$YSNFP (AUGUST/2024) US Economy Adds Fewer Jobs Than Expected source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - The US economy created 142K jobs in August, more than downwardly revised 89K in July but below market expectations of 160K. Most job gains occurred in construction and health care while manufacturing employment declined. Meanwhile, the jobless rate edged...
When I began trading, the non-farm payrolls were the number #1 indicator I looked for I remember countless of nights trying to understand why this Economic News was so important in Forex trading...today you get to witness just how powerful this indicator is. Yesterday the Federal Reserve Chairman of the United States Bank decided to pause interest rates...
Preferred direction: BUY Comment: The fact of recovery is also visible on the pound chart. Here we also have both scenarios activated that we published at the beginning of the week. Before the NFP , the bullish mood remains, and an approach to the level of 1.26000 is expected. You can also consider level 1.26500 as an additional target. In the short term,...
The Australian dollar has pushed higher on Monday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6600, up 0.35%. Australia’s Westpac consumer confidence is expected to rebound in April after a 1.8% decline in March. The market estimate stands at 0.5%. We’ll also get a look at the mood of the business sector, with NAB business confidence expected to fall...
The Japanese yen showed a bit of strength earlier but has pared these gains. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 15141, up 0.04% The markets are bracing for a sharp drop in US nonfarm payrolls for March. Job growth hit 353,000 in January but then fell to 275,000 in February and the market estimate for March stands at 200,000. The labour market has...
Preferred direction: BUY Comment: The British pound also remains on the buy list. Here, the expected movement for the current NFP is the same as for the euro . Growth is expected towards the level of 1.27000 , where local resistance will occur. The target is not set above this area (quite an aggressive option). But one can consider potential sales when...
Preferred direction: BUY Comment: The setup for today's NFP remains in favor of the buyer. Most likely, the euro will update yesterday's high around the level of 1.09000 . At this level, there is an area of resistance, and most likely it is from here that we can expect a deeper correction than the one we are currently observing. Additional comments on this...
The euro is on a bit of a roll and has pushed slightly higher on Thursday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0857, up 0.19%. The euro is up for a third straight day and has climbed 0.8% since Monday. Business activity improved across the eurozone in March. The eurozone services PMI rose to 51.5, up from 50.2 in February. The German reading improved...
NFP preview: Trading S&P or GBPUSD? US Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has reiterated on multiple occasions that a tight labor market acts as a deterrent to lowering interest rates. Which is why this month's NFP data release should be interesting. This Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is expected to show an addition of 200,000 new jobs. Since Feb 2023, data...
Preferred direction: SELL Comment: By the end of the week, all long trades on metals have been fixed, and on the eve of the NFP , we expect a fall in gold . It should be noted that a slight increase is still possible even without the NFP data, where, against the background of volatility, the price may rise above the current new historical maximum....
Preferred direction: SELL Comment: After a short-term successful growth, longs for gold were also fixed and now, like for the main currency pairs, we expect a fall. Here everything is a little simpler and the main idea is to update local maxima as well. The first scenario assumes an approximate reversal at the level of 2070 , and the second - at the level...
Preferred direction: SELL Comment: We also consider possible sales by pound. Here previous long-positions are completely closed. Before the NFP , we have two main scenarios, similar in nature to the movement as in the EURUSD situation before the NFP . The main idea in both cases is to update the maximum at the level of 1.28000 , and then fall towards the...
Preferred direction: SELL Comment: The long scenario worked out quite quickly, and now before the NFP , most likely you need to count on selling. The market quite sharply rushed into sales due to which it was possible to recover to local highs. For NFP , I will highlight two scenarios, the difference between the first and the second is that in the second it...
U.S. Non Farm Payrolls Rep: 353k ✅ MUCH HIGHER than Expected ✅ Exp: 187k Prev: 333k U.S. economy adds 353,000 jobs in January Based on revised figures we have increased the jobs added to the U.S from 150k in Nov 2023 gradually increasing to 353k for the month of Jan 2024.
Preferred direction: BUY Comment: For gold , we highlight the short-term scenario in long. Metals , especially gold , resisted the pressure of the US dollar best; here the context for growth is, in principle, prepared. There are two main scenarios for growth and all are aimed at updating short-term highs towards the region 2060-2070. This expected...
The euro is in negative territory on Friday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0908, down 0.33%. Eurozone inflation has been falling and dropped to 2.4% y/y in November, within striking distance of the 2% target. The downward trend reversed itself in December, as CPI jumped to 2.9%, just below the consensus estimate of 3.0%. This was the first...
The Australian dollar is trading quietly on Friday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6611, up 0.14%. It has been a roller-coaster week for the Australian dollar. After declining 1.88% early in the week, the Aussie rebounded on Thursday and gained 0.80%. Today's US nonfarm payrolls report could result in further volatility from the Australian...
The Japanese yen has surged on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.00, down a massive 2.25%. Earlier, the yen dropped as low as 143.79 per dollar, which marked the yen's highest level since August 10. The yen has posted its biggest one-day jump of the year against the dollar on Thursday after Bank of Japan policy makers provided...