NIKE: One of the largest brands on this planet! BUY NOWNIKE: One of the largest brands on this planet! BUY NOW! 50% Upside Ahead
If you believe Nike is a dying company or will lose to HOKA, ON, and whoever else as the years roll on you clearly haven't studied Nike hard enough and seen the continued destruction of EVERY SINGLE brand to try and fight them...Adidas, Under Armor, Puma, New Balance, Asics, Brooks, etc. etc. etc. The LIST WILL INDEED continue.
This name is not a H5 Setup...YET. But, I'm adding it to my watchlist as we have a beautiful Inverse H&S, Sitting on a Volume Shelf, Wr% divergence, and a Hammer Candle which typically means a reversal of a downtrend. All on the weekly chart!
I believe that Value and Dividend names will be the hot ticket stocks in 2025 due to how beaten down they all are and so much treasury and high-interest savings money flowing into the markets, choosing this category of stocks to be on the safer side as that is the type.
Once we get the BULLISH Green BUY signal on the H5 Indicator, it's all over, and you will not see Nike at these levels, most likely EVER AGAIN! You all realize Nike has a large MOAT and is one of the most prolific brands on the planet, right?! Ok, good, I thought you forgot!
Will update once we get the flip to a BUY! Will begin adding in my LT portfolio now due to the value on this company at these levels right now though.
NFA
Nike_setup
Elliott Hill Appointed as New CEO of Nike: Stock up 8% Nike Inc., (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) the global sports apparel giant, has made a pivotal decision in naming Elliott Hill as its new President and CEO, effective October 14, 2024. The announcement comes at a time when Nike (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) is navigating market headwinds, including stiff competition and a necessary internal restructuring. Hill, who has been a Nike insider for over three decades, is expected to leverage his deep-rooted connection with the company to reignite its growth trajectory.
A Return to Nike’s Roots: Elliott Hill’s Journey
Elliott Hill’s appointment brings Nike (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) back to its roots. Hill first joined the company in 1988 after lobbying relentlessly for a position out of Ohio University. Over the years, he worked his way up from grassroots sales roles to overseeing global retail operations. His previous position as President of Consumer & Marketplace, where he managed Nike's commercial and marketing efforts, gave him invaluable experience in driving the brand's consumer engagement and business development.
After retiring in 2020, Hill’s return is seen as a strategic move to realign Nike’s leadership with someone who not only understands the brand but also embodies its core values of grit, determination, and hard work. According to Mark Parker, Nike’s Executive Chairman, Hill’s deep understanding of the sports industry and his "passion for sport, our brands, and products" make him the ideal person to steer Nike through its next phase of growth.
Facing Market Challenges Head-On
Hill’s appointment couldn’t come at a more crucial time. Nike (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) has seen declining sales recently, especially in comparison to more agile competitors like On and Deckers' Hoka. To combat this, Nike initiated a comprehensive three-year plan to slash $2 billion in costs and streamline operations, a plan that will be critical in restoring profitability and market share.
Despite recent struggles, Nike has demonstrated strong financial performance, reporting a 12% increase in net income for fiscal year 2024, reaching $5.70 billion. This is up from $5.07 billion in the previous fiscal year, signaling that the company’s fundamentals remain sound. Hill’s leadership will be key in converting these strengths into sustained growth by harnessing innovation and streamlining the company’s operations.
### Technical Outlook: Can Nike Break Its Falling Trend?
From a technical standpoint, Nike’s stock has been in a downtrend for several months, with two notable unfilled gap-down patterns. However, in the wake of Hill’s appointment, Nike shares saw an 8% surge in premarket trading on Friday. This rally is integral to breaking the stock’s long-standing downward channel. If Nike (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) can surpass the key resistance level of $123—its December 2023 high—it could signal a major bullish reversal for the stock.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits in neutral territory, indicating that Nike (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) has more room to rally. Additionally, the moving averages are beginning to flatten, suggesting that the stock may be poised to reverse its downward trend if bullish momentum continues. If Nike (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) can build on this recent uptick, it may start filling the gap-down patterns that have held the stock back, potentially leading to a stronger position in the coming months.
Hill’s Vision for the Future
Elliott Hill has already expressed his excitement about taking the reins at Nike. "Nike has always been a core part of who I am, and I’m ready to help lead it to an even brighter future," he said. With his extensive experience in both the company and the sports industry, Hill’s vision is likely to focus on innovation, sustainability, and continuing to push the brand to connect with athletes and consumers alike.
In addition to driving Nike’s bottom line, Hill’s leadership style is expected to foster closer ties with employees and partners, which will be crucial as the company seeks to retain its position as the world’s premier sportswear brand. His background—rooted in values of perseverance, hard work, and a deep understanding of Nike’s culture—makes him well-positioned to lead the company through its current challenges and beyond.
Conclusion
Nike’s decision to bring Elliott Hill back as CEO marks a return to its roots and a clear focus on driving operational efficiency and growth in a competitive market. The technical indicators suggest that the stock is approaching a potential breakout, which, combined with Hill’s leadership, could pave the way for a new chapter of success. While challenges remain, Nike’s solid fundamentals, coupled with strategic leadership, position it well for long-term growth and market recovery. Investors will be watching closely as the company embarks on this new journey under Hill’s stewardship.
NIKE to "Just Do It" to 2023 Highs? Multi Timeframe AnalysisDISCLAIMER: This is not trading advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only to demonstrate how I view this market. Trading involves real risk. Do your own due diligence.
Based on my multi-timeframe analysis strategy, I have been looking for setups to go long Nike. Seems like daunting proposition considering Nike's overall weakness this year. That being said, my strategy has rules and my job is to respect the rules.
HTF (12 Month): 2023 candle close formed a "Swing Low", which gave me the bullish bias for Nike to trade up to 2023 highs.
ITF (2 Week): We see the intermediate timeframe is in a bullish price delivery mode (highs of down close candles are getting closed above). We mark of discount arrays (in this case the fair value gap and 2 week orderblock), and wait for price to trade into that point of interest.
ETF (12 Hour): We see price traded down into the 2 week fair value gap. As price is in the area of interest, I take any one of the following entry triggers:
12 Hour CISD (Triggered yesterday, stop below the low)
18 Period MA Entry (Not yet triggered. Stop 120% of 3 period ATR at time of entry)
10h8c MAC w/ Williams Acc/Dis (Not yet triggered. Stop either twice the width of the MAC or 120% of 3 period ATR, whichever is greater)
Divergence (Not yet triggered. Stop 120% of 3 period ATR at time of entry).
If you have questions about my multi-timeframe analysis approach, feel free to shoot me a message.
Good Luck & Good Trading.
TIME TO BUY NIKE ?We observed a significant decrease in Nike's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio from 78.6 to 21, representing a multiyear low between 2020 and the present.
Nike's stock has declined by 60% from its historical peak, prompting observations regarding market irrationality in driving the company's P/E ratio to its lowest level since 2017. Consequently, purchasing Nike stock has become a compelling proposition for investors, corroborated by the recommendations of Wall Street analysts. Guggenheim analysts have identified the stock's potential value at $115 per share, indicating a potential 36.9% upside from current levels.
HSBC has initiated coverage of On Holding, maintaining a "hold" rating, while Citi continues to uphold a buy rating on Nike stock despite concerns about sales in China.
Institutional investors responded to the decline by purchasing Nike shares, catalyzed by the announcement of hedge fund Pershing Square, under the leadership of Bill Ackman, acquiring a new stake in the company. This move was further supported by Pershing Square Capital Management, led by billionaire investor William Ackman, acquiring approximately 3 million Nike shares. Bernstein SocGen Group maintained an "Outperform" rating on Nike, citing improvements in the brand's performance metrics.
Anticipated growth in sales driven by the Olympics and basketball is expected to provide an additional boost to Nike.
We await the forthcoming fiscal Q3 '24 earnings report from Nike, scheduled for September 24, 2024, as an indicator of potential recovery.
In conclusion, it is advisable to closely monitor the upcoming quarterly results.
$NKE | Allocation | Market Exec & Buy Limit |Technical Confluences:
- Price action is at the 61% Retracement for Recent Lows to Highs and the beginning of Nike's time (Strong Support)
- Price action is also at a Demand Zone
- Stochastics is at Oversold levels on the Weekly & Monthly TF
Fundamental Confluences:
- Regardless of weak Earnings and Forward Projections, Nike is still considered as a market leader in various aspects (Fashion, Fitness, Sports, Status etc.); brand loyalty will be retained at least for the next few years
- Who doesn't love Nike; aside from Adidas?
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NYSE:NKE is the next in my basket of portfolio. Allocating the first 20% of single-stock into my Long-Term portfolio.
The Nike brand will not die off that easily. Definitely, a value buy; for me.
Remember, DYOR.
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If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
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Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
#NIKE Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaMarket Observations: NKE has decisively broken its previous downtrend, establishing a higher high. This bullish breach was further fueled by a liquidity run targeting sell stops below the recent triple-bottom (equal lows). The strong momentum accompanying this breakout signals a potential buying opportunity.
Trade Strategy: Target a buy entry upon a retracement to the 61.8% Fibonacci level. Be sure to place a stop-loss order below the recent swing low to effectively manage risk. Maintain a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Video Focus: This video explores the technical analysis principles that support this bullish perspective:
- Trend Analysis: Identify breakouts and trend reversals with clarity.
- Liquidity Runs: Understand how stops are targeted and the impact on price.
- Fibonacci Retracements: Recognize key retracement levels for optimal entries.
Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Thoroughly conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
Nike potential Cup and Handle after nasty fall T - $138Potential C&H is forming on Nike.
It's definitely too soon to execute trades based on the week upside in the last few days. We need the price to break above the Resistance of the previous M Formation.
This one requires a bit of patience because anything can happen at this rate.
Either it can form a C&H, W Formation, Scallop. Or it could fail and drop further if we don't see strong buying activity from Smart Money.
We'll have to wait and see.
Mixed MAs
RSI>50
Target $138.11
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Nike, Inc. is an American multinational corporation that is one of the world's largest suppliers of athletic shoes and apparel.
Founding: Nike was founded in 1964 as Blue Ribbon Sports by Bill Bowerman, a track-and-field coach at the University of Oregon, and his former student Phil Knight.
Name Origin: The name "Nike" was adopted in 1971. It comes from the Greek goddess of victory, Nike (pronounced "Nee-key" in Greek), symbolizing the company's goal to associate its products with victory and success.
Swoosh Logo: The iconic "Swoosh" logo, representing the wing of the Greek goddess Nike, was designed by graphic design student Carolyn Davidson for a mere $35.
First Shoe: The first shoe with the Swoosh logo was a soccer shoe named "Nike," released in 1971.
Public Listing: Nike went public in 1980 and is listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Global Brand: As of 2021, Nike operates in more than 170 countries around the globe.
Revenue: In its 2020 fiscal year, Nike generated over $37 billion in revenue.
Sponsorships: Nike is well-known for its endorsement contracts with high-profile athletes like Michael Jordan, Tiger Woods, Serena Williams, and LeBron James, among others.
Air Jordan: Nike's Air Jordan brand, launched for Michael Jordan in 1985, has become one of the most successful and iconic shoe brands in history.
Innovations: Nike is known for its innovative products, such as Air Max, Nike+ (a collaboration with Apple), and Flyknit shoes.
Just Do It: The "Just Do It" campaign, launched in 1988, has become one of the most famous and effective marketing campaigns in history.
Nike extends gains Nike's stock (NKE) kept rising in the intraday levels, buoyed by positive pressure from the 50-day SMA, and amid the dominance of the upward correctional wave in the short term, with negative signals from the RSI after reaching overbought levels, hurting the stock's movements.
Therefore we expect the stock to rise and target the resistance of 138.65, provided it settles above 118.47.
a valuable oversold company!!! (Long)Strong consumer demand has been the main source of confidence in the world's largest economy in the post-pandemic environment. Even as the Federal Reserve embarked on its most aggressive monetary tightening cycle in decades, many economists argued that a soft landing was still possible, given significant pent-up demand for consumer goods such as shoes, clothing and cars.
But yesterday's report from Nike (NYSE:NKE) revealed that the strongest pillar of the US economy could be in jeopardy as consumers face a double whammy in the form of high inflation and rising interest rates. }}.
The world's largest sporting goods company told investors yesterday that it is grappling with a huge pile of unsold products, forcing it to offer aggressive discounts and squeeze margins.
On Thursday, the Oregon-based company said global inventories had risen 44% to $9.7 billion in the quarter ended Aug. 30. In North America, the company's largest market, they increased 65% compared to the previous year, mainly due to slowing demand and delayed shipments.
In this context, Nike will see its margins erode, falling between 200 and 250 basis points this fiscal year; the previous estimate was that margins would remain flat or decline by 50 basis points, at most.
The company's minimum considering targets on Wallstreet is $88 according to Tipranks. which the average cost of the shares is $114.
then we set the next objectives to follow according to the profitability of the company. (Let's go long).
Objectives:
tp1-$93
tp2-$103
tp3-$113
Nike: Air Jordans in murky Asian watersNike
Short Term - We look to Sell at 110.32 (stop at 118.64)
The company built caution into 2023 guidance on fears of more China Covid lockdowns. Trades with a bearish descending triangle formation. The bias is to break to the downside. We look to sell rallies. The measured move target is 83.50.
Our profit targets will be 83.50 and 75.00
Resistance: 115.00 / 120.00 / 140.00
Support: 105.00 / 95.00 / 83.00
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Nike Playing the Short Game? Nike - Short Term - We look to Sell a break of 143.08 (stop at 148.92)
Posted a bearish Flag formation. A break of 143.00 is needed to confirm the outlook. Closed below the 20-day EMA. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. The primary trend remains bearish. Daily signals are bearish. The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs.
Our profit targets will be 126.53 and 119.05
Resistance: 150.00 / 155.00 / 160.00
Support: 140.00 / 130.00 / 120.00
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NKE to break higher on technicals and earningsNike had a good earnings report this past quarter beating over 100% of the analysts' expectations on some strong volume too. We can see the potential of the break of the top on these higher lows as well.
The current resistance is at $130-$131 where we have see the level get tested time and time again on strong bullish momentum and candles, meaning whoever is stopping form price moving through that level has a lot of stops hidden above. That buy stop run could open up price aggressively to the first target at $145.00 or so.
There is the possibility we pullback to close the gap or into the $123 support too before rocketing higher. The higher probability move is the breakout though. With the potential Santa Claus rally coming through and the elections resolving some of the uncertainty in the market, it would see that retail especially online retail may get a nice push this year due to quarantine as well.
This idea is for educational purposes only, should not be taken as investment advice or trading advice.
Elliott Wave View Favors More Upside in Nike (NKE)Short term Elliott wave view in Nike (NKE) calls the rally from June 3 low unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from June 3 low, wave 1 ended at 78.58 and wave 2 pullback ended at 77.58. Wave 3 ended at 84.23 and subdivides as another impulse structure in lesser degree. Wave 4 pullback ended at 82.47, and wave 5 ended at 84.38 which also subdivides as an impulse in lesser degree. The 5 waves move higher ended wave (A) and the stock is now correcting cycle from June 3 low in wave (B)
The correction is proposed to unfold as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Potential area where wave (B) can end is 50 – 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of wave (A). This area comes at 79.69 – 80.54 where buyers can appear for more upside. We don’t like selling the stock.
Nike trajectory - Med term target $54 in 2019?Thank for viewing,
Disclosure; I haven't been tracking Nike until a couple of days ago and thought I would post this to see if I can get some feedback. I am not presently able to short trade this share so am just watching for now. I was drawn to it by recent news about presumptive Np.1 NBA draft pick Zion Williamson's and minor injury caused by a Nike shoe blowout. My analysis does in no way hinge on this story, but it can't help the Nike share price and it may just be enough to allow the previous swing high to not be exceeded. A lot of people (who aren't top level sports talent) can place themselves in Zion's shoes (like literally).
I would also point to Nike's increasingly politicised marketing campaigns as a cause for investor concern (personally I am a supporter or Colin Kaepernick's protest and would like to see him play again) simply because they have decided to place a talented Sportsman who isn't presently playing at high levels at the centre of their marketing campaign. You don't need to wear the best designed sports shoe to protest inequality. There is a risk that Nike's huge (31% of costs) marketing budget has become at least partially un-linked to mastery in the game. This perceived link had, until now, served them very well.
Air Jordans were the highest selling shoe because almost everyone wanted to emulate or be associated with Michael Jordan's absolutely dominant and universally recognised basketball mastery. Even sales of these have slowed recently (www.thestreet.com).
These are sideline issues compared to the increasing miscompare between Nike's share price and dividend yields. in late 2017 Nike's PE ratio went from 22 in August and 25 in November to 62 in Feb 2018 and 65.57 in August 2018 (www.macrotrends.net) also (ycharts.com). This is over-extended bubble territory. When PE ratios get too high and EPS fall investors are understandably less willing to accept share price volatility (which increases), so any price weakness should result in a steep selloff.
This is a conditional post; I have shown on the chart what I expect to happen over the coming weeks. If the price and RSI both show a lower high and the MACD MA crossover holds and heads downwards for the zero line I think a deep correction is in play. If these three things happen, I would say $54 per share is conservative. Results are expected in a few days at the end of February, expect the high of $86.04 to not be exceeded and the results to be insufficient to support such an inflated PE ratio (which, of course, hinges on very bullish expectations of future growth). Even if Nike posts expected or above expected earnings guidance I expect there to be a sell-off as investors realise how over-extended the share price has become.
This was seen in 2018: "Investors weren't all that impressed. 10 percent revenue growth ... it really needed to be a little bit more than that," Stacey Widlitz, president of consulting firm SW Retail Advisors, told CNBC (www.cnbc.com)."
My view is, of course, coloured by a an increasingly bearish view of the S&P500 and expectations of a European (Italy in recession, Germany likely to follow with GDP growth currently at 0%) and US recession possibly apparent shortly. Most analysts are calling a 2020 US recession. I just think it may be brought forward a few months. Nike has increased revenue by raising prices for its goods, something that may shortly become unsustainable. I will be following with interest. Good luck everyone and protect those funds.
Nike Elliott Wave View: Further Upside Expected.Hello Traders,
NKE short-term Elliott wave analysis suggests that the pullback to $78.78 low ended red wave 2 pullback. Up from there, it ended red wave 3 at 09/21 peak (86.26). The Internals structure unfolded as a 5 waves Elliott Wave structure with a extend wave ((iii)). It ended black wave ((i)) at 09/04 peak (81), wave ((ii)) pullback at 09/05 low (78.78). Above from there, it ended the extended wave ((iii)) at 09/19 peak (86.09). Below from there it ended black wave ((iv)) pullback at 09/19 peak (84.40) and above from there it ended black wave ((v)) of red wave 3 at 09/21 peak (86.28).
Down from there, we are calling red wave 4 pullback complete at 09/25 low (80.69). The internals of that pullback unfolded as an Elliott Wave ZigZag structure which ended black wave ((a)) at 09/24 low (84.15), black wave ((b)) pullback at 09/25 peak (85.24). Below from there, it ended black wave ((c)) of red wave 4 at 09/25 (80.69).
As long as the pivot at 78.78 stays intact we expect NKE to extend higher and we don’t like selling it because the right side is to the upside.
NKE @ daily @ worst dow performer `16 (-18%) turned around ?Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decision ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
DOW JONES Index incl. all 30 Shares (2016 Yearly Performance) @ drive.google.com
Best regards
Aaron