NI225 RETRACEMENT BEFORE SHORTNI225 broke a weekly uptrend and did fall down to the 50 fib zone and hit bottom Bollinger band, there should be retracement back to the trend around 29106 zone, this entry is safer but we can also look for an entry around 28049 since there is also a strong weekly support, after the retracement we are looking for a short position which we should hold until 23651 zone. Our stop loss should be 30913.
Nikkei225index
Elliott Wave Analysis: NIKKEI Remains BullishHello traders and investors!
Today we will talk about Japanese Index NIKKEI 225 in which we see very clear bullish pattern.
As you can see, NIKKEI made an A-B-C corrective decline from the highs and the main reason why we think it's a correction within uptrend is because of a triangle within wave B in the middle. We know that triangles cannot occur in wave 2, so it must be wave B as part of an A-B-C correction.
The Next very important evidence that A-B-C correction is completed is recent five waves up from the lows and we know that a five-wave reversal indicates a change in trend, so NIKKEI will probably stay in the uptrend.
However, in EW theory, after every five waves, a three-wave pullback follows, so before we will see a continuation higher, be aware of a corrective slow down with ideal support in the 28800 - 28300 zone. Of course, pullbacks could be even deeper, so count remains valid as long as the price is trading above 27400 May lows.
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East vs. West; The Nikkei will obliterate the Dow!!... And that's without even the currency differential factored in! (... which should add an additional +8%-13% to the down-side.)
This spread currently sits right at the Quarterly Pivot.
As it stands, under even the most unlikely circumstances (worst case scenario) this spread, the Short DJIA / Long Nikkei225 , is a 4.5:1 R/R trade. A trade that anyone should take, especially if one finds oneself being forced to stay long equities - for some inexplicable reasons.
The Weekly;
US30/Nikkei225 - (Continuation) SHORT; SELL it until ...... it can be shorted no more!!
Here is the original post;
Been making stupid amounts of money in this spread, ever since!3
Obviously, this still has quite a few country miles left in it (SHORT). - Then, on the top of it, factor in the currency differential and Baam! ... Probably the best (passive) index trade out there, bar none.
This is likley to run out of steam soon, ...too. - But not before US Equities do!!
(Made a lot of money on these longs until now and especially being Short DJIA/Nikkei225 Spread!)
... and given the currency differential, the Nikkei225 is still a helluva lot better deal than US indexes.
Here is the SP500/Nikkei225 Spread
Short it until it can be shorted no more!
Here is the Weekly;
Negative divergent keep extending on Nikkei 225 weekly chartAs Nikkei 225 keep pushing higher, it continues to extend negative divergent. Given the size of divergent, it projects pretty large drop in Nikkei. Break of current steep rising trend line should do the trick.
Have a good trade everyone,
T.
SPX vs. NIKKEI225 SELL; Massive SHORT!!SHORT this spread endlessly!!
Here is the Weekly
The "math" bears this out, readily! NIKKEI225 has a 13%-15% advantage - including FX - over the SPX. This is by far the best Equities/Risk spread out there if one must be long equities. (... which one ought Not to want to do under any circumstance, at these levels! :-)
Here is the FX component - USDJPY
NIKKEI225 LONG; Best of the G10, long term.Currently the best outlook of the developed markets.
- As opposed to the DAX and US Equities, the former being an absolute dog, the later under a mass delusion price wise.
The DAX
E.g. If one must be long Equities, the proper spread would be LONG NIKKEI, CAC, SHORT Dow, DAX.
This spread has an annual 8%-10% advantage, including FX differentials, over any other G10 Equity Long!