FSR setting up LONGFSR as shown on the 2H chart current has its price sitting near to the
lower Bollinger Band and is supported by both the mean VWP anchored back
in mid June when the price was bouncing over and under the basis band of
the Bollingers. Price is also supported by confluence between that mean VWAP
and the short term POC line of the volume profile showing validity and balance
in recent trading above this zrea. The Chris Moody MACD indicator shows the
lines crossed under the histogram which went red to a tiny green and also
generated a green ball, a buy signal of sorts. FSR has been on a pullback for
about ten trading days. The analysis is that it is now ready to trend back up.
Overall,
I see this as a long trade setup targeting first the basis band of the Bollingers
at 6.50 then the upper band at 6.80 and finally as a target for any runners the
second deviation line above the mean VWAP (thick red) at 7.20. Although FSR
is highly volatile I assert that buying low more often than not leads to sellng higher.
NIO
XPEV collaborating with VW = China EV on fire !XPEV is trending up. It is Chinese in the biggest EV market on the planet.
No import duties. Low-interest rates on debt and consumer auto loans here
as the government is doing the opposite as the US fed. Now the collaboration
with VW which has legacy excellence in manufacturing with XPEV whose
forte may be technology and autonomous driving innovation. On the 2H
chart, the stock price jumped fast and hard on the news catalyst. The
MACD launched signals over the histogram and the Volume Price Trend
screamed higher. This all spells momentum. While there is a risk of a downfall
reversal and drop as they saying goes make hay while the sun shines.
There may be shadows of short selling squeezing here. Time will tell. For
sure being late to the party is sometimes a waste of time. The real show
will be watching XPEV/ VW competing with both NIO and TSLA in China.
To the victor goes the spoils. Hold on as the ride will have some bumps.
NIO can correct slightly when hitting the $14 resistanceNIO is on a decent run and will now face some resistance around $14.
Price might correct to $11.90-$12 region, in line with the trend line (dotted) I drafted, if we don't surpass the resistance level with a bull run.
I'm long on NIO. Entered $7.58 and $9.08.
NIO: $4.10 | reminds me of Pagani & Bentley | Target $100++the potential is great... and the beauty is it is organically growing to a huge market
for now we accumulate below $8.00
AMAZON is to BABA
TESLA is to NIO
everybody wins at the bottom towards $500bn $1Trillion cap
NIO Wedge Breakout ContinuesNIO continues to move higher after breaking out of of the falling wedge pattern and topping the 200-day moving average, currently up a little over 10% today and +20% from my entry of $10.77 on 7/13.
The current price candle is yellow which indicates extreme bullish momentum behind price; yellow candles tend to indicate that price is becoming overbought and approaching a short-term top. With this push higher I've moved my stop-loss up to $11.71, just below the yesterdays yellow daily candle and into profit so the trade is guaranteed to pay out now if price reverses. For those with a lower entry price than mine and can afford some volatility and still remain in the green, stop-loss 2 is recommended as that was the the last higher low(HL) made in price before NIO made a new local higher high(HH). As price makes new higher highs on a chart I move my stop-loss to just below the most recent higher low as those are the last levels of support by buyers. If those higher lows are violated to the downside it likely means that sellers are in control of price going forward. Stair steps up: move your stop-loss to just below the last step price was on before it progressed to the next higher step.
My strategy with yellow candles is to move my stop loss to just below each yellow candle as price moves higher since price tends to continue to drift lower once the bottom of a yellow candle is breached on a pullback, reference previous yellow candles on the chart for historic moves after yellow candles form. For now I'm using yesterdays yellow candle as my stop-loss level since todays yellow candle is still live. Once the market closes today I will move my stop-loss to just below todays yellow candle.
The PPO is still showing positive short-term momentum with the green PPO line rising above the purple signal line. Both lines being above the 0 level indicate intermediate to long-term positive momentum.
The TDI indicator shows the green RSI line above the 60 level which indicates a short-term bullish trend. The green RSI line is trending between the 40-80 level which indicates an intermediate to long-term bullish trend. The RSI line is approaching the 80 level though which indicates short-term overbought conditions; price tends to reverse after the 80 level is tagged in the RSI. The RSI is also above the upper white Bollinger Band which also is a sign of extreme bullish momentum and tend to indicate a pullback in price is likely once the RSI moves back below the upper BBand. However, you generally want to stay long as long as the RSI remains above the upper band, and stay short when the RSI is below the lower BBand.
The TDI indicator is the one that is painting my price candles and giving me the yellow overbought conditions. Candles turn yellow when the green RSI line is above the upper Bband. You can find my TDI indicator here and add it to your own chart template:
Stage 2 Breakout in NIONIO is basically a Chinese Tesla. They are an electric vehicle manufacturer with seven models in production and have so far delivered around 350,000 units.
I don’t typically like Chinese stocks, but this one looks poised for a breakout higher.
The chart above shows my stage analysis for NIO stock on a weekly chart covering the last four years. As you can see, NIO is setting up for a new potential Stage 2 rally.
The first breakout into a new Stage 2 uptrend is, without question, the best place you can buy a stock.
If you drill down to a daily chart, you will see that NIO finally broke through its 200-day SMA which has acted as resistance for the entire downtrend.
If NIO can hold above its 200-day moving average and breakout higher, this could be a near perfect entry on this growth stock.
NIO Long?Nio has held up extremely well considering how hard of a selloff Tesla got hit with.
This Bullish pattern is retesting the breakout trendline and holding right above a key Moving Average.
An inverse Head & Shoulders pattern has broken out.
Is JD a Chinese economy equity setting up a reversal?JD on the long term weekly chart appears to be in a descending wedge pattern which
would generate a bias for a breakout upside. Price is now supported by the one standard
deviation line below the VWAP bands anchored to 2019. The analysis of the ultralong term
volume profile is that the Point of Control is just below price and that the vast majority of
trading volume has been above the current price. I can readily presume that JD is at or
near a bottom and most certainly the 1, 2, and 3 year lows. Analysis on higher time frames
such as the weekly are more likely to be accurate with good signals. On the MACD signals
have crossed in mid-May and now ascending in parallel toward the zero line while price
is bouncing around at what I will call the bottom. Said another way, the MACD is showing
bullish divergence. The upside here over a long term could be as much as 250% and much
much more with a long expiration options contract. I will open a long trade here in
a small position with a stop loss below the POC line and DTA into it over time whenever there
is a pivot low on the weekly chart. I am confident that the Cinese economy with supposedly
zero inflation will be an excellent backdrop for Chinese stocks to run higher in due time.
$NIO is turn to stage 2 ?NYSE:NIO is nearly turn to stage 2
Technical Analysis Big picture:
1) NYSE:NIO is going on down trend for a year and 3 month ago just have low volatility and low volume
2) Make Sideway down and forming wedge shape with RSI overdrive up. Possibility highly to make U-turn
3) HSI index make pattern H&S. If complete price break upper resistant it's time of chinese stock rally
4) Now it has 2 resistant to confirm stage 2 is breaking EMA200 and Breaking base of wedge shape to confirm
Technical Analysis Small picture:
- NYSE:NIO break the wedge and make lower high forming picture Cup and Handle
Hope NYSE:NIO get well soon
Good Luck
NIO test to change trendNIO breakout of POC and test the ema200
if it break ema200 is a good sign to test new resistant at 20$
NIO Wedge Breakout + 200sma BeatNIO has been benefiting from the recent rise in EV stocks with price breaking up and out of a falling wedge pattern while simultaneously crossing up through the 200sma with multiple closes above it. The last time NIO closed above the 200sma prior to this recent move higher was back in November of 2021.
Looking at the moving averages(8,21,34,50,100,200) we can see that the shorter averages are rising and crossing up and above the longer averages indicating a short-term bullish trend in price. The 100ma is leveling out, the 200ma is still declining. We want to see price continue to rise going forward and for the two longest MA's to turn up to strengthen the bull case in NIO.
The PPO indicator show the green PPO line rising and trending above a rising purple signal line which indicates short-term bullish momentum in price. Both lines trending above the 0 level indicates an intermediate to long-term bullish momentum in price.
The TDI indicator shows the green RSI line trending above the 60 level which indicates a short-term bullish trend in price. The RSI line is also above its purple signal line and in the upper half of the Bollinger Bands indicating a bullish trend. Going forward we want to see the green RSI line continue to trend between the 40-60 levels as a sign of an intermediate to long-term bullish trend. The only negative here is the RSI line putting in a lower high compared to price which is a bearish divergence and could lead to a short-term pullback.
Assuming that the stock market and EV sector specifically continue to hold it together, NIO should benefit.
Buy price for me was $10.77.
Stop loss for me is currently at $9.37.
No upper price target for now, will continue to raise my stop-loss as price sets higher lows on an anticipated continued move higher.
LI , a Chinese EV manufacturer LONGLI has seen a 60% price rise since significantly beating the earnings estimates of the analysts.
LI competes with TSLA and NIO primarily in Chinese and perhaps a little in Scandinavia. It
does not import to North America. The 2H chart shows price rising consistently in a channel
between the first and second standard deviation lines above the mean anchored VWAP
demonstrating trend persistence and momentum. The zero-lag MACD shows a line cross
at the zero horizontal line and rising as confirmation of bullish momentum. I see $40
as a reasonable target at the level of the 3rd upper standard deviation lines. With the
next earnings report due August 21st, I will take a long trade of ten call options striking
$38.00 expiring 8/18/23. On the last trading day, this option had a low of $1.75 and
a high of $1.90 for an intraday rise of about 8%. The contracts will cost about $1900.
I am expecting about a 3% average rise compounded over 30 trading days or 250%
return on the trade.
NIO - Falling Trend Channel [MID -TERM]🔹Breakout the ceiling of falling trend channel in the medium long term.
🔹Breakout resistance at 8.79 in double bottom formation.
🔹Supports at 9.3 and resistance at 13.
🔹Short-term momentum is positive with RSI above 70.
🔹Technically POSITIVE for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
Pure Play - Electric Vehicles LONG: TSLA NIO RIVNWhy EVXX?
The electric vehicle (EV) market is growing. In 2022 14% of all new cars sold were electric, up from 9% in 2021 and less than 5% in 2020. There are more than 26 million electric cars worldwide as of 2022, 60% more than in 2021.1 EVs are a crucial part of the sustainable future but it’s not always clear which specific manufacturers will come out on top.Show less
Objective
The Defiance Pure Electric Vehicle ETF (the “Fund”) seeks to provide investment results, before fees and expenses, that track the performance of a basket of common shares, which are equally-weighted on a quarterly basis, of the five largest (by market capitalization) electric vehicle manufacturers (the “Underlying Securities”) included in the Solactive Pure US Electric Vehicle Index (the “Pure EV Index”).
$NIO Is Probably DoomedI see no reason to be optimistic about this garbage stock. I still think it has a lot lower to go.
YINN - a leveraged bullish ETF for Chinese stocks.YINN is a 3X leveraged bullish ETF of Chinese stocks. As can be seen on this one hour chart,
YINN has jumped nearly 30% since the beginning of the moth. On the chart is a moving average
ratio indicator ( with settings SMA7 / SMA28 ratio ). When the ratio crosses the zero line, the
shorter average is rising faster than the longer average demonstrating bullish momentum. Here
I used it as an entry signal. ( the exit signal would be the ratio dropping below the zero
horizontal line which has not yet occurred) For confirmation and further entry justification,
the volatility indicator shows spikes above the running average volatility in order to be
that there is enough volume and price action to get into a good trade in the direction of
the trade. Fundamentally, the Chinese economy is open and growing. the CCP has resisted the
urge to raise prime rates as compared with Western central banks. ( BABA and NIO have
good current price action.) Given the guidance of the chart, YINN seems to be a
good long trade I will continue to add to the trade when the chart tells me the time is right.
Teslas ninja bro - chopping before move to $13.50Tesla, Lucent, Rivian, Nio not too many new names entering the scene in the last year... Nio will boost the worst has been put in. IMO 6 month call options OTM $13 plus should be pretty safe. Lots of potential direct or indirect headline catalysts here through EV, AI, and Tesla tailwinds.
NIO to SMA50, at 8.5NIO is a stock that is recuperation after too many weeks going down.
I think it could go to $8.5 or even $8.6.
The perfect moment to enter is right now. But I'm going to be updating.
Always using a stop loss SL, that can stay at 7.35
NIO Rejected on 1W Order BlockWe can see a clear rejection on the 1W chart for NIO. On the 4H, NIO has just choched. Stoploss should be placed below the order block, aiming for the last top.
TSLA tyring to get to blue skyTSLA on the daily chart descended from a triple top Summer '22 into a downturn which
reversed after earnings in late January. Since then with the usual waves of up action and
retracement it has risen into its current range also going through a cup and handle pattern
from early April into late May. On the chart with the volume profile and anchored VWAP
overlaid, price is at the confluence of the POC line and the mean anchored VWAP - over the
past year the highest volume of trading was at about $185. RSLA is now above that
bullish momentum. TSLA short-selling bears are getting destroyed right now. Their buying to sell
is the genesis of a potential short squeeze. The latest trend started after an announcement of
partnership with Ford regarding charging stations. I have drawn onto the chart what I see
as horizontal resistance lines for targets in a trade. Aslo on the chart is a set of zero-lag EMAs
to provide further context. I will take a trade of four additional call options with a strike of
$185- I will close one for each horizontal target reached. I will run the last contract on a
trailing stop loss of 20% while expecting an overall conservative realized take profit of over
300%. The stabilization of macroeconomic headwinds in both the US, Europe and China
will allow significant tailwind to push TSLA higher. One of those tailwinds could be the
imperative that a rising price places on short sellers including a vast array of put options.
PSNY break out above the Ribbon (Setting up for Mark Up phase)PSNY has been relatively stagnate for a while.... which is good after an emotional dump into a new low. It means its accumulating. This company is undevalued compared to the other electric car companies out there. I wouldn't expect this stock to move a lot up front. However its cheap to do a leap on this til jan 24 and let it do its own thing. Out of all of the electric car stocks this one seems the healthiest financially and is actually delivering 100k of vehicles with goals to out do its self this year.
The indicator is the ESVO it shows where price and volume are in sync and when price breaks out above them its a sign that its hit accumulation and preparing for a mark up phase. The push back down into the ribbon is the last step before it takes off... This should bounce off the ribbon when it comes down and continue to make for new highs until it runs out of steam. This could be days , weeks , months, or even years..... depending on what time frame its doing it in and what part of the bigger move its in. Look at ENPH when it was $50.
by iCantw84it
05.02.23
