Nifty live predection and analysis for intradayNifty looking bullish
if sellers again try to push towards support and break resistance then upmove is expected
watch chart on 5 min.
THIS OVERVIEW IS FOR VERY SHORT PERIOD.
Disclaimer: Any of my posts should not be considered as a Buy/ Sell/Hold recommendation. This analysis is for educational and learning purpose only.
I always recommend using Stop Loss and following risk management rules.
Niftytrendanalysis
#Nifty50 analysis for upcoming week 5th-9th Aug 2024#Nifty50 stumbled this week, closing at 24717, a 110-point drop from the previous week. While it danced between 25078 and 24686, staying true to its predicted 25400-24300 range, underlying daily chart weakness is undeniable. Yet, the weekly and monthly perspectives remain bullish. Expect Nifty to continue its tightrope walk between 25000 and 24400 next week. A breakout on either side could ignite significant volatility. A potential support level of 24400 might be a sweet spot for new long positions. However, the looming RBI policy announcement on August 8th could trigger another selling wave. Until then, cautious optimism and controlled positions are key.
Meanwhile, the S&P500 experienced a 5% correction from its 5566 peak, finding support at the WEMA21 level of 5300. If this support holds, a fresh upward rally towards 5400, 5433, 5500, or even 5566 could be on the cards, potentially buoying Indian markets.
Let me know your views in the comments section. thanks for reading
NIFTY Pre - Budget Surge : Caution Ahead...!Hello Traders,
I hope you are all thriving both in your trading endeavors and in life. Today, I bring you an exciting opportunity with a new analysis of NIFTY that's poised for a significant move. Our in-depth analysis reveals that...
NSE:NIFTY
As anticipated and previously mentioned, the past week ended on a negative note (pre-Budget). This week holds the potential for new highs. However, caution is advised, as this will likely be the final move in the sequence that began on October 23, 2023. It is prudent to brace for an impending correction.
Here are the technical details:
I. Resistance I: 24,854.80 ~ 24,910 (conj. Extended trend line from March 20, 2023)
II. Resistance II: 25,120 (Extended trend line from June 1, 2022)
III. Resistance III: 25,460 (Extended trend line from January 24,2024).
***Please note that these values are not actual but indicative levels of support and resistance.
A Gann ideology is that , the move from October 26, 2023 is also facing a time resistance of 270 days (90*3) which is an important number not to consider it lightly.
Furthermore, for the move from March 20, 2023 it is 490 days (360+90+45 or 135) which is also an additional reason factored in to be more cautious!
Following this, the market is expected to take a breather, with profit booking potentially dragging the markets to deeper levels before any new uptrend is initiated (The correction in monthly scale can be anticipated). Further details will be discussed as the market evolves.
Strategy:
Being bullish at this juncture seems prudent, only till R II (for conservative / Defensive) & RIII (for Pro-active / Enterprising).
Disclaimer: Before we conclude, I want to remind everyone that the insights shared here are based on my own analysis. It's crucial that you perform your own research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The financial markets are dynamic, and it's important to ensure that your strategies align with your personal financial goals and risk tolerance.
===========================================================
Dear Traders,
If you appreciate my work, please don’t forget to like and follow me. I would also love to hear your thoughts on this idea in the comments section and will be delighted to respond to each one.
Thank you for reading the article.
HAPPY TRADING
Positive from today: RSI getting stronger, Trendline crossed.Support and resistances for Nifty almost remain the same after action today but the positives are that RSI is getting stronger, Trendline resistance is crossed and an additional support at 24210 is gained. The obstacle still remains at Mother Line that is 50 hours EMA currently at 24455. For Nity to be bullish we need a closing first above 24455 and then above 24525.
Supports For Nifty: 24307, 24210 and zone between 24094 and 24074 is very strong support zone as it includes Father line (200 Hours EMA.)
Resistances for Nifty: 24455 (50 hours EMA or Mother Line), 24525, 24584, 24686 and finally 24842.
Note:-
To know more about Father mother and the small child story and it's connection to 50 and 200 EMA read The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty Next Week: Clash between Bulls and Bears Could Continue. Clash between Bulls and Bears Could Continue into Next week. while bulls will try to break this week's high of 24401 and Bears will try their best to bring the index down and gain some ground to breathe. It will be a tussle to watch out for with bulls having an upper hand as of now but situation can change in a jiffy. So we should have our stop losses in place and trailing stop losses also in place while we enjoy the upward ride. Very important week ahead which may decide the trend for rest of the month.
Important support levels for Nifty will be as under:
The zone between 24237 and 23967 has multiple supports including the 50 hours EMA at 24133. Below 23967 closing Nifty becomes weak and 23667 or 23531 are also possible. 23531 will be the most critical support as it is the 200 Hours EMA. Below 23531 the only substantial support will be at mid-channel which is around 23293. Below 23293 Bears can snatch the control of the market completely.
Important Resistance levels:
24401 to 24408 are most important resistances to watch out for. Above 24408 the levels of 24606 are possible which is the trend top as of now.
Disclaimer: Please do not trade based on this levels of spot nifty. This post is just for education. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.
Nifty Intraday (05-Jul-2024)The image is a chart displaying the 15-minute price movements of the Nifty 50 Index for July 3rd and 4th, 2024. It includes technical analysis with marked buy and sell signals:
-Buy Signal: A suggestion to buy above 24,350 with a target open for 24,450 or more.
-Sell Signal: A recommendation to sell below 24,275 with a target of 24,125 or lower.
The chart also shows the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which helps traders gauge the trend direction and potential support or resistance levels.
Nifty Intraday (02-Jul-2024)An intraday trading chart for the Nifty 50 Index on July 2, 2024, captured in 15-minute intervals. Here's a detailed overview of the chart:
Candlestick Format: Utilizes candlestick bars to depict price action for each 15-minute period, indicating open, high, low, and close prices.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): A blue line representing the 20-period EMA is visible, which helps traders identify the trend's direction and dynamic levels of support or resistance.
Trading Signals:
-Buy Signal: A green arrow points upwards, suggesting to buy if the Nifty exceeds 24,150, with an open target potentially reaching or surpassing 24,275.
-Sell Signal: A red arrow pointing downwards indicates a selling opportunity if the index falls below 24,075, with a target of 22,950.
Technical Analysis Overview: The chart illustrates the Nifty's price movements within a sideways to an upward trend, using the EMA line as a reference point for potential support or resistance levels. The annotations provide strategic entry and exit points based on specific price thresholds.
NIFTY - High probability Correction ahead..!!!The move testing the highs of 21st JUN is about to conclude, following which the correction begins in one larger degree. the trendlines & supports can be seen in the charts
Important points of support will be,
SI - 22,665
SII - 22,535 to hold temporarily
SIII - 22,130 ~ 21,830
SL - Any higher moves beyond 23,750
PS: The correction has equally arguable alternate probabilities, to be exact 2.
1. The correction from 20MAR'23 (16,828 levels) - A LP Outcome
2. The Possibility of an extending triangle - meager probable outcome.
*The discussed outcome is highly probable among all these. However, the data from the market's forthcoming sessions are mandatory for confirming the same - to eradicate the alternatives!!!
Short positions can be taken from 23,690 ~ 23,700 levels
Trade Accordingly.
NIFTY - A clear Swing correctionAs mentioned before the logic remains valid for today. the market is expected to inch higher to the levels mentioned below & after which the correction progresses. The levels
RI - 23,526 (1.382 FE)
R II - 23,580 ~ 23,598 (TL (mid) Intersection - very strong); a SHORT trade here is rewarding!!!
RIII - 23,636 (1.414 FE); highly unlikely to be tested in this move
SL: Any surge above 23,640 will make the trade void (however, the confidence is so strong that this will not be the case).
TP: will be updated in succeeding posts(the presence of ambiguity due to 2 possibilities, progression in correction will help to sort it out!).
Trade accordingly
NIFTY - On the verge of a correction There is a possibility that the market is being interrupted by the intersection of two strong resistances (mid-trend line intersection) which calls for a correction in the monthly time frame.
However, the penultimate move is yet to be completed.
The market is about to test the previous day's low @23,442.60 & after that, there will be a struggling upward move testing again at 23,664. The correction progresses from there to the 21,280 ~ 21,200 levels
Today support for the upcoming penultimate move will be,
SI - 23,442.60
SII - 23,435 ~ 417
SIII - 23,382
NO recommended SL for this trade setup (Any substantial increase above 22,664, calls off the trade).
The resistance to the final move is 23,664 & is expected to surpass the said levels by a minimum margin.
Trade accordingly.
NIFTY - An interim correction in the finalk moveThe market is facing an interim correction from today's high (as we can infer the pattern completion in Hourly charts (11-3-&7). It will fall to the areas through the supports as mentioned below,
The support will be as follows 23318,23157 & 23,035 (strong)~22960.
Apart from these, the coincidental areas can be found between trendlines & retracement as projected in the chart
Nifty Spot Levels - Run Upto Election OutcomeNifty in past 7-10 trading sessions...
trading in range 22200 to 22800 With Volatality (due to Geopolitical News and US Mkts and More Data from India and International Mkts).
But as we are awaiting Election Results...
Any DIP seems to be bought into with sentiments riding high on Current Government to Continue .... giving hope for all the major growth work to be carried out as an ongoing process without any hitch and taking Indian Economy to near $5 trillion.
Markets are supreme...
So have marked important Trading levels...
Happy Trading,,,
Technical Analysis: NIFTY 50's Recent Shifts and Future ProspectHello, TradingView community! Today, we're diving into a detailed technical analysis of the NSE:NIFTY index, which has shown some interesting movements lately. We'll break down the technical signals, look at the potential implications, and discuss what to watch out for in the coming days.
🔍 Overview of Recent Trends
The NIFTY 50 has been following a well-defined upward trend channel over the past several months, making consistent gains each time it hit the upper boundary. However, recent patterns suggest a change in dynamics, which we need to scrutinize closely.
🔁 Current Technical Setup
Most notably, the NIFTY 50 recently deviated from its usual pattern by not reaching the upper boundary of the trend channel before reversing its direction towards the lower boundary. This could be an early sign of weakening bullish momentum.
📉 Significance of the Double Top Pattern
The formation of a potential Double top, a classic bearish reversal indicator, adds weight to concerns about a bearish shift. While this pattern is not yet confirmed—since we haven't seen a definitive breakdown below the neckline—it's a development that warrants attention.
📊 Intersection with the 100-day SMA
The recent drop of -1.5% in the NIFTY 50 brought it down to the lower boundary of the trend channel, which coincidentally aligns with the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). This SMA has historically served as a strong support level, often triggering rebounds.
🔄 Potential Outcomes
Bounce Back: If the 100-day SMA and the lower boundary of the trend channel hold up, there's potential for the NIFTY 50 to rebound towards the mid or upper boundary of the channel.
Bearish Reversal: A decisive close below the 100-day SMA & Neckline of Double Top could indicate a more significant Bearish Trend or the start of a consolidation phase.
🌐 Broader Market Context
Quarterly Earnings: The index is feeling the pressure from non-impressive Q4 results for 2024. Lackluster corporate earnings can dampen investor sentiment and lead to a reevaluation of stock valuations.
Volatility Index Rise: The NSE:INDIAVIX , which measures market volatility, is on the rise. This indicates increased uncertainty among investors, as they price in a higher potential for market swings.
FII Activity: There has been significant selling by foreign institutional investors (FIIs), contributing to downward pressure on the index. FII flows are crucial as they represent substantial investment volumes and can influence market direction.
US Federal Reserve's Stance: The hawkish stance of the US Federal Reserve, signaling potential interest rate hikes, is also a critical factor. Higher US interest rates can lead to capital outflows from emerging markets like India as investors seek higher returns in US assets.
These points illustrate how external factors are intricately linked with the movements of the NIFTY 50 index and should be considered when analyzing its future direction.
📈 Trading Strategy Recommendations
For those actively monitoring the NIFTY 50, it's crucial to keep a close eye on the 100-day SMA and the lower trend line of uptrend channel. These areas serve as critical junctures that could determine the market's short-term direction.
"In the world of Market, it's not about how much you know, but how well you understand what you know and how you apply it in uncertain times."
To conclude, while the NIFTY 50 presents an intriguing technical setup, traders should proceed with caution given the current uncertainties and the index's recent behavior.
This analysis is intended to enhance understanding and encourage informed decision-making. Keep watching these indicators and adapt your strategies accordingly to navigate through these potentially choppy waters.
Lastly, thank you for your support, your likes, Follows & comments. Feel free to ask if you have any questions.
Analysis for Nifty Swing Position
We have a Fresh 3H Demand which is the Source of the Uptrend till the Destination Fresh Weekly Supply.
Further in lower timeframe we will check for a confirmation
We see how the price has been moving making new lows ands new Highs until it reaches the 3H Demand and after reacting to the 3H Demand we see that Price has violated its previous high and now we also have a fresh Demand in 1H chart.
This 1H Demand is the Potential Trade Demand with an Amazing Reward to Risk Ratio.
But the Price where it reaches the Weekly Supply we are looking for a big downward move from this Weekly Supply hence make sure to exit on time.
Nifty 50 within the Channel. Trend Analysis for short term TradeNifty 50 is currently trading within a Channel. This analysis suggests a short-term or swing trade approach. As the market is currently trending downward, consider using Trend Continuation technic and Fibonacci Retracement for your trading strategy.
WHERE IS BOTTOM? WHERE TO BUY? NIFTY? Undoubtedly, perfect level to buy nifty @ 22951 no stoploss needed.
22951 & 47097(banknifty) happens to be .78 fib retracement level from 26 oct 2023 - may 2024.
Dont b scared to buy @ these levels including nifty & bank nifty heavyweights.
Reliance, LT, Indusindbank, TCS, HDFCbank, ICICIbank to name a few.