Nkla
NKLA is extremely bearish, $20 price target. Nikola finally tested the long term resistance trendline today, largely based on Earning Report anticipation. It was quickly rejected from the trendline on HIGH volume. This was also the first time it tested the bearish ema death cross, and its now confirmed. Expect further mark downs.
Knowing how SPACs work, their traditional FIB levels, and psychological levels, $19-$20 is the next level of support. $20 is traditionally a large resistance level for every SPAC as it usually correlates to the break even point of a redeemed warrant.
Don't be surprised for NKLA to be range bound as it builds proper support and is accumulated. NKLA Bulls should be prepared to go through frustrating price action, failed rallies, and bull traps over the next 4-6 months, if not longer. $SPCE is probably a good analog.
Good luck!
Nikola (NKLA): A Revolution, or a Scam?If you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post!
I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
In this analysis, I'll be providing an in-depth analysis on Nikola Corporation (NKLA), also recently known as the Tesla (TSLA) killer.
I'll provide an overall understanding of what Hydrogen vehicles are, what Nikola is trying to achieve, and the questions that have been posed against the company and its founder, Trevor Milton.
Hydrogen Vehicles
- Hydrogen vehicles are known to have the following advantages: heavy duty fast fueling, long range support, less weight, and renewable zero-emission.
- NKLA places a special emphasis on its heavy duty fast fueling, using hydrogen full cell technology
- Theoretically, hydrogen gas is ignited, then reacts with the oxygen in the air, and release its energy through an explosion, with the only waste product being water.
- A hydrogen fuel cell is a device that takes in hydrogen and oxygen, generating electricity.
- However, the reality is not as good as it sounds
- Based on Volkswagen's research, hydrogen vehicles demonstrate a lower efficiency rate compared to electric vehicles.
- And while NKLA has recently claimed that they are reaching a cost level of $2-3 per kilogram of hydrogen, research by ARK invest demonstrates that hydrogen costs, provided by NKLA's numbers, demonstrate that they would be 3 times more expensive than electricity
What Nikola Corporation (NKLA) is trying to achieve
- NKLA is looking to be the Tesla-killer, providing not only hydrogen vehicles, but also sustainable energy sources and infrastructure based on hydrogen
- They seek to offer affordable hydrogen based energy solutions through economies of scale
- Their motor lineup consists of the following models: Nikola One, Nikola Two, Nikola Tre, Nikola Refuse, which are all large trucks, and Nikola Badger, a pick-up truck.
Questions Posed about NKLA
- All great successes have stories of hate along the way. However, some serious questions that are posed against the executive chairman Trevor Milton, and the company.
- Research conducted by the Hindenburg research suggests that NKLA is almost absolutely worthless, and that its founder is a complete con-artist
- They demonstrate that Trevor Milton misled partners into signing agreements by falsely claiming to have extensive proprietary technology
- How Nikola staged a video showing their semi-truck cruising on a road at a high rate of speed.
- A spokesman for Volvo spin-off Powercell AB, a hydrogen fuel cell technology company that formerly partnered with Nikola, called Nikola’s battery and hydrogen fuel cell claims “hot air”.
- As proven by Ark Invest as well, despite Milton's claims that Nikola will reduce hydrogen costs by 81%, they have failed to do so
- The "in-house" designs from NKLA are licensed from third-parties
- Milton, through dozens of outright lies, was able to form partnerships with some of the largest legacy auto companies in the world in their desperation to catch up to Tesla’s EV leadership status
- Milton also cashed out $70 million around the IPO and amended his share lock-up from 1-year to 180 days.
- This means that if he gets laid off, his equity awards immediately vest and he is entitled to collect $20 million over two years.
- Most of these skeptical views towards the company revolve around the central idea of the company not having any substance, and the chairman's ethically questionable decisions.
Technical Analysis
- As this stock has only been listed on the market for a few months, leaving very little price action history
- First of all, we can see that the stock skyrocketed close to $100 at all time highs, mostly driven by investors' hype that this would be the next Tesla (TSLA)
- However, prices since have dropped, touching the historical support at $29.08
- Another strong support lies at $14.88, but given the stochastic indicator demonstrates signs of the stock potentially being oversold temporarily, we might see a technical bounce take place
Conclusion
While ambitious, Nikola Corporation and the mastermind behind the company seem to lack any substance. Hydrogen vehicles are definitely an area worth exploring, but it's also important to realize that the attention Nikola has received was due to its being marketed as 'the next Tesla' rather than its cutting edge in-house hydrogen fuel cell technology. There are a lot of inconsistencies in the claims made by the company, and potentially unethical decisions made by the executive chairman himself. As such, I believe that this company is more likely to be 'the next Theranos' rather than a Tesla Killer.
NKLA: A scam remains a scamWell Nikola is a classic example of what happens when a scam gets too big.
Newbie investors hop on board, who are misinformed and think, basing their opinion mostly on mainstream media articles, that Nikola will be the next Tesla.
Unfortunately the mainstream media is totally clueless, and it becomes more and more apparent that Nikola is and has been an elaborate scam from the beginning.
The latest Hindenburg report and the very lackluster response from CEO Trevor Milton speak volumes.
Then SEC and now even the DOJ are investigaten Nikola for securities fraud.
The stock will do a classic ABC corrective structure, and will collapse down to 10 USD.
What happens then depends on how the affair will be resolved. But we assume that Nikola will end up getting completely hammered, and the CEO will end up facing
criminal charges, possibly even jail, thus the stock will pull a wirecard on us.
That's just my opinion, so as always, please do your own research when investing or trading.
QuantumScape Could be the Future of BatteriesQuantumScape makes solid-state batteries.
They have entered into a definitive agreement to merge with blank check company Kensington Capital Acquisition Corp.
Backed by Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates and Volkswagen & Qatar Investment Authority
QuantumScape is expected to receive more than $1 billion in cash and funding commitments, led by Volkswagen and Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund, as part of the transaction.
NKLA - Verge of a Breakout?NKLA is currently a HTB (Hard to Borrow) stock with short interest clocking a rate of about 40% currently. Especially after the shorter's report came out, most retail traders have been left with a sour taste in their mouths. But due to higher consolidation and some sketchy price action in after-hours and pre-market; a breakout appears to be imminent.
First immediate resistance zone: $36.50 - $38.62
After this due to shorts either doubling down on their position or deciding to pull and cover, we could see a rather quick move all the way up to the $40 price range.
Price point of invalidation is around $30 a share.
NKLA They sold the rumors... now what?On the 15 minute chart, the BB are indicative of a nice squeeze between support at 30.64 and resistance at 32.78 (which was Sept. 4 previous support and is now current resistance). On Sept 8 with the news of a partnership with GM, the stock surged from 35.63 to breaking through previous resistance of 37.32 to 54.50 in a day! I always say "what goes up must come down" but this crash and burned due to a Hindenburg report of bad news, go figure, haters... so they sold the fear which leaves us in this consolidation zone of the unknown. The RSI at 34.99 on the last candle is starting to trend higher than the previous 25 candles (the 25th candle previous also had a RSI of 34.99, a purple arrow is used to show which candlestick). The 25 candlestick back also happens to be support 37.27 which was "pre-GM news" resistance. The main thing going against this trade for a bullish run is no confirmation, only an inverted hammer. So if the price opens above previous close and the bulls are in charge, it may be time to grab a long position. It bottomed out at 30.82 or did it? Squeeze coming tomorrow? Its at the end of a bull flag also signaling a change. I think no more fear to sell... I've traded this since its early days of VTIQ. I did my DD and I knew what I was buying/selling. Every company starts with a vision. Intangible/intellectual assets are some times more valuable than tangible ones. Know what you own. This is not TSLA, two TOTALLY different companies, concepts. At the end of the day, something is only worth what someone is willing to pay. Right now I'm willing to pay 31.76 only if I have confirmation and my stop would be 30.62 just below support. Short term neutral, long term bullish, very long term.
$NKLA Tries to Fend Off Aggressive Bear Attacks with a DrawingNKLA is apparently sitting on nothing but a sketch, and now wants GM to simply use its name as a marketing vehicle to extract some value before the house of cards comes crashing down. Or so says Hindenberg Research, in a report last week.
Honestly, we think it's likely correct, but the potential for shorts to get roped in a fleeced right now is also monumental. Small bear bets are likely smart from here.
We're Back! +$1560 on 2 trades in $NKLAHI Guys,
Been working on a approach to trading as just trading $BA ran out of fule, so to speak. We're simply trading volume leaders in the mid cap range using the same system and it's working great!!
Check it out!,
Enda