Sep 26 Earnings: Nike - Reversal in PlayAfter several lackluster quarters on behalf of soft North American sales, the company's strategic efforts have regrew sales potential.
Strong growth in Emerging Markets and its eCommerce platform - Nike.com, expected to top $2B in sales contribution, have boosted overall sales growth.
I believe the company's strategic efforts will results in an easy earnings and sales beat and that the company will up their FY guidance.
I have a $58 to $60 PT for the post earnings move, lasting 30-60 days.
Nike
NIKE BUYING THE DIPI have read alot of good things about Nike and its been on my watchlist again since the last earnings report. I saw alot of people recommending to buy it around 60$ but in my view it was simply too expensive up there.
Now that we got this gap lower, in reaction to bad foot locker earnings i am using this dip to buy Nike with a tight stop below the last swing low.
I recommend reading this piece, it puts it quite well:
Investorplace Article about Nike
Anyway when technicals and fundamentals come together like this, for me this becomes a conviction buy, but never without a stop.
Now to the technicals:
Main trend is obviously to the upside, and then market entered into this big consolidation period, and now in my view it is more clear to see that we are forming a big bottom pattern, that might resolve to the upside.
There is also a potential S-H-S pattern setting up.
Targets would be around 60$, 65$ and finally 70$ but this is of course more longterm. Shortterm i am seeing 60$ area as strong resistance, that bulls need to take out for a move into 65$.
Imho moves below 51$ would invalidate this trading idea, so as always trade with care and don't fall in love with a position, but stay rational and trade your plan.
Blessings
Is Nike Starting a Bearish Motive Wave? Daily Chart Outlook $NKENike ($NKE) Daily: Nike after enjoying a HUGE run up to this point, appears to be finally catching up to the overall weakness in the retail industry. We can see from this daily chart, that it started to make a series of lower lows and lower highs after posting an all time high in price around December of 2015. The stock could have moved higher after this corrective move, at November of 2016, but instead, resumed another downturn, unable to yet again make higher highs than its previous peak. We can see here that it retraced back 50% of the initial corrective wave (Wave 2, in Green) and is continuing on downward. Now, this can be a large corrective wave, after which Nike can move higher, forming another bullish motive wave, or this can be a start of a multi-year trend reversal and start of a bearish cycle for the company. Key level at this point would be $49, and breaking below would mean the stock has indeed posted yet another lower low, and expected to resume a move lower at that point. As always, keep eye in the RSI and MACD for direction and strengh of price movements.
Bulls To Back NikeOn April 25, 2017, the Nike ( NKE ) 100 day moving average (DMA) crossed above its 200 DMA Historically this has occurred 19 times with a minimum gain of 0.495%. It has a median gain of 6.655% and maximum gain of 24.969% over the next 12 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 46.5981. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is neutral.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -3.6803. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock has ended its long-term move downward. The indicator had flattened out and is slowly beginning to move up, which is positive action for the stock.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.0529 while the negative is at 0.9499. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is moving up. The positive indicator recently crossed the negative and also is a good sign for Nike.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 58.7329 and D value is 70.9708. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the price action is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value, price action is trending down. The current reading declares the stock recently exited overbought territory. The stock does not need to drop much more for these indicators to begin moving up again.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction has the stock moving up. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position in its trend channel, the stock could gain at least 1.63%% over the next 9 trading days.
Half of the companies 100 DMA crossing over the 200 DMA have occurred since 2000. The median gain is 4.902% while the minimum gain is 1.312%. Movement near this median gain level is not impossible. If the stock sticks to recent resistance trendlines, the conservative movement is a gain in the 1.63-2.20% range. I always plan for the conservative plays, but this stock has plenty of upside.
Nice set up for a short NKENKE is one of the stocks that have the least bull momentum, even when the Dow its posting new highs week after week. The correction of more than 1% today in the indexes can tell us that we may have a small correction ahead of us. I like the set up for a short position in Nike.
NKE - RiskReversal OnNKE plays on major support level.
Price Action and Fork confirmed so I set up my RiskReversal.
Earnings ahead...I can take it.
Worst case would be to own the stock if all goes bad and I get assigned.
I then would just sell covered Calls/Puts to bring down the cost basis (entry point of stock).
The WWTGT would be a WolfeWave target, which is exactly the U-MLH.
Very curious how this one plays out.
P!
NKE @ daily @ worst dow performer `16 (-18%) turned around ?Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decision ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
DOW JONES Index incl. all 30 Shares (2016 Yearly Performance) @ drive.google.com
Best regards
Aaron
$50 holding for NKETechnically Speaking
Nike is holding support at $50. A break below $50 could target support at $42.50-45.
I do not own NKE. I own UA, and their chart looks very similar.
Will the $50 level hold?
No one knows, the question is whether you believe the R/R is attractive and how much are you willing to risk to find out.
I am holding off for now, but will look to revisit this chart later this week.
$LULU Falling$LULU has been one of the hottest stocks this year....until today. Their mixed guidance for next year is nothing to worry about. If you don't live in a cave you know every girl either wants or wears lulu. I know there are cheaper options, but lets be honest...they are a status symbol. As long as the stock holds $67, i think you pick some up.
www.trendyprofits.com