Nike earnings have serious potential to set a course.As seen in this 4 hr chart, Nike has been in an ascending channel since the corona sell off/rebound. The price action has moved in accordance with the upward parallel channel it is seemingly advancing in. It has recently slowed down and failed to rise back above the midline of the channel recently. Heres the tricky part, Nikes recent sell off leaves this one in the middle of a grey area territory. The chart setup is perfect for a BIG move around earnings, which way is very much so up in the air. As previously stated this one falls right in the middle of the current gray area, RSI is nearing oversold, but if there is no RSI support around the 40/50 area, and an increase in selling volume, this one could have lost steam, change course, and fall into a bearish channel downwards back towards 105. Nike earnings and the investors reaction to said earnings, have the possibility to set this one on a path that it could possibly take into the end of the year.
(*personal advice: always play earning safely with a neutral strategy*)
Bullish (possible by end of year) price target:$140
Bearish (possible by end of year) price target:$105
Earnings could set the future course for Nike.
Nike_analysis
NKE to break higher on technicals and earningsNike had a good earnings report this past quarter beating over 100% of the analysts' expectations on some strong volume too. We can see the potential of the break of the top on these higher lows as well.
The current resistance is at $130-$131 where we have see the level get tested time and time again on strong bullish momentum and candles, meaning whoever is stopping form price moving through that level has a lot of stops hidden above. That buy stop run could open up price aggressively to the first target at $145.00 or so.
There is the possibility we pullback to close the gap or into the $123 support too before rocketing higher. The higher probability move is the breakout though. With the potential Santa Claus rally coming through and the elections resolving some of the uncertainty in the market, it would see that retail especially online retail may get a nice push this year due to quarantine as well.
This idea is for educational purposes only, should not be taken as investment advice or trading advice.
Time to leave! I'LL BE BACKMONTHLY rsi and price movement for nike. No matter how much money is printed in the us my favorite sports brand will have a rough time for the upcoming years since most of the money went to the stock market and the majority of people are going to see their income decreasing for the next years. However after we've go through this nike is going to shine since it's investing huge amount of money in it's online business model.
Nike Awaiting FallAs you can see on my chart, I expect a fall in the Nike after overcoming the mark of $ 96. As you can see on my chart, I expect a fall on the hike, after breaking the $ 96 mark. If you want to know more information about my forecasts, subscribe to my YouTube Channel (/channel/UCFjEDgByCftksVKr8nZoOZg? View_as = subscriber) More than my forecasts for the short term
Elliott Wave View Favors More Upside in Nike (NKE)Short term Elliott wave view in Nike (NKE) calls the rally from June 3 low unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from June 3 low, wave 1 ended at 78.58 and wave 2 pullback ended at 77.58. Wave 3 ended at 84.23 and subdivides as another impulse structure in lesser degree. Wave 4 pullback ended at 82.47, and wave 5 ended at 84.38 which also subdivides as an impulse in lesser degree. The 5 waves move higher ended wave (A) and the stock is now correcting cycle from June 3 low in wave (B)
The correction is proposed to unfold as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Potential area where wave (B) can end is 50 – 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of wave (A). This area comes at 79.69 – 80.54 where buyers can appear for more upside. We don’t like selling the stock.
Nike trajectory - Med term target $54 in 2019?Thank for viewing,
Disclosure; I haven't been tracking Nike until a couple of days ago and thought I would post this to see if I can get some feedback. I am not presently able to short trade this share so am just watching for now. I was drawn to it by recent news about presumptive Np.1 NBA draft pick Zion Williamson's and minor injury caused by a Nike shoe blowout. My analysis does in no way hinge on this story, but it can't help the Nike share price and it may just be enough to allow the previous swing high to not be exceeded. A lot of people (who aren't top level sports talent) can place themselves in Zion's shoes (like literally).
I would also point to Nike's increasingly politicised marketing campaigns as a cause for investor concern (personally I am a supporter or Colin Kaepernick's protest and would like to see him play again) simply because they have decided to place a talented Sportsman who isn't presently playing at high levels at the centre of their marketing campaign. You don't need to wear the best designed sports shoe to protest inequality. There is a risk that Nike's huge (31% of costs) marketing budget has become at least partially un-linked to mastery in the game. This perceived link had, until now, served them very well.
Air Jordans were the highest selling shoe because almost everyone wanted to emulate or be associated with Michael Jordan's absolutely dominant and universally recognised basketball mastery. Even sales of these have slowed recently (www.thestreet.com).
These are sideline issues compared to the increasing miscompare between Nike's share price and dividend yields. in late 2017 Nike's PE ratio went from 22 in August and 25 in November to 62 in Feb 2018 and 65.57 in August 2018 (www.macrotrends.net) also (ycharts.com). This is over-extended bubble territory. When PE ratios get too high and EPS fall investors are understandably less willing to accept share price volatility (which increases), so any price weakness should result in a steep selloff.
This is a conditional post; I have shown on the chart what I expect to happen over the coming weeks. If the price and RSI both show a lower high and the MACD MA crossover holds and heads downwards for the zero line I think a deep correction is in play. If these three things happen, I would say $54 per share is conservative. Results are expected in a few days at the end of February, expect the high of $86.04 to not be exceeded and the results to be insufficient to support such an inflated PE ratio (which, of course, hinges on very bullish expectations of future growth). Even if Nike posts expected or above expected earnings guidance I expect there to be a sell-off as investors realise how over-extended the share price has become.
This was seen in 2018: "Investors weren't all that impressed. 10 percent revenue growth ... it really needed to be a little bit more than that," Stacey Widlitz, president of consulting firm SW Retail Advisors, told CNBC (www.cnbc.com)."
My view is, of course, coloured by a an increasingly bearish view of the S&P500 and expectations of a European (Italy in recession, Germany likely to follow with GDP growth currently at 0%) and US recession possibly apparent shortly. Most analysts are calling a 2020 US recession. I just think it may be brought forward a few months. Nike has increased revenue by raising prices for its goods, something that may shortly become unsustainable. I will be following with interest. Good luck everyone and protect those funds.
Nike Stock Analysis: Bulls Not in the Clear Yet...Conclusion for today’s Analysis: Price closing above the September 21, 2018 high of $85.98 indicates resumption of the bullish trend in Nike.
Over a year and 2 months of price action is covered in today’s Nike stock analysis using a 6 hour timeframe.
The previous bullish price channel lasting over 11 months was broken to the downside, with price retracing to ~$66.45.
Bullish momentum resulting from the above mentioned price level is yet to break above the previous high of $85.98 reached on September 21, 2018, therefore implying patience on entry of any long (buy) position that will be considered very conservative.
$60.55 is used as the lower price level for support indicated on the chart with the upper boundary being $66.45. A break below $60.55 in this case indicates resumption of the sell off from September 21, 2018, with lower prices to be expected.
A bearish channel (tentative) drawn on the chart needs to be monitored if Nike does indeed fail to close above price high of $80.96 established on Friday, the 18th of January, 2019
Nike Elliott Wave View: Further Upside Expected.Hello Traders,
NKE short-term Elliott wave analysis suggests that the pullback to $78.78 low ended red wave 2 pullback. Up from there, it ended red wave 3 at 09/21 peak (86.26). The Internals structure unfolded as a 5 waves Elliott Wave structure with a extend wave ((iii)). It ended black wave ((i)) at 09/04 peak (81), wave ((ii)) pullback at 09/05 low (78.78). Above from there, it ended the extended wave ((iii)) at 09/19 peak (86.09). Below from there it ended black wave ((iv)) pullback at 09/19 peak (84.40) and above from there it ended black wave ((v)) of red wave 3 at 09/21 peak (86.28).
Down from there, we are calling red wave 4 pullback complete at 09/25 low (80.69). The internals of that pullback unfolded as an Elliott Wave ZigZag structure which ended black wave ((a)) at 09/24 low (84.15), black wave ((b)) pullback at 09/25 peak (85.24). Below from there, it ended black wave ((c)) of red wave 4 at 09/25 (80.69).
As long as the pivot at 78.78 stays intact we expect NKE to extend higher and we don’t like selling it because the right side is to the upside.
NKE @ daily @ worst dow performer `16 (-18%) turned around ?Take care
& analyzed it again
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Aaron