Nikolastock
NKLA: Lower Levels Ahead? Nikola Corporation - Short Term - We look to Sell at 9.22 (stop at 10.48)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Previous support, now becomes resistance at 9.50. 50 1day EMA is at 9.65. The primary trend remains bearish. Our overall sentiment remains bearish looking for lower levels.
Our profit targets will be 5.09 and 4.10
Resistance: 9.50 / 10.00 / 12.00
Support: 7.00 / 6.00 / 5.00
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(NKLA) Nikola continues to crumbleNikola NASDAQ:NKLA has terminated a contract to deliver 2,500 electric-battery trucks to Arizona-based Republic Services Inc, (Wikipedia) which "is the second largest provider of non-hazardous solid waste collection, transfer, disposal, recycling, and energy services in the United States, as measured by revenue." This was an agreement made in August 2020.
The upside is, NIkola can better focus on production of both its battery-electric and hydrogen fuel cell semi-trucks. But will it happen?
Refs:
www.bloomberg.com
finance.yahoo.com
techcrunch.com
Nikola (NKLA): A Long Ways DownNKLA (18.59/share at the time of this writing)
NASDAQ:NKLA
In my humble non-expert opinion, Nikola has a long way down to go. I'm not hating on Nikola. In fact I think they're truck designs looks cool but...captain obvious may tell you that this is a no-brainer, and from a business standpoint I agree. I see no potential based on what the company has to offer as of today. The original deal with GM was "revised" AKA downgraded. That deal was worth $2 billion. The original deal already had me scratching my head. The revised deal still has me wondering what Nikola has to offer as a business.
The original deal:
GM provides fuel-cell technology to Nikola
GM manufactures Badger (pickup truck) for Nikola
GM takes 11% stake in Nikola in return for above services
The revised deal:
GM provides fuel-cell technology to Nikola
GM gets paid in cash?
Based on what Nikola has to offer, there is no reason for Nikola to have any value. What is their competitive advantage? What value is being created? Are they simply marketers? They need to come up with something. From what we first learned in the Hindenburg Report, they don't actually have any proprietary technology that is solely owned by Nikola. It's all third-party agreements. Seems like Trevor Milton is trying to become the Steve Jobs of EVs but without any of the proprietary Apple technology. He's charismatic and I guess he brings ideas together...? So what's left?
Comments are welcomed. If you're still holding Nikola, why? And if you're not holding anymore, why not?
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You could argue that NIO is in the same boat since they also have a mega manufacturer (JAC Motors) creating vehicles for them. But there are key differences.
1. JAC Motors is state-owned. The Chinese government has every incentive to prop up their own EV companies even if they're friendly with US-based Tesla. They're not going to snub home-grown competition.
2. The Chinese government has committed to making all automobiles sold in China "eco-friendly" by 2035. Again, homegrown EVs have an advantage.
3. Nio has functional vehicles that run on electric batteries (not downhill gravity).
4. Nio has sales.
5. Prior to its 2020 pop, Nio had a dedicated fanbase to which they created Nio Clubhouses for (to cultivate and grow its cult).
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Refs:
www.wsj.com
www.wsj.com
asia.nikkei.com
hindenburgresearch.com
www.azcentral.com
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Disclaimer: This is my non-expert opinion and not financial advice.