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NIO

DIPS YOU HAVE TO WATCH - DKNG/PYPL/UPST/BIDU/NIO/ROKU/FIGSAll, BE PATIENT. Let the market do it's thing and get conformation. There is ALOT of money to be made here if you are patient with call options. I see ROKU/PYPL as immediate buys once market turns around. UPST as well but not tons of support. FIGS id watch every 30m this one is positive ER really undervalued here on serious support basically a wedge. I like FIGS if it holds or breaks below id watch that even more. FIGS whenever it fully stops I will probably take.
NYSE:FIGSLong
by DigitalData
2
Tesla, NIO, More EV Charging Ecosystems To Fully Enmesh in ChinaBy October 2021, members of the China EV Charging Infrastructure Promotion Alliance have built 1.06 million public charging piles. Tesla landed its 1,000th charging station in China's mainland on November 1 in Shenzhen. In the meantime, NIO erected its 600th swap station. The two EV innovators have chosen different ways of providing charging services. Tesla rejected swap stations for high costs before NIO vindicated them. The latter's idea is to make it a part of the multi-layer charger system, which the NEV industry is hammering hard to build, based on different speeds. Moreover, this market has been designing faster solutions. The great leap of NEV facilities has caused low asset utilization that will likely stimulate charging networks to be open to each other. A structural revolution China's EV charging facilities are experiencing a structural revolution. In the early stage of mobility shifting to NEV, companies must roll out home charge suites to persuade consumers to buy EVs. But the speed can’t satisfy consumers that use cars frequently. Thus, many companies build their multi-layer charging networks, including fast direct current (DC) charges. The most typical companies that have two layers of charging networks include XPeng, Li Auto and BYD. They give consumers free seven kilowatts for home charging piles and supercharging stations that support 120 to 180 kW charging. But investing in DC infrastructure is costly, which stops some companies being able to afford hyper-charging stations. Instead, they leverage this service through third-party charging specialists such as TELD or Starcharge. Nowadays, buying cars from nascent brands like VOYAH, GAC Aion, or Weltmeister means one is free to use their networks. More subtly, Tesla gives clients an additional solution destination charging stations that offer low-speed charging (22 kW) in places like hotels. Among complicated charging network designers, NIO is an epitome. Apart from three ways of charging, it offers 20 kW home charging piles for selections and swap battery services. The inception of swapping batteries starts with the separation of vehicle and battery whereby consumers don't need to pay battery cost in front. The station can store a dozen batteries and finish the swapping process in five minutes. Except for NIO, a few brands are also building swap stations. BAIC's fourth-generation swap station can reserve 60 batteries and swap faster than NIO's. Geely's future electric truck will support battery swap as well. Not only OEMs, but the government also supports and unifies the development of the swap station industry. As part of the big scheme of shifting to EV, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of the People's Republic of China has pushed several cities to test swap stations for future deployment. A long way to go Although the swap stations have accelerated the process of replenishing energy, they also face many problems. A critical one is that the sector lacks non-standard batteries that enable cars to switch the battery in stations of other brands. Swapping stations place huge capital pressure on OEMs. For instance, building a swap station costs USD 300,000 compared with USD 100,000 for a hyper-charge station. According to Orient Securities' estimation, in China, the sector needs to invest over USD 2 billion in 2022 to build enough swap stations. The figure is projected to reach USD 11 billion by 2025. Besides, OEMs are developing ultra-fast charging solutions. Tesla is said to be preparing to upgrade the current supercharging network to 300 kW. Xpeng has disclosed (link in Chinese) an 800-volt platform. The fast-evolving industry is facing some problems. Low asset utilization is a critical one. China's EV industry started ten years before, and supported facilities emerged at the same time. According to the investigation published on d1ev.com (link in Chinese), a specialized auto portal focusing on the Chinese market, some charging facilities located in the suburb are badly maintained, charge high parking fees, which made them vacant most time. Although NEVs got popular in recent years, this problem still exists. The openness of various chargers can be improved. According to CAAM (link in Chinese), the utilization rate of charging piles is 3% to 5% and 10% is the threshold for the industry to profit. Unharmonized infrastructure is intensifying the issue. Charging stations of various brands do support other brand cars to plug in. But this isn't always the case. For example, Tesla V3 charging isn't accessible for NIO, XPeng cars, which these two are compatible with each other. As these NEV companies build more charging stations, vacant piles appear and NEV players must collaborate to increase utilization. Therefore, it's very likely for them to open charging facilities to each other fully. For the full article with the charts, please visit the original link.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by EqualOcean
Keysight Selected by NIO to Verify Connectivity in EV'sKeys has had a great run throughout the last 12 months but has been pulling back down to its previous support / resistance area where it will be interesting to see if it bounces or continues down. I did spot that in todays news, NIO has announced that they will be using KEYS to help test various connectivity functions within their Electric Vehicles. NIO is a pretty pumped stock so I wonder if there will be any flow on affect across to KEYS when the news spreads wider. One to watch. 12 month view
NYSE:KEYSLong
by zAngus
NIO Setting Up + Upcoming Catalyst NIO DAYNIO, the electric vehicle company is setting up again after being on a serious downtrend since its surge in January. This surge was the result of lots of "hype" around the name, the rise of Tesla, and its upcoming NIO day which happened on January 9th, 2021. We saw a massive run up the month before, around 60%. This year, NIO day is happening on Dec 18th, 2021. This should cause an influx of volume and talk about the name. Keep an eye on this one. In order to confirm the Elliot waves, we still need to create the (E) section of the triangle. Once this is confirmed, I believe we can start rising. However, with NIO day approaching soon, there is the possibility of NIO ripping before the set up completes. I will be watching for any signs of a pullback and be entering calls and shares around the 38-40$ mark. Definitely keep this one on watch because we know from previous bullish runs, that this thing can RUN. The upside potential is very high here.
NYSE:NIOLong
by GringoRiley
Waiting for the Triangle pattern to be finished | NIOToday we will take a look at the current formation on NIO From a technical perspective, we are observing a triangle pattern. But what is a triangle pattern? Ralph Nelson Elliott one of the fathers of modern technical analysis, and the creator of the Elliott Wave theory, Identified that the price moves on impulse and corrective sequences. One is followed by the other one. Based on that he defined 4 types of corrective patterns -Flat -Zig-Zag -Irregular -Triangle He also created a system that helps us know when a pattern is finished or we should keep waiting. The example we will use is a triangle pattern. Triangle patterns have 5 waves ABCDE, once we are able to count those waves and we can define clear edges both on the top and bottom of the pattern, we can think about breakouts and the beginning of a new impulse. In the current situation of NIO, we can count ABCD, and we should wait for E to be sure that the pattern is finished. Once we have that, we can define activation levels as you can see on the chart, and we can define invalidation levels below the structure. The targets of these structures can be defined using fibo extensions or cloned channels. The main purpose of this is to find situations that we are sure are finished and avoid engaging on charts that we don't have certainty about that. So my conclusion on NIO is that the pattern is not finished yet, and I would like to see that E wave before thinking about the idea of a new bullish trend happening. Thanks for reading!
NYSE:NIO
by ThinkingAntsOk
7
NIO Elliot wave detail analysis Nio is currently showing a pendant flag with a break out possibility. The correction impulse had ended on October before the Q3 2021 report and are currently building momentum for a 5 step impulse wave. Drawing a visible range from the drawback from ATH , the price is currently extremely close to the strongest support for the year. The ema 20,50,200 further confirm the price is currently at a very right range, showing a promising buying point , they are ready to pull away from each other. The potential upside gain is more than 50%
NYSE:NIOLong
by treemaam
2
NIO: Most important KEY POINTS to pay attention!Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how NIO is doing today! After our last analysis, NIO went up, as expected, and now we see some weakness sign in the 1h chart. The bullish momentum was broken at the moment it did a lower low yesterday, as evidenced by the red arrow. However, we don’t see a clear lower high yet. Maybe the 21 ema will work as a ceiling for NIO, and it’ll drop from here, doing a new low, and confirming once for all a bear trend. NIO could easily drop more, but the daily chart is looking interesting: NIO just hit the 21 ema in the daily chart, and it seems the price stabilized over there. The recent drop seems to be just a pullback to the ema for now, but NIO must react quickly in this area if it wants to resume the bullish bias. A reversal would occur if NIO defeats today’s high in the next few days, eventually, defeating the 21 ema in the 1h chart too. On the other hand, it must not lose today’s low, or drop too much below the 21 ema in the daily chart, otherwise, it might turn bearish for a while. Now NIO is in a decisive moment, and regardless if it’ll drop or resume the trend, we’ll have our answer soon. Let’s just stick with these key points for now. If you liked this analysis, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates on stocks and indices! Have a good day.
NYSE:NIO
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
7
NIO's Q3 Earnings Call: Here's Everything You Need to KnowThe company is considering IPO in Hong Kong. NIO reported its third-quarter earnings on Wednesday morning Beijing Time and held an analyst conference call afterward to address the most important concerns of investors. Here's a summary from CnEVPost, and there's also a live text of our transcript of the call at the end of the article. Vehicle Deliveries Current NIO deliveries are primarily affected by supply chain volatility and are expected to reach 23,500 to 25,500 units in the fourth quarter, said William Li, founder, chairman, and CEO of NIO. NIO's new orders continue to grow, with a record high of new orders in October, he said. Chip supply is now better than the worst of the third quarter, but still faces challenges. The good thing is that NIO has adapted to the situation and always finds some solutions when possible, Li said. Compared to the automotive industry as a whole, NIO has a relatively small share of sales, so it faces fewer difficulties compared to established car companies, he said. Many of NIO's domain controllers are developed by itself, so it has some advantages in finding alternative chips. Power battery giant CATL is trying to ensure the supply of batteries to NIO, but this is still the ceiling of NIO's delivery volume. The JAC NIO plant will have a few more upgrades to follow, but they won't have as big an impact as they did in October. New NIO models will be built in the new plant, and there will be a capacity creep, but it won't have an impact on the production of existing models, Li said. ET7 and New Models NIO plans to have the ET7 available in showrooms around the Chinese New Year, which comes on February 1, according to Li. The release of the ET7's assisted driving capabilities will be a long-term process, and NIO will consider a number of factors, including regulations, safety and reliability, and will not deliberately make demonstrations of autonomous driving. NIO's 150 kWh battery is moving forward on schedule, with availability scheduled for the fourth quarter of next year, and is still on track. Development of NIO's NAD hardware and software systems is well underway, and in addition to the ET7, development of two other new models based on the NT2.0 platform is on schedule, with deliveries to customers expected to begin in the second half of next year, Li said. With the growth in scale, NIO's long-term target for the margin of vehicles based on NT2 models is 25 percent. NIO will reach that goal if it reaches 300,000 units of annual production capacity. NIO's current models will be upgraded to the NT2 platform, but it will manage the pace carefully. The development work for the upgrade is already underway. Many of NIO's new models are being developed in parallel, and the costs will be reflected in the financial statements over time. NIO will offer some hardware upgrades to existing models next year when they become available. The company has considered the possibility of upgrades in the design of its products. New Plant and Capacity Growth In addition to the upgrade of the JAC NIO plant, the construction of NIO's second plant in NeoPark is proceeding on schedule. Construction of the plant started on April 29 and the main structure was topped out on August 26. Equipment installation will start at the end of November and the plant will be officially put into operation in the third quarter of next year. With the completion of NIO's second plant, the two plants can reach a maximum annual capacity of 600,000 units with double shifts, which can meet the needs in the short term. About Norway and European Expansion NIO's work in Norway has met expectations, with a quarter of the test drive customers placing orders, much more efficiently than in China. NIO ES8 orders in Norway exceeded expectations, with 92 percent of consumers choosing the battery rental service BaaS, Li said. NIO hopes to establish an after-sales service system in Norway before aggressively pushing sales. The company's low deliveries in Norway in September and October were not due to a lack of orders, but rather a controlled pace, and NIO's deliveries in Norway will increase significantly in November. NIO will enter at least five additional European countries next year, all offering NT2-based products. The ES8, based on the first-generation platform, will only be available in Norway. Regulatory Credits and Subsidy Withdrawal Most of NIO's sales of regulatory credits materialized in the third quarter, earlier than last year. Li said NEV penetration has risen quickly this year, as has the price of regulatory credits, and expects that next year the price of regulatory credits may be lower than it is now. In response to a question about China's subsidy rollback for NEVs, Li said the average selling price of NIO vehicles is high and the expected subsidy rollback won't have much of an impact on it. The following is the text of CnEVPost's live report of the conference call: NIO's new orders continue to grow, with a record high of new orders in October, said William Li, founder, chairman, and CEO of NIO. Current NIO deliveries are mainly affected by supply fluctuations, and total deliveries are expected to reach 23,500 to 25,500 units in the fourth quarter of 2021. Development of NIO's NAD hardware and software systems is well underway, and in addition to the ET7, development of two other new models based on the NT2.0 platform is on schedule for delivery to customers starting in the second half of next year, Li said. In addition to the upgrade of the JAC NIO plant, NIO's second plant in NeoPark will start installing equipment at the end of November and will be officially put into operation in the third quarter of next year, said Li. NIO ES8 orders in Norway exceeded expectations, with 92 percent of consumers opting for the company's battery rental service BaaS, Li said. The JAC NIO plant will have small amount of renovations to follow, but they won't have as big an impact as they did in October. New NIO models will be built in the new plant and there will be a capacity creep, but it won't have an impact on the production of existing models, Li said. Most of the sales of regulatory credits occurred in the third quarter, earlier than last year. With the growth in scale, NIO's long-term target for vehicle margin based on the NT2 platform is 25 percent. NIO plans to have the ET7 available in showrooms around Chinese New Year, which arrives on February 1, Li said. The current chip supply is better than the worst third quarter, but still faces challenges. The good thing is that NIO has adapted to the situation and always finds some solutions as much as possible. Compared to the whole automotive industry, NIO's sales account for a relatively small percentage, so the difficulties it faces are also relatively smaller than those of established car companies. Many domain controllers are developed by NIO itself, so it has some advantages in finding alternative chips. CATL is trying its best to ensure the supply of batteries to NIO, but it is still the ceiling of NIO's delivery volume. The average selling price of NIO vehicles is high, and the expected subsidy withdrawal will not have much impact on it. The release of ET7's assisted driving capability will be a long-term process, and NIO will consider a number of factors including regulations, safety, and reliability, and will not deliberately go for autonomous driving demonstrations. NIO's 150 kWh battery is advancing on schedule, with plans to deliver in the fourth quarter of next year, and is still on track. If NIO reaches an annual capacity of 300,000 vehicles, it will be able to achieve a 25% vehicle gross margin. NIO's current models will be upgraded to the NT2 platform, but NIO will manage the pace carefully. R&D work for the upgrade is already underway. NEV penetration has risen rapidly this year, as has the price of regulatory credits, and next year the price of regulatory credits may be lower than it is now. NIO's work in Norway has met expectations, with a quarter of the test drive users placing orders, much more efficiently than in China. NIO hopes to establish an after-sales service system in Norway before aggressively pushing sales. The company did not deliver much in Norway in September and October, not because there were not enough orders, but because it was controlling the pace. NIO's deliveries in Norway will increase significantly in November. NIO will enter at least five additional European countries next year, all offering NT2-based products. The ES8, based on the first-generation platform, will only be offered in Norway. Many of NIO's new models are being developed in parallel, and the costs will be reflected in the financial statements over time. With the completion of NIO's second plant, the two plants can reach a maximum annual capacity of 600,000 units with double shifts. NIO will offer some hardware upgrades to existing models next year when the time comes. The company has considered the possibility of upgrades in the design of its products. This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.
NYSE:NIO
by EqualOcean
NIO Q3 Earnings: What to ExpectWill the chip shortage affect Nio's Q3 results? NIO will report unaudited third-quarter earnings on November 9 after the US market closes. So what can investors expect? NIO has already released data showing that it delivered 24,439 vehicles in the third quarter, up 100 percent year-on-year and 11.6 percent from the second quarter. Of those, 5,418 ES8s, 11,271 ES6s, and 7,750 EC6s were delivered. In a research note sent to investors on November 3, Deutsche Bank analyst Edison Yu's team said the delivery figures were largely in line with their latest forecast. The team expects NIO's revenue to be CNY 9.33 billion in the third quarter, representing a 106.1 percent year-on-year increase and a 10.4 percent increase from the second quarter. Yu's team expects NIO to report a gross margin of 17.0 percent in the third quarter and a vehicle margin of 18.6 percent. As a comparison, the company had a gross margin of 18.6 percent and a vehicle margin of 20.3 percent in the second quarter. The team attributed their lower gross margin forecast to higher depreciation amortization. Based on these figures, the team expects NIO to report a loss of CNY 0.82 per ADS in the third quarter. This compares with a figure of CNY 0.21 in the second quarter. For the fourth-quarter outlook, Yu's team expects NIO's management to likely give guidance of 24,000-25,000 deliveries, considering that October's downtime resulted in only 3,667 deliveries for the month. NIO's management has hinted that their order book has exceeded 10,000 units for several months in a row, so Yu's team expects NIO's deliveries in November and December to improve back to more than 10,000 units, and expects the company's guidance for fourth-quarter revenue may be in the CNY 9.5 billion-10 billion range. NIO has previously said it aims to deliver three models next year, including its flagship sedan ET7, Yu's team noted, adding that they don't think NIO's management will do a complete refresh of its current models next year, as it believes they can remain competitive with the most competing German luxury models with minor updates. Yu's team raised NIO's delivery forecast for next year from 150k to 160k and for 2023 from 245k to 285k. Based on the latest delivery forecast, the team raised its price target on NIO by USD10 to USD70, still based on 8x 2023E EV/sales. In a separate report sent to investors on November 4, Yu's team noted that NIO's stock has significantly underperformed its local peers over the past three months, but that could change soon. The team believes that there are 2-3 potential catalysts that could help change the narrative on the stock next. Here's what they say: 1) 3Q21 earnings on 11/9: management will provide 4Q guidance that shows large step-up in volume recovery for Nov/Dec and while official consensus is likely too high, we believe buy-side expectations have already been reset. 2) November monthly deliveries: likely reported on 12/1 and should confirm robust demand for existing models despite greater competition. 3) NIO Day: will be held on 12/18 and we expect new models/technology to be unveiled that should boost both investor and consumer sentiment. Notably, the team also cautioned that risks including further constraints from the supply chain, a sudden shift in EV investor sentiment and poor initial acceptance of new products could also invalidate these judgments. NIO shares are up about 10 percent so far this month and up about 20 percent in the past month. This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.
NYSE:NIO
by EqualOcean
A review on top mentioned WSB plays..!In this analysis, I will try to cover 12 Top mentioned tickers on WSB Reddit for the coming week! Rank 1: TSLA: Elon Musk is going to sell, why shouldn't others do the same? Rank 2: SPY: correction is highly likely..! 2-5% Rank 3: CLF: After 17% correction in the past 2 weeks could benefit from the infrastructure passed bill..! (possible bullish move) Rank 4: GME: After getting out of consolidation reached the primary target and could go sideways for a while! Rank 5: NIO: This week has earning calls, and I do not know any reliable method to predict the outcome! Rank 6: QQQ: in premarket it is already negative! possible correction! Rank 7: NVDA: 300-312 will be the resistance level to watch! Rank 8: LCID: if manage to pass 44 could go to the 60-64 and become the 6 biggest Automaker above GM and Ford, seems absurd but possible! Rank 9: PLTR: This week's earnings will push it out of consolidation! Rank 10: PTON: after disappointing earnings and a 35% decline, it could even go lower to 50-49 level! Rank 11: IWM: small-caps has just got out of consolidation after 9 months! a pullback could be a possible scenario! Rank 12: PYPL: after a 27% decline, the earnings call this week could do anything to it. I do not know any reliable method to predict the outcome! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
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by Moshkelgosha
6