into the Opening Support Zone.
🔹 Watch for price rejection wicks or bullish reversal candles near this zone.
🔸 If broken decisively, Nifty may test 22,259 (last intraday support) and then the Best Buy Zone: 22,115–22,155, which aligns with the golden retracement zone.
📌 Plan of Action:
✅ Wait and observe price action at 22,358–22,259
📉 Short only if there's breakdown with volume
📈 Strong bounce near 22,115–22,155 = high RR long trade setup
📘 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders 💡
📏 Avoid buying OTM calls or puts after big gap openings . Wait 15–30 mins for premium decay to stabilize.
🛑 Always place SL based on chart levels or candle close—not fixed points .
🧠 Avoid averaging losing options positions —theta decay can kill.
💸 Position sizing is key: Never risk more than 1–2% of capital per trade.
🎯 Trade with a plan, not emotions. Let levels guide your decisions.
📊 Summary & Key Levels
🔹 Upside Resistance: 22,598 – 22,800
🔸 Key Pivot Levels: 22,520 / 22,482
🟢 Support Zones: 22,358 – 22,259 – 22,115
⚠️ Best Risk-Reward Zone: 22,115 – 22,155 (Watch for reversal signs)
📌 Conclusion
Nifty is trading in a reactive zone. Smart trading lies in reacting to key levels, not predicting. Avoid emotional trades near resistance or support—let price confirmation guide you. Patience will reward the prepared trader.
📛 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. All views shared are for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trades.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 11-Mar-2025📅 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 11-Mar-2025
🕘 Time Frame: 15-Min | 📍 Strategy: Market Structure + Zones of Interest
📉 Previous Close: 22,441.10
📌 Consider 100+ points for Gap-Up / Gap-Down thresholds
🔼 1. GAP-UP OPENING (Above 22,541+)
A gap-up opening above 22,541 would place Nifty around or above the Opening Resistance zone. In such cases, the market may attempt to challenge the Last Intraday Resistance at 22,623, and possibly even push into the Major Resistance Zone between 22,706–22,744.
🧠 Plan of Action:
Wait for the price to show reaction around 22,623. If it struggles to sustain above this level and forms a bearish 15-min candle, it's a good risk-reward shorting opportunity.
Targets on the downside could be 22,512, and if weakness persists, then a slide toward 22,441 is possible.
Only if price breaks and holds above 22,744 (hourly candle close), consider going long for a possible extension toward 22,800+.
🔍 Caution: A gap-up directly into resistance zone can cause profit booking and volatility. Don’t chase a runaway rally unless momentum with volume confirms breakout.
🎯 Short Zone: 22,620–22,740 (Rejection candles preferred)
📈 Breakout Long above: 22,744 (With hourly close + volume)
➖ 2. FLAT OPENING (±100 points near 22,441)
A flat open near the previous close of 22,441 keeps Nifty inside a decision zone. It sits between the Opening Resistance (22,512) and the Consolidation Zone (22,321–22,410). This is where early traps often occur.
🧠 Plan of Action:
Let the first 15–30 mins settle. If Nifty bounces from 22,321–22,350, it can be considered a buy with tight SL below 22,321, targeting 22,512–22,623.
On the flip side, if price fails to hold 22,321, wait for a clean breakdown with volume — in that case, shorting opportunities open up toward 22,115.
Avoid overtrading in the consolidation zone — wait for structure to develop clearly.
🟧 Key Zone to Watch: 22,321–22,410 — Acts as possible trap zone with choppy moves.
🎯 Buy on Bounce: 22,321–22,350 (Confirmation needed)
📉 Short below: 22,321 (Strong candle + volume)
🔽 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (Below 22,341)
If Nifty opens below 22,341, it may test or even open inside the Support Zone / Must Try Area for Buyers around 22,115 — which coincides with a key Golden Retracement and past support area.
🧠 Plan of Action:
If Nifty opens near 22,150–22,120, watch for reversal candles like bullish engulfing, morning star, or hammer patterns. If formed, it’s a good risk-reward zone to go long with SL below 22,100.
If price breaks and sustains below 22,100, avoid longs and prepare for further downside toward 21,950–21,880 in upcoming sessions.
Never jump into longs blindly on gap-downs — price action is king.
🟢 Buy Zone on Reversal: 22,150–22,115
🟥 Breakdown Trigger: Below 22,100 (Hourly candle close)
💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders:
🕒 Wait for the first 15–30 minutes to pass — let the market reveal its intent. 📉 Use spreads (Bull Call or Bear Put) when trading near volatile zones like resistances or supports. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss — either on premium value or index level (preferably both). 🧠 Avoid emotional trading — don’t average into losing positions. 💼 Trade position size wisely — don't go all-in on a single idea. 🧾 Keep a trading journal to improve your strategy over time.
📌 Summary & Conclusion:
🔺 Gap-Up = Watch for weakness near 22,623–22,744 — possible reversal or breakout
🔘 Flat = High chance of whipsaws — trade only after clear setup forms near 22,321 or 22,512
🔻 Gap-Down = Support test likely at 22,115 — potential reversal or breakdown
⚠️ Always respect the market structure and trade with discipline. Avoid predicting — react to what the market shows.
📢 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Nifty Outlook: Bulls vs Bears - Key Levels to Watch Next Week
Nifty closed at 22,552, up by around 330 points from last week's close, hitting a high of 22,633 and a low of 21,964. As anticipated last week, the index found support at the 100-day WEMA around the 22,000 level, triggering a bounce. Looking ahead, next week is crucial, as the market is at a crossroads. While the monthly and weekly timeframes continue to show bearish signals, the bulls are actively trying to take control and push the market higher.
Here’s what to watch for:
Key Resistance: If Nifty manages to stay above 22,800 next week, we could see a short-covering rally, driving the index towards the 23,000 to 23,050 range. However, beyond these levels, the bulls may face significant challenges in taking the market further up.
Critical Support: On the downside, 22,000 remains a major support level. A break below this level could signal a fresh downtrend, possibly leading the market towards 19,500.
Next week is expected to be volatile, given the short trading week due to the holiday on Friday. This could lead to profit-taking from long traders, which might put downward pressure on the market. Keep a close eye on this week's low of 21,964. If it breaks, the market may open up to sharp declines.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has found support at the 50-day WEMA and closed at 5,770. On the weekly timeframe, it looks like the S&P 500 is forming a W pattern, with potential upside towards 5,850-5,890 next week before any pullback. If the S&P rallies as expected, it could provide a boost to Indian markets as well.
Next week is set to be decisive. Will the bulls overcome the bearish pressure, or will the market succumb to further selling? Stay alert, as the battle between bulls and bears continues.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 06-Mar-2025Market Context:
Nifty closed at 22,337, with the following key structural levels:
🔴 Profit Booking Zone: 22,635
🟠 No Trade Zone: 22,356 - 22,462
🟢 Opening Support: 22,200 - 22,230
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 22,165 - 22,057
Considering a 100+ point gap opening, let's analyze the possible trading scenarios for the day.
🟢 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 22,450)
If Nifty opens above 22,450, it moves into or above the No Trade Zone (22,356 - 22,462).
Sustaining above 22,462 – If the market holds this level with strong momentum, Nifty can rally toward the Profit Booking Zone at 22,635.
Rejection from 22,462 – If price struggles to break above 22,462, it may pull back toward the previous resistance at 22,356, which now acts as support.
If price consolidates inside the No Trade Zone, it signals uncertainty, and traders should wait for a clear direction before taking action.
🔹 Trading Plan:
Go long only if Nifty sustains above 22,462 on an hourly close, targeting 22,635.
Sell below 22,356 if rejection is observed, with a target of 22,289.
Options traders can consider 22,500 CE for long trades and 22,400 PE if rejection occurs.
🟡 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within 22,300 - 22,350)
A flat opening near 22,346 places Nifty in a neutral range, requiring confirmation for the next move.
A move above 22,356 will push the index toward the No Trade Zone (22,356 - 22,462). If sustained, a breakout above 22,462 can open room for higher levels.
A drop below 22,300 brings the price closer to the Opening Support Zone (22,200 - 22,230), making this level crucial for short-term buyers.
If price trades between 22,300 - 22,356, wait for a decisive breakout before entering trades.
🔹 Trading Plan:
Avoid taking trades inside the No Trade Zone and wait for a breakout.
Go long above 22,462, targeting 22,635.
Sell below 22,300 for a move toward 22,200, with stop-loss at 22,356.
Options traders can use 22,400 CE for longs and 22,300 PE for shorts.
🔴 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below 22,200)
A gap-down near 22,200 - 22,057 will bring price into the Opening Support & Last Intraday Support Zones.
Holding 22,200 – If price finds support here, a strong bounce can push Nifty back toward 22,356.
Breaking 22,165 – If selling pressure persists, the next downside target is 22,057, which is the last major support.
If price enters the 22,057 - 22,165 range, this zone could act as a major reversal point based on previous demand zones.
🔹 Trading Plan:
Look for buying opportunities at 22,200 if price shows reversal signals.
If breakdown below 22,165 occurs, wait for confirmation before shorting toward 22,057.
Options traders can use 22,200 PE for breakdown trades and 22,100 CE for bounces.
📊 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
✅ Use Stop Loss on an Hourly Close Basis – Avoid holding options without confirmation of direction.
✅ Avoid Trading in the No Trade Zone – Let price break out before taking a position.
✅ Monitor India VIX – If volatility is high, premiums may decay faster. Avoid unnecessary trades.
✅ Partial Profit Booking is Key – Secure profits at resistance & support levels instead of waiting for full targets.
✅ Avoid Holding Trades Overnight – Unless there is a strong directional bias, overnight positions carry additional risk.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
Bullish Scenario: Above 22,462, Nifty can rally toward 22,635.
Neutral Zone: If trading between 22,300 - 22,356, wait for confirmation before entering trades.
Bearish Scenario: Below 22,165, weakness can extend toward 22,057, where a bounce is likely.
🔹 Best Risk-Reward Trades:
Buy near 22,200 if support holds.
Sell below 22,165 for a breakdown.
Buy only on a confirmed breakout above 22,462.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 25-Mar-2025Market Context:
Nifty closed at 22,080.30, with key structural zones identified:
🔴 Last Intraday Resistance Zone: 22,188 - 22,230
🟠 No Trade Zone: 22,070 - 21,966
🟢 Opening Support: 21,966
🟢 Last Intraday Support: 21,889
🟩 Key Demand Zone: 21,613 - 21,889 (Potential Wave C Completion Area)
With a 100+ point gap opening considered, let’s analyze different market scenarios.
🟢 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 22,180)
If Nifty opens above 22,180, it enters the Last Intraday Resistance Zone (22,188 - 22,230).
Sustaining above 22,230 – A breakout above this resistance can lead to a potential move toward 22,356.
Failure at 22,230 – A rejection from this level could push Nifty back toward 22,080, the previous closing level.
If price consolidates near 22,230 without strong buying, it signals a possible reversal, making a short trade viable.
🔹 Trading Plan:
Go long only if Nifty sustains above 22,230 on an hourly close, targeting 22,356.
Sell below 22,188 if rejection is observed, with a target of 22,080.
Options traders can consider 22,200 CE for longs and 22,300 PE if rejection occurs.
🟡 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within 22,070 - 22,100)
A flat opening near 22,080 places Nifty in a neutral zone, requiring clear direction.
A move above 22,100 may lead to an attempt toward the resistance at 22,188 - 22,230.
A drop below 22,070 would push price into the No Trade Zone, signaling indecision.
A break below 21,966 will shift momentum bearish, targeting 21,889.
🔹 Trading Plan:
Avoid trades inside the No Trade Zone and wait for a breakout.
A rejection from 22,188 can offer a short trade opportunity toward 22,070.
Long positions should only be considered above 22,230, with proper stop-loss management.
🔴 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below 21,980)
A gap-down near 21,966 - 21,889 will bring price into Opening Support & Last Intraday Support Zones.
Holding 21,889 – A strong bounce can occur from this level, offering a buying opportunity.
Breaking 21,889 – If sustained selling continues, Nifty may move toward the Wave C Completion Zone (21,613 - 21,889).
If price enters the 21,613 - 21,889 range, this zone could act as a major reversal point based on the daily chart.
🔹 Trading Plan:
Look for buying opportunities at 21,889 if price shows signs of reversal.
If breakdown below 21,889 occurs, wait for confirmation before shorting toward 21,613.
Options traders can use 21,900 PE for breakdown trades and 21,800 CE for bounces.
📊 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
✅ Use Stop Loss on an Hourly Close Basis – Avoid holding options without confirmation of direction.
✅ Trade Small in No Trade Zones – Wait for a breakout or rejection before increasing position size.
✅ Monitor India VIX – If volatility spikes, avoid aggressive short selling.
✅ Book Profits at Resistance & Support Levels – Avoid holding options till expiry unless confident in direction.
✅ Stay Disciplined – If market structure changes, be quick to adapt rather than forcing trades.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
Bullish Scenario: Above 22,230, Nifty can rally toward 22,356.
Neutral Zone: If trading between 21,966 - 22,070, wait for confirmation before trading.
Bearish Scenario: Below 21,889, weakness can extend toward 21,613, where a bounce is expected.
🔹 Best Risk-Reward Trades:
Buy near 21,889 if support holds.
Sell below 21,889 for a breakdown.
Buy only on a confirmed breakout above 22,230.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY : Is still Panic Ahead?
In Continuation of my last analysis on 27-Jan-2025
Updated on Daily Charts
Bullish Wave Completion (Wave 1):
The initial upward move saw prices reach a bullish wave completion zone between 21,179 and 22,481. This zone represents the culmination of a strong impulsive wave, with consolidation occurring around the lower band (21,179) after peaking. The support held firm, indicating potential for further upside initially.
Extended Wave C or Wave 3 Profit Booking (Wave 2):
Following the bullish peak, an extended Wave C or Wave 3 profit-booking zone was identified between 22,086 and 22,636. This zone triggered a sharp decline as prices hit the upper band, suggesting overextension and exhaustion of bullish momentum. The drop broke below the support of this zone, setting the stage for a corrective phase.
Correction Wave (Wave 3):
A corrective wave formed, confirmed by a 50% Fibonacci retracement of the prior upward move. This retracement level acted as a natural pullback point, with prices stabilizing briefly before resuming their downward trajectory. This wave indicates a healthy correction within the larger trend.
Support and Further Correction (Wave 4):
Prices found temporary support within the correction wave zone of 22,758 - 23,054. However, this support failed, leading to a further decline after the formation of Wave 4 on a minor wave. The chart marks this as part of an extended correction wave completion zone (21,613 - 21,894), where current price action is converging.
Current Market Position and Outlook:
As of the chart's context (March 2023, with the current date being March 4, 2025), prices are trading toward the extended correction zone (21,613 - 21,894). This zone represents a critical level where buyers might step in, but a break below could signal deeper losses.
Short-term resistance is noted around 23,054, while a sustained move below 21,894 could target the Primary Wave 4 bottom at 19,683. This level aligns with a significant long-term support zone, making it a key area to watch for reversal or continuation.
Trading Implications:
Bullish Case: If prices hold above 21,894 and show signs of reversal (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns or increased volume), traders might anticipate a bounce toward 23,054.
Bearish Case: A break below 21,894 with strong momentum could open the door to 19,683, especially if broader market sentiment turns negative.
Risk management is crucial, with stop-losses recommended below key support levels and targets set near resistance zones.
NIFTY 50 Trade Setup 20 FEB EXPIRY -- Education purpose only--Nifty 50 Faces Key Support At 22,800 Levels
open interest distribution for the Nifty 50 Feb. 20 expiry series indicated most activity at 23,500 call strikes, with the 23,000 put strikes having maximum open interest.
Nifty 50 support is placed at 22,800. "If Nifty 50 falls below 22800, then the selling will trigger. Nifty 50 immediate resistance at 23,000,"
19th Feb Target 1 22687.08
Nifty 50 long term trend analysis, major support and resistance Nifty 50 Index (NSEI: NIFTY) was in a trend for 12 years from June 2008 to Dec 2020. In December 2020 it broke out of this range at ~13357 and almost doubled in just shy of 4 years (September 2024) peaking at ~26277.
Support 1 : 21870 (Fib 23.6%)
Support 2 : 19114 (Fib 38.2%)
Support 3 : 16909 (Fib 50%)
Note: Not an investment / trade recommendation. Just for educational purposes only.
NIFTY Intraday Trading levels and Plan – 28-Feb-2025
This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on February 28, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,763 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,663), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher.
If the price sustains above 22,763, it could target the resistance zone of 22,884–22,900. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs.
If the price faces rejection at 22,884–22,900, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,700–22,663 (opening resistance and previous close).
Should the price break above 22,900 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,000 or higher.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,763 , targeting 22,884–22,900. Use a stop-loss below 22,663 to manage risk.
✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,884–22,900, aiming for 22,700–22,663. Place a stop-loss above 22,900 to limit potential losses.
Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points reflects bullish sentiment, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky due to volatility. Waiting for a retest of 22,763 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,884–22,900 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,663–22,700)
If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,663–22,700, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out.
A breakout above 22,700 could drive prices toward 22,884–22,900, signaling bullish momentum.
A breakdown below 22,663 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,510–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support) or even 22,268–22,070 (buyer’s support levels).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy above 22,700 , targeting 22,884–22,900. Use a stop-loss below 22,663 to protect against a false breakout.
✔️ Sell below 22,663 , targeting 22,510–22,356 or 22,268–22,070. Set a stop-loss above 22,700 to manage downside risk.
Explanation: A Flat opening often results in consolidation, making it challenging to trade without confirmation. The 22,663–22,700 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to avoid fake moves and ensure higher probability trades.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens below 22,563 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,663), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market.
Immediate support lies at 22,510–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,663–22,700 could occur.
If 22,356 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,268–22,070 (buyer’s support for a possible reversal).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy near 22,356 , targeting a pullback to 22,663–22,700. Use a stop-loss below 22,268 to limit risk.
✔️ Short below 22,356 , targeting 22,268–22,070. Place a stop-loss above 22,356 to protect against a quick recovery.
Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can rebound if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,356 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities. The 22,268–22,070 zone offers a potential reversal point if buying interest emerges.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses.
🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,884 or 22,356) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves.
🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions.
💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
✔️ Bullish Above: 22,700 → Target: 22,884–22,900.
✔️ Bearish Below: 22,663 → Target: 22,510–22,356 or 22,268–22,070.
✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,663–22,700 (Wait for a breakout).
Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on February 28, 2025. 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan – 27-Feb-2025📌
This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY index on February 27, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY opens above 22,784 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher.
If the price sustains above 22,784, it could target the resistance zone of 22,871–22,987. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs.
If the price faces rejection at 22,871–22,987, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,710–22,684 (opening resistance and previous close).
Should the price break above 22,987 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,000 or higher.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,784 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to manage risk.
✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,871–22,987, aiming for 22,710–22,684. Place a stop-loss above 22,987 to limit potential losses.
Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points reflects bullish sentiment, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky due to volatility. Waiting for a retest of 22,784 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,871–22,987 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,684–22,710)
If NIFTY opens within the range of 22,684–22,710, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out.
A breakout above 22,710 could drive prices toward 22,871–22,987, signaling bullish momentum.
A breakdown below 22,684 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support) or even 22,400 (key support level).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy above 22,710 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to protect against a false breakout.
✔️ Sell below 22,684 , targeting 22,505–22,356 or 22,400. Set a stop-loss above 22,710 to manage downside risk.
Explanation: A Flat opening often results in consolidation, making it challenging to trade without confirmation. The 22,684–22,710 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to avoid fake moves and ensure higher probability trades.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY opens below 22,584 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market.
Immediate support lies at 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,684–22,710 could occur.
If 22,505 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,070 (buyer’s support for a possible reversal).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy near 22,505 , targeting a pullback to 22,684–22,710. Use a stop-loss below 22,356 to limit risk.
✔️ Short below 22,505 , targeting 22,070. Place a stop-loss above 22,505 to protect against a quick recovery.
Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can rebound if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,505 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities. The 22,070 zone offers a potential reversal point if buying interest emerges.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses.
🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,871 or 22,505) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves.
🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions.
💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
✔️ Bullish Above: 22,710 → Target: 22,871–22,987.
✔️ Bearish Below: 22,684 → Target: 22,505–22,356 or 22,070.
✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,684–22,710 (Wait for a breakout).
Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY market effectively on February 27, 2025. 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NIFTY EASY TO UNDERSTANDNIFTY Easy to understand analysis share with you when market go down to demand zone we will see buy from that level if market go to upside then we will see sell on that level those i shared in this chart.
Remember! The Market is a Device for Transferring Money From The Impatient To The patient.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 25-Feb-2025This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on February 25, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,784 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher.
If the price sustains above 22,784, it could target the resistance zone of 22,871–22,987. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs.
If the price faces rejection at 22,871–22,987, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,710–22,684 (opening resistance and previous close).
Should the price break above 22,987 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,000 or higher.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,784 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to manage risk.
✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,871–22,987, aiming for 22,710–22,684. Place a stop-loss above 22,987 to limit potential losses.
Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points reflects bullish sentiment, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky due to volatility. Waiting for a retest of 22,784 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,871–22,987 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,684–22,710)
If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,684–22,710, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out.
A breakout above 22,710 could drive prices toward 22,871–22,987, signaling bullish momentum.
A breakdown below 22,684 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support) or even 22,400 (key support level).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy above 22,710 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to protect against a false breakout.
✔️ Sell below 22,684 , targeting 22,505–22,356 or 22,400. Set a stop-loss above 22,710 to manage downside risk.
Explanation: A Flat opening often results in consolidation, making it challenging to trade without confirmation. The 22,684–22,710 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to avoid fake moves and ensure higher probability trades.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens below 22,584 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market.
Immediate support lies at 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,684–22,710 could occur.
If 22,505 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,240 (buyer’s support for a possible reversal).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy near 22,505 , targeting a pullback to 22,684–22,710. Use a stop-loss below 22,356 to limit risk.
✔️ Short below 22,505 , targeting 22,240. Place a stop-loss above 22,505 to protect against a quick recovery.
Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can rebound if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,505 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities. The 22,240 zone offers a potential reversal point if buying interest emerges.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses.
🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,871 or 22,505) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves.
🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions.
💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
✔️ Bullish Above: 22,710 → Target: 22,871–22,987.
✔️ Bearish Below: 22,684 → Target: 22,505–22,356 or 22,240.
✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,684–22,710 (Wait for a breakout).
Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on February 25, 2025. 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 24-Feb-2025NIFTY 50 Intraday Trading Plan – 24-Feb-2025
This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on February 24, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline structured action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with clarity and discipline. 📈🔍
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,987 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,887), it indicates strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests buyers are aggressively entering the market, potentially driving prices higher.
If the price sustains above 22,987, it could target the resistance zone of 23,138–23,300. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure might emerge due to historical resistance.
If the price faces rejection at 23,138–23,300, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,764–22,887 (the previous close and support zone).
Should the price break above 23,300 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,400 or higher.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,987 , targeting 23,138–23,300. Use a stop-loss below 22,887 to manage risk.
✔️ Short if the price rejects 23,138–23,300, aiming for 22,764–22,887. Place a stop-loss above 23,300 to limit potential losses.
Explanation: A Gap-Up opening reflects optimism, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky. Waiting for a retest of 22,987 ensures confirmation of bullish intent, while the resistance at 23,138–23,300 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A breakdown from this resistance could signal a false breakout, offering a shorting opportunity.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,764–22,887)
If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,764–22,887, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out.
A breakout above 22,887 could drive prices toward 23,138–23,300, signaling bullish momentum.
A breakdown below 22,764 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,510 (last intraday support) or even 22,235–22,156 (buyer’s support zone).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy above 22,887 , targeting 23,138–23,300. Use a stop-loss below 22,764 to protect against a false breakout.
✔️ Sell below 22,764 , targeting 22,510 or 22,235–22,156. Set a stop-loss above 22,887 to manage downside risk.
Explanation: A Flat opening often leads to consolidation, making it tricky to trade without confirmation. The 22,764–22,887 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) before entering positions to avoid fake moves.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens below 22,664 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,887), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market.
Immediate support lies at 22,510–22,400 (last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,764–22,887 could occur.
If 22,510 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,235–22,156 (buyer’s support zone).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy near 22,510 , targeting a pullback to 22,764–22,887. Use a stop-loss below 22,400 to limit risk.
✔️ Short below 22,510 , targeting 22,235–22,156. Place a stop-loss above 22,510 to protect against a quick recovery.
Explanation: A Gap-Down opening indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can recover if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,510 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses.
🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 23,138 or 22,510) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves.
🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions.
💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
✔️ Bullish Above: 22,887 → Target: 23,138–23,300.
✔️ Bearish Below: 22,764 → Target: 22,510 or 22,235–22,156.
✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,764–22,887 (Wait for a breakout).
Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on February 24, 2025. 🚀
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan 20-Feb-2025We will analyze three possible opening conditions and strategize accordingly. Key levels are marked for better decision-making.
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY opens above 23,008 (last intraday resistance):
Sustaining above 23,008 can lead to an upside move towards 23,158 - 23,191 (Profit Booking Zone). If price sustains above this, we may see further bullish momentum.
Watch for rejection at 23,158-23,191—a reversal here could trigger selling pressure, providing a shorting opportunity with a target back to 23,008.
Aggressive traders can look for quick scalping opportunities on breakouts with strict stop-loss.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy on breakout & retest of 23,008, targeting 23,158 - 23,191.
✔️ Short if price rejects 23,158-23,191, aiming for 23,008.
⚠️ Risk Tip: If price consolidates near 23,008, avoid trading immediately—wait for a strong direction confirmation.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,954 - 22,914)
If NIFTY opens within the 22,914 - 22,954 zone (Opening Resistance/Support), this could act as a No Trade Zone due to potential choppiness.
A decisive breakout above 22,954 can lead to a move towards 23,008 and higher levels.
A breakdown below 22,886 (Opening Support) could trigger selling towards 22,795.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy above 22,954, targeting 23,008 and 23,158.
✔️ Sell below 22,886, targeting 22,795.
⚠️ Risk Tip: Avoid trading inside the No Trade Zone (22,895 - 22,949) unless a clear breakout happens with strong volume.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY opens below 22,795, it signals weakness.
Immediate support exists at 22,740 - 22,758 (Last Intraday Support). If this holds, expect a possible pullback towards 22,886 - 22,914.
If 22,740 breaks, expect further downside towards 22,636 (Buyer’s Support).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy near 22,740, targeting a pullback to 22,886 - 22,914.
✔️ Short below 22,740, targeting 22,636 and lower.
⚠️ Risk Tip: In a gap-down scenario, watch for consolidation before entering. A weak opening doesn’t always mean immediate selling—wait for confirmation.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
🛑 Always use a strict stop-loss to protect capital.
🎯 Take partial profits at key levels to secure gains.
🕰️ Avoid overtrading—wait for clear price action confirmation.
💰 Use proper position sizing to manage risk.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
✔️ Bullish Above: 23,008 → Target: 23,158 - 23,191.
✔️ Bearish Below: 22,886 → Target: 22,795 - 22,740.
✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,895 - 22,949 (Wait for breakout).
Trade with a plan, manage risk wisely, and stay disciplined. ✅🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trades. 📉📈
Nifty Analysis: Potential Final Low and Key Reversal ZonesNifty Analysis: Potential Final Low and Key Reversal Zones
Pattern & Wave Structure
=====================
1. The market appears to be in the late stages of a higher-degree Wave (4) correction in a classical A‑B‑C formation.
2. Based on current wave counts, the 17th February low could mark the completion of Wave C (and thus Wave (4)).
3. If the price undercuts that low again, the 25th Feb–6th March window stands out as another high‑probability reversal zone.
Price & Time Analysis
================
1. Fibonacci Retracements near the 23,400–22,550 region align with typical corrective targets (0.382 and 0.5 retracements).
2. Several cycle durations (High‑High, Low‑Low, etc.) also converge in the late Feb to early March window, suggesting that if the 17th Feb low fails, price is likely to pivot within this narrow time band.
Momentum Across Multiple Time Frames
==============================
1. Daily (8‑ & 13‑period Stoch RSI): Just triggered a bullish reversal signal, indicating a near‑term upside bias.
2. Weekly Stoch RSI: Currently in a bearish phase but could shift higher if price stabilizes or rallies from current levels.
3. Monthly Momentum: Deep in oversold territory, suggesting the market is nearing a major inflection point (downside risk appears more limited).
Overall Outlook
===========
With three time frames hinting that bearish momentum is losing steam—and a clear confluence of Fibonacci targets and time cycles—downside appears limited if not already exhausted.
A decisive push above recent swing highs would strengthen the case that the 17th Feb low was a significant bottom.
Conversely, a brief extension lower into late Feb–early March could still offer a strong rebound if support is confirmed in that zone.
Conclusion
=========
The interplay of price levels, time cycles, and momentum indicators points to a potential final leg of the correction nearing completion. If 17th Feb was not the turning point, then the upcoming 25th Feb–6th March window may serve as an important inflection date for Nifty. Keep an eye on key Fibonacci support zones and the evolving Stoch RSI signals for confirmation of a sustained upside move.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 19-Feb-2025We will analyze potential trade setups for NIFTY based on three different opening scenarios: Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down. The plan is designed to help traders navigate the market effectively while managing risk.
📍 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens with a gap-up above 22930, we need to carefully assess the price action at key resistance zones.
✅ Plan of Action:
If the index sustains above 22950, it may move towards the 23039-23065 resistance zone.
A strong breakout above 23065 can push NIFTY towards 23178. However, watch for rejection signs near resistance.
If price struggles at 23039-23065, it may provide a short opportunity with a downside target of 22895-22949.
🛑 Invalidation: If NIFTY breaks and sustains above 23065, bearish trades should be avoided.
🎯 Bullish Target: 23178
🔻 Bearish Target: 22895
📍 Scenario 2: Flat Opening
A flat opening near 22,923 requires patience as price discovery takes place.
✅ Plan of Action:
If price remains between 22,895 - 22,949, it's a No-Trade Zone 📌 – avoid choppy action.
A breakout above 22,950 can push the index towards the 23039-23065 resistance area.
A breakdown below 22,895 may lead to a test of the 22,755-22,779 support zone.
If NIFTY takes support at 22,755, it may provide a buying opportunity.
🚨 No Trading in Choppy Zone: Avoid entering positions unless there is a clear breakout or breakdown.
🎯 Bullish Target: 23039
🔻 Bearish Target: 22,755
📍 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens below 22,850, it suggests weakness and a test of key support zones.
✅ Plan of Action:
If price holds 22,755-22,779, a bounce-back move can be expected.
A strong breakdown below 22,755 can drag NIFTY towards the 22,648-22,672 weak buyer’s support.
If the market finds demand at 22,648, it could lead to an intraday reversal opportunity.
📢 Watch out for panic selling near support zones – look for reversal signs before going long.
🎯 Bullish Target: 22,923
🔻 Bearish Target: 22,648
🎯 Risk Management & Pro Tips for Options Traders
📌 Avoid buying options immediately after market opens – wait for direction confirmation.
📌 Use stop-loss wisely – protect capital in volatile conditions.
📌 Time decay matters! If trading options, avoid holding losing positions for too long.
📌 Watch for wicks & rejection candles near key levels to time your entries better.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Key Resistance Levels: 23039-23065, 23178
✅ Key Support Levels: 22,755-22,779, 22,648-22,672
✅ No Trade Zone: 22,895 - 22,949
🚀 Bullish above: 22,950
📉 Bearish below: 22,755
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk! 💡
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 18-Feb-2025
The market structure and price action suggest a key decision-making zone around 22,990-23,030. Based on the opening price, we will approach the trade accordingly.
🔹 1. Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above Previous Close)
If NIFTY opens with a gap-up above 23,030, it will directly enter the resistance zone. Here’s how to plan:
A rejection from 23,126 can trigger a short trade targeting 22,990. Confirmation is needed via bearish candles.
If NIFTY sustains above 23,126, a further rally towards 23,299 is possible. Look for a breakout retest before entering long positions.
Avoid fresh longs near resistance unless volume confirms breakout strength.
📌 Pro Tip: If opening above resistance, avoid chasing longs immediately; wait for a pullback.
🔹 2. Flat Opening (Near Previous Close: 22,954-22,990)
If price holds 22,990 and bounces, expect a push towards 23,030 and possibly 23,126.
A breakdown below 22,963 can lead to a drop towards 22,847.
Consider sideways movement between 22,990-23,030 as a no-trade zone unless a clear trend emerges.
📌 Pro Tip: Flat opens demand patience—wait for clear directional movement before entering.
🔹 3. Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below Previous Close)
If NIFTY opens below 22,847, it enters the support zone. Here’s how to approach:
A bullish rejection from 22,779 can offer a good long trade towards 22,847-22,963.
If the support fails, expect a deeper correction towards 22,720.
Sideways action in the 22,779-22,847 zone suggests waiting for trend confirmation.
📌 Pro Tip: Don’t rush into long trades unless price action confirms demand at support.
🔸 Risk Management & Options Trading Tips 🛡️
Keep SL tight, especially if trading near resistance/support zones.
Use option spreads to reduce risk in high-volatility conditions.
Avoid overtrading—stick to planned levels and execution strategies.
Watch open interest data to confirm market direction.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Resistance Levels: 23,030 → 23,126 → 23,299✅ Support Levels: 22,963 → 22,847 → 22,779✅ Trade Carefully in No Trade Zone: 22,990-23,030
🎯 The market is at a crucial level; patience and confirmation-based entries are key! Let the price action guide your trades.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk! 🚀
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 17-Feb-2025
🔍 Market Context: NIFTY has shown a strong downtrend with critical resistance and support levels forming significant zones. The price action near key levels will determine the direction for the day. Let’s break down possible scenarios.
1. Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 22,996) If NIFTY opens above 22,996 , it enters the "Opening Resistance/Support Zone". Sellers may step in around this zone, leading to a possible rejection and downside move toward 22,918 . If the price sustains above 23,135 , bullish momentum could extend toward the 23,359 resistance zone. Profit booking is expected around 23,359 , making it a key level to watch for reversals.
🔹 Action Plan: ✅ If NIFTY faces rejection at 22,996 , consider short trades with a target of 22,918 .✅ If price sustains above 23,135 , go long with a target of 23,359 .✅ If NIFTY reaches 23,359 , consider partial profit booking.
💡 Tip: In a gap-up scenario, option premiums inflate. Consider spreads instead of naked options to control risk.
2. Flat Opening (Between 22,918 - 22,996) A flat open indicates uncertainty, keeping price inside the No Trade Zone (22,912 - 22,996) . A breakout above 22,996 signals bullish momentum toward 23,135 . A breakdown below 22,918 invites selling pressure toward the 22,743 - 22,677 support zone.
🔹 Action Plan: ✅ Avoid taking trades within 22,912 - 22,996 until a clear breakout occurs.✅ If price breaks 22,996 , go long with a stop-loss below 22,900 .✅ If price breaks below 22,918 , go short targeting 22,743 .
💡 Tip: Flat openings often trap traders. Wait for 15-30 minutes before entering trades.
3. Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below 22,743) A gap-down opening below 22,743 signals bearish sentiment. The 22,508 level is a critical intraday support – breaking below it can accelerate selling pressure. If NIFTY bounces back from 22,508 , it could trigger an intraday pullback toward 22,743 .
🔹 Action Plan: ✅ If price sustains below 22,743 , go short with a target of 22,508 .✅ If price holds 22,508 and reverses, consider long trades for an intraday recovery.✅ A move above 22,743 can lead to short covering toward 22,918 .
💡 Tip: In a gap-down scenario, IV (Implied Volatility) spikes, making option premiums expensive. Selling OTM call options can be a profitable strategy.
⚠ Risk Management & Options Trading Tips
🔹 Always use stop-loss – Never trade without a predefined risk level.🔹 Position sizing is key – Avoid over-leveraging.🔹 Trade with confirmation – Enter only after clear price action signals.🔹 Manage time decay – If buying options, choose ATM or ITM strikes to reduce theta decay.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 22,996 / 23,135 / 23,359
Support: 22,918 / 22,743 / 22,508
✅ Trading Plan Overview:
Gap-Up: Watch for rejection at 22,996 , possible breakout toward 23,135 .
Flat Open: No Trade Zone between 22,912 - 22,996 – wait for breakout.
Gap-Down: If below 22,743 , bearish sentiment dominates with 22,508 as the key support.
💡 Final Tip: Trade with discipline and follow your plan. Avoid emotional decisions – the market rewards patience! 🚀
📢 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst . This trading plan is for educational purposes only . Please do your own research before taking any trades. 📊
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 14-FEB-2025🔹 Key Levels:
📌 Resistance Zones:
🔴 Last Intraday Resistance: 23,262 – 23,306
🔴 Opening Resistance: 23,119 – 23,185
📌 Support Zones:
🟢 Opening Support/Resistance: 23,015 – 23,019
🟢 Buyer’s Support at Golden Retracement: 22,922 – 22,880
🟢 Stronger Buyer’s Support for Sideways/Consolidation: 22,677 – 22,742
📌 EMA: Price is reacting to the moving average, which could act as dynamic support/resistance.
📊 1️⃣ Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above previous close)
If NIFTY opens above 23,185:
Watch for rejection at 23,262 – 23,306: If price struggles, consider a short trade with SL above 23,320. Target: 23,185 – 23,100.
Sustained breakout of 23,306? Expect bullish momentum. Enter on a retest for targets 23,350 – 23,400.
Avoid impulsive longs at open: Wait for price to consolidate before entering trades.
💡 Pro Tip: If price rejects 23,262, sellers might step in aggressively. Consider buying Put options cautiously.
📊 2️⃣ Flat Opening (±50 points from previous close)
If NIFTY opens near 23,000 - 23,100:
Opening Support/Resistance Zone (23,015 – 23,019): This level will decide the market direction.
Break above 23,100? Expect bullish movement to 23,185. Go long above 23,105 with SL at 23,050.
Break below 23,015? Expect downside movement toward 22,922. Short below 23,010 with SL at 23,050.
💡 Pro Tip: In a flat opening, let price settle before making a decision. Patience pays!
📊 3️⃣ Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below previous close)
If NIFTY opens near 22,880 or below:
22,880 – 22,922 is a retracement support: If price holds, expect a bounce back. Go long above 22,900 with SL at 22,850.
Break below 22,880? Next major support is 22,677 – 22,742. Short below 22,870 with SL at 22,950.
If price reaches 22,677 and holds, expect a bounce. Look for buying opportunities around this level.
💡 Pro Tip: In a gap-down, avoid panic trades. Wait for proper confirmation before entering.
⚠️ Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
📌 Never chase a trade. Let price confirm the level before entering.
📌 Use stop-losses strictly. Protect your capital at all times.
📌 Avoid trading in the No Trade Zone. This is where stop-losses get hunted easily.
📌 Monitor IV (Implied Volatility). If IV is high, options premiums might be inflated. Consider spreads instead of naked options.
🔥 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Key Resistance: 23,119 – 23,185 / 23,262 – 23,306
✅ Key Support: 23,015 – 23,019 / 22,922 – 22,880 / 22,677 – 22,742
✅ Gap-Up: Watch resistance at 23,262. Breakout = bullish, rejection = short.
✅ Flat Opening: Wait for breakout/breakdown from Opening Support before entering.
✅ Gap-Down: 22,880 is crucial. Holding = bounce, breakdown = more downside.
🎯 Stick to the plan, follow discipline, and manage your risks!
⚠ Disclaimer: I am NOT a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.