NIKKEI is starting the new bullish phase.NIKKEI (NI225) gave us the most accurate buy entry we could get last time (September 10, see chart below) as we bought right above the 0.5 Fibonacci level and the price immediately rebounded to the 0.786 Fib of its July 11 High:
The symmetry with the September - December 2023 fractal continues to be striking, which is also evident on the 1D RSI which made a 2nd bounce on the Symmetrical Pivot Zone as the previous fractal did on December 08 2023.
The price bounced on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the December 2023 rally that followed, reached the 1.786 Fibonacci extension before the next short-term consolidation.
As a result, we can upgrade our medium-term Target to 43000, which is still considerably below the 1.786 Fib.
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Nkd
Elliott Wave View: Nikkei (NKD) Searching for SupportNikkei Futures (NKD) is presently at the 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension from February 16, 2021 high and the Index is searching for support. Short Term view suggests that the decline from November 16, 2021 high is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse structure. Down from November 16, 2021 high, wave 1 ended at 27390 and rally in wave 2 ended at 29420. The Index then resumed lower in wave 3 towards 26050 and wave 4 bounce ended at 27897. Wave 5 is now in progress with internal subdivision as another impulse in lesser degree.
Down from wave 4, wave (i) ended at 26845 and rally in wave (ii) ended at 27555. Index then resumed lower in wave (iii) towards 26550 and rally in wave (iv) ended at 27025. Index is expected to complete wave (v) soon and this should complete wave ((i)) in higher degree. Afterwards, Index should rally in wave ((ii)) to correct cycle from February 10, 2022 high before the decline resumes. Near term, as far as pivot at 27897 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside. Potential target for wave 5 lower is 123.6 – 161.8% external retracement of wave 4 at 24905 – 25615 area.
Nikkei Powers HigherIt appears that my short term 27750 level was too timid, and Nikkei powered through the area like butter. The move in the index points to underlying strength and should see continuation higher. I am therefore updating my short term target to 28900 - this being the 1st Fibonacci projection level from the February March selloff. Stay long!
Spooky Trendline NKDSince 2018 NKD1! has been posting diminishing returns within their market. Though, these are new times none of us have witness when it comes to new economic and monetary policy. Do we reject this trend and print yet another lower high? Or does the Japanese market breakout? What is interesting is that during the US market correction that occurred at the start of September, NKD merely chopped. This appears to be a bullish sign, but we shouldn't enter a play at this moment. We will wait for either a breakout or a breakdown to position ourselves in the correct manner.
3 decades long resistance finally turning? Japan is the best in many things, but obviously not in stock prices...
BUT!
Nikkei 225 Index is now looking bullish, we're seeing a support resistance role reversal here.
A cup&handle pattern that took 24 years long to form is finally breaking out.
We've got measured target from the formation of 35,000, and from there we may see new all time highs on Nikkei.
Let's see which way the handle breaks to get confirmation.
***NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE***
Nikkei Soars Boosted by Conciliatory Tone on Trade WarAsian stocks markets it's traded mostly bullish this Friday aided by a conciliatory tone between China and the United States. This week, the Nikkei 225 (CME:NKD) index futures soars 2.38%, but in the long-term, the Japanese index could see more drops.
Nikkei Long Term ProjectionNikkei inline with DAX seems doing a Double.. While DAX still has some more higher, NKD looks like completed while last leg of X extended to the 100% - 1.272% Extension of the - legs.. Note as well price has hit the 61.8% Retracement from all time highs to 14.800's lows.. We should see at least a pull back from here if not an extension towards the major W - X 100% Extension..