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TIME TO BUY NIKE ?We observed a significant decrease in Nike's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio from 78.6 to 21, representing a multiyear low between 2020 and the present. Nike's stock has declined by 60% from its historical peak, prompting observations regarding market irrationality in driving the company's P/E ratio to its lowest level since 2017. Consequently, purchasing Nike stock has become a compelling proposition for investors, corroborated by the recommendations of Wall Street analysts. Guggenheim analysts have identified the stock's potential value at $115 per share, indicating a potential 36.9% upside from current levels. HSBC has initiated coverage of On Holding, maintaining a "hold" rating, while Citi continues to uphold a buy rating on Nike stock despite concerns about sales in China. Institutional investors responded to the decline by purchasing Nike shares, catalyzed by the announcement of hedge fund Pershing Square, under the leadership of Bill Ackman, acquiring a new stake in the company. This move was further supported by Pershing Square Capital Management, led by billionaire investor William Ackman, acquiring approximately 3 million Nike shares. Bernstein SocGen Group maintained an "Outperform" rating on Nike, citing improvements in the brand's performance metrics. Anticipated growth in sales driven by the Olympics and basketball is expected to provide an additional boost to Nike. We await the forthcoming fiscal Q3 '24 earnings report from Nike, scheduled for September 24, 2024, as an indicator of potential recovery. In conclusion, it is advisable to closely monitor the upcoming quarterly results.
NYSE:NKE
by Kartik_Elkunchwar
Ready to Move?Here we go! Things look ready to move relatively soon. -Volume decreasing linearly, usually the sign that big players have taken their profits and steered price action the way they wanted. Sets up for the next big move. - Fisher ribbons aligning, can give direction and strength of a move when combined with other tools -Volatility decreasing, a sign that a relatively large move is coming - Stochastics pointed in the positive direction with low volatility usually means price action will break that same direction -FED to cut interest rates in September Question is, what will we do if it breaks to the downside... ACCUMULATE, Seanders
KRAKEN:ADAUSDLong
by seanders_
2
NIKE | JUST BUY ITNike topped Wall Street estimates for first quarter profit on Thursday as higher prices of its sneakers and apparel helped offset a hit from waning demand and persistent cost pressures, sending its shares up about 8% in extended trading. Nike (NKE) is the largest apparel company in the world, with leading positions across different categories and regions. The company is currently facing challenges such as elevated inventory levels, inflationary pressure, and slow growth in China. Such issues have resulted in the stock dropping by 19% YTD. Although these headwinds are serious, I believe the company's durable brand, leading position, and high-quality products should allow it to come out stronger on the other end. 'Nike is a brand that is of China and for China' -John Donahoe Like every other apparel and retail company, Nike thought post-pandemic demand would continue, so it increased production, which led to inventory levels hitting an all-time high in Q1-FY22, but as we know, that wasn't the case. Although NKE's inventory level is down from all-time highs, investors are still concerned, especially when inflation is eating into people's pockets and growth in China is slowing. Inflation in North America has come down to 3.7% from its peak in June at 9.1%, but it is still a concern in Europe (6.1% in the EU union). As you can see from the graph below, sales in China have been decreasing for the past two years. There are multiple ways one can explain this: COVID related lockdowns resulted in the shuttering of some stores. Plus, Nike and other apparel companies started facing a backlash in China in 2021 due to the alleged use of forced labor in cotton production. However, if the company is successful at expanding into China, then we can expect a lot of room for growth. Now that I have addressed the problems that are facing Nike, let me explain why I believe the company will overcome them. Nike sponsors the most well-known athletes such as Cristiano Ronaldo (+600 million Instagram followers), LeBron James, Michael Jordan, the late Kobe Bryant, Rafael Nadal, Tiger Woods, and more. This has helped the company build a loyal customer base and further boost its brand equity. With a loyal customer base comes pricing power, and as Warrant Buffet said: Nike's pricing power is no joke. Its shoes have reached a level where they are considered luxury, with some selling for more than the $10,000 mark. In 2017, Nike's median price for a shoe regardless of gender was $80, which is $10 more than its biggest competitor, Adidas. I know 2017 was a long time ago, but shoe prices have increased since then, and I believe Nike is still in the lead given their dominant market position. Plus, Nike targets mostly the age demographic of 25 and 34. These are people who have not settled in yet. They just graduated college with extra income to spend on things such as expensive shoes. I believe this pricing power will continue as the company continues to sponsor talented upcoming athletes to build trust with customers. Another way to measure Nike's brand power is by comparing its marketing spending against its peers. Nike's marketing budget in FY 23 was $4 billion, or 7.9% of revenue. On the other hand, Adidas spent 38% and Under Armour 11%. These companies have been allocating more of their revenue towards marketing but have experienced nowhere near the growth Nike has. NKE's association with well-known athletes in the U.S. has allowed them to have a 96% awareness rate, 53% usage rate, and 43% loyalty rate. Going forward, I expect the company's brand will remain high-quality due to sponsorships, high-quality products, and market-leading technology. Founded by Bill Bowerman and Phil Knight in 1994, Nike has come a long way from its first store in Portland, Oregon. As of May 31, 2023, the company had 369 stores within the U.S. and 663 internationally, operating in more than 190 countries. Stores include franchised stores and third-party retailers. The firm owns multiple brands such as Jordan, Converse, and Nike. The company derives sales from four main segments and across four regions. I excluded Converse (4.74% of revenue) from the graphs below because I wanted to focus on the Nike brand. The company's app, NikePlus, has more than 160 million users. On a trailing free cash flow basis, the stock yields over 3.3% relative to its enterprise value. My ~$104 May 24 PT implies a 28.00x P/E and 20.00x EV/EBITDA. Both multiples are below the ten-year NTM average and in line with the median. I project revenue to compound at a rate of 6.47% over the next three years, driven by market growth and new products, while shares decrease at a rate of 2.67%, driven by stock buybacks. The company is forecast to spend $12.1 billion on share repurchases over the same period. Additionally, I believe the company still has room for margin improvement driven by price increases and DTC mix (direct-to-consumer). In FY 2019, DTC sales constituted 31% of revenue, and that figure stood at 44% in FY 2023. Although NKE is trading at a premium compared to peers, I believe it is reasonable considering its scale, high-quality products, and strong brand. The first risk that I would associate with NKE is competition. The company competes with conglomerates such as Addidas, Puma, New Balance, Under Armour, and more. Additionally, e-commerce has made it very easy for anyone to start their own footwear brand. Other key risks to my rating include supply chain distributions, a recessionary environment, and slow growth in China. Finally, we can point out that NKE appears technically oversold heading into the Q1 earnings report. From the chart , there has been relentless selling pressure over the last four months since NKE was trading at $130 per share. The potential that NKE delivers a "good" earnings report with encouraging guidance, brushing aside fears the company is facing a deeper deterioration in its operating environment could be enough for shares to reprice higher. Simply put, our take is that NKE bears have gone too far, opening the door for bulls to take control. The bottom line is that Nike is currently experiencing headwinds such as elevated inventory levels, inflationary pressure, and slow growth in China. Every business goes through similar challenges at one time or another, but I believe Nike is well-positioned to overcome these issues due to its durable brand, high-quality products, and leading position. I expect the company to keep endorsing high-quality athletes to elevate its brand equity and further strengthen its pricing power. My valuation implies a price target of ~$104 for May 31, 2024. If you into NIKE brand you can watch Air film and read Shoe Dog book as well
NYSE:NKELong
by moonypto
20
ACCUMULATE ADA - 5daySeems time to accumulate CRYPTO:ADAUSD if you are in the know about Cardano. - Fisher Transform Indication bands need to align themselves. - Price will bounce around tightly packed moving averages between .32 cents and .44 cents. - Price breakout to occur early Aug to early September. - Volume structure also indicates this breakout. - Historical volatility also on the decline which also reinforces this breakout period. ACCUMULATE, seanders not financial advise
KRAKEN:ADAUSDLong
by seanders_
2
$NKE just doing it to $88.50 from $72 after drastic drop off $98NYSE:NKE just doing it to $88.50 from $72 after drastic drop. Perfect to align with a bit above the 50% Fibonacci point as the RSI climbs higher towards the 200 day moving average above the 50 day moving average on the 2hour chart and in multiple timeframes. Invest smart, invest hard. Boost my post if you like this idea 💡 Also follow and subscribe for more uproars. Let's spread the word together. Roaring Puppy 🐶 out. NYSE:NKE
NYSE:NKELong
by St0ckWr4ngl3r
1
$Nke 85c aug 9 exp OLYMPIC PUMP Nike saw a slash in price from $94- $74 after a drop in annual sales. After this drop we saw a consolidation at $74.79s and a bottom was formed. We do need to clean break above $77 to bring in more volume 76.76- 77.47 is our volume box. I believe in Nike. IT is a staple of American Sports and athletic apparel. I am looking to buy $85-$87 calls for Early Aug exp. I will roll these calls for the duration of the 2024 Olympic games. We may not fill the entire $20 gap but 50% at $85 is very achievable. Nike is still listed as a sell on TV indicators but we will be early to the breakout and nicely rewarded. Patience. Discipline. Consistency. This is not financial advice and please do your own due diligence and research prior to entering. Current Price $75.47 Target Price $85.50 #Nke
NYSE:NKELong
by chestephens1
Nike’s Troubles Could Persist After Poor Results & Stock SlumpLess than a year after posting its longest losing streak on record, Nike’s stock registered its worst day ever, erasing nearly $20 on Friday. The collapse came after the sportswear giant reported poor Q4 FY2024 results and offered disappointing guidance. Revenues shrank 2% y/y, the most in four years, with executives expecting a stepper decline of 10% in the current quarter. But the bad news stop there, as they also reversed their full FY25 outlook, now seeing a mid-single digits drop. The firm faces increased competition from startups like On running, while Adidas seems to be regaining its stride. Nike’s direct-to-consumer pursuit gave way to competitors and proved to be a mistake. Sales in Greater China grew in the reported quarter, but the was mainly due to the 6.18 promotional festival and this critical region remains a source of uncertainty. At the same time the external environment remains unfriendly for discretionary goods, as US inflation lingers, borrowing costs remains high, the excess pandemic savings that supported spending are now gone and credit card delinquencies are rising. The Consumer Discretionary SPDR ETF (XLY) gains less than 5% YTD as the S&P500 soars, but over performs compared to Nike’s nearly 30% YTD losses. It is clear that Nike’s problems are likely to persist and continue to weigh on the stock. Friday’s historic plunge exposes NKE to the 2020 lows (60.00). On the other hand, Nike’s leadership has been taking action to mitigate the issues. It is putting emphasis back on third party vendors, sales through which increased in the last quarter. It is cutting costs, which helped its gross margins and net income to widen in Q4FY24. Nike is also refocusing on innovation, which could help it regain its edge over rivals. The two major sporting events of the summer, the Euro 2024 football championship and the Paris Olympics, can help it regain its appeal. The turnaround efforts create optimism for the future, but they will take time and the next few quarters are likely not going to be easy. Technically the drop of NKE is stretched and a rebound would be reasonable. However daily closes above the EMA200 (black line) would be needed for the bearish momentum to pause and that does not look easy under current conditions. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
NYSE:NKEShort
by FXCM
NIKE - A No Brainer! Following on from our last analysis of Nike, we are down a further 20%! As explained in the last analysis, Nike is the world's largest supplier of athletic shoes and apparel and a major manufacturer of sports equipment, with revenue in excess of US$46 billion in its fiscal year 2022. The chance of it going bust is incredibly low. Any dips should be considered a buying opportunity. We are fast approaching the pandemic lows, which is our initial area of interest. Anything below the pandemic levels will provide us an even bigger opportunity to buy! For confirmation that we've reversed, we can wait for the break of the red trendline. Alternatively, we can slowly build our positions as we move lower. The move up is inevitable. It's just a question of when! Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
NYSE:NKE
by WicktatorFX
1
NKE Leap Call / Long Term BuyNike is setting up for a long-term buy / leap call opportunity. The Jeanius Indicator/Screener gave the following reasons why: Price fell through two untested lows, taking out sell-side liquidity. The indicator shows how much volume came from and how far price ran up from these lows. NYSE:NKE is also testing a 3M uptrend line from the low of 2017 through the low of 2020. The brilliant Jeanius Indicator printed "Combo" labels on the chart when this specific combination of multiple confluences has occurred in history!!
NYSE:NKELong
by jeanius_tech
NIKE 100 AFTER EARNINGS ? Nike’s stock has the potential to reach $100 after earnings due to several key factors highlighted in recent financial reports and analyses: BY CAFE CITY STUDIO 2024 Earnings and Revenue Beats: Nike’s fiscal Q2 results showed a 17% year-over-year growth in sales, surpassing Wall Street’s expectations. This positive performance, along with earnings per share (EPS) that edged up 2%, has been a significant catalyst for the stock’s rise. Raised Full-Year Revenue Guidance: Management’s decision to raise the full-year revenue guidance reflects confidence in Nike’s financial outlook and can be a strong indicator for investors, signaling potential growth and stability. Cost Reductions and Margin Improvements: Nike executives have mentioned that product costs are expected to fall in the second half of the year, along with a more favorable foreign-exchange environment, which could lead to improved margins. Strategic Business Adjustments: Nike is adapting its sales strategy by planning for near-term sales declines at major partners like Foot Locker. This recalibration aims to reduce dependence on third-party retailers and increase direct sales, which could enhance profitability. Market Position and Brand Strength: Despite stiff competition and weaker demand, Nike’s enduring brand appeal and shift towards more casual gear position it well to capitalize on market trends. Innovative Product Offerings: Nike’s focus on serving specific consumer segments, such as women and everyday runners, and expanding into fast-growing segments like trail running, demonstrates its commitment to innovation and market expansion.
NYSE:NKELong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
Soaring Sales of Hoka & Ugg Shoes Send Deckers to a Record HighsDeckers Outdoor's stock ( NYSE:DECK ) surged 13.56% to reach $1,000 for the first time in Q4, driven by the popularity of Ugg boots and Hoka sneakers among Americans. The company's stock has been up 35% this year, after rising 67% in 2023. In contrast, Nike has dropped 15% this year. Deckers Outdoor's stock is expected to remain bullish as it shows it can maintain a high EPS growth rate. Hoka's net sales jumped 34% in Q4, contributing nearly 56% to Deckers' revenue, while UGG sales were up 14.9%. UGG accounted for nearly 38% of Deckers' overall sales. These strong sales figures have prompted at least 14 analysts to raise their price targets on the stock. Deckers Outdoor ( NYSE:DECK ) reported fiscal 2024 fourth-quarter sales and profit that surpassed analysts' estimates, with earnings per share (EPS) of $4.95, more than $2 above analysts' estimates compiled by Visible Alpha. Revenue increased 21% from a year ago to $959.8 million, also above forecasts. Sales were up 19% to $647.7 million domestically and 25% to $312 million internationally. Direct-To-Consumer (DTC) sales gained 21% to $415.2 million, and wholesale sales climbed 21% to $544.6 million. CEO Dave Powers said Hoka and Ugg "remain two of the most admired and well-positioned brands in the marketplace." Deckers anticipates full-year EPS for fiscal 2025 of $29.50 to $30, up from $29.16 in fiscal 2024. Technical Outlook Deckers Outdoor ( NYSE:DECK ) stock is up 13.41% as of the time of writing. The stock is overbought trading with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 76.94. The stock formed an upside gapping which is a strong Bullish reversal pattern.
NYSE:DECKLong
by DEXWireNews
NIKE - Just Buy It!Nike tends to have corrective phases every now and then. We are now seeing one of the biggest corrections to date. We could be correcting in excess of 50% which would put us in a great position to buy Nike for the longer term. Nike is the world's largest supplier of athletic shoes and apparel and a major manufacturer of sports equipment, with revenue in excess of US$46 billion in its fiscal year 2022. In other words, its very unlikely that Nike will go bust and so any dips should be seen as a buying opportunity. Our first point of interest is the structure level at 80. Ideally we break below that in accordance Elliott Wave Theory. We want to see wave C go below wave B. Our ideal buy zone is the 60 level where we have the -27 fib extension. Once we come towards that region, we'll be looking for any bullish price action indicating a reversal and the start of the next massive bullish leg. If we go even lower than 60, then it's more of a reason to buy and load up! We're looking for targets of atleast 200% as first targets. This trade is one to hold for the long term. What do you guys think? Goodluck and as always, trade safe@
NYSE:NKE
by WicktatorFX
2
NKE I AM BULLISH !!!!! even after earnings... Very good opportunity on NYSE:NKE , long term, over 6 to 12 months... we're almost filling the gap, within $3... I had already bought some at $100, I'll add a bit more today... good luck to everyone... It's not gambling... They pay a dividend, China is back, ... interesting growth potential... Earnings are forecast to grow 11.04% per year Correction: I've just been informed that some purchases will be made next week... not today... NYSE:NKE
NYSE:NKELong
by Maximus20000
2
Nike Faces Stock Tumble Despite Earnings Triumph 📉Nike ( NYSE:NKE ), the athletic apparel powerhouse, saw its shares take a hit in after-hours trading despite outperforming expectations in its third-quarter fiscal 2024 earnings report. While the company reported robust revenue and profit figures, it issued a cautious outlook for the first half of fiscal 2025, sending ripples through the investor community. The Numbers: Nike's third-quarter revenue climbed to $12.43 billion, surpassing analysts' projections, accompanied by an earnings per share of 77 cents. However, the elation was short-lived as the company forewarned of a low single-digit decline in revenue for the first half of fiscal 2025. Reasons Behind the Decline: Chief Financial Officer Matthew Friend attributed the anticipated revenue dip to the company's strategic shift in its product portfolio towards innovation. This pivot, while essential for long-term growth, poses short-term challenges, particularly amidst a subdued economic landscape globally. Global Market Dynamics: Nike's performance across different regions depicted a mixed picture. While revenue in Greater China showed a modest increase, the EMEA segment witnessed a decline, reflecting the complexities of navigating diverse market conditions. Olympic Hopes: With the upcoming Summer Olympic Games on the horizon, Nike is banking on several product launches and marketing endeavors to captivate consumers. The event presents a pivotal opportunity for the brand to showcase its latest innovations and amplify its brand storytelling. Strategic Adjustments: Nike ( NYSE:NKE ) is taking proactive measures to align its product offerings with evolving consumer preferences. This includes reducing the supply of classic footwear models in favor of newer, innovative products that resonate better with modern consumers. Investor Reaction: Despite the positive earnings report, Nike's stock experienced a significant drop in after-hours trading, signaling investor concerns about the company's near-term revenue outlook. The stock plummeted to its lowest levels since last October, reflecting the apprehension in the market. Outlook: Nike navigates through short-term headwinds, its focus remains on driving innovation and capturing market opportunities. The success of its strategic initiatives, coupled with the buzz surrounding the Summer Olympics, will be closely monitored by investors in the coming months. In conclusion, while Nike's earnings beat underscores its fundamental strength, the stock's post-earnings dip underscores the challenges ahead as the company charts its course in a dynamic marketplace.
NYSE:NKELong
by DEXWireNews
1