NKE (NIKE, Inc.) BUY TF D1 TP = 94.49On the D1 chart the trend started on Aug. 1 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 94.49
This level, which I have outlined above, is certainly not a “finish” level. But it is the level that has the “highest percentage of hits on target.”
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
NKE
Nike (NKE): Analysis and Expectations Ahead of EarningsWe have analyzed this stock in the past privately, but we never published it, and it's a shame because we anticipated lower prices but have no proof of it. Still, we are looking for lower prices on NYSE:NKE , as we are about to finish Wave 4, most likely between $93 and $106.
NYSE:NKE will publish its earnings this week on Tuesday after market close. Heading into those results, the bar was low, as inflation keeps shoppers cautious.
Some analysts have said that even if those results come in better than expected, Wall Street's reservations could be hard to shake. However, others believe that with a new CEO on the way, investors might cut the company some slack.
So, the market might be ready for a push, but this sector is under much pressure as shoppers are finding it harder to spend money compared to previous years. It will be very interesting to follow NYSE:NKE and see if our outlook is correct or not. As shown in the chart, this scenario will be invalidated if the price breaks through $115.82.
We foresee a good entry opportunity between $60 and $50, where the most traded volume of the last 9 years has been.
We will update this stock when we know more. ✅
Weekly Recap & Market Forecast $SPX (Sept 29th—> Oct 4th)**Looking Ahead:**
Next week will feature several key events and data releases:
- **U.S. Jobs Report**
- **U.S. PMI Surveys**
- **Fed Chair Powell Speech**
- **Earnings Reports:** Nike ( NYSE:NKE ), Carnival ( NYSE:CCL ), Levi Strauss & Co. ( NYSE:LEVI ), Constellation Brands ( NYSE:STZ )
- **Tesla Q3 Deliveries ( NASDAQ:TSLA )**
As we look forward, these developments will be crucial in shaping market sentiment and guiding investment decisions. If you have any questions or need further insights, feel free to reach out. Here’s to another week of informed investing and strategic decision-making! 🌟
NKE NIKE Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold NKE before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NKE NIKE prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 93usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-10-18,
for a premium of approximately $1.95.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NKE, "RUNNING-UP" soon to new highs! Wear Your Shoes now!NKE, "RUNNING-UP" soon to new highs! Wear Your Shoes now!
Nike, Inc. is an American athletic footwear and apparel corporation headquartered near Beaverton, Oregon, United States. It is the world's largest supplier of athletic shoes and apparel and a major manufacturer of sports equipment, with revenue in excess of US$46 billion in its fiscal year 2022.
The company boasts a consistent 20 years of straight price growth from 1999 to year 2021, until 2022 when the brand began to experience stalemate season which has stagnate price growth for more than 2 years.
Now based on recent data metrics, NKE is poised to get energized again and ready to RUN to new heights aided by rosier earnings and fundamentals. Last QTR earnings results (Feb 2024), the company exceeded expectation by registering an EPS beat by an impressive 29.73%.
Next earnings call is due on June 27, 2024, and there is an expected green output for this result as well.
As we approach the 2nd half of the year -- gearing towards the "BER" months where retail shopping is most active, NKE is bound to benefit on this season as it is projected to amass more growth in sales.
On our latest technical report, NKE is inching closer to the heatzone area, a breakout point. Once we break this area, expect price to get back to 3-digit and tap previous peak at x2, 180-200 range. It took the stock 2.5 years for this important trend shift to materialize.
Start wearing your shoes now, you will need it for the next RUN UP season.
TAYOR.
Spotted at 95.0
Elliott Hill Appointed as New CEO of Nike: Stock up 8% Nike Inc., (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) the global sports apparel giant, has made a pivotal decision in naming Elliott Hill as its new President and CEO, effective October 14, 2024. The announcement comes at a time when Nike (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) is navigating market headwinds, including stiff competition and a necessary internal restructuring. Hill, who has been a Nike insider for over three decades, is expected to leverage his deep-rooted connection with the company to reignite its growth trajectory.
A Return to Nike’s Roots: Elliott Hill’s Journey
Elliott Hill’s appointment brings Nike (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) back to its roots. Hill first joined the company in 1988 after lobbying relentlessly for a position out of Ohio University. Over the years, he worked his way up from grassroots sales roles to overseeing global retail operations. His previous position as President of Consumer & Marketplace, where he managed Nike's commercial and marketing efforts, gave him invaluable experience in driving the brand's consumer engagement and business development.
After retiring in 2020, Hill’s return is seen as a strategic move to realign Nike’s leadership with someone who not only understands the brand but also embodies its core values of grit, determination, and hard work. According to Mark Parker, Nike’s Executive Chairman, Hill’s deep understanding of the sports industry and his "passion for sport, our brands, and products" make him the ideal person to steer Nike through its next phase of growth.
Facing Market Challenges Head-On
Hill’s appointment couldn’t come at a more crucial time. Nike (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) has seen declining sales recently, especially in comparison to more agile competitors like On and Deckers' Hoka. To combat this, Nike initiated a comprehensive three-year plan to slash $2 billion in costs and streamline operations, a plan that will be critical in restoring profitability and market share.
Despite recent struggles, Nike has demonstrated strong financial performance, reporting a 12% increase in net income for fiscal year 2024, reaching $5.70 billion. This is up from $5.07 billion in the previous fiscal year, signaling that the company’s fundamentals remain sound. Hill’s leadership will be key in converting these strengths into sustained growth by harnessing innovation and streamlining the company’s operations.
### Technical Outlook: Can Nike Break Its Falling Trend?
From a technical standpoint, Nike’s stock has been in a downtrend for several months, with two notable unfilled gap-down patterns. However, in the wake of Hill’s appointment, Nike shares saw an 8% surge in premarket trading on Friday. This rally is integral to breaking the stock’s long-standing downward channel. If Nike (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) can surpass the key resistance level of $123—its December 2023 high—it could signal a major bullish reversal for the stock.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits in neutral territory, indicating that Nike (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) has more room to rally. Additionally, the moving averages are beginning to flatten, suggesting that the stock may be poised to reverse its downward trend if bullish momentum continues. If Nike (NYSE: NYSE:NKE ) can build on this recent uptick, it may start filling the gap-down patterns that have held the stock back, potentially leading to a stronger position in the coming months.
Hill’s Vision for the Future
Elliott Hill has already expressed his excitement about taking the reins at Nike. "Nike has always been a core part of who I am, and I’m ready to help lead it to an even brighter future," he said. With his extensive experience in both the company and the sports industry, Hill’s vision is likely to focus on innovation, sustainability, and continuing to push the brand to connect with athletes and consumers alike.
In addition to driving Nike’s bottom line, Hill’s leadership style is expected to foster closer ties with employees and partners, which will be crucial as the company seeks to retain its position as the world’s premier sportswear brand. His background—rooted in values of perseverance, hard work, and a deep understanding of Nike’s culture—makes him well-positioned to lead the company through its current challenges and beyond.
Conclusion
Nike’s decision to bring Elliott Hill back as CEO marks a return to its roots and a clear focus on driving operational efficiency and growth in a competitive market. The technical indicators suggest that the stock is approaching a potential breakout, which, combined with Hill’s leadership, could pave the way for a new chapter of success. While challenges remain, Nike’s solid fundamentals, coupled with strategic leadership, position it well for long-term growth and market recovery. Investors will be watching closely as the company embarks on this new journey under Hill’s stewardship.
NIKE | JUST BUY ITNike topped Wall Street estimates for first quarter profit on Thursday as higher prices of its sneakers and apparel helped offset a hit from waning demand and persistent cost pressures, sending its shares up about 8% in extended trading.
Nike (NKE) is the largest apparel company in the world, with leading positions across different categories and regions. The company is currently facing challenges such as elevated inventory levels, inflationary pressure, and slow growth in China. Such issues have resulted in the stock dropping by 19% YTD. Although these headwinds are serious, I believe the company's durable brand, leading position, and high-quality products should allow it to come out stronger on the other end.
'Nike is a brand that is of China and for China' -John Donahoe
Like every other apparel and retail company, Nike thought post-pandemic demand would continue, so it increased production, which led to inventory levels hitting an all-time high in Q1-FY22, but as we know, that wasn't the case. Although NKE's inventory level is down from all-time highs, investors are still concerned, especially when inflation is eating into people's pockets and growth in China is slowing.
Inflation in North America has come down to 3.7% from its peak in June at 9.1%, but it is still a concern in Europe (6.1% in the EU union). As you can see from the graph below, sales in China have been decreasing for the past two years. There are multiple ways one can explain this: COVID related lockdowns resulted in the shuttering of some stores. Plus, Nike and other apparel companies started facing a backlash in China in 2021 due to the alleged use of forced labor in cotton production. However, if the company is successful at expanding into China, then we can expect a lot of room for growth.
Now that I have addressed the problems that are facing Nike, let me explain why I believe the company will overcome them. Nike sponsors the most well-known athletes such as Cristiano Ronaldo (+600 million Instagram followers), LeBron James, Michael Jordan, the late Kobe Bryant, Rafael Nadal, Tiger Woods, and more. This has helped the company build a loyal customer base and further boost its brand equity. With a loyal customer base comes pricing power, and as Warrant Buffet said:
Nike's pricing power is no joke. Its shoes have reached a level where they are considered luxury, with some selling for more than the $10,000 mark. In 2017, Nike's median price for a shoe regardless of gender was $80, which is $10 more than its biggest competitor, Adidas. I know 2017 was a long time ago, but shoe prices have increased since then, and I believe Nike is still in the lead given their dominant market position. Plus, Nike targets mostly the age demographic of 25 and 34. These are people who have not settled in yet. They just graduated college with extra income to spend on things such as expensive shoes. I believe this pricing power will continue as the company continues to sponsor talented upcoming athletes to build trust with customers.
Another way to measure Nike's brand power is by comparing its marketing spending against its peers. Nike's marketing budget in FY 23 was $4 billion, or 7.9% of revenue. On the other hand, Adidas spent 38% and Under Armour 11%. These companies have been allocating more of their revenue towards marketing but have experienced nowhere near the growth Nike has. NKE's association with well-known athletes in the U.S. has allowed them to have a 96% awareness rate, 53% usage rate, and 43% loyalty rate. Going forward, I expect the company's brand will remain high-quality due to sponsorships, high-quality products, and market-leading technology.
Founded by Bill Bowerman and Phil Knight in 1994, Nike has come a long way from its first store in Portland, Oregon. As of May 31, 2023, the company had 369 stores within the U.S. and 663 internationally, operating in more than 190 countries. Stores include franchised stores and third-party retailers. The firm owns multiple brands such as Jordan, Converse, and Nike. The company derives sales from four main segments and across four regions. I excluded Converse (4.74% of revenue) from the graphs below because I wanted to focus on the Nike brand. The company's app, NikePlus, has more than 160 million users.
On a trailing free cash flow basis, the stock yields over 3.3% relative to its enterprise value. My ~$104 May 24 PT implies a 28.00x P/E and 20.00x EV/EBITDA. Both multiples are below the ten-year NTM average and in line with the median. I project revenue to compound at a rate of 6.47% over the next three years, driven by market growth and new products, while shares decrease at a rate of 2.67%, driven by stock buybacks. The company is forecast to spend $12.1 billion on share repurchases over the same period.
Additionally, I believe the company still has room for margin improvement driven by price increases and DTC mix (direct-to-consumer). In FY 2019, DTC sales constituted 31% of revenue, and that figure stood at 44% in FY 2023. Although NKE is trading at a premium compared to peers, I believe it is reasonable considering its scale, high-quality products, and strong brand.
The first risk that I would associate with NKE is competition. The company competes with conglomerates such as Addidas, Puma, New Balance, Under Armour, and more. Additionally, e-commerce has made it very easy for anyone to start their own footwear brand. Other key risks to my rating include supply chain distributions, a recessionary environment, and slow growth in China.
Finally, we can point out that NKE appears technically oversold heading into the Q1 earnings report. From the chart , there has been relentless selling pressure over the last four months since NKE was trading at $130 per share.
The potential that NKE delivers a "good" earnings report with encouraging guidance, brushing aside fears the company is facing a deeper deterioration in its operating environment could be enough for shares to reprice higher. Simply put, our take is that NKE bears have gone too far, opening the door for bulls to take control.
The bottom line is that Nike is currently experiencing headwinds such as elevated inventory levels, inflationary pressure, and slow growth in China. Every business goes through similar challenges at one time or another, but I believe Nike is well-positioned to overcome these issues due to its durable brand, high-quality products, and leading position. I expect the company to keep endorsing high-quality athletes to elevate its brand equity and further strengthen its pricing power. My valuation implies a price target of ~$104 for May 31, 2024.
If you into NIKE brand you can watch Air film and read Shoe Dog book as well
$NKE just doing it to $88.50 from $72 after drastic drop off $98NYSE:NKE just doing it to $88.50 from $72 after drastic drop. Perfect to align with a bit above the 50% Fibonacci point as the RSI climbs higher towards the 200 day moving average above the 50 day moving average on the 2hour chart and in multiple timeframes.
Invest smart, invest hard.
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Roaring Puppy 🐶 out.
NYSE:NKE
NKE Nike Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold NKE on this Head and Shoulders bearish chart pattern:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NKE Nike prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 97.50usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-7-19,
for a premium of approximately $4.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NIKE LongType 2 Bullish bat with three rising valleys.
If the three rising valleys does fail, we could head back to the support zone and have another chance for a bullish edge to form. If you wanted to accumulate shares of this for the mid-long term I'd say anything above the support makes sense, whether the trade set up fails or not.
NFA
Footlocker ( FL) has been resting from a fall and waiting LONG
www.msn.com [/url ]
FL is here on a 30 -minute chart. It fell badly after good earnings 3 weeks ago and has been
resting in a narrow range for about half of that. A volatility squeeze released and some price
action with corresponding increase in relative volume resulted. FL has about 50% upside to
the price level before the last earnings. i am expecting a trade for 2-3 weeks realizing 50%
profit. The news catalyst cited in the link above of an upside of 25% in an upgrade has put
trader's eyes on this ticker. Mine are as well. It has reminded me to check on Nike.
LULU: Luxury Powerhouse & Multi-Decade TrendsetterKey Rationale:
Fundamentals remain intact making this a very attractive time to be contrarian, ignore the pessimism and buy the dip. Always nice to buy what you know and can see around you.
Comments:
Credited with the development of athleisure. Hasn't yet seized Pickleball market opportunity.
Incessant selling due is unwarranted with one executive departing.
One of the best available Ex-U.S. stocks.
Potential tailwind off the back of Ozempic & GLP-1 craze.
Still a profitability powerhouse with pricing power because of its iconic brand.
Same-store sales are growing exponentially, and an expansionary opportunity abroad.
Narrow Moat, Exemplary Capital Allocation.
Luxury market is different from discount competitors, and luxury brands are seldom cheap.
3-Star Valuation on Morningstar, hasn't been this cheap since 2017.
Stellar Profitability, Growth, and Quality scores in GreenBlue (4, 29, and 125 out of 2982)
Proprietary Scores:
GreenBlue Cumulative Rank: 128/2982 (Lower = Better)
GreenBlue Current Rank: 407/2982 (Lower = Better)
GreenRed Rank: 225/499 (Lower = Better)
Gurufocus Score: 97/100 (Higher = Better)
Company Profile:
Lululemon Athletica designs, distributes, and markets athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories for women, men, and girls. Lululemon offers pants, shorts, tops, and jackets for both leisure and athletic activities such as yoga and running. The company also sells fitness accessories, such as bags, yoga mats, and equipment. Lululemon sells its products through more than 700 company-owned stores in about 20 countries, e-commerce, outlets, and wholesale accounts. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
Competitors:
ROST, TJX, BURL, GPS, URBN
Risks:
This goes the path of Nike and is dead money for the near future.
Nike Set To Lay off 740 Employees at Oregon HeadquartersNike, the world's leading sportswear manufacturer, has announced its plans to lay off around 740 employees at its global headquarters in Oregon. This move aligns with the company's cost-cutting strategy, which was disclosed in December 2023, with the aim of saving $2 billion over the next three years. The second phase of layoffs is expected to commence by the end of June 2025, as the company looks to scale back on specific franchises amidst an uncertain demand scenario.
In compliance with the legal obligation, Michele Adams, Nike's Vice President for People Solutions, has notified the state authorities that the second phase of layoffs would begin at the company's headquarters. Earlier in February, Nike had indicated that it would cut around 2% of its total workforce, which equates to over 1,600 roles. As of May 31, 2023, the company had around 83,700 employees.
Despite the announcement, Nike's shares rose marginally in after-hours trading, although they have declined by nearly 13% this year. Several companies in the U.S. and Canada have announced new rounds of layoffs to curb costs in the face of an uncertain demand environment.
In March, Nike warned that its revenues in the first half of fiscal 2025 would shrink by a low-single-digit percentage. The company's decision to downsize its workforce is part of its strategy to rein in costs, as it navigates through a challenging business environment.
NKE 93.39The stock is moving in a descending channel.
In recent days, the stock is producing an invert head and shoulders pattern.
The stock is trying to get back above the 20MA.
Breaking the neckline of the pattern in the area of 95.50, can start the momentum in the stock which have some gaps to close.
targets on the chart.
1sttarget: 100.00
2nd target: 110.00
3rd target: 120.00-122.00
Looking Bullish IMMEDIETELY on Nike!🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
NIKE - Just Buy It!Nike tends to have corrective phases every now and then. We are now seeing one of the biggest corrections to date. We could be correcting in excess of 50% which would put us in a great position to buy Nike for the longer term.
Nike is the world's largest supplier of athletic shoes and apparel and a major manufacturer of sports equipment, with revenue in excess of US$46 billion in its fiscal year 2022.
In other words, its very unlikely that Nike will go bust and so any dips should be seen as a buying opportunity.
Our first point of interest is the structure level at 80. Ideally we break below that in accordance Elliott Wave Theory. We want to see wave C go below wave B.
Our ideal buy zone is the 60 level where we have the -27 fib extension. Once we come towards that region, we'll be looking for any bullish price action indicating a reversal and the start of the next massive bullish leg. If we go even lower than 60, then it's more of a reason to buy and load up!
We're looking for targets of atleast 200% as first targets. This trade is one to hold for the long term.
What do you guys think?
Goodluck and as always, trade safe@
NKE I AM BULLISH !!!!! even after earnings... Very good opportunity on NYSE:NKE , long term, over 6 to 12 months... we're almost filling the gap, within $3... I had already bought some at $100, I'll add a bit more today... good luck to everyone...
It's not gambling... They pay a dividend, China is back, ... interesting growth potential...
Earnings are forecast to grow 11.04% per year
Correction: I've just been informed that some purchases will be made next week... not today... NYSE:NKE