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Nike_analysis

Elliott Wave View Favors More Upside in Nike (NKE)Short term Elliott wave view in Nike (NKE) calls the rally from June 3 low unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from June 3 low, wave 1 ended at 78.58 and wave 2 pullback ended at 77.58. Wave 3 ended at 84.23 and subdivides as another impulse structure in lesser degree. Wave 4 pullback ended at 82.47, and wave 5 ended at 84.38 which also subdivides as an impulse in lesser degree. The 5 waves move higher ended wave (A) and the stock is now correcting cycle from June 3 low in wave (B) The correction is proposed to unfold as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Potential area where wave (B) can end is 50 – 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of wave (A). This area comes at 79.69 – 80.54 where buyers can appear for more upside. We don’t like selling the stock.
NYSE:NKE
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Nike trajectory - Med term target $54 in 2019?Thank for viewing, Disclosure; I haven't been tracking Nike until a couple of days ago and thought I would post this to see if I can get some feedback. I am not presently able to short trade this share so am just watching for now. I was drawn to it by recent news about presumptive Np.1 NBA draft pick Zion Williamson's and minor injury caused by a Nike shoe blowout. My analysis does in no way hinge on this story, but it can't help the Nike share price and it may just be enough to allow the previous swing high to not be exceeded. A lot of people (who aren't top level sports talent) can place themselves in Zion's shoes (like literally). I would also point to Nike's increasingly politicised marketing campaigns as a cause for investor concern (personally I am a supporter or Colin Kaepernick's protest and would like to see him play again) simply because they have decided to place a talented Sportsman who isn't presently playing at high levels at the centre of their marketing campaign. You don't need to wear the best designed sports shoe to protest inequality. There is a risk that Nike's huge (31% of costs) marketing budget has become at least partially un-linked to mastery in the game. This perceived link had, until now, served them very well. Air Jordans were the highest selling shoe because almost everyone wanted to emulate or be associated with Michael Jordan's absolutely dominant and universally recognised basketball mastery. Even sales of these have slowed recently (www.thestreet.com). These are sideline issues compared to the increasing miscompare between Nike's share price and dividend yields. in late 2017 Nike's PE ratio went from 22 in August and 25 in November to 62 in Feb 2018 and 65.57 in August 2018 (www.macrotrends.net) also (ycharts.com). This is over-extended bubble territory. When PE ratios get too high and EPS fall investors are understandably less willing to accept share price volatility (which increases), so any price weakness should result in a steep selloff. This is a conditional post; I have shown on the chart what I expect to happen over the coming weeks. If the price and RSI both show a lower high and the MACD MA crossover holds and heads downwards for the zero line I think a deep correction is in play. If these three things happen, I would say $54 per share is conservative. Results are expected in a few days at the end of February, expect the high of $86.04 to not be exceeded and the results to be insufficient to support such an inflated PE ratio (which, of course, hinges on very bullish expectations of future growth). Even if Nike posts expected or above expected earnings guidance I expect there to be a sell-off as investors realise how over-extended the share price has become. This was seen in 2018: "Investors weren't all that impressed. 10 percent revenue growth ... it really needed to be a little bit more than that," Stacey Widlitz, president of consulting firm SW Retail Advisors, told CNBC (www.cnbc.com)." My view is, of course, coloured by a an increasingly bearish view of the S&P500 and expectations of a European (Italy in recession, Germany likely to follow with GDP growth currently at 0%) and US recession possibly apparent shortly. Most analysts are calling a 2020 US recession. I just think it may be brought forward a few months. Nike has increased revenue by raising prices for its goods, something that may shortly become unsustainable. I will be following with interest. Good luck everyone and protect those funds.
NYSE:NKEShort
by flyinkiwi10
Nike Stock Analysis: Bulls Not in the Clear Yet...Conclusion for today’s Analysis: Price closing above the September 21, 2018 high of $85.98 indicates resumption of the bullish trend in Nike. Over a year and 2 months of price action is covered in today’s Nike stock analysis using a 6 hour timeframe. The previous bullish price channel lasting over 11 months was broken to the downside, with price retracing to ~$66.45. Bullish momentum resulting from the above mentioned price level is yet to break above the previous high of $85.98 reached on September 21, 2018, therefore implying patience on entry of any long (buy) position that will be considered very conservative. $60.55 is used as the lower price level for support indicated on the chart with the upper boundary being $66.45. A break below $60.55 in this case indicates resumption of the sell off from September 21, 2018, with lower prices to be expected. A bearish channel (tentative) drawn on the chart needs to be monitored if Nike does indeed fail to close above price high of $80.96 established on Friday, the 18th of January, 2019
NYSE:NKE
by Coin_Analyst
Nike Elliott Wave View: Further Upside Expected.Hello Traders, NKE short-term Elliott wave analysis suggests that the pullback to $78.78 low ended red wave 2 pullback. Up from there, it ended red wave 3 at 09/21 peak (86.26). The Internals structure unfolded as a 5 waves Elliott Wave structure with a extend wave ((iii)). It ended black wave ((i)) at 09/04 peak (81), wave ((ii)) pullback at 09/05 low (78.78). Above from there, it ended the extended wave ((iii)) at 09/19 peak (86.09). Below from there it ended black wave ((iv)) pullback at 09/19 peak (84.40) and above from there it ended black wave ((v)) of red wave 3 at 09/21 peak (86.28). Down from there, we are calling red wave 4 pullback complete at 09/25 low (80.69). The internals of that pullback unfolded as an Elliott Wave ZigZag structure which ended black wave ((a)) at 09/24 low (84.15), black wave ((b)) pullback at 09/25 peak (85.24). Below from there, it ended black wave ((c)) of red wave 4 at 09/25 (80.69). As long as the pivot at 78.78 stays intact we expect NKE to extend higher and we don’t like selling it because the right side is to the upside.
NYSE:NKELong
by Elliottwave-Forecast