Adidas - Outlook downgrade supports a bearish thesis Adidas is another company confirming what we laid out some time ago - a trouble brewing during the current earning season, supporting our notion about the stock market progressing in the second stage of the downtrend. That being said, the company reported its quarterly earnings, after which the stock fell approximately 10%. The report highlighted deteriorating demand and adjustment of the outlook for the rest of 2022 while also pointing out a build-up in inventories. We expect the same trend to continue among other companies and strengthen during the next earning season concerning Q4 2022. Therefore, we voice a word of caution to investors as this will lead the market slowly but surely into the 3rd stage of the bear market.
Illustration 1.01
Moving averages continue to reflect the bearish conditions on the daily chart of Adidas stock.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish but also reaching oversold levels for the short term.
Illustration 1.02
The weekly chart of Adidas also shows bearish conditions between two moving averages. However, the price deviated too far from the 20-week SMA, making a case for a short-term bounce toward it.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish but also reaching oversold levels for the short term.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Nike
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NKE - SHORT TERM BULLISH SCENARIONike, Inc. is the world's largest supplier of athletic shoes and apparel and a major manufacturer of sports equipment. The company has a great history and is one of the most recognizable brands in the world.
Since the price reached an all-time high in November 2021 the stock tumbled more than 50 %
Possible short-term buy in the price channel.
Re-test of the support level of $80 is expected and, that will provide a better risk-reward ratio for the bulls with a target of the $ 100 resistance
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Nike is the New K-Swiss? Sheesh! A reach, or plausibly true?Well honestly, seeing that Nike's chart only exciting moment was during the bull run of Covid-19, I can only make the assumption that maybe that was the peak of Nike's capitulation.
Nike seemingly isn't the global sports fashion it used to be as sports are becoming the 2nd preference for entertainment nowadays. Let's be honest, you're excited about the game because of the social reward it brings.
The pandemic for sure snuffed that.
Kids love tablets. Kids love Fortnite. As a matter of fact everybody loves video games and social media, as the human game moves from social to individual based lifestyles. We're moving into a main character world society.
So I see Nike either becoming a pure fashion house which is crazy, or just becoming a ranging chart eventually priced to hit zero as Nike fades away.
I think for any of these legacy brands that can't keep up with a static high quality product that stands the erosion of time. Look at Hermes, the pricing on that stock is ridiculous, with neutral technical readings.
What do you think?
Green, potential growth - Nike acquires supply chain integration that
overlaps reseller industry while maintaining
green business model. A new shoe tech maybe . But what tech can nike implement into its approach that can really groundbreaking without setting a new pricing model for its products?
Yellow - Nike is still cool but can't seem to
shake new innovations by competitor
entering the space. might get stuck in a
outdated fashion model as 2 - 3 new generations
of humans entering grade school might think
nike is for lames. thats if kids even care about streetwear at
that point. Let's not forget with any trend, they end or restructure itself.
Trends are subjective to value by herd mentaility.
Red- Nike becomes the new K Swiss. I think this will also
correlate into the new interest of the incoming generations
whom all seem to be or will be metahumans.
generation meta. the generation that will only see value as intrinsic, but that's a maybe and very
speculative. Nike is only seemingly popular in social environments where it reigns supreme. The kids only like dunks.
Jordan branded nonndurables are just ehh.
Honestly when it comes to apparel brands, personally I don't see myself engaging any non durable seriously.
PS: Had to republish due to House Rule Violations.
Elliott Wave View: Nike (NKE) Incomplete Bearish SequenceNike (ticker: NKE) shows incomplete bearish sequence from the all-time high 11.5.2021 high as well as from 3.30.2022 high. The ideal and minimum target for this bearish sequence is around 77. The right side therefore remains to the downside and rally should fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing.
Near term, the Elliott Wave view on Nike (NKE) suggests that cycle from 9.13.2022 high is in progress as a 5 waves impulse. Down from 9.13.2022 high, wave (1) ended at 94 and rally in wave (2) ended at 99.89. Nike then resumed lower in wave (3) with internal subdivision as another impulse in lesser degree. Down from wave (2), wave 1 ended at 94.48 and wave 2 ended at 98.32. Wave 3 ended at 82.33, wave 4 ended at 86.20 and final leg lower wave 5 ended at 82.15 which completed wave (3). Wave (4) rally is in progress as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave (3), wave A ended at 86.47 and pullback in wave B ended at 85.25.
Final leg higher wave C is expected to complete at 89.5 – 92.12 area and this should end wave ((4)) as well. This is a 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave A. From this area, the stock can resume lower in wave (5). Near term, as far as pivot at 99.9 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
Nike Potential Buy From Current SupportI'm not a stock trader but when I see a stock at an overbought or oversold price, I just can't resist the temptation to analyze and if possible, catch some few pips in.
Nike has been on a solid downtrend since December of last year, 2021, we are currently seeing prize at a major support level which was tested in May 2020, we may see two things happen at this juncture; we may see a bearish continuation if our level of support is broken, the market may continue downward to point X(65.43) before an upward reversal or it may also sell further till point Y(49.99) which would bee a good price for buyers of this stock., nonetheless, we may see the market continue upward if it breaks the 99 dollars price level till at least point T(129.81).
NB: You may want to start looking for buy signals on the hourly timeframes at current support or signs of a break below structure.
a valuable oversold company!!! (Long)Strong consumer demand has been the main source of confidence in the world's largest economy in the post-pandemic environment. Even as the Federal Reserve embarked on its most aggressive monetary tightening cycle in decades, many economists argued that a soft landing was still possible, given significant pent-up demand for consumer goods such as shoes, clothing and cars.
But yesterday's report from Nike (NYSE:NKE) revealed that the strongest pillar of the US economy could be in jeopardy as consumers face a double whammy in the form of high inflation and rising interest rates. }}.
The world's largest sporting goods company told investors yesterday that it is grappling with a huge pile of unsold products, forcing it to offer aggressive discounts and squeeze margins.
On Thursday, the Oregon-based company said global inventories had risen 44% to $9.7 billion in the quarter ended Aug. 30. In North America, the company's largest market, they increased 65% compared to the previous year, mainly due to slowing demand and delayed shipments.
In this context, Nike will see its margins erode, falling between 200 and 250 basis points this fiscal year; the previous estimate was that margins would remain flat or decline by 50 basis points, at most.
The company's minimum considering targets on Wallstreet is $88 according to Tipranks. which the average cost of the shares is $114.
then we set the next objectives to follow according to the profitability of the company. (Let's go long).
Objectives:
tp1-$93
tp2-$103
tp3-$113
NIKE: Continuation of Bearish Movement Ahead, Short Opportunity?Hello Fellow Global Stock Investor/Trader, Here's a Technical outlook of NIKE!
NIKE has broken out of Ascending Broadening Wedge. Furthermore, The MACD indicator created a Death cross, indicating potential bearish movement ahead.
All other explanations are presented on the chart.
The roadmap will be invalid after reaching the target/Resistance area.
"Disclaimer: The outlook is only for educational purposes, not a recommendation to put a long or short position on the Stock"
NKE - Strong Uptrend ContinuationGreen line shows the dominant bullish trend, this extends back for awhile
White line shows apparent downtrend, with a nice falling wedge to allow for the breakout to the upside and hence continuation
I expect price short term to rise back to dotted orange line, this is shown with bars pattern
NIKE - BULLISH SCENARIOThe downtrend for Nike Inc seems to be over. The American sportswear company got huge support at the $ 100 price level.
The 1st,2nd, and 3rd resistance levels are located respectively at $ 118, $ 130, and $ 140
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Nike (pullback to make double bottom?)Looks like we may be entering into a corrective state of market structure. We have recently finished our second 5 wave impulse being that we are on a downtrend currently. We have been dealing with a bearish rally filled with good news from the media while there are still battles ongoing with rumors of war, inflation , supply chain issues etc. I could keep going but you get the point. Smart money is still being strategic about the manipulation so I wouldn't get too bullish . If this corrective wave is true, we would like to see a pullback into the B wave which should start a range for the new "ABC" correction before judging the next breakout. We have our stop loss set at the high of wave a to be safe and our target are at the 61%, 78%, and 100%, to account for either a "regular flat", "irregular flat", or a "running flat". Not advice of course! Let's see how this plays out going forward.
Thanks for the support! Remember, the better you is tomorrow but the current days needs enough attention to get you there!
$NKE Iron Condor IdeaAfter being struck down -7% post ER and general weak market, I like the idea of selling puts on NKE via an Iron Condor (bull put spread and bear call spread).
With a demand zone 95-100 area, I opened 2x position 100/95p bull spread and 1x position 125/130c bear spreads with another 1x to be added on next green week ( assuming we get one) to capture better call premium .
Opex a few months out will give this trade idea time to work and capture more premium.
If you're more bearish than I on this name, an idea would be to adjust the calls closer to the underlying , say 110/115, however after today's purge I favor the probability on the upside hence the 2x put spread
Iron condors are nice because you can adjust the position as the stock moves (adding more legs, etc. ) with the trade making max profit if Nike is between 100 and 125 in the coming months.
Cheers
Nike to Drop in Price Until Near AugustGood Day To The Investing World
As shown in this simple analysis, judging from the previous few months of Nike's recorded performance, we can expect a drop in price on Nike's stocks.
This is a similar case for rival Adidas, who has dropped 29% in the past half year. Despite the lockdown era coming to an end, it's only one or the other that will eventually make the line point to the sky.
However, as the price falls, the trend rises. Therefore, the rise in trend will mean that eventually, as stated in the title, Nike may start rising again.