A NOKout in round 1 - Why the NOK will win 2024Over the past two years, the Norwegian krone has undoubtedly been one of the big losers in the FX market.
Not only has it embarrassingly been constantly beaten up even against the EUR and traded at an all-time low, no, since November 2022 it has bottomed vs. ALL G10 currencies.
This was hardly surprising as almost all fundamental factors spoke against the NOK.
However, the tide will turn dramatically in 2024:
NOK positive:
➡️ Energy prices appear to have bottomed out and could rise again🟢
➡️ The oil price seems to be stabilising around the USD 60-70 mark and could rise in the event of a soft landing🟢
➡️ January and February are seasonally positive for the NOK🟢
➡️ Norges Bank surprised EVERYONE in December by raising interest rates again🟢
➡️ Norges Bank enters 2024 as one of the hawkishest of the G10 central banks
➡️ A further rate hike by Norges Bank in early 2024 cannot be ruled out🟢
➡️ It would raise interest rates while virtually all other central banks would be in rate cut mode🟢
➡️ Norges Bank will drastically reduce its NOK purchases from January (as previously announced by me in the NOKSEK Tradeidee ), see here:
Noksignals
Nokia to Drop FurtherNokia Corporation - Short Term - We look to Sell a break of 5.24 (stop at 5.45)
A move through bespoke support at 5.40 and we look for extended losses. Our overall sentiment remains bearish looking for lower levels. A lack of clear direction has formed a channel on the intraday chart that has a mild bias to break lower. We look for gains to be extended today.
Our profit targets will be 4.38 and 4.10
Resistance: 6.00 / 6.40 / 7.00
Support: 5.40 / 5.00 / 4.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Nokia at Key Support Level Nokia Corporation - Short Term - We look to Buy at 5.33 (stop at 5.16)
We look to buy dips. Trading within a Bullish Channel formation. A higher correction is expected. Previous support located at 5.40. We expect this move higher to continue and look to set longs in early trade using previous lows as a stop.
Our profit targets will be 5.76 and 5.95
Resistance: 5.75 / 6.00 / 6.40
Support: 5.40 / 5.25 / 5.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
NOK Nokia Chief Exec: whatever it takes to lead in the 5G spaceNOK Nokia Chief Executive: we will do “whatever it takes” to lead in the 5G space!
On 7/6/2021 BNP Paribas brokerage Upgraded the rating for NOK Nokia from Neutral to Outperform and set a $7.70 price target.
I extended the Fibonnaci retracement tool from the strong support to the previews top and came out with a 6.5usd price target.
CHF/NOK Short From ResistanceThis has retraced back to resistance as expected, now there is the opportunity to short. If we see this rebound from this resistance and MACD remain below 0 and EMA's do not cross higher then this will drop. Target is 9.02671 where this should find support and bounce higher.
CHF/NOK Awaiting Turn LowerLooking for a short on this. The support was broken and it is now retesting as resistance. Waiting for this to reject then can enter the short. Target is 9.32335, there may be some support at 9.40720 which could cause the price to rebound slightly but hopefully it will pass through this. There is also a longer term target at 9.07100.
Nokia NOK first-ever trial run of 4G & 5G fixed wireless accessNokia Corporation NOK recently announced that it has teamed up with Mobily, a Saudi Arabia-based telco, in a concerted effort to conduct the first-ever trial run of 4G and 5G fixed wireless access (FWA) network slicing over the live commercial network of the latter. Notably, the Finnish telco is the first vendor to unveil this technology. As part of the collaboration, Mobily has capitalized on Nokia’s AirScale 4G/5G base stations along with its NetAct solution, which is a field proven network management system that supports network elements in Wi-Fi, telco cloud, public safety along with mobile radio and core. (Source: zacks.com)
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EURNOK Trading PlanPattern: Triangle on 1D.
Signal: (A) Bullish if the Resistance breaks, (B) Bearish if the Support breaks.
Target: (A) 11.800 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement level), (B) 10.000 (the Lower Support).
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USDNOK Buy SignalPattern: Triangle on 1D.
Signal: Bullish as the RSI is forming a bullish pattern which since the Channel Up started in March 2018, it was a sign of a new High.
Target: 9.800 (Higher High excluding the COVID candles).
Most recent signal:
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