NIKE inside an ascending channel. Potential for another waveToday we will share an analysis of NKE. This can be used as a curiosity or to create a setup with an appropriate Risk Reward Ratio towards the Target.
Main items we can see on the chart:
a) The price is inside an ascending channel providing a bullish context
b) Currently, we can see a clear corrective structure with similar proportions as the previous one
c) Using Elliott Wave theory we can make a count 1234, and we expect 5 to come (Remember that Elliott defined that 5 waves will compose any impulsive movement)
d) We expect a bullish movement towards the higher zone of the ascending channel
e) Also, we have an invalidation level in case the price does not go in the expected direction
f) Remember: Trade safe, protect your capital, and always understand what you are doing!
NKE
NKE to break higher on technicals and earningsNike had a good earnings report this past quarter beating over 100% of the analysts' expectations on some strong volume too. We can see the potential of the break of the top on these higher lows as well.
The current resistance is at $130-$131 where we have see the level get tested time and time again on strong bullish momentum and candles, meaning whoever is stopping form price moving through that level has a lot of stops hidden above. That buy stop run could open up price aggressively to the first target at $145.00 or so.
There is the possibility we pullback to close the gap or into the $123 support too before rocketing higher. The higher probability move is the breakout though. With the potential Santa Claus rally coming through and the elections resolving some of the uncertainty in the market, it would see that retail especially online retail may get a nice push this year due to quarantine as well.
This idea is for educational purposes only, should not be taken as investment advice or trading advice.
NKE Starting to fall below Moving AVGOn the 4 hour chart, NKE is just about to dip below the moving average. This relative strength index shows that it is sitting high near 70. We should be expecting to see a sell signal relatively soon.
Disclaimer: I am not an expert, I am just starting to grasp meaning behind these indicators and by no means making recommendations. I trade at my own risk and so should you.
Nike Climbs While The Rest Of The Market Dips.Nike has been off the radar for some time, especially since it started consolidating from December
2015 to May 2018. The trend following its breakout of consolidation has lacked the energy and
momentum of the prior trend when Nike shares saw a growth of 612% from March 2009 to December 2015.
The trend experienced its first pullback and made contact with the resistance turned support at $68
in December 2018 before slowly rising again.
Then due to the recent global pandemic, Nike shares plummeted towards the support at $68 once again.
We then saw a sharp increase in price, seeing a rise back above the 200 simple moving average and since
then we have seen a linear trend in play.
The market as a whole are experiencing pullbacks and Nike looks set to end the week pulling back itself.
Despite this, Nike is outperforming the rest of the market at the moment.
Nike has the daily 20 simple moving average below it at the moment which may provide support,
then we have the 50 simple moving average as a second option for support.
Nike remains at the top of our watchlist for the simple fact that it has started to trend well and may
continue to do so for some time going forward.
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
Elliott Wave View: Nike (NKE) Breaks to All Time HighNike (NKE) has made another all-time high suggesting the bulls remain in firmly in control. Elliott Wave View of Nike suggests the stock is still within the cycle from March low as an impulse. Currently, the stock is within wave (5) from March low. The rally from March Covid-19 low to $117.42 ended wave (3). Pullback in wave (4) completed at $110.05 as a double three correction. Down from wave (3) at $117.42, wave W ended at $110.21, wave X ended at $113.84, and wave Y of (4) ended at $110.05.
Wave (5) rally is now in progress as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave (4) low at $110.05, wave ((i)) ended at $113.26 and wave ((ii)) pullback ended at $112.66. The stock then resumed higher in wave ((iii)) towards $116.21, wave ((iv)) pullback ended at $114.34, and the final wave ((v)) ended at $118.23. This also ended wave 1 of (5) in higher degree. Pullback in wave 2 is proposed complete at $114 as a zigzag. Down from red 1 at $118.23, wave ((a)) ended at $115.43, wave ((b)) ended at $116.91, and wave ((c)) of 2 ended at $114. Near term, Nike still needs to break above wave 1 at $118.23 to avoid a double correction in wave 2. As far as pullback stays above $110.05, expect the stock to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for new all-time high.
NKE- Long set upNike has been in a strong trend. Just broke out of previous highs of Feb and may run higher. Nice set up. There is a trend line resistance coming up on higher time frames but if market breaks to new high. Nike which has been trending strong will go with it.Just an opinion. Please do your homework before trading or investing in any financial asset.
Nike - Still Open PositionChecking back in with Nike since our last analysis. If you check out our last Nike Post, the target hit our buy zone and we entered the position in the green rectangle on our charts. We're currently up around 5% on this one for a nice scalp trade if we wish to exit. Our initial target is still around $104-$105 mark. We're keeping a tight stop loss on this one in the profit already. Waiting to see if we dip back to our accumulation zone or take some profits.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor.
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THE WEEK AHEAD: KBH, NKE EARNINGS; IWM, IYREARNINGS:
KBH (64/77/15.5%) announces on Wednesday after the close. Pictured here is a Plain Jane, directionally neutral short strangle camped out at the 18 delta strikes paying 1.34 as of Friday close. Look to put on a play on Wednesday before the close, adjusting strikes as necessary to accommodate movement of the underlying between here and then.
NKW (40/45/9.1%) also announces this week (Thursday after the close), but has less than ideal metrics. Naturally, those could change during the week, so it's worth keeping an eye on.
EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS SCREENED FOR 30-DAY >35%:
SLV (51/39)
EWW (47/43)
TQQQ (45/92)
GDXJ (44/61)
XLE (42/55)
EWZ (42/37)
GDX (38/47)
SMH (35/40)
XOP (31/68)
USO (12/60)
I generally look for rank >50, 30-day >35% with these; only SLV meets this criteria, but the August 21st 15/19 short strangle paying .61 doesn't exactly get my motor running.
BROAD MARKET:
IWM (61/46)
SPY (38/32)
QQQ (35/31)
EFA (34/28)
Small caps are where the volatility is at. The August 21st 115/161 delta-neutral 16 delta short strangle is paying 4.34 to put on.
DIVVY-PAYING EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS ORDERED BY RANK:
IYR (52/40)
XLU (46/32)
HYG (40/22)
EWZ (40/57)
SPY (38/32)
EWA (38/38)
EFA (34/28)
TLT (20/17)
EMB (19/17)
Will look to ladder out in IYR in August, September for the IRA if the implied hangs in there. The 16 delta August 21st 67 short put is paying 1.39; the September 65, 1.61.