Nikkeitrade
NIKKEI approaching resistance, potential drop! Nikkei is approaching our first resistance at 20899 (100% fibonacci extension, 50% fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance) and a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 18995 (61.8% fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
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NIKKEI 225 Index Strugles to break above 20200The correction of Deep dive from 21600 to 19000 seems to be blocked by 20200 resistance.
An ascending triangle pattern is being printed on H4 Chart. - Potential bearish continuation pattern. -
Short at the potential breakout.
Bullish breakout would be validated at 20225.
Can Aggressive Elliott Wave View In Nikkei Will Play Out?Nikkei short-term Elliott wave view suggests that the cycle from 10/01/2018 peak is showing 5 swings bearish sequence. This favor more downside to 19073-16773 100%-123.6% Fibonacci extension area to be reached in 7 swings before support for bigger 3 wave bounce is seen at least. The decline from 10/01 peak is showing overlapping price action thus suggests that decline is unfolding in a corrective sequence i.e could be unfolding as double three structure.
Currently, the decline to 21075 low blue wave (W) lower. Above from there, a bounce in blue wave (X) took place as a Flat correction where red wave A ended at 21735 high. Wave B ended at 20950 low and red wave C ended at 21923 high which also completed blue wave (X). Down from there, blue wave (Y) can be completed at 19278 low. Above from there the index is expected to do a bounce in 3, 7 or 11 swings within blue (X)(X) of a possible triple correction lower. We expect short-term sellers to appear in 3, 7 or 11 swings on a bounce in blue wave (X)(X).
Nikkei: The Why's & How's I'm SHORT Now - Lesson In Wave TradingThere is NEVER a SURE 100% trade. And I'm not giving you one. Let's be clear about that. But as you can see on my chart, I'm sure enough about what is about to happen to the Nikkei that I am already SHORT on it TWICE OVER. And if prices do go the way I am projecting and they do pull back up and cover those HUGE gaps that were left behind, I'll be looking to sell again! But let me explain why I think this.
What I see happening is that the recent high that was just established could very well have been the top of a wave (X) correction. This following the completion of a wave (W). That wave (W) was a sharp downward correction off the possible completion of that HUGE LONG impulse wave that lasted years! That wave (W) crash signaled the end of that MAJOR impulse wave. I had been calling that long impulse wave up as a wave (iii) and that crash down ended it. So why didn't I label that wave (W) drop as a completed wave (iv)? Well, it could be but highly unlikely given that it was so sharp and brief. Wave 4's don't tend to be that way. Wave 4-type corrections usually unfold in an long drawn out fashion. And if you have been counting waves as long as I have, you would've have seen this kind of price action take place hundreds if not thousands of times in the 26+ years that I have been trading. And I also seen just as many times what follows, too.
So for arguments sake, let's just say that my wave count is correct and that was indeed a completed wave (iii) and what followed was a wave (W). After a wave (W), you would expect that the next wave will be a corrective wave (X). And what did follow was a very clear 3-wave corrective wave (X). But only one problem....that correction ended ABOVE the top of what I labeled as the wave (iii) end. So, that opened up 2 possibilities...1) that the new high was actually the end of that MAJOR wave (iii) or 2) as I see it, this overall correction following where I labeled the end of the wave (iii) is unfolding as an extended flat where the corrective wave (X) does exceed the high of the previous complete impulse wave. If that is the case, then we can already project what is to happen next and also project possible targets based on the rules that we have for extended flats and how they tend to unfold.
Regardless, I trust my wave count because as you can see, I've hit 4 out of 4 trades pulling in over +8000 points over the course of this year JUST on the Nikkei alone! You don't even want to know how I did in the other major indexes as you would find it hard to believe! But that is besides the point. The point I'm trying to make here is that if you can apply a good, workable wave count combined with a good knowledge about price action, you can make trades like these. Those 4 out of 4 (100%) winning trades are just the ones that I have already closed and banked the profits on. That does not include the 2 OPEN SHORT trades that are already in profit now.
If you find it hard to believe me, here is my chart I published to my followers back on September 12th showing my projections on what was to happen in the Nikkei. As you will see, that "explosion up" that ended what I have recently labeled the wave (X) I had already predicted would happen MONTHS AGO. That is the power of wave counting in action!
There will be those that argue that my wave count is not correct and if you know me, you also know that I don't prescribe to the theory that you absolutely have the ABSOLUTE correct wave count in order to make money. No. You just have to have a workable wave count that puts you on the right side of the market.
So if you believe me about what I see, you will want to wait for prices to pullback before you look to get SHORT.
If you want to know more, PM me or see my signature box below for more info.
NIKKEI 225 Index, Daily Chart Analysis 10/17Technical Analysis and Outlook
Most Asian markets opened positive, while the Nikkei index is heading towards Mean Resistance 23499 after a higher closure on short covering and bargain hunting as expected. The Dead-Cat-Bounce stage advancement scenario might address the pullback target to Key Support 22316 or thereabouts .
Nikkei Elliott Wave Right Side Calling HigherHello Traders,
Nikkei short-term Elliott wave view suggests that the decline to 22161 on 9/06/2018 low ended red wave 2. Above from there, red wave 3 remain in progress, nesting higher in an impulse structure. With lesser degree cycles showing sub-division of 5 waves structure in each leg higher i.e black wave ((i)), ((iii)) & ((v)) expected to unfold in 5 waves structure. Also, it’s important to note that the right side is up & instrument is having a bullish sequence tag available in below chart. This suggests that the selling is not recommended.
Up from 22161 low, the initial rally to 22750 high black wave ((i)) in 5 waves. The decline to 22535 low ended black wave ((ii)) pullback.
Then the rally higher from there ended black wave ((iii)) at 24120 high. The pullback to 23817 low ended black wave ((iv)). Above from there black wave ((v)) of 3 remain in progress, looking to extend higher as long as the pivot at 23817 stays intact.
Afterwards, the index is expected to do a wave 4 pullback in 3, 7 or 11 swings before further upside is seen. We don’t like selling it & expect buyers to appear in 3, 7 or 11 swings against 23817 low.
NIKKEI 225 back in positive trend channelThe Nikkei Index had left the positive trend channel after forming a diamond pattern. It fell on the support at 20.600 (fib retracement 61.8%) and rebounded on this level.
Since march 26 it has risen with volatility and reached the lower limit of the trend channel.
It took some days to break through this resistance and it is still not for sure that it´ll stay inside the channel.
Watching the indicators RSI and ADX - they signal a positive trend. This is why I think NIKKEI will remain in the channel.
If so it should climb up to 22.760 and close a gap (feb 06).
This is a hard resistance and we´ll see if there is enough momentum to come further.
Stop:
If the Index falls back well under the lower limit of the trend channel and / or breaking through the neckline of the diamond pattern at 20960.
Japan's stock market may be poised to break higherThe chart shows monthly bars on the NIKKEI 225 future. The index is returning to the 21000 key level, a level its failed to surpass since 1992. Price is above its 52 week Moving Average, and momentum is up for the only second time since the 1980's.
Whilst the rest of the Worlds post Global Financial Crisis recovery began in 2009, Japan's was delayed until the massive stimulus by Prime Minister Abe in 2011. This was offset by a JPYUSD fall in almost perfect sync. Interestingly the recent rally in 2017 has been positively correlated to JPYUSD, demonstrating that the rally is driven by higher inflation and growth expectations, building a solid case for further gains.
In summary the case for a Japan bull market is:
1. Improving earnings outlook with a strengthening domestic economy
2. Currently attractive equity valuations compared to developed market peers
3. Inflation picking up
4. Continued monetary stimulus
Nikkei (30/1/18) *This Baby is WeakIt is good to see the Nikkei index is doing exactly what we expected.
It shall go to 22972, 22700 level.
It has a better edge to stay on Short/Sell side right now.
Trade Safe
s0nic
Disclaimer:
The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice.
The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation.
Sonicr Mastery dot com is not responsible for any liabilities arising on the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
Nikkei (9/1/18) *Treat Your Positions As Your AmmoWe are a massive rush in this index and almost of shorts get stopped out upon the breakout.
Now it is forming a new base near 23,470 or 23,000 level.
It is still in an obvious strong uptrend but it also "still" chances to swing back to these obvious levels; 23,470 or 23,000 level.
DO NOT short with big lot size and ready to run if things do not look good.
Trading isn't you. Your positions don't represent you as there are other variables involved in the way they move.
Trade Safe
s0nic
Disclaimer:
The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice.
The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation.
Sonicr Mastery is not responsible for any liabilities arising on the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
short at 23600 for target 23000 old support so is 580 pipsshort the nikkei at 23600 as all stock ,in oberboght + euphoria,maybe the mast rally before a big correction,but for now i will wait the real signal and play just sup and res
But true that is very crazy in stock market like just in feb 2016 you put just 10 000$ on nikkei who was around 14500 and now 2 years after at 23500//humm you get a big jacpot and same for all other stock just they down a little you buy again...totally a buble and for my view when it will corect strong will be a crach
short at 23600
target 23000
gain 600 pips
Nikkei Japan Index (29/12/17) *Calm Before a BIg 2018 stormWe are in prolong sideway movement in Nikkei, It is a sure sign of extreme ranging.
If you use Bollinger band which is not useful or rather a pretty useless one, it will show you sideways tight range too.
It is making a small bullish higher high for now, but it doesn't really say of the extreme bullishness.
Watch important levels such as 23100 or 23400 level.
As long as they are not broken up yet, the bear can still kick in sometimes and early 2018 is very likely.
Trade Safe
s0nic
Disclaimer:
The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes, and does not constitute investment advice.
The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation.
Sonicr Mastery is not responsible for any liabilities arsing on the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
Nikkei (19/12/17) *Bulls are not cowering, Do not add shortNikkei is testing nerve of traders. Markets will not always agree with you.
Remember this is what the market does. Whenever there is a winner, there will always be a loser. We should stay out of the kitchen if we do not like the heat.
Anyway. the bull side is fighting back on Nikkei.
To reaffirm the bearishness, we need to see 22,600 level (watch 1)need to get broken again.
Do not add short as this moment. To throw the towel on the bear side. the level need to break strongly above (watch 2) first.
Trade Safe and read the disclaimer, too,
s0nic
Disclaimer:
The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes, and does not constitute investment advice.
The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation.
SonicrMastery.com is not responsible for any liabilities arsing on the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
Nikkei Japan Index (15/12/17) *BEAR BEARDo not be so bothered a daily nomial swing. It is the best way to get high blood pressure.
I am still standing with BEAR and I am waiting for my BIG pay day.
Let's see. I can be wrong as well.
Trade Safe and read the disclaimer, too,
s0nic
Disclaimer:
The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes, and does not constitute investment advice.
The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation.
SonicrMastery.com is not responsible for any liabilities arsing on the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
Nikkei Japan Stock (4/12/17) *Bears are still lurkingNikkei ends with a rather heavy candle on last Friday, which is leaning toward Bear.
The market can be irrational sometimes.
But watch big levels such as 22900 or 23400 level, once they are broken up "strongly", the sell idea is no longer valid.
So, the question is "what if" these levels are not broken up, Bear will do just fine.
Trade Safe
s0nic
P.S I am bullish on Yen too, aka bearish on jpy pairs in the longer term.