NIO Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold the NIO`s speculative bubble:
bubble
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NIO prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 4usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-9-6,
for a premium of approximately $0.24.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NIO
NIO: Rocket-like!The NIO share price shot up resolutely last week and recorded a peak gain of more than 38%. This development is in line with our primary expectation and is attributable to the blue wave (iii). We now expect this bullish momentum to continue so that the resistance at $7.02 can be broken. Following the high, we expect a small interim correction before a further increase completes the magenta wave (i). However, we must continue to keep an eye on our 40% probable alternative scenario, which is waiting to be deployed at the $3.61 support level. This scenario calls for a lower low of the beige-colored wave alt. II.
NIO Stock Price Surges by 14%NIO Stock Price Surges by 14%
On 23 August, while analysing the chart of Chinese automaker NIO, we noted that:
→ For months, the price has been forming a downward channel (shown in red), driven by the company’s inability to turn a profit, with the $4.25 level acting as resistance.
→ Investors may hold out for positive shifts in the fundamentals, as for the first time in the company's history, monthly vehicle deliveries have remained above 20,000.
Indeed, the company’s second-quarter report released yesterday brought pleasant surprises, including reduced losses, a 98.9% year-on-year revenue increase, and improved gross profit margins.
Experts are revising their forecasts, with Deutsche Bank analysts raising their target price for NIO shares, anticipating that the company will sell over 60,000 vehicles in the third quarter.
The market reacted with a sharp price increase – NIO stock surged by 14%.
From a technical analysis perspective of the NIO stock chart:
→ The $3.70 level prevented the price from falling to new year-to-date lows;
→ The upper line of the downward channel was broken – now the bulls need to consolidate above this channel to render it irrelevant;
→ On the back of the positive report, the price broke through the $4.25 resistance level, which is now expected to act as support.
It’s possible that NIO’s stock price could follow a bullish trajectory, making the upward channel (shown in blue) increasingly relevant.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NIO Surge 12% On Q2 2024 Financial ResultsKey Highlights
- Nio cuts losses while setting a new record for vehicle deliveries in Q2.
- Deliveries jumped 143.9% year-over-year, and vehicle sales surged 118.2%.
- Nio’s Q3 guidance beats forecasts, showcasing resilience in a competitive EV market.
Overview
Nio, one of China’s leading electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers, continues to demonstrate remarkable resilience in the face of market challenges. The company set a new record for vehicle deliveries in Q2, with 57,373 units delivered—a 143.9% year-over-year increase. Vehicle sales grew by 118.2% to 15.68 billion yuan, showcasing the company’s ability to scale production and meet growing consumer demand.
Despite ongoing industry-wide pressures, Nio ( NYSE:NIO ) managed to reduce its Q2 losses to 5.05 billion yuan ($694.4 million), a 16.7% improvement from the previous year. The company’s gross margin expanded significantly from 1.0% a year ago to 9.7%, driven by vehicle margin improvements, which nearly doubled to 12.2%. This indicates a stronger control over production costs and a focus on high-margin segments, especially in premium electric vehicles priced above 300,000 yuan ($42,327), where Nio commands over 40% market share.
Forward Outlook and Strategic Positioning
Founder and CEO William Bin Li emphasized Nio’s strong market positioning, highlighting their expectation for Q3 deliveries to reach another all-time high of between 61,000 to 63,000 units. This bullish outlook shows Nio’s continuous expansion efforts, including the launch of new models and enhancements in battery technology. The company’s projected Q3 revenue range of 19.11 billion yuan to 19.67 billion yuan further underlines its growth trajectory, surpassing analysts’ expectations.
With a robust cash position of 41.6 billion yuan ($5.7 billion) as of June 30, 2024, Nio is well-equipped to invest in research, development, and further scaling its production capabilities. This financial stability provides a buffer against potential market volatility, including ongoing tariff and regulatory pressures from global markets.
Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, Nio's stock (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) has shown encouraging signs of recovery after a prolonged decline. The stock recently traded up 3.30% at $4.38 premarket, rebounding slightly from its 50% year-to-date drop. The recent surge in Nio’s ADRs suggests growing investor confidence, driven by the company’s strong Q2 performance and optimistic Q3 outlook.
The stock price is testing its 50-day moving average, a critical resistance level that, if breached, could signal a bullish reversal. With momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showing a climb from oversold territory, Nio’s shares could be positioned for further upside if delivery and revenue growth trends continue.
Moreover, the volume of call options has increased, suggesting that traders are positioning for upward movement in the stock, particularly as Nio continues to solidify its market share in the premium EV segment. If the stock manages to break above the psychological $5.00 mark, it could trigger additional buying interest, supported by improved sentiment around China’s stimulus measures and consumer demand recovery.
Conclusion
Nio’s impressive Q2 performance, coupled with a strong forward outlook, positions the company as a formidable player in the global EV market. While broader industry challenges persist, Nio’s ability to cut losses, achieve record deliveries, and expand margins reflects sound management and strategic foresight. As Nio continues to navigate market complexities and execute its growth strategy, investors may find renewed optimism in the company’s long-term potential, bolstered by both fundamental strength and technical recovery signals.
Nio’s journey may still face bumps along the road, but its recent achievements suggest that the company is on track to emerge stronger, setting a solid foundation for future success in the rapidly evolving EV landscape.
Tesla Long - Elon for President?Hello everybody.
Storyline: Elon for President? You can bet that Tesla will pump if Trump wins the elections. Besides of that, rising china sales, unveiling the robotaxi etc. pp. There are many things imo which speaks for Tesla while the masses brag about his political views.
Market: Decreasing rates, good looking economic data for the US at least.
Chart: Keep it simple! Did we create lower low on the weekly? No? Why shouldn't we attack the top 25% of the weekly swing then to confirm that we "really" do wanna go further down. I don't know and it's not in my interest to know if Tesla might even break that prior weekly high, but I do know that we logic wise should attack the top of the swing to either confirm the bearish idea or create even a higher high. Additionally, just as an idea, think of laddering. Look at the higher timeframes how we bounced off major weekly / daily levels and slowly steady climb up.
Best of luck!
NIO Stock Price Tests the 4.2 LevelNIO Stock Price Tests the 4.2 Level
For many months, the share price of the Chinese automaker NIO has been moving within a downward channel (shown in red), driven by the company’s ongoing struggle to achieve profitability.
From a technical analysis perspective, this week has provided a discouraging signal for investors – the 4.2 level, which acted as support in June and July before being broken in early August, has now been tested:
→ On the 19th, the price rose on a narrow candle (a sign of buyer uncertainty);
→ On the 20th, the price fell on a wide candle (a sign of seller confidence);
→ This suggests that the 4.2 level has likely switched from support to resistance.
This opens the door for the price to move towards the year’s low, around the 3.650 level.
From a fundamental perspective, NIO investors have reasons for optimism:
→ For the first time in the company’s history, monthly vehicle deliveries have remained above 20,000 units;
→ NIO, which positions itself as a premium brand, plans to launch a budget sub-brand called ONVO, which will offer more affordable vehicles – according to Seeking Alpha, the first L60 model cars could be sold as early as September, with 60,000 pre-orders already placed (indicating strong demand).
→ The company is optimistic about 2025.
NIO’s Q2 earnings report, due on 24 September, could be a turning point for the stock, which currently shows signs of weakness.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nio: Close Call!We continue to see NIO in the blue wave (iii), which should lead to an increase above the resistance at $7.02. Subsequently, we expect a small correction before a further rise completes the magenta wave (1). Should the share fail to hold the $3.61 mark, which we consider to be 48% likely, we will see it in the beige-colored wave alt. II.
TESLA 300 BY DECEMBER ? NASDAQ:TSLA TESLA 300 BY DECEMBER
Tesla had a challenging first half of 2024, with its stock facing headwinds. However, there are signs that the electric vehicle (EV) maker could be on the path to recovery. Here’s what Wall Street analysts and experts are saying:
Q2 Deliveries: Tesla reported second-quarter deliveries of 443,956 vehicles, surpassing analysts’ estimates of 436,000. While this is a decline from previous quarters, it’s better than expected. Investors view this as a positive sign for the company’s future prospects.
Energy Storage Boost: Tesla increased its energy storage capacity to an all-time high during Q2. This development is particularly significant because it suggests that Tesla could benefit from increased energy demand driven by the AI boom. As artificial intelligence accelerates, energy demand and electricity generation are expected to rise, potentially benefiting Tesla Energy.
AI Developments: Investors are closely watching Tesla’s advancements in artificial intelligence. The company’s Robotaxi and other AI initiatives could be the next growth drivers. Morgan Stanley strategists have even speculated about Tesla getting its mojo back, with clients asking about positive catalysts for the future.
Wyckoff Bullish Patterns - Accumulation (strong buyers action)VolumeDayTrader offers script of such indicators on TradingView. For more details check our profile or DM us.
Weis Wave is an advanced trading indicator used to identify bullish and bearish patterns in the market. It is based on Richard D. Wyckoff's methodologies and is typically used to analyze volume and price action. Here's how to recognize and understand bullish patterns using Weis Wave:
Key Concepts of Weis Wave
Wave Volume: This is the cumulative volume of each price wave. It helps to identify the strength of buying or selling pressure.
Price Waves: These are the movements in price, which can be upward or downward.
Recognizing Bullish Patterns
Rising Volume on Upwaves: When the volume increases on upward price waves, it suggests strong buying interest. This is a bullish signal as it indicates accumulation.
Decreasing Volume on Downwaves: When the volume decreases on downward price waves, it indicates weak selling pressure. This is also a bullish sign as it shows that sellers are not aggressive.
Higher Highs and Higher Lows: In a bullish pattern, each successive upwave will typically make a higher high, and each downwave will make a higher low. This reflects a strong uptrend.
Support and Resistance Levels: Pay attention to how the price reacts around key support and resistance levels. A bullish pattern often sees the price breaking through resistance levels with strong volume.
Example of Bullish Patterns
Accumulation Phase: This phase is characterized by a series of higher lows and higher highs, with increasing volume on upwaves. It suggests that smart money is accumulating shares.
Breakout with Volume: A significant bullish signal is when the price breaks above a resistance level with a large increase in volume. This confirms that buyers are in control.
Pullback with Low Volume: After a breakout, a minor pullback or consolidation with low volume is often seen. This is typically a continuation pattern indicating that the uptrend is likely to resume.
Using Weis Wave for Confirmation
Combine with Other Indicators: Use the Weis Wave in conjunction with other technical indicators like Moving Averages, RSI, or MACD to confirm bullish patterns.
Volume Clusters: Look for clusters of high volume on upwaves at key price levels to confirm bullish strength.
By analyzing these aspects, you can effectively use the Weis Wave to identify and trade bullish patterns in the market. Would you like more detailed examples or further explanation on any specific aspect of the Weis Wave?
NIO stock - when to buy (NEW)NIO stock remains in a strong downtrend.
Generally we expect major indices such as NASDAQ and SPX to continue the downtrend as they already saw rejections from the major resistance line.
NIO looks kinda similar as it couldn't break the resistance. We expect the next leg down from where we are. The target for shorts and the buy area to play the bounce would be around $4,50 - 5 $.
If we see these prices, NIO stock would be down 93% from its ATH.
From there we expect to see some nice rally.
Reaching the buy area most likely will happen in Q1 2023. We will scoop up some for sure!
NIO ? Are traders ready to love it again LONGNIO on the daily is 95% below its ATH Winter of 2021 and 50% lower YTD. In China NIO is
competing well with XPEV, LI , BYD and TSLA while it makes further penetrative into the
EU market. Its unique concept in action is battery leasing and battery swapping making
charging time no longer relevant. Apparently, the battery swapping time from a depleted
battery to one carrying a charge is 15-20 minutes. Being a bottom-seeking bargain hunter quite
often, I will take a long trade here with a planned duration of two earnings periods.
NIO (NIO): High Risk, High Reward - do-or-die!NIO, a stock we've previously analyzed and profited from, remains highly volatile and is currently trending downwards. From its all-time high of approximately $67, it has plummeted to $5.21. This drastic decline occurred over just a bit more than three years, which is relatively short in the stock market.
Several factors contribute to this volatility. Firstly, the automotive sector is inherently volatile. Additionally, the electric vehicle (EV) segment has faced political challenges over the past few years. NIO, being a Chinese company, has also been affected by EU subsidies for electric vehicles, adding to the stock's difficulties.
Despite these challenges, we consider NIO a compelling investment from both a fundamental and technical perspective. Currently, NIO is holding the High-Volume-Node Point-of-Control on the New York Stock Exchange, suggesting that a bottom may be forming. This level is critical to watch as it could indicate potential stabilization and a reversal point for the stock.
Short-Term Analysis
Examining the 4-hour chart for NIO, we observe a low-volume node between $6.32 and $7. Whenever the price entered this zone, it quickly moved through it, indicating the nearest possible resistance levels. Thus, the levels of $6.32 and $7.04 are particularly interesting.
Around $4.12, the Point-of-Control on the 3-day chart holds, but we could see a further decline towards the $3 mark. We are considering multiple entry points, employing a dollar-cost averaging strategy down towards the all-time low of $1.19.
Strategy
For NIO, this seems like a do-or-die situation. The potential upside is significant, with gains of nearly 400% if the price moves from $3 to Wave 4. We plan to place multiple entries and dollar-cost average downwards.
However, if the price falls below $1.20, it would become unsustainable for NIO. While the potential upside is vast, it's important to recognize the risk of the stock continuing to decline towards zero.
Given the current volatility, we find an entry before $3 too risky and volatile, so we are holding off on investment until the price stabilizes at more attractive levels.
NIO 8 AFTER EARNINGS !! NYSE:NIO
Record Delivery Expectations: NIO shares soared over 9%, hitting $5.40 on record delivery expectations. Analysts foresee surpassing last year's high due to discounts. This indicates a positive market response to NIO's potential performance, which could lead to a higher stock price.
Market Sentiment: The market's response to NIO's earnings reports has generally been positive, with the stock price rising after strong earnings reports. This suggests that if NIO continues to report strong earnings, the market could respond positively, potentially pushing the stock price towards $8.
Strong Quarterly Earnings: NIO has shown strong financial performance in the recent past, with its stock price rising after reporting strong earnings. This indicates a positive market response to its financial performance, which could lead to a higher stock price in the future.
Increased Price Targets by Analysts: Analysts have increased their price targets for NIO, with some predicting a potential rise to $8. These optimistic forecasts suggest that the market and analysts have confidence in the company's future growth and performance.
Positive Industry Outlook: The electric vehicle industry is expected to continue growing, driven by the increasing need for sustainable transportation solutions. As a leading player in this space, NIO is well-positioned to benefit from this industry growth, which could lead to a higher stock price.
Innovative Product Line: NIO is poised to add two sedans to its offerings this year. This expansion of its product line could drive sales and revenue growth, potentially leading to a higher stock price.
NIO Shares Surged Over 9% on Sales Growth ExpectationsNIO Shares Surged Over 9% on Sales Growth Expectations
As evidenced by the NIO stock price chart, yesterday's trading closed at $4.93, while today the NIO share price is around $5.40, indicating an increase of over 9%.
According to MarketWatch, the rise is driven by expectations that the Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer's deliveries are likely to reach record levels.
The existing record was set in July last year when the company achieved monthly sales of 20,462 cars. However, analysts believe this result could be surpassed in May this year due to ongoing discounts on new cars and batteries.
The daily chart of NIO shares today shows that the price is in a long-term downtrend (indicated by the red trend channel) due to the global decline in demand for electric vehicles.
However, there are fundamental reasons to expect that the downward trend will be broken:
→ China is intensifying its efforts to develop electric vehicles – the State Council has presented an action plan for decarbonisation.
→ This month, the International Monetary Fund raised its forecast for China's economic growth in 2024 from 4.6% to 5%.
Technical analysis of the NIO stock chart shows that:
→ The price is in a downtrend and below the median line, which can be expected to provide resistance.
→ Resistance may also be encountered at the $7 per share level, which acted as support at the end of 2023.
→ The $4.77 level has changed its role several times but has provided support over the past 10 days, giving the bulls a foothold.
→ The minimum C is at the 50% level of the A→B impulse, which is a sign of a bull market.
On June 6, NIO will present its report for the first quarter of 2024. If the report is strong, it could give the bulls more confidence and lead to attempts to reverse the long-term downtrend.
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NIO, doing LAST CALL for buyers at the current DISCOUNT PRICE!NIO is registering significant accumulation at the current price level. Net buy volume has increased significantly this past few days -- hinting of an incoming upside reversal.
Higher lows creation on weekly data histogram has been created -- suggesting the current price point to be the last baseline before the coming series of ascend.
The stock is currently hovering below the 78.6 FIB LEVEL -- a major order block where buyers converge. This is a discount area.
Another key note: WEEKLY DOWNTREND LINE BREAK has materialized. HUGE HINT.
Spotted at 7.00
TAYOR
Safeguard capital always.
FUNDAMENTAL NEWS:
______________________________________
NIO revenue for the twelve months ending December 31, 2022 was $7.143B, a 25.97% increase year-over-year. NIO annual revenue for 2022 was $7.143B, a 25.97% increase from 2021. NIO annual revenue for 2021 was $5.671B, a 127.59% increase from 2020. NIO annual revenue for 2020 was $2.492B, a 121.68% increase from 2019.
$NIO - $3 Price Target (Weekly Chart)Bearish Channel is intact on the Weekly Chart. Heading lower in the longer time frame with a Support Zone from 3.56 to 2.37. The mean reversion of this zone puts the price target object to around $3. Bear flags have been setup for continued downside. Short on flag resistance for continue leg down. Short at break of flags.
NIO SHORT to $5.70, then $4.0 NIO - Chinese automaker
Fundamental
According to carnewschina.com in Q1 2023 year NIO sold 31,041 EVs - 2.46% only.
"Nio is currently having difficult times in China. Because of the price war, its sales declined, resulting in a noticeable revenue decrease. So, Nio was forced to also join the price war by cutting the cost of every model by 30,000 yuan (4,200 USD). They are obviously in need of keeping the customers’ demand high. The newly launched ET5 Touring can help them for a short period. But station wagons don’t sell hot in China. So, Nio has to push its international deliveries to start as soon as possible."
read NIO to hit the Europe soon. - I can't believe it. European market is not empty. Volkswagen, BMW, Tesla, Toyota, Honda, Hyundai and many others sell a lot right now. Top EU Electric Cars
I watched a lot of presentations, reviews. Nio EV's are really good. But the prices..
Y/Y
Gross Margin % 7.73
Operating Margin % -37.06
Net Margin % -35.01
Income -2463.40M
Sales 7.03B
Cash is melting, debt is growing.
Technical
NIO's chart goes down in the channel.
Just now price is
- near the top level of downtrend channel - Resistance $10.5
- RSI 23 is 63% (bounced from 70%). Always when RSI is on this level the price falls 30% min.
- next strong support level is $5.70
Conclusion
NIO chart is going down in the channel.
Buy for $5.70, then $4.0 and keep for 2-3 years.
$NIO - BEAR FLAG has broken - 1st PT is $3Have you shorted yet? Did you sell before the flag breakdown? As I have been discussed in my previous chart, there are bearish flags setting up. 1st target is around $3. Remember length of the flag pole = Measured downside. Continue to sell on strength with more downside profit