Potential bullish rise off pullback support?EUR/NOK is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 38.2% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 11.62697
1st Support: 11.57462
1st Resistance: 11.72053
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NOK
Bearish drop?EUR/NOK is rising towards the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 11.74053
1st Support: 11.64963
1st Resistance: 11.77924
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish rise?EUR/NOK is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 1.74550
1st Support: 11.66510
1st Resistance: 11.85168
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDNOK Very strong buy signal medium-term.The USDNOK has been consistently giving us excellent signals on this 2-year pattern with the last one (July 10, see chart below) being a buy that hit the 11.0000 Target:
This time the pair is again inside the 2-year Higher Lows Zone, while holding Support 1. The previous High was rejected on Resistance 1, so the Triangle may be transitioning into a Rectangle medium-term.
In any case, this low price is a buy opportunity with our Target being slightly below the Lower Highs trend-line at 10.9500.
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EURNOK Confirmed sell signalThe EURNOK pair brutally followed our last buy signal (July 09, see chart below) and easily hit our Target:
The pair has now established a clear peak formation within the +1 year Ascending Triangle pattern, similar to the tops of Nov - Dec 2023 and June 2023, and is ready to extend the Bullish Leg towards the pattern's bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) again.
The Sine Waves clearly show the frequency of those bottoms and as such, our Target is 11.3650.
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Bullish bounce?EUR/NOK is falling towards the pivot which has been acts as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 11.74385
1st Support: 11.65492
1st Resistance: 11.88554
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?EUR/NOK is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 11.74014
1st Support: 11.60040
1st Resistance: 11.84572
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/NOK has a strong bullish momentum, could it rise further?The price is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 11.8178
1st Support: 11.7168
1st Resistance: 12.0124
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NOK Nokia Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NOK Nokia prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 4usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-7-19,
for a premium of approximately $0.09.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
USDNOK Buy opportunity above the 1D MA50.The USDNOK pair has been trading within a Triangle pattern for the past 2 years (since June 2022) and right now is consolidating right below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) after holding the Higher Lows Zone.
Within this 2-year pattern, every time the price broke above the 1D MA50 following a bottom bounce, the new Bullish Leg was initiated. Our Target is 11.000 (just below the Lower Highs trend-line).
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EURNOK Strong buy opportunity.The EURNOK pair has made contact today with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as a Resistance for the first time since May 16. This is the start of the new Bullish Leg of the 1-year Triangle pattern.
All bottoms (green arcs) have been formed when the 1D RSI broke below the 30.00 oversold barrier, so this is technically a medium-term buy opportunity.
The previous Lower High was priced on the 0.85 Fibonacci retracement level and the one before on the 0.95. As a result, our medium-term Target is 11.7500 (just below the 0.85 Fib).
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Nokia to acquire Infinera in 2.3B USD dealNokia Corp ADR is poised to significantly enhance its capabilities in the optical equipment sector with the 2.3 billion USD acquisition of Infinera Corp. This strategic move aims to double Nokia's capacity to produce data centres integrated with artificial intelligence, positioning the company to compete more effectively with industry giants like Huawei and Ciena.
Post-acquisition, Nokia is set to become the second-largest player in the global networking sector, surpassing Ciena and trailing only behind China's Huawei. The deal is anticipated to immediately boost Nokia's profits, with expectations that Infinera's contributions will increase Nokia's net profit by more than 10% by 2027. Additionally, the acquisition will enable Nokia to accelerate the development and release of new products, thereby enhancing its competitive edge in the telecom equipment market.
Technical analysis of Nokia Corp ADR (NYSE: NOK)
Examining the stock chart from a technical analysis perspective:
Timeframe: Daily (D1)
Current trend: There has been a global uptrend since the end of December 2023
Resistance level: 3.85 USD
Support level: 3.55 USD
Potential downtrend target: If a downtrend forms, the potential downside target could be set at 2.50 USD
Short-term target: If the uptrend continues and the stock breaks the resistance at 3.85 USD, the short-term target could be set at 4.10 USD
Medium-term target: The price could potentially rise to 4.35 USD
This acquisition not only promises to bolster Nokia's financial performance but also strategically positions the company at the forefront of innovation in the networking and data centre industries. Investors may want to monitor this stock closely as the market reacts to this significant corporate development.
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Nokia Has Completed the Acquisition of Fenix GroupNokia ( NYSE:NOK ) has completed the acquisition of Fenix Group, a privately held company specializing in tactical communications solutions for the defense communities yet the stock is down 2.53% on Thursday's market trading. The acquisition, announced in December 2023, strengthens Nokia's position in the defense sector by adding Fenix's broadband tactical communications products, such as the Banshee family and Talon MANET radios, to its existing solutions portfolio.
This expanded portfolio will allow Nokia ( NYSE:NOK ) to offer a more comprehensive suite of 3GPP-based solutions to its defense customers worldwide. Interoperable, 3GPP-based mobile networks will play an important role in the digitalization of military communications. The acquisition, including the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) review and approval, marks a significant milestone in Nokia's U.S. strategy and underscores its commitment to being a trusted provider of secure and innovative solutions to the U.S. Federal government.
The combination of Nokia ( NYSE:NOK ) and Fenix supports the objective of bringing dual-use technology capabilities to the warfighter. Mike Loomis, President of Nokia Federal Solutions, said the acquisition marks a significant step forward in Nokia's strategy to grow its defense business and overall U.S. strategy. Dave Peterson, CEO of Fenix Group, expressed excitement about joining forces with Nokia, stating that by combining their innovative solutions with Nokia's global reach and resources, they can create even greater value for customers and make a significant impact on the future of secure military communications.
USDNOK One of the best sells in the market.The USDNOK pair has formed a cyclical top on the 1D time-frame and is currently pulling back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This level has been supporting since March 14 2024. If broken, we expect a a 2nd dip to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as well and as it pierces through the (green) Ichimoku Cloud, stage a dead-cat-bounce back at its top and the 1D MA50.
That should give way to the 2nd part of the Bearish Leg towards the 2-year Higher Lows Zone. Our target is on the top of that Zone at 10.400. Take profit earlier if the 1D RSI breaks below the 30.00 oversold barrier before the price reaches 10.400.
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Battle of the Vikings - Ragnar vs EarlIn the duel of the Nordic nations between the strong Norwegian Ragnar (NOK) and the fierce Swedish Earl (SEK), only one can survive.
I am betting my gold coins on the Norwegian krone for the following reasons:
- NOKSEK is fundamentally undervalued
-> fundamentally the pair should rather be trading at 1.04 - 1.05
- Norges Bank surprised EVERYONE (including me) with an interest rate hike last week
-> inflation is still giving it a hard time
- Oil saw some strength again recently
- NOKSEK with a seasonally strong phase in January and February
- Norges Bank could reduce its NOK sales in the new year
- Rebalancing flows
From a Swedish perspective:
- The unemployment rate has recently been higher than expected (looting Vikings are currently less in demand)
- Swedish inflation rate fell more than expected (due to house prices (no, not Viking huts))
- Riksbank sold more FX reserves than expected within its hedging programme
-> less powder available
A NOKout in round 1 - Why the NOK will win 2024Over the past two years, the Norwegian krone has undoubtedly been one of the big losers in the FX market.
Not only has it embarrassingly been constantly beaten up even against the EUR and traded at an all-time low, no, since November 2022 it has bottomed vs. ALL G10 currencies.
This was hardly surprising as almost all fundamental factors spoke against the NOK.
However, the tide will turn dramatically in 2024:
NOK positive:
➡️ Energy prices appear to have bottomed out and could rise again🟢
➡️ The oil price seems to be stabilising around the USD 60-70 mark and could rise in the event of a soft landing🟢
➡️ January and February are seasonally positive for the NOK🟢
➡️ Norges Bank surprised EVERYONE in December by raising interest rates again🟢
➡️ Norges Bank enters 2024 as one of the hawkishest of the G10 central banks
➡️ A further rate hike by Norges Bank in early 2024 cannot be ruled out🟢
➡️ It would raise interest rates while virtually all other central banks would be in rate cut mode🟢
➡️ Norges Bank will drastically reduce its NOK purchases from January (as previously announced by me in the NOKSEK Tradeidee ), see here:
I get NOKed down.. but I get up again...You're never gonna keep me down,
I get NOKed down, but I get up again,
You're never gonna keep me down!
Now that you all hopefully have the song stuck as much into your head as I have ;) we can go straight to the facts:
It is true that over the past two years, the Norwegian krone has all too often been one of the big losers in the FX market.
Not only has it embarrassingly been constantly beaten up against the EUR and traded at an all-time low, but it has even brought up the rear of ALL G10 currencies since November 2022.
This was hardly surprising as almost all fundamental factors spoke against the NOK.
However, the tide will turn dramatically in 2024, especially in the EURNOK:
NOK positive:
➡️ Energy prices appear to have bottomed out and could rise again.
➡️ The oil price appears to be stabilising at the USD 60-70 mark and could rise if necessary in the event of a soft landing
➡️ January and February are seasonally positive for the NOK
➡️ Norges Bank surprised EVERYONE in December by raising interest rates again
➡️ Norges Bank enters 2024 as one of the hawkishest of the G10 central banks
➡️ A further rate hike by Norges Bank in early 2024 cannot be ruled out
➡️ It would raise interest rates while virtually all other central banks would be in rate-cutting mode
➡️ Norges Bank will drastically reduce its NOK purchases from January (as previously announced by me in the NOKSEK Tradeidee) , see here:
My CHFNOK Short should also be a sure winner in 2024:
EURNOK Bearish short-term.The EURNOK pair is currently testing the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), being at the same time supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This ranged trade is the Higher High after the pair bottomed on December 27 2023 and started rising within a Channel Up.
Based on the similar bottom rebound after the July 25 2023 Low, we expect the pair to reach the 0.5 Fibonacci level and then reverse downwards. If that happens we will sell there and target 11.3200 (Fib 0.236).
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EURNOK - Catch The Final Wave!EURNOK is currently in wave 4, which appears to be a flat correction. Flat corrections consist of 3(A) 3(B) 5(C) subwaves. We are currently in wave C = 5 subwaves. We are anticipating one final move down to complete wave C.
Trade Idea:
- Enter on break of trendline or signs of reversal
- stops above blue structure or above price once entry trendline breaks
- Targets: 11.2 (3000pips), Taper thereafter
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
USDNOK: Buy signal.USDNOK is trading inside a Channel Up for almost four months, with the 1D MA50 supporting as the medium term Support. The very healthy bullish 1D technicals (RSI = 62.188, MACD = 0.074, ADX = 41.092) indicate that the current price action will lead higher so we are buying into today's strength and aim at another +4.60% rise (TP = 11.500).
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