NKE Nike Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold NKE on this Head and Shoulders bearish chart pattern:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NKE Nike prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 97.50usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-7-19,
for a premium of approximately $4.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Nike
NIKE LongType 2 Bullish bat with three rising valleys.
If the three rising valleys does fail, we could head back to the support zone and have another chance for a bullish edge to form. If you wanted to accumulate shares of this for the mid-long term I'd say anything above the support makes sense, whether the trade set up fails or not.
NFA
NIKE 100 AFTER EARNINGS ? Nike’s stock has the potential to reach $100 after earnings due to several key factors highlighted in recent financial reports and analyses:
BY CAFE CITY STUDIO 2024
Earnings and Revenue Beats: Nike’s fiscal Q2 results showed a 17% year-over-year growth in sales, surpassing Wall Street’s expectations. This positive performance, along with earnings per share (EPS) that edged up 2%, has been a significant catalyst for the stock’s rise.
Raised Full-Year Revenue Guidance: Management’s decision to raise the full-year revenue guidance reflects confidence in Nike’s financial outlook and can be a strong indicator for investors, signaling potential growth and stability.
Cost Reductions and Margin Improvements: Nike executives have mentioned that product costs are expected to fall in the second half of the year, along with a more favorable foreign-exchange environment, which could lead to improved margins.
Strategic Business Adjustments: Nike is adapting its sales strategy by planning for near-term sales declines at major partners like Foot Locker. This recalibration aims to reduce dependence on third-party retailers and increase direct sales, which could enhance profitability.
Market Position and Brand Strength: Despite stiff competition and weaker demand, Nike’s enduring brand appeal and shift towards more casual gear position it well to capitalize on market trends.
Innovative Product Offerings: Nike’s focus on serving specific consumer segments, such as women and everyday runners, and expanding into fast-growing segments like trail running, demonstrates its commitment to innovation and market expansion.
Soaring Sales of Hoka & Ugg Shoes Send Deckers to a Record HighsDeckers Outdoor's stock ( NYSE:DECK ) surged 13.56% to reach $1,000 for the first time in Q4, driven by the popularity of Ugg boots and Hoka sneakers among Americans. The company's stock has been up 35% this year, after rising 67% in 2023. In contrast, Nike has dropped 15% this year. Deckers Outdoor's stock is expected to remain bullish as it shows it can maintain a high EPS growth rate.
Hoka's net sales jumped 34% in Q4, contributing nearly 56% to Deckers' revenue, while UGG sales were up 14.9%. UGG accounted for nearly 38% of Deckers' overall sales. These strong sales figures have prompted at least 14 analysts to raise their price targets on the stock.
Deckers Outdoor ( NYSE:DECK ) reported fiscal 2024 fourth-quarter sales and profit that surpassed analysts' estimates, with earnings per share (EPS) of $4.95, more than $2 above analysts' estimates compiled by Visible Alpha. Revenue increased 21% from a year ago to $959.8 million, also above forecasts. Sales were up 19% to $647.7 million domestically and 25% to $312 million internationally. Direct-To-Consumer (DTC) sales gained 21% to $415.2 million, and wholesale sales climbed 21% to $544.6 million.
CEO Dave Powers said Hoka and Ugg "remain two of the most admired and well-positioned brands in the marketplace." Deckers anticipates full-year EPS for fiscal 2025 of $29.50 to $30, up from $29.16 in fiscal 2024.
Technical Outlook
Deckers Outdoor ( NYSE:DECK ) stock is up 13.41% as of the time of writing. The stock is overbought trading with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 76.94. The stock formed an upside gapping which is a strong Bullish reversal pattern.
NIKE - Just Buy It!Nike tends to have corrective phases every now and then. We are now seeing one of the biggest corrections to date. We could be correcting in excess of 50% which would put us in a great position to buy Nike for the longer term.
Nike is the world's largest supplier of athletic shoes and apparel and a major manufacturer of sports equipment, with revenue in excess of US$46 billion in its fiscal year 2022.
In other words, its very unlikely that Nike will go bust and so any dips should be seen as a buying opportunity.
Our first point of interest is the structure level at 80. Ideally we break below that in accordance Elliott Wave Theory. We want to see wave C go below wave B.
Our ideal buy zone is the 60 level where we have the -27 fib extension. Once we come towards that region, we'll be looking for any bullish price action indicating a reversal and the start of the next massive bullish leg. If we go even lower than 60, then it's more of a reason to buy and load up!
We're looking for targets of atleast 200% as first targets. This trade is one to hold for the long term.
What do you guys think?
Goodluck and as always, trade safe@
NKE I AM BULLISH !!!!! even after earnings... Very good opportunity on NYSE:NKE , long term, over 6 to 12 months... we're almost filling the gap, within $3... I had already bought some at $100, I'll add a bit more today... good luck to everyone...
It's not gambling... They pay a dividend, China is back, ... interesting growth potential...
Earnings are forecast to grow 11.04% per year
Correction: I've just been informed that some purchases will be made next week... not today... NYSE:NKE
Nike Faces Stock Tumble Despite Earnings Triumph 📉Nike ( NYSE:NKE ), the athletic apparel powerhouse, saw its shares take a hit in after-hours trading despite outperforming expectations in its third-quarter fiscal 2024 earnings report. While the company reported robust revenue and profit figures, it issued a cautious outlook for the first half of fiscal 2025, sending ripples through the investor community.
The Numbers:
Nike's third-quarter revenue climbed to $12.43 billion, surpassing analysts' projections, accompanied by an earnings per share of 77 cents. However, the elation was short-lived as the company forewarned of a low single-digit decline in revenue for the first half of fiscal 2025.
Reasons Behind the Decline:
Chief Financial Officer Matthew Friend attributed the anticipated revenue dip to the company's strategic shift in its product portfolio towards innovation. This pivot, while essential for long-term growth, poses short-term challenges, particularly amidst a subdued economic landscape globally.
Global Market Dynamics:
Nike's performance across different regions depicted a mixed picture. While revenue in Greater China showed a modest increase, the EMEA segment witnessed a decline, reflecting the complexities of navigating diverse market conditions.
Olympic Hopes:
With the upcoming Summer Olympic Games on the horizon, Nike is banking on several product launches and marketing endeavors to captivate consumers. The event presents a pivotal opportunity for the brand to showcase its latest innovations and amplify its brand storytelling.
Strategic Adjustments:
Nike ( NYSE:NKE ) is taking proactive measures to align its product offerings with evolving consumer preferences. This includes reducing the supply of classic footwear models in favor of newer, innovative products that resonate better with modern consumers.
Investor Reaction:
Despite the positive earnings report, Nike's stock experienced a significant drop in after-hours trading, signaling investor concerns about the company's near-term revenue outlook. The stock plummeted to its lowest levels since last October, reflecting the apprehension in the market.
Outlook:
Nike navigates through short-term headwinds, its focus remains on driving innovation and capturing market opportunities. The success of its strategic initiatives, coupled with the buzz surrounding the Summer Olympics, will be closely monitored by investors in the coming months.
In conclusion, while Nike's earnings beat underscores its fundamental strength, the stock's post-earnings dip underscores the challenges ahead as the company charts its course in a dynamic marketplace.
NIKE BULL AFTER EARNINGS 120Nike’s stock looks bullish over the longer-term after breaking up from a falling channel pattern on the daily chart1.
If Nike receives a bullish reaction to its earnings print and remains above the 50-day SMA, the eight-day EMA will cross above the 21-day EMA, which would be bullish1.
Wells Fargo analyst Ike Boruchow added Nike to his top picks list, stating, "We simply believe the recovery characteristics and self-help story now beginning at make for a more compelling long idea into 2024
NKE NIKE Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold the massive Head and Shoulders bearish chart pattern of NKE:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NKE NIKE prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 100usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $10.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Foot Locker Faces Investor Skepticism as Profit Outlook DipsFoot Locker ( NYSE:FL ) finds itself in the spotlight as shares plummet by approximately 29% following the retailer's announcement of a profit outlook below Wall Street expectations for 2024. The dramatic drop in share price reflects investor concerns over the company's planned investments aimed at bolstering demand, which are projected to weigh on profit margins in the near term.
Despite a solid holiday quarter, Foot Locker's ( NYSE:FL ) decision to ramp up investments across its business has cast doubt on the timeline for achieving its long-term profit margin targets. Disappointingly, the retailer now anticipates reaching its margin goals two years later than previously expected, further dampening investor sentiment and dashing hopes of a swift recovery in profitability.
Foot Locker's ( NYSE:FL ) "Lace Up" strategy, initiated in March last year, has yielded some positive results, notably in improving the digital business and driving full-price sales. However, the need to clear out excess inventory through markdowns has placed additional strain on profit margins, exacerbating the impact of planned investments on the bottom line.
Chief Financial Officer Mike Baughn's announcement of another year of significant investment in 2024, coupled with the decision to forgo resuming dividends, underscores the company's commitment to long-term growth initiatives. However, the prospect of lower discounts and ongoing margin pressure in the first quarter poses challenges in managing consumer expectations and sustaining demand.
Analysts, including Zachary Warring from CFRA Research, have expressed skepticism about Foot Locker's ability to deliver consistent top and bottom-line growth in the evolving retail landscape. Warring's downgrade of the stock's rating to "strong sell" highlights the prevailing concerns among investors regarding the company's strategic direction and execution capabilities.
Despite these challenges, Foot Locker ( NYSE:FL ) remains optimistic about the resilience of sneaker demand, fueled by steady interest in popular brands like Nike, Adidas, and New Balance. Projections for full-year same-store sales growth above market estimates signal potential opportunities for the retailer to capitalize on consumer preferences and drive revenue growth amidst a challenging operating environment.
As Foot Locker ( NYSE:FL ) navigates the complexities of the retail landscape and charts a course towards sustainable profitability, investor confidence hangs in the balance. The company's ability to effectively execute its growth strategy and adapt to changing consumer dynamics will be critical in shaping its future trajectory and regaining investor trust in the long run.
Box Store Giants: Macro Fib SchematicsWalmart, Costco, Target, CVS, Home Depot, and Walgreens are the largest box store giants in the market. Proctor and Gamble along with Nike are in here because they are both also mega corporations and since P&G has so many products in these stores. Nike is also a staple in these stores but Proctor and Gamble especially belongs here.
These Fibonacci Schematics are extremely clean and probably the best looking structure I have ever seen. This is an excellent example of market mechanics working through Fib Schematics.
If we were to talk about what we see here 2/27/24 then we see....
- Walmart at a couple resistances.
- P&G launching off massive Fib Cluster support.
- Costco testing the waters above and getting ready to jump into next levels.
- Home Depot testing its midpoint from its high with a massive front run from the Thick Orange Fib Line after the actual rejection at the high. This means we are set to launch through the high at 420.
- Target barely rejected the high (FRONTRUN) and found reasonable support on the same supports it FRONTRAN. Target is poised to go crazy high.
- Nike looks like it can do anything.
- CVS also looks like it can do anything but looks more bearish tbh.
Nike is Laying Off About 1,700 WorkersIn a bid to weather the turbulent economic storms ahead, sportswear giant Nike Inc. ($NIKE) has announced significant cost-cutting measures, including the layoff of approximately 1,700 employees, representing about 2% of its workforce. This move comes as part of a broader initiative aimed at slashing costs by as much as $2 billion, reflecting the company's proactive stance in the face of shifting consumer behaviors and intensifying competition.
The decision, outlined in a recent statement by a Nike ($NIKE) spokesperson, underscores the company's commitment to optimizing its operations and capitalizing on its most promising growth opportunities. With consumer preferences evolving towards more essential purchases and experiential spending, Nike finds itself confronting a landscape where traditional discretionary purchases, such as high-end sneakers and athletic wear, are facing increasing scrutiny.
Compounding these challenges are the emergence of disruptive upstart brands like Hoka and On Cloud, which have been steadily encroaching on Nike's market share. This heightened competition underscores the imperative for Nike to not only streamline its operations but also to innovate and differentiate itself in a crowded marketplace.
However, the headwinds facing Nike ($NIKE) extend beyond shifting consumer trends and increased competition. Global economic uncertainties, particularly in key markets like China and Europe, have further complicated the company's outlook. Concerns over subdued consumer spending, exacerbated by macroeconomic factors and geopolitical tensions, have cast a shadow over Nike's growth prospects in these regions.
In China, the world's second-largest economy, a confluence of challenges ranging from a real estate downturn to weaker exports has dampened consumer sentiment, posing significant hurdles for Nike's ($NIKE) expansion efforts. Similarly, Europe's economic woes, punctuated by stagnant growth and the specter of recession, have added to the company's woes, with Germany, the region's economic powerhouse, experiencing its first contraction since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic.
Against this backdrop, Nike ($NIKE) finds itself at a critical juncture, where adaptability and resilience are paramount. By undertaking proactive cost-cutting measures and recalibrating its strategic priorities, the company aims to navigate these turbulent waters and emerge stronger in the long run. However, success will hinge not only on internal restructuring but also on Nike's ability to innovate, engage consumers, and effectively respond to evolving market dynamics.
In conclusion, Nike's ($NIKE) decision to implement workforce reductions and embark on a cost-saving initiative reflects its proactive stance in the face of economic headwinds and industry challenges. As the company charts its course forward, it must remain vigilant, agile, and customer-centric to maintain its competitive edge and sustain growth in an increasingly complex global landscape.
#NIKE Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaMarket Observations: NKE has decisively broken its previous downtrend, establishing a higher high. This bullish breach was further fueled by a liquidity run targeting sell stops below the recent triple-bottom (equal lows). The strong momentum accompanying this breakout signals a potential buying opportunity.
Trade Strategy: Target a buy entry upon a retracement to the 61.8% Fibonacci level. Be sure to place a stop-loss order below the recent swing low to effectively manage risk. Maintain a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Video Focus: This video explores the technical analysis principles that support this bullish perspective:
- Trend Analysis: Identify breakouts and trend reversals with clarity.
- Liquidity Runs: Understand how stops are targeted and the impact on price.
- Fibonacci Retracements: Recognize key retracement levels for optimal entries.
Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Thoroughly conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
NKE - Just Do It ✔️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
On Weekly: Left Chart
NKE has been hovering inside a range in the shape of a symmetrical triangle.
Moreover, it is currently sitting around a strong round number 100.0
🏹 Hence , as long as the 100.0 support holds, we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes.
On Daily: Right Chart
📈 For the bulls to take over, we need a momentum candle close above the last major high in green at 107.0
📉 Meanwhile , NKE would be bearish, and if the 100.0 support is broken downward, we can expect a bearish continuation towards the lower weekly trendline where we will be looking for new buy setups.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Navigating the Growth Trajectory of On Holdings, Cloud or bust?Navigating the Growth Trajectory of On Holdings, a Rising Star in Athletic Footwear
Support Level: $23.86
Current Price: $27.70
Resistance Zone: $28.53 - $31.95
Target 1: $37.56
Resistance Level 1: $43.32
Resistance Level 2:46.27
Target 1 (Long Term): $50.94
Target 2 (Long Term): $71.96
On Holdings has rapidly become a market leader with its revolutionary On-Cloud running shoes, capturing global attention and propelling the company's valuation to an impressive 7.8 billion Swiss francs. The strategic focus on marketing and brand development has positioned On as a force to be reckoned with in the athletic footwear industry.
The company's valuation metrics reveal a steep but justified premium: 6.4 times revenue, 139 times earnings, or 47 times EBITDA. This premium is a testament to On's exceptional growth trajectory. In the last 12 months, the company achieved revenue of 1.2 billion, a net income of 58 million, and an adjusted EBITDA of 165 million.
Technical Analysis and Growth Metrics:
On's exceptional growth is underscored by a staggering 69% increase in revenue from 2021 to 2022, with a further projected growth of 39% in 2023. Positive product reviews and robust Google search data further validate this growth momentum. In comparison to industry giants like Nike and Lululemon, On boasts strong gross margins of 56%, setting it apart as a formidable competitor. (Nike is just 44% and lululemon is 55%
However, rapid expansion comes at a cost, and On's negative cash flow is attributed to its aggressive expansion in China and the opening of new stores. With 371 million in cash on the balance sheet, there's a likelihood that the company may seek additional capital for sustained growth.
Sustainability as a Key Differentiator:
On Holdings not only focuses on growth but also emphasizes sustainability. The latest shoe, incorporating 44% recycled materials, showcases the company's commitment to environmental responsibility. This dual emphasis on growth and sustainability positions On as a forward-thinking brand in tune with modern consumer values.
Investment Outlook:
Despite the steep valuation and potential cash flow challenges, On's growth trajectory remains impressive. Assuming a 40% revenue growth this year, followed by 30% and 20% in subsequent years, On could reach revenues of 11.5 billion by 2033. Applying a conservative 10% net margin and a 20x multiple, the company's estimated worth would be around 24 billion, offering an investment return of approximately 11.9% per year. Although this may not seem great long term, the short-term growth is too good to pass up.
In conclusion, On Holdings presents a cautiously bullish investment opportunity, given its remarkable growth and market dynamics. However, it's essential to recognize the speculative nature of this assessment, and investors should conduct thorough due diligence before making any investment decisions. As On continues to blend innovation, sustainability, and the Athlete Spirit, it stands poised to redefine the future of athletic footwear and potentially deliver compelling returns to investors.
Nike's Bold Move: Expanding Into Virtual Fashion in Video Games
Sports apparel giant Nike ( NYSE:NKE ) is set to deepen its foray into the video game space through its blockchain and digital wearables division, .Swoosh. The company's recent announcement promises a new line of virtual products known as "Nike In-Game Wearables," which users can directly purchase and wear within their favorite video games. Despite the excitement surrounding this innovative step, the extent to which these in-game wearables will involve non-fungible tokens (NFTs) remains shrouded in ambiguity.
The Vision Behind Nike's .Swoosh:
Nike's .Swoosh division, rooted in blockchain technology, aims to redefine the virtual product landscape by emphasizing the intrinsic value of enjoyment and self-expression. The company believes that a virtual product's worth should be derived from the pleasure it brings users when expressing themselves or unlocking access to physical items, fostering a sense of genuine fanhood rather than mere transactions.
The Unveiling of Nike In-Game Wearables:
According to a blog post by .Swoosh, the upcoming year will witness a profound expansion into video gaming with the launch of Nike In-Game Wearables. Unlike digital collectibles or NFTs, these wearables can be directly purchased and worn within users' preferred video games, eliminating the need for crypto wallets. The move signifies Nike's commitment to integrating virtual fashion seamlessly into the gaming experience, blurring the lines between the physical and digital realms.
NFT vs. In-Game Wearables: Deciphering Nike's Strategy:
Despite .Swoosh's previous ventures into the NFT space with digital sneaker releases on Polygon, and hints at potential collaborations with EA Sports and Fortnite, Nike ( NYSE:NKE ) is cautious in distinguishing between its "digital collectibles" or NFTs and the new "in-game wearables." The blog post suggests that the two are inherently different, raising questions about whether the upcoming wearables will be crypto-related or more akin to traditional collaborations like the one with Fortnite.
Nike's Stance on NFTs and Marketplace Dynamics:
Notably, Nike remains circumspect about the involvement of NFTs in every .Swoosh release, emphasizing that not every product launch will result in an NFT drop. The company also clarified that owners of Nike digital collectibles (NFTs) will have the option to move their items to personal crypto wallets later this year, facilitating trading on marketplaces that guarantee royalties to creators.
The Absence of a Nike NFT Marketplace:
Contrary to industry trends, Nike asserts that building its own NFT marketplace could distract from product creation and storytelling. The company hints at a strategic decision to abstain from starting an NFT marketplace, leaving collectors to utilize existing platforms that support the exchange of Nike NFTs.
Conclusion:
As Nike ( NYSE:NKE ) steps boldly into the virtual fashion realm within video games, the blurred distinction between NFTs and in-game wearables adds an element of intrigue to the company's digital strategy. While enthusiasts await further clarification from Nike regarding the role of NFTs in these upcoming releases, one thing is certain – the sports apparel giant is poised to make a lasting impact on the intersection of fashion, gaming, and blockchain technology.