Spot Nifty At A Critical Juncture.Market Outlook
The Nifty is poised at a cross road and a critical resistance. Either it can defy the resistance and continue rising further or it can consolidate a bit in the range of 100/ 200 points on either side and consolidate it’s position. Nifty consolidating first and then rallying further will be more logical but Stock market is not the place which obeys reasoning and logic most of the times. Either it becomes too worried or it becomes too fearless and greedy. We investors try to find equilibrium and rationale in the place which often defies laws of consistency in the short term. In the long term everything works fine and falls in a deserving place.
Spot Nifty Resistance Zones: 17851, 18004, 18126 and 18267.
Spot Nifty Support Zones: 17780, 17713, 17532(Strong Short Term Support), 17311(Final Short Term Support).
Niftyview
Review and Trading plan for 13th April 2023Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
An Equation of the Financial Markets in form of an Endless Loop.Elliot Wave Theory claims that Markets form similar patterns of formations on smaller time frames that are visible on higher time frames, (higher/lesser degree). Crowd behaviour which the theorist defined for traders or market participants is predictable in a manner that it ought to cause a definite result after each sequential or circumventing interval. First half of idealised Elliot Wave is Motive Wave, which consists of 5 kinds of movements but majority are in the direction of higher degree trend (3) and 2 the even movements are retracements or corrections from that higher degree trend. For example on a Monthly chart there is an Upward Trend in the markets then at weekly time frame motive wave would have 1,3,5 actionary movements in upward direction and two corrective movements in downward direction. Motive Wave is further categorised with Impulse Sub-Wave and Diagonal Sub-Wave. Impulse Wave is the normal Motive wave whereas the Diagonal Wave forms consolidation in a channel at 3rd level. The Cycle that I have marked on the chart is Elliot Wave Bearish Cycle which consists of 5 Motive Waves( 15 levels of downward trend and 10 corrective retracements in upward trend) plus 3 corrective Waves as in form of 2nd phase or 2nd overall wave of the Cycle. In my calculative assumption the Corrective Waves are ending ending 18200 levels for nifty and began at 16850. I hope I could make this loopic concept a bit clearer.
Review and Trading plan for 11th AprilNifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
USDINR-Weekly consolidation Reserve Bank of India has conveyed to the market that they are close to the end of rate hiking cycle.
India has not increased rates as much as FED or most of other DM central banks
Indian rupee is close to end of consolidation above the long term wedge. Is it going to lose more value and reach towards 88?
#Nifty #Banknifty #USDINR #Rupee
How much more Fizz left in the rally? The main question that is springing in every mind is that how much more Fizz is left in the rally? Is it a genuine back to bull market rally or should we consider it a relief rally only? We will know only if the critical resistance are crossed in the coming week/weeks.
Nifty Critical Resistances: 17639, 17720, 17804 (Major Resistance) ,18066, 18136, 18207 and finally 18292 (Major Resistance) .
Nifty Critical Support Zones: 17515, 17482, 17402, 17309 and finally 17210.
NIFTY TRADE SETUP FOR MONDAYThere is uptrend in Nifty . If Market Opens above 17643 then we can Buy on dip with Stop loss 17540.
If Market opens flat then Sell Call and Put Both . For a clear direction market has to cross 17650 and sustain .
If market gap down Below 17545 ..then we can sell at rise with 17603 or aggressive 17575 .
Estimated Pathway.It is bound to react to supply zones, even the global indices have reached the supply areas and cannot proceed further without some selling in mid way and starting financial season of the year. Quarter results will make an impact for sure on the index but that is pretty far till now other than the buzzing headlines have already started. So as per me a little gap up will push Nifty Downwards and panic selling would be encountered. Other than that the long trendline also suggests it cannot move a long bullish move tomorrow.
Nifty Lower time countsHey guys subsequent to our previous analysis with dot targets I have observed this in lower time frame.
Please checkout the counts. It looks that iii of c has completed and we are in iv of c and it seems its making a triangle in the iv wave of c.
If it happens then breakdown from e leg of triangle may occur.
Thank you. Please visit profile for detailed profile and all the analysis made till now.
Whipsaw Must Happen.Nifty has entered the supply zones Cluster, it cannot go further no matter what ranges of Dow futures or FTSE openings try to escalate it. CE at this moment would be a disaster. Trendline breakdown would give you a better way out and short the 17200 strike price till it reaches at the end of Wednesday's closing.
IF PRICE ACTION IS WRONG THEN I AM HAPPY TO LOOSE MONEY.Go short, I cannot shout more. A little change of direction does not hurt a trend, a trend takes huge momentum which is missing till now, DJI for instance has just retraced back from risk aversion levels of crisis haphazard, nonetheless they have shifted to uptrend no doubt but India lacks that fundamental support from Foreign Investments and also our Domestic Institutions have filled their belly of buying equities as much as possible. The index has a bit more room in downtrend, smaller up ticks would occur for sure but at the end April is going to be a BEARISH month.
Sandwiched between Support and Resistance with positive biasNifty is perfectly sandwiched between strong support and strong resistance but the bias which was negative for most of March is fading. It is a very very critical day tomorrow. Nifty has already closed on Wednesday above a critical resistance of 17060 giving it a positive bias. Now the most critical resistances that remain to be conquered are 17137 and 17261. Above 17261 Nifty can race to 17408 levels where there is another critical resistance and that a big one of 200 Weeks EMA. Nifty closing the month above 17137 will be great for momentum to be carried forward to April 2023. If Nifty can close above 17261 it can be a momentum shift and Bulls can think of making a come back in April in that case. Strong Support on the lower side remain at 16825 levels.
Nifty forming Corrective wave formationNifty have completed one leg of down move and now forming corrective formation, as per analysis, it is wave 4 formation which generally retrace the wave 3 in the range of 38.2-50%.
Expecting it to be wave 4 formation because Nifty didn’t break the low of 16747 which is the First inducement on the Weekly chart