NIO short. Bearish RSI divergence on this pumpYeah bearish divergence here and looks to me like next stop is the $15 area. $5 EOY is my target though and it will be nice to to take the money from the FOMO kids until then.
NIO
NIO Inc. (NIO, BUY)COVID Lockdowns Weigh on 2Q Guidance; Set to Recover in 2H
Maintain BUY and Decreasing PT to $35
NYSE:NIO
We are maintaining our BUY rating and decreasing PT to $35 (was $40) after NIO reported in line 1Q:22 revenue, with margins below expectations. With 1Q deliveries (25,768) preannounced, investors primarily focused on 1Q margin, 2Q guidance and 2H outlook. Vehicle margin declined to 18.1% in 1Q, down 310bps y/y and 280bps q/q, 136bps/86bps below Tiger/consensus, mainly due to increased battery cost and revenue mix shift. The company guided 2Q deliveries to 23,000 – 25,000, decreasing from 25,768 in 1Q, primarily due to supply chain disruptions caused by COVID. Despite the supply-side constraints, NIO's order intake reached a record-high in May, suggesting robust demand. 2Q vehicle margin should further decrease from 1Q, as battery cost, which peaked in April, is now linked to raw material price based on the new procurement agreement with the supplier. Although NIO increased prices by RMB 10K for all models in May, 2Q deliveries are still pre-price-adjustment vehicles. However,
as production recovers in 2H and battery raw material price declines, gross margin should start
to recover in 3Q. NIO will start delivering ET5 in September, and ES7 in August. NIO plans to
start delivering the mass-market brands in 2H:24.
Overall, beyond the temporary supply chain constraints, we see robust volume and margin recovery in 2H as NIO starts to deliver two new NT2.0 models (ET5 and ES7) with higher gross margins. Current valuation of 2.0x '23E sales is also attractive compared with TSLA's 7.2x. Maintain BUY.
NIO Adam and Eve double bottom / DragonNYSE:NIO
Nio has been in the new recently so i decided to take a look at the chart.. and heres what we can tell
beaten down Chinese stock that has already started to bottom out...double..bottom..out lol
not only it is a double bottom but its a near perfect representation of an adam and eve double bottom. POTENTIALLY
which would make setting PTs for this fairly straight forward.
ALSO with that double bottom the large structure looks to be that of a Dragon with a very clear spine.
again which would make setting PTs for this even more straight forward
however you'd like to look at this chart one thing seems for sure/ from a purely technical standpoint this asset looks like it has plenty of upside to run.
let me know what you guys think in the comments.
and as always , happy trading
$NIO Analysis, Key Levels, and Targets$NIO Analysis, Key Levels, and Targets
So I don’t have a NIO position at the moment, but I did yesterday… I closed my options out in January and for a 17% move in NIO I took 25% on my options…. Not a bad day, and it was just a 1 day hold… and when NIO dips I’m buying again…
I like NIO, and to me it’s starting to look very bullish. It’s likely to become one of my regular plays again along with RIVN and LCID. I might even play TSLA again at these levels. I do believe that EV companies will do well in the next few years.
Any other EV or FuelCell companies on your radars??
—-
I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed.
GL and happy trading.
IF you need anything analyzed Technically just comment with the Ticker and I’ll do it as soon as possible…
$BABA out with a 35% gain! 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Recap: On 5/19/22 my team purchased shares of Chinese online and mobile commerce company Alibaba $BABA at $88 per share.
Our initial take profit was $118. We sold 1/2 at $117 and the rest several minutes ago at $121 which brings our take profit average to $119 for a 35% gain!
Congrats to those of you who took this trade! We sold out but our overall consensus for $BABA remains bullish! Good luck to longs!
Our Entry: $88
Take Profit Average (HIT): $119
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
#Nio long trade idea based on VP analysisNio was a bullish stock until the China fears took over the market. It still commands a good brand recall in China and should recover its price crash as China unlocks
The chart also suggest a squeeze breakout and volume study gives us probable targets for the immediate short term . welcome comments and dissenting views
Long NIO
may or may not go lower, but IMHO good buying opportunity for long term (for next 5 years)
bottoming formation on weekly chart
NIO Possible Short Setup with Anticipated Poor ER 6/9Still below the 200 EMA on daily Chart. Closed today below yesterdays High. Overbought territory on almost every timeframe below the daily chart. If it rallies from 10.36 and breakout of wedge, could have nice returns as stock recovers with upcoming reopening of China for future Quarters of 2022 going into 2023
TSLA to 600! The Sell off Continues Soon!TSLA like much of the market will again resume selling soon.
We are looking some very minor bullish (buying) activity for the week. Maybe more so hoping for it to help prop (position) our short opportunities.
(875-900)
However we are Bearish on Tsla to 600 Minimum before we start seeing some real buyers stepping back into the market.
We do believe big picture we are in(heading into) a recession. We do not expect 600 to be the final level for TSLA.
However at 600 we can see a bounce back into the 750-850 range before selling off and back down to 300.. yes 300... very. bearish on TSLA.
Lets not get ahead of ourselves.. right now we have 600 in the scope. We are trading right below resistance and within a bearish pennant that would net the move.
NIO Cars Have Four Wheels & A Double Bottom?NIO Cars Have Four Wheels & A Double Bottom?
I am confident that NIO vehicles have four wheels and a double bottom pattern on the daily chart.
Expected move-From the neckline to the peak of the pattern is approximately 10 bars or 10.99 ticks.
What confluences further influenced my position on NIO?
-9 MA approaching the 21 MA for a crossover
-Broke above the weekly timeframe resistance zone
-Bullish Harami pattern spotted on 4H chart.
*Special note- NIO gapped down January 24, 2022. The gap size is approximately 5.08% or 1.32.
The reasons aforementioned is the explanation for my bullish stance on NIO.
*This is not financial advice.
Peace & Prosperity,
MrALtrades00
NIO, after the crash.Long time ago i published a comparison of APPLE in 2000 (and the following years) versus NIO in 2020
Seems like the 80% crash that was supposed to happen as the bubble burst happened, and this MAY be a buy point for a HODL for the following years, expecting if not the same returns as apple during the last 20 years, at least something not TOO far.
Linking the previous analysis below :D
NIO or TSLA chose one? Or both? 12/May/22NIO. A major E.V ( Electric Vehicle ) player in China. Its price structure probably found its “base” @ around 9.38 after filling up the previous “price gap”..
NIO (NIO) | Starting To Get Attractive Around $10Hi,
Criteria:
1. Channel projection (quite subjective)
2. Mid-number $10
3. Fibo Extension
4. Previous minor resistance can play a role inside the zone
5. Potential gap fill
Do your own research and if it matches with mine you are ready to go.
Regards,
Vaido
Nio in the three weeksThis my vision for nio in the three weeks, but i think global target for the 6 month - 8$. Short term forecast - long. Its my vision, not an investment decision
NIO bullish target +100% (45)Wave 2 of 5 about to finalize
Expecting a bullish move till end of summer for NIO
Major correction fits a WXY correction
"Is NIO Emptying The Cup?"NYSE:NIO
www.tradingview.com
Is NIO Emptying The Cup?
Please drink water my fellow traders because we all need to stay hydrated. Summer time will be here before you know it. Therefore, I encourage you to increase your water intake.
On another note, NIO developed an inverted cup and handle pattern on the daily chart. My question to the trading community is quite simple. Is NIO emptying the cup? I have my cup and am ready to catch the water in case it..."pours". If it does I will "hydrate"!
Strong confluences at play include- The 9 MA crossed UNDER the 50 and the 21. Also, NIO is currently trading under its 200 moving day average of 32.06.
My plan-IF it trades below the green "handle" (16.16), then I will enter a put option swing. However, if it breaks ABOVE the handle (red line of handle), then my analysis will no longer be valid.
~Peace & Prosperity,
MrALtrades00
*******This is not financial advice*******This is not financial advice*******This is not financial advice*******This is not financial advice*******
During the last Earnings Conference Call, William Li statedNEO Park is set to put in operation in Q3 2022. NEO Park will reach the 300,000 units of capacity. Buy and hold for 7 years. Great time to buy! Buy all you can.
NIO Buy SetupNYSE:NIO Signal
Entry - $10
Target - $27
Invalidation - $2
Risk to reward ratio - 2.13
Technical confirmations
Gap between $9 and $11 where unfilled orders have to filled.
Price once rejected $10 level and then broke it. We think that $10 level could act as a potential support.
We have a 0.886 Fib retracement level at $9
Fundamental confirmations
Why should price reach Entry level?
Because of the lockdown in Shanghai businesses are getting logistics problems.
COVID-19 lockdown and China political situation with Russia influence foreign investors to sell their stocks.
NYSE:NIO is in the list of Chinese YTD share performance sectors that are vulnerable to COVID lockdowns
Why should price reach Target level?
Debt to equity ratio: <1 (Stable company)
Has a stable cashflow
According to Nasdaq, CNBC long-term price goal - $33
NIO presenting a SELL OPPORTUNITYNYSE:NIO is presenting a SELL OPPORTUNITY on the 15 minute chart .
All Requests Suggestion and Remarks are Welcome .
Fervently brought to you by ManhattanStocks
NIO shorterm and longterm(see my other chart to)Nio had a huge correction last months.
Especially now fuelprices are high. I see
The demand for electric vehicles rise and
combined with this pattern i see us reaching
that high again this year.
Nio's inverted head and shoulders pattern.Nio began settling into an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern on Feb. 17, completing the left shoulder of the formation between that date and March 1, the head between March 2 and April 4 and working to form the right shoulder between April 5 and Wednesday. The right shoulder is not completed yet, however, and will need additional trading days, where Nio trades up higher toward the neckline, in order to further confirm the pattern.
If Nio reaches the neckline of the pattern and then breaks up through the area on higher-than-average volume , it will confirm the pattern was recognized by the algorithms.
The measured move, if the pattern becomes completed and recognized, is about 91%, which indicates Nio could soar up over the $40 level in the future.
For bearish traders, there is a possibility a bear flag pattern is being developed on the daily chart , with the pole created between April 5 and April 11. If the bear flag becomes the dominant pattern, the measured move is about 19%, which indicates Nio could fall back toward $16 level. The possible bear flag will be negated if the stock is able to recapture the eight-day EMA as support.
Nio has resistance above at $21.77 and $23.98 and support below at $20.25 and $16.75.
Is It Time to Look at Electric Vehicle Stocks?Way back in ancient market history; 2020 and 2021, there was a great clamoring for the latest and greatest prospect of human technological achievement... Electric Vehicle companies! Billions of retail dollars were thrown in a frenzy into speculative bets about "the future of travel". Well, we come to today and investors are relatively quiet compared to the old days. Why is that? Why are investors less enthusiastic about this future growth prospect now, at cheaper price, than they were at much higher valuations? That has everything to do with market psychology and in this video I take a moment to talk about that because I want traders and investors to start THINKING DIFFERENTLY when it comes to these opportunities. There are also some EV stock opportunities happening now in Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA , NIO NYSE:NIO , and Ford NYSE:F that I want my followers to be aware of.
