NIO- showing signs of a potential bullish trend NIO Inc. is showing signs of a potential bullish trend in the short term, supported by both technical and fundamental factors:
Technical Perspective:
Strong Support Zone: The price is currently holding above a key support level near $4.50, previously marked as a "strong low," which indicates buyer interest in this zone.
Change of Character (CHoCH): Multiple CHoCH patterns visible on the chart suggest a potential reversal from the recent downtrend, pointing toward upward momentum.
Upside Target: The immediate resistance levels are between $5.00 and $5.50, which align with prior supply zones, presenting a potential target for bullish movement.
Fundamental Perspective:
Improving Sentiment: Recent developments in the EV industry, coupled with positive policy measures in China supporting the sector, could boost investor confidence in NIO.
Undervalued Price: Current levels suggest the stock is priced attractively, with the negative sentiment and earlier concerns appearing to be overdone, leaving room for recovery.
While the long-term trajectory depends on broader market conditions and company fundamentals, the short-term outlook points to a potential upward move toward $5.50.
Niobuy
NIO Surge 12% On Q2 2024 Financial ResultsKey Highlights
- Nio cuts losses while setting a new record for vehicle deliveries in Q2.
- Deliveries jumped 143.9% year-over-year, and vehicle sales surged 118.2%.
- Nio’s Q3 guidance beats forecasts, showcasing resilience in a competitive EV market.
Overview
Nio, one of China’s leading electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers, continues to demonstrate remarkable resilience in the face of market challenges. The company set a new record for vehicle deliveries in Q2, with 57,373 units delivered—a 143.9% year-over-year increase. Vehicle sales grew by 118.2% to 15.68 billion yuan, showcasing the company’s ability to scale production and meet growing consumer demand.
Despite ongoing industry-wide pressures, Nio ( NYSE:NIO ) managed to reduce its Q2 losses to 5.05 billion yuan ($694.4 million), a 16.7% improvement from the previous year. The company’s gross margin expanded significantly from 1.0% a year ago to 9.7%, driven by vehicle margin improvements, which nearly doubled to 12.2%. This indicates a stronger control over production costs and a focus on high-margin segments, especially in premium electric vehicles priced above 300,000 yuan ($42,327), where Nio commands over 40% market share.
Forward Outlook and Strategic Positioning
Founder and CEO William Bin Li emphasized Nio’s strong market positioning, highlighting their expectation for Q3 deliveries to reach another all-time high of between 61,000 to 63,000 units. This bullish outlook shows Nio’s continuous expansion efforts, including the launch of new models and enhancements in battery technology. The company’s projected Q3 revenue range of 19.11 billion yuan to 19.67 billion yuan further underlines its growth trajectory, surpassing analysts’ expectations.
With a robust cash position of 41.6 billion yuan ($5.7 billion) as of June 30, 2024, Nio is well-equipped to invest in research, development, and further scaling its production capabilities. This financial stability provides a buffer against potential market volatility, including ongoing tariff and regulatory pressures from global markets.
Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, Nio's stock (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) has shown encouraging signs of recovery after a prolonged decline. The stock recently traded up 3.30% at $4.38 premarket, rebounding slightly from its 50% year-to-date drop. The recent surge in Nio’s ADRs suggests growing investor confidence, driven by the company’s strong Q2 performance and optimistic Q3 outlook.
The stock price is testing its 50-day moving average, a critical resistance level that, if breached, could signal a bullish reversal. With momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showing a climb from oversold territory, Nio’s shares could be positioned for further upside if delivery and revenue growth trends continue.
Moreover, the volume of call options has increased, suggesting that traders are positioning for upward movement in the stock, particularly as Nio continues to solidify its market share in the premium EV segment. If the stock manages to break above the psychological $5.00 mark, it could trigger additional buying interest, supported by improved sentiment around China’s stimulus measures and consumer demand recovery.
Conclusion
Nio’s impressive Q2 performance, coupled with a strong forward outlook, positions the company as a formidable player in the global EV market. While broader industry challenges persist, Nio’s ability to cut losses, achieve record deliveries, and expand margins reflects sound management and strategic foresight. As Nio continues to navigate market complexities and execute its growth strategy, investors may find renewed optimism in the company’s long-term potential, bolstered by both fundamental strength and technical recovery signals.
Nio’s journey may still face bumps along the road, but its recent achievements suggest that the company is on track to emerge stronger, setting a solid foundation for future success in the rapidly evolving EV landscape.
NIO's Side movements are getting close to a break Out/Down !Either we are consolidating, for Wave B then C down or this is some how could be counted as a base for Wave 3 trying to establish a ballistic move up. I have analyzed it extensively mentioning all probable bullish/Bearish out comes with statistics and probabilities. In a nut shell seasonality is favoring a bearish move Vs fundamentals, car production, that are favoring a bullish move. It looks very clear that we have completed a Macros ABC down from ATH. Now this is part, more probably, of a bullish macro move with ups/downs . Risk down is, if you are bullish, (-30%) according to probabilities Risk up if you are bearish is +200% according to probabilities.
NIO BUYHi, based on my analysis of NEO stock, there is a good buying opportunity. The stock appears to be in a positive state. The stock returned to a very strong area of strong support at level 10. In which a green candle with a tail was formed, indicating a strong entry of buyers, as well as a retest of the downtrend. The presence of the 200 moving average, which in turn constitutes another support. Good luck everyone
NIO Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought NIO here:
Then Analyzing the options chain of NIO prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 8usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-7-21,
for a premium of approximately $0.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NIO Inc. Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the $15 strike puts when i wrote you this article, which are trading now at $3.50 from $1.14:
Then you should know that looking at the NIO Inc. options chain ahead of earnings, i would buy the $12.5 strike price Calls with
2022-11-18 expiration date for about
$0.38 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NIO Long The Safer Way 15 strike Nov Earning day play:
SELL DOTM PUT NIO 18 NOV22
FOR $2.13
Strike 15 ROI =15/2.13= 14.3 %
Target support zones 13-16 target resistance 27-30
*** 2 outcomes
a) Stocks close above 15 By EXP in November we make an income 14.3%
b) Stock Tanks because of delisting fears or geo political USA china We get the asset stock at 15 strike - credit received $2.13= $12.87
Safety of margin current stock price 22-12.87= 9.13 trade structure safer
Hope it helps
Marc
NIO Buy SetupNYSE:NIO Signal
Entry - $10
Target - $27
Invalidation - $2
Risk to reward ratio - 2.13
Technical confirmations
Gap between $9 and $11 where unfilled orders have to filled.
Price once rejected $10 level and then broke it. We think that $10 level could act as a potential support.
We have a 0.886 Fib retracement level at $9
Fundamental confirmations
Why should price reach Entry level?
Because of the lockdown in Shanghai businesses are getting logistics problems.
COVID-19 lockdown and China political situation with Russia influence foreign investors to sell their stocks.
NYSE:NIO is in the list of Chinese YTD share performance sectors that are vulnerable to COVID lockdowns
Why should price reach Target level?
Debt to equity ratio: <1 (Stable company)
Has a stable cashflow
According to Nasdaq, CNBC long-term price goal - $33
Nio Finally Bullish? NIO
Short Term - We look to Buy a break of 23.79 (stop at 21.92)
We look for gains to be extended today. Price action has broken from the previous formation. The reaction higher is positive and highlights a clear reversal. Short term oscillators have turned positive.
Our profit targets will be 28.11 and 32.51
Resistance: 28.00 / 34.00 / 45.00
Support: 23.00 / 20.00 / 13.00
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NIO Price TargetPrice target for NIO is $21.
All the Chinese stocks are primed for a strong recovery after China`s top administrative authority said it would work to stabilize the stock market and boost economic growth!
Traders are expecting the Chinese government would support the stock market like the FED did in the US.
NIO Inc has a nice cup and handle setup forming on the 6HBack in mid Oct I was able to nail that reversal break. I jumped and grabbed some NIO myself at that time. For those who don't know NIO (stock) is a Chinese car manufacturer also known to be called 'The Tesla of China'. It for sure is one to watch. It would appear now on the 6H NIO has formed a nice looking cup of a cup and handle patter. I have the projection area marked as to what I would like to see from the handle part of the pattern. Trying to find a good candle confirmation to get in... but I might have to wait on Monday.. havnt decided yet.. Anyway, be sure to keep an eye on this one. Big things in the long term.
$Nio - investment idea 💡 #NIO has been trading for a while in the demand zone, giving great opportunity for low risk entry. And great target potential. Regardless the fundamental analysis, this is just technical analysis.
From this price I will start buy small positions and buy more with bullish price actions.
❌ - Moving Averages still bearish, price distance to fast ma 0.50% and to slow -17.53%
✅ - The scenario is duble bottom, and bearish butterfly 🦋 pattern.
✅ - MACD
✅ - STOCHASTIC
✅ - Momentum
✅ - RSI Neutral
❌ - Ichimoku very bearish
⏰ - Breakout around: $37
🚦 - Next entries in case if dropped:
- $30
- $23.30
- 18.70
⚠️ - This idea is based on my technical analysis only. Do your research and trade on your own risk!
NIO longNIO is a Chinese car manufacturer, specialising in the design and development of electric vehicles.
Position: long
Entry price: 32.10
Target price: 54.71
Stop loss: 28.5
The RSI indicator is very close to the oversold level. The William Indicator suggests that the market is in the downtrend, but it's a weak signal.
(In the event that the price of NIO doesn't break the support line (red line), the market may go into a phase of uptrend.
No financial advice
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