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NOK

NOKUSD vs Crude Oil - will this divergence compress soon?Norwegian Krone is highly correlated to Crude Oil futures (front month), but over the last year it appears to diverge. NOK/USD has continued to slide while Crude stabilised. This could be due to strengthening Dollar, and the low oil prices indicating weaker future economic growth. The blue trend line marks multi-year highs. With prices touching this trend, combined with a relative underperformance of NOK/USD to Crude, this could see NOK/USD break higher, and soon. An interesting pair to watch no less, particularly when there is divergence as seen at the end of 2017, which provides an attractive spread trade of Long NOK/USD Short Crude.
Long
by MVedra
EUR/NOK 1H Chart: Channel DownThe European common currency is trading in a narrow channel down against the Norwegian Krone. The given pattern was formed after the rate failed to reach the upper boundary of a rising wedge. Nevertheless, the price has altered its direction, as apparent from its failure to reach the upper channel boundary. The rate plunged mid-session, but was supported by the monthly S2 at 9.3007. Thus, the upcoming hours should indicate about its future direction. Technical indicators are generally bearish, suggesting that a breakout is likely to occur to the downside. This scenario may realise in case the aforementioned S1 is breached. The nearest resistance is formed by the weekly S1 at 9.3329, while the 55-hour SMA circa 9.3800 might be considered a more significant upside barrier.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn890690
AUDNOK potential bullish gartley setup: -elliot wave theory (corrective abc move after 5-wave impulse usually has support around the start of wave 4) -stop loss fib confluence --> 0.382 of trading range and 0.13 extension off wave 4 to 5 -harmonic pattern -fib confluence above target 1 --> t1 If the pattern is completed i will; -look for entry at 6.36 given confirmation -set stops below 6.32 -take profits at 6.42 or reduce position and roll stops to break-even and look for extended targets --> if after entry pattern is invalidated then I will be looking to close on a pullback disclaimer - trade at your own risk, this is simply like my opinion, man.
Long
by Ldog_McG
GBP/NOKTechnical: - The Pair has found resistance at the 61.8 Daily Fib (Price: 11.224) and slight support/testing the 38.2% Weekly Fib (Price: 10.989). o Looks like it will break that support. - Looking to open short after strong daily close under the 38.2 Fib and Enter a moderate Short o For active traders, Stack.1 will be a close below the 50.0% Daily Fib (Price: 10.90) Fundamental - GBP: CPI (YoY) release Tuesday, 16/5/17 - GBP: Average Earning Index + Bonus (Wednesday, 17/5/17) - GBP: Unemployment Rate (Wednesday, 17/5/17) - GBP: Retail Sales (MoM) (Thursday, 18/5/17) Announcement wise the GBP will lead the pack with some core economic data coming out which will definitely test those support levels.
Short
by STIADAYSOFPAST
EU Losing MomentumEU have had a good run lately, but it seems over, for now at least. EURNOK is a bit special to me. Won a lot, lost a bit, yet, I keep fixating on it because of the large swings and very clear formations it makes. Finally it has come to a point when it is either breaking out short or consolidating. Looking at the past six days, it couldn't make new tops, it's sliding downwards. To add on that, short-term MACD, RSI and mid-term Stochastic seems to agree on most charts, that it's going downwards.
Short
by chastic
1
Eurnok Short At Major SupportANALYSIS AND RESEARCH: We can say that it is moving in clear consolidation zone and for most traders this area is more interesting for trend reversal trades and it acts like the same so in our opinion if it drops more and breaks below lower trend Line then we can expect it to drop more towards the flag possibly. Eur on overall basis acts as weak pair so keep an eye on that as well. Extra News Related to this Pair: According to zukumati sarkoshi our cheif analyst saying that if it drops below the lower major support it is armageddon for eur/nok pair let us see which way it will fall.
Short
by Muze
USD/NOK viewI suggest that traders short the Norwegian Krone against the USD for the following reasons: /dx has broken out of its ~2yr consolidation pattern amid Trump's fiscal stimulus promises and subsequent repricing of the Fed's hiking cycle in anticipation of higher US growth and inflation. NOK remains highly vulnerable to /cl as >50% of Norway's exports are energy-related (34% = crude petroleum and 25% = petroleum gases). Potential OPEC-inspired oil volatility and vulnerability (if a strong cut, or any cut at all, fails to materalise, which is my personal base case given recent rhetoric from Saudi Arabia; namely words to the effect of, "balancing can occur without cuts") will weigh heavily on NOK, sending this pair much higher. On a more long-term level, oil and gas companies in Norway have drastically cut spending forecasts for 2017, deepening what was already a record reduction in offshore investment. Main risk to the trade is OPEC cutting production significantly (or at least creating that perception to markets). In this case, I would use the opportunity to buy USDNOK at lower levels as any material increase in oil prices (to around $55-$60 on a 'strong cut') will enable US shale producers to "come online" (with lag, of course), aiding supply and sending /cl to near current levels again. It is very difficult to envisage a world in which oil comfortably sustains above $60 under current conditions. A token OPEC cut will not change this, I do not believe. $DB is gunning for 9.05000 by Q2 '17; $GS and $MS also want around 9.00000 with time. I personally look to buy this pair on dips.
Long
by jamiegleave