Nik by Dl InvestHello community,
A little daily analysis in log scale, because I use the "Adaptive Trend Finder" and "Price Action Ultimate" indicator.
The channel is bearish.
I drew a Fibonacci retracement in log, to see if there is a golden zone.
If the theory works, we have a target around $90.62.
Nothing says that the title will rebound, change of CEO, so we can hope for change in a while.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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Nike
Nike Support Zone: Potential Buy OpportunityIf Nike’s price returns to the green support zone, it could present a great buying opportunity. This level has shown strength before, and I believe that buyers could step back in, leading to a potential rebound from this area. Keep an eye on this zone, as it could signal a shift in momentum with the return of bullish activity.
NKE (NIKE, Inc.) BUY TF D1 TP = 94.49On the D1 chart the trend started on Aug. 1 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 94.49
This level, which I have outlined above, is certainly not a “finish” level. But it is the level that has the “highest percentage of hits on target.”
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
Technical Analysis of Nike (NKE)Looking at Nike ’s stock on a monthly timeframe, we can clearly observe that it has been in a downtrend since November 2021, following the formation of a Double Top pattern, confirmed by the development of a Shooting Star candlestick.
The downward movement has currently paused at a support level (SUP) in the $70 area, where the stock has shown a reaction.
At the moment, the stock is trading near a crucial volume level, the Point of Control (POC). Above this level, up to $110, there are significant volumes that could make upward movement more challenging.
Bullish Scenario
For a bullish scenario, the stock needs to break above the current POC level and the descending trendline. The first target could be the resistance (RES 1) around $110.
If it successfully breaks through this resistance with strength, the second target could be the $130 area (RES 2), which has acted as both support and resistance in the past.
Bearish Scenario
However, if the stock lacks the momentum to break through the POC and the entire high-volume area up to RES 1, the downtrend could continue, with the next support (SUP1) located around the $50 area.
This analysis outlines both bullish and bearish scenarios for Nike's stock, offering a clear view of the key price levels to watch.
$NKE NIKE | NIKE CEO RETIRES & PRICE RALLIES 9% - Sep 21st, 2024NYSE:NKE NIKE | NIKE CEO RETIRES & PRICE RALLIES 9% - Sep 21st, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $
Weekly: Bearish
Daily: Bullish
4H: Bullish
NYSE:NKE price is now approaching the 88.00 - 89.00 level that was a previous support level (week of Apr01'24). Bearish momentum from Jun27'24 earnings broke this level. We are now revisiting it from a bullish rally that was spawned by the CEO retiring and a new one being appointed. The support, the break, and the retest are three visits to this level, which is why I'm now viewing it as a potential entry for trades. Keep an eye out for the Oct01 earnings call.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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Nike (NKE): Analysis and Expectations Ahead of EarningsWe have analyzed this stock in the past privately, but we never published it, and it's a shame because we anticipated lower prices but have no proof of it. Still, we are looking for lower prices on NYSE:NKE , as we are about to finish Wave 4, most likely between $93 and $106.
NYSE:NKE will publish its earnings this week on Tuesday after market close. Heading into those results, the bar was low, as inflation keeps shoppers cautious.
Some analysts have said that even if those results come in better than expected, Wall Street's reservations could be hard to shake. However, others believe that with a new CEO on the way, investors might cut the company some slack.
So, the market might be ready for a push, but this sector is under much pressure as shoppers are finding it harder to spend money compared to previous years. It will be very interesting to follow NYSE:NKE and see if our outlook is correct or not. As shown in the chart, this scenario will be invalidated if the price breaks through $115.82.
We foresee a good entry opportunity between $60 and $50, where the most traded volume of the last 9 years has been.
We will update this stock when we know more. ✅
NKE NIKE Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold NKE before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NKE NIKE prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 93usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-10-18,
for a premium of approximately $1.95.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
The Price of Nike (NKE) Shares Surged by More Than 6%The Price of Nike (NKE) Shares Surged by More Than 6%
Investors in Nike (NKE) can hardly call 2024 a successful year:
→ while the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) has risen by over 20% since the beginning of the year and is hovering near historic highs,
→ the price of NKE shares has dropped by about 20% in 2024 and is now more than twice as low as its all-time high reached in 2021.
Nike’s shares have been in a downward trend for several months, driven by increasing competition, as confirmed by the latest quarterly report, which showed that sales remained flat, and the company forecasts a potential 10% decline in quarterly sales.
As CNN reports, many investors had been calling for changes at Nike. Thus, they welcomed the news of a leadership change – it was announced last week that the current CEO, John Donahoe, will retire next month and will be replaced by former Nike executive Elliott Hill – which led to a rise in the company’s shares by over 6% in a single day.
Technical analysis of Nike (NKE) shares today suggests that the bullish momentum may fade due to a cluster of potential resistance lines, including:
→ the psychological level of $90, which previously acted as support (as indicated by the arrows);
→ the median line of the red channel, constructed using the linear regression method;
→ the upper boundary of the bearish gap formed on 28 June.
On the other hand, the bulls have their argument: the $77.00 level provided support during the test on 11 September. The significance of this level lies in the fact that it originates from the 28 June candlestick, when, according to NASDAQ data, an abnormally high volume of 130 million shares was traded. It’s possible that professional traders were the buyers, believing the share price of the well-known brand had become attractive.
According to TipRanks, Wall Street analysts believe Nike will “Just Do it” and put an end to the months-long bearish trend. Of the 33 analysts surveyed, 15 recommend buying NKE shares, and none advise selling. The average price target for NKE shares is $92 (+7% from the current price) over the next 12 months.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Elliott Hill Appointed as New CEO of Nike: Stock up 8% Nike Inc., (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) the global sports apparel giant, has made a pivotal decision in naming Elliott Hill as its new President and CEO, effective October 14, 2024. The announcement comes at a time when Nike (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) is navigating market headwinds, including stiff competition and a necessary internal restructuring. Hill, who has been a Nike insider for over three decades, is expected to leverage his deep-rooted connection with the company to reignite its growth trajectory.
A Return to Nike’s Roots: Elliott Hill’s Journey
Elliott Hill’s appointment brings Nike (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) back to its roots. Hill first joined the company in 1988 after lobbying relentlessly for a position out of Ohio University. Over the years, he worked his way up from grassroots sales roles to overseeing global retail operations. His previous position as President of Consumer & Marketplace, where he managed Nike's commercial and marketing efforts, gave him invaluable experience in driving the brand's consumer engagement and business development.
After retiring in 2020, Hill’s return is seen as a strategic move to realign Nike’s leadership with someone who not only understands the brand but also embodies its core values of grit, determination, and hard work. According to Mark Parker, Nike’s Executive Chairman, Hill’s deep understanding of the sports industry and his "passion for sport, our brands, and products" make him the ideal person to steer Nike through its next phase of growth.
Facing Market Challenges Head-On
Hill’s appointment couldn’t come at a more crucial time. Nike (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) has seen declining sales recently, especially in comparison to more agile competitors like On and Deckers' Hoka. To combat this, Nike initiated a comprehensive three-year plan to slash $2 billion in costs and streamline operations, a plan that will be critical in restoring profitability and market share.
Despite recent struggles, Nike has demonstrated strong financial performance, reporting a 12% increase in net income for fiscal year 2024, reaching $5.70 billion. This is up from $5.07 billion in the previous fiscal year, signaling that the company’s fundamentals remain sound. Hill’s leadership will be key in converting these strengths into sustained growth by harnessing innovation and streamlining the company’s operations.
### Technical Outlook: Can Nike Break Its Falling Trend?
From a technical standpoint, Nike’s stock has been in a downtrend for several months, with two notable unfilled gap-down patterns. However, in the wake of Hill’s appointment, Nike shares saw an 8% surge in premarket trading on Friday. This rally is integral to breaking the stock’s long-standing downward channel. If Nike (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) can surpass the key resistance level of $123—its December 2023 high—it could signal a major bullish reversal for the stock.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits in neutral territory, indicating that Nike (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) has more room to rally. Additionally, the moving averages are beginning to flatten, suggesting that the stock may be poised to reverse its downward trend if bullish momentum continues. If Nike (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) can build on this recent uptick, it may start filling the gap-down patterns that have held the stock back, potentially leading to a stronger position in the coming months.
Hill’s Vision for the Future
Elliott Hill has already expressed his excitement about taking the reins at Nike. "Nike has always been a core part of who I am, and I’m ready to help lead it to an even brighter future," he said. With his extensive experience in both the company and the sports industry, Hill’s vision is likely to focus on innovation, sustainability, and continuing to push the brand to connect with athletes and consumers alike.
In addition to driving Nike’s bottom line, Hill’s leadership style is expected to foster closer ties with employees and partners, which will be crucial as the company seeks to retain its position as the world’s premier sportswear brand. His background—rooted in values of perseverance, hard work, and a deep understanding of Nike’s culture—makes him well-positioned to lead the company through its current challenges and beyond.
Conclusion
Nike’s decision to bring Elliott Hill back as CEO marks a return to its roots and a clear focus on driving operational efficiency and growth in a competitive market. The technical indicators suggest that the stock is approaching a potential breakout, which, combined with Hill’s leadership, could pave the way for a new chapter of success. While challenges remain, Nike’s solid fundamentals, coupled with strategic leadership, position it well for long-term growth and market recovery. Investors will be watching closely as the company embarks on this new journey under Hill’s stewardship.
NIKE to "Just Do It" to 2023 Highs? Multi Timeframe AnalysisDISCLAIMER: This is not trading advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only to demonstrate how I view this market. Trading involves real risk. Do your own due diligence.
Based on my multi-timeframe analysis strategy, I have been looking for setups to go long Nike. Seems like daunting proposition considering Nike's overall weakness this year. That being said, my strategy has rules and my job is to respect the rules.
HTF (12 Month): 2023 candle close formed a "Swing Low", which gave me the bullish bias for Nike to trade up to 2023 highs.
ITF (2 Week): We see the intermediate timeframe is in a bullish price delivery mode (highs of down close candles are getting closed above). We mark of discount arrays (in this case the fair value gap and 2 week orderblock), and wait for price to trade into that point of interest.
ETF (12 Hour): We see price traded down into the 2 week fair value gap. As price is in the area of interest, I take any one of the following entry triggers:
12 Hour CISD (Triggered yesterday, stop below the low)
18 Period MA Entry (Not yet triggered. Stop 120% of 3 period ATR at time of entry)
10h8c MAC w/ Williams Acc/Dis (Not yet triggered. Stop either twice the width of the MAC or 120% of 3 period ATR, whichever is greater)
Divergence (Not yet triggered. Stop 120% of 3 period ATR at time of entry).
If you have questions about my multi-timeframe analysis approach, feel free to shoot me a message.
Good Luck & Good Trading.
TIME TO BUY NIKE ?We observed a significant decrease in Nike's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio from 78.6 to 21, representing a multiyear low between 2020 and the present.
Nike's stock has declined by 60% from its historical peak, prompting observations regarding market irrationality in driving the company's P/E ratio to its lowest level since 2017. Consequently, purchasing Nike stock has become a compelling proposition for investors, corroborated by the recommendations of Wall Street analysts. Guggenheim analysts have identified the stock's potential value at $115 per share, indicating a potential 36.9% upside from current levels.
HSBC has initiated coverage of On Holding, maintaining a "hold" rating, while Citi continues to uphold a buy rating on Nike stock despite concerns about sales in China.
Institutional investors responded to the decline by purchasing Nike shares, catalyzed by the announcement of hedge fund Pershing Square, under the leadership of Bill Ackman, acquiring a new stake in the company. This move was further supported by Pershing Square Capital Management, led by billionaire investor William Ackman, acquiring approximately 3 million Nike shares. Bernstein SocGen Group maintained an "Outperform" rating on Nike, citing improvements in the brand's performance metrics.
Anticipated growth in sales driven by the Olympics and basketball is expected to provide an additional boost to Nike.
We await the forthcoming fiscal Q3 '24 earnings report from Nike, scheduled for September 24, 2024, as an indicator of potential recovery.
In conclusion, it is advisable to closely monitor the upcoming quarterly results.
Ready to Move?Here we go! Things look ready to move relatively soon.
-Volume decreasing linearly, usually the sign that big players have taken their profits and steered price action the way they wanted. Sets up for the next big move.
- Fisher ribbons aligning, can give direction and strength of a move when combined with other tools
-Volatility decreasing, a sign that a relatively large move is coming
- Stochastics pointed in the positive direction with low volatility usually means price action will break that same direction
-FED to cut interest rates in September
Question is, what will we do if it breaks to the downside...
ACCUMULATE,
Seanders
NIKE | JUST BUY ITNike topped Wall Street estimates for first quarter profit on Thursday as higher prices of its sneakers and apparel helped offset a hit from waning demand and persistent cost pressures, sending its shares up about 8% in extended trading.
Nike (NKE) is the largest apparel company in the world, with leading positions across different categories and regions. The company is currently facing challenges such as elevated inventory levels, inflationary pressure, and slow growth in China. Such issues have resulted in the stock dropping by 19% YTD. Although these headwinds are serious, I believe the company's durable brand, leading position, and high-quality products should allow it to come out stronger on the other end.
'Nike is a brand that is of China and for China' -John Donahoe
Like every other apparel and retail company, Nike thought post-pandemic demand would continue, so it increased production, which led to inventory levels hitting an all-time high in Q1-FY22, but as we know, that wasn't the case. Although NKE's inventory level is down from all-time highs, investors are still concerned, especially when inflation is eating into people's pockets and growth in China is slowing.
Inflation in North America has come down to 3.7% from its peak in June at 9.1%, but it is still a concern in Europe (6.1% in the EU union). As you can see from the graph below, sales in China have been decreasing for the past two years. There are multiple ways one can explain this: COVID related lockdowns resulted in the shuttering of some stores. Plus, Nike and other apparel companies started facing a backlash in China in 2021 due to the alleged use of forced labor in cotton production. However, if the company is successful at expanding into China, then we can expect a lot of room for growth.
Now that I have addressed the problems that are facing Nike, let me explain why I believe the company will overcome them. Nike sponsors the most well-known athletes such as Cristiano Ronaldo (+600 million Instagram followers), LeBron James, Michael Jordan, the late Kobe Bryant, Rafael Nadal, Tiger Woods, and more. This has helped the company build a loyal customer base and further boost its brand equity. With a loyal customer base comes pricing power, and as Warrant Buffet said:
Nike's pricing power is no joke. Its shoes have reached a level where they are considered luxury, with some selling for more than the $10,000 mark. In 2017, Nike's median price for a shoe regardless of gender was $80, which is $10 more than its biggest competitor, Adidas. I know 2017 was a long time ago, but shoe prices have increased since then, and I believe Nike is still in the lead given their dominant market position. Plus, Nike targets mostly the age demographic of 25 and 34. These are people who have not settled in yet. They just graduated college with extra income to spend on things such as expensive shoes. I believe this pricing power will continue as the company continues to sponsor talented upcoming athletes to build trust with customers.
Another way to measure Nike's brand power is by comparing its marketing spending against its peers. Nike's marketing budget in FY 23 was $4 billion, or 7.9% of revenue. On the other hand, Adidas spent 38% and Under Armour 11%. These companies have been allocating more of their revenue towards marketing but have experienced nowhere near the growth Nike has. NKE's association with well-known athletes in the U.S. has allowed them to have a 96% awareness rate, 53% usage rate, and 43% loyalty rate. Going forward, I expect the company's brand will remain high-quality due to sponsorships, high-quality products, and market-leading technology.
Founded by Bill Bowerman and Phil Knight in 1994, Nike has come a long way from its first store in Portland, Oregon. As of May 31, 2023, the company had 369 stores within the U.S. and 663 internationally, operating in more than 190 countries. Stores include franchised stores and third-party retailers. The firm owns multiple brands such as Jordan, Converse, and Nike. The company derives sales from four main segments and across four regions. I excluded Converse (4.74% of revenue) from the graphs below because I wanted to focus on the Nike brand. The company's app, NikePlus, has more than 160 million users.
On a trailing free cash flow basis, the stock yields over 3.3% relative to its enterprise value. My ~$104 May 24 PT implies a 28.00x P/E and 20.00x EV/EBITDA. Both multiples are below the ten-year NTM average and in line with the median. I project revenue to compound at a rate of 6.47% over the next three years, driven by market growth and new products, while shares decrease at a rate of 2.67%, driven by stock buybacks. The company is forecast to spend $12.1 billion on share repurchases over the same period.
Additionally, I believe the company still has room for margin improvement driven by price increases and DTC mix (direct-to-consumer). In FY 2019, DTC sales constituted 31% of revenue, and that figure stood at 44% in FY 2023. Although NKE is trading at a premium compared to peers, I believe it is reasonable considering its scale, high-quality products, and strong brand.
The first risk that I would associate with NKE is competition. The company competes with conglomerates such as Addidas, Puma, New Balance, Under Armour, and more. Additionally, e-commerce has made it very easy for anyone to start their own footwear brand. Other key risks to my rating include supply chain distributions, a recessionary environment, and slow growth in China.
Finally, we can point out that NKE appears technically oversold heading into the Q1 earnings report. From the chart , there has been relentless selling pressure over the last four months since NKE was trading at $130 per share.
The potential that NKE delivers a "good" earnings report with encouraging guidance, brushing aside fears the company is facing a deeper deterioration in its operating environment could be enough for shares to reprice higher. Simply put, our take is that NKE bears have gone too far, opening the door for bulls to take control.
The bottom line is that Nike is currently experiencing headwinds such as elevated inventory levels, inflationary pressure, and slow growth in China. Every business goes through similar challenges at one time or another, but I believe Nike is well-positioned to overcome these issues due to its durable brand, high-quality products, and leading position. I expect the company to keep endorsing high-quality athletes to elevate its brand equity and further strengthen its pricing power. My valuation implies a price target of ~$104 for May 31, 2024.
If you into NIKE brand you can watch Air film and read Shoe Dog book as well
ACCUMULATE ADA - 5daySeems time to accumulate CRYPTO:ADAUSD if you are in the know about Cardano.
- Fisher Transform Indication bands need to align themselves.
- Price will bounce around tightly packed moving averages between .32 cents and .44 cents.
- Price breakout to occur early Aug to early September.
- Volume structure also indicates this breakout.
- Historical volatility also on the decline which also reinforces this breakout period.
ACCUMULATE,
seanders
not financial advise
$NKE just doing it to $88.50 from $72 after drastic drop off $98NYSE:NKE just doing it to $88.50 from $72 after drastic drop. Perfect to align with a bit above the 50% Fibonacci point as the RSI climbs higher towards the 200 day moving average above the 50 day moving average on the 2hour chart and in multiple timeframes.
Invest smart, invest hard.
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Roaring Puppy 🐶 out.
NYSE:NKE
$Nke 85c aug 9 exp OLYMPIC PUMP Nike saw a slash in price from $94- $74 after a drop in annual sales.
After this drop we saw a consolidation at $74.79s and a bottom was formed.
We do need to clean break above $77 to bring in more volume
76.76- 77.47 is our volume box.
I believe in Nike. IT is a staple of American Sports and athletic apparel.
I am looking to buy $85-$87 calls for Early Aug exp. I will roll these calls for the duration of the 2024 Olympic games. We may not fill the entire $20 gap but 50% at $85 is very achievable.
Nike is still listed as a sell on TV indicators but we will be early to the breakout and nicely rewarded.
Patience. Discipline. Consistency.
This is not financial advice and please do your own due diligence and research prior to entering.
Current Price $75.47
Target Price $85.50
#Nke
Nike’s Troubles Could Persist After Poor Results & Stock SlumpLess than a year after posting its longest losing streak on record, Nike’s stock registered its worst day ever, erasing nearly $20 on Friday. The collapse came after the sportswear giant reported poor Q4 FY2024 results and offered disappointing guidance. Revenues shrank 2% y/y, the most in four years, with executives expecting a stepper decline of 10% in the current quarter. But the bad news stop there, as they also reversed their full FY25 outlook, now seeing a mid-single digits drop.
The firm faces increased competition from startups like On running, while Adidas seems to be regaining its stride. Nike’s direct-to-consumer pursuit gave way to competitors and proved to be a mistake. Sales in Greater China grew in the reported quarter, but the was mainly due to the 6.18 promotional festival and this critical region remains a source of uncertainty.
At the same time the external environment remains unfriendly for discretionary goods, as US inflation lingers, borrowing costs remains high, the excess pandemic savings that supported spending are now gone and credit card delinquencies are rising. The Consumer Discretionary SPDR ETF (XLY) gains less than 5% YTD as the S&P500 soars, but over performs compared to Nike’s nearly 30% YTD losses. It is clear that Nike’s problems are likely to persist and continue to weigh on the stock. Friday’s historic plunge exposes NKE to the 2020 lows (60.00).
On the other hand, Nike’s leadership has been taking action to mitigate the issues. It is putting emphasis back on third party vendors, sales through which increased in the last quarter. It is cutting costs, which helped its gross margins and net income to widen in Q4FY24. Nike is also refocusing on innovation, which could help it regain its edge over rivals. The two major sporting events of the summer, the Euro 2024 football championship and the Paris Olympics, can help it regain its appeal. The turnaround efforts create optimism for the future, but they will take time and the next few quarters are likely not going to be easy.
Technically the drop of NKE is stretched and a rebound would be reasonable. However daily closes above the EMA200 (black line) would be needed for the bearish momentum to pause and that does not look easy under current conditions.
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NIKE - A No Brainer! Following on from our last analysis of Nike, we are down a further 20%! As explained in the last analysis, Nike is the world's largest supplier of athletic shoes and apparel and a major manufacturer of sports equipment, with revenue in excess of US$46 billion in its fiscal year 2022. The chance of it going bust is incredibly low. Any dips should be considered a buying opportunity.
We are fast approaching the pandemic lows, which is our initial area of interest. Anything below the pandemic levels will provide us an even bigger opportunity to buy!
For confirmation that we've reversed, we can wait for the break of the red trendline. Alternatively, we can slowly build our positions as we move lower.
The move up is inevitable. It's just a question of when!
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!